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AD-RI59 268 SIMULATION OF CRITICAL MATERIALS RESOURCE STRATEGIES 1/2 VOLUME 2 APPENDIX D..(U) TITAN SYSTEMS INC LA JOLLA CR D SOMERFELD 13 SEP 83 TITRN-DSI-185898-07-83-5F-2-D UNCLASSIFIED EMW-C-e986 F/G 15/5 N Ehhhmhhmhhhol moohhhhhhhhhhl mohhohhohmhlh I fllfllfllfllfllfl -hhhhhhhhh hE'll

OF CRITICAL MATERIALS RESOURCE STRATEGIES 1/2 … · ad-ri59 268 simulation of critical materials resource strategies 1/2 volume 2 appendix d..(u) titan systems inc la jolla cr d

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AD-RI59 268 SIMULATION OF CRITICAL MATERIALS RESOURCE STRATEGIES 1/2VOLUME 2 APPENDIX D..(U) TITAN SYSTEMS INC LA JOLLA CRD SOMERFELD 13 SEP 83 TITRN-DSI-185898-07-83-5F-2-D

UNCLASSIFIED EMW-C-e986 F/G 15/5 N

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I fllfllfllfllfllfl-hhhhhhhhh

hE'll

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11111.5 Ilii 1. IU111111 IiI-.125 .

MICROCOPY RESOLUTION TEST CHARTNATIONAL RLRA F tA Cr

------ __RFPp(rOOIcjC AT GOVEFNT ) I 11111

a dvisOn f TITAN SYSTEMS, INC.

TITAX-DSII05800-0~78.3-5P

0PENI D DATA BASE

TCRO VLM 2ToUGH SCENARIO 230O

FINL REPORT

ARTICLE lIi1 A

SubaaItt~ to:

Mr. PfIchael Pfetach

Program ManagerDolh.Building,

Room 617 DI500 #PC# Street, S.W. ^:iE CTEWashington, D.C. 20472FE 91%

teto 3. 2983

IMP* FILE COPY85 02 01 0

San iego, Califo uite 92 2 osa d re:0D 2 3

Califrnia 2122(019) 453.9.5a olCalifornia 92037

-RFPROr)t)CED AT GOVERNMENT FXPENSE

DISCLAIMER NOTICE

THIS DOCUMENT IS BEST QUALITYPRACTICABLE. THE COPY FURNISHEDTO DTIC CONTAINED A SIGNIFICANTNUMBER OF PAGES WHICH DO NOTREPRODUCE LEGIBLY.

o . . , -

UNCLASSIFIEDSECUITY CLASSIFICATION Of THIlS PAGE 'Uhon 50. F'teled)

READ INSTRUCTIONSREPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE aElORE COMPLETINGI FORIMI RPOR NMBE OV ACESSION %NO 7cCiPiITt CATA,/2 . NUMBER

4 TILE~rd~utilo) YPE Of REF'cORT 6 PERtIOD COIERED

Simulation of Critical Materials Resources* StraegiesInformal Report

Stra egie PERFORMING O G. REPO T , W*jq

TITAN-r)SI -105800-93-SF7AUI"OR(4) IS CCNI~TPA - OR GRAN

T NjiwaEI

Somerfeld, Dale EYW-C- 0906

9 PECrIFONO0 RGANIZATION NAME ANO ADDRESS r-0314o FRO' E0EET P'#~jF'1 TAS

Titan Systems, Inc. AREA A h CRw -joiI %JMBE 9;

P.O. Box 12139La Jolla, California 92037 561

* I CONTROLLING OFFICE NAME AND ADDRESS '2 RE:R DATE

LANatural Resources Division. NP-NR-NR Sept. 13, 1983

FE.MA II wumBR OF PA*Es

50 COR . S. 1. Washington. D.C. 20472 1 Approx. 200- ONIT0R4 N G A6NCY NAME 11 AOORESS(II differrvt Iron, Co~ntrolling Office. IS SECUPDTV CL ASS 'I o e *port)

1'ncl assi fied

*SC04$ /A

10 DISTRIBUTION STATEMUENT to[ thlo Report)

APPROVED FORI PUBLIC RELEASE: DISTRIBUTT(N' UNLIMITED

'V DIST RIGUjTIOei STATEMENT (of the obst,l ter1Oed 1. R.,A 71), If digfeton, 1~r- Per."".

ff SUPPLEINTARYINOTES

* Critical Material: Strategic Resources

*~ ~~~~ 30 -intifI, Ct'inqvi mre **1 t E deit.h;SIA ,.,h* ,This report addresses preliminarv eff'rts t o quij \ tae.crltinhpof materials to force elements.The results of the prel) jnarv materials are emergencv but requires furthermodel development. -

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EW CALED'NIA 2-0. 1 4 ". 00-. 9 1...u.:NAI I 0'"_ 6. 2' -> '"' 0. 346 ' J ,

-71

TOTAL 1750C, 1050. 00i "

CL- IFO, ITE I MP'PRTANCE

T IN

AM!OUNT % OF :0i1FPOSI TEIRCE SUPPLIED IOTAL IMPORTANCE I/Ci %( 1iC)

U'.TRALIA 100. 0. 15 0. SP2 1. o87 . I.] . .16100. >v-' ;2 2 56 .391 - -.

AILAND 5.0.. E:. 73: 0. 92 1. 3E,7 9. 4'-:NDONES IA 580lg B. 5,3 0. 92 . 087 9. 0

Ic). 0. 15 1. 96 0. 510 0. 075%LIVIA 10300. 15. 24 0. 98 1. 020 1, 54'. "nAZIL 2400 3. 55 0. 86 1. 162 4. 125'RC' 3000. 4. 44 2. 47 0. 405 1 7c,-',.LAY-IA 23900. 35. 36 0. 92 1. 087 3,. 414

TOTAL: 676i0. 100. 00

-. .V - .1 . . . . .-. -- .-. -. .-... ...- ... - ... - ...- - - -- . ..-- ... ..-X -- '. .- -2 -.- . .- .- -,-- ,..- .- -.-'..- ..--. -.-.- . .- .

L. .

lC'OI !:'0-:]TE IMPORTANC1E

( LOC :'

-IRVE W: P 2 E TCTAL Tf U .-TAN.-E 1."C IF I NLAND 100 0.?S I3 '2 O. r20 ' 1_

.IJTH AFRICA 1.4 ±19 0. 841 1."HILIPPINES to' .. C' '.--'2 1. C,:0 7 1 7

MU-7RALIA 3- 21 0. 9 1. OV'- C ,-"oo

CANADA ", "" 4 .. 20 :." I " S4. I " "

.EECE - --. 21 2. F5 0. OL Q 0F' 'm - , .. . 0 .. ... ..

NETHERLAND':, 2(.) - 0 Q7 i. 9, 0 :;1 0 o 0:1:4

-F:3 10 1 . "':. C ( .

' :, LAV IA 0.. - V. Q ., 0 .! (&

USSR 5000. 1 64 O. 94 I 0'-,1 1 7

I r: RE UII: '3 0, r. 4 T S 1. :, 0. L_.' _. -1

* UtTAMALA 40"0"0 1. 31 1 5: 0. 6,6 0. 8-l

.NDONESIA 5003C. I. -. .1 -

TOTAL :.' ' 4)0. 1 00. 00

W" S)(U.

F- L U 1: 1,. :. F A 1 ,

A,iI-1:,T % U F C.', : ,- :.I TE

SOURCE SIFL I ED TOI AL I MFPuFTANCE I /CI % 1 /( 1 )

-K!UTH APFPICA .-" 22 &.4 :E

70. 7 2 5/N Q. :.1ITALY 65. 8. 07 1. 96 0 510 4 J2,).

PA I N 10,:W I2 42 1 .. 9 0 510 6 .:-

, AST AFRICA 2-. .: II 0 71 1 404 4 .3-) SHAILAND 15. 1. 86 0. 9F).2 1 0:=D7 2 .. "

MEXICO 350. 43. 48 2 56 0 391 17 Ot

TOTAL: .05. 100. C0

COMIPO'S I TE I T1POR'T ANCE(LOG 3)

FYRETHRUM

AMOUNT % OF COMPO'r:;ITE"OURCE SUPPLIED TOTAL IMPORTANCE I/Cl"-- OUTH AFRICA 2000. 1. CI I. 19 O. 841 0 8:52AUSTRALIA 1500. O 76 0. 92 1. 087 0. :" .' -

. 11000. 5. 57 1. 96 0. 510 2 4 2ENYA 80000. 40 51 0. 71 1. 404 5A/ E:-;--WAIJD 25000. 12. 66 0. 71 1. 404 17 7. 7

TANZANIA 7:000. 39. 49 0. 71 1. 404 5, 4

TOTAL: 197500. 100. 00@pS

..............................................-.....

Ml"1F-CE Irl - ) 7"NEW (L~h- '.)

% (1 !(. ) FE!'-,;HCOFTFALL NOF,'1AL '2Uer' :,,-F r[.&_i IM-' !/ ,-I';A IT: r.I:A: Ti : ;.%( N::IALTE

!.UL~i... 4 M' , 1 1:1 I

1 7 7 1 40 "BOTSWANNA 0 7 1 6SOUTH AFRIA 0 7 2 15 . I66ZAIRE 7-. '7 - 7' IC0 ,,

FHILIFF'INE'= .: - 7.,,- 2 4- , 4-AISTRALIA 2. 4::' 7 - - "4 •NEW CALED,-NI 1. 57 71.CANADA 2 17 7. 0:I j/-. ,:, 1 (iLI c 2.234 7 :-;] 17 4. S C

[IN

THtI LAND 4 z 0; Coo sc .i. ( S

I NLIC-hE 'IA 0..0C22Q. 0. .u:U! " 075 0 (.: OI (.t5 C) 0vi,L i IV! IA 4. UC 0) (h:),E:F:AZ IL 4 12 0 (10 . (i)C ,. or'

PR 7'",= C ; 0 C..) v-M , ' ....

F INLAN ' . 171 If, 'i 1.71 "-J -

PHILIPF INE-E, 1. 7-5 10 (i) 17. 17

-')-) " 'J -" C'. C )J 4 I (i : 0 ( 0' () F: 4"',7 '_" " " " "

7. C17 10 0) . 17 C-S'., LAVIA 0i - 4 10. 00 0. 34 C) 1

7-7SR . 742: I-. C 17. 4 J1CIM. REPIIB. 2 3:'- 10. C)O ?22? 7"GIATAMALA I. E;/.c . 0 . 6.1 1 5-

I- CC 17- 0.- 17~

FLU'RSFAR AC IDSOUTH AFRICA 18. 803 8. 55 1. 85 2', 5U S 3. 402 . 55 29. 1C 5""ITALY 4. 120 8. 55 35 24 6. 25SPAIN 68. 55 v-4. -2 9. /2EAST AFRICA 4, 350 : 55 37. 29 6. 61THAILAND 2 025 8. 55 17. 32 3. 07MEXICO 17. 011 S. 55 145. 52 25. 82'

-YRETHRUM"" '":.SUTH AFRICA 0. 852 4. 20 .66 0. 6 1

AUSIRALIA 0. .25 4. 3 55 0. 6.":Ut, 2. 842 4.C 12. 21 2.17KENYA 56. .55 4. C 244 29 4-. :. 4RWANDA 17. 767 4. 0 76,. 34 13. 54TANZANIA 55 43: 4 C 2.. IS 42 25

* .. .*- '. -' ,- ,Z . - " ". ,.. ' -' -t,. , . , _ ' '*, " u '. - -,.. ' .,' . ... ''" ' . "-.

i ' -.-.- w .. .

'FlI* IlFiF§ ACEh 4:EL' E:Y SCILE'. S

,-S:r .,E C:Cs-iri .y',7Y :iE

2AI FE CrdSALT i'c. 0-4 F.: -"A F'Y-%ET'- ' - 4

4 ZAMBIA (f'%:LT - @'

CANADA Ni ]:.F. 30. 2 .6 SOUTH AFRIC' F L rv.F:: AID.,

7 MEX ICO FL.Y!CIF"::F'AF: P,!Ir 2, '2II S N!_t.E...

AU>STRALIA N, _.EL i. E-_. 0

0R WA4D A PYRETHRUM I.: -.1"

11 SF'AIN F "Lv:.RF1 A iD ' 6

2 EA';T APF:ICA FLICF;7A,-" ACID . /DITALY FLI ' F,: ' I-' I" /L

14 DOM REPLIE: NICEL 5. 7F P iLAND CT'IAL t-"

j I, : FLLUCR''AF A, D I.7 AUSTRALIA CIPAL T 44

IN[ UNE'-N I N f__ .EL_

S, PHILIPFINE-; NICKEL 17

II CFp.t- L',

2 ';R N T ClF L 0 I ,'

THA I ..A , FLIu--:F'PAF: Ai - " 0C,'A! .4A :A C.":711 AL-T : '1

4 F: ;WANNA COB:ALT 7;* j- ITH AFRI CA NII .EL 2 45

re M IC:CI CC F. Au T -:"'* Lif F",'REETHF:I!i 1 1 ?I

NEW CALEDONIA COI&AL.T 21. OIAT,,ALA Ni CEL

;i , 'iJTH A-F cI -A, Cr0E, rLT 1 0031 SOUTH AFRICA PYPETHRUM .6- A .TF:,L IA F'YF:ETHF:UIM C

5 F FHIL I FF'INE; COBALT 0. 41 ,, FINLAND NICKEL C iE3'5. GREECE N I CKEL 0. 1-

:A YUF'':LA'QIA N"CJ FL 0 .-

:7 NETHERLAND'S NICKEL 0. 063 :. FRG NIC:KEL 0 0-lC, MALAY, IA TIN 0 00

0 FRC TIN 0. (' f4I E:RAZIL TIN 0l. 0 )

42 FOLIVIA TIN 0. CC'"-3 UK TIN 0. 00)(1.4 INDONESIA TIN 0 00 "

45 THAILAND TIN 0. 00 5-6 U S TIN 0.007 AUSTRALIA TIN 0. 00

a a 1~~~_..J~t~t ...- . -. -.. .•

0

0

S

S

SCENARIO 13S

S

0

S

S

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WEiGHT:. o, F:EC,-1eIN b', LEVEL c4' ('='L IC r,. MEI:F:L..veI -:4 C,.r,+li,:t n M.-d&a i

- r 2 -4 6.7 !F:g

I./c:-EF (') . 7:3 0. 47:3:. 0. !2$ - .0 Ej. a rizr, ' (' ';:'7 6, ("l-: C) Ci 6-L._veI :'t C ,:.r;4] ct 3: M.di. 2

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W,. ht I Co. 0 7 7

v " " ++ ':OF . 1..::: o, -- : (: :-: (. C---- -- --,, +: ' - + , 7-" C-- ' f0.: + >- 1 -. - ' j0.".7 y. i: " .. -

I'OEF 0, 1200m Le' 'e1 ,:,' .,t icl 9- P,-'.i ::

": ' r . -' . 4 5 7We . :, a h_ 0 0 A. .

1,"L:LEF 0. 17:;-, 0 17_= 0 I73K 0. 14.. C. :1 t C ' f) -I4 0 14--

!1We.:L ]t P5(" 4. 0 2 0 1 0

1NFLUIENC E CO('EFFICIENT = , oVEF' ALL LEVEL OF C':NFLICT'-.

C':, , :,, "-: 4 .,6 " -- ',

R, e . 1 r, 4 ,7

±.."i H F "' 'i ,I j , C ,171 . ... .. ti,: , : , i C . 7 Ci. 01'', 0- Csi 7' 1 1-

'" I itEF 0 1 -4

ri 4 , -

I./,C:C'EF 0 Q22 0 -: C 2'.-: 0 O2 : 0. O2-: . 0 0137 0. 00'1 C. 0Ol::' I.

:e g i o: rn 1 2 -,4

I /C EF 0. '.,, 0. 0:1: 1 0 150 0 ' ,75

mIr arice ,, ,:" co t rc ,-_i ir'2 ANT Rel;iZ':I'i

• ,,iil[i , its Med:a au-' ,c,,rpa: ed I,: he IiIF,:,rtarice

of cortrolling ANY Region of' any other Media

: 2 3 4 5 6 7 E ,'K /C0EF 0. 00':,9 0. 00F9 0. 0070 0, 0050 0. 0070 0. 0020 O 0020 0. 005' 0 0020 0 0":.-'.'' .ledia 2-+"

qegi on 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 E;Media 11

* Reqion/COEF 0. 0037 0. 0037 0. 0033 0. 001$ 0. 0026 0. 0019 0. 0004 0 0030 0. 0026 ( ('01'

.' .COEF 0. 0033Media 3. iegion 1 2 3 4 5 6 7./COEF 0. Q0,'.0 0 0060 0. 0060 0. 004': . 00:-4 0. 0024 0 004'.=-:

Media 4r or, 1 2 3 4"[./LLEF O. 0065 0. 004:6 0 001"3 0. 0007

ELPI~FrJT F':E ELPEENT C :.UL AT E rN3F1'lL I 7EI!

I IVF -- TLE'r:§ 141 1J I.(.'A F. I7 2Er'L I ±.'' C0. 117

~ c,~>'~ C)104 74 IF. f! W~ '-IA 03. 7 072

5*~ C.: 1;: , f.~ - - .~ 4.6 T t. T 'E. 4 LU.J;' 1-.47C'

PA 1~ : D LLF 7 k',~e. r*AE 0. 04 '11

r- 'n U L t&'l ! , E .r1 0 A T R s;II*';- i -' * ( L At, T1 iF - =' 041

A AI E LI Llf-iLI~ Pr (':.inF i P A'=EL) .

J rP2I~;:£rAB ED WE4J 0N (" . C. I TF:T R L>(C 1 4 A *

17 1,8 MINE WARFARE C; 01 1i:IE 2 AM;-.-: I EC'EE Cl ClU P: T 0!

19 1.- -;EC'AL C)Ec)u~,* I 72.

T:F'i -L ,El WE FO (LNK C:tTR: Q,') C0 2

4 ~ ~ ~ ~ C CC;~ ET~~ '

-27 11 ~3 ~ 3C::

CIVI 1L DEFEN,:-: (P. (Yi) 01.

COB l;ALT

AIR INTERDICTIOiN 5. ','icRmy oADLItr 4. 5-2C(A; I.I CE-:1 QS:TRATEGIC IE:'-'MLER 1. 7'.SELBM 0. 00ASW(SEA BA-EEt) I1. 27CARRIER BATTLE cOPOUPI I (). (W)SURFACE COMDATANTS. 4. 253AIR S1'PERI'iITY (LAND BAS;EED) 2. ~1AIR S$IJFERICiRITY(S$HIF E:EED) 2 2~INTERCEP'TOR AIRCRAFT 0.Or)ASAT (LAN'D PA$ED) 5 51

STIN

A 'M- fRi.. 'h~ -.. _. "

C-TF:CTET r"_ . *." -:.. "-

A':_SW (LAND F' .1:''A'SW (SEA ,-EEE) 1. IATTACF SLI'-SCARRIER t-4'TTLE GDF:JUF 1MINE WARFA-E . "SURFACE COHI;-A :-. 4.LAIR SIIPERIflRTTY(':AND F:Et' 2 E1gIR SU LFE:R IOF. IT N':-,H F' :,-,g,1 2 _.

INTERCEFroF gy-cRgT 0 C"'L>1 ,L dC F4-:r. "*,i,:

41I. 1? SF

N I CKEL

AIR INTERDCTiON 5 ,- S

CA= I "

AF 4ECI: E.'EF: 1 7.--

CITTICF 'FJ,''- I :. ....cARR-cIER: FgTLE Fr,.flHp | 0'"D

MINE WAFFARE (I C-C-;..RFAT CC.ML:P' T'-s 4 _-,-- .MI , .-._,EFi :-.I TY (LAN4D b;A"tEP ) 2. ..

AIR SUIPERIOR'ITY(SHIFEASED) 2INTERC:EPTCF: AIRC'PAFT u 0.'.

4i. 2I

FLUIORSPAR ACID

AIR INTERDI,:'TION 7. 13:AMPH 1l 1C,Il AS.AULT 0. 76ARMY GROUND -. .7

ICBM C'. O0"STRATEGIC BOMBER 1. 79SLBM 0. 00ASW(LAND BASED) -

ASW(SEA BASED) I. 6:

CARRIER PATTLE GROUP IC' C''SURFACE C:OME-:ATANI 'B- 4. 2.AIR SPUF'ERIOF:ITY(LANT'D E :tED) 2 I'1 •AIR SUPERIORITY'HI F' E:A";ED) 2. 2INTERCEPTOR AIRCRAFT C. "'it-AFM (LAND .A:;ED) )0 0..

-. 1

-. _.._,..., . ... ,__,_ ..... :. _'L -:.L L .L: : .. L... .-. ,-'... .,-,... ..-. .,...... ...... . ..... ,. ..... .".,.-.. . .---

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17 02

COMMr.'7 TNC NOMAL.]ZEL'IMCRDl'ONICK-l EL Ali I12

TL~F.SA ICCI N t1

CO'tALT (. 4 $4.')

F YRETH'ti 4. 14 (17. 0?;

4': 4- 1

F- 4 7 t

A-1 ITR. I NTFKL C T 1Ck 7

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F-11I1 A7F I NTFTI _TT.I2AC6JAIX I I E ~I- TON 014 ::4

F-15Al- I!JTE; ? I T. 7 t -

A-7 AR Irl ER'DI I- T I -c5I~i 17F-i 4 ATE' JN'TERT 7!T I "it 47' 1 Z7

F-1. A I R I NTERD I CT I iIM j

SH-6iE: AE:W CIE A E:A'L- D)4E4A,-.(W EA A :, Er,)-i7

ATT. 'm~~A,:w; W 3Z'ZD 24 1F PI GC T E A,*-,W('EA E:-XE:'D 14 Z"7 1

D~TR'Vf- - ASW C= .F; E:fr-* Ell)

M I ARMY GROUND A7 7 St-,'- I kA'' i h, ~i4 D

4FA I:',' c.r.''Th.'ND AN-2 'N A~r, 'Y GRCOUND 4-7 45: 4

Ti- , . 'AF 1ri ' f(,'OUN'

TC r;W'T g I ' 'm:"m ID I1iE-'F'u AM @RG;'YU4N1

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Ti N

F-4. r4TE,!RF- T: .ON7

-74

F-ill A 3 7ELIT!i 1~ "11

ART. !HEPrITRi 46'RADIO LA ~IR I NTE R lI CT10N

F -111 A - INT E - ,1 . I

F-15 1I IrNTERDICT I CIN 47 k)M-7 A I~F-: I tv TE F- Dr1CT 1;

S;H-2 A E;P'-.-ED) 7 CI -7

* ~W(E~ ,~E'E-.4. 7.':!-4

FRIGA4TE'; A W( Et AE$D 14 470 1D I TR:IYER K A 'EA EA::EiI &1

L r1-4:1 AR 'i1'YcGF:I:IjNL 4. I'S

P. rsf'iY G~IJI Q. 07'-

j AI R![1Y GF:OL'ND 0 7M L R$ ARm'y' ciRCIUIND IC0. 16 7

TOWED' ART. ARMY GROIIN71 4. 5 J-'

FE~~ ~ ~ ~ RcHIN'--lGR IN* FLR:HIN :: ARY OLTINP.2

IN NT RY A:l1Y G RIDLI; NT'6-l2 6 /4 0

MCRTES ARMY GOUNDI!5L2 7 --2

- LEE. LNCH AiRMY GRILIND.

-c - *-*-- -'-- *- - -W. . .

-- 4-

>1 CL LC

la-4~ CC~~ z L'~"~~c-

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C A 72' 7:

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F-- 77 , '3i A4 Ai '

AFT. A,' 4l . 4 .,F:-1 IC ItA\ 4

F-Ill A#2 - INE;.:DICT lrQ. 2-.:'J,-

- A 1 I,4T E ; I;-- T I LJ-, 14 -4F-IA A-L INTER-F,ITIrN 57 F C

A-7 AP INTEF'rI':TICN 51. 7r2-F-;4 AIF. IkFEt :LC TII ' 4 4T1. 'J5 1iF-IS.: A 1f' NTEF'DICT f I , o.:..-

E3H-2 4-W(3E4 EA'.E-) 17. 3642t (Fr- ' EI.P :;E ) 7 ( ': C

. :(SEA EA ',ELK 34. 7 -4AT T-wy-: A;W(EEP E:llFD 4- 4104FF: I C AE#. 4,W ( 'EA FA- ') 21 046:-D'-.T R--YE ':, '3W( .S FA P E.I ) J 5 6.-.7'::M-4: -:1, GF:lNri 4 . i7 1

M- A1RMY Gf-' IND /.7 7.-.: SM' - 1 IZ ',-?' T F "II ", P". 11;. :1-,. 1

N! -.; .I A''k N LF,:i 1 li-K!- (' 75 :'I

A. i-: II Y 3FKII t 47. 4- " M -, 1.-, T' 1 h .I'J t.-4 . .

AP R! 1Yh:C'UND '

T'IWEL L ;T. ARMY ,R"NI, -:6.. 1,I-F G -tIi GkUtN' P

FE FLri N. AF:! ly R7'D . ...OLCM- ARMiY GROUND 22 5'2 .IN7AtCTF:y ARY IR:'JIm 114. 3 1-: 6MCT- F. t2'' I$CIU 15 R: A i' GRCLE'S LNCH AFMY GROUND . 2",3)

C - Cu I::c a - t' 0' -! KN - c;

'C-r~~~~~~~~~~~~v~~ ZZ'? C =-OiC 'C x :: .' C C' C" Cr ,.';:..< > " ' .: : :t ,N CO --Z. (4: q'r C; IN 1" r- <" o1, r, c,4 v :a . 11

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r cc =1 cc ti iW zr,. C t: f- >). Z C

r-c CO C'C',.- c.L C CV C .J Z C ' "-"- -IN-- -- - N. - . C - Z L , I I-'. U IX - I -

C, I I I I I z:' I "Z" .- C 'Z .LA. LL LL LL X C X L C ,,,,, LL .E Z -- C ,, - c

FLUCIF:AF' AC TrDA- J 0 - A

F-4 AIR I NTEF:I,- N I C T 1

F .:. , _

AFT. A:FFT C:A,. : . 7RADIO RLAY AIR INTERDICTION

L- A'::: 2 275 -

F-Ill A ' IP I rEF:D',":CTI' A- 6 A l,:I P. 11,,0]E r,11 1 - T 1 -0 . 4F :. F- :::

F- 15 AIR I N1TER. I CT I CIN 71. ':,71::-AIR IrJTER:ICT II'., -. A.

