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Nur Marini +62-21-515-1140 [email protected]
To subscribe to our Daily Focus, please contact us at [email protected]
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Campina revenue (2014 - Jun 2017)
Source: Company, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
November 29, 2017
[Trend Focus] Campina IPO: Scooping up revenue
One of the biggest local ice cream makers in Indonesia
Didirikan pada tahun 1972 oleh Bapak Darmo Hadipranoto dan istrinya, es krim
Campina dimulai sebagai es krim buatan rumah yang terletak di Jalan Gembong
Sawah, Surabaya. Menurut Euromonitor, Campina telah menjadi salah satu
produsen es krim lokal terbesar di Indonesia, dengan 15,3% pangsa pasar es krim
impuls setelah Magnum (23,9%) dan Wall (29,7%).
Growing sales supported by 60 distribution points
60 titik distribusi Campina tersebar di seluruh Indonesia, dengan 30 kantor
perwakilan perusahaan berada di Jawa, sementara 30 lainnya dimiliki oleh pihak
ketiga yang tersebar di pasar luar Jawa seperti Medan, Batam, Pekanbaru, Padang,
Palembang, Jambi , Bangka, Bali, Mataram, Ambon, dll. Saat ini Campina memiliki
varian produk c.70-80 dalam berbagai bentuk dan selera, dengan dua segmen
produk utama: impuls dan di rumah (lihat tabel 4).
Room for growth
Kami percaya bahwa perusahaan mendapatkan keuntungan dari faktor-faktor
berikut: 1) Cuaca tropis di Indonesia, sangat cocok untuk konsumen es krim, 2)
pertumbuhan penduduk diikuti oleh meningkatnya daya beli, dan 3) peningkatan
populasi usia muda. Dalam beberapa tahun terakhir, industri es krim terus
berkembang. Saat ini, konsumsi es krim mencapai 0,6 liter per kapita per tahun,
angka ini rendah dibanding Filipina yang mencapai 2-3 liter, Malaysia 2,1 liter, dan
Thailand 2 liter. Menurut Euromonitor, meski konsumsi per kapita rendah, pasar es
krim di Indonesia berukuran sangat besar, mencapai 158mn liter pada tahun 2013
dan diperkirakan akan tumbuh menjadi 240mn liter pada tahun 2018 (+ 8,8%
CAGR).
IPO: 885mn shares to be offered at IDR310-400
Campina Ice Cream Industry berencana menawarkan 885 juta saham utama dengan
nilai nominal Rp100 per saham (15,0% dari modal saham yang diperbesar), dengan
harga Rp310-IDR400 untuk mengumpulkan IDR274 miliar-IDR354 miliar.
Market Index
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
JCI 6,070.7 0.1 1.5 18.1
MSCI Indonesia 27.2 0.4 2.0 17.7
MSCI EM 1,146.5 0.2 3.1 32.6
HANG SENG 29,680.9 0.0 4.4 30.6
KOSPI 2,514.2 0.1 0.7 27.1
FTSE 7,460.7 1.0 -1.6 9.0
DJIA 23,836.7 1.1 0.6 23.3
NASDAQ 6,912.4 0.5 2.6 27.9
Valuation
2018F P/E (x) P/B (x) ROE (%)
JCI 15.8 2.4 17.9
Key Rates
Last Trade Chg (bps) MoM YoY
BI 7-Day RR 4.25 0 0 -100
3yr 6.06 0 -29 -189
10yr 6.59 0 -24 -161
FX
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
USD/IDR 13,510.00 0.0 -0.5 -0.2
USD/KRW 1,084.25 -0.4 -3.6 -7.2
USD/JPY 111.48 0.4 -1.5 -0.8
USD/CNY 6.61 0.0 -0.7 -4.6
Commodities
Last Trade Chg (%) MoM YoY
WTI 58.0 -0.2 7.6 10.6
Gold 1,294.0 0.0 1.4 8.9
Coal 96.4 1.4 -1.1 4.5
Palm Oil 2,470.0 -2.9 -11.3 -19.9
Rubber 118.0 0.0 -5.4 -28.1
Nickel 11,350.0 -1.9 -2.0 -2.4
Copper 6,942.0 -0.9 1.6 18.0
Tin 19,550.0 0.1 -1.8 -7.2
JCI Index VS MSCI Emerging Markets
800
950
1,100
1,250
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
10/16 01/17 04/17 07/17 10/17
JCI MSCI EM(pt)
(pt)
650
800
950
1,100
3,500
4,500
5,500
04/13 01/14 10/14 07/15 04/16
(pt) JCI MSCI EM (pt)
November 29, 2017
2
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia cartoon
November 29, 2017
3
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Local flashes
MPPA: MPPA akan buka gerai lagi hingga akhir tahun. Di tengah isu penurunan daya
beli, salah satu ritel milik grup Lippo yakni PT Matahari Putra Prima Tbk (MPPA) tak lalu
mengurangi porsi pembukaan gerai baru. Perusahaan ini rencananya akan menambah
beberapa gerai lagi sampai akhir tahun. "Kami optimistis bisa capai target mungkin
tidak sampai 10-12 gerai tahun ini, mungkin akan ada tambahan 1-2 gerai lagi," kata
Fernando Repi, Manajer Korporasi Korporat MPPA, Senin (27/11).(Kontan)
PTPP: PTPP patok capex Rp 20 T tahun depan. PT Pembangunan Perumahan Tbk
(PTPP) mematok belanja modal atau capital expenditure (capex) tahun 2018 sebesar
Rp 20 triliun. Angka tersebut hampir mencapai dua kali lipat, bila dibandingkan capex
2017. Tahun ini diperkirakan PTPP menyerap capex sebanyak Rp 11 triliun. Tumiyana,
Direktur Utama PTPP menyebutkan sumber pendanaan capex tersebut berasal dari
beberapa instrumen. Seperti kas internal, obligasi, dan pinjaman perbankan. (Kontan)
INDY: Indika Energy siapkan capex US$ 90 juta tahun 2018. PT Indika Energy Tbk
(INDY) telah mempersiapkan rencana bisnis tahun depan. Perusahaan akan menyiapkan
