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NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe Sauquet Philippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

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Page 1: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLYCHAINPhilippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet

Sous-titre de la présentation

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

Page 2: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

ESSENTIAL NEED FOR NEW LNG PROJECTS

Europe Asia*North America

Satisfaction of gas demand by region

Bcf/d

100 p+1.3% CAGR +4.4% CAGR+1.1% CAGR

100

50

Domestic supply Pipeline Imports Contracted LNG supply

Global gas demand (+2% CAGR) E ropean and Asian markets balanced

2010 2030 2010 2030 2010 2030

Local gas demand

Global gas demand (+2% CAGR)increasing faster than oil driven by Asia and Middle East

European and Asian markets balanced by new LNG projects, even with potential additional supply from shale gas and softer CO2 regulations in Europe2 g p

*Japan, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapour, Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar.

2LNG Producer – Consumer Conference – September 19th, 2012

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

Page 3: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

SURGING LNG DEMAND, TIGHTENING MARKETS

Strong LNG demand in both traditional and emerging markets

Essential need for new LNG600 LNG demand

LNG supply / demandMt/y

Essential need for new LNG projects in 2030 (~340 Mt)Potentially reduced by 30 Mt

id i l CO i i400

LNG supply from:

• unsanctioned identified j t

100 Mt

considering lower CO2 emission constraints in Europe

Challenges of LNG projects i i t i l

200

projects

• existing facilitiesand approved projects increasing tensions on supply

Tightening markets on the long term supportive of gas prices in Europe

02010 2020 2030

and approved projects

and Asia

* LNG supply based on existing facilities, approved and other identified projects for the 2020-30 period

3LNG Producer – Consumer Conference – September 19th, 2012

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

Page 4: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

A DIVERSIFIED LNG PORTFOLIO

Snohvit YamalShtokman

South Hook

DunkerqueLNG Fos Cavaou

Yemen LNGQatargas 1Qatargas 2AdgasQalhat LNG

Nigeria LNG T1-T6

South HookHaziraSabine Pass

Altamira

BontangQalhat LNGOman LNG

GLNG

LNG Plant in opération

LNG Plant under constructionIchthys

G

Nigeria LNG T7Brass LNG

GLNGLNG Plants under projet

Regasification terminal in opération

Regasification terminal under construction

Angola LNG

Shtokman Brass LNG Yamal LNGIchthysGLNGAngola LNG

4LNG Producer – Consumer Conference – September 19th, 2012

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

Page 5: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

ICHTHYS : THREE MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS IN ONE PROJECT

Ichthys field LNG plantPipeline

Ichthys

Darwin

Total’s contribution– Major project management expertise– Over 20 secondees including project director– Offshore and LNG technology leadership

Key Data– Total 30%, Inpex 66% (Operator)– 2P reserves 12 8 Tcf gas & 530 Mb cond

– LNG marketing and shipping

Technical Challenges1st major development in Browse Basin

– 2P reserves 12.8 Tcf gas & 530 Mb cond.– Plant Capacity 8.4 Mt/y LNG + 1.6 Mt/y LPG– 100 kb/d condensate at peak

FID Jan-12 start-up end 2016 – 1 major development in Browse Basin– Among the largest offshore facilities ever– Designed to withstand cyclones

CO management (re injection)

– FID Jan-12, start-up end 2016

– CO2 management (re-injection)

5LNG Producer – Consumer Conference – September 19th, 2012

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

Page 6: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

YAMAL LNG – TARGETING FIRST PRODUCTION END 2016

80% - 20%

31 TCF Gas FieldSummer RouteIce Class LNG Ship

Winter RouteIce Class LNG Ship Yamal LNG

Yamal LNG Project

– Shallow onshore– Proven & Probable certified gas reserves

16.5 Mtpa LNG plantRussia

Arctic Circle

p

LNG Trans-shipment

– 3 trains, onshore, piled facilities– Modularized construction– Proven process (APCI)

Full Year Access Port

Japan

Full Year Access Port– Air bubbling & hot water circulation– Ice breaker for ice management

Ice Class LNG ships

Winter RouteConventional LNG Ship

Ice Class LNG ships– 170,000 m3, no ice breaker support– Sailing to Asia during Summer– Sailing to Europe at all times

Marketing– Targeting Europe & Asian Markets– LNG delivered ex-ship

Russian government support

Yamal Peninsula - 500 TCF gasOperations since 1974

Russian government support

6LNG Producer – Consumer Conference – September 19th, 2012 6

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

Page 7: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

E&P : LNG SALES DESTINATION 2011 (PRO RATA GROUP SHARE) Middle  South  North Middle  South  North 

2011 flows

UK9%

East1%

America2%

America6%

UK9%

East1%

America2%

America6%

2011 flows

Asia61%

Continental

13,25Mt Asia61%

Continental

13,25Mt

Continental Europe21%

Continental Europe21%

7LNG Producer – Consumer Conference – September 19th, 2012

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012

Page 8: NEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN - Asia …aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2012/12/28/S1_05total.pdfNEW FRONTIERS FOR GAS SUPPLY CHAIN Philippe SauquetPhilippe Sauquet Sous-titre de la présentation

2011 : AN OPTIMISED LNG TRADING PORTFOLIO

Snohvit: 1 Gm3/a

Regasification terminals in opération

Regasification terminals under construction

Market Access (marketing, long-term contracts,…)

LNG Flows in 2011 after optimisation

Qatargas II: 4.47 Gm3/a

LNG Flows in 2011 after optimisation

NLNG T4-5: 0.32 Gm3/aNLNG T6: 1.20 Gm3/a

Yemen LNG: 2 70 G 3/2.70 Gm3/a

NorthNorth America

11%

EuropeAsia28%

Others3%

80

120

spotlong-term

50%

Europe58%

28%

0

40

2007 2009 2011

30%46%

0%

25%

2011 2014

Cargos destinations 2011 Cargo number Part of portfolio redirected

8LNG Producer – Consumer Conference – September 19th, 2012

LNG Producer - Consumer Conference 2012