November 5, 2010 November 5, 2010

Closing The Gaps by 2015

Where We Are Now

Closing The Gaps by 2015

Where We Are Now

Educational Attainment in Texaswas Projected to Drop

Educational Attainment in Texaswas Projected to Drop

Source: Texas State Data Center* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario THECB 10/2010

Annual Average Unemployment Rate in the U.S. as a Function of Educational AttainmentAnnual Average Unemployment Rate in the

U.S. as a Function of Educational Attainment

2.3%

14.6%

9.7%8.6%

6.8%5.2%

3.9%2.5%

-1%

1%

3%

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

15%

Less

Than H

S

HS Dip

lom

a

Some

College

Assoc

iate

Bache

lor's

Mas

ter's

Doctora

l

Profe

ssio

nal

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Year: 2009Year: 2009

THECB 10/2010

TrendsTrends

A growing unskilled, under-educated population that cannot meet the demands of a technology-based workplace.

Average household income in Texas is projected to decline by $5,000 in constant dollars by 2040 (total annual drop of $63.5 billion).

A growing unskilled, under-educated population that cannot meet the demands of a technology-based workplace.

Average household income in Texas is projected to decline by $5,000 in constant dollars by 2040 (total annual drop of $63.5 billion).

Source: Texas State Data Center THECB 10/2010

Goals: By 2015, Close the Gaps in:Goals: By 2015, Close the Gaps in:

Participation

Success

Excellence

Research

Participation

Success

Excellence

Research

THECB 10/2010

GoalsGoals

Participation

By 2015, close the gaps in enrollment rates across

Texas to add 630,000 more students.

Participation

By 2015, close the gaps in enrollment rates across

Texas to add 630,000 more students.

THECB 10/2010

Success

By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates and other identifiable student

successes from high quality programs.

Success

By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates and other identifiable student

successes from high quality programs.

2010 Preliminary Progress Report on Participation

2010 Preliminary Progress Report on Participation

PARTICIPATION TARGET PROGRESS TOWARD 2010 TARGET

Statewide participation Well above target

African American participation Well above target

Hispanic participation Well below target

White participation Well above target

THECB 10/2010

Texas’ Participation Rate Has Improved But Remains Lower Than Other StatesTexas’ Participation Rate Has Improved But Remains Lower Than Other States

Participation Rate of Total Population – 2000 and (2007)

4.6%4.8%

5.0%5.3%

5.5%5.8%

6.0%6.4%6.5%

7.0%

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0%Source: U.S.DOE, IPEDS, and Census Bureau

California

Illinois

Michigan

New York

Pennsylvania

Ohio

TEXAS

FloridaGeorgia

New Jersey

(6.6%)

(6.5%)

(6.2%)

(6.0%)

(5.6%)

(5.4%)

(5.4%)

(4.9%)

(4.7%)

(4.4%)

THECB 10/2010

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Enrolled in 9th Grade (2000)

TX Public HS Grad (2002-2004)

Enrolled in Higher Educ (Anytime After

HS Grad)

Completed a Higher Educ Degree or Cert

by 2009

Statewide

Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board

The Pipeline Challenge(1998 Cohort of Public High School Students)

The Pipeline Challenge(1998 Cohort of Public High School Students)

THECB 10/2010

THECB 10/2010

Participation Since 2000: 503,382 Increase

Participation Since 2000: 503,382 Increase

0

200

400

600

800

2000 2005 2010 2015

Th

ou

san

ds Target Actual

503,382

630,000

403,483

2010 enrollment is preliminary

THECB 10/2010

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000 Public Independent

Percent of HS GradsEntering HE is Increasing

Percent of HS GradsEntering HE is Increasing

52.2%52.3% 52.4%

54.2%

Not trackable students excluded.Independent enrollments not available for 2000 and 2001.Not trackable students excluded.Independent enrollments not available for 2000 and 2001.

53.6%54.5%

55.9%56.3%

86

,96

2

88

,59

2

92

,51

0

94

,84

9

99

,54

1

10

5,6

36

10

8,6

91

10

8,8

04

11

0,9

33

11

2,0

55

12

3,8

22

13

0,2

98

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009Recommended & Above Regular

There Are Large Increases in thePercent of Entering Students with the

Recommended High School Curriculum

There Are Large Increases in thePercent of Entering Students with the

Recommended High School Curriculum

55%

53% 65

%

73% 78

%

53%

83% 86

%

88%

90% 92

%

THECB 10/2010

92%

15.9%29.9%

54.8%57.2%

14.5%53.9%

25.5%32.3%

37.2%71.5%

4.0%50.8

62.1%48.6%

33.3%16.0%

33.4%

46.9%

Percent Change in Enrollments by Region 4-Year and 2-Year Institutions* 2000 to 2009

Percent Change in Enrollments by Region 4-Year and 2-Year Institutions* 2000 to 2009

24.0%50.4%

*Percent change at 4-year institutions listed first for each region, followed by percent change at 2-year institutions.

