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1 New York Area Program Integration Office Federal Aviation Administration 1 REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays The New York Area Story Charles R. Everett, Jr., Acting Director New York Area Program Integration Office FAA Eastern Region/Penn State 31 st Annual Airport Conference Hershey, Pennsylvania March 2008 Federal Aviation Administration

New York Area Program Integration Office Federal Aviation Administration 0 0 REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays The New

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Page 1: New York Area Program Integration Office Federal Aviation Administration 0 0 REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays The New

1New York Area Program Integration Office Federal AviationAdministration 1

REGIONS & CENTER OPERATIONS

Aviation Congestion and Flight Delays

The New York Area Story

Charles R. Everett, Jr., Acting DirectorNew York Area Program Integration Office

FAA Eastern Region/Penn State 31st Annual Airport ConferenceHershey, PennsylvaniaMarch 2008

Federal AviationAdministration

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Agenda

• Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System• New York Metropolitan Area• Flight Delay Task Force (PANY&NJ)• New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee• List of 77 Delay Reduction Initiatives• New York Area Program Integration Office• The Way Ahead• Questions and Discussion

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National Airspace System (NAS)

An interconnected system of airports, air traffic facilities and equipment, navigational aids and airways.

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Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System

• Future Airport Capacity Task (FACT)• 291 airports, 223 metro areas• Detailed capacity analysis at 56

airports -35 Operational Evolution Partnership (OEP) and 21 non-OEP

• ASV Ratio with TAF & FATE• NAS-Wide Delay with TAF & FATE• ARP, ATO, MITRE & JPDO Team• On-Site Validation (airports and local air traffic control)

• Operational Evolution Partnership15 metro areas (2025 w/o imp)

• FACT 2 Next Steps14 airports, 8 metros (2025 w/imp)

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OEP Airports

DTW CLE

PIT

BOS

DCA

CLT

TPA

MCO

FLL

MIA

MEM

STL

DFW

IAH

MSP

DEN

SLC

PDX

SEA

CVG

HNL

PHXSAN

LAX

LAS

ATL

IAD BWI

PHL EWRJFK

LGA

ORD

MDW

SFO

35 OEP Airports Accounted for 73% of Total U.S. Enplanements in CY2006

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202527 airports that need additional capacity

15 metro areas that need additional capacity

ATL

CLT

ORD

HOU

LAS

LAX

MSP

• ATL• BOS• CLT• EWR• FLL• HOU• IAD• IAH• JFK

• LAS• LAX• LGA• LGB• MDW• MSP• OAK• ORD• PBI

• PHL• PHX• PVD• SAN• SAT• SEA• SFO• TUS• SNA

If Planned Improvements Do Not Occur

NY

PHL

PHX

SEA

SAN

SFO

SFLA

DC

Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System

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2025 14 airports that need additional capacity

8 metro areas that need additional capacity

After Planned Improvements

• ATL• EWR• FLL• JFK• LAS• LGA

• LGB• MDW• OAK• PHL• PHX• SAN

• SFO• SNA

Atlanta

Las Vegas

Los Angeles

New York

Philadelphia

Phoenix

San Diego

San Francisco

n Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System

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Capacity Needs in the National Airspace SystemAssumptions-OEP airports

Detailed improvements modeled in 2025

ATL

BOS

BWI

CLE

CLT

CVG

DCA

DEN

DFW

DTW

EWR

FLL

HNL

IAD

IAH

JFK

LAS

LAX

LGA

MCO

MDW

MEM

MIA

MSP

ORD

PDX

PHL

PHX

PIT

SAN

SEA

SFO

SLC

STL

TPA

Reduced Separation Standards-- use visual separation in MMC -- use 2/3/4/5 NM in IMC

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x* x x x x◊*x

x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Improved threshold delivery accuracy ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊ ◊1.5 NM Departure/Arrival separation (IMC) -- spacing < 2500 ft or same runway x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x

