“National Monsoon Mission” Project Proposal

on

Predictability of intraseasonal oscillatory modes and ENSO-monsoon relationship in NCEP CFS with reference to Indian

& Pacific Ocean

Submitted to

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune (Ministry of Earth Sciences, Govt. of India, New Delhi)

K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies University of Allahabad

Allahabad, UP, INDIA-211002

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1. Title of the proposed project:

“Predictability of intraseasonal oscillatory modes and ENSO-monsoon relationship

in NCEP CFS with reference to Indian & Pacific Ocean”

2. Brief information about Principal Investigator (PI) and Co-PI(s) :

PI :

Name: Dr. Shailendra Rai Date of birth: 01st July, 1977 Institution: K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean

Studies, University of Allahabad, Allahabad, UP, INDIA-211002

Qualification: M.Sc. (Physics), DPhil Co - PI (1): Name: Prof. Avinash C. Pandey Date of birth: 01st July, 1964 Institution: K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean

Studies, University of Allahabad, Allahabad, UP, INDIA-211002

Qualification: M.Sc. (Physics), MBA, M.Tech. DPhil Co - PI (2): Name: Dr. Suneet Dwivedi Date of birth: 14th April, 1978 Institution: K. Banerjee Ce0ntre of Atmospheric and Ocean

Studies, University of Allahabad, Allahabad, UP, INDIA-211002

Qualification: M.Sc. (Physics), DPhil Collaborating Scientist from IITM, Pune Name: Dr. A. K. Sahai Date of birth: 17th March 1961 Institution: Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Homi

Bhabha Road, Pashan, Pune Qualification: M.Sc. (Math), DPhil

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3. Project Summary (1 page) :

(a) Intellectual merits of the proposed work

The negative correlation has been observed between Indian summer monsoon and

NINO3 index having a maximum value in the months of October-January following

the monsoon season in many previous studies. It has also been observed that NCEP

CFS being a fully coupled model fails to capture the simultaneous negative

correlation between NINO3 and Indian summer monsoon. The purpose of this project

proposal will be to document the reasons for the failure of the ENSO-monsoon

teleconnections and the role of Indian & Pacific Ocean, if any.

If the intraseasonal modes present in Indian summer monsoon with seasonal

persistence make a relatively large contribution to the seasonal mean rainfall and if

they are related to slowly varying boundary forcing or other low-frequency global

circulations, the seasonal rainfall anomaly over India may be more predictable. We

propose to investigate the factors determining the relative roles of the persisting

modes and intraseasonal oscillations and their impact on large-scale dynamics of the

monsoon toward improving the prediction of the monsoon. The relative strengths of

simulating the different monsoon modes in the coupled model other than NCEP CFS

will also be exploited.

(b) Broader impacts of the proposed work

The identification the intraseasonal oscillatory modes of Indian summer monsoon

in NCEP CFS and the factors determining the relative roles of the persisting modes

and intraseasonal oscillatory modes and their impact on large-scale dynamics of the

monsoon will provide the clues in improving the prediction of the monsoon.

By focusing on ENSO-monsoon relationship, we will be able to diagnose the

problem in Coupled General Circulation Models (CGCM) in general and NCEP CFS

is particular associated with systematic error in ENSO characteristics and an

alternative solution to improve the predictability of coupled models could be

suggested. Depending on the outcome of the proposed work different coupling

strategies for Indian and Pacific Ocean could be suggested in NCEP CFS.

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Project Description:

1. Research Objectives

• Prediction and predictability of intra seasonal oscillatory components of

Indian monsoon from NCEP CFS.

• Relative roles of the persisting and intraseasonal oscillatory modes and their

impact on large-scale dynamics of the monsoon.

• Prediction of ENSO-monsoon teleconnection and identification of reasons

responsible for its failure in NCEP CFS.

1.1 Intellectual merit of the proposed work

The negative correlation has been observed between Indian summer monsoon and

NINO3 index having a maximum value in the months of October-January following the

monsoon season in many previous studies. It has also been observed that NCEP CFS

being a fully coupled model fails to capture the simultaneous negative correlation

between NINO3 and Indian summer monsoon. The purpose of this project proposal will

be to document the reasons for the failure of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnections and the

role of Indian & Pacific Ocean, if any.

If the intraseasonal modes present in Indian summer monsoon with seasonal

persistence make a relatively large contribution to the seasonal mean rainfall and if they

are related to slowly varying boundary forcing or other low-frequency global circulations,

the seasonal rainfall anomaly over India may be more predictable. We propose to

investigate the factors determining the relative roles of the persisting modes and

intraseasonal oscillations and their impact on large-scale dynamics of the monsoon

toward improving the prediction of the monsoon. The relative strengths of simulating the

different monsoon modes in the coupled model other than NCEP CFS will also be

exploited.

1.2 Broader Impact of proposed work

The identification the intraseasonal oscillatory modes of Indian summer monsoon in

NCEP CFS and the factors determining the relative roles of the persisting modes and

intraseasonal oscillatory modes and their impact on large-scale dynamics of the monsoon

will provide the clues in improving the prediction of the monsoon.

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By focusing on ENSO-monsoon relationship, we will be able to diagnose the

problem in CGCM in general and NCEP CFS in particular associated with systematic

error in ENSO characteristics and an alternative solution to improve the predictability of

coupled models could be suggested. Depending on the outcome of the proposed work

different coupling strategies for Indian and Pacific Ocean could be suggested in NCEP

CFS.

2. Technical Section

The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Forecast

System (GFS) is the atmospheric component (Moorthi et al., 2001) of the CFS while the

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) Modular Ocean Model version 3

(MOM3) is its oceanic component (Pacanowski and Griffies, 1998) with T62 horizontal

resolution, the GFS has 64 sigma layers in the vertical. The GFDL MOM3 extends from

74°S to 64°N and has resolutions of 1/3° latitude × 1° longitude in the tropics and 1°

latitude × 1° longitude in the extratropics. In the vertical, there are 40 layers with 27 of

them located within the upper 400m.

The ocean model is prescribed with observed climatology of the sea ice extent. The

heat and momentum fluxes are exchanged once a day between the atmospheric and

oceanic components without any flux-correction. The details of the CFS are provided by

Saha et al. (2006). The initial conditions for the atmospheric and oceanic models are

obtained from the NCEP-Department of Energy Atmospheric Model Intercomparison

Project (AMIP-II) Reanalysis-2 (R2) (Kanamitsu et al., 2002) and the NCEP Global

Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS), respectively.

NCEP CFS version 2 is the latest version of the model. In the present proposal we

shall use the model output of variety of experiments conducted at IITM, Pune.

3. Statement of Work ( methodology to be adopted)

In the present proposal, we propose to investigate the capability of NCEP CFS

version 2 in simulating and predicting the different monsoon modes. The relative

strengths of other state of the art coupled models in predicting these modes will also be

investigated. We also propose to investigate the factors determining the relative roles of

the persisting modes and intraseasonal oscillatory modes and their impact on large-scale

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dynamics of the monsoon toward providing suggestions in improving the prediction of

the monsoon.