F-14 AIR INIT ERD I CTIONF- I'-: A I F It TEF ' 1 C T 0 t -4 4:- 1

SH-2 AL;. ;EA EE 1 4.H-o2.,F. A P A'-E 1) S-'7

- SEA r:A ED ) 4-- 4104All E!I.IE A': W S A .E:'s;ED)FRIGATE-, A$:W (,;EA BA'ED) 2L':.TRC EF:E A- ('EA E;.-ED) 12. I-'M-c I; A '1V GFR;I 1 . Z 0

M-l I AI (''tY Gr-L' -ri-Il AF ':"1"' G-,FCUNUI FD . . .,-

MLR:l ARtlY GR UND 541 '4

TOWED' AP:T. ARMY OF'-OUNr-E..F-F PFI P'-;'iY O:'R JN, 1': N4

"ER.H I NO ARMY GRONLItI' J 9 ,TOWCE.IAT AF:MY F-fl IN[i 22. 5'-*9

01. rCM'l: Ar-MY GR!OU-ND r :'.'

INFANTF: 1' ARM',' GROUr 60. 2,-', AMORTERE; ARMY CRCILINE , 2/','RCLES LNCH ARMY GROIND .

C ' IN 0' U". '1 C N. ,'' .C '.. CC' CC ' : " r, C . ...-- t " c,' <- Z-,

- 7

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>- L-1 c r. C.C <1 -.- ,Cr .- . - .. .

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C I I I I I I I Z I I I " X Iu-="-, _j Z I cr x - .j I u, = I c _ '

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I NF AtTRY AR:M G I:F.' i-., " 75 -. :I.

M-T.TEF: A .

0

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N-60 . -00(:-F! F' > 5 ;. i

,4." -

TIWE' AR;T. 4. 2'7,C 0

ATT SLIP':

ti~ I I*-- 0. 7000

0

0

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. ... ..' . . - . .. . . - . .* . . . . ...

ALL CCM DTE

A-~ ~ I A

F- C 1 NTEF-14 1 CICI N 4. 14

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ART. ACRFT C~ A'- 0 1 -:RH'1I10 RLA'T A I-': I t4 WRL'I C.TI uN 0. 1 2:

F- 11ll Rf' I r: T EF:! T: CT I L KNA-. I P' I NTEF:I 14 FT I ON. /.

F-15 AIR: I NT E P.IIC-1 I ON 244-

F-T r I NJTE!:L' I CT I Ci!

A W( Eg i E A'-,E P) 1~ 4,~*f-, / ~L ~' EA E#;Ef I. l:4/ Sr

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A1--'. F-:! 1y YGF: C' UJ 1 4 272

TC E Dr:F ART A R'I'll C tF-.(. 111 t~ -4 1 / 12

cGLCM$-- ARMY fFpC ijtr 1. (3 .4gI PFANTRY AHL '! &ROIND'L 2-. 4 1 (- :h r'iCR -TEk:' Z. A R3 I'Y CjhCLNI I1. 21121 -.FC:LES-. LNCH A R' Y G~ROUND 03. 0,2 7,6

-CW 7 " -'N N I -C - -t P-C -C1' t

LijC 0 C- C U-1r -- !C; Cc

_jL.I LcrZ cz

((I~ C, r. < CrC' L§- w: P r Z' 7 t(n-Cr At LL" y 3 II- rC L, I '-c E

U- .C LL X .X. ....................................

CRIT IC.',. I TY OF F'C'FTFALLAL L FE

cIL 74 Ct; T-rc M T 7FTr r* rPT ;: i L F r7 !-.' T ~ r-, N ... -r ,.-- 'y fF7

:r. v ,- - l " ' T AL 17)

T--.T 4 - ' -4." 4 : 'I ' :341? J "

IN 4C '-' - o o"' -0 o '

ICIKEL 2 - 4: 7 1)0 0 4377 1 1:L'_tORE::FAR ACID 14 , -' . 74 -

YETHR jM ' 0 " 41 1 :

-1 -. I7-F -:. 7

,VL 1 :' - J A

Ci C-r T

7 IF I-tf:-:;, .P. i, ri t , 0 -#F ir: , . - I

I I'J-: 4 'S !'' EI TO. A: I C',' ;' l . rI -. , . -J -

LL J CI. -I 4 % -; . 14 1 C ') C /.- 7 I -

Cl F wtr: .- a I TWJ It, 1 1

4Ir .. .-_.,flK, ii .,.g1 Th~~~~ 7.1.. ., .7

.HILIr--!I;'.z -¢ :.:, K - *< -A wjF ,. C,-1 1; 1 K'" - -

E'. C L:L. 4-,r: 21 l- i- 6 O :i:: . : -"

t- I '_-. ' IM :OR I.dI:[

.:; 16100~~~~~ ':. 21' c,; 5', 0 ":: 1'' -

:CtLIVIAl'::',iN 15 4 'I lIO I: : TE'2hl' =-

LISTRL I24 00 "-(., j5 C,. I6 1 (Y62 412l

RE 00 4"4 2. 47 O. 405 ! :,

:CAL Y W I A 1:300. 45. "'4 _,. . -. 1. 007 ... r:,:'

TOTAL : 676,: 100. 00: )I : :

7S

4 0

E. C

........... ----

s 6 1 2S 2 . o.. . . . . K I

S T' E I1: IT CE( L.L ..

NC&r: EL

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FII'..A4D 0C," c.c i n: ".,0 c, -

''H AFRICA - ) 1 64 1 17 0 E:41 .- ILIFF-I1',4ES r-' 'c. I -t o j,2 0- --

A ,'- .LIA - I C

I A 1 h- :,4, > '.: -- gE: .:4 ' - 0

-.. :".;' ' 3O _: :,0 ' , ' 1.ii -

NETHEALA.,,& .... 0 Cr-': c- -i.

I S -F I C C, 0 I 6 _-. -) . 4 1 . ( ' . 1 7- ' S

INr-th'E-B -50'ri:i 1. 64 u. 92 1 0C'-.' 1 -7

TC"G' AL :3(;04(0": .l +0 0 3'

D A

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_! ._' -i 4=F ;I."4 1,:" '*- : 1. It- u" :'41' a'',"'- 7'. .. 7( 2. 5 -, 0 . 3 4SA

I'T LY j.'- 9/, 0 '7,0z i'i :A ! !': 3. vv12 42 1. ':,' 0 _",. .-

;ET A Ri- .. 1 (.s71 C. 4Q14 , .

THA1 I LANL'1 1. 6',6- 0 9: 1. 0$?: 2 ri2%S. , -" - - - 4 "--- - - ' . ,- 1-

TC'IAL: :5 100. 00

DS

COIIF"-?: I TE 1 MFORTA.NC-E( LOC

F' YRE THRLIM

AMOUNT % OF C 0lO:-, ITERCE SIi-'FL ED TOTAL IM'ORiTANCE 1I ".: C1 I

S OUTH AFRICA 2000. 1. 01 1. j'-. C'. 641 0 -. ,"

AII:.'RALIA iso'). Ci 74- 0. 0'2 1. 06'7 0 :_2," .S11000. 5. 57 1. 96 . 5104

* ENYA 6:0000. 40. 51 C0 71 1 404 5/6 : '7>R:WANDg 25'-":0. 12. 66 0. 71 1. 404 17 7.7T-ANZANIA 7-0C,. 3'9 4c1 0 71 1. 4(4 ;4.

TOlAL: I 17500. 1OC). OC)I

. ------. " . .. .A R.I2.' ."- :.. ..-. . .. . . 4. , .

• 1.-' . ',.=:_-., ..R.A. I' .. ' ,A,' -'15t. ' - "h' " - Q .= '"'0 76- 1 ' ""

-"-" ' ' ' -

' ". . "-0-87 - - """ - "":

-CLUl E IM T F:T0NCE( LOC- .:;

%' 1 .C-l) F F-./,$HCI'TF,-L NCIF: Z& 77r

OE.LT- •

F It JL - / -. 16, -

l:iTSWANNA I 671 - ' 3 0 2 '

S-aIUTH AFRIC-A C /C)1 7 E:*J 4. 69 1. -

2AIRE 70 154 ::.' 7, 10

Z AMB::IA 2 - ': "- 7. -'i1:_,- ' -' ,

FHILIPF'INE-= C,":'- }2 ,C,,=.

AU',STRALIA .. 070 7. C: 1, 1 :

rJEW CAL.E ':1Nli 2 : 7 'i :-'

C ANA,, 1 , 7. :1 14 1- (j

H ,1,

T-! ~ II : A 5 4

U l ,<z.-.' ±. & ;: o c': *. c -

"THA] LANDJ~ ' 4:-' 3 0 (:)(1 O: C((7) "

IrNL'Or4E- I A o-. ;( (-)"-i c-) o-c, C) i,

T:'. LLI'.': A_ 1 . = :. . C-C;. C ' .)s.. 0'0 ' ,

Pr-'A 2 T

* C1:EL

F 1 tq ' - 171 1 1. 7

C:00TH AFR.[ CIA ::I 1o0(1) : eI '

FH I L I F'FI NES . 7.:. 1C. 0(' 17 S5

AU TRALA :-: L T: ACAWNADA 17. 0154 I C). f C) 170:. 54 -,. ,,'

C,HE E 0 101 10 ," 113:. C1

NETHERLANDS 0. 0?4 10. 00 0 34 0 C,

FRO 0. W17 10 O0 0. 17 0. :,

ylIIC -;LAV I A 0 ()/ J ) (0; 0 '4I . 1. 742 J . . 17. 4 . 71

IOIM. REFLIE: 3 230 1. QC) 30

GLIATIAMALA C). $61 IC. co S 61. 11 :

* I NLCNESIA I 7:3 10. 00 17. ,

FL UI. _€F$At-:, AC ID . . .

SOUTH AFRICA 1:. 5'03: 5 160- S, ,.

US 3. 402 55 2'. 0 6,8... 24 7, "

ITALY 4. 120 EJ 3a. 2

SPAIN 6. 338 &., 54. 22 11. 54

FAST AFRICA 4. 3e. 5 m5 7. 29 7. 94

THAILAND 2 255 17. 3 2.

MEXICO 17. 011 145. 52 30. .

YRETHRUMSOUTH AFRICA 0 S:52 4. 3, 3 66. Cl. 7,:-

AI_':TRALIA 0. E 82- 0 7 ,

L'4 ) 12. .

K ENYA 5-, 5:,0 2485 2- 5,2 0:'

R WANDA 17. 767 4. 76 -1' 1 2

o TANZANIA 55 43 4. 2::: 1 50 -'.0

JMEL ' -. A,'- F

# SuI. -:E COMm ir: T TV _ IEF T 0

T AN Z At 1A Ffr'77T: i50 7(':)

ZAME I A - ,-_'::: ""

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7 MEX IC0 FU.1I' ; L.. I F-~ "0.:'"''

I. NI CAE.L '4 r-AI~~r-: RAL] I]_- E. L' (

cl AUC:-F'4t' I~ AfiAU RW rI"4A F VFETI- 2'ir '." "H

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4 j'ALY FL ,'-' -A 7 "

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F'HI_7 F F IT,, , EL. -'.1

1'-T':AL,. t F 41":I

T. .I L: ,°:."

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P -rL- IfF*'IN C:OrL;4LT C0. 4:

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*$YL&0'7-.LAVIA NI'ZVi E L C, IC

-7 NETHERL AND NIC-KEL 1 0 "7

FR l N I i:E . 0. N I,MAigLAYSIAi TI1N C). 0

OF'RC TI NFF NSCO:L 0. 01'

I BRAZIL TIN 0. 2(_

. BO:~LIVIA TIN 0(03 UK TIN C). 0,

4 INDONESIA TIN 0. 00

'0RC TIN 0. 0:

. THAILAND TIN 0. 00

6 U S TIN 0. O.

7 AUSTRALIA TIN 0. 00

_ . .-.. _....

. . . . . . *.. .

0

S

S

S

0

SCENARIO 14S

I S

S

S

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I

I WEIGHT?. REM:4 by. LEVEL Ul CCFL.ICT 0 1&I

k, Icr - I 7 C

I CIL . 1 _i-. 1 7 I C,' 0' C,-' 7 C '.. 0 :3, 2 C

- - . C- - - -

W:EF ntjt 10 0 1 - - - I (V 6

I UtER c0. 120,'L Le va c.+ LI ri4~ Th + 7.

?~41.~I 4I .i -

':CuE 0 1 1::i C ::~ Ci ± 7,:/. (: t 42 0 JCQ7j 0 0l' r' r 7

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I NFLI.IENC-E CEFF1C1EFNTS:: CtkYE; ALI - LEVEE.- CWP CI _hJFL I 'ME:

a Id;E H

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1 .. C- 6-z 0 D.4C

IitC C iEP :v'1171 ( O171 (1154 0.06?o i: .ox<K.01 ' - . 011- 7, 0.'lfl-IE 0 CI J1 (4

* 4"I 1 2 .. 4 5 6. 7I r CID 0 022$a 2: c' 0223 ( c:c ci Cj .7 0., 0051- (1 l

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rrq'n sjce cf ei cl N

eifr cltoli,-,p A~NY Peeclo of ally ct7.. Medi c;

ie i or n 2 A4 6 7 S9 1

I /IE=Z 0. -)):', 0 -" 0 .C 0070 C oc7): CI0. 0C)70 0. 0'20 C). 0021:0 0. C)00C) . o~ ~*( .

e li o 1 24 56 7 E: 9 1M _-.di a I IR e y i o n

./CrJEF 0. ('0:7 0 77 37 0. C02' 3: 0. o00 05C. 0026 C'. 00C 19 C'. 00 04 0. 0030 0. 0026. Ck'-i f 'SuEF 0. 0 0330

gtcir I 2 4 5 67V 'C:OEF C, 0C'S0 . 006,C) 0 00 a. o714'=_ C). 00'72. 0. ('%024 Q. ('042Medi a 4

1J/COER C0. 006(3, 0 0026 0. 001:3. 0. 0007

ELFMFNT FORCE ELEMENT C_-.rIILrT'r ET N"FWLRA~2 tA- -1m yJE V.L:0

2~ ~ _~-, UiTt ~RtF 141 -10. U.2 4!T I Nr7 F-. 1

- 2 ~ t' 3R':A 0104 7. .

6 K ~ Ti:. ER f4L .N:_ &r:r:': RA~P I'LP'L.rf'Y (L

A.', E- I El

SP- F- 4.

1C. C; r-

xx x r-:.:; r 2 7-412 ~ : At~IU~. ~~r .%< :~ . ,7 I

L L-L-li

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2/:-'4 It IP rT T' ~ mn- cc-

7I C (W)' CR) -

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OCIPAL T0

AIR. INFERL;CTI'N L 7APMY 4 r-2

STRATEGIC EPtIFERj7-SLEM 0ASW(SEA EAcSED) 1. 27CARRIER BATTLE GOP1.C:

IRFACE COMLATANTc 4ATPF SUFER -lifQP ITV (LANDr IAEO 29AIR $UF'ERIORITY(S-iIF' E-AiE'' 2 2":IN~TEF:CEFTOF: AIRCRAFT C.r

A'.-AT(I AN"~ BASED') o I

34 C,7

A T~ E>~F~ 7'17

ATTACiK SUEF-:CARRIERU V'MINE WARFIH*-, U

SURFAC'E COME 1 P21 : 4 LA IRF S'JPEFI''CF 1 TY0 ' AND F 'EDF TT F. '-:lEIF 1 'T, : 45E

I NTER': Er- Al,. l.. P T C

,~L-:(LA'. r- E I

NICKEL

A' B':F,'!. C F; PYFEFTHkrI-

INE WA1 FPk-IRE 1: I 1 L [EF L-.~ (. ':

P FA g rFlv-~g 'H W (SEfASE'

I NTEn: EFT OR A I P: r-. :FT -C--'

C CMIR~D ITY N:'t"LiAL I XI FIFflFL'j.CR,F AF AF: It', N I g [EL j> C' (41 'Z

-~I -' - ( -1 -F -I

AIR INTERDICT11oN1 7. 1,FU- SFRA-: .u "A!IPHIE:IOU. l'AII, 76.L I HLT C ( 2:T

ARMY "R'C'JND 2. YFVETH~iI! 4 14 17

ICBM a). 0OnSTRATEGIC E:FOrWER. j. 7'* 0SLBM @OASW (LAND EASEL,)

*ASW(SEA EAS=_ED)1.4CARRIER B:ATTLE GF::UP 10. 00CSURFACE COCML:AT ANTE-- 4.

* AIR SUF'ERIORITV(LAND E:AS:-ED) 2. 'F1IAIR SUPER IORI T (TH IF BASED) 2 :INTERCEPTOR AIRCRAFT 0).0AE:M (LAND E:A$:,ED) 0, 00

p - *.~1/7

7S

I--7

..

F-1t 6. A IIT ELC~ 1 1 -: r -

ART. ACRFT Cr ,!,"RCDII RLAiY AC. TEk'N:iL!

A:46. -. -r- 4

F- 3Al k I NTER ilT: .g--7 Ai rTF:T~ 7'--F -14 ;: E .P - -,1---

F -I AIR I NTERP 1FT IN 71 ;w:7 1

E LI-A Y E L 1 1 7l

AW 7 FA E. A E) -4, 7AJT Sr: A7W(:.FH7 F4A-F"' :4 1j/1FRIF, 1 7 [:,' A ~ FAT:ED. 14 4 -:,

t"E~ ,S- A -F A-- E:A'E;L

M-''1 ARM T, CIL'N 1 67 7 '-* M-'I AK P11 Y I NriU l

Mi- tv- AL +z 47 9'L 4.>rI IB F: iV 3F'C'-,JNL' 2 7 12-

T'E:ED FT Api C'RCJW 1_

c"!;- m Hi tI AR bk ,:IJND%1 I '" , I

I NPAtr7RY AR-MY I3RF':'UNL 7. '"'IM':-RTER$:- AF-t1Y G ROUND 122i'~

FCEE LINC ACM CC' -FQU4 i L, 0 K'C. C

t I, N c-cr~~oro c ct~tcC

(I X- r1 z 6-:

.. CC, &'N-c--I- Zwct:rL.r:c :C( - -L 5 t \ C

-41 N ' 4 c jIC

C * I I l-'I..

-T -j LLZ-J L ' LZCL L :Z r lMZ LC

-I It N

-4 1 1 ." 4I

-, 4

ART. A,-: RF C A

F- IlIIl IJr PT 1iICT I J!

A-6I A Jr4TEP2I':1TI2. 4 6.66

F-14 A IR Ir!T E; 1 7CI r,

-'L F '

AT T. ~ Sf U.. 1:::: A': E; ~ u A 1114 4

I 4 ARM GINT~l1Cl, 4 , ''

MW~g L:-T I G~ 0'l1 i )71

tlWEI L4;F,

M LR'E. ARMY G3ROCUND I C) Il* TOWED ART A Y OFCLIU41 4 1

GRL.'hC < i,~1 IN-1 6.. -

IFP 3 H'i I-: AC FiRM Vv C'JN 0

tM1IFTERE; ARM~Y OCIC"ND 272F.':L E$Z L N C:H ARNlY OC11tND C.2

4 c- - . -. Z

"7. )C) L Lr

L-4 t-~'a~-~- ~-t1c <L z~

- LL-

0

I I I I

F-41 AlIPR I NTE:::CIc C 6'--

-- - ~r: TI- T r

H-r-

-- AI -,: A

I. P rr !,i, -. -L I

MA .'R 6 7

~~C F: ITI

-AP 4Y A 7At:4D 4 4

FFIATE 4," T' CA R4'E t- 4L!

[TF\'E RE. A F-, IA Y EASED) ''l

AI' -, -4 G~ R3'P D I' 4. 1j

C, CF 1'! F fl-I.N4D

rILY -T R u--. I GIY 'NT' jW AT'T AP'R4 Y GRO--UND 15/?"

F:L E'?: L NC H AR-11Y GROU1-ND ) 1C

L.. . . . - C' C < -:r C" C,- -'

c - c , C Z . 4 ' , U . C ' p , , .I ,.

. .

CCf

in cL c U ICc, m. C L- C -

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eli zL L LL Ik z Q LLj I~~ 7L

F C IH.,F FC -

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AF T. ACR -- RA DI C R'LMA A IF In :CT 1;J%'7

C: A 77F-Ill AT iti 7:T1I

A6. A IR I UTEi CT 1IN 4-F- 1 ~ A> 1:&rF 1,-:T1Cl 1.!,:A7AlP : I NTEFKI, TI1-14 71. 7F-14 A>1F I rcT FICT Ic

A- AI R I NTEr-T I CT I CN ig:'

b H-6' AE&EE 17A61)=,W !.E, EAS.ET A 4 4

ATT SUP1- A':-.W(SEF FgA,:- E LF R I CA T EE. ASW S,:EA pg:rr, y .EElRC''EE A'B:W( L-EA 1:A;D C7

ARr:Y -)LND1 f

Gi- F.,1 '-J i4,7- 7

* N-> N- ~ -iFN, lF:lIj "2

Tr W4ED APT. A cR11'1' CF:_ NIL! C) 7)SELF-FRCLK, 4g-r:r1 oFrl ' 41G )

F FE R: 1,1 i-.. AR > RiDUCI I-P i tG L C MI: ARMIY GRIDtUND 2 6 6.tc

INt FANT FY ARA,'Y nF,:m11)M T tLFIN, P. ft.UN

POLES LNCH ARMYV GRODUND 0 In C

Ur t1'-C-4V t L0. lCOi. 'C L;r

CL (r: (

Qc cz w z w~CIZS a Ci W'f~ C, l -

0.;t L'C C- CQ O CL -(iLL Y:-ZW C Cfru; h fY -!!

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N-LI- 4.-Y

A- 4h TT '4 4*,

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( i F - In"=_ A T ' , ' r I

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ATT An

nTT. I.i:

M 11Br9.7KC

ALL CrzMDD,:I T I E_-

A-j10 CA'-

F-4 AI P INTERDIl- i 1-N 4 1 4,'-C , -

7 1,ART. A':RFT C',RADIO RLAY AIR INTEFU TIO, 0 I'I4

F- I I I .E4F-6 ATI: •N 7 ET'ITIC I 7

F- AIR INTERDI -CT IiN 2 44-7 AI L: l1NTEF .T ]-' I I-I-

F-14 A2R T INTEICTI I. ', 4 CT I''- :; ATF 1!!TE .' TTI';- .

SH-2 , A'-! 'SE -'-CiE 71,

"A C SEA EA Eli) 1. 47ATT ' I[:- A ; . ,E ) 2SWA.FRI ATE:'.:: A:- W SEA P E.) 0 7 .4

FR Y F -, A W( -:EA E -, . . C 4d.M -,I -I) f2C'tvj I-,L'LIft t2 .7'. -::

M -I .... ' , G ' _.

r- "O] Ar'- Y ,'q I. N'Th . /-,-7j M- il--- A :'r GI- I'"T 1. 6

M-R 11 -:AR 4'GI,- H[2 0 12'"

':OWED" ART. ARMY C'R'IJND.I] 1. 2204"

F'E 'E.H I t",I ARMYs GRCLUI. CI. 67S: "" "GLCHS-: A=<MY GR't:_UND 1. m5:':] N'.IA.NTR:Y ARMY G I. NDt~,U. 2. 4 _ '/-MUTER 'S ARMY GROUl ND3 1. 2I2 ":'.ROLES: LNCH ARMY GROUND- C'. 0226A F::

>S

c: >-.1 A 'L M_

TOE ACT ARM GRUD ' 22

E L- LC Gf P-, IQII'I4N

P C- Z C: IZ .tr,c: CG R r0 -

I~- 't-- -I ANT NY Cq: j G PCI -N T0 2 iNC ~ - C~ C 4 - 4 '62

C ll I I I ZI I tI I IRI I I - " i' 1 !7:"(,-

ZuCiCL CNrrHiARMYuOr-ksczfiCNr.:o. 0226

L71b. . 1.). i c4 CC, -a J N C- L C4 X " V,-, V' C.C: 'X C- <1- 1 , , b ".- " : E (:

.... ................. ... ....

0

C TI ,- A L T1 OF '. -I- FT=-! I

(- L- r. -,

(- I E h I-C ,r I f: C AM ,- n f- T F E , .'' - -

j iITY

COr c: IT - ' " I RT. -"li> 0 1 -COBALT --. 4 7 4,'r; 5 4 .' 4 :7 . -

T y I N4 (, 1> 0 Cc ' 0I4 -- ;' 7.A

*PRETHRU-h -4 1' '

( L _A! 7

AM0'L_T it fl C'MOF'SITE-CIURE S-;-P TEE' TO AL It PCT4'IIE ,C Il "ZA1FE I 20,, 71. 4-: 0 71 1 4,4 1,

1A 4I '2 ) is -" 0 71 1 404 -*.. ....d 0? 0 346., 2. -

.I 7 t d E, I - E,,

T , N

AM-l. '1NT ' F Cf-lP'F! - TE.~ OUSUPP~-&VLIED TOTAL. 14 tiE L " E 1C XI>'

ISTFALI A 100. 0 15 0. 1. 0S7 0 1 1U $ 16100. 23 820 6 ( ?Q'1 9 KTHAILAND 5910 CE 7?:. -: NDONE S1 Af580) . ,. 0 ?2 L 017 -2)"

Jj:1 100. 0 15 1. 96. . S )07*1 BOLIVIA 10:00. 1r. 24 0. 1. 020 5'

"AZIL 2400. S. 5C"... : 1. 162 4 1:-M:A 4 4- 2. 47 0. 405 1 7 116

MALAYSIA 2:,0. 35-. . 92 . 057 :: 4 4

T 01TA- : 67600. 100. 0

0-

0-

Sl

- - 1 - F , Ii, ,' C- i 1,)i

t, E. Ii.iELJ ,: "' ; ,I - f ": " * V - -,

F I NL AND '±' Cr >I ,L Iq tJ,0 5 = : I '-, "- r. ,2I ' -

':C_CITH AFP 'IC-A 1. a ':4 IPHIL IPPINE; - , 1. Cr,. - ".'_'TF, AL I A - , V i O :-C AiJAD A I .r,-,, C - ).. : -:j'-:: . .

cc E ;rg, p.C'i -I 4 , "-.'", f.'' " I Gi2t 1

.EE C. E CI. - .