Independent parallel approaches (IMC) -- spacing 2500-4299 ft x ▲ x x x ▲

Triple indep. parallel approaches (IMC) ▲ ▲ ▲ ▲ x ◊ ▲ ◊ ◊ x

"Mixed triple" independent/dependent parallel approaches (IMC) x

Paired approaches, e.g. SOIA -- MMC (spacing 700-2499 ft) x ◊ ▲ ◊ x x x ◊ ◊ ▲

-- IMC (spacing 1200-2499 ft) x

Dependent Approaches -- MMC/IMC (700-2500 ft spacing)-- 1.5 NM diagonal behind Small, Large-- wake vortex sep behind B757/Heavy

x x x x x ◊ x

LAHSO (all weather) if >7000 ft to intersection▲ x x x

Simultaneous Converging Approaches (IMC)x x

Standard Departure/Departure separations (no departure constraints) x x ◊ x x x x x

Independent parallel departures (IMC) -- no wake vortex separation behind Small/Large (700-2500 ft spacing)

x x x x x ◊ x

New/extended runways (since 2002) ▲ ◊ x ▲ x ▲

▲x

▲x

◊ ◊x

▲x

▲ ▲ ▲ ◊ ◊ ◊ ▲ x

▲ Included in 2006 capacity x*◊ 2015 capacity improvement ◊*x 2025 capacity improvement

Visual separations applied in VMC (2015) Visual separations applied in VMC and MMC (2025)

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Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System

NextGen Impact

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Departure Arriva l Depa rture Arrival

Good Weathe r Bad We ather

Reduction due to NextGen

NextGen improvements reduced the total minutes of queue delay at the 56 airports by 25 to 35 percent.

Although 2025 ATM assumptions show a positive effect in the FACT analysis, FACTshould not be considered a detailed analysis of NextGen benefits.

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Capacity Needs in the National Airspace Systemand OEP Metro Areas

15 metro areas that will need additional capacity

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Ten Most Populous U.S. Metropolitan Areas

Rank Metropolitan Statistical Area Population (2005)

2000 2005(+%)

FACT/OEP

METRO2025

1 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NY-PA

18,774,000 2.3 ■

2 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA

12,924,000 4.5 ■

3 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL-IN-WI 9,443,000 3.8 ■

4 Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

5,823,000 2.4 ■

5 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX 5,819,000 12.7

6 Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach, FL

5,422,000 8.3 ■

7 Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, TX 5,280,000 12.0 ■

8 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

5,215,000 8.7 ■

9 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta, GA 4,918,000 15.8 ■

10 Detroit-Warren-Livonia, MI 4,488,000 0.8

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, April 1, 2000, and July 1, 2005

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LaGuardia (LGA)

John F. Kennedy International (JFK)

Newark Liberty International (EWR)

Allentown-Bethlehem (ABE)

Westchester County (HPN)

Stewart International (SWF)

Islip Long Island Mac Arthur (ISP)

Atlantic City (ACY)

Trenton (TTN)

Source: FAA Regional Air Service Demand Study, May 2007.

Sponsored by the Federal Aviation Administration, Port Authority of New York and New Jersey and the New York State Department of Transportation.

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John F. Kennedy (JFK)

Airport Operator: PANY&NJ

Location: On Jamaica Bay in the southeastern section of Queens County, New York City. 15 miles from midtown Manhattan.

Airlines: 80

Daily average non-stop departures: 536

Size: 4,930 acresOpened: 1942, $150MInvestment: $5BRegional economic activity: $28B 229,000 jobs $9.8B wages and salariesLease: New York City, 1947-2050

$218M Delay Reduction Program $218M Delay Reduction Program proposedproposed

Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ

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Newark Liberty (EWR)

Airport Operator: PANY&NJ

Location: In Essex and Union counties between the NJ Turnpike, US Routes 1 and 9 and I78. 16 miles from midtown Manhattan.

Airlines: 50

Daily average non-stop departures: 592

Size: 2,027 acresOpened: 1928, $8.2MInvestment: $3.9BRegional economic activity: $18.5B 157,000 jobs $6.7B wages and salariesLease: City of Newark, 1948-2065

Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ

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LaGuardia (LGA)

Airport Operator: PANY&NJ

Location: In the Borough of Queens, New York City, bordering on Flushing Bay and bowers Bay. 8 miles from midtown Manhattan.