The focus of present proposal will also be to document the predictability of

relationship between ENSO and monsoon in NCEP CFS. The attempt will also be made

to identify the reasons responsible for failure of this relationship. By focusing on ENSO-

monsoon relationship, we will be able to diagnose the problem in CGCM associated with

systematic error in ENSO characteristics and an alternative solution to improve the

predictability of coupled system could be suggested.

3.1 Schedule (Year wise)

Year Expected Outcome Deliverables

Year - 1 Ability of NCEP CFS in predicting the different monsoon modes.

Year - 2 Ability of NCEP CFS in predicting the ENSO-monsoon modes in the variety of model output configured at IITM, Pune.

Year - 3 Relative roles different modes and their impact on large-scale dynamics of the monsoon, In case of failure of ENSO-monsoon relationship, the reasons responsible for this.

3.2 Team Composition and expertise

Investigator Qualification Expertise

PI M. Sc. (Phys), PhD Data Diagnostic studies, prediction and predictability of atmosphere and ocean

Co-PI (1) M.Sc. (Phys, Math), M.

Tech., PhD

Ocean Circulation modeling, chaos and non linear dynamics, data diagnostic studies for climate research, climate change.

Co-PI (2) M. Sc. (Phys), PhD Ocean circulation modeling & Data Assimilation, Chaos and Non- Linear Dynamics

Collaborating Scientist M. Sc. (Math), PhD Monsoon prediction and variability studies, ANN for prediction and data analysis, Climate change studies, Ocean and atmosphere coupled modelling

Page 6 of 29

3.3 Connections to Operational forecast and Human resource development:

The results obtained in the project shall be presented in appropriate forum for

publications from time to time. If we able to find any clue of the role Indian & Pacific in

the ENSO-monsoon relationship then the different physical parameterization may be

suggested in the NCEP CFS and the predictability of the same could be quantified. This

will ultimately lead us to improved prediction of Indian summer monsoon. The research

scholar trained in the projects will be encouraged to complete their PhD dissertation

which will certainly generate trained manpower in the field of Atmospheric and Ocean

Sciences.

4. Related works

4.1 National status

It has been decided by the Ministry of Earth System Sciences (MoES), Govt of

India that Climate Forecast System of NCEP will be the core model for National

Monsoon Mission. Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Pune & National

Centre of Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NMCMRWF), New Delhi has been

given the responsibility to coordinate the mission in improving the seasonal to extended

range and medium range scale up to 2 weeks prediction respectively. Both the above

organizations have done a lot of work regarding successful implementation and

verification of NCEP CFS model in a short span of one year.

It has been observed that the simulation from NCEP global forecast system (GFS)

showed deficit rainfall as observed for the year 2009 which may be attributed to a

positive Indian Ocean Dipole event seen in the prediction from July onwards, which was

not present in the observations. This suggests that the error could be reduced with

improvement of the ocean model over the equatorial Indian Ocean (Janakiram et. al.,

2011).

It has been found that for the rainfall averaged over the land points of India, the

errors grow faster in the case of forecasts initiated during active (above-normal) or break

(below-normal) phase while they grow slower with forecasts starting from normal phase.

This implies that break phases are no better predictable than the active phases, contrary to

the some earlier studies. This behavior could simply be a property of the CFS (Rai and

Krishnamurthy, 2011).

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4.2 International status

It has been postulated that simultaneous sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in

central-eastern Pacific Ocean which is associated with ENSO have been the predominant

forcing of the Indian summer monsoon variability (Sikka 1980, Shukla & Paolino 1983,

Slingo & Annamalai 2000, Annamalai & Liu, 2005). This relationship, however

statistically significant over long term available record has decreased in recent years

(Krishna Kumar et. al. 1999) attributed to variety of phenomenon like natural low-

frequency atmospheric variability (Krishnamurty and Goswami, 2000); changes in the

atmospheric circulation in the North Pacific (Kinter et al., 2002), in the North Atlantic

and consequently in the Eurasian snow cover (Chang et al., 2001), the co-occurrence of

ENSO and the Indian Ocean Dipole Mode (IOD) (Saji et al., 1999).

The optimism for long-range prediction of the seasonal mean monsoon is based on

the postulate that the tropical atmospheric variability is mainly determined by slowly

varying boundary forcing such as sea surface temperature (SST), soil moisture and snow

cover (Charney and Shukla, 1981; Shukla, 1998). The ability to predict ENSO events one

year an advance has shown increasing skill in recent years (Latif et. al., 1988; Luo et. al.,

2005). If the monsoon-ENSO relationship remains reasonably consistent in the future

then the hope of the interannual fluctuation of monsoon prediction may be high.

It has been decided by the Ministry of Earth System Sciences (MoES), Govt of India

that Climate Forecast System of NCEP will be the core model for National Monsoon

Mission. It has been observed that CFS tends to overestimate the magnitude of ENSO

related SST anomalies and to exaggerate the connection of ENSO to the Asian monsoon

and the impact of ENSO on the climate over Asia and the Indo-Pacific Oceans (Yang et.

al., 2008). The focus of present proposal will be to document the predictability of

relationship between ENSO and monsoon in NCEP CFS. The attempt will also be made

identify the reasons responsible for failure of this relationship. By focusing on ENSO-

monsoon relationship, we will be able to diagnose the problem in NCEP CFS associated

with systematic error in ENSO characteristics and an alternative solution to improve the

predictability of models could be suggested.

It has been pointed out that the interannual variability of the Indian monsoon to

consist of a linear combination of a large scale persistent seasonal mean component and a

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statistical average of the intraseasonal variation (Krishnamurthy & Shukla, 2000; 2007;

2008). The above conceptual model put forward recognized that in addition to a

seasonally persisting component, related to the boundary conditions, there are other

significant intraseasonal components in Indian summer monsoon. If the intraseasonal

modes with seasonal persistence make a relatively large contribution to the seasonal

mean rainfall and if they are related to slowly varying boundary forcing or other low-

frequency global circulations, the seasonal rainfall anomaly over India may be more

predictable. Although it has been shown that the relation between the persisting standing

patterns and the oceanic variability is strong (Krishnamurthy & Shukla, 2008), the

influence of ocean on the intraseasonal modes needs to be investigated.

We propose to investigate the factors determining the relative roles of the persisting

modes and intraseasonal oscillations and their impact on large-scale dynamics of the

monsoon toward improving the prediction of the monsoon. The relative strengths of

simulating the different monsoon modes in the coupled model other than NCEP CFS will

also be exploited.

5. Results from prior MoES support (if any)

[Describe any prior MoES funded work by the PI, Co-PI(s)]

Investigator MoES grant no. Title Year Description

PI/Co-PI Please refer to Bio-Data of PI-Co-PI

6. Facilities available at the workspace

Linux High Performance Computing Cluster with 18 nodes; 36 * Intel Xeon Quad core processors @ 2.8 GHz; Red Hat Enterprise Linux, version 4, update 5, kernel version 2.6; interconnected using 24 port infiniband switch; 16 GB RAM @667 MHz FSB; ~ 5 TB SCSI storage.

