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October 23, 2013October 23, 2013
Welcome & IntroductionsWelcome & Introductions
Edward LeBlanc, USCG, Sector SENE
Richard Packard, MassDEP
Buzzards Bay Risk Assessment
Study Origins & ProcessUSCG and MADEP agree to collaborate
Jointly fundedScope of work developed jointly
USCG managed contractingHired contractor (SEDI/MITRE)Established timeline
Study development and reviewRegular meetings and teleconferences
(MADEP, USCG, contractor)MADEP reviewed and commented on draftReport completed January 2013
Study Objectives
Evaluate the risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay as of January 2015 when all tank vessels will be double hulled• Will the use of pilots and escort tugs reduce the risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay • If yes, how much will the use of escorts and pilots reduce the risk• Compare the cost of pilots and escort tugs with the cost of an oil spill
Study Methods
Range of risk reduction options evaluated and relative risk reduction compared
Uses “change” analysis to evaluate how using a pilot or escort tug effects the frequency and/or severity of an incident
Uses “what if” scenarios to evaluate consequences with and w/o pilot and escort tug
Scores assigned to scenarios are authors judgment
Risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay is greater than national average
The estimated frequency of a major oil spill nationwide is 1 every 13 years.
The estimated frequency of a major oil spill in Buzzards Bay is 1 every 9 years.
Study Results
Ranking of actions that result in greatest reduction in risk of future oil spill
1.Require pilot (fed or state) on towing vessel for barges carrying > 5000 barrels oil or haz-mat
2.Change to use of double hull tank barge3.Escort tug (full time or condition based) 4.Upgrade to active VMRS5.Require Fi-Fi -1 firefighting capability6.Require sentinel or response tug in lieu of
escort tug
Cost of risk reduction measures vs.
Cost of oil spill clean up
Mitigation Option ROI based on B-120 Spill Payback in Years
Escorts for all Fifi 106% 9
Escort All (non Fifi) 153% 14
Sentinel Tug 57% 21
Pilot 312% 28
Active VMRS Monitoring 1653% 148
Escorts during inclement weather (with Fifi)
623% 43
Escorts during inclement weather (non Fifi)
901% 62
Risk of an oil spill in Buzzards Bay is greater than the national average
Requiring a pilot on the towing vessel for barges provides the greatest risk reduction benefit
A full time escort tug and a condition based escort tug provide the same level of risk reduction
The cost of risk reduction measures is less than the cost of a major oil spill
Conclusions
MassDEP comments that the analysis does not support the conclusion that pilots provide greater risk reduction that full time escort tugs.
MassDEP comments that the analysis does
not support the conclusion that a conditional based escort tug program provides the same level of risk reduction as full time escorts.
Issues
Peer Review of BBRA MOA between MassDEP & USCG provides for
option to have risk assessment peer reviewedMassDEP contracts with National Academy of
Science, Transportation Research Board TRB establishes an independent panel of
experts Vetted by TRB for conflicts of interestPeer review committee established July 2013Committee meets with project sponsors and
report authors on August 5, 2013.
Committee Membership Dr. Paul Fischbeck – Carnegie Mellon University – Chair
Dr. William L. Hurley, Jr. - The Glosten Associates, Inc.
Dr. Thomas M. Leschine - University of Washington
Mr. Milton Levenson - Independent Consultant
Mr. R. Keith Michel - Webb Institute of Naval Architecture
Prof. Ali Mosleh - University of Maryland, College Park
Dr. Malcolm L. Spaulding - University of Rhode Island
http://www8.nationalacademies.org/cp/projectview.aspx?key=49559
BB Risk Study AuthorsHomeland Security Systems Engineering
and Development Institute
The MITRE Corporation
MassDEP contract with authors to appear before committee and answer questions
Considerations for Peer ReviewDoes the data, methodology and analysis
support the conclusions?Areas of specific interest to MA:
Inclusion of double hulls in analysisDistinction between full escorts and weather-
based escortsRanking of risk reduction measuresIndependent review of the BBRA’s conclusions
Results of Peer Review Peer review report due September 30, 2013
has been extended at request of NAS/TRBMassDEP and USCG will be briefed on
results of Peer review on October 24, 2013 Report will be released on October 25, 2013
by NAS/TRBReport will be posted on NAS & MassDEP
web pages
Buzzards Bay ANPRMBuzzards Bay ANPRM
New Bedford Chronic Oil SpillsNew Bedford Chronic Oil Spills
Program Implementation Program Implementation ActivitiesActivities
MOSPRA Trust FundOIL SPILL PREVENTION FUND BALANCE
10/1/2013
YTD
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10* FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14Totals from Inception
Beginning Balance $0 $1,410,369 $2,838,038 $4,127,537 $4,819,905 $5,267,536 $4,325,975 $3,703,964 $6,893,305 $9,743,387
Revenue Collected $1,492,186 $1,817,058 $1,789,321 $1,632,832 $1,639,681 $1,820,054 $3,775,809 $3,842,442 $3,644,620 $571,213 $22,025,215
Expenditures ($81,817) ($389,389) ($499,822) ($940,464) ($1,192,050) ($2,761,615) ($4,397,820) ($653,101) ($794,537) ($147,688) ($11,858,303)
Available Balance $1,410,369 $2,838,038 $4,127,537 $4,819,905 $5,267,536 $4,325,975 $3,703,964 $6,893,305 $9,743,387 $10,166,912 $10,166,912
*Fee increased to $.05/bbl on 4/1/2010
MOSPRA Trust FundOil Spill Act Project Expenditures *
FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 (1st Q)
Oil spill trailers $ 81,817.00 $ 355,211.00 $ 337,849.00 $ 416,689.00 $ 414,416.00 $ 921,008.00 $ 169,500.00
Trailer maintenance/restocking $ 18,919.00 $ 20,592.00 $ 21,414.00 $ 30,675.00 $ 50,672.00 $ 25,811.75 $ 4,651.00
Develop GRP’s (MHB) $ 17,158.00 $ 93,275.00 $ 69,650.00 $ 24,620.00 $ 67,356.00 $ 40,711.00 $ 45,426.40 $ 2,467.50
GRP testing and first responder training $ 10,788.00 $ 7,407.00 $ 34,403.00 $ 18,838.00 $ 53,804.96 $ 75,047.58 $ 12,129.79
Threat evaluation and response equipment inventory $ 16,462.00 $ 43,637.00
Marine pilots program $ 224,305.00 $ 786,610.00 $ 896,848.00 $ 33,926.00
State provided escort tug $ 60,933.00 $ 580,971.00 $2,997,078.00 $ 109,720.00
Program Support – OSAAC meetings, web page $ 22,903.00 $ 42,921.00 $ 14,716.00 $ 8,813.00 $ 13,532.00 $ 7,130.02 $ 20,794.15 $ 546.24
Program salaries and support $ 34,178.00 $ 121,912.00 $ 341,409.00 $ 336,394.00 $ 331,947.00 $ 344,251.00 $ 351,782.00 $ 384,740.41 $ 84,599.84
Snare and off shore boom $ 51,829.00 $ 29,242.00
Web VTS and AIS data $ 5,355.00 $ 5,355.00
Buzzards Bay Risk Assessment and Peer Review $ 67,862.00 $ 43,293.70
Total per Fiscal Year $ 81,817.00 $ 389,389.00 $ 499,822.00 $ 940,463.00 $1,192,050.00 $2,761,615.00 $4,397,820.00 $ 653,100.98 $ 794,537.29 $ 147,688.07
* as of 10/1/2013
New Business/Wrap upNew Business/Wrap up