Airlines: 25

Daily average non-stop departures: 563

Size: 680 acresOpened: 1929, $40MInvestment: $1.3BRegional economic activity: $11B 100,000 jobs $4B wages and salariesLease: City of New York, 1947-2050

Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ

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Stewart (SWF)

Airport Operator: PANY&NJ

Location: Newburgh/New Windsor, New York at the intersection of the New York State Thruway (I87) and I84. 60 miles north of New York City.

Airlines: 5

Daily average non-stop departures: 50

Size: 2,400 acresOpened: 1939Investment: $78.5MLease: November 2007 - 93 years

$500M Capital Program$500M Capital Program

Source: Stewart International Airport (SWF) Facts, PANY&NJ

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Teterboro (TEB)

Airport Owner and Operator: PANY&NJ

Location: In the Boroughs of Teterboro and Moonachie in Bergen County, NJ. 12 miles from midtown Manhattan.

General Aviation Reliever

Size: 827 acresOpened: 1917, $8.2MInvestment: $175MRegional economic activity: $1.8B 15,500 jobs $670M wages and salaries

Source: 2006 Airport Traffic Report, PANY&NJ

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U.S. Airport Ranking by Passengers 2006Rank City / Airport Total Passengers Total Operations

1 Atlanta (ATL) 84,846,639 976,447

2 Chicago (ORD) 77,028,134 958,643

3 Los Angeles (LAX) 61,041,066 656,842

4 Dallas / Ft Worth (DFW) 60,226,138 699,773

5 Denver (DEN) 47,325,016 598,489

6 Las Vegas (LAS) 46,193,329 619,486

7 New York (JFK) 43,762,282 378,389

8 Houston (IAH) 42,550,432 602,672

9 Phoenix (PHX) 41,436,737 546,510

10 Newark (EWR) 36,724,167 444,374

11 Detroit (DTW) 35,972,673 481,740

12 Minneapolis / St Paul (MSP) 35,612,133 475,668

13 Orlando (MCO) 34,640,451 350,119

14 San Francisco (SFO) 33,574,807 359,201

15 Miami (MIA) 32,533,974 384,477

16 Philadelphia (PHL) 31,768,272 515,869

17 Seattle (SEA) 29,979,097 340,058

18 Charlotte (CLT) 29,693,949 509,559

19 Boston (BOS) 27,725,443 406,119

20 New York (LGA) 26,571,146 399,827

Source: Airports Council International-North America, 2007

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New York Area Major Airports Activity

Airport Passengers2007

John F. Kennedy (JFK)

47,716,941

LaGuardia (LGA) 24,985,264

Newark (EWR) 36,367,240

Stewart (SWF) 913.927

Total 109,983,372

Source: Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, March 2008

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New York Area Major Airports Activity

AirportOperations:

Actual2005

Forecast2025

John F. Kennedy (JFK)

360,007 747,484

LaGuardia (LGA) 408,991 415,859

Newark (EWR) 440,889 676,037

Stewart (SWF) 112,962 104,956

Total 1,322,849 1,944,336

Source: Federal Aviation Administration, Aviation Policy & Plans, Terminal Area Forecast, December 2007

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Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007

National

On-Time74%

Air Carrier7%

Weather1%

NAS8%

Security0%

Aircraft8%

Cancelled2%

Diverted0%

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

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Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007

John F. Kennedy (JFK)

On-Time63%

Air Carrier6%

Weather1%

NAS18%

Security0%

Aircraft8%

Cancelled3%

Diverted1%

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

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Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007

LaGuardia (LGA)

On-Time59%

Air Carrier5%

Weather2%

NAS22%

Security0%

Aircraft7%

Cancelled5%

Diverted0%

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

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Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007

Newark (EWR)

On-Time60%

Air Carrier3%

Weather1%

NAS25%

Security0%

Aircraft7%

Cancelled4%

Diverted0%

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

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Aviation DelaysOn-Time Arrival Performance, January – December 2007

New York Airports vs National

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Type of Delay

Perc

en

tag

e National

JFK

LGA

EWR

Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, Airline Service Quality Performance 234, March 2008

New York airports compared to National average for On-Time arrivals and NAS-Wide Delays demonstrates local area delays.