SGI Tezro workstation with Onyx3 Infinite performance fuel and 2 GB RAM. 7. Budget requirements (with justifications)

(a) Emoluments for research personnel, technical and administrative support

Sr. No. Staff Emoluments per month

1st Year (in Rs.)

2nd Year (in Rs.)

3rd Year (in Rs.)

Total (in Rs.)

7.1 Key personnel

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

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7.2 Research Assistant (two)

(Rs16000/- for 1st & 2nd year and Rs18000/- for 3rd Year) + HRA

4,62,000/- 4,62,000/- 5,20,000/- 14,44,000/-

7.3 Technical and administrative support

1500/- 18,000/- 18,000/- 18,000/- 54,000/-

Total 4,80,000/- 4,80,000/- 5,38,000/- 14,98,000/-

Justification: In view of the ambitious goals of the project, the magnitude of the work

involved and the fact that all the investigators have teaching load, two research scholars are

required for meeting the objectives of the project and for dealing with the software and

model implementation related problems. We plan to appoint one research scholar from basic

sciences background whereas the other may be from computer science background who will

be trained under the guidance of IITM for model configuration and implementation as per

the objective of the project.

(b) Budget requirement for Travel

Sr. No. Purpose 1st Year (in Rs.)

2nd Year (in Rs.)

3rd Year (in Rs.)

Total (in Rs.)

7.4 Domestic Travel 1,00,000/- 1,00,000/- 1,00,000/- 3,00,000/-

7.5

International Travel 1,50,000/- 1,50,000/- 3,00,000/-

Total 2,50,000/- 1,00,000/- 2,50,000/- 6,00,000/-

Justification: Travel Budget is for 3 investigators and 1 research students. The budget is

required for travels related to manpower training at leading research organizations

specially IITM, Pune and for attending seminars, conferences and workshops. The

International travel support is needed to get help from the COLA for some of the research

planed in the proposal.

(c) Budget for Other Direct Costs :

Sr.

No.

Item Description 1st Year (in Rs.)

2nd Year (in Rs.)

3rd Year (in Rs.)

Total (in Rs.)

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7.6 Material &

Supplies

External Storage devices, consumables & contingency

1,50, 000/- 1,50,000/- 1,50,000/- 4,50,000/-

7.7

Computer Services

NIL (The computing of IITM, Pune will be used to run the model)

7.8

Equipment (High-end-computer workstation for the data diagnostic studies)

3,00,000/- 3,00,000/-

Total 4,50,000/- 1,50,000/- 1,50,000/- 7,50,000/-

(d) Budget for Indirect Costs

Sr. No. Item 1st Year (in Rs.)

2nd Year (in Rs.)

3rd Year (in Rs.)

Total (in Rs.)

7.9 Overhead Costs (@20% of project cost)

2,15,000/- 1,95,000/- 2,35,000/- 6,45,000/-

Total 2,15,000/- 1,95,000/- 2,35,000/- 6,45,000/-

Consolidated Budget Requirement under different heads

Sr. No.

Purpose 1st Year (in Rs.)

2nd Year (in Rs.)

3rd Year (in Rs.)

Total (in Rs.)

(a) Emoluments for research personnel, technical and administrative support

4,80,000/- 4,80,000/- 5,38,000/- 14,98,000/-

(b) Travel

4,50,000/- 1,50,000/- 1,50,000/- 7,50,000/-

(c) Other Direct Costs 3,75,000/- 75,000/- 75,000/- 5,25,000/-

(d) Indirect Costs 2,15,000/- 1,95,000/- 2,35,000/- 6,45,000/-

TOTAL 34,18,000/-

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7. Bio-data (CV) of the Investigators :

7.7 PI Biography (Person A)

Dr. Shailendra Rai K. Banerjee Centre for Atmospheric and Ocean Studies

University of Allahabad Allahabad-211002, UP, INDIA

Phone: 09415029233, 0532-2460974 (Tele-Fax) Email: raishail77@gmail.com

Educational Qualifications:

High School 1991 UP Board (Science group) (70.8%)

Intermediate 1993 UP Board (PCM group) (65.8%)

B.Sc. 1997 University of Allahabad (Physics, EEMC, Math) (68.2%)

M. Sc. 1999 University of Allahabad (Physics) (73.2%)

NET 2000 CSIR/UGC

GATE 2000 Physical Sciences (86.1%)

DPhill 2007 University of Allahabad (Topic: Simulation Studies on Southern Indian Ocean)

Recent Research work on Coupled GCMs:

Error growth analysis, predictability of intra-seasonal monsoon oscillations, Change in predictability: if model’s IC

falls on a particular phase of intra-seasonal oscillation.

Employment Record:

Assistant Professor in Department of Atmospheric & Ocean Science, University of Allahabad:

(17-11-2009 to till date)

Geophysicist (Jr.) (Insttn.) in GSI, Govt. of India (04-06-2009 to 16-11-2009)

Post Doctoral Research Scientist at COLA, USA (21-05-2008 to 29-05-2009)

Scientist ‘B’ at KBCAOS, University of Allahabad (18-04-2006 to 03-06-2009)

SRF at KBCAOS, University of Allahabad (01-10-2003 to 31-03-2006)

JRF at KBCAOS, University of Allahabad from (11-09-2001 to 30-09-2003)

Fellowships awarded

1. Junior Associate of ICTP, Italy from 2008-2013

2. SRF in NCAOR sponsored research project during 01-10-2003 to 31-03-2006

3. JRF in NCAOR sponsored research project during 11-09-2001 to 30-09-2003.

Visit Abroad/Courses attended (abroad):

i. Attended course on Predictability of weather and Climate at George Mason University (GMU), Fairfax, Virginia, USA from August 2008-December 2008.

ii. Targeted Training Activity: Seasonal Predictability in Tropical Regions: Research and Applications at

ICTP, Trieste, Italy from 7th August 2006 to 18th August 2006.

iii. Targeted Training Activity: Course on climate dynamics for Climate research centers and University lecturers’ at International Center of Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy from 9th August 2004 to 27th August 2004.

iv. Invited at COLA, USA from 25 August 2003 - 15 December 2003 to attend four core courses (Introduction

to Atmospheric Dynamics, Physical Oceanography, General Circulation of Atmosphere, Numerical Methods for Climate Dynamics) administered by GMU, Fairfax, Virginia.

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v. Visited ICTP, Trieste, Italy as a Junior Associate during the period 15th May 2011 to 13th July, 2011.

Conference/ Seminar organized.

Secretary of International Seminar on Climate Dynamics organized by Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Science, University of Allahabad, Allahabad.

Member, Orgnizing Committee of International Conference of International Academy of Physical Sciences (CONIAPS XI) organized by IIDS, University of Allahabad, Allahabad.

