23
$Bil. 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 01 2.8 NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS Off-budget deficit-" Budget deficit 78.4 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981e 1982e J/Consists largely of Federal Financing Bank borrowings to finance off-budget programs. January 1981 Budget estimates. $Bil. 80 70 60 50 40 H30 20 10 0 Office of the Secretary of the Treasury Office of Government Financing January 27. 1981-11

NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

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Page 1: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

01

2.8

NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS

Off-budget deficit-"

Budget deficit

78.4

1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981e 1982e

J/Consistslargely of Federal Financing Bank borrowings to finance off-budget programs.

January 1981 Budget estimates.

$Bil.

80

70

60

50

40

H30

20

10

0

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

January 27. 1981-11

Page 2: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY - ASSISTEDBORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC

1970

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

'75 '76 TQ '77Fiscal Years

1/ Adjusted (1) to eliminate double counting of obligations purchased by Federal and Federally-sponsoredagencies and (2) for changes in Treasury cash balances and other minor items.

e January 1981 Budget estimate. January 27, 1981 17

Page 3: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

60 —

50

40

30

20

10

0

TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTSOctober - December 1980

Uses

Redemptions of Special Issues1' |

Coupon Maturities t

Savings Bonds Vi

1 Other

Nonmarketables

i Cash Deficit

60V2 Sources

4 Gov't Account Sales

4 CouponRefundings

Net Market |Borrowing

Decrease inCash Balance %

jy Includes maturing marketable securitiesof S'/s billion.

$Bil.

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

January 27.1861-23

Page 4: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

TREASURY FINANCING REQUIREMENTSJanuary - March 1981

Uses

Redemptions of Special Issues |

Coupon Maturities |

Savings Bonds 2%

Other Nonmarketables

I Cash Deficit

60y2Sources

•$ Gov't Account Sales

| CouponRefundings

Net Market 36 <!Borrowing

Decrease in ,Cash Balance I!

To Be

Done

253/4

Done

10V4

\JAssumes $8 bilion March 31, 1981 cash balance.

$Bil.

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing January 27, 1981-24

Page 5: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

25

20

15

10

5

0

-5

-10

-15

-20

TREASURY OPERATING CASH BALANCESemi-Monthly

Without

Tax and LoanAccounts A

A Balance »1

Total Operating ABalance |>A

<—New—>Borrowing

g \ W ss

~-\ ^""\ l-i\ A \ i •

\ A fr'^/t\ 1 * \ A / $^Federal Reserve Account"*"'

••••••

:•••••

•n.••»

•••••••••••••••••••

i i i i i I 1 I 1 1 1

••••

1 1

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul.

1980

Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar.

1981

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing January 27,1981-19

Page 6: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

40

TREASURY NET MARKET BORROWING1Calendar Year Quarters

30

20

14.8

10-i0

M

•10i-3.9

19.4

13.3 1 I '-

iiii_L

I-.3

COUPONS

ran Over 10 yrst^ 0-10 yrs.

BILLS

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III

1977 1978 1979 1980

1/ Excludes Federal Reserve and Government Account Transactions.

Office oftheSecretary of theTreasury 6 estimateOffice of Government Financing

IV le

1981

January 27.1981-1

Page 7: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

TREASURY NET BORROWING FROM NONMARKETABLE ISSUES

-4-

-6-

-8-

II III IV

1977

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

Savings Bonds

State & Local Series

Foreign Nonmarketables

2.2

IP-1.4

-.9

-1.7

J_

II III IV I II III IV I II III IV le

1978 1979 1980 1981

e estimate

-6.6

J.

-3.7

_L

$Bil.

10

8

6

4

2

0

-2

-4

-6

-8

January 27, 1981-2

Page 8: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

0

- -2

4

-6

H-8

-10

CUMULATIVE NET CASH FLOW IN SAVINGS BONDS*/t>Bil.

U »w ———•♦«*.

\ 1978~ \

-2 -1981e\

-4 h \ 3B^1979 \

-

-6"

"

*%.%.

-8^•ej*

^•e»

-10

-19

1980i5T^•efc

^•afc

I I I I I I I I I I I I I'""J FMAMJ JASOND"12

Month of year1/ Cash sales less redemptions

otfce of the secratery at the Treasur, e January 1981 partly estimated.OffceofOonemment Financing January 27, 1981-14

Page 9: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

QUARTERLY CHANGES IN FOREIGN AND INTERNATIONALHOLDINGS OF PUBLIC DEBT SECURITIES

$Bil.

Nonmarketable

1977 1978 1979

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

-1/ F.R.B. Purchases of marketable issues as agents for foreignand international monetary authorities for new cash.

.2/Partly estimated.