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Port Authority Flight Delay Task Force

• Established June 2007 by the Chairman, Anthony R. Coscia and Executive Director Anthony E. Shorris

• Mission - To develop recommendations for mitigating congestion and reducing flight delays, as well as to propose recommendations for improving the customer experience during extensive flight delays.

• Composed of representatives from various stakeholder groups:

Major airline senior executives FAA officials State and local officials Representatives of terminal operators Other local business leaders Transportation advocates Port Authority of New York and New Jersey staff

Subcommittees (2) -Technical and Customer Service Working Groups

• Term-6 months• Report Issued: November 29, 2007

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Port Authority Flight Delay Task ForceTechnical Working Group identified 77 recommendations:

Procedural

Address modifications to air traffic control procedures—the rules that govern runway occupancy, spacing between aircraft, flight routes, airspace navigation and the use of runways (Increases number of operations per hour at airports).

Technological

Focus on underutilized technologies, including satellite-based, such as text-based communication and GPS (Provides more info to pilots and controllers regarding air traffic conditions. The precision of the technologies improve safety and permit aircraft to use ground and airspace more efficiently).

Capital

Consider major construction projects that change the infrastructure of the airport to make it more accommodating to larger numbers of flights, more simultaneous operations and bigger aircraft. These include additions and rehabilitations on taxiways and runways at JFK, LGA and EWR (Improves surface movement and overall operations).

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Port Authority Flight Delay Task Force

Customer Service Working Group identified 19 recommendations that, taken together, address three deficiencies:

Need for improved communications with passengers

- Create and implement a communications plan.

Lack of coordination among service providers

- Improve coordination of existing customer service programs and expand use of community–wide programs.

Lack of planning and coordination with accommodation providers and transportation services in the event of extended delays

- Enhance airport accommodations and transportation planning.

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New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee

• Chartered September 27, 2007 by Secretary of Transportation Mary Peters.

• Mission – To explore ideas to ensure that any action undertaken by the Federal Government would be fully informed and avoid unintended consequences. To identify ideas that would reduce congestion, efficiently allocate the scarce capacity of New York area airports, and do both without creating major disruptions.

• Composed of representatives from various stakeholder groups:

Officials from the Office of the Secretary of Transportation FAA officials Port Authority of New York and New Jersey State of New York Airlines Consumer groups Other interested parties

Subcommittees (5)

• Term: 3 months• Report Issued: December 13, 2007

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New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee

• Working Group 1: Operational/Infrastructure Improvement – New York Airspace Czar, General Aviation, Voluntary Reductions

• Working Group 2: Congestion Pricing, Auctions, and Aircraft Gauge

• Working Group 3: Gate Utilization and Perimeter Rule

• Working Group 4: Priority Aviation Traffic Preferences

• Working Group 5: IATA Scheduling Guidelines, Other Administrative Options

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New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee

Working Group 1:

List of 77 (five categories)

- Efficient airport surface movement- Departure efficiency- Arrival efficiency- Regional airspace efficiency- Technology

17 items to be completed by Summer 2008

Focus on excessive spacing on final approach, runway/taxiway improvements, 2nd J80 airway, and surface management systems.

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List of 77 InitiativesPA

Delay Task Force

#

ATA Orig List of

77 #

Short Term Init

Action Item

17 #

OPRPoint of Contact

Time SCOPE of ITEM

Action Item Description Actions Status

1 57 AJTSteve Shema

FY09

Install ground surveillance systems (ASDE-X w ith Data Distribution Box for airline & FAA Access) at EWR & JFK in 2008

COA announced plan to install system at EWR and FAA accelerating ASDE-X installation at JFK - need to accelerate effort to extent practical

FAA is expediting the deployment of ASDE-X, nearly 1 year ahead of program baseline schedule for JFK. EWR deployment initiated.

In progress, JFK IOC on Aug 31, 2008. EWR expected completion June 2009.

2 77 ARPJohn

DermodyFY09

JFK add'l twy improvements (Twy B to 22L 31R, etc)

Increase runway use flexibility

PANYNJ to add to their capital plan, design project and submit for FAA coordinated NRA airspace/ ALP and environmental review .