belanja modal atau capital expenditure (capex) US$ 90 juta atau lebih dari Rp 1,2 triliun
tahun depan. Tahun ini, alokasi capex INDY US$ 88 juta. Artinya, ada kenaikan sekitar 2%
untuk capex 2018. "Sumber dananya kombinasi antara kas internal dengan leasing,"
ujar Direktur INDY Aziz Armand kepada , Selasa (28/11). (Kontan)
APLN: 300 unit Podomoro Bandung sudah dibooking. PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk
(APLN) tengah mempersiapkan proyek baru di Bandung Selatan bertajuk Podomoro
Park Buah Batu. Ini merupakan proyek kota mandiri yang akan dibangun di lahan seluas
100 hektare (ha). Meskipun ditargetkan baru akan resmi diluncurkan pada kuartal I
2018, APLN sudah mulai melakukan tes pasar dengan menawarkan Nomor Unit
Pemesanan (NUP). Dari tes pasar tersebut, respons masyarakat terhadap proyek anyar
Agung Podomoro ini cukup bagus. Pasalnya, hingga saat ini perusahaan sudah
mencatatkan NUP sebanyak 300 unit dari rencana pengembangan tahap awal. (kontan)
EXCL: XL Axiata tak lagi punya saham di Elevenia. PT XL Axiata Tbk (EXCL) bersama
dengan SK Planet Global Holding Pte Ltd (SK Planet) menjual dan mengalihkan seluruh
saham perusahaan patungan kedua pihak, yakni PT XL Planet yang mengelola situs
belanja online Elevenia pada tanggal 28 November 2017. Dalam keterbukaan di Bursa
Efek Indonesia, Selasa (28/11), EXCL mengungkapkan penjualan 50% saham Elevenia
yang dimiliki. "XL menjual dan mengalihkan sebanyak 7,43 miliar saham atau mewakili
sebanyak 50% kepemilikan saham kepada PT Jaya Kencana Mulia Lestari," kata Dian
Siswarini, Presiden Direktur EXCL. (Kontan)
WTON: Wika Beton targetkan kontrak baru Rp 7,5 triliun. PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk
(WTON) yakin bisa mencatat pertumbuhan bisnis gemilang. Wika Beton berencana
untuk menaikkan target kontrak baru tahun depan karena meyakini bahwa performa
tahun ini sudah cukup baik. "Tahun depan untuk target kontrak baru Rp 7,5 triliun dan
5,8 triliun carry over, sehingga target kontrak bisa mencapai Rp 13,3 triliun," kata Sidiq
Purnomo, Direktur Independen WTON, Senin, (28/11). (Kontan)
November 29, 2017
4
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-515-1140 [email protected]
Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) – Test Resistance at 6,092
IHSG akan coba bertahan diatas center line pada uptrend channel.
IHSG saat masih dalam pola uptrend yang relatif valid yang dimulai sejak 167 hari
terakhir dengan r-squared = 0.9158 dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-1.73
std.deviasi dari centerline. Peluang IHSG bergerak di luar pergerakan normal sekitar 8.42%
atau sekitar 14 bar chart. Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan IHSG saat ini sebesar
antara +0.35% / - 0.36 % atau +21.25 point / -21.86 point (rata-rata pergerakan normal
positif / negatif selama periode analisis) sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 1.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Nov 28, 2017) 6,070(+0.101%) Trading range 6,049 - 6,092
Average index performance (%) 4.62 Target
Period 167 - Daily 6,092
r-squared 0.9158 - Weekly 6,112
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.35 / -0.36 - Monthly 6,122
Volatility (+/-, point) +21.25 / -21.86 Stop loss 6,031
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 1. Daily trend – Uptrend
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
_____ 6,073.6
_____ 6,030.6
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 11/28/2017 Open: 6,055 High: 6,071 Low: 6,016 Close: 6,071 Vol. 6,708,984,832
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,052.5
R-Squared: 0.9158
Period: 167
Std.Dev : 1.73
Volatility (+) : 0.0035
Volatility (-) : -0.0036
V-Ratio : 0.97
Chg.: 0.1%
6,112.4
6,070.72
6,043.06
6,039.28
5,973.72
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
^JKSE - Volume = 6,708,984,832.00, EMA(Volume,22) = 6,099,289,088.00
6,708,984,832
6,099,289,088
November 29, 2017
5
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar untuk sementara akan tertahan namun volatilitas pergerakkan
indeks cenderung naik dalam pola terbatas.
Pada Figure 2, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi terakhir pada periode daily, potensi
kenaikkan masih akan tertahan sementara. Indikator MFI optimized akan menguji
support trend line dan indikator RSI optimized dan indikator Stochastic %D
optimized naik terbatas Pada Bollinger Band optimized harga akan coba naik mendekati
BBTop. Sementara itu pada Figure 3 pada periode weekly ,indikator MFI optimized
cenderung turun dan indikator W%R optimized relative terbatas dan indikator
stochastic %D optimized akan menguji resistance trend line. Daily resistance di 6,092
dan daily support di 6,049. Cut loss level di 6,031.