NETHERLA,-JK. 2'C ; (7 1 ('I 7j( "pp'-, 10 Lr oo' @ c , 109::. r ' , I

C}: . 1.4 1U -R 5t.0. 1" -4 A " 1. 0L1 A 1-.IO RE14i --,5( l l " C ;1 6t4 -

CG 4Art jLAi 4-'', . 41 57-.,.( :

Ik l~i: N E' $_ _. & 5,"00,.. .... 64 t') c, i. Q':--7. -_ - _,

TOTAL-. ',.400 100. 00

I~tI -CPF,:- "T -l ii F' I- I~ , -d -

SL h:R -, ,:F' -: - [

AV :'.lt.r. :. FTh O F:.:ITE

U1 1": ' E SLF-'PL I EI TOTAL I M:-"Rl' .E 1.,"C: I % . I /C1;* '-BC0 ' 4 Y:; R ] I1:. :2:-: . J '::' O.' :41 1S' .-:(3

*J - : 1

ITALY 6 , 07 1 96 0I 510 4 12'F41r -N 1"':, 1 42 1. '6 6' t .- :-.

*-F(V1. A% gA ;. 11 0 71 1. 4 . ..

TH4,I LAND 15. 1. 2/ 0. -.2 1. 07 2 .MEXICO 43 4'-: 2 0 -,1 17 Ol

':5t'i I 0('. (1 0.

:: ' I TE I MPO,TANCE(LOC '3_)

F' YRETHRU.IM "

AMOUNT % OF COMOs I TESOURCE SUPPL IED TOTAL IMPORTANCE 1/CI X 1/CI)SOUTH AFRICA 2I')' 1. 01 I. 19 0. 841 0 -52

AUS:;TRALIA 1500. Q. 76 0. 92 1. 087 0. 22.351100 5. 57 1. 96 C0. 510 2. 842"

Vl- ENYA 80000. 40, 51 0. 71 1. 404 56 -.RWANDA 25000. 12. 66 0. 71 1. 404 1; 7".7

TANZANIA 7-000. '- 4- 0. 71 1. 404 5: 41-- - - - - - - - - - -

TOTAL! 197500. 100. 00

At ~ A A- t~f.. - , .- ,

50J"T'E I MFiTkTANCE

-- - - - - -r ' - -

ZAIRE 10 5 7 7 a 1"7,2. 91 10. ('ZAME IA 1 2 .4 - ! 1 64-CANADA 17. 7 - [ -

LU S z. / I/ . - .-.

TIN 'AU:=TRALIA 0 1.1 0 (1 0 (:C ' C.

. - ..

INT!ONES=:I i :32 -) (-,' -' .0 - S

-; iL I VI A 1 7. 54:' &0 0<t ( QQ 0. :5PA2 z] L 4, 12 Q. .. .

1RO 1. 7'7 0. 00 0. Q. 0 0:3B. = A-- 4:i4 0 ('0'_- 0':. (-K' I ' Il'

rN Il _' IELFINJLAND 0 7 -1 ( "' 1 J O .

'j FH A ; g C1-. :c. 10. O ) I , I IPHIL IFFIE'.. 1..7.:?§ 017.A!.- ALiA :r 'R:; IC I C,' n"

U S 11 311 1 ':0 133 11 14.GREECE 0 1 10 00 1. 1 'NET 'TR l !T'' (i (''t4 T(If .

FR', . c) 10 0 0, 17 0, 02

Y - 0. ':C f0. L3(1 AI I A) _ .7 j -'1 7 4 2 - S': ,: I :

'oM. REC'U. :3 2:3: 10 00 '2. 30 4. -GUAT AMALA 0. 861 IC). 00 S. 61 1 1(I N ,IL ' tJE S I " 1 7 ::'7 1 5 0 ( 1 7 :: ',2 2

FLUORSPAR A- I DSOUTH AFRICA 1. :" 160.U S 3 4' 072

ITALY 4 j'0 : 24 4.

S PA IN 6. :,4 2EAST AFRICA 4. 3- ,7 '2 4 760.. 8 5 -. -2.1THAILAND 2 0''5 17. "2MEXICO 17. Oil 145 52 L5'

'YRETHRUMSOUTH AFRICA 0. :-:52 4. 0 3. 66 0. 47

AUSTRALIA 04 30 55 0. 4UK 2. S42 4. 30 12. 21 1. 56..|.ENYA 5- jF44I'NY 5 ......7_ 4. 3C 244. 29 . 0 0

RWANDA 17, 767 4. 30 76. 34 Q. 75TANZANIA 57. 4 4. ) " 23C. 18 4

F:" - ... . .. " ', .- ',

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K f.ENv4 y---, H:,Im- 31. 20S3 TANZANIA Fr " T ,. 424 ZAME'IA , -2 ?_0

5 CANADA .; ? 2) 76 S O I T H A ;F I - - r r" .

7 MEXICO FL hK ; 10 L-- R_ -

S I ': tJ "14

I E - - . . .

12 EAT APIC4 F. '-7- A"': '.15 ITALY P L - A I'.4 lUOri REP'f'-t £.:] E 4 .I -'.

16. I NDONE'-:i A " :E- I1

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2,. ATT R1A2L I A FT E 0 41

7 F I NLA.I KC .. . -

29" ysh_-,'r-LgAVIg NICK'EL 0. 11-',0 KETHV.CiNL

' "t4:. '. I EL i U:

:'" .I": .

21 FAF ,I LL 0.. I S

MALAYSIA 1114 * OC3 F:: P C T I N r 0c-.

"- E'I:: , I L T t\I',:0 L

-:5 E:OLIVIA TIN 0I

36 LI TIN 0. Q&)

T7 I NI'-J.FSc I A TiN no S

3 THAILAND TIN 0 0'

"'9 U . TI N 0" 0040 AUSTRALIA T I N 0 C)I.n

41 CANADA NICKEL 21 75:42 AUSTRALIA NICK: EL 11. 40"'43 PHILIPPINES NICKEL 2. 2,:-44 SOUTH AFRICA NICKEL I. 7645 FINLAND NICKEL 0. 2246 MALAY-I A TIN 0. 0047 PRC TI N 0. 00

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et. 47i r.3 4!C:OEF 0. 172 0. 0 -. '1 0 . fl "

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1 F1 E 42001. '' .7 1 47P:-, L I .,. 7. 1 4 ,: 7

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. . C- I T 5 -

T I. L- ._4 0 .57 1.4 2 A ,. I12

C( ' Q I. 44 2. 7 0. 4 1

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N~~ull',IE'-:TIIAA J t e.:.',T j "y -:O c - I e-, -- -

&Uh'VLT103C10 1 4> IO.FTr F8 1. OI 15 54-:

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TF TAL:14100. 200. / i

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T0T~i 6760. 1 •. .

2 ...:. : -. . .. _ .- .-. , .: -:. .-.._ .. . .. . , ,-. ..,: . . . ,. - _ -_ , . _- _ ._ - . _, " - -. : 1. . -. . 1 . . . . . , L : : : : .- : .: : .- - ._ .. .- _ .: . - 1 - " ' - " " , - ; : - - "'S

CUL* ' -:"3 w "l " -

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-1ITH AFRICA C. -4 " l 19 . =:4 1

71'. L I PF I NE... 1 4 1 7 j -1'l- '1 R A L IA 7-

' . , ' - . "" ' - ;' ' -"-0.

L L' 1 E I , :. 16

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LL C'" I;"- ~ v ,,

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70. 4

T'; *. ' I -I =- .A.."i zA IL '"-' " /

AS'.T AFRICA ... C2 7' 1 4:14 4 .HAILAND:T 15. 1 :,- '7... .

.. . . - - - -- - --

C- r-'i~l'. .TE I l.'F:T ANr' E(LF-II--: 3 )

FYF.ETHF.UH S

AMILIf-*T % OF :C'IMFC'0 I TE

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SOUT H AFRICA 2000. 1. CU 1. 0 O. S4 0

,TRAL1A I5A. 0. 7/ 0 ', 1. 0::7 0 :"5 .:'.o. 5 57 1. '/.6 0. 511 2 .

ENYA ,:,Ci( 40 (1 71 1. 404 5.: 5 0W -IDA 2 ,i0. . ,,- 7;. 1. 404 o'P/ 7/.7

rNZANIA 7:C0.) 'T' 4 0 71 1 4f4 , 4::

TOTAL: I 97 .5.0 I 0i 0)[ •

- U-> I: :3i 1, . Y A D':

ALTZ IRE 70 7 :.: :"_-. 7' 1% : ,ZAMP'IA ". " :7.: 1;_ .,-.4--: :

C A N A D A 7. r-.,

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TH"IL 141 C- f )( -I -IC

T NA'IT TFg . CA i. t' r_ .' -.. 5 0 . , C)

- THAIILAIJI) -' 4, 0. :

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F' +. , ' 7 '_ C ": (1 I. C) r,:

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S TF H AF5: CA 0.:-:, 171 r) ') 1 7

1. 711 ' ( 1c 7 4C

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-U I -- . - () - - J 4 2 , . I ' 1

FITAL. 4 1/ 1 .C 0S 0 17 , 6. 2::

S A. -22SPA "' N 8. 5'5 1 ""EyAS AFR+'.q ICA 0 .4 . S. 5. ,..--. -.

I L AN I. 8,2 55 O0 17. 42 2. 0

[M ICO F. ' D. 00 "1" 30 .K: 7'

OGU-TA ILA 4 :' ID. D0 5. 66 0.. 6,

N- , 0. -. 7- 17 E j7

A FLUi"RFA AID 40

UK 2. E:42 4 '1.1

"-' uJLTH AFFiC j"".. 1;,: '.j; . C.; 5K, jA 6-1_.. ',_": +":'..

I I ; .4':" . t 5-...h"- 10(. 1,6

ITALY 4. IS . 551--.4.--, 224 29 4 5SPAIN /. ::.: 8-_. 5,5. 5 . 22 '' /2. • E AE .T A F R I C A 4 . ' _' 6 . .5 5q.: . 3 7. 2 , 6 .6 1

THAILAND 12. 76 . 5. 17.. 2, 4.MEXICO 17.01 Or I8 145. ", 2-.= 62 '

* " -i'hETHRLUM .+

S. OUTH AFRICA 0 :....2 4.3 3. 66 C'. 65.

" . - A U r-, R A L I A 0 . I,. 6 2 5 " L I.. 4 3 0I 3 | . . -- 0 .O 6 ? " "

• UK 2. 642 4. 30 12. 21 -,17

'KENYA 56. 2:5'?' 4. 3(0 244. 2? 4'. :-.,

FWANLANI 17. 77 4.30 7.4 1 54 -"" - TANZANIA 5,5. 4:-3 4, :o( 23 -:': 1:2: 4:2 2--"'

,:..::L .. _ .--- .-. -: -+. -: . - - :- -,- - -- . . .. .. '- - " " - " . .. .. - . . .

I0

2:C'UFC E I 0iF'-F:TAN E

1 ZA :: I~~j, 7 'T 0

7 I K E N Y A F -Y . , t 4 - _-

TANZANIA F'42 TH-4. 254: Z AM B I A l: [r,_.'?= "

CANADArA _:;OrYTH AFk]'icc FL ',-:A !,2' ,

7 riEXICO FLUF: - W, I Dr-~ i NI lE'LC ' JETR " N i.:KE' 2-I "

AJ TRA IA . T-

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1: EAT AFI'A. FL_ r

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4 .Ai HLA . .. L I5, _:, l TH ... - .' "-I' F'YF ETUL" t1 /'. I"

A I I -: tA" ! A F Y R E T H R I M O 6 -

C FINLAND N!I C, KEL 0 -1

I E E C E N i tC , EL 0 I :-I - 'h~qyg NII'FL I 5

YUGL I:,LAV" I A NlI KE L

2 , NETHERLAND' I,'1C:KEL C. (-

I F- NiC"EL. I) C ': SMALAYSIA TIN . 00

FRC TI N 6. 00

4 ::AQ Z I L T IN .OL I V 1 A T IN C. Q

I I TIN 0. 0I NLDONE3 I A T I N 0. (- S

THAILANL' TIN 0. N0U S TIN 0C)

4 AL-TRAL I A TIN - ) CO0

i CANADA NICKEL 30. 25

AUSTRAL I A N I C:KEL 13. E43 FHI IF'PINES NI CKEL 3 17

4 SOLITH AFRIC: NICKEL 2. 455 FINLAND NICKEL 0. 30

46 MALAYSI A TIN 0. 00A .-..-..-.....

S

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0

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Cci on 1;Ct 2 4 51 6 7 (11 Ct I

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1.. A L I . .. I : C "'L ( .'O . 71 "-

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AIR INTERDICTION 5 44ARMY GROUND 4. 1SCA,--- 1. 62I CEM U. C)STRATEGIC BOMEER 1. 7c.C;LLM 0. 00ASW(SEA BASEL') 1. 27CARRIER BATTLE GROUF 10. 00SURFACE COMBATANTS 4 2'AIR SUFERIORITY(LAND L-:A'-;ED) 2. 7:AIR SUFERIORITY(:-.HIF :ASED) 2 16.INTERCEPTOR IF.:RC:RAFT 0 0A-AT (LAND E:A'-EED) 0 52

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a L P -' g .; - '- 3_.JtID 44

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M:I~TER A CRMY GCt:':'IND4

F,:CLEE L-NC-.H AiRM Y 0 F;,::Ijl Nh 1

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CC! C' Vl LL

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A-6t A IR I NTER : T IC /1a F-Is :R I rEF.:CT IQN

A7AIR I NTERDl)ICrT IOCN 'I

ATFtE_~T I p.-F-SAIR I NTERrI C TI IN:f'

EH- E~ (SA fl:,E1:i C. 6 2S 5

ATT.~~± A-W C<1

FATT. SL'DE A'E: W~ E A -: .Er< IFl::;R C'AE R A':- J(EEA A iEllU 7 5 :Dt R E R AIE - S E4 :: L 0 4 F!~ ;

* t-4. ARliOF-' jtD1. 17-4

A R: Y -32 t C1 7

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OLCM.E. ARMY GROUND 0 9 7 7INFANTRY A RMllY CiROUND KMR 'ER: AR 7Y GCL'N 1.1

FKLELNCH ARM" GROUI ND E01

A L17' q- IN tt CA 0 c~ c c- i-4c cc '.r cr IN r:1 c~

-co~~~~~ cD u-Z, -c~~ -

*" 4 LN P4 , N .4 N

(re

Lii a. It M ICIC

0 <1 Ci. 'I' ( C ri <:-4<1' ZC VCC C r- LL CC'W (q. C C 0-L

CI I lIl I Z 101W X-,:zJ dw.JzMI', CIcw::ZLLL ILLLILL LjrLi CrVr.n 1 Xr-0 CD r( u- CC 'E

t FITICALITY iOP" r - TFA-L SALL FE(LO: S)

GOAL PILE FALL TRANS- CMIO17V C:FIT:C- rE.:..TT-=.L

C:OMMODITY (LINITE;) (UNIT.) (%) LATED iMFOF:T ALITY '-PITICcLIFTy

j.T '. - 4-: - -4j 7 4,2 '. :370:. - 0f4 4. - / 271i ) 0. -

CKEL 200. Q -2 2 - 47 7 10 C 4::5.: 1 i

IIF.PAR AC:ID 140u. 0 805. u "'. 5 _ 9 '370,- 5

!E7HRUM 5V (* 0 2K. 53E 4..Z 1--7 6.

CI:OMF O:L T E IM,OCIF TAN,:E

L7 F_

'LAND 10-. 7 71 1 72 0 -E-

Rii::-c 450 . Z 57 2. 05 () 407 1 2 -

TSWA4 25. 1. 41 1. 76. 0 - C '

.Tm AFRICA 15. () :" (I 4 " -

R: 12500 71. 41 - 1 -71Ul.

-ILIP PINI .0 :) '2 1 -

r T R k L A 0 0 . 2 2 1-1 :i ,: , 1 . 2 1 .I

NAw.Z. 1100. 6 2Q 2 61 0 T2:: 2I('D-. 5 71 2 31 " :2 :: n A

7 01A0: 17500. 1~0,0 W

C OM''O_. I TE IMFOFTAN,CE( LOi -)

TIN

A! :,LJNT i OF C K',r: TE

XRC E SUPFLIED TOTAL I MFURTANC E .1.' %( 1 C I )

ISTRALIA 100. 0. 15 0. E:2 1 216 0 -1 ::,

C; 1610'. 23. 82 2 31 0 432 10. 21-1 ,

AI LAND 5,-%00. :,. 7,-: 0. E:2 1. 216 10 611

DOWESIA 5.8,00. 8. 5:3 0. 8: 1 216:1 C; 4 l

100. 0. 15 1. 76. 0. 56'- "' 0?4

_IVIA 10100. 15. 24 0 90 1 117 17 014

KZIL 2400, 3. 55 0. 90 1. 117 3. 9'4.3.700C. 4. 44 2. 33 .429 1 'Q'7LAYSIA 23900. 35. 36 0. 82 .216 42 9E

TOTAL: 67600. 100. 0

* 0

C - E I! F-. .E

KI-TE TAL I MF' TA': E l/C I "_A DI' Y'iv, -: i. 7 2 0 . :-:V

.TH AFF:ICA - :- 2. -1 0-2

I LI FI EE - 1 21/:

.TFALIA 2I9.' 'A1 X 2 i-

2 . . : -1EE-E A., . '' 1 7,I .7 t6. ' -

G,-r tAVIA =_,',: 0 16 1 7/ (' 5C (j,- (- S

.17]I'K :. 4 7-'A:-R5 l--i i ~ I"'" -_ 1 ]::. .

Ti A A4DD' ' '* '" 4 :";-- ------ - . . --- "- -- -' :DD!- t,. - .. FlA'5 0,) 1 4-.4 0 -2 1 21 1 :

7 z..70 ,3Q . .

-,7 .17. 1- .. '-L U :. 3)

T A~~ 1 F-: F:IA

-.V I a / ,lF ::r- -'0v'5TE ..'-ti ---:'H L. E ' ":: ,

' " O T ' - .: ". ! - '. ..

CL 7-e,'i 0 7(i- " ' i ' - '.7 K

-iiN 10. 12 42 1. 7 0 _,'' 7 ,, _

:8T APFRICA 2:-.11 1.7. 0 5,.''1 1:-

.PA I LA!4D 15 1- -' 0- -:"- 1 21- --

TT :0. L0 40 .•

TOTAL C9 10 0

C i:MF-E I.T I ECF:TNO

F YF:ETHFJJM 0

AOUNT . OF C:CMF'OI:-:ITE

IRCE SUPPL IEI TOTAL I M'iDRTANCE 1/CI %( 1 .I ) 1 .

IUTH AFRICA 20'0. 1. 01 20 31 0. 432 4 '::

:.3TRALIA 1500 0. 7/: 0. S 2 1. 216 0

11000. 5. 57 1. 76 C. 569 3 1 1 "IsyA,"e'0,Cl'. 40. 51 1. 76 1. 5r :, 23: C;.: /

.ANDA 25000. 12. 66 1. 76 Q. 5-.' 7. 1)7

.. 7...... . ..c' 4-- 1. 7 6 0 .- 4,z- "

TOTAL: 197500 10 (I)

*!

$-:E P1' C 'TI ITY T1-TAL ,-

fl> , -- -,-- "-.*,- '-. 7 .,. ,'_ ."- ,72I

;!. 'Ch -:I 1 . 7 7,. 71 .

:OT.CTSWANNA u. =1. 7 7& 6. 31 2. .,'

JUTH AFF, ICA 7- ,"

AIRE 4(1 A-7" 7 & .. .-- c'.:LIF'PIrN-. ,. -_= 76 -_ ":

- AUSITRALIA 7" 7 7"-,E. -CLE_-E1 7:' -

E -. 7 - - --- "- _, IT V

t 4 ' "U": ,:, ''' , ~ :... .' "2"'..:

1H~L 'F I C' k- k 7, '' C;ItC'-flE-,A C': 4:-C (1 C K0,' C> . -..

PH I.. L : .I N E 77 :,,7

. .- i"

-,% ,.,-

-F,:_ 1 7 7. (- 00 1 E! 7 ....

- - _ '- - 4 -1 C: I 1 .1: ' ,'., C.. I'

N,:" ':' - _5 FR 4;'._AT.' '7 IT: i't Y :K 'H' ,:, ?'.:m:,O Tr-, AFFICA~ C 71. iC' 1'C 7. 10 -,

- F'HILIFF'INEE I -> IC, ' I1: ¢7 / -:,

MA I:-rr'A - A -: '.:- i1. (1- C,- ,. : .

G-N1 ES ;( __CE 1'- 2

. j_.4 ,H : ;7 1:1 0-). I.-.77 5."r,::_

It l : 'Q C r.-.-_ , 1'T' . .0'?, r .. .", "IJ! =EE: E 1 2 ., 0' n'. 1- ,./ (14NETHERLAND'i.EI- 10. 0 C. 7 0 1F RT - 1 0 0. 1')

Y .: '- AV I A r q: °. ' O '.','''' 'L_'-'-R I -0 0 0l'' 56 04

GUA I O_ AMALA 0 .. ...'c,' ( ( ".="'_,.:0-

I NIONE:I IA 1 ' 1 0( 1 7

FLU:--REFAR ACIDS.-)UTH AFRICA 6.' ' 2 '.:0'_

.U S . 7_ , OAr 1.. 14* ITALY 4 7 1 2 1 4"..

SPA IN 7. 07- S 51 60. 19 19. 0lEAST AFRICA 1. 76 . E 51 15. 05 4 77 -THAILAND 2 265 6.51 9. 2c 6. 11MEXICO 1S. 801 8 51 15;. 9: 50. 72 " "

*F" .ETHRUM• :JTH AFRICA 0. 43-_: 4 :-35 1 91 60AUSTRALIA . -:2 4. 4. 02 1. " -I 171 4. 5 1 E:i 4 3:

ENYA 2. 063 4. 5 100 42 "1. "-"4FWANDA 7. 207 4, ' E1 9. c.5TAt .,-NI '-1A 22 4c-;7 4. S5 9 . 91 :1 04

• , -. -- '-,.- . . _ '- - - '_ 2 - - - - ' -' . _ "

' - ," _, " , "- " .. ' . . . .. . . . , ,'. ' ' . . .. : . ' • L - - " - " ," ,,, - ". "

- Ct .E2 i . I _ "CC 'A:-- -

* I IUE Lq ::),>)CI

';'" E T("'.-r. T Y ,) _U

MEX ICOD F _ _ "-"F'A ' P : ID 50. 724 L S N. /,t.

"AF r " ?1 F4A,- T ALIA "- T F: -_-1 65T-'"A' AF r'a- - "_! : '4

'flITH AFRICA F A_ ,

I TPLY F li' r . r- 1

- . tT FII Fi '- T: D 0.1-r-: :T . A 1t': E H _T -"', ''

S I orfE- I A N I C.ELFHT L I F I NE-. N I! KEL (

f-~L4, rtt, FL' - .. '." - ' - - "- IS-,. T /

. ,: ELI I c A 4..I"- Di 7T1i 1

-; - A: AFF.- FLjc!Z.:P - '1 L.

Lit F'F:ETH. --

4 NE L C4_E ' i :'E:!T-l B :4

SO 1 TH AFRICA NICKEL 2'27

., T -. , C-SALT,_ IA-TR,.IA F'Y'RETHFRUt 1 27

'S3;OUTH A'FRI FA C:AT 0 ';LIF - : L I F C I NE,-. COALT C I _

ECA'T, AFRI CA F'YRETHRrI 0 60F I NL N. N I KEL 0. 60

4 G1'EECE IN I E L_ LAVIA C'-)I F .E ci

NETHE4;LAND-;E NICKEL 0 127 FRG NICKEL 0 (,6

MAAY-IA TIN 0 0:F'RC TIN 0 OPRA ZIL TIN Q.

1. ELIVIA TIN 0 0"ULK TIN O. 00I NDONES I A TIN 0 C)'0

4 THAILAND TIN 0. 00 uU S TI N 0. 00AUSTRALIA T I N 0. 00

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S

0

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-0158 269 SIMULATION OF CRITICAL MATERIALS RESOURCE STRRTEdIES 2VOLUME 2 APPENDIX D..(U) TITAN SYSTEMS INC LA JOLLA CAD SOMERFELD 13 SEP 83 TITAN-DSI-i@58009S-83-5F-2-0

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' r-' 1> - '

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'I..'". t45 ':. 21 -s< 2 . 3E1 C. 43:2 --, -.

* .: 3 .: ' I')

TIN

AMiOiJr.'T % OF CO.M '-I TE .

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_ THILAND 5?C'. 6. 73 0. 82 1. 216 IC' 611

-IND'ONESIA 5:-?00. ,6. 53: 0. 6'2 1. 216 10:. 411''::-(A' 100. 0. IT 1. 76 0. 569 0. 0(-24 •ALIVIA 10300. 15 24 C. 90 1. 117 17. 14 -

.LL24. C 1. 117 3. 9646F 31(I'.' 42 44 2 0. 4-O.42.M AY$IA 2.900. 35. 38 7, EC 2 1. 216. 42 911

• 0.TOTAL: 67600. 110 076 0....

*:BRA IL * 4 f) - 1- C*0 1. 1 '.

4. 44 0. 429 1 17''A A' . I .

MOASI 1!90 5.36CE: 1 1 2.F:

- - - - - - - - - - - -

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0. 56o ...- ," .I:CZ 0. "rE"-e "T-' AI. 72 O.c'5:-'. , . .

:,,_At~~~~~ 216 ,1,.. v.... .

P _ LIFP INE. ,K" I A.4 0.' 1. 16, 1* ,-'-. -F ,, I.

ICA,4A 4 - 2. &1.--

-E EO "-E'::E ,( ,;) ( 20 I.7.':. . ' '-U '

,~~~~~0 7- e~ ,.~ .1:

F""' ">L Er ' TCIZi I .7FT~: 0 5': I " (:, :.'

I: .IC 4, <.., .'' 2 31- 0 - 7 . ."

I -I'TAL: 3(44-'1 . 1": '1 1 7

I. j- __r

[,: '-,OL!F:CE :-;UIF.;'L I ED TO Tk- IMF'OFRTAINCE I'I% '-I>,

Tt-iIL"-D ' ' I' 0E2. -:' 4.