Teaching experience

Undergraduate Teaching: 2 years in Department of Physics, University of Allahabad (UoA) (2003-2004; 2005-2006)

Post Graduation Teaching (Physics): 1 year in Centre for Biotechnology, UoA (2002-2003)

Journal reviewed

Comptes rendus geosciences journal of Elsevier Journal of Oceanography and Marine Science Computer Knowledge at Advance Level:

Language: Fortran, Matlab, shell script Visualisation Software: GrAds and FERRET.

Operating System: Unix, Windows, IRIX, Solaris, Clusters and HP-UX

List of Publications (Last 5 years)

Refereed Journal (published/in Press/accepted):

1. Krishnamurthy, V., and S. Rai, 2011: Predictability of South Asian monsoon circulation in the NCEP Climate Forecast System. Adv. Geosci., 22, 65-76.

2. S Rai and V. Krishnamurthy, 2011, Error growth in Climate Forecast System daily retrospective forecasts of South Asian monsoon, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D03108, doi:10.1029/2010JD014840.

3. A C Pandey, S Rai and Amitabh Mitra, 2011: A comparison of sea surface fluxes derived from In-situ measurements and NCEP reanalysis, Marine Geodesy, 34, 1–11.

4. A P Mishra, A C Pandey and S Rai, 2010: Ocean model derived global surface circulation and vertical velocity, Jour. Geol. Soc. India, 76, 468-478.

5. S Rai and A C Pandey, 2008: Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) SST variability and its relationship with Indian summer monsoon, Atmosphere-Ocean, 46(3), 361-376.

6. S Rai, A C Pandey, K C Tripathi and Suneet Dwivedi, 2008: Predictive Skill of DEMETER models for wind prediction near Madagascar, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 62-69.

7. K C Tripathi, S Rai, A C Pandey and I M L Das, 2008: Southern Indian Ocean SST indices as early predictors of Indian summer monsoon, Ind. J. Mar. Sc. , 37(1), 70-76.

8. A C Pandey and S Rai, 2008: Sensitivity of the Indian Ocean circulation to surface wind stress, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 55-61.

9. S Rai, A C Pandey and N Khare, 2008: Antarctic sea ice variability and southeast Indian Ocean SST: Possible relationship, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 35-39.

10. A C Pandey, S Rai and A P Mishra, 2008: Anomalous variation of sea surface height in south western Indian Ocean, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 40-46.

11. A P Mishra, S Rai and A C Pandey, 2007: Ocean Model Simulation of Southern Indian Ocean Surface Currents, Marine Geodesy, 30, 345-354, (URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01490410701568467).

12. A P Mishra, S Rai and A C Pandey, 2007: An estimation of heat flux and its variability in the Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) using Ocean General Circulation Model, J. Ind. Geophys. Union, 11, 217-228.

13. A P Mishra, S Rai and A C Pandey, 2007: Validation of the model simulated Sea Surface Current and Sea Surface Temperature with Observation in Southern Indian Ocean, Curr. Sci., 92(11), 1579-1585.

14. A P Mishra, S Rai and A C Pandey, 2007: Simulation study of sea surface height and Ocean Currents, J. of Ind. Ocean Studies, 15, 1-9.

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Book Chapter: 1. A C Pandey, I M L Das, S Rai, A P Mishra, V K Pandey, S. Dwivedi, A Mitra and K C Tripathi, 2010,

Mathematical Modelling of Atmosphere and Ocean Processes around Antarctica, Review Paper edited by Ministry of Earth Sciences, Govt of India, New Delhi, Chapter 3, pp 1-31.

Ongoing Research Project:

“Measurment of Surface parameters and sensitivity study of OGCM on real time data over western Tropical Indian Ocean” funded by Ministry of Earth Sciences for 2007-2012 (INR28.00 Lacs).

Workshops/ National Seminars /International seminars/ Attended (Last 5 years)

i. Celebrating the Monsoon: An International Conference organized by Indian Institute of Science (IISC), Bangalore during 24-28 August, 2007.

ii. EU-India Grid workshop organized by Centre for Development of Advanced Computing (C-DAC), Pune during 14-18 September, 2007.

iii. National Space Science Symposiam-2008 (NSSS-08) organized at Radio Astronomy Centre, NCRA-TIFR, Ooty during 26-29 February, 2008.

iv. International Seminar on Climate Dynamics organized at Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of Allahabad during 28-29 January, 2010.

v. International conference of International Academy of Physical Science (CONIAPSXI) organized by IIDS, University of Allahabad during 22-24 February, 2010.

vi. Attending and presented the work done at KBCAOS, UoA in the meeting of Research Advisory Committee of NCAOR (MoES), Goa on 6th April, 2010.

vii. 7th Annual meeting of Asia Oceanica Society of Geoscainces (AOGS2010) at Hyderbaad International Convention Centre, Hyderabad during 5-9 April, 2010.

viii. 4th International Conference of INDIAS 2010 at University of Allahabad, Allahabad during 20-22 September, 2010.

ix. Conference on the Role of e-Infrastructures for Climate Change Research at ICTP, Italy.

x. Advanced School on Scaling Laws in Geophysics: Mechanical and Thermal Processes in Geodynamics at ICTP, Italy.

xi. Joint ICTP-IAEA Workshop on Uncovering Sustainable Development CLEWS; Modelling Climate, Land-use, Energy and Water (CLEW) at ICTP, Italy.

xii. School and Conference: The General Circulation of the Atmosphere and Oceans: A Modern Perspective at ICTP, Italy.

7.8 Co-PI Biography (Person B)

AVINASH CHANDRA PANDEY K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies

University of Allahabad, Allahabad 211002, India.

Email: prof.avinashcpandey@gmail.com

Phone: Tel. No. Mobile No.:

+(91) (532) 2460675, 2460974 + 91-9415215512

Date of Birth: 01-July-1964 Educational Qualifications

Degree Board/University Year Subjects Division 10th UP Board, Bahraich 1978 Science, Biology, Mathematics, Biology, Hindi, English First 10+2 UP Board, Gorakhpur 1980 Physics, Chemistry, Mathematics, Biology, Hindi,

English First

BSc Allahabad 1982 Physics, Chemistry, Mathematics First MSc Allahabad 1984 Physics First MSc Allahabad 1996 Mathematics First

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MBA Allahabad 1993 Marketing First D.Phil. Allahabad 1995 “Magnetohydrodynamic instability of Inhomogeneous

fluid.”

