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NJTC
Venture Capital Update 2010February 5, 2010
Mark G. HeesenPresident
Capital under mgt & # firms peaked; Industry capital now $197B
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
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1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
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2008
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
# Firms Cap Und Mgt $B
Source: NVCA 2008 Yearbook prepared by Thomson Reuters
VC Fundraising Matches Investment - DOWN!
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
$B Gross 7.8 10.1 11.6 18.1 30.6 58.2 106. 38.0 3.8 10.6 19.2 29.0 31.9 36.1 28.6 15.2
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: Thomson Reuters/NVCADoes not include Corporate Venture groups.
Investment Marches On -
VC Investment Peaked in 2000;
2008 Was Down 8%; 2009 was $18B
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$ M
illi
on
In
vest
ed
1985
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1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
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2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report,Data: Thomson Reuters
$103B
$28B
$18B
$0
$5
$10
Total VC $B 5.1 6.4 5.9 5.8 6.4 7.1 6.7 6.4 7.5 7.4 7.8 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.1 5.9 3.4 4.2 5.1 5.0
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
What does 2009 portend for 2010?
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Reuters
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$M 123 197 586 274 315 200 348 453 1,535 2,560 3,986 1,920
# Deals 36 38 44 51 51 54 74 80 135 230 268 185
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Clean Technology investment grows significantly – more than 10% of investment
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report,Data: Thomson Reuters
“Later Stage” is bloated with companies which can’t move on
Metric 1995-1998 Most recent 4 qtrs*
# Venture Deals/Year 2,802 2,814
# Later Stage Deals/Year 311 848
Later as % of Deals 11.1% 30.1%
# First Time Fundings/Year
1,181 721
% of Deals in Seed & Early Stage
47.1% 40.2%
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report,Data: Thomson Reuters
* - Through 3Q 2009
Jersey Boys … and GirlsWhat’s Up?
Note that data “cuts” can be done from the historical trend data section of
www.pwcmoneytree.com or from the National Aggregate Spreadsheet which can be downloaded
from that site.
10
New Jersey Tracks Slightly Better than National –
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$M Inv 435 432 902 3,129 1,462 873 843 992 911 763 640 708 557
# Deals 77 76 114 185 152 95 92 92 78 94 97 90 73
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
$ M
illion
s
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report,Data: Thomson Reuters
11
Most Recent 12 Quarters: NJ Totals Driven by Some Large Deals
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$M Invested 124.6 185.5 180.0 149.5 124.1 125.8 235.5 222.2 100.6 90.3 65.7 300.0
# Deals 18 29 27 23 18 17 28 27 22 15 14 22
2007-1 2007-2 2007-3 2007-4 2008-1 2008-2 2008-3 2008-4 2009-1 2009-2 2009-3 2009-4
$ M
illion
s
*
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report,Data: Thomson Reuters
Bubble years aside, NJ has created a steady flow of “first fundings”
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# NJ 1st Rnds 12 30 25 36 33 64 82 50 28 20 20 23 27 28 36 18
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report,Data: Thomson Reuters
MoneyTree Sector Splits – Life Sciences Run the Show!(NJ 56% vs National 34%)
Biotech32%
MedDev24%
Software10%
Netwrk5%
Other22%
Comm7%
VC Dollar Investment in NJ – 2007-2009
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report,Data: Thomson Reuters
The Exit Scene - the importance of acquisitions has become clear over the past several years
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
Off
er
$B
0
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Nu
mb
er o
f IP
Os
Offer ($ B) 8.2 11.5 4.8 3.8 20.9 25.6 3.5 2.1 2.0 11.4 4.5 5.1 10.3 0.5 1.6
Count 205 272 138 78 270 265 41 22 29 93 57 57 86 6 12
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
IPO Levels Were Good in 2004 and
Okay in 2007; Awful Now
Source: Thomson Reuters/National Venture Capital Association
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# IPOs 270 264 41 22 29 93 56 57 86 5 0 1 0 0 5 3 4
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
One word for IPOs in 2008-9: Awful
Source: Thomson Reuters/National Venture Capital Association
0
20
40
60
80
IPOs Done 12 31 5 0 1 0 0 5 3 4
In Reg on last day 72 60 37 42 38 28 26 10 18 29
3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
What’s in the IPO Pipeline?Dismal Short Term…
Source: Thomson Reuters/National Venture Capital Association
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
Acq $B 7.4 9.1 38.0 68.4 18.1 8.0 7.6 16.1 22.1 19.7 29.4 13.8 12.3
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
M&A Exits Aren’t Providing Much Liquidity Either, but Improving
Source: Thomson Reuters/National Venture Capital Association
Acquisitions Market Has Some Potential in 2010 Based on Improvements in 2009
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
% o
f K
no
wn
M&
A E
xit
s
>10x TVI 1 2 2 7
4x-10x TVI 2 3 7 10
1x-4x TVI 3 2 2 9
< TVI 8 5 11 8
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09
Source: Thomson Reuters/National Venture Capital Association – Undisclosed txns are prorated
Public Policy andThe Venture Industry
Some Wins; Many Challenges …
History has shown VC Deploys Capital To Most Promising Sectors: Four Examples (“Sector Churn”)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
% o
f to
tal
VC
in
vestm
en
t
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
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2008
% Disk Drive % Cln Tch % Bio incl. Pharma % Software
Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree™ Report, Data: Thomson Reuters
www.nvca.org