PANYNJ is in final project design stage. FAA is review ing the coordinated NRA airspace submission. PANYNJ environmental submission pending.

3 3 12 AJRCarmine

GalloFY08

Airspace Flow Program (AFP) Utilization in High volume/Delay triggers

Utilize the automation in AFP to improve enroute throughput and space aircraft to allow delayed airports access to the enroute stream

Issue is being worked in the Collaborative Decision Making group w ith our customers.

Currently in the CDM arena, S2k Group w ill report back on 2/23/08. Customer concern is triggers and implementation. Who gets priority? EQUITY vs EQUALITY

4 4 13 AJRCarmine

GalloFY08

SWAP Escape Route for NY dep, north to CAN routes (NRS waypoints, SWAP Tactical)

Develop an additional route for Severe Weather through northgate utilizing Navigational Reference System waypoints to access the Canadian (CAN) Routes

Issue is being worked in the New York Short Term Initiative Work Group.

Being worked, expected completion date March, 2008

5 19 AJERobert Novia

TBDDevelop RNAV route for DCA & BWI traffic to segregate from Biggy route

Develop separate route for DC area traffic from NY/PHL area to reduce complexity and reduce departure restrictions

Initiative requires further evaluation

This is a new proposal that has not been fully examined. Long term airspace redesign likely. Feasibility has not been determined.

6 52 AJR Edie Parish FY09Develop a climb off EWR RWY 4 to top LGA arrivals when LGA ILS RWY 13 is in use

Reduce impact of 13 ILS at LGA on TEB and EWR Traffic

In ProgressTargeted publication date 11/20/08.

7 6 AJRCarmine

GalloFY08

Tower Reroutes - SWAP CDR's, J75 Offloads to fix balance

Develop pre-coordinated re-routes for select high delay/priority flights staged in departure queue that towers can implement w ithout additional coordination

Issue is being worked in the New York Short Term Initiative Work Group.

Being worked, expected completion date 3/1/08

8 7 AJRCarmine

GalloFY08

ZNY pit Enhancements (silent clearances)

During Severe Weather conditions, NY Air Route Traffic Control Center w ill develop procedures to allow towers to launch aircraft w ithout coordination when their specific routes are unaffected by weather

NY dept complex has been upgraded and relocated into the TMU. This enables silent clearances to be utilized on routes not impacted by the weather.

Auto Offloads by towers complete, Auto utilization of CDRs expected by 4/08

9 8 AJE Robert Novia

FY08J70 test - use J70 as westbound dept route instead of arrival route under certain conditions.

Develop procedures w ith NY Center to allow use of J70 (normally TEB & JFK arrival route) for westbound departures when delays are exacerbated by weather (tactical re-route)

Issue is being worked in the New York Short Term Initiative Work Group. Operational testing planned this spring.

Possible implementation prior to summer 2008, dependent on ops test outcome.

10 9 8 AJERobert Novia

FY082nd J80 Additional Westbound Departure Route North of J80

Establish an additional westbound route north of J80 to reduce volume on the most used westbound route from NY/PHL. (This is tentatively planned for spring 2008 and included as part of ZNY sector 9 & 10 resectorization)

Issue is being worked in the New York Short Term Initiative Work Group. The route has been developed. Implementation is planned for May 15, 2008 in conjunction w ith new ZNY ultra high sector required to support route.

Expected completion date May 15, 2008.

11 12 3 C Accessing J134/J149 from ELIOT

This w ill provide access to additional westbound routes from the NY/PHL metro area allow ing for better fix balancing and reducing delays to access J80

The procedure is available for use as weather events dictate.

Completed

12 11 AJERobert Novia

FY08Establish at ZNY new Ultra Hi sector overlying sectors 9, 10

This new position w ill allow for an additional J80 and improve capacity and reduce complexity and controller workload

Issue is being worked in the New York Short Term Initiative Work Group. This initiative has been fully defined and agreed upon. Remaining actions are targeted for completion to meet May 15, 2008 implementation.

Expected completion date is May 15, 2008.