.I ..4 .1

['." IiALY /-=,_,_. .;: 71. 76, O ' -

El."T YR" -R

IT "AFICA 2_.. 1. 01 2 .31 0 432 0'-'

T.I 15 .76 .:2 .216 Q E2

_. U _1 ..0(_ (). 54. 47 :'1. 76 0. 569 1, : 01

-'r A Q000 40 116 0 6

E X I C:1 I 7 ",).' I - "-

TOTAL: ',C.', 100. 00:

Sn

¢r'. .COMC:.r I TE IMP'ORT1ANC:E

... ..(. . .C 3.)... .

,F -- YRETH .IM"

SAMOUNT % OF COCF'0 .-IT ES," $.RCE SUP'FL IEll TO0T AL IMPORTANCE I/CI (1L!)-"

,"S:: JTH AFRICA 2000,.K: 1 0 1 2. 31 0. 432 0. 4--.

£"AUSTRALIA 150C). 0. 76 .821 1 . 216 0 2;)

:'.Ut - 1 (100. 5. 57 1 . 76 0. 5 6 9 1- -

o ":t VYA ,&.: '000. 4 o. 51 1 76 0. 5 69" < .'.~7 2 ,, 0..

RW ANDA 25000. 1 2. 66, 1. 76 0. 5AV7.27 .

TANZANIA 7800.c W. 49 1 74- 694:

T0 AL 1 5C. •00 -.

. . . . . . . . . .

T - - 1 .

*- -' .... ,- (7:7 4 . 27I:r T-,4ANNA .i'; !. 7, -. , 7. 5-"

- ... 2 -. -I -:UrMITH AFRICA Q 3"' -. 40 1. '

r ZAIRE 2 4 .- ,'

- 7HILIPINES -, 7. 76.

1: C:ALEr ICI G' 1. 44- 7. 7 I . 2 '-'-N.'A.7 7 j

S76 7

T '_=.T t, A LI A C::'(). q,.0 : '

_U TR4=1. .• .....

T HL- I L A" .

I Nn El ':_,I ,' I C 47'!_ 00 0C ')O (

FIL I V2I A 17. (71 . 00 O. Cl- ) C.

ccA -- ' F :'--,,: a ' < ': . I-' -: 0 :

AJ.Tt LI,1 '':' . ( O0 , ,:- i' ': -'

N, LA'IC'IA4"-. 3!'-;- 0 O0O C)')(. 0-:_ ~L A 4 2. C . j ":

- I v 17:,: . 01' ,0, ,. :'0.. 0 -. iH () '.)

L;gITH AFRICA ). C, Co 7. 1F' "rL - 1FF. t',E': . ' '" C...i.f C

CANAIA 18. E:77 1() . :'. 77 . 75

L: If 12. C r 0 :)1 5 ;/-,_ ..

I NL'Z rt_ D eO.ic,: I'C....CC) 1w It.

C'_'7 ET CIR E A 0. 71IC.0

IN'ETHERL-AND = C 037 10. C0. 0 .

FRO u. 19 16. 00 0 19 0. 10. ili :-';LA ' I -. 'L 5 ) 0 '.0 . 41,"

U R EP B I. 5 10. 00 1. _, 10. y,

* U.T f -. I .. ' ) 77 - .....

I 1 NrC0NEE: I A I . 97 10. 00 I 9. 97 1 0. S5

"-FL' 'ORSFAR ACIDS-SCIUTH AFRICA 9. 669 8. 51 t;2. 43. 4E

- U 3. 760 S. 51 0. 00) 16 C

ITALY 4. 557 E'. 51 29. 12 20. 67

SF'AIN 7. 07 2,. 51 60. 1'C 31. 80. EAST AFRICA I. 768 8. 51 15. 05 7. 95THAILAND 2. 65 : 51 19. 28 10. 19

MEXICO 1. 801 8. 51 15'. 98 84. 54

PVETHRUM

SOUTH AFRICA 0. 43:3 4. 35 1, 91 1. 01) -:AUSTRAILIA 0. S23 4. :5 4. 02 2. 1

:" --Ut 3. 171 4. T5 13. 81 7. 30" VENYA 23. 063 4. .5 100. 42 ,: 06.

RWANDA 7. 207 4. 35 31. 16. 5,E:

TANZANIA 22. 4S7 4 35 97. 91 51 744. 5-- .

6

IMl-CF TANC:E

SiURCE U TY ~UZA"I RE -3 '<3

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ME XI CO , C

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E ENVYA P r5r:ET -4FL'1

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THA ILANDr FL'u Ci R-;PA R ACD 10 D

U' P~' N,

EAS:.T AFRICA4 F L U I-:AR P:. D 7. F'5

NEW CALEDuNrqI- COC'E4HLTC4UATAMALPNIC4 EL

SC.J-Tri AFFRI CA N I C tEL

P NiE: A L

ECL'H C,0-- 127PH IL 1 PP 1 NEE; COBA-4LTIISOUTH AFRICA P'YFETHRUMr- I 0F I N'ANL' NILKEL I ( 01

Gr-EECE N ICKEL C0. 59YUIGOCLAVIA N I CEL 0. 49-.NETHERLANDS1 N I C+:EL 0. 2-10FRG N ICKEL 0. 1oMALAYSIA TIN 0. 00SPRC TIN 0. 00E:RAZIL TIN 0. 00BOLIVIA TIN 0. 00

LI.TIN 0. 00INDONESIA TIN 0. 00

* THAILAND TIN 0. 0CIOLI s TIN 0. 00,AUJSTRALIA TIN C). OKr)

t i

SCENARIO 19

WEISH1 S ,n .E&--3t4 by LEVEL Of rrhOrJLICT and MEZIALetvel ,f C,:,r, 1 l'-I -z M d ;a I

P' e1 " 3 4 5 6 7 - a

L. -EF C). 1 7$v',: Q. 17:::, C. I , C 1',. 0-.-'-. C. I .. C C-,7 O. 0- 7 ( (:-.3 (. ( 57 -. iC' aLeytl :, C r i t Melia 2

1 icr I 5 6 P 4:' :5-r: 11

la IC). ' 1 ' ' . 0 4. 0 7. C) 5. 0 1. 0 8. 0 7. .- a'.icht 9. 0

CEF -. 13322 1 0 053 0. 1-- :- 0 067 ",. 01 !:! 1) 1067 (jC). ,2 .. .,jc EF C). 12 C,

Level . C,:r i t - Media -13 i ori 1 2 4 5 6 71 .i, . 10 0 IC). Q B: :-: 0 0 4. 0 :3 0

2....:OEF 0, 17,, 0. 17;-, 6 . 1 ; 0. 142 ' 1. 71 0. 0714 0 14 ':Level ,c, f C:rl Medi a 4

F :i ::, r, 1,.2 : 4LA Ilh 10. 0 4. 2 2. C 1.

. . ::E - . . . .2- - -: -176

INFLUENE:E COEFFICIENT'=. OVER, ALL LEVEL OF CONFLICT'E.,cr t he +:rtar',e , C:,rrclii i r EACH r i ,r, .,i hir, i ,r, r: I:.

F: e i or 1 2 : 4 , 6 7 .-. '7'

I C E u 2 -,, 0 *& a 4 t I 6..0 0114 C , ' ,4...r -nia 2

F e i r, I 2 :n 4 5 6 7 E: I '('

',-,EF a. 0171 (171 , ..15 flfl:'5 0'0017 4. 01;, C.) "C:. I *.::CI..COEF 0. 0154

r " ;i,,: 1 2 '= 4 5 6 7 ".

I,/ CCIEP 0' 221: ) 02 7 2 0. 1C3 . 07 1 0. 01 0. 01'.I ,a 4icor, 1 2 :':4

I 'COEF C'. 0752 0 0:301 0. 0150 0. C075

I-- port-rice ct cO -,r,. r-o lir,q A1Y F e- , i c, r- T h i i Mdla as C,.,rnpired I. h t -_ InpvrtarC,e

' controllir,g ANY Regio:r of arty other MediaIv, dia 1 •

' F 'or, 1 2 4 5 6 7 E 9 1)I/COEF 0. 00' O. C)':-c 0. 0 070 0 0050 0. 0070 0. 0020 0. 0020 0. 0051 0 00:' 0. C0 ,0M.dia 2

" F gior, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 $ 9 10* m-edia 11

Reoior,

I COEF 0. 00O37 C. ('3.7 0. ('0)3 C'. 0015 C. 0'026 0. 0'019 0. 0004 0. 0030 0. 0026. 0. 001'7"I '-C:OEF 0. 0033-M dia 3F.. Qi or, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7I COEF 0 0060 0. 0060 0C. 0060 0. 004?: 0 0036 0. 0024 0. 0048Media 4F' on 1 2 3 4r .-COEF 0. 0065 0. 0026 0. 001: 0. 0007

:- " -~. .5L.

FO-F:CE ELEMENJ IM; !j-:T)N'-E

ELEtIE-NT FiC'I;,, E ELEMENT C MLC': wL. :-:1 jDN '~~ I ZERAMN I N'3- N'-',r-EE N~mE VALU'E VA L'E

4 A-1T -1 L:( 1 725 trr :.' - - C 41

7-C F9-:r' E II'Ec CcF1 c. 0 144 7

4 I~ PE~K RL 110 LAZ 7. 0421

TC CC,15& C: 0N 04 L4 1

17'.*.. NIN.~E A ''F1T UL~L 1:-EL: 0.04

S E:E E- 1 "' D L EF' OP F:NF. 7 1 C414. -

I & ;"'T (LANE E.A -E) 5 1'ZiI7 P.E DCINE WFFiFE L-E,(-,'- 01B u.*'

* 1 ',EE BA'-L r CFE(T ON,E A :. N P c7z:

- ~ ~ ~ ~ P. ;,-r T~ T(AD ~ "0C

SO 4 I CSW EE. 0 *E1 1 '

F ~- .ED L.E -' ' r IF Cr-TN-h

COMN EL -.EDW(4 N~ NF ' (

-. A S I- . 75i$K- -

5 'SMI LE).E )('-)C) U:

SoB Q. cc)( :'0 :)

SURFACED COMBATANTSP4.N25AIR ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ LII SUEIOIY(ADLA;l) C

AI INT1FER:IC'TY':'N H1 BAIE ) . 71S

INERCPO :M.t:-,F 0. 00

A$W.A(:EP E:A'E) 0. 271

TIN

Ai GUF-liND I -

E.TR TEO -"B!", -

A'_ ( LAN"D E'-=E ^": 0-'

A W (:;E EA .E , j. I1ATTACK SUE = 5 ICARRIER BATTLE 0-R;-c"MINE WARFARESURFACE CciMr:gT PNT' , 45

AIR SULFERIORITY(LA4D :_:ED.) 1'FI F: LI'ERICRITY( I ' E-ED)INTERi-EF"OF AIR":RAFT C). 00A.3M (LAND EgA;--ED ) C" (3:

41. 1:

N I CKEL

AIR INTEKJPI'TI'ON -ARMY GROUND 4 92C A':- 1 72,TF:TEG' I :OM2E; '. 1. 7

A'SW (SEA PA'ED) I. 71ATTACK 5 -

b CAFF:IER BATTLE GRCIF i . 0,:"MINE WARFARE .'

'I IRFACE COtrZATANTS. 4 ,A I F: ';UFEF I OF: IT Y' (LAN' E ',ED) 2 'A. E E

AIR -UFERIORITY(SHI F' ',::ED. ::-INTERCEFTOF: AI F:CRAFT 0. 00

41 21

6

- - - . t. a a. a. . . . . . . . - -

FLLIOP ;PAR A':ID

AMFHIBIOUE ASUL . 76.SARMY GROUND ,

- STRATEGIC: E:,IEEF 1. 7Q- SLBM 0. 00

*ASW (LAND BASE:)ASW (SEA EASEL I I

* CARRIER E;.TTLE-: s 1-FJSURFACE COML-ATANTS- 4.2AIRSPRCI '_~LSD

AlIR SUPIFER ,I OR IT'?(S-:HIP EA-ED)

AL:!';LAND AED

* PYRE THU

* 4FMR'Y ciPC"JND 2 &CIV IL 1:EC:7E N,-.E t J

A,77 .4E.7:EIP 41E.E L) 14CARR'IER EATTLE fliPOIP jI Cf.lJ.

17. C),=:

*COMMO--DITY NOF:MALI ZED I MFPRTANC--EN I CK-EL 10. A (1.21TIN 97. 9) (41. Ia.)FLUORCSPAR ACID 9. 60 ( 59 7)C OBALT S42 ( 272

* PYRETHRUMI 4. 14 (17. 06-)

.S.

fOPCALTA- 10 CIAS 7 7:'72 -:.. ... A- 4P 4 1F-4 All: IN" FZ IT :: ,.-. ' =

7. 2"'7:-4F-16 AIR I NTERD I CT IN 1 e'I: 5CA ,- - 4,-.. 4 .,75

P=- T. AC_. RF T CA: . :: :E6

RAI'm RLAY AIR INTERD I :TIrON -_: 45"c' :AS 2 7.275F : - l AIR INTEP:Z:l I vd, 12'' 1. 1-N

-: A-6 A I R I tTER<D ]"CI ON C C,-. E

F-15 A I R I N -E:D ICT,:_,% 57. 502'A-7 AIR INTERDICTION 51. 75:15

F-14 AIF iNTER ITI 4 I"71F-l8 AIR INTER'D ICTION 71 E.7:

-H-2 AC. W ;EBASED) 15 V--,::7SH-60E. A=-W ( SEA ED) ":--;.'-

ASW ('SEA L-:ASEr. -4. 72 4ATT. UE: A,_;W ( SEA E:A'iEl) 24 11.'FRIGATES A'W.$EA BASED) 14. 4701D-.TROYER'.:; A'.W (,:-,EA E:A--ED) 8. 6:-:21

A M-4:T: AFM r UR.IND -7. ' _--

M-&:1 AR-:Y ROLIND 61.0 12.2

M-91 ARM:!/i GRO11i'4D 6-7. 7 :;41AF:"-r' 'I t. -L 2- -

A'~C ± 1Rt I r' CIR':IUI 54 ., 4M-27/M-_- ARMY c.:OoINE, 4-7. 45a.'i-1l:: ARMY GF,:;:,JNE 5. 2 :-- 2

IL MLF.=, ARMY GCF:IhN! 2 41OWED ART. ARMY GROUND 27. 11'-22SELF-PROP. ARMY GROUND 36 15':

" PEF:-;HIN ARMY cRL'tD : 7'5"G L':MS ARMY GROIND 30. 1324

- INFANTRY AF:MY GROUND 7. 5 -1M,-RTER'. ARr:Y GROUNDRCLES LNCH ARMY GROUND 1 582

dl~~~~~~v ~CCr, CAI U1 -Z; %., , I N . , .Ct (i . i , i 0, C 7.. C, qC ,-. --, '' -- ., r-. 1'.* CC--,',, . 1,-'.4 bt -- 4 6. o, 't <1 (," 0' V" CT, CC- 1 ', % -0. (N ,",I- C, 1'.- f l- 0'< ,,,,, -

C, -0, .U '1 ' L - If- 's - C, N- < r C., C (0 N- 'cf ,'C CC' CC1 i' ", ..) <- - ' , " Ot IT " 4 '

CC, (60 0 I 4 '- .4 4 6 (. 6 -

0

-J4I

N 0 c Im c, (ftL>- _J Un Z

J ixCL A r. - t- >e-4- X-, "I ( Q'I -C- I c ' Z C , , .f

" <, , CC ' 0 ' 0 0 q..4 CC, I- LL - . ( C, , (.4 C, ',- .. tC." 0 -z' OT X I_ IY" Q 3 1 Ix x I - - I

1 1 . I 1 0 . jC jWX ,ZXc

Z~~~~ LL LLL.XL :EL XK EXV A -4 0ZC ,Lr.V CE

T IN

- 0 C 72. 7CC

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F-4 AIF' IN"T 5F: 11CT I I

F- I A I F I NTEF.' I CTIOr' 7. O::N," - S4: 4".D

H . ACRFT Ci,.RA., LI RLA' AIR I NTERD ICT 1 2:- -45

CAS 2 7275F-I11 AIR INTE:rDII::TION 1' 13A-6 AI F: Ir, .E.,. ICT , 7 .; 4-. 6,.-t-22-:-'

F-15 AIR I NTERLIC TI ON -

F-14 AIR INTERDICTION 4S 5 1 C-F-I.4 AIR; INTERDICTION4:51'F - I;:-:, AIR I r:TEF1' I CFT T ,: C!:

A'-;W SEA E:A ED) 5. 2("2':'

A'-,W (EA -; .EL) D"4 7 4ATT. :;L-. AE-W L *-,EA ':A:-;El) 14. 4701FFI CATE:: AE:W(SEA E",ED 14. 4701rS.TR:'YER:; A'-;W ( S-4 EA EEr)IM-4=: ARMY GROLND 4. 218=5M-60 ARr 1, GRCltID 6. 77:'M-I ARMY GROUN, 27. 6655 •M-551 ! cM CRCIYZi ,' "---

ri-',: I ARM 7,JI: ;'M-2/M-3 ARMY 'ROIUND 6. 77':-.,m-1 1.-: ARMY CF".O.C' D ,. 7P5"=MLF. ARM, GR!,LJNL1 ,"'7 .TOW'E: ART. ARMY G R0IN 4 1SELF-PRO'P. AR1Y GROUND 6 Q. 2..-5PEF,:RE;HING ARMY C'LIN, 1CILF:M1. q~i R, OF-: - i11'4r -" 3 5'

INFANTRY ARMY GROUND 60. 2649MORTER': ARMY ;::IHN2F:CLE.= ' N,1-' ARMY GF : "4D Cf. 2:6.0

0

. r*

6 C66 4-4 . 66-,

V",

-J

.> I- i -J cc CL '

J(. ( I I.-> I (.. a(- colC X r 1 0 W , l.J

i-%1 0 C4 U , X C, LL -" ,'L---

.. .. X . - . .I " ... : : .. _X -i _wi "'L - r*._ C i "l I X " "0 "" x' "" " " " ' " " " " ' -" ' ' " ' ' ' " " " " "--. Z I I" I I I: -- x w' c c 2

' - v i- I'* - ' " -C c ;=' " ',T _, ' c*' " ' t ' " " L ' ' * . ', [

N I" 'ELA-ICEL C. 72 7 -

C~rC'RA , ':_ 4 - -= '

F-4 A IR INTEDIC:Ti C, 7CA'S . 4 ,,

F-16 ^ :-r. INTE7IC-I: 7C-,:- 4- ,:.4) Z

A;AT. AC:RFT C.A. 2 2"A* " RADIO RLAY AIR INTERDIC:TIC. 4 5. CAC, '7

7:7F-Ill AIR INTERl CTIC! 1 ::A AIR INTERDICTI rCJI e!14,.F- I A I R I NTERZ, I C T I N 7 O02,A-7 AIR I NTEFD I C:T I C'N F 2'.F-14 AIR INTERLICTIu 4- -F- I: AIR INTERDICTIONH-. A-.(EA B-:.E ).H-2 A-W (EA E:ASED) 17 "364:

ASW('.;EA E: A'-E:= ' 4 -

ATT ;_-:UE; A'=W(SEA :A"E') 4: 4 l i4

F I G ATE S' A,:W ( -EA E:A,:; ED ) ) 041,'=.TROYERS ASW (E;EA EA'ED) 15 /..

M -4 AFY CFO:UNIr 4:. 1 -:i4M-60 ARMY GRCIIND /- 7',7:- 0

-7 U2D- -i

t";-'=,,I ARMY GRCI'ID 4 4M-2 "-=. _ ARMY F;: _tIL,

L M-1 1:: ARMY GBROurD

MLR- ARMY GRCLIN_DTC'4Et ART. ARti GROLI ND :S. 1.EIF-F'F 'P ARMF GRCLINI 4': 'F'ERE.HIr, ARMY RCF .UND I:. :-'.OLCM-; ARMY tGROlIND . . ,,.: - .

Ni'ANrT FY ARMY CRCUNr - 65M. RTER1 ARM 'C' GROUND CoRCLES LNCH ARMV" GROI.r02.0'

-r C,,, .- -t 6- : ,

1-4

(.,A

-I

w 1.C > L- iL,N C > cr () 0 Ix -1 CL Z

¢0 r --. C <I zLU Z (0" u i"L , ''-w Ci. (r. 1-I XJI L,r ' I > Z" CC'1- I Ia>" C I"- 4m "1E(I: Z im c C <"J: X. W: IC, C' C0 , - "

E -c - Co C, D %. -x o .L 0 o I Lj -4 c' X V, t., ,N I-- X ,- - "LL

O f I I I I C, LIJ I I I Z C, 1 "r X J J w ' - c c CC:z . .E : E LL E C LL u V.r a z a r v, I. c cc, Of ," c -L

--FLUO':FA= : ,ID ?C. 7CA-IC ) CA': (E.''i -COBR,=A c A' 4'- a,7_",

F-4 A F' IN-"'E R:- TI . .1: -

CA'- 7. -.: 17* L F- 16 A I P. I 'TE! r' 1 C'T I ON -

ARI. ACFFT CA6. 2. 6.7- RALIO RLAY AIR INTE':IF-TI., r Z : 45.• "" .. CAL:;2. 7 27 5-.

. F-Ill A:R I, TERI:TION 1 7 -AA-6 AIR INTEF.LICTIO;4 4,-. 51 EX)F-15 AIR INTERD ICTION 71. ,.-: ,-.,

A-7 AIR INTERDICTION 64 /,7'('c6F- 14 A I R ITERDi 1 -TI*F-I AIR INTERDICTION e"-. :4'-'I

SH-z A:-W (SEA ;A.;ED) 17. 3642FH (:-;EA E-ED' C'; 7-7

A'=-.W (-;EA EA'EED) 4:-,. 4104ATT. CUEE A'_E.W (-SEA I:A'-;ED ) 2':'. 94(-). :;FFIAT..ES A'SW (';E. E:A;ED) 20. ;:D'-.TRC!YERF, A$_-;W (SEA BA$EL) 12 154'M-4:: AR'IY c :R-'_D'-jND 12. 6-5A-'

M-60 ARMY GRO:UND 20. .K.-4M,- 1 A RC ) 2 2:',ll 2. ,,,3

M-9.,I ARM' GOFIIIND 54. 2:3:_4 D 4M-2 -/ r-, A'Rtr Y .RO;_IND 54. 2:':!: -: 4M-1 1-:: ARM,' GR -D, ,. & 021 -. 5.'<:E_.. AR ° O--t IL.. 94-'5

TOWED ART. ARMY GROUND 22. 5.-93SELF-FR'-_P. ARMY GROUND '. 1":4 - -

FEFE-HIr, ,-AR,.Y GRI-3_IND 15. E-w '5GLCMS ARMY GROUND 26. 3659INrFA'TF:Y ARMY GROCUND 60. 2'64M t-RTER'E ARMY GROII-1 26. .6719RCLES LNCH AF:MY GROUND 0. 2260

Nc ' N <1 <, r- t: - N- cr N r- 'N L ,", (I) 't -t 4 . C' " ' -N V V, <, -Z ,C-' CC, CA' -Vi ;r, , <" ' C' U % t' 0 C, ;r N ' C. .- '-0 0, r'.- I, " , ,?' , 1 .: ¢ 0-! ci & - , , c N7 CC; 1" tN' <,- N 04 ' '1" , N ' 03 CC, 0 3 :, Co Co 0. Co (7 .o '-c . V Ir- " ,- C", b, ,'4 '- -Z' ,. ---. .. o ~ ~~ ~ ~~< - ,l 0 , ; rt ,C , N , 0 c , c r .0 0 .< , o o : r .< 1 < , 0 : ( '.1 ,N .N 0 . .f -.r - Oct 0 ': ¢ , , 1 .1 .4 -

-. c; ,:~~6 C , -,,- ,, 0 , 4 '. ¢,4 ,6 6 ' ,6-. ,6 6 ~ P4 , .4 . -4 - 4 ..;. 4 - 0 C;;6 ,-.¢ : ,;,;,: -.

" - - L 0 1.- C U. Z

0 x (A c c AC

-rrfir- C w z w CLZ r-" J - 1 M CL V, n," I.- >,-I:" 4 " Z X: - 1 JI 0 Qn a I 0 C ;-,- 0 O b-0' '.0' " . r- W 0 o (' A 0 X l - &4 V,I.'. r'..w -, " , - - N r, . (4 c'. - -D l Q (9 1 _j -- c , 4 --, 'o,- I ,CC ,,,x it- Im -_ -"j -

C I I I I 1 I I Z I I I 1 , I Z W x I-Cj , I I cc " _,. I I , M I C cr', iZ L LL . a . . .... L - E .. * L ,., ., , . , .CE UL 0 Z.CL r E ..-.-

".'',- "',." -'',"".."'.'"*" ".-*"., "--".. . .. . . . . . . . .".. .,.".'-".".."'."-"".. .".. . .,.'.-.. . •"...".".".. . . . ... "... .. '.. . .'

FYF:ETHF,--MATT SLBEE: A'?L.JEA Eg-:P) 14 AV

M-0APM # C'ROIKI11 47, 4 5 S.

* I'ANTRY A:"f T' GR:cJr.: 7T. 31

NO:RMALI ZED' VALUESINWANTRY I10. ()(00("

SELF-FRCIF. 5. 6000

TCIWEDI~ ART. 4. 200M-43 '-h

*ATT. SLIL-ES .1. S20Ti- I 1,--, 0. 7000f--

ALL COM:qDITIES 0A- I C. c 1 0'-" 12COPRA_ C: A,= '7,' C1 I'.

F-4 AlF INTERrT CTT 4 4 14..

F-16 AIR INTERDlICTION

ART. A F':FT C. RADIO RLAY AIR INTERDICTION C 12:'4

CA'E r, 1~ '"J1- -

F-Ill AIR INTERE::I'CTI: Dr=' 4': -A-6 AIF: INTEF.DITIO: IT I': -'IF-15 AIR IN7EF: 7 ,Ilr*: '2 44 ,A-7 AIR INTEF:'ICTION 2 '

F-14 AIR I NTERD I'- T I Cf, 1 ':-4(,')1F -I :: A I R I NTERD I CT I ON 4 2:4

A ;W (:.EA EA'-.Er' I

:: H-2 A'=LW E SEA EA...EL )0 /.'""

