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Natural Disaster Risk and Energy Development Justin Pidot Allen Chair Symposium University of Richmond Law Review October 18, 2013. Contrasting perceptions of risk. “Without people there is no disaster.” - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Natural Disaster Risk and Energy
DevelopmentJustin Pidot
Allen Chair SymposiumUniversity of Richmond Law
ReviewOctober 18, 2013
CONTRASTING PERCEPTIONS OF RISK
“Without people there is no disaster.”
Phil O’Keefe et al., Taking the Naturalness Out of Natural Disasters, 260 NATURE 566 (1976)
Symbolic
CognitiveStructural
BARRIERS TO SOUND DISASTER POLICY
SYMBOLIC OBSTACLES
SYMBOLIC OBSTACLES – ENERGY SECURITY
COGNITIVE OBSTACLES Low-Probability Neglect
Gambler’s Fallacy
COGNITION – LOW-PROBABILITY NEGLECT
“One of the bargains men make with one another in order to maintain their sanity is to share an illusion that they are safe, even when the physical evidence in the world around them does not seem to warrant that conclusion.”- Kai Erikson, Everything in Its Path: Destruction of Community in the Buffalo Creek Flood (1976)
COGNITION – GAMBLER’S FALLACY
STRUCTURAL OBSTACLESCosts of disasters and benefits of regulation are dispersed:
Vertically
Horizontally
PREVALENCE, COSTS, AND OVERCOMING OBSTACLES