Figure 2. Daily MFI optimized,RSI optimized , Stochastic %D optimized & Bollinger Band optimized
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 50.44
50.4403
^JKSE - RSI Smoothed = 70.03
70.0262
^JKSE - Stochastic %D = 69.88, MA = 69.56
69.8849
69.5612
^JKSE - Daily 11/28/2017 Open 6055.1, Hi 6070.72, Lo 6015.91, Close 6070.72 (0.1%) BBTop(Av erage,22,1.73) = 6,080.68, BBBot(Av erage,22,1.73) = 5,996.42, SMA 6,070.72
6,038.55
_____ 6,073.9
_____ 6,030.5
Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 11/28/2017 Open: 6,055 High: 6,071 Low: 6,016 Close: 6,071 Chg. 0.1% Vol. 6,708,984,832
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,052.5
R-Squared: 0.9158
Period: 167
Std.: 1.73
Volatility (+) : 0.0035
Volatility (-) : -0.0036
V-Ratio : 0.98
6,070.72
6,039.28
Aug Sep Oct Nov
^JKSE - Volume = 6,708,984,832.00, EMA(Volume,22) = 6,099,289,088.00
6,708,984,832
6,099,289,088
November 29, 2017
6
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Figure 3. Weekly Trend – Uptrend, MFI optimized,W%R optimized , Stochastic %D & Bollinger Band optimized
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
IHSG akan coba naik dan bertahan diatas level 6,053
Terlihat pada pergerakkan daily, rata-rata kenaikan normal selama periode analisis
adalah sekitar +0.35%, sementara saat ini di +0.101%. Sementara itu pada pergerakkan
weekly potensi kenaikkan normal rata-rata sekitar +0.97%, sementara saat ini naik ke
level +0.59% Dengan demikian potensi koreksi normal masih terlihat namun relatif
terbatas. Pada Figure 4,5 dan 6 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-
masing periode.
Figure 4. Daily : 6,049– 6,092 Figure 5. Weekly : 6,031 – 6,112 Figure 6. Monthly : 5,966 – 6,122
x
x
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 84.35 84.3525
^JKSE - Will%R Smoothed = -14.41 -14.406
^JKSE - Stochastic %D = 71.24, MA = 64.46
71.2362
64.46
^JKSE - Weekly 11/28/2017 Open 6059.71, Hi 6072.49, Lo 6015.91, Close 6070.72 (0.1%) BBTop(Av erage,16,1.84) = 6,082.27, BBBot(Av erage,16,1.84) = 5,803.00
6,070.72
5,942.63
_____ 6,105.2_____ 6,008.9
Optimization Trading System - ©2010
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 11/28/2017 Open: 6,060 High: 6,072 Low: 6,016 Close: 6,071 Chg. 0.1% Vol. 12,818,363,392
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,053.0
R-Squared: 0.9369
Period: 48
Std.: 1.86
Volatility (+) : 0.0086
Volatility (-) : -0.0073
V-Ratio : 1.18
6,070.72
5,980.91
6,093.96
6,207.02
Apr Jul Oct 2017 Apr Jul Oct
^JKSE - Volume = 12,818,363,392.00, EMA(Volume,16) = 27,639,697,408.00
12,818,363,392
27,639,697,408
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,073.9
_____ 6,030.5
6,052.5
6,048.9
6,092.0
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 11/28/2017 Open:
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,052.5
R-Squared: 0.9158
Period: 167
Std.Dev : 1.73
Volatility (+) : 0.0035
Volatility (-) : -0.0036
V-Ratio : 0.98
Chg.: 0.101%
6,070.72
20 27
^JKSE - Volume = 6,708,984,832.00
6,708,984,832
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,111.8
_____ 6,009.8
6,053.0
6,082.4
6,031.40
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 11/28/2017 Open:
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,053.0
R-Squared: 0.9369
Period: 48
Std.Dev : 1.86
Volatility (+) : 0.0097
Volatility (-) : -0.0071
V-Ratio : 1.36
Chg.: 0.059%
6,070.72
13 Nov
^JKSE - Volume = 12,818,363,392.00
12,818,363,392
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,196.2
_____ 5,883.9
6,047.30
6,121.8
5,965.6
^JKSE [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 11/28/2017 Open:
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,047.3
R-Squared: 0.8893
Period: 30
Std.Dev : 1.60
Volatility (+) : 0.0246
Volatility (-) : -0.0270
V-Ratio : 0.91
Chg.: 1.08%
6,070.72
Apr Jul Oct
^JKSE - Volume = 119,884,152,832.00
119,884,152,832
November 29, 2017
7
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Stocks on our focus list
Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM)-Weekly, Trading Buy
Harga akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend channel.
Secara umum harga saham ini masih bergerak pada uptrend channel yang masih
relatif valid (r-squared = 0.0856) selama 140 mingu terakhir yang bergerak normal
dalam rentang +/- 1.47 std.deviasi dari center line. Peluang harga keluar dari
pergerakan normal sekitar 14.37 % (sekitar 20 bar chart ). Rata-rata volatilitas normal
pergerakan harga saat ini sebesar antara +2.58% / -2.09 % atau +110.94 rupiah / -89.87
rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama periode analisis)
sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 7.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Nov 28, 2017) 4,300 (-0.463%) Trading range 4,220 - 4,420
0Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) (0.09) Target
β (beta) 1.28 - Daily 4,350
Corelation 0.69 - Weekly 4,420
Period 140 - Monthly 4,410
r-squared 0.856 Stop loss 4,210
Volatility (+/-, %) +2.58/ -2.09
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +110.94/ -89.87
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 7.Weekly trend – Uptrend
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
_____ 4,421.1
_____ 4,219.9
Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk [ TLKM.JK ] - Weekly - 12/3/2017 Open: 4,320 High: 4,350 Low: 4,280 Close: 4,300 Vol. 82,769,504
Prev . Av g. Price: 4,310.0
R-Squared: 0.8563
Period: 140
Std.Dev : 1.47
Volatility (+) : 0.0258
Volatility (-) : -0.0209
V-Ratio : 1.23
Chg.: -0.463%
5,102.32
4,732.78
4,732.78
4,375.23
4,363.23
4,300
3,970.3
5,495.26
Apr Jul Oct 2016 Apr Jul Oct 2017 Apr Jul Oct
TLKM.JK - Volume = 82,769,504.00, EMA(Volume,39) = 456,784,096.00
82,769,504
456,784,096
November 29, 2017
8
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana masuk dan volatilitas harga naik masih terlihat.
Pada Figure 8, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi terakhir terlihat pada indikator MFI
optimized, indikator W%R optimized dan indikator Stochastic % masih cenderung naik.
Sementara itu harga pada indikator Bollinger Band optimized akan menguji center line.
Daily resistance terdekat di 4,350 sebelum ke weekly resistance di 4,420. Daily dan
weekly support di 4,270 dan 4,220.Cut loss level di 4,210.