$Bil.

1980

January 27,1961-3

Page 10: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

%

22-

1977

Office of the Secretary of the TreesuryOffice of Government Financing

SHORT TERM INTEREST RATESMonthly Averages

1978 1979 1980

'• ThroughJanuary 23

INN

1981

%

22

20

18

16

14

12

10

8

-6

January 27,1981-7

Page 11: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

%

20

18

16-

14

12

10

8

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

SHORT TERM INTEREST RATESWeekly Averages

Aug

Federal Funds]

.•Commercial Paper

3 MonthTreasury Bill

Sep Oct1980

•-../ tWeek ending

January 21

I I IJan

1981

%

20

18

16

14

12

10

8

January 27,1981-5

Page 12: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

%

16

15

14

13

12

11

10

9

8

7

6

5

LONG MARKET RATESMonthly Averages

New Conventional

Mortgages•H *

New Aa Corporates ,

y,"""\

A_/ it

ThroughJanuary 23

•••••<•••••••••«..... ..••••..••••••••»•••"

1977

Treasury 20-Year

4

1978 1979

/\

I New 20-YearMunicipal Bonds

1980 1981

%

16

15

14

13

12

11

10

9

8

7

6

5

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing January 27, 1981-4

Page 13: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

%

16

15

14

13

12

11

10

9

8

7

6

INTERMEDIATE AND LONG MARKET RATESWeekly Averages

July

Officeof the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

Aug

New Aa

Corporates Treasury10-Year .«£=*.

Municipal BondsNew 20-Year

Sep Oct

1980

Nov Dec

Throughweek ending

January 23

I I I

Jan

1981

%

16

15

14

13

12

11

-110

9

8

7

6

January 27, 1981-6

Page 14: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

PRIVATE HOLDINGS OF TREASURY MARKETABLE DEBTBY MATURITY

1971 1972 1973 1974

Officeof the Secretary of the TreasuryOfficeof Government Financing

1975 1976 1977

As of December 31

1978 1979 1980

January 27, 1981-13

Page 15: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

MARKET YIELDS ON GOVERNMENTSBid Yields

4 5 6

Years to Maturity

January 27,1981-21

Page 16: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

Years

5

AVERAGE LENGTH OF THE MARKETABLE DEBTPrivately Held

December 19803 Years9 Months

1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing January 27, 1981-12

Page 17: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

OWNERSHIP OF MATURING COUPON ISSUESFebruary 1981 - June 1981^

(In Millions of Dollars)

Maturing IssuesTotal

PrivatelyHeld

CommercialBanks

Savings Institutions State &Local

GeneralFunds

Corporations

OtherPrivate

DomesticHolders

ForeignLong-term 2/

Investors

Intermediate-

term 5/Investors

7% Nt. 2/15/81

7 3/8% Nt. 2/15/81

9 3/4% Nt. 2/28/81

6 7/8% Nt. 3/31/81

9 5/8% Nt. 3/31/81

9 3/4% Nt. 4/30/81

7 3/8% Nt. 5/15/81

7 1/2% Nt. 5/15/81

9 3/4% Nt. 5/31/81

6 3/4% Nt. 6/30/81

9 1/8% Nt. 6/30/81

1258

3648

2456

2579

2778

2751

1828

2822

2121

2434

2725

431

1255

508

839

583

621

685

919

559

585

739

36

46

15

16

19

5

57

25

7

14

15

188

593

190

217

107

142

318

197

95

262

118

51

334

186

331

163

154

246

180

71

374

426

144

336

60

349

160

98

47

122

460

42

16

386

791

1121

67

844

671

213

819

318

529

826

22

293

376

760

902

1060

262

560

611

628

585

TOTAL 27,400 7,724 255 2427 2516 1834 6585 6059

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

1/ Amounts for investor classes are based on the November 1980 Treasury Ownership Survey.

21 Includes State and local pension funds and life insurance companies.

3/ Includes casualty and liability insurance companies, mutual savings banks, savings and loanassociations, and corporate pension trust funds.

January 27, 1981-22

Page 18: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.8

6

4

2

010t—

8

6-

4

2

0

6

4

2

0

6

4h

2

0

6

4

2

0

4.95.4

TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIESPrivately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes

$Bil.