Diploma Allahabad 1995 French First M.Tech. MNNIT, Allahabad 2005 Genetic Algorithm: Computer Science & Engineering First Ph.D. MNNIT, Allahabad --- Computer Science & Engineering Pursuing

Field of Major Scientific Interest: Nanoscience and Nanotechnology, Materials Science, Physics with ION-beams, Mathematical Modeling, Non Linear Dynamics, Atmospheric & Ocean Sciences Details of Employment

• Professor in Atmospheric and Ocean Science, University of Allahabad 28.10.2009- till date • Associate Professor in Physics, University of Allahabad up to 28.10.2009 • Reader in Physics, University of Allahabad 08.02.2004 • Sr. Lecturer in Physics, University of Allahabad 08.02.2001 • Lecturer in Physics, University of Allahabad joined on 14.12.1996

Projects Implemented as a Principal Investigator (Funded Projects undertaken) : 20 Patents: Intellectual property, technological innovations, new products etc. : 11 Books/Book Chapters/Monographs published : 10 Total Number of Publications : 175 Publications in the last 5 years : 137 (2009-2010) No. of Publications : 60 No. of Patents filed : 10 Capacity Building and Facility Utilisation At –A- Glance 2009-10

1. Number of papers published in refereed and cited journals 54 (as per Scopus and Web of Science record) 2. Number of citations received by the papers 100 3. Number of Papers in Conferences etc. 22 (Twenty Two) 4. Number of Indian patents filed/granted 10 (Filed) 5. Number of Ph.D.’s produced/ongoing Directly under PI: 2 submitted/8 ongoing

†Under Other Faculty Members† Completely supported by NAC: 14 Partially support by NAC: 25

6. Number of other research personnel like RAs & PDF etc. trained

6 (Six)

7. Number of under-graduate students trained 5 (Five) 8. Number of Post- graduate (M.Tech./ M.S./M.Phil.)

thesis done 2 (Two)

Projects Implemented as a Principal Investigator

Funding Agency Total Cost Period Project Title ISRO * 2001-

2003 “Mathematical Modeling of the Atmosphere: General Circulation and Chaos Models”

DOD /NCAOR * 2001-2004

“Inter-comparison of Semtner’s model (1976) with Winton’s Three sea ice layer model (2000) and configuring the GCM for Antarctica”

IUAC 2,61,000 2001-2004

“In situ study of surface modification of Carbon Allotropes by swift heavy Ions”

IUAC 2,61,000 2002-2005

“Sputter Yield Measurements: Studies on Electronic Sputtering of Halides (NSC_UFUP-32307MS)”

ISRO 6,23,700 2004-2007

“Study of low-order atmosphere-ocean models”

DOD /NCAOR * 2001-2007

“Realistic Simulation of Antarctic Circumpolar Current and other Circulation features of Southern Indian Ocean”.

DOD /NCAOR * 2001-2007

“Effects of through flow in the Indonesian Archipelago region of connectivity between the Pacific and Indian Oceans on the Southern Indian Ocean.”

DOD /NCAOR * ~3 crores 2005-2007

“Sensitivity studies of mesoscale atmospheric models in the Antarctic region”

IUAC 6,23,000 2003-2006

“Synthesis and properties of doped ZnO nanoparticles (NSC_34210 MS)F-2-56/2002/(I) EU-II”

IUAC 2,61,000 2003-2006

“Ion Beam Synthesis of GaN (NSC_UFUP-35310MS)”Indo German DAAD

DST ~ 3 Crores 2004-2008

“Nanophosphor Application Centre”

UGC-DAE, CSR, KC

2,61,000 2005-2008

“Elemental Analysis of Archaeological Findings from Kaushambi for the study of Past”

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CSIR-DST 25 crores 2007-2010

NIMITLI project for Developing 52 inch PDP with SAMTEL Color Ltd and IITK

IUAC 2,61.000 2008-2011

Sputtering in thin films

AOARD JAPAN 10,0000.00 2008-2010

Performance Enhancement of Large Area Solar cells by incorporating Nanophosphors

INCOIS, Hyderabad

28,00,000.00 2008-2013

Measurements of surface parameters and sensitivity study of OGCM on real time data over western Tropical Indian

” DST, 15,73,800.00 03 Year 24.10.08

Predictability studies of the Atmosphere using Error growth studies on low mesoscale and global models

DST_NanoMission

~1.6crores 2009-2014

“Nanophosphor Application Centre”

Photon Factory Beam Time 2009-2011

PF BL-7A/16A "Atom resolved contribution to the magnetic moment of magnetic quantum dots"proposal number 2009G682

DST_Nano Mission

16 crores 2009-2014

“High Fluence Ion Beam Facility”

DAE-BRNS 35 lakhs 2011-2013

“For the Development of Ultrasensitive Bio-sensors”

ITC-PAC Research Project FFP

Travel Support etc.

2011 -2012

Research and Development for "Synthesis, Assemble, and Characterization of Nano-Bio Hybrid Materials."

Indo South Africa

Exchange Visits: Rand 450000

2011-2013

Development of rare-earth ions-metallic nanoparticles hybrid phosphors with Hydro-philic polymer: An application of photocatalysis for water treatment; JOINT RESEARCH GRANT UNDER THE SA/INDIA AGREEMENT ON COOPERATION IN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY : UJ Nanomaterials Science Research Group, Department of Chemical Technology, University of Johannesburg, (DFC), South Africa and Nano Technology application center

Indo Japan Exchange Visits: Rs.8. 5944 Lakh

2011-2013

Morphology control of organic materials for nanobio and electronics devices KIT Japan/ BHU/ UoA

Books/Book Chapters/Monographs Published (Last 5 years) 1. Springer Series on Optical Science Series: coming shortly, Avinash C. Pandey. 2. Book Chapter “Functionalized Biocompatible Nanoparticles for Site Specific Imaging and Therapeutics”, Ranu K Dutta, Prashant K Sharma, Hisatoshi Kobayashi and Avinash C Pandey, published by Springer in the book ‘APS: Polymers in Nanomedicine’. 3. CHAPTER FOUR in review book [published by MoES: Mathematical Modeling of Atmosphere and Ocean Processes around Antarctica: A. C. Pandey, I.M.L. Das, S. Rai, A. P. Mishra, V.K. Pandey: K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies: University of Allahabad, Allahabad – 211 002, Uttar Pradesh (India). 4. Book chapter, “Recent advances in biomedical applications of multifunctional nanocomposites”, Avinash C. Pandey, Prashant K. Sharma, Ranu K. Dutta, ISBN 978-1-61761-008-0 ©2010 Nova Science Publishers, Inc. 5. Book chapter, “II-VI Semiconductor Nanocrystals for Energy Securing ‘Green’ Technology and Solid State Lighting”, Prashant K. Sharma and Avinash C. Pandey, for upcoming book "Intelligent Nanomaterials" of the Scrivener Publishing LLC, USA. 6. Book chapter, “Rare-Earth Based Insulating Nanocrystals: Improved Luminescent Nanophosphors for Plasma Display Panels”, Prashant K. Sharma and Avinash C. Pandey, for upcoming book "Intelligent Nanomaterials" of the Scrivener Publishing LLC, USA. 7. Book chapter, Is there a Strange Attractor for Antarctic Oscillation?, S. Dwivedi, A. C. Pandey and A.K. Mittal, “India in Antarctic, Scientific & Geopolitical Perspective”, Eds. S. Chaturvedi, N. Khare & P.C. Pandey, South Asian Publishers, New Delhi, 199-209 (2005). 8. Book Chapter 5: Intra Seasonal Variability of Rainfall in India on Regional Basis, Manish K. Joshi, K.C. Tripathi, Avinash C. Pandey, and I.M.L. Das, S.D. Attri et al. (eds.), Challenges and Opportunities in Agrometeorology, DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-19360-6_5, © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg (73-81) 2011, ISBN 978-3-642-19359-0. 9. Book Chapter 9: Improved Seasonal Predictability Skill of the DEMETER Models for Central Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall, Ravi P. Shukla, K.C. Tripathi, Sandipan Mukherjee, Avinash C. Pandey, and I. M. L. Das, S.D. Attri et al. (eds.), Challenges and Opportunities in Agrometeorology, DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-19360-6_9, © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg (139-147) 2011, ISBN 978-3-642-19359-0. 10. Book Chapter 10: Simulation of Indian Summer Monsoon Circulation with Regional Climate Model for ENSO and Drought Years over India, Sandipan Mukherjee, Ravi P. Shukla, and Avinash C. Pandey, S.D. Attri et al. (eds.), Challenges and Opportunities in Agrometeorology, DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-19360-6_10, © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg (149-162) 2011, ISBN 978-3-642-19359-0.