*Percent change at 4-year institutions listed first for each region, followed by percent change at 2-year institutions.

THECB 10/2010

THECB 10/2010

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,0002000-2009 Actual 2009-2015 for Goal

Enrollment by Region Neededto Meet 2015 CTG Goal

Enrollment by Region Neededto Meet 2015 CTG Goal

THECB 10/2010

Target to Increase Hispanic Enrollment Remains a Big Challenge

Target to Increase Hispanic Enrollment Remains a Big Challenge

82,864

178,172

69,930

14,719

252,289

162,741

284,509

94,173

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000 2015 Insts' Targets

2015 State CTG Goal

2010 Prelim Progress

GOAL=98,242

GOAL=61,751

Note: Public Institutions only.

White Hispanic African Am

Hispanic Enrollment by Region Needed to Meet 2015 CTG Goal Hispanic Enrollment by Region Needed to Meet 2015 CTG Goal

010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,000 2000-2009 Actual 2009-2015 for Goal

THECB 10/2010

Success: By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates, and other identifiable student successes from high-quality programs.

Success: By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates, and other identifiable student successes from high-quality programs.

THECB 10/2010

Progress Report on SuccessProgress Report on Success

SUCCESS TARGET

COMPARISON WITHTARGET LINE

Statewide certificates, associate degrees, and bachelor degrees

On target

African American awards Somewhat below target

Hispanic awards Somewhat below target

Technology awards Well below target

Allied health and nursing awards Somewhat above target

Teacher certifications Well below target

THECB 10/2010

Percent Increase in UG Awards at Public Institutions is Greatest for Underrepresented Groups

Percent Increase in UG Awards at Public Institutions is Greatest for Underrepresented Groups

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

White African Am Hispanic Other

FY 2000 FY 2009

+25.2%

+62.4%

+89.5%

+84.5%

Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board THECB 10/2010

Bachelor’s Degrees on Trackto Meet State’s 2015 Goal

Bachelor’s Degrees on Trackto Meet State’s 2015 Goal

22,552

17,001

7,624

12,276

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000To Reach 2015 CTG Target

2009 Progress

Bachelor’s Associate’s

THECB 10/2010

Some Progress Made in Health Awards;Very Little Progress Made in STEM FieldsSome Progress Made in Health Awards;

Very Little Progress Made in STEM Fields

2,020

6,705

15,001 6,188

0

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000To Reach 2015 CTG Target 2009 Progress

Technology Nursing/Allied Health

THECB 10/2010

THECB 10/2010

Educating Teachers is Criticalto Texas’ Success

Educating Teachers is Criticalto Texas’ Success

12,3763,208

13,388

18,936

3,292

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

To Reach 2015 CTG Target

2009 Alt-Cert Progress

2009 Trad & Post-Bacc Progress

Teachers Math & Science Teachers

Excellence and Research GoalsExcellence and Research Goals

Excellence: By 2015, substantially increase the number of nationally recognized programs or services at colleges and universities in Texas.

Research: By 2015, increase the level of federal science and engineering research funding to Texas institutions to 6.5% of obligations to higher education.

Excellence: By 2015, substantially increase the number of nationally recognized programs or services at colleges and universities in Texas.

Research: By 2015, increase the level of federal science and engineering research funding to Texas institutions to 6.5% of obligations to higher education.

THECB 10/2010

Progress Report on Excellence and Research

Progress Report on Excellence and Research

EXCELLENCE TARGET

COMPARISON WITH TARGET LINE

National rankings Well below target

Program recognition On target

RESEARCH TARGET

COMPARISON WITHTARGET LINE

Federal science and engineering research and development obligations

Somewhat below target

Public universities’ research expenditures

Well above target

THECB 10/2010

THECB 10/2010

Undergraduate ExcellenceUndergraduate Excellence

Access to excellent undergraduate education is critical.

78% of all public university students are undergraduates.

90% of all public college and university students are undergraduates.

44% of all public college and university students are freshmen.