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JFK & EWR ASDE-X Work Plan (3-08) FY-06 FY-07 FY-08 FY-09

JFK WorK plan 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

PHASE-I (Design)ESA ES Complete Engineering Drawing Package Design Modifications at RU14 & RU5

ASDE-X PO CATEX ApprovalESA Real Estate Real Estate Lease Signed 3 MTA site lease completed in 2/08

PANYNJ Construction (TAA) Approval by PANYNJ (11/16/07)

Sensis Site Prep Contarct AwardASDE-X PO/ESA ES/FTI Complete Communication Layout/Design

ESA ES Thanksgiving & Christmas Moratoriums ApprovalsESA ES Secure RE & TOR Support

(RAMP Coverage Task Only) (RAMP Construction Design)Sensis Ramp Coverage RU Siting and Design Completion-including RP

ATO-P/Volpe Submit 7460sASDE-X PO/ESA Submit FTAs

ATO-P/Volpe Order Telco (Verizon)Sensis Submit Tenant Agreement Alteration

PANYNJ Construction (TAA) Approval by PANYNJ PHASE-II (Site Prep/Construction)

ESA ES 7460 ApprovalsASDE-X PO/ESA FTA Approvals

NAS Eng NAS Eng. To Complete ASDE-3 ModFTI and ESA ES Communication (FTI/FAA F&E) Complete

Sensis Equipment DeliveryFAA & Sensis DD Acquisition & Delivery

Sensis Site Prep complete(RAMP Coverage Task Only) (RAMP 12 RU Site Prep)

Sensis Ramp Coverage RU Site Prep CompletionSensis Equipment delivery

ASDE-XPO/ESA ES FTA ApprovalsATO-P/Volpe 7460 approvalsATO-P/Volpe Telco Complete (Verizon)

PHASE-III (Equipment Installation)Sensis Equipment Installation Complete

RAMP Coverage Equipment Installation CompleteASDE-X PO/NAS Eng Equipment Installation Checkout & Radar Alignment/Preliminary Optimiztion Complete

Sensis Establish Green SystemPHASE-IV (Site Acceptance Test)

FAA/Sensis SAT CompletePHASE-V (Optimization)

Tech Ops Tech Ops Complete FAA Academy TrainingAT AT CBI Trining Complete

FAA Data Availabe for External End-Users from DD (6/30/08)ASDE-X PO/NAS Eng/Sensnis Optimization Complete

PHASE-VI (System Handover)AT AT Classroom Training Complete

AT/Tech Ops Field FAM CompleteTech Ops Tech Ops Certification

FAA IOC (8/31/08)FAA JAI (TBD)FAA Commission (9/30/08)

EWR WorK planPHASE-I (Design)

PHASE-II (Site Prep/Construction) (Site Prep Complete - 4/08)PHASE-III (Equipment Installation) (Equipment Installation Complete - 6/08)PHASE-IV (Site Acceptance Test) (SAT Complete - 7/2008)

PHASE-V (Optimization)PHASE-VI (System Handover)PHASE-VII (ASDE-3 Disposal)

ASDE-X Deployment

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JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT      

AIRPORTS CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN (ACIP)  AVG. ANNUAL DELAY

TOTAL ANNUAL

YEAR PROJECTTOTAL COST

REDUCTION (MIN. PER OP)

DELAY SAVINGS

SHORT-TERM          

2008 TAXIWAY B EXTENSION $31M 1.2 $56.9M

2008 CONSTRUCT TAXIWAY KC (4L BYPASS) $3.6M 0.6 $25.9M

2009 EXTEND TAXIWAY K $17.8M 0.4 $20.0M

2009 EXTEND TAXIWAY FB (22R END) $5.4M N/A N/A

2009 RUNWAY 13R-31L IMPROVEMENTS $148M 1.0 $49.0M

2010 RW 31L TAXIWAY ACCESS IMP. $16M 0.8 $32.5M

2010 SW QUADRANT TAXIWAY IMP. $30M 0.3 $16.1M

2011 EXTEND TAXIWAY KB (PARALLEL TO K) $13.8M 0.9 $42.7M

 COMPOSITE DELAY REDUCTION FOR ALL SHORT-TERM PROJECTS (7% TOTAL):   2.6 $122M

MEDIUM-TERM          

2013 NEW TAXIWAY SOUTH OF RW 31L $94M N/A N/A

2014 NEW APRON & DEICING FACILITIES N/A N/A N/A

2015 EXTEND TAXIWAY FA (31R END) $35M N/A N/A

2015 EXTEND TAXIWAY FB (CARGO AREA) $47M N/A N/A

  2008-2015 TOTAL: $442M N/A N/A

*PLEASE NOTE THAT TIMEFRAMES, COST & DELAY REDUCTION ARE PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES

JFK Delay Reduction Program

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New York Area Program Integration Office