Complete List of Publications During the Last 5 Years (Categorized List) Data Diagnostics

97. Prediction of Indian Summer monsoon rainfall using Nino Indices: a neural network approach, Ravi P Shukla, K C Tripathi, A C Pandey, I M L Das, Atmospheric Research, (2011), 10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.06.013 (in Press ) 98. A comparison of sea surface fluxes derived from In-situ measurements and NCEP reanalysis, A. C. Pandey, S Rai and Amitabh Mitra, 2011, Marine Geodesy (in press). 99. Trend and spectral analysis of rainfall over India during1901-2000 M.K. Joshi and A C Pandey, 2011. J. Geoph. Res., 116, 10.1029/2010JD014966.

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100. Southern Indian Ocean SST indices as early predictors of Indian summer monsoon K. C. Tripathi, S. Rai, A. C. Pandey and I. M. L. Das, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 70-76, (2008). 101. Southern Indian Ocean SST variability and its relationship with Indian summer monsoon, S Rai and A C Pandey, Atmosphere-Ocean, 46(3), doi:10.3137/ao.460300, (2008). 102. Antarctic sea ice variability in recent years and its relationship with Indian Ocean SST, S. Rai, and A. C. Pandey, J. Ind. Geophys. Union, 10, 219-229 (2006). 103. Antarctic sea ice variability and southeast Indian Ocean SST: Possible relationship, S Rai, A C Pandey and N Khare, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37, 35-39 (2008). 104. Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) SST variability and its relationship with Indian summer monsoon, S. Rai and A. C. Pandey, Atmosphere–Ocean, 46(3), 361-376, (2008). 105. Spectral analysis of climatological mean of rainfall over the last five decades, M K Joshi, K C Tripathi, A C Pandey and I. M. L, Das, International conference on Polar Science and Technology, New Delhi, India, 28-30 August, 2009, pp.131-134.

Modeling & Simulation Studies 106. Ocean model derived global surface circulation and vertical velocity A P Mishra, A C Pandey and S Rai, 2010:, J. Geol. Soc. India, 76, 468-478. 107. Intra seasonal and Inter annual variations in the Zonal and Meridional wind components in the Southern Hemisphere using MIT gcm Rai, A., M. K. Joshi, K. C. Tripathi, A. C. Pandey, and I. M. L. Das (2009), , Ind. Jour. Polar. Sci., Vol. II, 61-65. 108. Anamalous variation of sea surface height in Southwestern Indian Ocean, A. C. Pandey, Shailendra Rai and A. P. Mishra, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 40-46, (2008) 109. Predictive Skill of DEMETER models for wind prediction near Madagascar, S. Rai, A. C. Pandey, K. C. Tripathi and S. Dwivedi, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 62-69, (2008). 110. ITF and Pole ward Heat Transport of Indian Ocean, V.K. Pandey, and Pandey, A. C., Mar. Geodesy, 31(3), (2008) 111. Sensitivity of the Indian Ocean circulation to surface wind stress, S. Rai and A. C. Pandey, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 55-61, (2008). 112. Antarctica sea ice variability and southeast Indian Ocean SST,S. Rai, N. Khare and A. C. Pandey, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37(1), 35-39, (2008). 113. Validation of the model simulated Sea Surface Current and Sea Surface Temperature with Observation in Southern Indian Ocean, A. P. Mishra, S. Rai and A. C. Pandey, Current. Science, 92(11), 1579-1585 (2007). 114. Simulation Study of Sea Surface Height and Ocean Current using Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM), A. P. Mishra, S. Rai and A. C. Pandey, J. Ind. Ocean Studies., (2007). 115. Impact of Indonesian through flow Blockage on Southern Indian Ocean, V. K. Pandey, V. Bhatt, A. C. Pandey and I.M.L. Das, Current Science, 93(3), 399-406, (2007). 116. Turbulent kinetic energy and its dissipation rate in the Indonesian throughflow region via Lombok and Savu Straits, Vivek K. Pandey and A. C. Pandey, J. Ind. Geophys. Union, 11(2), 85-90 (2007). 117. Heat transport through Indonesian throughflow, V. K. Pandey and A. C. Pandey, J. Ind. Geophys. Union, 10, 321-325 (2006). 118. Turbulent kinetic energy and its dissipation rate in the Indonesian throughflow region, Vivek K. Pandey and A. C. Pandey, J. Ind. Geophys. Union, 10, 219-229 (2006). 119. Simulation of Southern Indian Ocean currents with σ and z coordinate ocean models, S. Rai, A. P. Mishra and A. C. Pandey, J. Mar. Sci., 5, 89-94 (2006). 120. Turbulent Kinetic energy and its dissipation rate of the ITF region via Lombok and Savu straits, V. K. Pandey and A. C. Pandey, Ind. Geophys. Union, 11, 117-122 (2007). 121. An estimation of heat flux and its variability in the Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) using Ocean General Circulation Model, A P Mishra, S Rai and A C Pandey, J. Ind. Geophys. Union, 11, 217-228 (2007). 122. Ocean Model Simulation of Southern Indian Ocean Surface Currents, A P Mishra, S Rai and A C Pandey, Marine Geodesy, 30, 345-354 (2007) 123. Sensitivity of the Indian Ocean circulation to surface wind stress, A C Pandey and S Rai, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37, 55-61 (2008). 124. Anomalous variation of sea surface height in south western Indian Ocean, A C Pandey, S Rai and A P Mishra, Ind. J. Mar. Sc., 37, 40-46 (2008). 125. Simulation Study of Sea surface Height and Ocean Current, , A P Mishra, S Rai and A C Pandey, J of Indian Ocean Studies, 15, 1, 2007 126. Predictive skill of DEMETER models for Indian summer monsoon, S. Rai, S. Dwivedi, K. C. Tripathi, A. C. Pandey and I. M. L. Das, Indian Meteorological Society (IMS), Pune Chapter (TROPMET-2006), Pune, 2006, pp d11-d13. 127. DEMETER Models: Predictability studies for meridional wind velocity with Multimodel Ensembling, K. C. Tripathi, I. M. L. Das, S. Rai and A. C. Pandey, TROPMET-2006, Indian Meteorological Society (IMS), Pune Chapter (TROPMET-2006), Pune, 2006, pp d14-d15. 128. Southern Indian Ocean SST indices as early predictors of Indian summer monsoon, K. C. Tripathi, S. Rai, A. C. Pandey and I. M. L. Das, National Seminar on India – Scientific Endeavours in Antarctica and Southern Ocean, organized by National Center for Antarctica and Ocean Research, Goa, 2007. 129. Heat Transport through Indonesian through flow via Lombok, Savu and Timor Straits by Different wind stress forcing, Nisha Baranwal, K. C. Tripathi, A C Pandey and I M L Das, Ahmedabad, Gujarat, December 18-20, 2008.