Figure 8. Weekly, MFI optimized, W%R optimized, Stochastic %D & Bollinger Band optimized
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
TLKM.JK - MFI Smoothed = 30.43
30.4268
TLKM.JK - Will%R Smoothed = -41.53
-41.5291
TLKM.JK - Stochastic %D = 39.57, MA = 45.34
39.5712
45.3389
TLKM.JK - Weekly 12/3/2017 Open 4320, Hi 4350, Lo 4280, Close 4300 (-0.5%) BBTop(Av erage,39,1.47) = 4,773.37, BBBot(Av erage,39,1.47) = 4,034.50, EMA(Av erage,39)
4,300
4,349.7
_____ 4,422.2_____ 4,220.8
Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk [ TLKM.JK ] - Weekly - 12/3/2017 Open: 4,320 High: 4,350 Low: 4,280 Close: 4,300 Vol. 82,769,504
Prev . Av g. Price: 4,310.0
R-Squared: 0.8563
Period: 140
Std.Dev : 1.47
Volatility (+) : 0.0260
Volatility (-) : -0.0207
V-Ratio : 1.26
Chg.: -0.46%
4,300
Oct 2016 Apr Jul Oct 2017 Apr Jul Oct
TLKM.JK - Volume = 82,769,504.00, EMA(Volume,38) = 457,816,096.00
82,769,504
457,816,096
November 29, 2017
9
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga akan coba naik dan bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area). Pada pergerakkan daily harga
saat ini terkoreksi ke level -1.463 % , normal koreksi sekitar -0.87 %. Sementara itu pada
pergerakkan weekly harga terkoreksi ke level -0.463%, normal koreksi sekitar -2.09 %.
Dengan demikian potensi koreksi relatif terbatas dengan kecenderungan menguat. Pada
Figure 9,10 dan 11 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masing
periode.
Figure 9. Daily : 4,270 – 4,350 Figure 10. Weekly : 4,220 – 4,420 Figure 11. Monthly : 4,020 – 4,410
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 4,345.5
_____ 4,272.3
4,310.0
Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk [ TLKM.JK ]
Prev . Av g. Price: 4,310.0
R-Squared: 0.7996
Period: 71
Std.Dev : 1.28
Volatility (+) : 0.0082
Volatility (-) : -0.0087
V-Ratio : 0.94
Chg.: -0.463%
4,300
20 27
TLKM.JK - Volume = 82,769,504.00
82,769,504
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 4,421.1
_____ 4,219.9
4,310.0
Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk [ TLKM.JK ]
Prev . Av g. Price: 4,310.0
R-Squared: 0.8563
Period: 140
Std.Dev : 1.47
Volatility (+) : 0.0258
Volatility (-) : -0.0209
V-Ratio : 1.23
Chg.: -0.463%
4,300
Oct Nov Dec
TLKM.JK - Volume = 82,769,504.00
82,769,504
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 4,413.7
_____ 4,015.2
4,186.7
Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk [ TLKM.JK ]
Prev . Av g. Price: 4,186.7
R-Squared: 0.8363
Period: 33
Std.Dev : 1.40
Volatility (+) : 0.0542
Volatility (-) : -0.0410
V-Ratio : 1.32
Chg.: 6.70%
4,300
Apr Jul Oct
TLKM.JK - Volume = 1,974,061,568.00
1,974,061,568
November 29, 2017
10
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
United Tractors (UNTR) - Weekly , Trading Buy
Harga akan coba naik mendekati center line pada uptrend channel.
Secara umum harga saham ini juga masih bergerak dalam pola uptrend channel yang
masih relatif valid (r-squared = 0.956) selama 82 minggu terakhir dan bergerak normal
dalam rentang +/- 2.02 std.deviasi dari center line. Peluang harga keluar dari
pergerakan normal sekitar 4.38 % (sekitar 3 bar chart ). Rata-rata volatilitas normal
pergerakan harga saat ini sebesar antara +3.98% / -3.29 % atau +1,265 rupiah / -
1,046.22 rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama periode analisis)
sebagaimana sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 12.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Nov 28, 2017) 31,900 (0.00%) Trading range 31,200 - 32,700
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) 14.86 Target
β (beta) 1.14 - Daily 33,225
Corelation 0.89 - Weekly 32,700
Period 82 - Monthly 38,225
r-squared 0.956 Stop loss 30,525
Volatility (+/-, %) +3.98/ -3.29
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +1,265/ -1,046.22
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 12. Weekly trend – Uptrend
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Optimization Trading System - ©2010
_____ 32,711.8
_____ 30,423.2
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
United Tractors Tbk [ UNTR.JK ] - Weekly - 12/3/2017 Open: 31,700 High: 31,800 Low: 30,775 Close: 31,800 Vol. 5,627,500
Prev . Av g. Price: 31,458.3
R-Squared: 0.9562
Period: 82
Std.Dev :
Volatility (+) : 0.0398
Volatility (-) : -0.0329
V-Ratio : 1.21
Chg.: 0.000%
36,385.1
33,793.4
33,793.4
31,800
31,448.6
31,201.7
29,727.8
29,629.5
37,957.2
Apr Jul Oct 2017 Apr Jul Oct
UNTR.JK - Volume = 5,627,500.00, EMA(Volume,22) = 15,914,993.00
5,627,500
15,914,993
November 29, 2017
11
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana masuk dan volatilitas harga naik masih terlihat.
Pada Figure 13, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi indikator MFI optimized, indikator W%R
optimized dan indikator Stochastic %D optimized masih cenderung naik. Disisi lain
pada indikator Bollinger Band optimized harga akan coba bertahan diatas center line.
Weekly resistance di 32,700 dengan catatan daily resistance 32,225 dapat ditembus.
Sementara itu daily dan weekly support di 31,275 dan 30,425.Cut loss level di 30,525.