SH-6OE A-W (SEA E'S; ED) 1 046,-7=-":A'SW SE A E:A':Er, ) 1. 47 (.D

ATT. SE:E; A'W (SEA E;A'E.EI) .1 2541FRIGiATES. A;W($EA EAZ.ED) C0. 75-4D'TROYER-; AE;W (SEA E:ASED) 0 451'-M-4 ARM' GROUND i 26.56.M1-& ARMY Gr.,_tN.,M-I ARMY GROUND 2 0M-551 ARM'T' 0Rr;E 1 Uj..-

-.-: MY GF:OLND I. .M-2fM-3 ARMY GROUJND 1 6.72M- I: ARMY I-,,3_Ir 0 /MR Z, ARMY GFR:_ND Q _7 STOWED ARTI. AF:ry'i G3,CI:_ND 1. 2 )SELF-PR:F'. ARMY GROUjND' 1 6:7S ER'=;H I N AFMY CROI'-ND 6.7 -:, 0CLC: ARMY GiR:-iUND I 054.INFANTRY ARMY GROUND 2. 4Cj/0M':RTER:; AR'MY GRLIND 1 212':"RCLE-. LN'::H ARMY GROUND 0. 0226

C ' )' i7 4 IN i,4 14 N N' f- F- f- N 0 t C C N - .C' ~ ~ ~ ~ -0:, C, '1,w #,, , ¢ :, 1. - CC, C .C' 1: 'r -- 0 C. kto CC, ¢ ", 0:, ,,.. .:,.w - -cr' N' Ict CO : ' C, . N CC, -, VPl, 0". 03.' 0: :' ,¢ " l", ' :" - '

<i-' C ", <1 Kt": Ui 0: CO * <1-, L- C 0. ". '- ,", ' (4 A N 2 C. , ( ' I ... q:r cr IT -, .4 C ,

-.- , A-4

w

0 0#C Cr CZ 0r-icc: Cc:14 Co wZ W r X .. _i

o': 11, C, C:, cc4T~ CO'zc Cx :C- C- Z~ X W .L-1. .-.

LL I, M -4 Xr IX II Q -J~,=,,J . .

wo I I oI I , -jX XW - Z:, X : C IC ,

zE IA .wL wzL ( A -, r ( A IL Z r ,_, 4= xZ

CFITICAITY C-c 'H..,=:T-*A- L€-L 7E E(LOCK3:

__Cp :w P FE/I "JLE - -D:TYy CRITIC-

I:!- 'IM ITI T ) (_T-.: J!, T . LMTED IMPORT. ALITY C.FR17' 1' - 74I LT 4 4-: : 4 4 Z. 5 :-.5 341 1

.r,,I 42 0 :C7 Cj 0 10. 0 0 04t EL )) I - 4- 7 1 0. 0 4:'177 1 1,.

i -LLf :PAR ACID j140 (I ,-, •.. . .74 .S, ETHRUM . 0 (1 - . 4 5 : 4. 1 1::3Q. 7 a

':t=O- I TE I MF'OF:T~tJCE

bT

4M:U.N % OF CI.F'C': ITE,-1F":E :'L I ED TOTAL IMP'iR ,'TANCE I/C I I 1F NLANL 1' 7. 71 1. '2 Q " . "1

, 4 - C,.) 6 7' -",7

I .4: 71 1 .454'-'->LTH &' 'Fi'Z 150 '2 ' : i. 1': O.''u I' ,

IRE 125-- 71. 4"- -

PI0 2' 0. 1 0'::7 0 1':1A, EI::TE.AL 4 4(5 ' ' A,"j u,:7

ALW E. 4-2 0 -7 1

':""~lA~ 1 U'. 2' 2 ' :' C, :-4 ,2 17:

TOT..- 71 ,, C). I-

C C"' -. I TE I r; TOFTAI4:E(LOC: 3)

T I N

AMOUNT % OF COMPOS;ITE-' JFCE '.,UF'F .IED TOTAL IM RRTAN,-.E I/C I. ,CI

A E_.TRALIA 100. 0. 15 C. 92 1. 0i-7 C I6, 16.1C0 ":'. 2 .:. 12 2. 56 0 3'.1

ThILAND 5.TC . 5. 73 C. 9-- I. 037 .4-I :Z'4ESIA 5,::00. :. 53- 0. 0.92 1. CE.7Ur - 100C). C. 15 1. 96 0. 510 (C)i75:OLIVIA 1 . 15. 24 0. ' 1.020 15. 54 :'

SZIL 2400. 3, 55 0. 86 1. 162 4 12Pk" 3000. 4. 44 2. 47 0. 405 1 7':)6-MALAY': I A 23,900. 3., 6 0. 9F)2 1. 0E7 3414

TOTAL: 67600. 100. 0

-.I

Cc'MI-,':ITE IMP'RT&NQE(LOr :7)

N I KIE L

I L E AMOUNT % Op r:lMPOS--ITE:,L 1::_--7 1lI'' EZ, "TOTAL I -.. . I.r.r,", , .F _7 I1 . 5 1C . .

:nTH AFRI CA. 1. 64 1 1-' 0. 841 . - -F ILIFPINES I0-O. 1. 64 C ) 1. 0 7 1 7-.A.--TRALIA 21.0.:. - 2i C' ' j 0:7 -C ANADA ,'A, 4 -7, -:- ' 0 ..

C E7ECE 60. 0 1. 96 0. 51' 0 pFF.- i E-,A,,c-:'' O. 07 i. (-,I j' (IL f ..7F F:, 0 ( .0 :i: I. .4, 0 5 1 03 ( 17

. .. t... '.. I. /.1JEIUM PEF'U_. I5"'::7 4. 9' 1. 5 (' /C.- - - -

G'TA ',L 4"' . 1. T1 r. -. L " , . -

I' -INE:-.IA 5C'C , . 1 64 .. '" 1. 0:7 1 7_

TOTAL: 3_W44,[ 0. o(%

I':zOMlC1OE : I TE IMF'-:RTANC'E(L C

f- C :',

FLLIPS':;gA ACID

I t, ._ .., T k % O r 2 - ' r .S;ICUF:.E SQ, FL I ED, TOTAL IMF':,TAr:E l .( ] /C I

* :,-I.ITH AFR I CA :-z. I C/ 0 G41

I" Lv 6, - j / (D. 5 -C 4 Is(,SPAIN 10.. 12. 42 1 ' .51C' , 3".iE ZT ,IFA 2 : iI C. 71 1. 44

TI ILAND 15. 1. 86 0. 92 . ,:7MEX ICO 5 4.. 4:= . 056 0. '391 17. ol

TC'TAu: 5.- 11"'OK,0AL I.. 100o. 0,-)

C:CMF'OE I TE I F'OKTANCE(LOC. 3)

F YF:ETHF:IIM

AMOUNT % OF COMPOSITE..-".IRC:E SUPPLIED TOTAL IMPORTANCE 1/CI %( ./C ISt ;.TH AFRICA I'00. 1. 1 I. 19 0. 841 0. 852-

A,:.TRALIA 1500. Q. 76 0. 92 1. 0:7 C c:25 "S1100(". 5. 57 1. 96 0. 510 2 842

1.! 4YA :E:0C0 40. 51 0. 71 1. 404 56 :%FRL D 'A 25000. 12. 66 0. 71 1. 404 17 7,7

TANZANIA 7'.00O 39. 49 0. 71 1. 404 55 4:.

TOTAL: 197500 100. O0

S:U E I rF : t, E

1 ,"C I FE ":.HC'F TFAILL 1'R 1,,L. i ZE.LE:OMF IMF C:FiT I:.ALITY 10"TAL TICJ IC

_LTFINLAND 4. C'12 7. El 31. .:. IQ. &,C-MOr:,rr'- 1 715 7. 13:. 40 4 6""

-. E:OTSWANNA 2 (' 7. :1 15. 6 5 40.SOUTH AFRICA 72! 7. 3.1 5 .3: "2A RE .7 14 .7 :31 2'". C'.' 1 .

FHILIF'FI NE:-, : 7. 1 2. 42 0.AUSTRALIA 2 4 7 El I, :-z ,

NEW CALEt':NI1 1 7. 1:'l 1 12 4. 1.CANADA 2 j7-= 7 P1 I ::' '

I! =, 7 : -7. 4,:IT'%

AL :-.TZR LIA 0. 1 .1 O. C) 0- C,'LI E:, '.T *Pl'. (:ID 0 0'p 0 .;

THAILAND 9. 4 c C).O 0 (:'. O0

I O. (E.15 0. 0' ). 0. (

iO 1 I' A .15... 54-: (. U:)) C). U.)() U. U'

r!-19 m I L 4 1 2;' t C- , C, )FR: 1. 7- C'-, . (":' 0' ('' 0' CK

M I '':--. I A 3:. 41A . C' Q.. C0 . OC

i N t::I-.:ELFj INLAND C. 17 ! Ic ,. I. 71 0 5':

SOUTH AFRIC:A I 1. '0 1::. 3: 4. 7?PlILIFF'INE'-. 1. " 1 c' 17. 7:-, 6. 1AL 'E.T RAL!A 1. " c: 4CANADA 17. 0,4 1C.170 54 5= : 7LIi U $I 2I 11 311' C'C' 1 - 11- "-

GREEC:E t, I C, 10 (C I 00 C'NETHERLANDS 0 0": 4 10. C) C "14 0. 1FRO O. ( 17 1C). Q, (. 17 0. r06yL-h'.0':LA'4IA 0 '., (i 1 C) I 4US'SR 1. 742 1. '0 17. 42 6. f

DOM REF'LIB. 2, 2:':'0 1C 0o 0 ,0 11. 14GIATAMALA o ::6, 1 1Q. o': ' 6 1 2. -7I NDONES.-IA 1. 7: :5 10. O0(- 17.,::8, 6,. 1 15

.FI '.'ORE:FAR AC:ID

SOUTH AFRICA I:. 8:0:-: : 55 160. E'5 55. 45

LI S 3. 402 E:. 55 2J. 10 10. 0:.:ITALY 4. 120 .-. _55 35. 24 12. 15SPAIN 6 3:, 8. 55 54. 22 18. 69EAST AFRICA 4. 359 8. 55 7. 29 12. 85THAILAND 2. 025 =5 17. 32 5. 97MEXICO 17. 011 S. 55 145. 52 50. 16.

PYRETHRUMSOUTH AFRICA C 852 4 :: 0. 6,6 1. 26AUSTRALIA 0. e25 4. 30 3. 55 1. 22UK 2. 842 4. 30 12. 21 4. 21KENYA 56. 855 4. 30 244. 29 84. 21RWANDA 17. 767 4. 30 76. 24 26 S2TANZANIA 55 43:-: 4. 30 i 2. 11

SOURkE IMF'ORTAN- E

RANIED, :Y '.0'k:E( LOt I:

SEfOIJRC E Cl IMM:'IT Y,ZA I F:E ... oT -I. E N Y A f- ? >E - . ' : .. 1

"T'ANZANIA FYF:CTHR;Jt'i L:2 1 1

SOUTH AFRICA FL " A'-- .11 55 45

MEXICO FLUC. -'- . A ,--. I.'.U $ N-t: ELAU'STRAL 1 A NIL'> EL - "

RW1-'ANDA PFYFETH12.--.S, F- A L N F L 1 0h , - r- " r .- I

EA'ST AFPICA FLI-,"-F'A: IP P A PIT 4L.y FL 11U F -i ' A -D'iM R:EFLI: . N I C..EL I 1- 14

- FINLAN[, I--:T';LT 1 0 :LF " FLIh -N'_F! A-,ID IC C' ,

AUE-TRAL I A COE:ALT & /

I Ni, NE'i I A N I C:K.EL 6. 1

FHI LI F'I NE. N I C4:.EL 6. 15CC--,L L'T / 0)2

T:HLA'I.L NAIt EL D. 01 STHAILA4- FL:-.FAF- A': I D

E.UT-Wga,4g, C. ALT 5 40

,-rFRI.. N -Cf EL 4 76- :O CCC! C CLAL T 4. 6-"

07 F, YFET H7 t's, 4 2 17 NEW CALEDONIA C:OCE:ALT 4 I:

G*UATA"ALA NICI EL~'.= ITH A~CTA ,- -'r:T---S1';

0 SOUTH AFRICA PYF:ETHRUM 1-A rJTFALIA PYF:ETHP'_M1 IFH IL I F'FI NEE. '..T .

F I tiI-AND N I CKEL 0 5;