To oversee the integration of all FAA activities, projects and initiatives to address aviation congestion and flight delays in the New York area, particularly those requiring interagency interaction and communication.

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Suppliers Process CustomersINPUTS

OUTPUTS

Process Owner(s)

Technology/Application

Stakeholders

INTERACTION

ANALYSIS INTERNALINTERACTION

ANALYSIS

System Ops Services (25)

Airline Schedules NYARCSTAT List of (77) Initiatives

System Ops Services

Terminal Services (21) Passenger Demand Meetings Briefings Terminal Services

En Route Oceanic Ser (13)

Airline Business Models

Modeling & Analysis Documentation En Route Oceanic Ser

Airports (6) Geography Program Development Reports Airports

Safety Services (4) Infrastructure Procedures Development

Testimony / Releases

Safety Services

Technical Ops Services (4)

Forecasts Implementation Procedures Technical Ops Serv

Ops Planning Services (3)

Regulations Coordination Regulations Ops Planning Services

Aviation Safety (1) Procedures Communication Infrastructure Aviation Safety

Contractors / MITRE NAS Integration NextGen Contractors / MITRE

OEP / JPDO FACT 2 Tracking OEP / JPDO

Air Traffic Organization

Aviation Policy & Plans

Airports

Aviation Safety

Communications / Government

Secretary of Transportation

Administrator / Deputy

Eastern Regional Administrator

Regions & Center Operations

Counsel

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Suppliers Process CustomersINPUTS

OUTPUTS

Process Owner(s)

Technology/Application

Stakeholders

INTERACTION

ANALYSIS EXTERNALINTERACTION

ANALYSIS

PANY&NJ Airline Schedules Modeling & Analysis List of 77 Initiatives PANY&NJ

Airlines Passenger Demand Meetings Briefings Airlines

Passengers Airline Business Models

Rulemaking Documentation Passengers

Airport(s) Neighbors Geography NYARCSTAT Reports Airport(s) Neighbors

Airway Communities Infrastructure Hearings Testimony / Releases Airway Communities

Controllers Regulations Interviews Regulations Controllers

Procedures Coordination Procedure

Communication Infrastructure

Integration

Tracking

PANY&NJ

Airlines / ATA

NBAA

Controllers / NATCA

General Public

Congress / GAO

Media

Passengers

Airport(s) Neighbors

Airway Communities

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The Way Ahead

• 17 short-term initiatives (STI) of the total List of 77 to be completed by the start of Summer 2008.

• Meeting with customers and other stakeholders from both groups (Port Authority Flight Delay Task Force and the Federal New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee) to be held Spring 2008 to determine next set of delay reduction priorities.

• Analysis of long-term initiatives to be accomplished to determine estimates of potential delay reduction benefits.

• Development and implementation of plan to make New York Area Program Integration Office fully operational.

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Questions & Discussion

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List of Works ConsultedAirport Master Plans, Advisory Circular 150/5070-6B, U.S. Department of Transportation, FAA, July 29, 2005

Airport Planning & Management, Second Edition, Alexander T. Wells, McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1992

Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System 2007-2025, Federal Aviation Administration and The MITRE Corporation Center for Advanced Aviation System Development, May 2007

Flight Delay Task Force Report, Port Authority of New York and New Jersey Flight Delay Task Force, November 29, 2007

National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems (NPIAS) 2007-2011, Federal Aviation Administration, September 2006

Next Generation Air Transportation System, Integrated Plan, Joint Planning and Development Office, December 2007

New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee Report, New York Aviation Rulemaking Committee (ARC), December 13, 2007