Figure 13. Weekly, MFI optimized , W%R optimized, Stochastic %D optimized & Bollinger Band optimized
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
UNTR.JK - MFI Smoothed = 1.61
1.61086
UNTR.JK - Will%R Smoothed = -84.22
-84.219
UNTR.JK - Stochastic %D = 27.61, MA = 51.96
27.6136
51.9558
UNTR.JK - Weekly 12/3/2017 Open 31700, Hi 31800, Lo 30775, Close 31800 (0.0%) BBTop(Av erage,22,2.02) = 35,454.57, BBBot(Av erage,22,2.02) = 26,926.49, SMA
31,800
31,190.5
_____ 32,711.8_____ 30,423.2
United Tractors Tbk [ UNTR.JK ] - Weekly - 12/3/2017 Open: 31,700 High: 31,800 Low: 30,775 Close: 31,800 Vol. 5,627,500
Prev . Av g. Price: 31,458.3
R-Squared: 0.9562
Period: 82
Std.Dev :
Volatility (+) : 0.0398
Volatility (-) : -0.0329
V-Ratio : 1.21
Chg.: 0.0%
31,800
2016 Apr Jul Oct 2017 Apr Jul Oct
UNTR.JK - Volume = 5,627,500.00, EMA(Volume,22) = 15,914,993.00
5,627,500
15,914,993
November 29, 2017
12
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga saat ini akan coba naik dan bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing
periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area) . Lebih lanjut potensi kenaikkan
normal harga pada pergerakkan daily sekitar +1.34%, saat ini di level +0.000 %.
Sementara itu pada pergerakkan weekly kenaikkan normal sekitar +3.98% saat ini harga
di level +0.00%. Dengan demikian potensi kenaikkan masih terlihat. Pada Figure 14,15
dan 16 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masing periode.
Figure 14. Daily : 31,275 – 32,225 Figure 15. Weekly : 30,425 – 32,700 Figure 16. Monthly : 30,350 – 38,225
x
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 31,880.8
_____ 30,936.8
31,272.1
32,226.1
United Tractors Tbk [ UNTR.JK ] - Daily - 11/27/2017
Prev . Av g. Price: 31,458.3
R-Squared: 0.8715
Period: 138
Std.Dev : 1.53
Volatility (+) : 0.0134
Volatility (-) : -0.0166
V-Ratio : 0.81
Chg.: 0.000%
31,800
20 27
UNTR.JK - Volume = 5,627,500.00 5,627,500
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 32,711.8
_____ 30,423.2
31,458.3
United Tractors Tbk [ UNTR.JK ] - Weekly -
Prev . Av g. Price: 31,458.3
R-Squared: 0.9562
Period: 82
Std.Dev :
Volatility (+) : 0.0398
Volatility (-) : -0.0329
V-Ratio : 1.21
Chg.: 0.000%
31,800
Oct Nov Dec
UNTR.JK - Volume = 5,627,500.00
5,627,500
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 38,239.6
_____ 30,357.9
33,275
United Tractors Tbk [ UNTR.JK ] - Monthly -
Prev . Av g. Price: 33,275.0
R-Squared: 0.8146
Period: 233
Std.Dev : 1.32
Volatility (+) : 0.1492
Volatility (-) : -0.0877
V-Ratio : 1.70
Chg.: -8.29%
31,800
Apr Jul Oct
UNTR.JK - Volume = 74,113,696.00
74,113,696
November 29, 2017
13
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Jasa Marga (JSMR) – Daily , Trading Buy
Harga akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend channel.
Secara umum harga akan coba naik mendekati normal lower band pada uptrend
channel yang masih relatif valid dengan r-squared = 0.810 selama 47 hari terakhir dan
bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-1.35 std.deviasi dari centerline. Peluang harga
keluar dari pergerakan normalnya sekitar 18.97 % (sekitar 8 bar chart ). Rata-rata
volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini sebesar antara +1.26 % / - 1.29 % atau +
81.59 rupiah / -83.53 rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama
periode analisis) sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 17.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (Nov 28, 2017) 6,475 (+0.778%) Normal trading range 6,375 - 6,550
Relative Avg. Price performance to JCI (%) 18.25 Target
β (beta) 1.22 - Daily 6,350
Corelation 0.94 - Weekly 6,650
Period 47 - Monthly 7,000
r-squared 0.810 Stop loss 6,375
Volatility (+/-, %) +1.26/ -1.29
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +81.59/ -83.53
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 17. Daily Trend – Uptrend
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,548.3
_____ 6,383.1
Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010 Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Jasa Marga (Pers [ JSMR.JK ] - Daily - 11/27/2017 Open: 6,450 High: 6,525 Low: 6,400 Close: 6,475 Vol. 9,208,200
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,466.7
R-Squared: 0.8222
Period: 47
Std.Dev : 1.35
Volatility (+) : 0.0126
Volatility (-) : -0.0129
V-Ratio : 0.98
Chg.: 0.8%
6,475
6,465.81
6,406.52
6,536.43
6,545.84
6,752.19
6,752.19
6,958.55
7,097.86
11 18 25 Oct 9 16 23 30 Nov 6 13 20 27
JSMR.JK - Volume = 9,208,200.00, EMA(Volume,13) = 7,482,919.50
9,208,200
7,482,920
November 29, 2017
14
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Aliran dana keluar dan volatilitas harga turun masih terlihat namun mulai terbatas.
Pada Figure 18, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi, indikator MFI optimized , indikator W%R
optimized dan indikator Stochastic %D akan menguji support trendline. Pada indikator
Bollinger Band optimized harga akan coba naik mendekati centerline. Dengan
demikian diperkirakan tekananan jual mulai terbatas. Perkiraan daily resistance di 6,550
sebelum ke weekly resistance di 6,650 Daily support di 6,375 dan weekly support di
6,300. Cut loss level di 6,375.
