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Natural Gas – The Fuel of Choice for Clean,
Efficient Energy
September 26, 2012
MidAmerican Energy Holdings Company
28% of total generation capacity is
renewable and noncarbon
16,600 miles of pipeline transmission
(delivering 8% of all gas consumed in U.S.)
7 million customers
– 0.7 million natural gas
– 6.3 million electric
2
Northern’s System
NM
IL
IA
SD
MN
WI
MO
MI
AR
LATX
OK
NE
KS
FieldArea
MarketArea
Demarcation
Field Zone
ABC
D
EF
• Northern has a vast network of pipeline facilities
- Miles of pipe 14,900
- Compressor stations 48
- Number of shippers 325
- Receipt and delivery points 2,150
• Northern has five storage facilities
- Three underground storage fields
o Redfield, Iowa
o Cunningham, Kansas
o Lyons, Kansas
- Two liquefied natural gas facilities
o Wrenshall, Minnesota
o Garner, Iowa
• Peak day capacities
- Market Area 5.5 Bcf/Day
- Field Area 2.3 Bcf/Day
Numbers on pipeline miles, shippers and receipt and delivery
points are approximate.
3
Natural Gas – The Fuel of Choice for
Clean, Efficient Energy
4
Natural Gas Headlines from 2007
NYMEX Natural Gas Prices Escalate to $6.76 per MMBtu—
Producers Hedge at $7-$8 – Oil & Gas Journal
EIA Forecasts another wave of growth of U.S. LNG Imports Over Next 2 Years – Energy Information Administration
Impact of Higher Natural Gas Prices on Local Distribution Companies and Residential Customers - Energy Information Administration
Delays in building new LNG receiving terminals and failure to diversify gas procurement…are likely to lead to serious natural gas supply interruptions and prices hikes for gas consumers before 2020 – David Wood & Associates
Limits on the Response to Higher Energy Prices in the End-Use Sectors - Energy Information Administration
Shale Gas: Can It Deliver? – Wood Mackenzie
5
Natural Gas Headlines from 2012
NYMEX September natural gas futures contract to close at
$2.748 per MMBtu – Gas Daily, August 16, 2012
Six LNG export projects with capacity of 7.7 bcf/d of gas could be built in North america by 2020 – Gas Daily, September 13, 2012
Analyst: Natural gas will play increasing role in fueling fleet, heavy-duty vehicles – NGI’s Shale Daily
EIA reports that gas-fired generation matched coal-fired generation in April (2012) – Wood Mackenzie
“We have a supply of natural gas that can last America nearly 100 years…” President
Obama State of the Union Address
6
Change In Natural Gas Pricing and Production
Forecast
7
What Has Changed So Dramatically?
• Over the past decade, the combination of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing has
allowed access to large volumes of shale gas that were previously uneconomic to produce
• Hydraulic fracturing, commonly called “fracing” is a technique in which water, sand and
chemicals are pumped into the well to unlock the hydrocarbons trapped in shale formations
by opening cracks (fractures) in the rock and allowing natural gas to flow from the shale
into the well
8
Natural Gas “Harvesting”
• Shale formation characteristics - Low permeability and porosity
- Deep: 6,000-12,000 feet typical
- Thin: 50-500 feet typical
- Large: Barnett 5,000 square miles; Marcellus 95,000 square miles
• Shale wells - High success rate: For large leaseholds, after drilling techniques are defined production
becomes harvesting
- Pad drilling: Single pad can produce from two square miles, replacing 32 vertical wells on 40
acre spacing versus traditional vertical well spacing of 32 padsites for 32 wells
9
Shale Production Forecast By Region
• In 2005 shale gas production represented less than 5% of the total gas produced in the United
States. By 2015 shale gas production is forecast to be 50% of the total gas production in the
United States.