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130. Predictability skill of the SNU Tier-1 seasonal forecast system for wind prediction over southern subtropical Indian Ocean, Ravi P. Shukla, S. Mukherjee, A. C. Pandey, in International Conference on “Progress in weather and climate modeling over the Indian region ”, NCMRWF, NOIDA,INDIA, 9-12 December, 2008, 212-215 131. Simulation and Estimation of Predictability of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall with Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) for ENSO and normal year, S. Mukherjee, Ravi P. Shukla, A. C Pandey, in International Conference on “Progress in weather and climate modeling over the Indian region ”, NCMRWF, NOIDA, INDIA, 9-12 December, 2008, 219-222 132. Predictability skill of the SNU Tier-1 seasonal forecast system for the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall,” Ravi P. Shukla, A. C. Pandey, K. C. Tripathi, S. Mukherjee and I. M. L Das,was presented at “National Symposium on Advances in Remote Sensing Technology and Applications with Special Emphasis on Microwave Remote Sensing and Annual Convention of Indian Society of Remote Sensing,” Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India, 2008. 133. Simulation of Antarctic sea ice concentration over the last two decades using MITgcm model, M K Joshi, K C Tripathi, A C Pandey and I. M. L, Das International conference on Polar Science and Technology, New Delhi, India, 28-30 August, 2009, pp. 119-123. 134. Intra seasonal and inter annual variations in the zonal and meridional wind components in the southern hemisphere using MIT gcm, Archana Rai, M K Joshi, K C Tripathi, A C Pandey and I. M. L. Das, International conference on Polar Science and Technology, New Delhi, India, 28-30 August, 2009, pp. 101-105

Non-Linear Dynamics and Chaos 135. Forecasting Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillations using genetic algorithm and neural network, S. Dwivedi and A. C. Pandey, Geophys Res. Letts, 2011, Article in Press, DOI: 10.1029/2011GL048314. 136. Bifurcation analysis of some force Lu systems and its application as a prototype of monsoon intra-seasonal oscillations”, S Mukherjee, Ravi P Shukla, A K Mittal, A C Pandey, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 2011, Article in press. 137. Chaotic attractors of some forced Chen systems and their return maps Ravi P Shukla, S Mukherjee, A K Mittal, A C Pandey, 2009:, Ind. J. Polar Sci., 2, 55-60. 138. Nonlinear paradigmatic models for the monsoon ISO S Mukherjee, Ravi P Shukla, S. Dwivedi, A K Mittal, A. C. Pandey, 2009:, Ind. J. Polar Sci., 2, 67-73. 139. Effect of averaging time scale on forced Lorenz model,S. Dwivedi, A.K. Mittal and A. C. Pandey, Atmosphere-Ocean, 45(2) 71-79, doi:10.3137/ao.450201 (2007). 140. Bifurcation analysis of a paradigmatic model of monsoon prediction, A. K. Mittal, S. Dwivedi and A. C. Pandey, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 12, 707-715 (2005). 141. A study of the forced Lorenz model of relevance to monsoon predictability, A. K. Mittal, S. Dwivedi and A. C. Pandey, Indian Journal of Radio and Space Physics, 32, 209 – 216 (2003). 142. Chaotic time series analysis of a Sea Surface Temperature time series, S. Dwivedi, A. K. Mittal and A. C. Pandey, Journal of Combinatorics, Information and System Sciences, 27, 123-133 (2002). 143. Estimating the dimension of time averaged Paradigmatic Model, S. Dwivedi, A. C. Pandey and A.K. Mittal, Journal of Combinatorics, Information and System Sciences, 27, 241-248 (2002). 144. A Study of forced Lorentz model of relevance to monsoon predictability, A K Mittal, Suneet Dwivedi and Avinash C Pandey, Indian J of Radio and space physics, 32, 209, 2003 145. Estimating the Dimension of the Averaged Paradigamatic Model, Suneet Dwivedi, A K Mittal, and Avinash C Pandey, Journal of Combinatorics, Information & System Sciences, 27, 1-4, 239, 2002 146. Influence of sediment source and monsoonal variations on the late Quaternary clay mineral assemblages at ODP site 728A, north western Arabian Sea, S. S. Das, A. S. Maurya, A. C. Pandey, Uday Bhan and A. K. Rai, Current Science, VOL. 95, NO. 9, 10 November 2008.

Academic Visits Abroad USA:

Invited at Center for Ocean Land Atmosphere and Ocean Studies, (COLA), Calverton, Maryland, USA from 25 August 2003 - 15 December 2004 to attend four core courses on Climate Dynamics administered by George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia.

Visited Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Massachusetts, and Harvard University, United States of America, 2007.

Visited George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, United States of America, 2007. Invited at Center for Ocean Land Atmosphere and Ocean Studies, (COLA), Calverton, Maryland, USA, George Mason

University, Fairfax, Virginia, April 2010. Invited at Michigan Tech, Houghton in April 2010. Invited at Nanocrystals Technology, NY, USA, 2010. Invited at PACE University, Scarborough, NY, USA, 2010. Invited at Albert Einstein Institute of Medicine, Bronx, NY, 2010. Invited at Army Research Laboratory, Baltimore, 2010.

EUROPE ITALY LECTURER AT Targeted Training Activity: Course on climate dynamics for Climate research centers and University

lecturers’ at International Center of Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy from 9th August 2004 to 27th August 2004. In 2004, the Physics of Weather and Climate Section of ICTP, Italy initiated a new programme of educational activities called "Targeted Training Activities" (TTAs). TTA's distinguishing feature is its team-oriented nature, with the aim of putting together groups of

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scientists to collaborate on a specific goal in a Developing-Country institution, that includes, development of an educational team on climate sciences in a university environment;

The K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric and Ocean Studies was selected as one of the educational team UNDER the LEADERSHIP of Dr Pandey. The kick-off edition, 'Course on Climate Dynamics for Climate Research Centers and University Lecturers' (August 9 - 27, 2004), was organized in collaboration with the Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies (COLA, Maryland, USA). Implementation of a project on the application of short- and long-term climate predictions to the management of hydrological or agricultural resources.

LECTURER AT Targeted Training Activity: Seasonal Predictability in Tropical Regions: Research and Applications at ICTP, Trieste, Italy from 7th August 2006 to 18th August 2006.