Figure 18. Daily ,MFI optimized, W%R optimized, Stochastic %D & Bollinger Band optimized
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
JSMR.JK - MFI Smoothed = 16.02
16.0244
JSMR.JK - Will%R Smoothed = -66.09
-66.0921
JSMR.JK - Stochastic %D = 18.75, MA = 43.99
18.75
43.9892
JSMR.JK - Daily 11/27/2017 Open 6450, Hi 6525, Lo 6400, Close 6475 (0.8%) BBTop(Av erage,13,1.35) = 6,669.56, BBBot(Av erage,13,1.35) = 6,413.78, SMA Typical
6,475
6,541.67
_____ 6,548.3
_____ 6,383.1
Jasa Marga (Pers [ JSMR.JK ] - Daily - 11/27/2017 Open: 6,450 High: 6,525 Low: 6,400 Close: 6,475 Vol. 9,208,200
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,466.7
R-Squared: 0.8222
Period: 47
Std.Dev : 1.35
Volatility (+) : 0.0126
Volatility (-) : -0.0129
V-Ratio : 0.98
Chg.: 0.8%
6,475
Aug Sep Oct Nov
JSMR.JK - Volume = 9,208,200.00, EMA(Volume,13) = 7,482,919.50
9,208,200
7,482,920
November 29, 2017
15
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas rata-rata pada masing-masing periode.
Untuk mampu naik lebih lanjut, harga saham saat ini harus mampu minimal bertahan
diatas rata-rata masing-masing periode (positive area) . Jika dilihat lebih lanjut potensi
kenaikkan l pada pergerakkan daily sekitar +1,26 %, saat ini di level +0.778 %. Sementara
itu pada pergerakkan weekly kenaikkan normal sekitar +2.81 % saat ini naik ke level
+0.778%. Dengan demikan potensi kenaikkan mulai terlihat. Pada Figure 19,20 dan 21
terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masing periode.
Figure 19. Daily : 6,375 – 6,550 Figure 20. Weekly : 6,300 – 6,650 Figure 21. Monthly : 6,125 – 7,000
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Relative Avg.Price Performance to JCI (%) : Persentase kenaikan harga saham dari rata-rata sejak IHSG memulai uptrend-nya β (beta) : Indikator sensitivitas harga saham terhadap IHSG, beta diatas 1 berarti harga makin sensitif terhadap pergerakan IHSG dan sebaliknya Correlation : Ukuran kuat hubungan (korelasi) pergerakan harga saham dibanding dengan pergerakan IHSG Period : Periode uptrend / downtrend yang valid dari pergerakan harga saham r-squared : Koefisien determinasi, menunjukkan persentase gerakan yang dapat dijelaskan dengan regresi linier.Nilai R2 terletak antara 0 – 1, dan kecocokan model dikatakan lebih baik kalau R2 semakin mendekati 1 (validitas uptrend atau downtrend makin valid) Volatility (+/-%) : Besaran volatilitas normal maksimal/minimal dari pergerakan harga harian selama harga saham bergerak normal pada trend channel dalam persentase. Volatility (+/- point or Rp) : Besaran volatilitas normal maksimal/minimal dari pergerakan harga harian selama Harga saham bergerak
Buy : Beli, harga sudah menyentuh atau jatuh di bawah support dan indikator teknikal berada di oversold area. Sell : Jual, harga sudah menyentuh atau tembus resistance normal dan indikator berada di overbought area. BoW : Buy on Weakness, beli ketika harga sudah melemah, dimana volume tekanan jual mulai berkurang dan harga
mendekatisupport, serta indikator teknikal sudah berada di oversold area. SoS : Sell on Strength, jual ketika kenaikan harga sudah mulai terbatas dimana volume beli mulai berkurang dan harga
mendekati resistance, serta indikator teknikal sudah berada di overbought area. Trading Buy : Beli dan jual kembali secepatnya jika harga sudah mencapai level resistance terdekat, karena kenaikan harga relatif
tidak stabil atau hanya sementara. Trading Sell : Jual dan beli kembali secepatnya jika harga sudah mencapai level support terdekat karena koreksi harga relative tidak
stabil atau hanya sementara.
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,548.3
_____ 6,383.1
5,825.0
6,466.7
Jasa Marga (Pers [ JSMR.JK ] - Daily - 11/27/2017
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,466.7
R-Squared: 0.8222
Period: 47
Std.Dev : 1.35
Volatility (+) : 0.0126
Volatility (-) : -0.0129
V-Ratio : 0.98
Chg.: 0.778%
6,475
20 27
JSMR.JK - Volume = 9,208,200.00
9,208,200
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 6,648.7
_____ 6,311.3
6,483.3
Jasa Marga (Pers [ JSMR.JK ] - Weekly - 12/3/2017
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,466.7
R-Squared: 0.9459
Period: 36
Std.Dev : 1.93
Volatility (+) : 0.0281
Volatility (-) : -0.0240
V-Ratio : 1.17
Chg.: 0.778%
6,475
Oct Nov Dec
JSMR.JK - Volume = 9,208,200.00
9,208,200
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