4 GREECE N I C:KEL a 5C

YUCI-:LAV I A NI " ELNETHER_-AN E. NI C:EL 0. 12

7 FRG N I CJKEL 0. 0-.- M-,LAY'-, I A TIN : (C

PRC TIN C?. O0

0 BRAZ I L TIN 0. 00E:OLIVIA TIN 0. (..QUK TIN 0. 00I NDONES I A TIN 0. 00

4 THAILAND TIN 0. 00

U S TIN 0. 00

AUSTRALIA TIN 0. 00

I SI

~~~~~~~~~. .. .. . . .. . . . . . . . . . •. . .. - " ".. . .. .. •.' : - :L.

SCENARIO 20I!

I

0, i" " '..

• 0

WEIGHTS rn REGION by LEVEL cf' CLJCL-T ard M-E:Level of Crllic t S , I

-C , m 1 2 - 4 5 6 7 o"L C I k: c 7. C 5 C- - - C 2 'I OE F 0. 17T6. 0. 17:=:, 0. 125 0. fl':-, 0. 125' fl fl-:5 C. 0 -:57 (: =::--: 0. 0 c- , .

L4. :r - : 4 5 7 S 'F,_ c:r, 11

Wti hv IC). 0 1 0 4 "7. . .0L :iaht 9. 0,i...EC 0. 3':-:3 C j":-": " 12K-P Cr 6',:: - n ,--: ' .-''-:;- ' c c'l:::-: 0. 106=7 0. -':- ,1 "C _

I ICEF 0. 1200

F •ir, 1 2 47

7 'C:EW C.. 17:1 :0. 17 .h 142 (1 j()71 C). 714 0 142,'

L .e ,' (-I c f 4. c*.1 CIflF, = ,:, 1-- ' t-: -, -

I NFL1EN :E COEFFICIENT:=, OVEF: ALL LEVEL OF CCNFLICT .

o r t.he 1P4 :rtarc,:, ,:, Cc:nl'-clir EL:C,-: ,-E.,I,.rt ,., '.har, i-- :"":p ""t, art,' E

2 I .0 1 11 C C . C, C, 4 C x 00C ': C). C1 0 CW)4 .-

i r 1 E.,

I., 'uE: 0. C,0171 0 017 1 C2 C 154 0. C,6 O 11'- C. 0)'-'5 0. C) C17 0. 1:-:4, o Clv. .C- _'-Ii-C0EF Q. (154

F: i , r, 1 4 5 6 7C 'C ._EF C'. 022: Z . . . . .. 22i ) O l::- r'. Cj1:-7 ,k-C '-'' . 'i':"-',

" diE- 4F.gir 1 2 n', 4I./ COEF 0 075. : 0371 51 0. 15(1 C). 0075

,-p~c -t~.+ cf c ri ollir, ANY Regiorkoil hir, its Media as c:rrpred T o,, thie Impcrt.arce

0 c c ortrollirg ANY of' ir, o ary other Mediar dia 1R eor, . :4 5 6 7 e: 9 1.I uEF .C)00-.' 0. OC' 0. C7- 70 0. 0"5: O. 00'-0 .(: C):20 0. 0C2 a. (15):0 o. 00220 0. 0. ,'Ctr dia 2F, ,i 1 2 4 5 6 7 3: ) 10M- dia 11F-_gionI -COEF 0. 0037 0. 0,3:7 0. 00:33 0. 0015 0. 0026. 0. 001C 0. 0004 0. 0030 0. 0026 0. CKv!'=!IiCOEF 0.0033M. dia 3F. gir, 1 2 4 5 6 7I/ C OEF 0. 0060 0 0060 0. 00/,0 U 004: 0 0036. 0. 0024 0. 0043.:,Media 4R-:ior 1 2 C: 4

" I'OEF 0. 0065 0. 002, 0. 001- 0. 0007-

• _ .. .. o . . . . . . . .... .-.- ..

FC'RC'E ELErln1E',T I cvc'T- 4 E(LOC :7-:

ELE!r-EirT F ,D-,!:E U.ELEW '7E N.. RL~E r r-RANKI NG N JMEER N Yt!, VLUE V A' IE

1 17 CA F~ IEF P-O U 1.41~ ' '

GPF..; 1 4KUr* C 104 7.S4 C)~C~ ELEE 7 5J 1

I 1 EUFF2,:E C:C,r:,T NTE C. Q.6(C) 4 2* /. 12 TEE N2E. WE"-- .N C 054

7 RF~ ID DEF L,__ C;, 7 -

8 6 C:. C). C)4,:+9 14 ASW LArND E:A'=EE) 0A04

1115 ~EWE4 :~E'C; 0,::12 'I: : - - I;FI T ', 1 E 4 '1E? -

1.::. I R DEvFErzE(E=HIF' L-A*.:ED) C16514 0 ~ 7':EC:f:a~IEP(

WE:AlE LE;.r WE, .PC'l CI r 4'TRL)u ). (D2 1 I7 A,$:T'E FA!:Ek. I:EE' C,

17 1 m INr4E W 4r:E E1 2 AMPHII lsi:). A'E;E;,ACILT ( ) 11 0 7 F, 7

I E;FECIAL C'FERgATI1-r{E._ I fl 7.1S C ':.A (LAND BS;ED ) 7)1))

() C~R 1. 0ENE :7--EE.~ I£1~

SCREC E E:A'::EEL, wA F CN .S E r-4 CNTF..) C -(:2 0U 124 27 AT:

2A AE. iL:. (LANJD LE:A 0. C) ,'C) C),62 4 ItNTER;,:EF7 c); Alf-:-RAFT C) (:)") 0 .

7 1i:- C:T F m C)zm C:IV IL 'JEFEN,:EE 0). O.)t (). *C:C4 C:IW o C)c)()) 0 (:i. 0O

LS-iMrIDDI TY I MPORTANCE

C:(LC)B 3)

AIR INTERDICTION 5. 71AF;,rlY GRO:UND 4 2

C:A'=-.1. 75

STRATEGIC O EMB:ER 1. 79'SLBM C). 00AS(E BAED) 1. 27

CARRIER BATTLE GROUJP I C). 00(:SURFACE COMB:ATANTS 4. 25AIR SUPERIORITY(LAND E:ASED) 2. 1AIR SUPIERIORITYCE;HIF BASED) 2. 2,--:INTERCEFTCR AIRCRAFT C). cASAT(LAND BA'_EED) C'. 5 1

FLU'l3':PAr AC CI I

riTIHIEIU'. A-ESAULT C 4SARMYV GRI-11UNE 3

E-TRATEGIC. E:CMER 1ESLE:M ). oC)M!:W (LANJE f-. E .

A':SW (SEA EA'-:ASED)'C, CAR RIERF E,^7T LE G~z !Di-.FcISURFACE COMflATANTS 4. 27-

in: (LANDE."C'RT -,-r DLAE Z

II RISUPE I E R =E TV F t< F i: .2

I E~hrT, E:FCJ 4-

* Y RETHZflJ414 17

TIN

AIR TEp,. IT IC 1,-. ,

AFMi' Y' GRCY4D .

c -'E S: 0',FATEZIC E"_i-'rEr'I T:

A':-,W (LANL, E!A*-,ED ) :,-', E

A':SEA E:A:.EL) I. IATTACK SI'-:=: 5 1C:ARR:IER EBATTI-E G-:U'I:' ,

MINE WARFARE ' 0

S IRFACE C.OMEAT ANTS, 4. 25AIFR JIFEF IIRIT"(LAND 'A.ED ) 2. 'I

AIR ,.FE ,i CRITY(:SHI E- .:E.') 2. '

INTEF'CE'T-I:F' AIR:RAFT C. Of

41 1-

N I C+FEL

AIR INTEFR,IC:TION 5AR i:R 'II1: 4 ".-

CA:1 72

STRATEGIC: E;CME:ER 1 7

A=- (,EA F:A,-;ED 1

ATTACjF EU-E .5 13

CARFIER L;:4,TTLE GRIO-U 10 -

MINE WARFARE "

;IIR;AC:E C'OME-ATANT'S 4

A .IR JFE . :F- I TY (LANEi E:A'-;ED) 2. -

AIR SLIPEF-:I0RITY(SHIF E:A;EE') 2. :'' F-,:_.EF'T ;F: AI F:C:FA T '. O

41 21

.

,, .- ..

S "

.. .. -. -.'. .. .... .....--.- , '. : .. .. -.. -. .. .: .. .:- -.. -. "- ..: .: .: ... .. ..- .. .. ..: :. -: : .. .. .' .. . - ..: . ..: -. . '-.0 .

CCOALTA- 7--.COE R A C:A . 4 4 .".i

F-4 AIR INTERDICTION 1. 55

F-16 AIF INTE 71CT I--CA-. 4C, 4075

ART. ACRFT C:A':; 67

RADIO RLAY AIR INTE T ICT. -, " 5, C. :, 7275--

F-111 1," 7 7E , 0r,' F-ill AIR: I :TER ICTIOC,\ 12 :: ! '

A-6 AIR I NTERD I CT I ON 38 :144

F-15 AIr IN7EP;I!-T 17 '; t:::

A-7 AIR INTERDICTION 51. 7525F-14 AT F I N E ::C IO ;- IN.7

AIR INTE RD CTI&47

H -A,- w( A 1-4 EED 1: 75

H,: A W (SEA -:A'::E) ;6 4ASW (SEA E:A,:-EE) -;4 72:-:4

ATT. SUE A.W (-EA L-:A.ED) 24 11-7

FRI'ATE, A'- SEA E:A-,ED) 14 47"1* D :TF:O YER' A'-hW ( '-E.E, EA"-E ', ::-: 6 '2

M-4_ ARMY GROIUN,M-60 AFM Y GRCOJ.'D 6 1 1:-

M- 1 AF:'.'R' 1--4RilUNr 6,.7. 7'')M-55! ARMY ORCUND 2. C)

T -S AFT ArMY GO._IUND 5A -4iI M-2!'M- 3: ARM Y' GRO-(JUD 47 45'-:

M-113 ARMY GROUND !5 Z. .

MLRS ARMY GROiUND 20 :3:47TlW E 1- AFT. AR:MY GROUND 27, 119 2SELF-PROP. ARMY G-ROUND 36. 15'--.:?

,,F.'R:-H ING ARMY GROUND S . 07"-"15G ALe'::MS AF. e C' RH l~r L-,l1'

INFANTRY ARMY GROUND 7. 5Z IMORTER:-; ARMY GF:C UND 6. 9122PCLE' LN':H ARMY GR:'IUND I. 5,-:20(

r-C N .4<, -0 ,". IN .IN ,t 0 C, - '' Cl If- I ' I: ; ' i ' .. ,-,1 0 '.' r. r- C: .A, - I"'' CC IN -> U- rt IN, : C' r- Cc O't -":, -. ,,7 'c ' 'Z,' N N : 4 "j0 -

0' N <o rl V-, c, - c . q '6 LO,",,'.t: - .0', C! IN -4, ,:- i , -- 4N ¢ ,' :.,: -

Q-1 161 iri 16; oi 'i -cr , e: 5e.; N (,4 C.4 1,4 C, -, c-, Cq q¢;c .

0 wrc ' L -

4x r W ( C L-

- g !1: *'"

III I C I I I IC I .JC' X J i !Z XC IC-Z u. ti.. E L U EL C X: Z Vl V, C' IC , 1: U, LL M i, r Z C -E

l E '-'4............... .. 0, "0 "i. - . L '. r r ' :I:':r' - -

TIN

A - - -- r

F-4 A:RF I NTE'I TIOT, jIT: C.,10c . 7 27 34A-E - , 71 :

C-L 4 1, 4,'-"

ART. ACRFT C," 3 6,7RADIO RLAY Ai INTERDICTIO "N-:. 2 -: ,r

2 7 "-F-Ill AR INTE.DI:TIC: 1' 3:-

A'; INTE'-. C TI-7 4 -'--.-

F-15 AIR INTERD ICTI'DN 57 5;2:A-7 AIr. INTECZ-] ' TI:t. 54. 725F-14 AIR INTERDICTI INw 4 - 1'F-I ' IP ITE I.TIO E

Et - LTAEP P I '-- I -D!

.H - 2 A'-l-P'_E - E- ,

SAE.W, E:ED) 34 72S4ATT. : A'-.W ( E L:A-EL',) 14 4701FFI ATE,. A':_,W .'EA E:.A-. ED) 14 47:'1D PT: ERE. A-.W (E EA E '1 - 6-M-4 ARM. P 4 2135M-6 APY G'JL" 6 77'

55: ARM C,: UND , N.r.

M- 9 01 ARMY GPO'UND 6. 77,-M-2 M- : AR .MY C R-_i4 &.

1-112 ARMY Gf OUND 0 75MARr Y RC'NL ic. jO 'I'7TOWED ART. ARM Y GROUND 4. 5'

ELF-PROF AFM ',RC:tD 6.-.PER'- 'HIr ARMY GRIIJND 15 81P.C:LCME: ARMY GROUND 26, 6 -

* I NANTPY A"1 k 22 c, 4

M CRTERE. ARM' GR2 U.2PCLES LN:H ARMY GROUND 0 2'6

C C., - ICC' . C, -- " ,"4' .- . C'.-, . . - t . LS - <, -, " - V N , C -- ," 4 , - , r- , , -

Li

I

0 .>N - , 0", 0 4 - C. Zt"" > Zl Vl --, Ixl0. .Ji: 0 " L'

" 1 C"C' c"X(Ito"Z W <1 V I C, (N V! ,L .. --

-X - - La..L-, - W,-- '0 -q C' c, I cr - - I X' -- N C ., ' " i , 3 " I- -. , -0 I I I Icz I I I I _J T lViC-X J 0 I I I L.I C ZC : C I I'_-_Z LL LL LL LL C(I L_ .wIL CI LL C:I E 0, Cl , CL LL (X if,, ,1. I T_ Z E V, ,X E ii, t-E E .E

z U L C ..c.r0-0 C . .r . . . . ..... .. s.r.

N iELrr- z A C .A':7 -:.

F-4 AIR iNTERDIC.TI Cir 77. _ 6-C Ac 5. 4 51

4 1. r- 16, A Ir, TEF.:: , -c :-7 -T

A-T_ ACRFT C.A_2 4245RADII RLAY AIR INTEFi1:-I:TIUN -

F-ill AIR INTER, CTI 2- -7,

A-6, AIR INTE;DICTID,.4 ''F-15 AIR INTER DITIN .75A-7 AI: INTE'r I TT N F-14 AIR INTEFL I'-TI-IN 4:-:F - AIR INT E' T C:., :'--H - A'-' '-EA EAS-EL) > C 'Z

SH A'$W(SEA E.A'SE') 17 42

-.--: A: '.EA E'.A'-.EI -4 7 .4ATT S'-: A-W C 'EA EASED 4 414,FF:IC GATES ASW(SEA E:A'SEi) / 0461.1r -R,YERS- A:_,', (SEA EA"D 5 6

* M-4: AM I GROCr'J- i 4 7-C:ARMY IRO'.Nn A7 ':

AriFr GFLID75 -1["-551 AFM, flF IHC'E ,: 5!

M- .'? I AlrMY GROUND 47, 45'.: .M-2 'M',-3 AFr G '3r,t"M-i I" AP:' r! RLIurc y 2-C- -" "t.RS AF,.rl V RC.Ir: -.:.4TOWEL, ART. ARM' GROU'DS L E r-F'F -F' A="' C.,".JNDi. 4-'_:21 '

FEF =; H 1 N ARM',' GROUND I . 07'-75GLC*M'-_- ARMY GROUND 22 5--):

,; ' Py A.r V N3R _rL -:7 . 5i D RTE R-. ARr; ' C.R'UN, I5. :'IN'5

F:OLE'-. LN::H ARIY GROUND Z 2240

C,-. ,_3 ci * C , q ., C-4 " - C C, CC, cl,. .. .- " ' C , C'O , P. r. -- C - - I 0 ,",t9< ',,0 - Cl ,IN C-,, ,g" N C' ,C, r- <,,,I- , 0" FT ' 0 - "c r : < r- f; ¢a.. - r." :

C. I'0 ('4 0 1 <1 ," A o" ,= ' ', r"-4 N ,0 , N -,0 'C ' - , . '.. " - "'3" C4 Z..,. 4 ' ::L.' .r .: .4 .: , .4 . .C :r- . . . , ;, ,-,. .,. .. ., , , I,. l . . ,.4 ,. -. -. -- , .

c- CO <- C! V! L , ,, ' 4, ,- e , (,'I , eC - 4 I(N - -4 - -4- , ,

" 'a

C,, >_ IM cr_LU ,:,~~' ,(Li ,, _ -

cc. =0 -, ,r 41 w Z V, ILI 1 _,-JC. t-- !w- C ,' >.

_7 C.' ' C L Ls-- W cI c cww'- #cr".: "cc' Iw ,crtI"'e-- ,."

CZ a a I a S I a I C I I O L.I I S C- I -Z I r I _ L.J C o , L C I s cZ a L .L LLL LL Z C LL Z C LA_ 0 V, X l :<1 ,- , 1,171b LL .C! X ,- LL r V1 ',' M Q ." .-."

F-4 A:F- I NTEFrl lr'

F-it 164.T Z. IW : : : :'7;

ART. AORFT A,--*RADIO RLAY AIR IV-r'r ICTI104 Z

A- 6 AIR I NTE.D II:TI IN 4F -15 A I P I NTERD-Ir..,.N -71A-7 A i rzir NT E rZ'AC T IC4. i.

F-14 AT r I NTF rtTCTUrI CtcF-l IT Ir2.TEF;:-I'K-S.H-3- A':.W('(;EA EAB"--ED,) 6 4 -7

Sh-tUE A', W3SEA. I-A'B:,E .

S ' A'-L (,;EA AB.^ EP), 4:. 4:1 ')4ATT. SULE P A=W k=E A F$AED ElC i4 -;FF IGATEc- A'. W(SEA EA,:-IF' 2 'C,Z

Li:.Tkt--YER,- A,- W' ( E- 12A E 154M -4'S APMY GROUND 12 61554/M - Att rnv, 1' y*'M- AP t-. -'3C 'IC ' - -

1 C ARMY GROUND C) 2/ 't6tf.

M 1 ARM1Y GE C4k 2-/M--,~~ '--a F,

M FM A 'Y T Ci R I II tCD 54 'CHLt F ARMY GROU-ND jV4'jTCIWsUF ART ARMY GROUND 2 7

E LF -FPROF A RM ~' GOUND 3C I$'4PERSH ING ARMY GROUND 15. CS1 %

* flL' A~'MYGROUND 2': SI

ItFZANITRY ARMtY GROU1 ND 6C0. 26.4--MODRTERS ARMY GROUNDjr 26/

* POLES:- LNC:H ARMY GROUNDf C). 2 2V6 C)

6 c 'N- v n .c - ~ 'X'4 N0 $ C'C V P N 4 N (0l C'X 'N - 0- . C"cV! n~lv~ z C .CC! CC--CCr. C . 0'"V - ctN CCfCiN<.''

0 ~ ~ ~ ~~~~C ...c <1 'N U mm Li - ~NN'N-- ~~-4--- ~

(rj

CA

LUJ CL. v; I C0 61L cC V C' CC -j CL

cCM~lCC= Q~~'! C L Z Lu C.~.4 CCAC(C ix'- >

Z- E Cm CI LJJ CrIt M I C'0 VC'S-'c'C' V C'af C'.'T EL <ILtLL. - 0 Ca 'JU.CCC"-''-' W

oc L t 4 I - r L,- 1- I I c - I - IC I I I I I I Z I I I I0 IWr.J I XIj C - CCIT.JW I 'I I CcU:Z*LL LCLLL.C X zCLL-CrCcr ViCW- XrcA r:C Z rFC aLLr

TT 7 d? U E4:E 14. 47C1M-4- Fccr C j.

4:'-'- fl~l4~7 ZT.-

TO:WED 4 -T .Ar- I3CIL'Nl? 1. 3fE ELF-PPOr'. A P t tr 4 1:4INFANTRY 4C-",1y fl1ll~l7

NC'F:MAL I TEE VA'Jlf%~I NRFA',TP t -,Q

EELF-P*RC-I "J' {flt

MCI RT E RE". 4 9000'TOWE D APT 4

ATT SUdE-M - I IC) '.7 -3',(

ALL

F-4 A P I NT EF: rICT 10 N 4 14 , Zw.

F- 16 71:.

RADIO' RLAY A I. I NTEF1, 11:TI ON 0~ 1 Zc4F~~~~ -, :: f- )7

F-111l ~ 2: 1NTEPD.Ti 7 OJ c 47:-,A- A I I t4T E =, Z1 C 7 1 '::ti

F-15 A! P I NTERD I'CT I IN 2 24:-'A- AF I N T EFL!T' P

F- 14 A I R: 1t'T EF.,DI CT I CINF-A IF: I' : EF I T IC

p EH - 0 1~~E)(

A':W(E FACSED)ATT SUL:' '= ~ v.~( S F E:A,-.ri ) IFFRI Ci T ES. A:. t,'E.EA E:g4-EE,) 0. 75,24

* M 4 gARM l CFUNL I 2*

M - A cI T' r.R nsjr0 IN(

M-551 I\S A :.:~N C) 1:E

* MLR'=- ARMY~ GROUJND 0./ 67:-:-TOWED APT. c.FzMY CR:-r:JN 1, 204'EELF-F*Pi-l . ARM'.' GP-DUII 1. 6/272PFE R'_; H I N A:MV GROUJND 0. 6 7 1:C'LC*M'= AR!Y GROU'LND 1I. 05 4

I I INP A4T RY A .- v CI-1-N: 27. 4106MC'FTERC: ARMY'r C'RC(NP 1. 21 Z'SPi:LE'E LNCH ARMY C'RCIND 0 0212

VI N I <B,;1:: , C;C, U1Y 1"

-1

DL (A'- CriZ LL: (r,.- 0Cu <rwzcI Ifcl K L C. C U' - E C I V' (

C'~~~~~~~ ~~ ZI I I" (I 'IIIIwi III c ~ ~ I I -Ic . U. 1. 0L 1 1 1 1 w . ~ f C ~ - If' u.. L L S S ~ ~

z LWwwaL U :L Ic!EE ,EIEELI( LC LZ

. .. . . . . . . . .. ...

CRITICA~LITY Cc SH :'rTFALL

(LC: 3)S T CC $HC: - T FE/ IC~~C r

P -' Q7~ r -'T> CR:ITIC- FE -

1 ~TY (U%:T 7 S UIP & C % L(ATED IMF~ DR7 ALITT' 0V:STh,_T : 4 43 ; z 402 5 41S 1

r:v EL :20:0 1010 47. 71PL)IlF':PARF ACIID I~Y A ) 0 e:o1 1, 2: a.6 24

Jl~aETHRUMv

C CMFC'r: I TE I MPCF.TAN": E(LO:2

SOCLR:E SUPP~LIED' T10-L IMPLO<U-d.CE 1/C V'CIVNLAND 135ck 7. 71 1 92 C 520) 4 0 W

M. AL)CCCI 45 1 iT . !Q C' 617 1 7171 Su T WN,: 5 1 4: C0. 71 1. 4r:4L

SECYTH APF 1CA IN 0 66, I 14, :0' 1

z X 0 51 4 - I -, _- 0 5-,(:,Z.- 1 E1~ PZ'' ?tw ('0071 1 A44 2

PHILIPPINW-, 5,- 2') 2 1 (

A '1RL 1 2 20 o. 1 :.701 IJCALEDONrIAc :59I 1 4S 0 92 1 OSE7 I f-

CA AI10 .2 2.J '-- 0. 1:4S 2 I

LI S.I)C 5. 71 2. 56: 301 2 T

T CTAL . 175.:),:) 1 (). C)IC)

P ~1CA"OUNT O~ CF COi:MPOS ITES LK SUPLIED' TO:TAL IMF'L)TA2N:E I iCl %(I' /

Ail.TRAzIg 100 0' Is C0 c; 1 0'-:7 I' 1' I 1uI s 16io 10 .8 2 56 () 30 al

T AILAWN 5*70l) S: 73-. 0~ C,2

j, I 0):7 4::

I Lr'NEE A 5800 8,: 51 0' jlZ ()::7wL 100C (). 15 1 F, 6. 510 (l 075

E: LIVIA I 03'9 15. 24 C) 9"-: 1.02C 15 4-P: AZIL 2490 3 55 0 S6~ 1. 162 4 12mC 3009C) 4 44 24-7 0 405 1 7'!

MALAYS.I A 23MV0 35 3& 6' 0 2 1 067 3S 414

TOTAL ~.A~~ IC':):

C:!,'F' :£ E 11E I MFClRTfrJ;:E

F I NL AN ), IS2N I' t.EL

IL ~ E' " E.' ",- 1F"-Ii--1 2NIE - ICI -

FINLAND 100.. 0. :'':. 1 v.- 520'":'-

InTH AFRICA 5.Q. 1. 64 1 IE' 0.41 I --

F !ILIPFINES 5",1 I a:--:f -

AlI:TPALIA Z50"00 - 1 j (?1 -7 g

I. -. :-28 ?1 2 . 0 301 11 :

GREECE 6 DO ' 2 -Q! -c 1

rWrTHERLAND. 200 0 (17 - 0. 0 c

F .- 1 S .'" 1 C. "- i j. ( 1 ' -', _I5c -lW ,A ,.I ', 50 '., 0: 1 A" I J'': 1''

t '" REPL'F :I too 4 -' : 5: ,"' - -

C PTAMALA A000. 1 31 1 '5, Q 4045

INDONESIA 5000 1. 64 0 2 . -1

- --' --4 1 - - --

l-lrT :r E I E '-.T ....E

C L1:1 .7-''(LD12

I FLUI0-:-:F'AR A;: ID

AMO'_.-.T % OF C,1"1 _1 TE

-SUFPFL I ED TOTAL IMFORTANCE 1 1CI %' 1 /"C'I)

,- 2 T7 Az: P I- " I :j ( -". 1 1

u -, 70. ':. 70 2 56 1) SR 1 - .2

ITALY 65 _ 07 1 L 0 510 A 14 lC

i A AIN 100 12 42 j '5, C. 510

E. ST ATRI-. 25 -. 11 ', 71 1. 404 4 2"-'

THAILAND 15. I. 8/. 0. 92-. 1. 0:-7 2- 5

r lC : 250. 4? 4- 2 56 Co Tol 17 , .

TOTAL : e05. Il(). 00

COMPOS I TE I MF'ORTAN': E( LOC 3 )

PYRETHRUM

AMOUINT % OF COMPOSITE

C IIRCE SUPPLIED TOTAL IMPORTANCE I/CI soy,71I

SOUTH AFRICA 2000. 1. 01 1 15) 0 841 0 :53

Al .ET RALIA 1500. 0 76 0 92 1 087 .:5.

11000. 5. 57 1. 96, a 510 2 :- A

' NYA 80000. 40. 51 0 71 1 404 56 :805

RWANDA 25000. 12 66 C' 71 1 40'4 17. 767

1 NZANIA 78000. 2C 40 0 71 1 4,4 !55 4::

TOTAL: 197500. 100 00

( LO0: :.3)

*.'. I ,'- ',F LL NCiMF' I MP OR IT:C A g IT Y TFT-TA! Ti: 10':

1 4 41TF r)A 4 .L12 - E-' U1 .3- 12 6:

MCIRL L:L_ _ _ I -?, ,-_ 40 5 -'?E:OTSWANNA 2 005 7 : 1 15 6,6. 6 41. IHTH AFRICA C -'- -" 1 5,'

2 A I RE 21 ,4.Q, 7. l "' :: E.. E..

ZArr: I A , 7. 21. 7PHILIF'FINE'-. "' 7 E- 2 42 'A- 771 1F- A:' -NEA CALErI'NIA 1 2 7 :-1 12 12 A. _

U 7 . 4,-', 7. 5

AU.TF:AL.IA (o 1' i 1 *:') r):i. cci, :T F A LC I A 6

THAILAND -' 4:- C' ':o 0 0: 0 c)(

0., O). 0"7"i, 0 0 O1 C h',

F F: C1. 7 '- i (Ci 0mC) i

M.LAY:,~7' 414cc c

F I r4LAD 171 ?0 , I. 0 71 f. 7 0

1 .~ ~17, 7.AIz L TF: I.4 1:1. I.A :8. :C' 24CANADA 1. 7.-4O (0. 1 70 5 4,

L Y-EEC E 0.i 11o () 1 (:11 , C 41NE THERLANIVE ci 034 100 C) ":4 0i 1F A i:) .17 Ci; C:) u. 17

y ,C LAV IA 0. (1,7:4 11: C m )- -i :T41 742 10. 0 17.2 / -

DOM REFUE:. (in 1 v 0 (1/:C, -!C

I:'UT A L A I -.1 I5 C),0E 6.1 5ID NESI:' : 1 7E:5 10. 17 '5 7 ,(',7

AL)'DNTF: I A 8 -1 1 - 17.:' S:: 24 "-/.

F JOR5=;FAF,, AC IDSOUTH AFRICA S. 55 160. . 5 84U S- 4 02 5. 5 29 ). 10 11 511ITALY 4. 1 -2 (00 4 51 5 255 24 14 42SPA I N L : 6.5 5 c 4.22 2.1;E AS;T AFRICA 4 F:). 55 17 2 15.26THAILAND 02 -5: 6 5 17.2- 7. c-MEXICO 17. -,I 0 :5 145. 5 59.57

F'VR-,ETHR IMSOUTH AFRICA 0. e52 4 , C. 51 1.5 S15ATALIA4 625 4,. 1 4

S8424 24. 5. QKENYA 56. 855 4 Cl 244 2 - 10:). 00l

..WA..A 17 76.7 4 :(, 74 34 26. 254T ANRIA 55 4 4. c30 ?7 2€ C7

F. ..ETHR. . . . .

R114P F., A'.' 5 R E

SSiURC E c-m"- I TY VALUE- KENYA FA RE-H- 0 10 0. (-)

TANZANIA FYETHM ,7,, Z A I ; I A C:OL -:A_ T ',-T' 7A

ZAIRE COuAL7 ,-: -,: ,CANAD"A N I CEL 69.--.0.:

SCIITH AFRICA FLLIO, F-AC; r, &5 ::47 ME X:IC:O FLIID'. B::RAF AC: iT 59. 5,U S NIIKEL 4 "":iA L__=T RA L IA N", _0 ,- 3 6 "-.-. 5 -::

Io RWANDA FYHETHRUM :1. 25I S M.A I N , F L 1 1 F-r -- .-A F -: A ,--! 2 2 . ! -I EA_.T AFRICA FLUORSAF- - D 11._ ITALY FL_'-;FBFA AC I D 14. 4:14 DOM REP'UE: NIC:KEL 1s 22I FINLAND COB:ALT 12.S 2I ' U_ '-; (-.CIZ ' ':; A A C I D 11 . ? 1)

17 AUSTRALIA CC:ALT 7 ?41- IN 'DNE-I -

NICKEL 7. CI FHILIFF INE_. NICKEL 7 '126 L I -; COB:ALT 7. P52 U - N I C E L 7 1:

i A THAILAND FLIChIPAR Av:ID-- , -. C ANAD A CG:,EALT 9;24 BOT.;SWAt4N4 COB:ALT ,. 412 SOUITH A FRI CA N_ _ __T 5.. 65= . .t.- M'R,- C 0 C'BAZT 5. 4 c7 UK FYRETHRUIM ,. 500

2L NEW CALEDONIA COEPALT 4 .:,IATA "IALA N I CK:EL :-:.I":',,SOUTH AFRI CA COELT 2. 0

31 SOUTH AFRICA PYRETHRUM 1. 50: AU'.TRALIA FYFETHRIP- 1. 453. FHILIF'FINES- COA-:LT 0. 9Tl 4 FINLAND NIC:KEL 0. 703' GREECE NIC'E 0. 41

Y_-;LAV I A NICK [EL 0 -4:!7 NETHERLANDS NIC:KEL 0. 14

N FRG NICKEL 0. (0)72:.. MALAYSIA TIN O. 040, PRC TIN ). 0041 BRAZIL TIN 0 004, .OLIVIA TIN 0. 00

• 4 Ui'. TIN '. O0.;.44 INDONESIA TIN 0. 00

