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1 2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 1 A re-examination of the NBI LEED Building Energy Consumption Study John H. Scofield Department of Physics & Astronomy Oberlin College 2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 2 NBI LEED Study Long assumed that LEED buildings are energy-efficient Until 2007 little empirical data to support this USGBC engaged the New Buildings Institute to conduct a broad study of energy consumption by LEED commercial buildings NBI gathered energy consumption data volunteered by 121 of the 552 commercial buildings certified from 2000-6 under NCv2 March 2008 NBI issued final report which concludes LEED buildings, on average, achieve 25-30% energy savings Study immediately drew criticism Cathy Turner (NBI) has made summary LEED data available for independent analysis

NBI LEED Study - oberlin.edu IEPEC slides.pdf2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 1 A re-examination of the NBI LEED Building Energy Consumption Study John H. Scofield Department of

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  • 1

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 1

    A re-examination of the NBI LEED Building Energy Consumption Study

    John H. ScofieldDepartment of Physics & Astronomy

    Oberlin College

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 2

    NBI LEED Study• Long assumed that LEED buildings are energy-efficient

    • Until 2007 little empirical data to support this

    • USGBC engaged the New Buildings Institute to conduct a broad study of energy consumption by LEED commercial buildings

    • NBI gathered energy consumption data volunteered by 121 of the 552 commercial buildings certified from 2000-6 under NCv2

    • March 2008 NBI issued final report which concludesLEED buildings, on average, achieve 25-30% energy savings

    • Study immediately drew criticism

    • Cathy Turner (NBI) has made summary LEED data available for independent analysis

  • 2

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 3

    Key PointsMain Deviations from NBI’s Analysis

    Use gsf-weighting to calculate mean EUI for collection of buildings Construct comparable LEED and CBECS building subsetsFocus on source energy (not site energy) as metric for energy efficiency

    Main ConclusionsComparing all LEED buildings to all US Commercial buildings (CBECS)

    By any metric (site, source, median, mean) LEED buildings, on average, use more energy than conventional buildingsDue to differences in building types NOT indicative of energy efficiency

    Comparing only “similar” building subsetsLEED buildings achieve no significant reduction in source energyconsumptionLEED buildings achieve 10-16% reduction in site energy consumption

    LEED certification is not achieving any significant reduction in GHG from operation of commercial buildings

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 4

    Site Energy Intensity for LEED

    There’s a problemETot/ATot = 129 kBtu/sf

  • 3

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 5

    How do you calculate the mean energy intensity for a collection of N buildings?

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 6

    Example mean EUI calculation

    1j

    je e

    N≡ ∑

    Reed is 19% more energy efficient than Oberlin

    1 Totj j

    jTot Tot

    Ee A eA A

    ≡ =∑

    Oberlin is 7% more energy efficient than Reed

    Oberlin College actually uses 7% less total energythan Reed College

  • 4

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 7

    Site Energy Intensity for LEED

    (129 kBtu/sf) x (13,500,000 sf) = 1,740 billion Btu

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 8

    LEED SiteEI Histogram remaining gsffor whichEUI > 250

    distribution of the mean

    129 ± 12

    gsf-weighted median, 80

  • 5

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 9

    How much energy do conventional buildings use?

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 10

    CBECSDOE/EIA Commercial Building Energy Consumption SurveyConducted every four years - latest data from 2003Data (including energy) gathered from M = 5,215 selected US buildingsEach sampled building represents itself and many (WJ-1) similar buildingsSummary Facts

    Total number of Buildings: 4.86 million =

    Total gsf: 71.7 billion sf =

    Total Site Energy: 6.52 Quad =

    Site Energy Intensity: 91.0 kBtu/sf =

    1

    M

    JJ

    N W=

    = ∑

    1

    M

    Tot J JJ

    A W A=

    = ∑

    1

    M

    Tot J JJ

    E W E=

    = ∑Tot

    TotTot

    EeA

    =

    EIA uses gsf-weighting in calculating energy intensities.