_____ 7,003.0
_____ 6,133.7
6,533.3
Jasa Marga (Pers [ JSMR.JK ] - Monthly - 11/27/2017
Prev . Av g. Price: 6,533.3
R-Squared: 0.6615
Period: 119
Std.Dev :
Volatility (+) : 0.0719
Volatility (-) : -0.0612
V-Ratio : 1.18
Chg.: -0.38%
6,475
Apr Jul Oct
JSMR.JK - Volume = 128,454,592.00
128,454,592
November 29, 2017
16
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 22. JCI Vs. USD/IDR Chart 23. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 24. Foreigner’s net purchase (EM) Chart 25. Energy price
Note: The latest figure for India are November 27th, 2017
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 26. Non-ferrous metal price Chart 27. Precious metal price
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
13,100
13,200
13,300
13,400
13,500
13,600
13,700
13,800
5,600
5,700
5,800
5,900
6,000
6,100
8/29 9/26 10/24 11/21
(IDR) (pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R)
0.1 0.6 1.6
18.2
-0.1
1.0
-1.7
-14.6 -20
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
1D 1W 1M 1Y
Absolute Relative(%, %p) (%, %p) (%, %p)
0
-279
8 7
-1
464
-847
-362
218
-70 -20
618
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
Korea Taiwan Indonesia Thailand Philippines India
1 Day 5 Days (USDmn) (USDmn) (USDmn) (USDmn) (USDmn) (USDmn) (USDmn) (USDmn)
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
8/29 9/26 10/24 11/21
CPO WTI Coal(D-3M=100) (D-3M=100)
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
08/17 09/17 10/17 11/17
(D-3M=100) Copper Nickel Tin
90
95
100
105
110
8/29 9/26 10/24 11/21
Silver Gold Platinum(D-3M=100)
November 29, 2017
17
Embun Pagi
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Table. Key valuation metrics
Company Name Ticker Price Market Cap Price Performance (%) P/E(X)* P/B(X)* ROE(%)*
(IDR) (IDRbn) 1D 1W 1M 1Y FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18 FY17 FY18
Jakarta Composite Index JCI 6,071 6,744,593
0.1 0.6 1.6 18.2 17.9 15.8 2.6 2.4 18.4 21.2
FINANCIALS
Bank Central Asia BBCA 21,300 525,152 0.0 0.8 4.9 48.2 22.7 20.2 4.0 3.5 19.0 18.4
Bank Mandiri Persero BMRI 7,425 346,500 0.0 0.3 6.8 46.3 16.6 13.5 2.0 1.8 12.8 14.3
Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero BBRI 3,380 416,909 2.4 3.0 8.3 61.3 14.7 12.9 2.6 2.3 18.2 18.4
Bank Negara Indonesia Persero BBNI 8,400 156,649 3.1 6.0 9.1 65.5 11.8 10.2 1.6 1.5 14.4 15.0
Bank Tabungan Negara Persero BBTN 3,180 33,676 2.6 6.4 12.4 98.8 13.0 11.4 1.3 1.2 10.6 11.3
CONSUMER
HM Sampoerna HMSP 4,380 509,473 3.8 4.8 9.8 13.2 39.0 35.7 14.4 13.6 37.8 39.5
Gudang Garam GGRM 79,850 153,638 0.4 1.3 19.4 27.2 20.8 18.4 3.6 3.2 17.7 18.1
Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur ICBP 8,675 101,167 0.0 -2.5 -2.5 3.9 26.0 23.8 5.2 4.7 20.8 20.4
Indofood Sukses Makmur INDF 7,700 67,609 -1.6 -0.3 -6.7 5.1 15.1 14.1 2.1 2.0 14.5 13.5
Kalbe Farma KLBF 1,640 76,875 -2.1 -0.6 1.2 17.1 31.1 28.1 5.8 5.2 19.1 18.2
Unilever Indonesia UNVR 51,000 389,130 1.2 3.2 3.8 27.2 53.4 48.0 72.6 65.5 145.0 144.5
AGRICULTURAL
Astra Agro Lestari AALI 14,275 27,475 -0.2 -0.3 -2.1 -15.3 13.2 13.4 1.5 1.4 11.6 10.9
PP London Sumatera Indonesia LSIP 1,425 9,723 1.4 -1.7 -5.3 -19.7 12.0 11.6 1.2 1.1 10.1 10.0
Sawit Sumbermas Sarana SSMS 1,460 13,907 1.4 -0.7 -3.0 10.2 22.0 13.9 3.6 3.0 16.2 21.5
INFRASTRUCTURE
XL Axiata EXCL 2,980 31,850 2.8 -3.6 -11.8 46.1 94.4 30.5 1.5 1.4 1.5 4.1
Jasa Marga JSMR 6,475 46,995 0.0 -0.8 -0.4 65.6 21.4 20.7 3.0 2.7 14.3 13.7
Perusahaan Gas Negara PGAS 1,705 41,332 -3.7 -2.8 4.3 -34.9 15.8 12.6 1.0 1.0 5.3 8.4
Tower Bersama Infrastructure TBIG 6,200 28,095 -1.2 0.8 -8.8 10.2 23.0 18.9 14.6 9.5 64.7 61.4
Telekomunikasi Indonesia TLKM 4,240 427,392 -1.4 1.0 2.2 10.9 18.0 16.6 4.4 4.0 26.0 24.8
Soechi Lines SOCI 284 2,005 -1.4 -0.7 2.2 -26.8 4.2 4.2 N/A N/A 11.3 10.2
Garuda Indonesia GIAA 326 8,439 -1.8 -0.6 -12.4 -5.8 17.5 13.3 2.0 1.8 11.5 13.4
BASIC-INDUSTRIES
Semen Indonesia SMGR 10,000 59,315 -0.2 0.3 -7.2 15.3 21.9 18.1 2.0 1.8 8.9 10.4
Charoen Pokphand Indonesia CPIN 2,920 47,882 -3.3 -3.3 -9.9 -12.0 18.2 13.5 3.0 2.6 15.6 18.0
Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa INTP 19,200 70,680 3.8 -4.2 -9.9 25.1 30.4 25.7 2.7 2.6 8.6 10.0
Japfa Comfeed Indonesia JPFA 1,290 14,720 -3.4 -0.8 -8.8 -18.6 11.4 8.4 1.6 1.4 14.9 17.7
MINING
Indo Tambangraya Megah ITMG 19,800 22,373 0.0 0.5 -6.9 25.3 7.2 7.6 1.6 1.6 23.2 20.6
Adaro Energy ADRO 1,715 54,856 1.2 0.0 -6.8 2.1 8.5 8.5 1.2 1.1 14.2 12.6