UC-Berkeley Has More National Academy Members Than All Texas Institutions

UC-Berkeley Has More National Academy Members Than All Texas Institutions

  ScienceEngineerin

gMedicin

e Total

UT Austin 15 48 4 67

TAMU/TAMUSHSC 5 17 3 25

Rice U 2 12 0 14

UT Med Cntr-Dallas 17 0 17 34

U of Houston 3 5 0 8

Baylor CO Medicine 4 0 10 14

UTHSC-San Antonio 0 0 1 1

UTHSC Houston 2 0 6 8

UT Med Br-Galveston 0 0 2 2

UT Dallas 1 0 0 1Other (SMU, MDA, UNT, UTSA, TTU) 3 3 1 7

State of Texas Total 52 85 44 181

UC-Berkeley 127 78 9 214

THECB 10/2010Oct 2010

Texas’ Share of Federal R&D Obligations Relative to Other Top Performing States

Texas’ Share of Federal R&D Obligations Relative to Other Top Performing States

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Mill

ion

s 1998 2007

14.9%

13.8%

8.3%

7.9%

6.4%6.3%

6.0%

6.2%

5.3%5.6%

6.2%5.9%

Fed

eral

R&

D O

bli

gat

ion

sin

Mil

lio

ns

of

1998

Co

nst

ant

Do

llar

s

THECB 10/2010

Percentages reflect the share of the U.S. total for Federal R&D obligations for the state

Texas Ranks 6th in the Percent of Federal Funds to Colleges and Universities

Texas Ranks 6th in the Percent of Federal Funds to Colleges and Universities

2.3%

2.4%

2.9%

3.0%

4.0%

4.2%

5.6%

5.9%

6.2%

6.3%

7.9%

13.8%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0%

GeorgiaFlorida

OhioMichigan

IllinoisNorth Carolina

TexasMassachusetts

MarylandPennsylvania

New YorkCalifornia

$25.3 Billion Total in Federal Funds FY 2007

Source: National Science Foundation THECB 10/2010

Research Expenditures for R&D at Public Universities and Health-Related Institutions

Research Expenditures for R&D at Public Universities and Health-Related Institutions

$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5

FY 2001

FY 2002

FY 2003

FY 2004

FY 2005

FY 2006

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

Public Universities Public Health-Related Institutions

3.7%

6.0%

10.4%

9.6%

15.9%

(in billions)

7.0%

Annual Change

6.0%

10.8%

THECB 10/2010

6.6%

Research SummaryResearch Summary

Federal research funding static since FY 2005.

Proposed budgets for NIH, NSF, and other agencies could be significant if realized.

The American Recovery & Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 is providing large amounts of research funding to be obligated through agencies.

NIH ($10.4 billion) NSF ($3 billion) DOE, ED, NASA, USDA, and other agencies

also have stimulus funds for research.

Federal research funding static since FY 2005.

Proposed budgets for NIH, NSF, and other agencies could be significant if realized.

The American Recovery & Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 is providing large amounts of research funding to be obligated through agencies.

NIH ($10.4 billion) NSF ($3 billion) DOE, ED, NASA, USDA, and other agencies

also have stimulus funds for research.

THECB 11/2010

THECB 10/2010

Accomplishments 2000 - 2010Accomplishments 2000 - 2010

The percentage of students entering higher education from public high schools is increasing.

By preliminary fall 2010, over 500,000 additional students are enrolled in public and independent higher education.

The percentage of students entering higher education from public high schools is increasing.

By preliminary fall 2010, over 500,000 additional students are enrolled in public and independent higher education.

THECB 10/2010

Accomplishments 2000 - 2010Accomplishments 2000 - 2010

By fall 2009, more than 98% of university and 86% of community college students enrolling directly from high school had completed the RHSP or above.

39,000 additional undergraduate degrees and certificates are awarded annually.

By fall 2009, more than 98% of university and 86% of community college students enrolling directly from high school had completed the RHSP or above.

39,000 additional undergraduate degrees and certificates are awarded annually.

“A Tale of Two States –and One Million Jobs”“A Tale of Two States –and One Million Jobs”

The payoff to achieving the objectives of Closing the Gaps is enormous.

By 2030, annual gains (in 2006 dollars) are projected to be:–$489.6 billion in total spending–$194.5 billion in gross state product–$121.9 billion in personal income–1,023,281 permanent jobs

The payoff to achieving the objectives of Closing the Gaps is enormous.

By 2030, annual gains (in 2006 dollars) are projected to be:–$489.6 billion in total spending–$194.5 billion in gross state product–$121.9 billion in personal income–1,023,281 permanent jobs

Source: Ray Perryman Group; http://www.thecb.state.tx.us/reports/PDF/1345.PDFTHECB 11/2010