New York Regional Air Service Demand Study, Federal Aviation Administration, May 2007

Planning & Design of Airports, Fourth Edition, Robert Horonjeff, Francis X. McKelvey, McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1994

Strategic Airport Planning, Robert E. Caves, Geoffrey D. Gosling, Pergamon, 1999

The Airport System Planning Process, Advisory Circular 150/5070-7, U.S. Department of Transportation, FAA, November 10, 2004

The National Economic Impact of Civil Aviation, DRI•WEFA, Inc., The Campbell-Hill Aviation Group, Inc., July 2002

Greater New York City satellite image provided by National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER), September 2, 2002

“Looking South From Top of the Rock (Rockefeller Center), New York City”, by David Schwen, Licensed by the Creative Commons Attribute Sharalike

2.5, Wikimedia Commons.

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Backup Slides

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Airport Runway Projects

Planning Environmental Support/Opposition

Design Construction

2 years 2-3 years 3-5 years 1-2 years 2-3 years

Generalized Schedule, 10 years

Local project sponsor

Federal, state and local agencies

Local community and interest groups

Local project sponsor and consultants

Local project sponsor, consultants and contractors

Master Plan/ALP, (purpose and need, forecasts, alternatives analysis)B/C Analysis, ACIP

NEPA / Environmental Assessment / FONSI; Environmental Impact Statement/ROD(Categorical Exclusion)

Airport NeighborsChambers of CommerceNRDCSierra Club

Wetland andNoise mitigationContaminated soilEndangered speciesHistoric Landmarks

Funding (Airport bonds, PFC, AIP, Airlines, other)

Land acquisition and relocationsEnvironmental Mitigation & Permitting

Consensus buildingLitigation

Aquifers/Landfills Archaeological sitesCost estimates vs. actual

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Anticipated Future System Capacity Limitations

During the next two decades, demand will increase, creating a need for a system that:

(1) can provide two to three times the current air vehicle operations;

(2) is agile enough to accommodate a changing fleet that includes very light jets (VLJs), unmanned aircraft systems (UASs), and space vehicles;

(3) addresses security and national defense requirements; and

(4) can ensure that aviation remains an economically viable industry.

Planning for a Range of Futures

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A. Pax/Cargo Demand

B. Fleet Mix/ Aircraft Types

C. Business Model/

Schedule

Future Fleet Mix and Business Model Assumptions

1)Current (1X)

2)TAF Growth to 2014 & 2025

(1.2X, 1.4X)

1)2X TAF Based Constrained Growth

2)3X TAF

1) Current Scaled

2) More Regional Jets

3) New & Modified Vehicles

•VLJs•UAVs•E-STOL/RIA

•SST•Cleaner/ Quieter

1)Current (mostly Hub & Spoke)

2)More Point to Point + Regional Airports

3)Massive Small Airport Utilization

Future Scenarios

Hub and Spoke:Current fleet mix and business model (both hub and spoke and low cost carrier point to point)

Business Shift:Growth beyond OEP airport capacities comes from smaller aircraft (approx 100 passenger) and new flights at under-utilized regional airports near OEP airports

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Additional 2025 Delay Reduction at OEP Airports due to assumed improvements, including NextGen

NAS-Wide Average Arrival Delay using TAF Forecast

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

ATL

BO

SB

WI

CLE CLT

CV

GD

CA

DE

ND

FWD

TWE

WR

FLL

HN

LIA

DIA

HJF

KLA

SLA

XLG

AM

CO

MD

WM

EM

MIA

MS

PO

RD

PDX

PHL

PHX

PIT

SA

NS

EA

SFO SLC STL

TPA

AB

QA

US

BD

LB

HM

BU

RG

YYH

OU

HPN IS

PLG

BM

KE

OA

KO

NT

PBI

PVD

RFD SA

TS

JCS

NA

SW

FTU

S

Arr

ival

Del

ay (

avg

min

) -

TA

F

2025 -- Do-Nothing

2025 -- with OEP, OMP enhancements only (thru 2015)

2025 -- with OEP, OMP and runways only

2025 -- with NextGen airport assumptions