4. THAILAND TIN 0. 004 II S TIN 0 0047 AUSTRAL I A TIN 0 00

0I

ii

'a

S

SCENARIO 21

h

0

S

S

0

WEIGHTS ,n PEI .>4 y LEVEL c, t C:OtLI :T arn d MEDIAL C C:,-,71li:1:: Me ia 1,

rF ' . i ,,n l' .;4 -_....",'_.-

CE Cl 17:-:. 0, 11j 0 () ::- .::. _ . . 1'-_ (3 (3357 0. ( - --- C -- -- -- :,-, C). ;1',j

c.. r 4rf-

W-.i.ht. Q ' ...7 IQ 0 7.0 1. 0 E:. 0 7. 0 , K

W I t ah .oI C:EF C). I3 : 0 1 -3 2 C , - : . , ".Z: i/-7 0- - - ' - 1067 0 r- I ":./A-I.'COEF C). 1200

m Le .e c+ Confli -: Meaa :--:F cr, 1 2 " 4 5,%t. ,ftt 10. 0 I,-. 0: 1K', ' :: 0i c- 4. C' 2= 0

I. OEP 0 17:=/. -j72'/- 0 1 7C- 0 142 C '1 () 0 7C14 0 142Le'el ,:-I L,crflict :_1, 'ltcaa 4

, ,i,,r, 1 2- ]: 4,.-h l I'. , A. 4 (A.i 2 C' 1.

I. ?CE;7 0 C::; 0 C). 117,5 0. 0')::

I NFLLIENCE COEFFICIENT -OVEP ALL LEVEL OC' CONFLIC'T3.'0o t1" e 7 E.:Tar',, :, CC r , "ir, EA-H r,-'-:ar, H'lilhI: i!- . .

Me d. IF. 1 on 1 2 4 . . 7 :'

I .OECF 0 0220 :2:E: C 0 A-. ) 0 j14 C' l 0 -,' ( :,'4. ' -4, 0 0i14 1 i 4 ,(4.- iP

Media 2-- i ,:,r, i -- 4 56, 7',-'' .

F-

; 71 E 0. ':71 0 Or17i C. r154 C. C(:) ' 0. ':31I I'C':' . C);::5 0. ('C17 0. 012= C'. 0112 i 1C:5I ER (i 0 ( £,M -I, T -

- 4 5 7R:e icor, 1 -- , 6. 7

- 0 - 0 O2E ' 0 ': '' E-: 0 - 0 0-' 0 1:-'-

1'nr 1 2 ': 4i GCOEF 0 ('752 0 02:01 0 0150 C. 0075

-I,ortarice of cont rollin, ' ANY Regicri"t, hir its Media as ,ccrnr'ired t,: the Impo:rtanc,_ecort rollirc, AN2Y Re gi or cf any t-her Media

M ia IP e i o i 1 2 4 5 6 7

./ ,-OEF 0. 00'.- . 0o:,'-- 0. 0070 0. 0C:50 0. 0070 0. OC2 0 .C)C20 0. 0050 0. 0020 C; 00&:M. ia 2F-j i o, n 1 2 4 5 6 7 : 9 10Mledia 11

R honI .:OEF 0. 0037 C). 00-:7 C. (03' 0. 0015 0 0026 0. 00?1 0. 0004 0. 0030 0. 0C026 C 0(9I./C:CIEF 0. 0033M--ia 3F: ;i 1 2 C 4 5 6 7IYC:CIEF 0. 0060 0. C060. 00:/-, C 004::: 0. 00:C', 0024 0. 004S:Media 4

"R"i on 1 2 3 4*. I"OEF 0. 0065 0 002/-, 0. 001: 0. 0007

•- : .- . . .. : .: . -... . . : . :. . . :: - .. : : .- : .: :.-. . . . .- . : : :.-> : ....- . .: . - : : .. . --. : .. . - -. : .

Fi-F':-E ELEMPr M TgiC

E'-E r ET F: il E--E' ': Cx- ~ -- -. E: ZN~N U~l Nr E ~ Ntg, 'E VIILIE VA: LLE

117 CARRIER, BATTLE GRFDUP' 0 141 1oO'

- I',' - EL' - F' T:'-

4 16 T T A .--rt Q. 0'721S 1~ SULF""CE 0,C),~g4i 1) 7'.

6THEA-F-P kI.I E; 1 P C)A>-0 57 R. .I :: D EPL C' 5 r-

14 CA'., :,0 C.) 4-::

IQ~ C1 F: 'EJEIO IT - LlE)(

I:.~ I Pi: rEE4.E -F :A .E71 C,.c~*

15 C;Ef;~DW~'~R C TF R' L V 1

I AS. AT Sc. P AC:~ E EED CI C): 0: 117 1: MINE WARFARE C) Ij ~

I:2 AM H IL-I CU-I, gi'-:cEAlLT 0? Vi I c 7'_,7I2 SEF'ECIAiL CF'EFATIC'Ni~j: C.(Ic .722: Agi'E'T (LANr' E:A*:.EEI) C) C'>Cr5

£1 :':' I riFFEN"-:E(Lg ,,'' U :E 0. 004 .2 :.Z E~.~;~ E.2CN L CNTRL 0 C-1

:-F":E EL-:El WEA~ic'14 -2Eg C:t-'TF.L. ' ' :: . 12 4 2-7 giI:m (!EFgiCE PgIc,E-i 0, -~ I-(

:5~~~ 24: 1 ( L Ar; tE: A 0 0') 0 '~2':. 24 INTEFR':,EFTCir- gIFR T C'0C) 0 ( '(Q'c';

711 SLEM ()(1(C) 0. 00K'2:7 1IC: E:M 0" . Q0 00 '

j : CVI~L lEDHENE EC). (:'CK I.~c

204 C:E:W C). OC'()( Cl. ((

* i I t I I' I r_

C:Ai-2::ALT

AIR. I! TUa':-,1,--TIO--N I

ARMy GROIJNZ 4. 52I . CA-: I -

S.TRATEGIC E:CtME:EFR P5,LE~rt(lA=,W(,-;EA :'- EE":) 1 2CARRIER E:ATTLE OIL I( c,

* SURFACE C'TA.T7E. .

AIR SUPERIOFRITY(LAND E.E) 2 '-"EAIR ':'= F OP T '- ] -:-. ' 2;

INTERCEPTiR AIRFRAFT 0. 0-A'7. AT ( L AND 1" E :- E-: lr' r.

T I N

* F :NTEr :IcTI , 5'"

*- A ': I '-I

.TFTE-,I :-'.'E ' I 7A:.W (LAND E-:S.El)

1I . TA F{ r _.,-:'-- L 5, 1:3CrV F,, !EF: F4,- JT..E c< cJ F lu 00

MI4E WAFFARE':=I = AEE c".g S TA1.TB. 4 'A.: F'_:.uIF-AI:RiTY~(LAiLD r-;A'BE') 2. I'

AIrU: SUPERIORITY(SHIF EAED .I rErITE-T: FAIRCFAT ,:, .'A " L A 1 LA-:'-.EL D 0. OC'(

41. 1''

NIC V EL

AIR INTERDICTILIN 5. 6.0ARMY GROUND 4. 92CAS-; 1. 72

* STRATEGIC BOM:ER 1. 79A':;W (SEA EA,'.ED ) I. 71ATTACK SUEPE; 5. 13.CARRIER BATTLE GRO'UF 10. C0

* MINE WARFARE 0. 89SURFACE C:OMPATANT'. 4. 25A AIR SUFERIORITY(LAND EA-:A,.ED) 2. IAIR SU'PERIORITY($HIF' E:AED)A,. 2 :-:INTERCEFTOR AIRCRAFT C. O0

41. 210 -,

FLU:Dc:SFAR ACID'

r-IRl IH 1 E-:C1,-,' 7

I C R trc

C;1t 7-

PE;.W(LAND EA3:ED'g''wr$Eg, F;AE.E)I

- CARRIER BATTLE '3RIDUF (C.URFACE C0ML,.4TANT$

TIR $..jFER I F2 TY(CLA*tJD E;4$Er.'A!1 P SUJFP' I1 DP I TY USH T P' E: A_ SEINT7EF.::-ErTior-,TCRFSEV (LAND E;:ZEEU) 0 0);0

*PYRE'T HRU!,!- -- -- --- -- -- --- -- --- -- --

AFT T' IL DrN EU

* 4EW(EE~,B4EED)0. 14L4Z:RIEF: E:4TiTLE GO'UP Cr0SUFAE C.OMLLATANT$_ 4 '25

17. 0;_'

N NI C:L-.EL I C 4 1 4121)TI N 4t 41. 1::)FLUOPS;PAR ACID 6,C -'l

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F'YR-ETHRFni~t 4. 14 1 37. C)

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rgc7- -*-C : E; I: A C :. 4$ 4,.I

F-4 AIR 1 T4ERD IC TI!:[','I L C-: 74-F-it gpA I r ER 71- .... 5-7

CA, 40. 4('75AFT. ACPFT CAS 7: 6:':,67RADIO RLAY A r' INTER ICTi,_:iN - _

CA. 7275F-Ill AIR INTER'I CTICN Or'A-6 AIR INTERDICTION 144F-15 AIR INTERD I I- T I OtN ( :

RAI INTERD ICTI, CN 51. 7t25F-14 AIR INTERDICTIto, 4 1 1F-I- AIR INTERDICTI, -Q

SH-' ASW (SEA EAE:-ED ) 6 C:)77'H-2 A'-W ,SEA LAED 5 I"

H H-6OE' A'- W ('EA EASED) - 4-A'-,W ( SEA -:ASE') :, 7214

ATT. SUE AS W (SEA E:A,-.E E) 24. I1FRI',ATE'; ABW SEA -;ASED) 1 4. 47hS :-.TROYER:_: A'-. ( --EA E-:A-.EI) /M-48 ARMY GROIUNDr 27. 96-'7M-i ARMtY GROLIND / 1 0 1t-I AFM'T 'ROD 7 7:":-M-551 ARMY GROUND . /)

M-'T,;I AF:tY GROU1ND; 54. 2;':4M-Z/ M-2/M-3 ARMY CiR,-iL ,"-1:1 4-' 4.:,-6I,-:: ARMY GROUND 5. 27M -R?: ARMY GROUND 2 - 4

TOWED AFT. ARMY G'GROUND7 1'-ELF-PROP. ARMY GROUND " -"

PERSHING ARMY GROUND jr. -77,5cif ARMY GR,ODUND 1; i's24

IN:ANTRY ARMY GROUND 7. 5331MORTERS; ARMY GROUND S16. 12."RCLES LNCH ARMY GROUND I "'

C* 1".f l, 'c , V t . C C .. ,q C' U,." , " 0 0 4, . , <, ,. .4 1- , I- r- : -,3.0 : <i " C.,C .- - - , -C,- c' c ,- , C C, 6 -, -- " q it I: .-,Co -4 -4 -4

-4 66C46f46 ' 4C

wr ,4 " crm a r c j 1

I L C>- (I ..C" I.I IE V . o IM. C, X. CJ Z-

W n 0Is0 C t C L T . 1V ,f C LL'

,'- C' 0 C: D Z WWC L CC Q -JNca I -to CM . 3 I X I L- >-I- r -

C- - C1 W I J", C, TI J WM C' Z CC " -

Z -LL L Ct , -L. E LL C r Z: X . I s "., , Z "- 0" LL. "CL C

0

TI NA-I c CA' 7-1 7:

V-4 AIF It 'E~l 11! I --C A'-, -7. ~ 4

F-16 AI P INTE JCIl 7 1 '

AP T. At-R;,T Cr- LRADIO RLAY AIR I NTERE'I C TI iN~

C.A$-,2.7 7F-111 A IR I P!TEF %1::T: ON 12 1$A-6 AIRP I NTE D I CT I CON 4 6.~F-15 AR:F, It4E D-IC:T1 ON -7, .

A-7 A IF: I NTER:I CT IN 51 75255F-14 AI r- I NTE:D I: TIK 4

F-8AIFR INTERDICTI'CN 80 IS 6AEWEEr A E E U

SHE2 C. EgA DEEL ) j c4z.0 1SH-.CIEI Ar W S EEA E. :; ED E-'

A$W(E DiED ":4* 72;E4

ATI3T.'E A=-;W(EA E: A,-*.E 1 14 4701

DE.TRO:YERS AE4. (SEA -:A':$ELI)C:61. -1

'-M-4:-: ARM r GRCIUND L. ,7'1EM-60 ARMY' CGROUiI 6. 7

M-1U ARM-Y GF:CjjjLfN 6677'EM-515IM- ARMYI GR OUND C. 77' f

T IE AT ARJM'Y GRi UlND 4. 77199:mE- 12/ F. ARMY GROUND 6 7KA' 7- 9:-

MER-I I A~ F M Tl G :IN 5 r.P~ I .. '

TCIW:rjART A R MY GROUND 4.$ 519?INFNTRYP ARMY GROUND 60. 2:9

*M7!RTERS, A F1cIY GRCOLIND - .-

RCLES LNCH ARMY GROUND 0. '2 6 0

%--,~~~c- -4Nr C -U- : ,V ' C 11C 4 rl(4I 4 'r4C

<1 Lf I _41C, -C 4 oN L, C" q r 'C . c 7 I L-I NIN - 4- .

-J

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J - Jrz c)-> I CL I

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NICK ELA- I C.E C: 72. 7.=,- FACf"4 ,- 4:-

F-4 AIR INTEF:IT ..O 77. 62'CAB. 5. 4

F-It :-F: I2TE--DICTID ,' 1 :-'- - •C... 40. 4;75

ART. ACRFT CA 2 4 45RAtIO RLAY AIR, INTERDICTION

CA=: 2 7-' 7F-Ill AIR INTERD ICTIONA-6 AIP INTE;,RDICTI-N -, 44 0F-15 AIR INTERDICTIUN 57 Cy-A-7 AIR INTERDICTIOZN 51. 752'F-14 AIR INTEREDICTILIN 4:-:. 51:-F-I:=- AIR INTEPDICTIrI

-. ,- A-J" (':EA ;AB-EL_ )~ / '-,5"7

SH-2 A.W( EA B:ASED) 17. -6.42A' ( E ;AE 1 01 '

- A'W( EA L-:ABiErl) .;4. 72:-:4

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M-i ARM,' GOND- 75 3-1M-5 ARMY C.-O 'D 0 75-iM-S)i AFMY GROUND 47. 45$,

M-2.ri-: AR " .R L 54. 4j -i-i 13 AFr- C;R:U !N: 51 27..:

- AI:MY .-: 20 :-7''4TOWED ART. AM ,,. Y GRO'ND 36. 15-

E LF-FF'C'-,21 A r,' _ r, 4- 1C -".

F'EF:- I tiV A-: :'c C'ttoJZ IS.. 07'95GLCM'-. ARMY GRO'IND ,l 2 . ='?:

I r.ANTF"Y '"a m RCZ, T7 AC-C-

MOPFTEF:-, A C t 1 S 1 -RFLES LN-H ARM GRf, INE 0. 22 6

r" r-4' ZCA CO I N r- - -N ,~.12 CC' ' "" ' =4 -- ': t N '' ' F r' -1 oj U' -;-- 'C, "- t I r" "Ol !N' P,7 ? ; 'C't . ."'°

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-- - - - - - - r -s - - 1 * * - *.-'- -. - - .5 . -- . - -L -~ A - .a -.

0FLISTIRE;FARF AC iri

F-4 A 11R I NTE'-:-I T !;r.- 7:

F-.16 A IP I NTE:D I CT I,- NCt4'U ~C.A.:* ~

A4F'1. A,- FFT C.-.: 7

RADIO' RLAY A IP I NTER I C:T I ON

F-111 A INTE:.J'ICTID' 1,/-17A- 6 A I PI lNTEP:D I C TI 4-j 1-

* F-15 AIR I N1EFRiI -_T10.- 71. - :fA-7 A IR INTERDICTIOIN 64. 6.F-14 ~ I R I N IE r-: L -: TI FtJ''*1*,F -I E: IR I NTE:D II:CTI Dtl s '._=:4,7,

H I~>17. AH tr:L. W(EA 7c:g -:7r

A:: g~w(E~ A E4A1..4 i

FRL3*TE LE AS;W S E. A-g:E 2:. :-: :F F I i TEF:'E; AS;W (S.E I B-:AED:)12

ri TR YEF A:=RMYSE F:AIND) 12. 154'--

ARM ' '3R-1.'ND 'u -:-#4

M'-51 A.iY G'ROh..Nr

m 01' AiRAMT '3RIr _ rZ:5 4 4ARFMY O~R IA 54

rd M 'RF -1 GIJ-ND 1TOWE' ART. AFRMY CIRI:?ljND4E

E;ELF-FR'F. ARM'Y G'ROUND

F~C~ HIN RM~ C CItN

INFANTRY ARMY G'ROUND 60.27 t /4:',* r,9 TEP:'i= ARIMYOR N*RC--LES, LNCH ARMY~ GROUilND 0. .2.2

I.. (c 1.:, 1 1 c0

c.: -- cr. cr c (

-C Q 6C Lo~ r' t o -4 -C.,V ic c - -'

(Al

- I CL kl' X "4 >_<E ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ (u E < CL L Nr T cl r

'. I II4 zI I TJCW L cl I I .- '-' 2: u SZ r - LL (I LLP LL Cr i

7. .7 .

F ;'FE-T H R JMAT7h SUE-lI A'E.W (E E-:i:-tt 14, 47t-4a M -4:c A

Ari-/K; gF-r - 11-4j -7. 4 :A

M-1 13 A P"F',- cJrcNTOWED ART. ,, 4M C

SELF-PROP. AP"T1, ~'1t-'-1 4INFANTRY A Pri7 cev.

- MC'IRTERE; ARMY ACJC

NCIRNi.I ZED VALUIES.I NFANTRY10O§

SEL.F-PROF. 5./K)t, DF T E -:E_ 4 Cfl)

TO:WED ART. 4 ZOYK'M-4.:- .-

ATT. S;E 1. I 2-CM_- 11 7000

ALL CCtiCD1TIE3A - 6-. C -7. ',-' ..:

C A,:- IgC J2.O Ar:AE, . I '.

F-4 AI R IrcTE; :TI OtN

F-16 AIR INTEFDICTIOr ON4:-:I.7: ' 1 71 "

Ar--T ACRFT F '- 'RA:r:O RLAY AIR INTERLI-ION C 1 0t4

C A.: 0. cv I''

F-I I AIR INTERDICTI ON 5 4Q-7A-t AIR INTER1ICTIO: I 61F-15 kIR INTERlICTION 2 44I A -7 AIR INTEr-DICTION 2 -' O::..A-74 A I R INT ERL:I CT ICiN .9'F-14 A IR I NTERD I CT I ONF- 1 :-- A I P I ,TEF, I C T I ON 7 ,-

H-= AW ('SEA E:AED) 0.21A,:: ( EA 7:A.ED- (0. 62 5

SH-60- ASW (SEA EASED) I. 04- 7A' -, AW (=EA E EED) I 47A

ATT. SU-:, A':,W ( '-EA PAS-:'ED) 1 254FR IGATE- A'E W(SEA E:A-,ED) 0. 75 ,4t'S,TR YER- AW( EA E::A':.E E 0 4 15,M-4 ARMY GRIOUND I 2.-6M-60 ARYY C-IINrD 2 C] -: -'.."M-60 ARMY GRUND 2. s:: ':'M-51 ARMY GROTUND 7. 2:

/--,0 1 ARl Y OR .DUN, I. 62 '712M-U r-S: ARMY CIR,UNLI I. 6,2u2M-I S 3: AFRMYV GROUND , 22MLR- ARM, GROUND 0 /-

i I TO 1 ART. ARMY GR0I'JD 1 T4-.EL--F'RCIF'. ARMY GROUND 1 72F'E r:IH IL ARMY GROUND 0. 6' nGL CM'- ARMY GROU D j. 0 "1N =ANTRY ARMY GROUND 2 410 /-MORTER:: ARMY GRI-:JND 1 21

* [ RCLE:-. LN:H ARMY CROUN 0. 06

C' ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ K I" i,0;,4 " C'.? } N s .4- c3 .4 , 04 '' ,3: , :C'-- ,-1 .;zf , '- 0:. .- ' - " .0 C. 'tC ., N Q CC'C Nr: L1U1Lj ~ Zc. V CC0 "C ' ' "t "I " , .1 V -' CC ,c' .4- V. "- " C -

c; o:;0: b-; V- ,: ,# ,c- , c, n-: c*; ,:, i i ci ., i ci.,' N 04 ci .4 .- -4. -' - ,--;,;,;,- '.

'IC0 .)- H

W o (,1- ,r, C .

CC QC Ix 'Cff WZ £14 zC''... 1I- C I C',: CC C --'- >- C:

z cI Er ow (llCr c Cc, 1 -r -- C, C,', VC C c L C'. ". , .CC! J r- 0 , i ,"' 1- (A X.-

C -4 't - --4- LL. N 4E C ' - 'C J N4c C i' HT 3 IX C' I " CL CC I H- ; -~C I I I I I I Z 1 0 I I W 1.UJI I I I - OC J CC%:JIl: - I IC '! M I (LZ LL LL LL LL C - a U r r LL C 0 r r V r 1 H Z C. (: LL Z.. S. Co J IX E :C

Cr-: T l:_A-ITY '-F :_k-RFTFALLALL FE I

TS'-:T -' ' ::TFE , .. : - :

GOAL F LE FALL TRAriE.- CMPDI TY CRiTI- E r-

COMMOITY ItTS- ) (ITIT-. (1I) LATED IMF'ORT. ALIT - I : "5ALT : 4 -4- 7 4 - 4' :*5 41 -

TITNr 42 C, 1,: 1 3%: (I u II'rEL ....n('1 -,., : -" _-,:5, , L-.7 7 13K £'. ":':1 1 5

LLICIF:'-FAR ACID 140E. 395. 0 -3 1 j ::.T '-I ', 6 - 4 . ,,'FETHP,'LIM 5 3-; 0 C'. 0 -:o ' ' 453. ,:: 4 1 1.: -1 - -

C ITE I",-I:TT TEL-, ,-

AMOU tNT ;. OF CCIF'C:- ITEL-,R E LI' FL IED TOTAL I MF,_1: TANIE ILl

-, - - -

M'F"'" C C 450 2. 14 1. 50 6 /--7 71T :-, i1 . - I 4 0. 71 1 "

-4

._ITH g'PlC- Zr; C 71 1I

ZAIRE 125>:' 5 ' 52 C)2 .. -'

" L I JL 'FINEE- C. 2E4 ': -

. TF.ALIA 40K' 1. K 0 C2 I 0 : - ', ' ... ' ... U,:: 1.1'- O. ''- I ('.-3 1 1

CANADA 11 ('0. 5. 24 2. 4' 0 344 1 : 1:

TO L : IT,-,) 21 C('). I :0) C CC

C: M F'r1 ITE IMPCRTANCE

T IN

A lI"Di tT % OF C.M PFr- ITE

IJRCE ELIF'FL I ED TOTAL I MIRTANC E I/C I %( 1./C I)

A IU-TRAL I A Ic'0. 0. 15 0. 92 1. 0:-:7 ). 1611p' C;.. 14100. .' 2. 56 0. :3.7 1o "j'.

iA LA 5,0. . 73: 0. 92 1. 047 '. -:-

1 NDLONES I A 5 -00. S. 5,- 0. 92 1. 0:7 C':- 3UI1 100'1. C. 15 1. 96 0. 510 0 07(-

I LIVIA 10::C0. 15. 24 0. 98 1. 020 15. 54?

I AZIL 2400. 3. 55 0. E6 1. 162 4 125 5

FRC 200'. 4 44 2. 47 0. 405 1 7-

t izAYSIA 2:300. 35.,. 0. C . 1. 087 3? 414It

TOTAL 67600. 10i0 O -

I .

ce._vnC': ITE IMPKWTg:.-E

(LOt: .-: )

NI' EL

a - _-T - r-

LI E -rll T0- IM<_--E i/ci -

'T A A Ct-o- j 64 1C 0 41 1 :"--KL FFTNE-. I - 0 7-

---- _ ., - - - - - ' 0 - - - -

-:E E ,- E - '-. -''i ' "0 5 . , i "

CII

£4

a [r ,: E L It>0 1 4 1 c. - C-r -. !:

TT:rtw ; 44.:: 1 1±: C?,-C

r ~ 1. 1 /4 -

FLI.:-.'-..' iC. 1_ >.

kLK

FLLU: - 7 Tf7,

I A~rJ,'ifNT 7.I TE

SO-1RCE F 1F LI ED TOTAgL IMP:TArcE 1 ': I ". :/ I

- -i 7 6 7 C)i. E,7C :- .5 . O.7::.1 -: 4.),

I rELY ) j I' 0.510 4 1

T A RI 4 A 71 1. 4(-)4 4"IAILAN D 15. I 1 . '' i 057 CI -7

F~~ O.~- -I .FOFOSC:

ME X I': DD0 4- 4.:: ZC7 fl-cA

T ( L 05 100:00

1:cIDM-1 F- T E I F RT ANC1:E

F-YR E T HRPJM

a AMOUNT % OF C:OiMOI:;ITES 'URCE .=PUPPL I ED TOTAL IMPORTANCE I/CI %( V.c IE.:'ITH AFRICA 200. 1 . I I. 1 0. 841 0) I5AU-.TFALIA 1500. 0. 76 0. c2 1. 067 0' ':'L0 11000 5. 57 1. C9A 0. 510 2 -42f [NYA :000 40. 51 0. 71 1, 404 5 :3RWANDA 2500)0 12 66 Q. 71 1. 404 17. 7;7TANZANIA 7::;t . ,:4 0 71 1. 404 5 4_--

. TOTAL: 197500. 100. 0c.S

......................................................................

Ei-,_I CE IMF'P-RTAt4 -E(LI::S

":DU--RCE comp imp- CFITICQLITY T07AL- TD_ toh:

I~-~ llllJ 4 "7 :-l II H . i . "-

b;OTEWANNA I 671 7. :l 1 ()5 5 .'-.0UTH AFFII: (-. '_1 7 :. 1 4 L7 1 :ZAIRE Z V . L. 7 . " 241 74 ': c-FO'ILIPFINE- ( 2 - -- " :-:: , (- .: I

- 4A'TRALIA 2 07, 7. '1 16 16 4 /2NEW CA ED r:A 1 20::- 7. ::. ":m 1':, '-LA",,A i 81- 7 :1 14 16. 5 7-:U- EE TS 7, ,. -

TITK

TH4- I LAND" C. 4 0. 00 0. 0 O_INDONE A 9. :3:2 0. 00 0 I) ,1 4C 077) (: , , (9 _L-,LIVI4 15 54i 0. CC , ,Go & 0ERAZIL 4 107 C. c,:l '1i fU>,F , -' . ' -)(- . .1 7r:AYSIA 3 414 j :,(, ",

r4ICI FLF I NL.' 0 1T1 10 Ch, 1 71

I AFRIC A :.:61 I0. 00 11 Q I' -

FHIL.gIPFINES= 1 78-5 10 00 1"7 -5 7 .1AiE- T,-,A A 1 '-2Z 1 ). 00 w: 2- - -LA D, A 17. 054 1C). O( 1-70 54 6

. '7,

1 S11 :11 10. Ou I'-: I1 4 ":GREECE 0. J0 10 0: i (1 G 4!

* NETHERLANDE. 0. 034 I) 00 0 3 4 C 14FF- 0, 017 1 00() () 17 0 07YUGO0'SLAVIA 0 .S'4 1 I Ci:)U:-.-.R 1 742 10. 0U 17 4' 7 13.DOM REFLIE:. 3 23 10. OC0 $2 -:C I-. 22

a GIATAMALA 0 :41 10 C) E 61 1 53:INDNE-IA 1 715 10 00 17 :5 7- I I

FLUOFR'-EFFAR ACIDSI-OUITH AFRICA is E: ) : S 55 j/4r:. C5 -5 S4L ... 402. 55 2". 10 11. 9'1ITALY 4. 120 S. 55 3:5. 24 14. 4 -:SPAIN 6.: 54 22 22. 1 ',EA;T AFRICA 4 3 5 , : 55 '37. ,29 15 2THAILAND 2. 025 'S. 55 17. 32 7. C-MEXICO 17. 011 E: 5f 145 52 59. 57

F 'RETHRUMSOUTH AFRICA 0. 852 4. 30 . '6 1AISTRALIA 0. 825 4 ?o 3 5 1 . 45It: 2' 42 4 30 1 ..21 5 0KENYA 56, 855 4. 30 244 29 10C 0"RWANDA 17. 767 4. 30 76 34 31 25TANZANIA 55 433 4 30. 2- 1 S '97. "1-

.. .. .. . . . . -: ,. . < -. . . . . .: .. : . :: .. . :..: . .: ... :.. . : . -. :.. > . : : -. . . . : : .. : . .- - . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .- . . ,

RA'" ED' l:-y SOR,.E

ET ' -V, E rlYA F Y F:E : ;I1 0 C :

2A]RE Cl:'-ALT , :7 ANz.AN A''FETH7<c ArN,"A NI.. rELs.:UTH AFFAiD FLU :.FA- A-I. .M EX I C:F0 FLIJh-RS£F AR A;! E. 75

II, E L 4Ai AUSTRAL I A N I F: :EL :- -. -- :

F ,.;A' ':.,A F YF:ETHF: _If1 S! 1Ij ::. C~:O :H . T L -

l '!: IN FLLIO %,'=F' A 'CD 22 1-I

S EA :--,T AFR ICA F LU1OF .:: A l-. A '-I _ !5El

ITALY F LU:'E "A - A Z 14 AI11"M REr'U. N I EL I i

U - FLIhR'[iPAR A C: I D I.1o 1F ILAN4D I -D.,_ : .I t , E':- I A N I .EL 7

-F':ILIPF'INE, r I:EL -7 :

T HIL AND FLU'-:,FAR ILl 7.

A _"_TF, "L -F T /I / TC_ A ! A I A C~l F --Z T 5 7 .

S -I'TH P F' I C t'." I C EL

-. 'T , C. :, A LT 5 :.I4I t PF V ETHC'J 5 flu

M 0 €' ,:1C E F C : E 7', H 7.

, N CLENANEW CALEDO-NIA CE:,LT 4 1C'HTAMALA NI' EL

r-'. A F I , Cl :-' LT I '-

:SCOITH AFRICA FYFETHRUM 1 5,)1 AU':.TRALIA FYRETHF:JM 1 45

F'H I L I F' I NE'-:: C C0E:ALT 1 -FILAI/ N -EL . 7 0

GF:EEC.E NIC.EL C). 41Y UOCS:;LAVIA NICK EL 0. ' :4NETHERLAND. N I Ct::EL C). 14FRG N I Cl' :EL C. 07

_ MALAYSIA TIN C). 00PFRC T I N 0. 00BRAZIL TIN 0. 0

EO:LIVIA TIN 0 00 0' LUK TIN 0. 00

INDONESIA TIN 0. O04 THAILAND TIN 0. 05 U S TIN 0. 00

AL'_=TRAL I A TIN r. o

L ,T c) c. . . ..

i L

SCENARIO 22