• By 2015 the United States production will satisfy 96% of the market demand; by 2020 the
U.S. production is forecast to satisfy 100% of its market demand based on industry forecast
PIRA, New York Seminar Gas Presentation, Shale Gas Impact on Regional
North American Markets, October 2011
10
Gas Supply Outlook
Unconventional Gas Supply
11
Supply Additions to Northern’s Field Area
• Northern continues to expand
access to additional
unconventional supply from the
Granite Wash tight sands and
Wolfberry shale plays
• Incremental supplies of
1,320,000 Dth/day are being
attached from Granite Wash
tight sands and Wolfberry shale
plays
PVRBeaver Plant
100,000
PVRSpearman Plant
100,000
BPSunray Plant
190,000
BPHemphill Plant
50,000
EnbridgeElk City Plant
130,000
Eagle RockCargray Plant
30,000
EnbridgeHidetown Plant
140,000
SuperiorHemphill I Plant
50,000
Jun-2011
CrestwoodIndian Creek Plant
75,000
Aug-2011
OXYDenver CO2 Plant
25,000DCP
Hobbs Plant40,000
DCPLinam Ranch Plant
175,000
TargaMonument Plant
90,000
DCPEunice Plant
105,000
TargaEunice Plant
120,000
SUGSJal Plant100,000
DCPFullerton Plant
70,000
UmbriaGaines Plant
21,000
DCPSpraberry Plant
60,000
AtlasMidkiff Plant
150,000
WTGBenedum Plant
110,000
AtlasBenedum Plant
45,000
Kinder MorganYates CO2 Plant
210,000
SUGSTippett Plant
58,000
HooverMitchell CO2 Plant
110,000
MidMar I Plant 60,000
Jul-2011
WTGMartin County
Plants
170,000Jun-2012
MidMar II Plant100,0004Q-2012
AtlasDriver Plant
200,0004Q-2012
PVRHemphill #1 Plant
Expansion
to 40,000Dec-2011
Eagle RockCanadian I/C
Expansion
to 80,000Dec-2011
SuperiorHemphill II Plant
120,0004Q-2012
QuicksilverPlant
25,0004Q-2013
WTGPlymouth Plant
200,0003Q-2013
PVRAntelope Hills Plant
120,000
Jul-2012
EnbridgeCheyenne I/C
80,000
Sep-2012
12
Shale Gas Economics
• With the abundance of new shale production there continues to be downward
pressure on natural gas prices (NYMEX five-year strip is currently $4.04/Dth). As
a result producers are not drilling in many areas where prices do not cover their
breakeven price.
• Primarily gas rich in natural gas hydrocarbons are being actively drilled
Source: Enbridge Investor
Presentation August 22, 2012
13
Drilling Switch From Natural Gas to Oil
• In 2007 there were less than 100 horizontal drilling oil rigs or
approximately 5% of total active drilling rigs
• Today there are in excess of 650 horizontal drilling oil rigs or
approximately 40% of total active drilling rigs
14
Price Forecasts for Natural Gas
15
Natural Gas Reserves
16
Increases in Natural Gas Markets
17
Electric Generation Growth
• Coal-fired power plant retirements could drive 4 to 6 Bcf/day rise in demand from the
electric sector through 2016
• Future implementation of clean air regulation is expected to add to the demand for natural
gas
- December 2011 final Mercury and Air Toxics Standards rule reduces mercury and
other air toxic emission from more than 1,000 existing and new coal units, initial
deadline February 2015 with possible 1 or 2 year extensions (limited)
18
LNG
• DOE has been quick to approve exports to countries that have Free Trade Agreements
with the U.S., it can limit or reject non-FTA applications if it finds the exports are
not in the public interest
• DOE has received 18 applications to export LNG to FTA countries and 13 applications to
export to non-FTA countries. The department has approved Cheniere Energy’s Sabine
Pass terminal in Louisiana for non-FTA exports.
• DOE has delayed additional non-FTA approvals until it receives a study on the domestic
impact of exports. DOE on September 17, 2012 said the release of this study has been
pushed back until the end of the year.
19
Industrial
20
Natural Gas Vehicles
• Quick Facts (Per NGV America) - There are about 120,000 natural gas vehicles (NGVs) in the U.S. today and more than
14.8 million worldwide
- There are about 1,000 NGV fueling stations in the U.S., about half of which are open
to the public
- In the U.S., NGVs offset the use of nearly 360 million gallons of gasoline in 2011
- NGVs meet the strictest emission standards, including California’s AT-PZEV standard
21
Conclusions
• Producers have mastered the technologies required to access the vast shale gas reserves
• It appears that these relatively cheap supplies are ready to be harvested as demand grows and
prices support drilling
• Natural gas will continue to be drilled and produced where it is associated with oil or high in
liquids content
• The Midwest is positioned to benefit from access to continued growth in shale development