Aneka Tambang ANTM 650 15,620 -0.8 -2.3 0.8 -34.0 201.6 105.0 0.9 0.9 -0.4 0.8
Vale Indonesia INCO 2,780 27,623 -4.1 -4.8 -0.7 -20.6 N/A 34.3 1.4 1.3 -0.5 2.5
Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam PTBA 10,850 25,000 -0.5 0.7 -0.7 -6.1 7.2 7.4 1.9 1.6 27.3 23.3
TRADE
United Tractors UNTR 32,400 120,856 1.9 2.6 -0.8 50.7 16.5 14.5 2.8 2.6 16.8 17.1
AKR Corporindo AKRA 6,400 25,641 -3.0 -4.8 -15.8 -0.8 21.8 19.8 3.3 3.0 15.4 15.7
Global Mediacom BMTR 595 8,448 0.8 1.7 -3.3 -1.7 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Matahari Department Store LPPF 11,175 32,608 0.4 -1.1 29.9 -21.6 16.3 15.0 12.2 9.7 90.7 75.5
Media Nusantara Citra MNCN 1,330 18,987 -7.3 -9.2 -15.6 -23.3 12.0 10.5 1.8 1.7 16.2 16.9
Matahari Putra Prima MPPA 438 2,356 -1.8 -11.0 -24.5 -74.2 N/A 112.6 1.0 1.0 -3.1 0.4
Surya Citra Media SCMA 2,300 33,630 0.4 6.5 7.5 -1.3 21.1 18.8 8.6 7.6 42.8 42.9
Siloam International Hospital SILO 10,150 16,502 0.2 2.5 4.6 -0.2 139.0 111.6 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.8
PROPERTY
Bumi Serpong Damai BSDE 1,670 32,142 -0.6 2.8 -3.2 -0.6 11.4 11.5 1.3 1.2 12.2 11.0
Adhi Karya ADHI 1,970 7,015 -0.8 -11.3 -9.6 7.7 13.1 8.9 1.2 1.1 8.8 11.9
Alam Sutera Realty ASRI 378 7,427 -2.1 -2.1 -4.5 3.8 7.1 6.7 0.9 0.8 14.5 12.9
Ciputra Development CTRA 1,205 22,365 -0.4 3.4 0.8 -13.3 21.6 16.9 1.7 1.6 8.6 9.5
Lippo Karawaci LPKR 605 13,962 -1.6 -3.2 -13.6 -22.4 13.5 12.0 0.8 0.7 5.7 5.7
Pembangunan Perumahan PTPP 2,630 16,306 -1.1 -4.4 -9.9 -29.1 11.7 9.6 1.5 1.3 12.5 13.6
Pakuwon Jati PWON 625 30,100 -2.3 0.8 -1.6 -10.1 15.3 13.4 2.8 2.4 19.1 18.6
Summarecon Agung SMRA 885 12,768 -0.6 1.1 -11.9 -34.9 40.2 26.7 1.8 1.7 4.8 6.3
Wijaya Karya WIKA 1,810 16,236 -3.7 -8.1 -10.0 -22.3 13.2 10.8 1.3 1.2 10.0 11.1
Waskita Karya WSKT 2,130 28,912 -1.4 -0.9 -3.2 -6.2 9.0 8.1 1.8 1.5 21.2 19.1
MISCELLANEOUS
Astra International ASII 8,375 339,050 -1.8 3.1 6.0 7.0 17.3 15.6 2.7 2.5 15.9 15.9
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
*Note: Valuation metrics based on Bloomberg consensus estimates
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Sector performance
Top 10 market cap performance
Name Index Chg (%) Ticker Price Market Cap (IDRbn) Chg (%)
Agricultural 1,695.2 -0.7 MYOR IJ 2100 46,953 5.00
Mining 1,558.1 -1.1
MEDC IJ 965 12,863 4.32
Basic-Industry 636.1 -0.9 MAPI IJ 6775 11,247 4.2
Miscellaneous Industry 1,398.5 -1.4 TELE IJ 945 6,901 3.85
Consumer Goods 2,664.5 1.4 INTP IJ 19200 70,680 3.78
Property & Construction 491.7 -0.7
ABMM IJ 2360 6,497 3.5
Infrastructure 1,147.7 -1.0 BBNI IJ 8400 156,649 3.07
Finance 1,074.7 0.7 EXCL IJ 2980 31,850 2.76
Trade 898.9 -0.4 TKIM IJ 3070 9,558 2.68
Composite 6,070.7 0.1 BBTN IJ 3180 33,676 2.6 Source: Bloomberg
Top 5 leading movers Top 5 lagging movers
Name Chg (%) Close Name Chg (%) Close
HMSP IJ 3.8 4,380 ASII IJ -1.8 8,375
BBRI IJ 2.4 3,380 TLKM IJ -1.4 4,240
BBNI IJ 3.1 8,400 EMTK IJ -6.4 9,225
UNVR IJ 1.2 51,000 GEMS IJ -13.2 2,370
INTP IJ 3.8 19,200 SMBR IJ -6.9 2,420 Source: Bloomberg
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
3:00am NZD RBNZ Financial Stability Report
3:45am USD Treasury Sec Mnuchin Speaks
6:50am JPY Retail Sales y/y 0.1% 2.3%
7:00am NZD RBNZ Gov Spencer Speaks
7:01am GBP BRC Shop Price Index y/y -0.1%
2:00pm CHF UBS Consumption Indicator 1.56
29th-4th GBP Nationwide HPI m/m 0.2% 0.2%
All Day EUR German Prelim CPI m/m 0.3% 0.0%
2:45pm EUR French Consumer Spending m/m 0.0% 0.9%
2:45pm EUR French Prelim GDP q/q 0.5% 0.5%
3:00pm EUR Spanish Flash CPI y/y 1.7% 1.6%
4:00pm CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations 32.0
All Day All OPEC Meetings
4:30pm GBP Net Lending to Individuals m/m 4.3B 5.5B
4:30pm GBP M4 Money Supply m/m 0.3% -0.2%
4:30pm GBP Mortgage Approvals 65K 66K
Tentative EUR Italian 10-y Bond Auction 1.86|1.4
8:30pm USD Prelim GDP q/q 3.3% 3.0%
8:30pm USD FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
8:30pm USD Prelim GDP Price Index q/q 2.2% 2.2%
9:00pm GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks
9:45pm GBP MPC Member Ramsden Speaks
10:00pm USD Fed Chair Yellen Testifies
10:00pm USD Pending Home Sales m/m 1.1% 0.0%
10:30pm USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.9M
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time
Source: Forex Factory
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