WEI3HT'E or PE,-i:ct4 b. LEVE , FL T r, ,T E ALev.l f C:r i I Medi- I

e1 2 4 7 ' 2 4.L ::_. 1':'': 1C0 7C" ... s , - '. ,i - r- 3 ,- C

7 'l . :1 -7 Cl 'f- I 2 C.-

Level ,', C,:rt 1 ,: a : M -da -'I:, : , ,, 7-: '

17 o -. - .- - 7

-_,mt 10. o ic. o ' C 4. 0 '7 0 5. C. 1. 0 8. 0 7 C -WL i a . 0

C EF 0. 1 T 0,"S0 1.:: ' 1200 0O.c, 0r-C>33 1' 1067 C .. ,1-I- 'E: 0. 1200

Level c, Crfi :

F-._ir, 1 - 4 5 7 /

h • 10 . -(1 0 1 '. 0 .. : 41 CO - c

C. 17[. C. 17:1; ' £, C 1 "- C. 1"C j 1. 0,14 C 14-L eve e , f C.r, 4 jet 3 Med,, 4

F :4r 1 - 4-L -i,_ 9 ht I(1. 0 4. o . 0 1. 0QI :- -. - 1-h C '7

TNFLU,NCE C.CEFFIC! _,'TE OVE R A. LE\'L :L LE:t'-L 1 -.

cr phe I 'E.rt r,-. 0,f C:,, trlii:.:- EAH refir: b-, l _ , -r- -

a a 7F Reccmn , 2 4 5 7i (('EF 0, o-2:: 0. ,-uu:: '0 0-14/, 0: 0114 , 1 1- 0 .: +&-, z, o1 ,fyt-. 0('l O ' -, '~_

N' la -

F , ,. 1 2 7 4 6. 7

154" --Ii -- f1 I (,} c . C ... .01 1 ",, ' 01.. ,,9:4 C.. ,-4:-. , (:12: ,C ,-('( : 0-('C C. ,'1 - C" ,": _ ... .

I'C:iEF C'. (154

F cr, 2 :: 4 5 4, 7"-,'-('02:3 0 2:E 0222£ (. C1' I 0 0j27 0 00'- 1 0 0122:.I.- C CEF 0.0 _ , . 0 2 2 '-1:= ... 1i C... .. 7C) I

MPd:a 4F1 r j C' - 4I C 0EF 0. (752 0 0-:01 0. 010. C7 5

.r".rtar,,:: ,:; c .trllir: L A4r Feci:n

I h ir, it-S Mr.dia Ls c,,pared I. to h I p rt.rent cortrollir, r ANY Recgicr of any :ther MediaM ' -7d i L I

F i or, 1 2 .: 4 5 6. 7 1 '- iC.CEF o. OC' 0. o'. 0 . o_,0 O. 0070 0. 002C) 0. 0020 O. 0050 0. 0020 C. 0,'

SMedia 2F.- r 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 , 10M dia 11

* F'e~ii on

1 I OEF 0. 0037 0. ('0'37 0. 003:- C. () 15 0. 0026 0. 00L19 0. 0004 0. 0030 0. 0026 0 01-• I . ":fCEF 0. 003:.M d ia SF:eir, 1 2 : 4 5 6 7I -::CEP 0. 004.0 0. 00-.,) 0. 0060 0. 004E: 0. 003-. C ('24 0. 004:-'

* M. die 4Fegi,,r, 1 3 4I.CEF 0. 0065 0. 002. 0 001:: 0 0007

- -'. .. ... ... . -- n. . ... . .. ...... .. . . . ..... .-.. ... -....-.-...... ... ......--. ,... . >...-,- .,....... -.. _... ,... . -.. ... , -...

* 1:E E LE!,!ENT IMKiR T4,AKEWLO':

ELEwE'J =':R:E EziEE% 1:c'

F M- 114 LlU NW -E Y.-i JE V~iLtiE1 17 iCARIER EATTLE GROUJF 0. 141 10. ow

S: -.- 0,r~ 10 7 IT:4 16 A7TgC.su ~ Q.0(72 5 1-7:

5.1 SJ - E Kfc~ 1.() 4. 24"6 .12: THE.ZTEY r'?LER VE4F:': C. 054 a 27 R_ F- Il LE<EZC ;052 ? .-

S . Cc. C- 4

914 g,$i&Lg, EAS$ED) Q.C n4 - D10 :2 AUIR SLUFE:IOR:I TY ( iD EA$EL Q 041 2tW11 15 43WCSEA £& -&iEi' (CciP:

12 2 U AIJR EKIRIE'U BASED) C (I

14 I C) STRATEGIC E-:rlEER Cl (::, 7:is Er: SE £4 :ED WEAF 2:0Al F CtT I)a 00' 1 LI' - - G"4^ C=:E .CE EAI El') C% () I 3 C

17I MINtlE WAFFA F:E (D. (D4KE 2 AMFH1EiCLt$,U ci: 4:JLT 0~ I1 Cc 75'

* 21 20 AR DEIENSE LAND BASED) 0. 004 a2EF S~z E-PI-'4 WEAPOCN Iotq CNfTFL0 QI 21

2pr 30 SC AE WEAF.DNVEEA LI'R..z)' M! I) 1 K

24 27 AlB:M-(2'EF4FE EA:.El) 0. 000C Cic21 1 :1 g~~ LgAt- -' 'gg ,- n" (Di-,;, () (:vyj

24 INTERCEPTOR 41 FERM4T 00 Cju 00(('I2711 ISLEM (Cc (U10 C)

2::,: 7 IC' BM t" (:Ht0 (9. 000Q5 : CV IL DEPENS :. 000 0.'0

-~4 C:1: .c o 0Q

Io

Ccirli Ty I~r I r ;. T4' 'C E

C'U-" E!"' L

4]; -', EF .'- I 5 71

A'RMY GROtUI4DT 4 !_,CAr 1 7 -,

: T- - i -

SLBM ) (I

* - A:EW(SEA BASEE:) 1.CARRIER BATTLE Q;_- ) O)SURFACE Cr: L"T. 4. ::AIR SL'ERI0FT '.LAND DA.SED: K-AIR SUPERI-IRITY(SHIP EA'EDINTE:PREFPTJlR A IRP' P_4T ,- JCAE-_iAT (LAND EASED ,) .5

--, -t. .7

'ai

TIN

AIR INTERDIC_-TIONARM , -RO;JND

STR:ATE:IC LOMEEF: 1. 7*--'

A';W (SEA E:ASED) I 1ATTA:I -- ; -

h CAPFREF; BATTLE GR-UP 1iMINE WARFA-,E ".SURFACE C:OMDATAN'TS 4 2....

.. AIR UPERI OFI TYLAD EAED A ELIAIR SUPERIORITY (SH I F ESE D)INTERCEPTOR AIRCRAFT C C)

,,1 AEMr, ( LAND. E-AS-ED) C OK)

41. 1:-

* NICKEL

AIR INTERDICTION 5. 60ARMY GROUND 4. 92CAS 1. 72STRATEGIC BOMEER 1. 751

* ASW(SEA BASED) 1. 71ATTACK SUBS 5. 13CARRIER BATTLE GROUP 10. 0MINE WARFARE CO. 89SURFACE COMBATANTS 4. 25AIR SUPERIORITY(LAND EASE) 2 21

* AIR SUF'ERIORITY(SHIF EASED). 2. 2:-:TrJTERCEPTOR AIRCRAFT 0 00

41. 21

...........................................

FLUREFF~AC~ID

AIR INTEF-rDICTiII-N 7. 13

ICLL

SULEM (1AS'W(LAND EAS::ED')

CARRIER BATTLE '~DW±* SURFACE I-OTA. Rg,:

AIR SUPER IOR ITV (LAND PED?AI1R '-'I ERIOC1R IT Th:IFPP" E4:1 NTERC-EFTOF A IR RRAFT (hi

PYRETHRUM

CIVIL DEFENS=E nnAEV ('7-E A Pr-EEi.

CA:',FKEF: Lr'TT-.. FRDUF Ii C)S'JRFAICE COMEATANTE. 4. 25

1 17. '

C:iMM,-iD I TV NORMAL IZED I MPCRTANCENICK+.EL 10. 00) ( 41. 21)T IN ( 41,.1:--)FLUOIRSPAR ACID 5 0( 57)

* COBEALT 8. 49 ( 34. 9)F'YRETHPU'IM 414 (17. G:)

- . - , .., .

C,-BEAL'TA-10 CA.- 72 7_:-_

C I DIR- C. "=. 4:-FA-4 A I 7 I rE:D I ,-T I I-t

7 27 -4F-16 AIR I N E Rt I CT I ON 71. 87:=:5

-CAiE, 4,- 4017.5ART. AC.RFT CA,:-. S. 6:-7 .RADIO, RLAY AI;- INTER.:-ICTICIN 3 :"

CASB 2. 7275F-Il] AI: INTERDITTICIN 12-. : .

, A-6 AIR INTERDICTION 3: 8144F-15 AIR I NrE::IC _Ir IN 5 . C,

T F-7 A !: I NTEFD I - I I,N 51 7f25F-14 AIR IKI TEFDIIC-T CI!O4 4:':' 12" 1

- IR INTEFRDICTK-N 71 .:_,S H -2 A'--, W (-E A E:A'E-;ETD ) 6.()7 5

SH-2 ASW (SEA PA'E;ED ) 15. 1:7H-6.B A ( EA BAEED) 23. 634;

-= A_.W::EA EE ) 3::4. 72'4., A':;W T .'-;E .Z A:g E I) 24. 11/::

FRI.GATE3 ;W A"- 1 A B:ASED) 14. 4701D'= TRC'TER'-. R';A ( :;EA A':-EE 6',-'2I

. Mi-4. ARMY GRCUD 37. S, 6.6 M-0 A PMY GROUND 1 I'

tA-I ARMY GFUN3 67. 7'-?:0:_ M-5I ARMY GRCUND 0. ,2.-.2

M-?0C) 1 ARMY GF:OUND 54. 23'4M-2fM-3 ARMY GROUND 47. 45:5S_

. . i- 113 ARMY GROJNri 5. 2732MLRS ARMY GROUND 20. ::'4TOWED ART. ARM Y CF:OUClJNrl 27. 112S ELF- PR F'P. A-.M" GROUND 3:/.. 15:-F'ER'=HING ARMY GROUND 18. 07'5GLCME=; ARMY GROIUND :30. 1324INFANTPY AP.MY CR-CI.IND 7M; :TER': ARMY GROUND 36 91RCLEE; LNCH ARMY GROUND 1. -'

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A- I C CA. 727 7t

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ART. AC:PFT C. "".-L. 7RADIO RLAY AIR INTER!-1rICIN 2 4

C.~~ -7F

F-111 gI~ NTERD:i::T ION1:.~:~A-6 A gI P I NT E R I.:T ICJ 4--

F15A IRP I NTERDI107TION ;7I. 5ChA-7 A I P I NTE rDlI CT IO Ci 1 7F-14 A IR INTERDICTION 4'=_: 5I

A! R I NTEFDCTCN-

A:: L CEFA E;EE 3 ):A,-; (EEA PE::;FD

1 A WEA E:ASED) 4 72-4ATT F;U A (:-.EA EAS-ED) 14. 471

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* M4::; AR I ORFI-UND 4. 23M -lAPI-t CR01IND 7 7.-"-,

11-5L AP. V , C:r D

1-11 ARMIY E4RC1ItZD -: 75?:C

t- _ _l A -:M Y C.GC.IDND 1 6. 7TuM r AT AcM'- i' F:P1'IJND 4l. 77-71

TOWMED PT ARM Y GPCOUND 46. 5 1'~

Ir4FA!k'TRY ARtrAY GPCIUiLND 60, 6:

:C.LES$ LNCH ARMIY GROUND C). 2260~/-(*

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C ODRA C:A_= 4:: A:_ : 1F-4 AIR INTERDICTION 77 6- "

CE.-. 4 ' -F- 16. AIR INTERDICTION 71. E'7:::c=

C:A=: 4,-) 4075ART AC:RFT C.. - -RADIO, RLAY AIR,: 1I T '- TI D' -:: .T.I - -,

CAS 2 7275F-Ill AIR INTERDICTION 12I:.--_:"A-6 AiF INTEFICTI'; N D7 1-144F-15 AIR INTE: ICTIONA-7 AIR INTEFI-TION =,._).N -5 1 ,F-14 AIR INTERDICTION 4:-:. 1,0F- I c: A I R I ITEF:D rI TI ON :-

EH-3 A'-;W (. SEA EA:ED) _El 7H-2 ASW I SEA E:A'-;E- 7. 4H - A W _,E A 7A.E ) '7 (1

S-3 A-W ( S" EA EA:;ED ) T E4A 5 -r'7 , A':-. ( -EA EFA': EL ) 4:'- 41 C,4FR I C, AT ES ASW (SEA EASED) 26. Oa .DS-,TRC!YER A,-,W ( SEA E:A-;ED ) 15 6.27:-:M-4:: ARM'Y GROUND 42. 1-54M-6 ARMY GRO"ND 6-7 . 7'---,0M-I ARM ,' GROUND 75. 311M-551 ARMY GRIUND (). 7'5-:-:M--C' I ARMT' GRPOLiND 4"7 4 -::

M-2 M- AZVY CRCLIF._-D 54. :4M- I I: ARMY GROUND 7 '"-'MLR'-. ArMY GR4' ,

t TOWED A r:T AF:M ,' GF:OJND , "

S'=ELF-F*R- E'. ARMrY r , ' GROIUND 4:-; 11'RER- H I NG ARMY GROUND 1 '.7'!5GL'CM&: ARMY GROUND 2 5--"INFANTRY AFMY GFOUND 27 F/6657MRTER'1 ARMY GROIUND 15. '.-I -'5i FLE". LNC:H ARMY GROUND ' 2260

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.................................................................

FLUy'JF:'-.F'AF: ACID

CA[-,K CN_-.4?; "+.=- I

F-4 A I F I NTERD I CT IN 2-. :-13

F F- I ,A 1: 1 N T E F : 1 C- I ,-" i-T7 - -IA': gITE:5""W 4

AFT. ACRFT CA .. .- , 6: &.7RADIO RLAY A.: ,TE 1,,7 _TI, E1 2:C:-:O:

- r-." 7 "-,7

F-Ill A.7R INTEr:r'-TI \ 1 12,.-I • A-6 AIR INTERDICTION 4':,' 5=

F-15 A'r I N-1TEF I T I FIN, 71 ,'-A-7 AIR INTEFDICTI0r,4 6.4 6'- .F-1]4 Al P: I NT EFP1111-T 10' 4 5- '"':

F- 1:: P.F' I NTEr-' I C T I::N "SH-3 ASW (SEA t:A'.E') 6-;H-2 A'-:,W EEA E:A'-.El') 17 S 6.SH-60L-: A'_=;W ( S.EA :';ET' N -. 7<i-7

A: SEA L; E ) 4- 41(4ATT. A;£:_ ,A:-;W (':;EA E;A_,D)" '-'4 -,'F TI G AT E'-S A W '.EEA- E:A'_:;ErD ) 2 5

LT';TRCYER-; A'-=;1 (SE A E; ED71M-4!= ARMY GRI. -IND 12 /55,M-6 A:MI' GROUND 20. 4

M-551 A RMY GU 2RCLID 20 .)

M-g-I ARMY GR:,IND '4. 2'-:4

M-2,M ARMY GROUND 54. 4

M-2:- AM i:ROUNrl 4''Il M-l .'- .RT:1"' CORi:UIT ,. 02 5

MLR'- ARM Y cRI-IND 16. '4'-15TC-4-D ART. ARMY GROU,4- ''

:-ELF-F'R;'. ARM' GRIUND 30. 1.:- 4PERSHING ARMY GF:CIND 15. 8195"GLEM'; ARMY GRI-IND .

i I IANANT RY ARM"Y GROUND 60. 2/ 4'.,'MC;RTER:E-; ARMY GRi RIND 26 36'PCLE,$; LNCH ARMY GR-UND .0. 220

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INFANTRY AP' F: :t~ 75 T

I* MCIRTERE I' Mr RCtC3,cj:

NOi-r-M2.L. 7ED VALU-E%:

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M - i I,-: 7o')0'

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F-4 AIF. INTEFDICTIOrI 4 14,2r .All 2 ,F - 16 1NT S1 C- -

RADIO RLAV rR I NTERD ICTION Y 1 -:4

F-Ill A7 I NTE DICTI C " 4A -6 A I' INTE.D!'iTI.: . 1 "F-15 AIR INTERDICTION -. 44A-7 A IF INTERI ,ICT ICINF-14 AIR INTERDICTION I '-,'';

- IF INTERS 1 CTI; -C..

:-H-'A-,W ( E A I-:A'-,E E; Z C) -,_.H-2 A'-;W (3-E4 E:A';ED) 0 "'

A'H- - .(-.E IA .E ) I ')-.

- A-W (-.E4 I-A'_:EDl, 1 4-7ATT L : -, '-W;EA E:A's--. ) I , -4F R I GATE '-= A':iW ( S;EA r-:AET),E 7524

A '-W (CE i. E: A'-E ) 0 4A R Y G Fi:c I'N : 1 : -

Ai- P M YR':-UND

ri-~ ~ A". GROU1VI3d:ND 1/I--i AP:MY GF:OiND

-"1-'RE. AMY GORLINI 1 / "TOWED AFT. ARMY GF:CIND 1. 4SELF-PROF ARMY CiR:'uD I /.

* PEF:SHINc. ARM,' IF:'UND O. A7R_:Y :"

GUM; ARMY GRCIUNr 1. 54".:.IN":-ANJTFY AF;,tMY GpF:"."4U ,rt2 410-,"

M':RTEF'; ARM'? GR;DJND I 212.-RCLE'. LNC:H AFMY GR:UNID 0. 022

, -, C , : - ,': C .oc 4 ( . Z' -- - , C , C , C t- C - -C' :' b 1 C " 1 7 " 'C . , (c , ' ? ' C . C , C .W4. .V. -C" --' T- 67 zr': D:' 'C' IN , C , Vi V!. L' - -, Ci.'' " - . , ," 7 "- , -

0 <I C. CC, -o 17-7 ,:: T. 0o:, <!. <, U-1 1'9 0 ,'" .0 , ,.4 N., C'. C., (-,'I ",'" 0" " ,'- L

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-J

NJ >(a .(r W z

LiZ C~ IC~ VIJ Cc M'IC z CI E' £t Q* w CC

L. - C .J IN C- C- 1 3 C, L' I - IX Ci-C'I I I I I IZIC I I I w I cl J, T c L J MZ, LL LL LL I_ L! a E Z u CI- ci Z- 1: LoriL -.r ,, Z: U_: CL X.--

d..-..>.--.-.....-,....- ..... .....-. - *

dlLFEE-FEF:F F _ TF2- -,-F ' TY CPA:TIC- -> -.

C..MMDITY Ifi'17E (UrUT* C: LATED IMPO:RT. ALITY : ..E,-"-LT :E45 4 - 5. 5 341:-: 1

T N C' 1I' .- C (C' 0N'I''.' 4 -: 1

* F UIQFF:AR ACID 1arK' *::?' : --. T--:' ':' /_- _3:4Z : ,

F RETHRLIM S C,1' C H 1 -]'01-:C' 453 B 4 1 1$: - 4

. . . . .T -

A MII ;, T C F'- T E

-IFE '- %t_' IED TITAL IMF', TANLE ." i i1 " - I

SI PE 1250 71. 47 1 L2 - --' t-tT', . " 7'.'W" 1&: 5,7 C- 71 1 4'4 -- """

r IA A CC' O0 2' 2 E:- 0 3'4§ p.2 1 '7, 7. J .

TOTAL: 17'IC) 000

rcrrr --.. 7-'.':' C i c ":', C: T 'o

T I4

PA'lC"YJT 4 CF C0M.- 1 TE. _P:E SUPF'I ED TOTAL IMFPCbRTANE /Cl % 1 /

AU TRAL I A 10). 0. 15 0. C)2 1. (7 0 1-11/-iA. - 2. 56 C' §- ' -1'

7 AI LAND 5'('CE:. 7: 0. j O:7 4

ICD ONES I A . 8. 5:-O. ' 1

* Iw: 1 C). (. 15 1. 9 6 ' 0 75

E' LIVIA 1,-)0. 5 '4 0C),. 9241.E AZIL 240C. . 55 0. 86 1, 162 4 1251

P ' 'RC)0. 4 44 2 47 C. 405 1 7- -.

M LAYSIA Q'. 3 . 92 1. 087 414

TOTAL: 676:. 100. (0

S

. . . --S.. . "' : t ' .: : . . .. "' ' ' . ,., . , -' / " .

( L I: I T E: )

N I - 'EL

SLD" .- I TE F _ iEL' T;CRL Ir-' , , ,E I/Cl i -

FINLAND ... 04" I (: : 1 0 .:,c-'-RirTH A RIt A C,-i 1 ,4 1. !% 84 1

- LF'FINE; 5 ,-" 2 1 C-- ' --7H. .r - L A 2_?0,':. : - C '-2 i 0 c : '

'P C:::'F,- '"..:" .-?i 0 ,,j_'. 0 17° Ii '

NETHER-ANDr- 200 . 17 1 . :

Ir:,L4, 7 . -

hM REV- 15, . 4. 'Q 1 5IATA45 L4 4Y000. 1. :7:' 1. 93- 0 4_,5."_ C, .2

- - - - - -- - - - - -* iNLIKINEE- 14 50 0. .1 ,I4 0 ... 12 f:7 i - -

TO A_ :-:(44( ) 1 C (

FLUP'-E'AP AC IL-ILAMOiUNT % OF C:OM -PO. I TE

SC.E S1F FLI ED TOTAL I MPORTAN : E 1 C I ' 1 /"C I:! IT-I A F ( jC :T--'9 -22. 1 1'' ''7. 1-,

t ; 70. 70 2. 56, 0 ' 4ITA:Y '. - 07 1.96: 0 51'> z 2

N100 1 42 1. '-V:-T AFRICA 25. 1 10. 71 1 4.- 4

I HAI LAND 15. 1 :, 0. 92 1 0-7ME" I-.. 4-: 4- 2 : 1

TOTAL: :E:05 100. 00'}

C:OMFC';I TE I MPOFTANCE(LOC 3)

F'Y RETHRImM

AMOIINT , OF COM O I TEIIRCE SUFFL IED TOTAL IMPORTANCE I/Cl %( 'C I)

$:'TH AFRICA 2000. 1. 01 1. 19 0. 841 0Al.':TRALIA 1500. 0 76 0. 92 1. 067t." 1 000. 5. 57 1. C'6 0. 510I .NYA SCOQO. 40. 51 0. 71 1. 404 51-- E5SWANDA 25000. 12. 66 0. 71 1 404 17 7/-7TANZAN I.A 7E .. . 49 0. 71 1. 404 4

TOTAL: 1'17500. 100. 00

.- 2-

" 't l,'CT FE F.-4r.TC, L NC'Fcr l ' - -P" :IF'E E 1- 1"" I r' C.FT T: A _ T,. 1-, I 1 T TOTAL -TO IOu

C SEALTZAIRE 7'. 11. 7 :I - t'-' 100 (iQ

7 1 ISV 64 ,CANADA 175 7 . 16 93> 5U - 2, 7 S-'i 17 4,' t -.

TINI - ,T r t -- ,,-I-,,;,,,- ,. ,,7 . C ). . . - .

THAILAN'D --' 4'- ] :"!. II: -: ,- -

TI H1 t1 (9L

I_1 0 -75r' O~ ('I (),71rIL .

E-:OL lVIi ]5 4'- 1> 7:7 0 I'tc,(

E:RAJ IL 4 1- , 0 0 0 (1(1 (I O1FR I1C " , 0'7C) CI

* MJ-i A't' ,,J4 ._.*.. '1 -t,. (1,: ( , (I I I

PA EL-

F , 1 1 ',Y 1 71 C 'F'1K TAF'FfIAE I "7,-:.II .Fr__ F1rN y. 17. , / jr

4i'TRAqLlA

L NALA 17. 10 0 .170. 54 7 ':'ii 11 5:!1 1" 0 " C:- 1 13 I-I:

::NET HERLAND:- (. 014 10 0 0 14 0 12F C- .01? 10 (1' 7 1 (1 17

i 'fl;:4-. wi,;& 1 03_4 10 oa 0 §4 9 2-

EF 1 742 10. 00 17. 42 6. C1trnM REFI-: I20 10. L 2 30 11 14

I ]NriA. ... I I. 7-5 C) 00 17. :,_ A 12

* FLUOR-:F'AF AC I [DSY1TH AFRIC- A 1::_:. - _ 55 16. 5. 4

US C: 495 2 10 Au 1 0 -:ITALY 4 12 C 55 . 24 1 21 15

SPA IN 6 , 94. 22 12EAST AFRICA 4 -'' 6,55 37. -"2 1 ' . V,* THAILAND 2 95 17.32 - C)7MEX CO 7. l E', 55145..=,'2

MEXICO 17. 011 . 14 5.5 2 50. 16

F iRETHRUM' SOUTH AFRICA C) 4 3 3. 66 1. 26

AIJ-iTRALIA . E:25 4 30 3 55 1.22

* UK ,. E:42 4 30 12. 21 4 21F ENYA 56 .55 4 30 244. 2") 34, 21

- RWANDA 17. 7-7 4 30 76. 4 26 2TANZANIA 55 4 -1_ 4 30 2-- 1-: -2 11

111 ~ ~. . - :. - .. .

S CC- I". E I 'I .-i 7,rAN.ED E"f ',: E

s !o# SOURCE Comy:2: T f- I

I ZAIRE COA.ALT 1'0 00

2 K ENNA W F .Z '

3 TANZANIA F'YRETHRJr2 1

4 ZA,"-> CPl / -1

5 bzANADA NICKEL 5S 7-

6 SOUTH AFF:ICA FLUOPPA. A771, FT A5

7 ME v I CC, FLU "PiPA F-. A: 5D I8 U S NICKEL

9 AUSTRALIA NICKEL 10. '

T O RWANDA PFYRETHPF'1M 21-, ?-

I SPAIN FL_-R-FAR Z: ':I" IF &':!

S 12 EA'ET "A F ICA FLUF::F--- A'- I: , 11 K-1

13 I TALY FLUIORFA A. ci 12 1

4 DOM. REFUE NIGP EL 11 14

.5 I S F LU LF:,.FA A:: 1 10, .:

16 I ND:NE'-:. I A N I Cl:EL ,. 15

.7 PHILIFF'INE-, NICK EL -. 15

i u -.; r::CI:ALT 6. -0'1' Ll:.:.tR N I C.KEL 6. 1

"20 THAILAND FLlII:S'FA ACID 5 97

I I CANADA CC'QFALT 5/ -

.22 SOITH AFRICA NICKEL 4, 7.

114 OUA7P!4''L4 NICK EL 2 q

2 6 LITRALI F'YRETHF:IM I 22

27 FINLAND NCKEL 5,-'. GREECE NICKEL C'..

2 II, LVIA NI:CK EL

* 30 NETHELANDS NICKEL 0.12

,1 FRG NICKEL 0) 06

:-2 MALAYSIA TIN 0 C0

3 1_FRC: T N (I Nl. '

-:4 BRAZIL TIN 0. 00

-:5 EOLI VIA TIN 0. 00

* 36 LAK TIN 0. 00

37 INDr4E*:-;IA TIN 0. OC,

THAILAND TIN 0. 0)

LI S T I N C). 00

40 AUSTRALIA TIN 0 00

.0

i)

I

SCENARIO 23

-I

U

0

6

0

6

WT '-WT HI' RECiIN bv LEVEL o+' CI0' 01 C n EK

F'cicL 1 :. 4 C:'-AI

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F j 4COEF ~cc 6.073- d C.Cj=,)C

iiq or of any -.. r ri-

F. i on 1 4 5 7 IC

F a j2 ; c, r,7' r71 4 5

I. IDE 0 CsC32 01 . z C. (9 2 C-(1. 0 CC1 00"': 0.11 Oi 17 C. 0ls- 0 )) C. 0' rI C L.LhF 0. 012;redi 2' -

F a i cr, 1. 4 4I ./O EF Q.2 C i 021 : . 2:3@0213 0 i18 0 ('E C1

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A T FN.3 ZA. 4 -7

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I I 'ECT4E CF Q 2Wic C) 1 rI

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. AA'EC LiN:. 'A',ED () (It)/ C. 5 .2/ 2'7. gAT' :;DErEr:?E (LA' - E:I' *:E ') 0. 0.4 0 '

2I: 30 ::-.;FC E Ek#--E EL WEAF'C'., (- EA _M, ,RL C 00' i. 1.1

" rimA:' (L# -flD PA-ED' - ,,:2.'_ 24 INTEP.:IIK T'<- AlP ' F, Q- OI ) O

"ii E;LEM ( 0 (I' )0 o. I

2t- 7 ILD 9): O f00 0 ' 9 9

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:, C.L ITY I 1, .I: E

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(1F INTERDI:TION -*

T '"',, :TE.-.

A~~~ ~ ~ ~ :-;WISE ':

i- . 'r-- IER A TT-E Iq r ''

AI '.FEP 1 "TY L4T JAIR AT ER,I OF: T, 1( I E E ) 1 ,

7,;E; Z7;: ..'

i AT'*:IE 2 :A .EW _;_. ' I' (

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- 'T 1 4J E':D .OTE If 5 ..AF'. GR.-,liNS :-

'F " 0.0-;w (Lr. -, E:4 :.r-;.,

Ai T A',>. '-UE'.": 5

CRR IER BATTLE cFRUUP r 0MI NE r -A E,1 -_

r'IIRFA1E COMB-ATArNT',S 4.AIR S:;UF'ERIOF'ITY(LAND PAE" r

* AIF, SUFEFI':FIT'"- HIP EA-,ED) 2INTERC EF'TOR AIRC:RAFT u. 00AI:tl LANL, E;ASED ) ,'. 0)

4, 47

N I C.EL

AIR INTERDICTION 5 "ARIY GROUND 4. 56CAS i. 40STRATEGIC :OME'ER 1. 76ASW(SEA BASED)ATTACK SUES 5 2:'

CAFRIER BATTLE GR'JUF 10. 0)MINE WAR:FARE 0. C)2SURFACE C'I:MIATANT':. 4 ,.''.AIR: $.-l'EPI:F ITY(LAtJD E:AS-ED ) 7 -AIR 2UERIOPITY(SHIP BASED) ' 1.INTERCEFTOF: AIRCFAFT u -"

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