  • 6

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 11

    Compare LEED and CBECS SiteEI DistributionsComparing medians

    LEED 14% > CBECSComparing means

    LEED 41% > CBECS

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 12

    But first …

    Site energy is the wrong metric for measuring energy efficiency

  • 7

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 13

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 14

    Site Energy

    5.02 Q (electric) + 3 Q (ng) + …. = 8.37 Q Site Energy = ETot

    ATot = 72 billion gsf

    ETot/ATot = 116 kBtu/sf

    (actually 22% lower)

  • 8

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 15

    Primary Energy

    Coal, natural gas, hydro, solar, nuclear, petroleum, etc.

    This is the concern for energy security and GHG emission

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 16

    Electric Energy

    Secondary energy

    Higher form of energy (work not heat)

    3 units of primary energy used to produce 1 unit of electric energy

  • 9

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 17

    Off-site energy losses

    5 Q electric energy used on-site by commercial sector required 15 Q of primary energy in electric power sector.

    Total on- and off-site energy used by commercial sector is 18.4 Q.

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 18

    Source Energy

    • Building source energy correlates with primary energy use, energy cost ($), and GHG emission

    • EPA uses source energy for Building Energy Star scores

    • NBI did not tabulate source energy for LEED buildingsbut … data included fuel type for 98 buildings

    • Data for other 23 buildings were “lifted” from previous studies

    • R. Diamond provided additional data for 11 of 23 buildings

    • Have source energy data for 109 of the 121 LEED buildings

    SourceEnergy = 3 (ElectricEnergy) + (nonElectricEnergy)

  • 10

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 19

    Compare LEED and CBECS SourceEI Distributions

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 20

    Constructing similar LEED and CBECS subsets

  • 11

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 21

    LEED Building PBA’sBuilding Use # bldgs gsf gsf (%)

    Labs 10 1,594,257 11.8%Data Centers 6 448,003 3.3%Supermarkets 2 99,060 0.7%Health care 1 12,177 0.1%Recreation 2 212,000 1.6%

    high enegy 21 2,365,497 17.6%

    Office 35 5,303,464 39.4%K-12 education 7 923,913 6.9%Public order 5 563,174 4.2%Interpretive Center 9 185,249 1.4%Library 4 400,760 3.0%Multi-use 18 1,589,739 11.8%Multi-unit residential 6 550,630 4.1%Remaining Types 16 1,573,129 11.7%

    medium energy 100 11,090,058 82.4%Total 121 13,455,555 100.0%

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 22

    CBECS by Principal Building Activity

    CBECS medium energy subset-H

  • 12

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 23

    Source EI for Medium Energy Buildings

    LEED mean SourceEI is higher than CBECS - but the difference is not statistically significant

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 24

    Source EI for Office Buildings

    LEED mean SourceEI is slightly lower than CBECS - but difference is not statistically significant

  • 13

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 25

    SiteEI for Office Buildings

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 26

    Source EI for Newer Office Buildings

  • 14

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 27

    Site EI for Newer Office Buildings

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 28

    Summary Results• On the whole, LEED certification yields no significant reduction in

    source energy used by medium energy or office buildings

    Corollary: no significant reduction in GHG emission associated with commercial building operating energy

    • On the whole, LEED certification is reducing site energy -- 10% for medium energy and 16% for office buildings

    • There is no scientific basis for the Federal Govt. or other entities to require LEED certification for buildings as a measure to reduce GHG emission

  • 15

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 29

    Green Is as Green DOESPerformance is more compelling than design awards

    By Michael G. Ivanovich

    The "Big & Green" exhibit was, for me, a disappointment because it "showed" design and "talked" quite a bit about performance; however, there was very little actual performance data to allow visitors to judge just how well these supposedly green buildings, or some of their more innovative features, are performing in real life.

    2009-August-14 Scofield 2009 IEPEC 30

    LEED needs fixing• Need more building science and less marketing

    • Vastly elevate the importance of energy consumption in rating

    • Focus on source energy, not site energy

    • Require mandatory energy monitoring and public disclosure

    • Tie LEED certification to actual measured source energy performance (why not require LEED Pt to have EnergyStar score of >90, etc)

    • Pay serious attention to plug loads

    • Building energy use is about design, construction, and operation