North Star SummitSusan Brower, MN State DemographerDecember 2014

19501955

19601965

19701975

19801985

19901995

20002005

201050

100

150

California

Minnesota

A Tale of Two EconomiesPer Capita Personal Income, 1950-

2013

Perc

ent o

f the

U.S

.

U.S=100%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data. Tabulated by Stinson and Gillaspy 2009, updated by Brower., 2014

States’ Rising Educational Attainment & Growth in Productivity

Source: EPI analysis of unpublished total economy productivity data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Labor Productivity and Costs program, state employment data from BLS Local Area Unemployment Statistics, and college attainment data from the Current Population Survey basic monthly microdata

Projected Growth in Labor Force Annual Average, Ages 16+

1980-1990 1990-2000 2000-2010 2010-2020 2020-2030 2030-2040

32,000

38,000

25,000

8,000 4,000

13,000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Minnesota State Demographic Center Projections

Real GDP

Growth

Productivity Growth

Labor force participation

Working-age population

growth

Largest Population Growth Among Asian, Black and Hispanic Groups

American Indian

Asian Black Hispanic Two or More Races

60

223265 258

8464

359420

492

128

(Thousands)

2010 2030Source: Minnesota State Demographic Center projections.

Wide Racial Gaps in Attainment Persist

White Black American Indian

Asian Two or more/Other

Hispanic/Latino

42%

16%

4%

58%

33%

14%

Percent of young adults (age 25-34) with a B.A. or higher, 2010-2012

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Employed Minnesotans with H.S. Education or Less

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20130

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

9079%

71%60%

43% 44%

36%

12th grade or less

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Minnesotans with 4 years of college or more

25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 630%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1960

Years of Age

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Minnesotans with 4 years of college or more

25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 630%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

19601970

Years of Age

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Minnesotans with 4 years of college or more

25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 630%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

196019701980

Years of Age

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Minnesotans with 4 years of college or more

25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 630%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1960197019801990

Years of Age

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Minnesotans with 4 years of college or more

25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 630%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1960197019801990

Years of Age

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Minnesotans with 4 years of college or more

25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 630%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1960197019801990

2000

Years of Age

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

Share of Minnesotans with 4 years of college or more

25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51 53 55 57 59 61 630%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

1960197019801990

2000

2013

Years of Age

Source: Tabulated by the State Demographic Center from the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series

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