4.7

I

1981

5.2 5.4

1986

2.5

I2.8

2.1

2

3.2

5.0

3.24.1

I

I

5.8

I4.5

I2.8

I

2.9

2.4

6.4

4^3 : I •4.0J.4.0 ty\ 4,0(3.9

1982i

7.0

5.21983 |6

I2.7

1.0{

6 3 1984

3.1

6.0

11985

3.4

6.4|

7.0 6.8^ 4.6 ^

2.5

3.0

6.1

I

3.1

2.4

3.3

4.6

2.7

1.3

2.0

2.4

I

2.2

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

7.5

I

2.6

.3

1.8

2.3

I

3.8

2.4

J FMAMJ JASOND J FMAMJ JASOND

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOfficeof Government Financing

Securities issued prior to 1979

New issues calendar year 1979

i^^j New issues calendar year 1980

[ j Issued or announced through January 23, 1981 January 27, 1981-15

Page 19: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

4

2

OL4"

2-

0

4

2

0

4

2

21-

1.9

2.9

1.8

2.2

1.5

TREASURY MARKETABLE MATURITIESPrivately Held, Excluding Bills and Exchange Notes

$Bil.21992

1993

1994

2.7

2.2

1.5

B9

2002

2003

2- 2004

1.3

2.02005

1.5 2006

2.71995

1.5

0

2

0

4

2

0

4

2

0

4

2

0

4-

2

04

2

0

2.7

2007

1996 2008

1997 1.4

1998.5

3.9 2009

1999

2010

2000 2.5 1.8 1.9

20012011

1.2

3.6

g3.4

1.9

J F M A M J J A S O N D

| Securities issued prior to 1979New issues calendar year 1979

FMAMJ J ASOND

[j^j New issues calendar year 1980

BH Issued or announced through January 23, 1981Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing January 27, 1981-16

Page 20: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

TRADING VOLUME AND OPEN INTEREST IN 90 DAYTREASURY BILL vAND BOND^ FUTURES CONTRACTS

$Bil. i 1$Bil.

1000

800

600

400

200

0

OPEN INTEREST

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV

1976 1977 1978 1979 1980

Jgg^Jgg^^jgjjjj^JSjIjj^ n n DI II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV

1976 1977 1978 1979 1980

-^Contracts traded on the International Monetary Market ($1,000,000 per contract).

otiice oi the secretary of the Treasury -^Contracts traded on the Chicago Board of Trade ($100,000 per contract).Office of Government financing

m

Bonds1000

40 TRADING VOLUME 800

600

400

200

January 27, 1981-18

Page 21: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

$Bil.

3

DELIVERABLE BILLS AND DELIVERIES ON 90 DAYTREASURY BILL FUTURES CONTRACTS^

6 mo.

3 mo.

~~~| Estimated^ !> Deliverable

J Supply ^

Deliveries

Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec1976 1977 1978 1979 1980

1/ Contracts traded on the International Monetary Market (IMM).

$Bil.

3

0

Office of the Secretary of the TreesuryOffice of Government Financing

2/Consists of the amount of accepted competitive tenders for thenew 3 month bill and the 6 month bill issued 3 months earlier. January 27. 1981-8

Page 22: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

NET NEW MONEY IN AGENCY FINANCE, QUARTERLYPrivately Held

$Bil.4

• I • -_

FNMA

mllil1.11"

*

$Bil.

3

2

1

0

-1

5

4

3

2

1

0

-1

iiii

•*

All

FHLB* illJhi

V*

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV

1976 1977 1978 1979 1980

* Less than $50 million.

111!hi

FCA

hi.Ilil In.3

2

1

0

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II in ive

1976 1977 1978 1979 1980

e Partly estimated.

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

J/ Includes FHLB discount notes, bonds, and FHLMC certificates,mortgage-backed bonds, and mortgage participation certificates. January 27, 1981-20

Page 23: NET FEDERAL FINANCING REQUIREMENTS $Bil. · 2020. 1. 19. · CUMULATIVE FEDERAL AND FEDERALLY -ASSISTED BORROWING FROM THE PUBLIC 1970 Office of theSecretary of theTreasury Office

198116.3

13.1

8.8

3.9

I1985

4.23.8

till

1982

1986

1.7

2.7

..I

AGENCY MATURITIES^

1983

1987

2J1.9

III.

Privately Held$Bil.

1984

5.1 5J

2.6

1988

..i

1989

.4 .4

1993

1997

2 -1.1

.53 .2

|_ 2001

1

2005

-2 .1

2 - 2009

.4 .3

2013

.2

1990

1994

.1

1998

.t .2 .2 .1

2002

.2

2006

.1 .1

2010

2014

.2

1991

.3 Ji .4

1995

1999

2003

2007

-3 .2

2011

2015

1992

.2 .2 .1

1996

.5

2000

2004

2008

.3 .3

2012

.5

2016

$Bil.

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

6

4

2

0IV I II III IV I IV I II III IV II III IV I IV I II III IV I II III IV

Office of the Secretary of the TreasuryOffice of Government Financing

Calendar Years Quarterly-^Issued or announced through December 31, 1980 January 27, 1981-25