The second goal of TTA activity was - Expertise building on the use of numerical weather forecasting, seasonal prediction products or climatescenario simulations made available to the international community by institutions such as ECMWF, NCEP, IRI, IPCC)

Dr Pandey was again nominated for this activity and in a short span of 15 days a work entitled “Predictability Issues in Tropical Region: a case study for India and Nepal” was presented.

The third goal of TTA activity - Implementation of a project on the application of short- and long-term and this activity held in August 2007 and our group participated.

GERMANY 07/05/07-20/05/07 visits of Indian mentors under the DAAD Sandwich model scheme: there is provision for the Indian mentor

to visit the German university / institute where his Ph.D. student carried out some part of research for his thesis. ARMENIA

Invited as Keynote Speaker at Yerevan 2011 JAPAN;

AS COLLABORATOR, RIGAKU CORPORATION, OSAKA 2007, NIMS Tsukuba in 2009 and 2010 for Lecture and experiments, Photon Factory in 2009 and 2010 for utilizing Beam Time _ XMCD Chiba University in 2009, for lecture

SMR Activities at ICTP 2051: WORKSHOP ON HIGH RESOLUTION CLIMATE MODELLING 10/08/2009-14/08/2009 2050: TARGETED TRAINING ACTIVITY: PREDICTABILITY OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE: THEORY AND

APPLICATIONS TO INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY 27/07/2009-07/08/2009 1967: ADVANCED SCHOOL IN HIGH PERFORMANCE AND GRID COMPUTING 03/11/2008-14/11/2008 1956:TARGETED TRAINING ACTIVITY: SEASONAL PREDICTABILITY IN TROPICAL REGIONS TO BE FOLLOWED

BY WORKSHOP ON MULTI-SCALE PREDICTIONS OF THE ASIAN AND AFRICAN SUMMER MONSOON 04/08/2008-15/08/2008

1912: TARGETED TRAINING ACTIVITY: SEASONAL PREDICTION OF SOUTH ASIAN MONSOON 06/08/2007-10/08/2007

1849: CONFERENCE AND SCHOOL ON PREDICTABILITY OF NATURAL DISASTERS FOR OUR PLANET IN DANGER. A SYSTEM VIEW: THEORY, MODELS, DATA ANALYSIS 25/06/2007-06/07/2007

1844: CONFERENCE ON QUANTUM PHENOMENA IN CONFINED DIMENSIONS 04/06/2007-08/06/2007 1843: X-RAY EMISSION TECHNIQUES FOR FORENSIC APPLICATIONS 28/05/2007-01/06/2007 1767: TARGETED TRAINING ACTIVITY: SEASONAL PREDICTABILITY IN TROPICAL REGIONS: RESEARCH AND

APPLICATIONS 07/08/2006-18/08/2006 1672: WORKSHOP ON THE ORGANIZATION AND MAINTENANCE OF TROPICAL CONVECTION AND THE

MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION 13/03/2006-17/03/2006 1575: TARGETED TRAINING ACTIVITY: COURSE ON CLIMATE DYNAMICS FOR CLIMATE RESEARCH CENTERS

AND UNIVERSITY LECTURERS 09/08/2004-27/08/2004 1504: ICTP WORKSHOP ON THE THEORY AND USE OF REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS 26/05/2003-06/06/2003

CAPACITY BUILDING RESEARCH STUDENTS PhD Enrolled: SIX Completed: Thirteen Project Fellow: FOUR (excluding D. Phil. students) Post Doctoral Fellows working under the Mentorship: Four including Dr D S Kothari Fellows STUDENT PROGRESSION-PHD STUDENTS: 17 PhD’s produced so far

1. Ambuj Tripathi, Scientist F, IUAC, New Delhi 2. Suneet Dwivedi, Associate Professor/Reader, Allahabad University

3. Shailendra Rai, Assistant Professor/Lecturer, Allahabad University,

4. Vivek Kumar Pandey, Assistant Professor/Lecturer, Allahabad University

5. Anshu Prakash Mishra, Additional Director, CWC, New Delhi

6. Richa Krishna, Assistant Professor/Lecturer, Amity University

7. Manvendra Kumar, Scientist, NAC, UoA, Allahabad. 8. Vikas Baranwal, Scientist, NAC, UoA, Allahabad. 9. Ashish K Keshari, Assistant Professor/Lecturer,

Gautam Budha University 10. Prinsa Verma, Scientist C, ISRO, Satish Dhawan Space

Research Center, Shri Harikota. 11. Ravi P Shukla, PDF, University of Washington, 12. Shuchi Tripathi, USA

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Seattle, USA 13. Raghvendra S. Yadav, DST Fast Track Scientist,

NAC, UoA, Allahabad. 14. Prashant Kumar Sharma, Scientist, NAC, UoA, Allahabad.

15. Ranu K Dutta, Thesis Submitted 16. Vyom Parashar, Pre PhD Submission, May 2011. 17. Manish Kumar Joshi, Thesis Submitted 18. Sudhir K Singh 19. Ratnesh K Pandey,

7.9 Co-PI Biography (Person C)

SUNEET DWIVEDI Department of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences,

University of Allahabad, Allahabad, UP 211002, INDIA Tel: +91-532-2460974, 2460993 (O); +91-9450587733(Mobile); Fax: +91-532-2460974

Email: dwivedisuneet@rediffmail.com, suneetdwivedi@gmail.com Date of Birth: 14th April, 1978 Employment: Oct 2009 – till date: Associate Professor, Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of Allahabad, India. Feb 2004 – Oct 2009: Assistant Professor, Department of Physics, University of Allahabad, India. Jan 2008 – July 2009: Postdoctoral Fellow, Dept of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, USA. Jul 2003 – Feb 2004: Scientist ‘B’, KBCAOS, University of Allahabad, India. Nov 2002 – Jul 2003: Senior Research Fellow, University of Allahabad, India. Nov 2000 – Nov 2002: Junior Research Fellow, University of Allahabad, India. Academic Qualification: • Post Doctoral Fellow: Ocean Circulation Modeling and Data Assimilation; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences,

Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218 USA; Jan 2008-July 2009. • Ph. D. in Science in the topic entitled “Mathematical Modeling of Atmosphere; Predictability and Feasibility”; University

of Allahabad, India; 2006. • Master of Science in Physics; University of Allahabad, India; 2000. • Bachelor of Science in Physics, Chemistry and Mathematics; University of Allahabad, India; 1997. • UGC-CSIR (JRF) NET; June 2000 and July 2001. Awards/ Fellowships: • Junior Associate, International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy from 1 January 2007 until 31

December 2012. • Postdoctoral fellowship in the Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Johns Hopkins University,

Baltimore, MD, USA from 1 Jan 2008 till date. • Offer for the position of Scientist in the Frontier Research Centre for Global Change (FRCGC), JAMSTEC,

Yokohama, Japan from 1 Oct 2007 until 31 Mar 2012 (Declined). • UGC-CSIR JRF-NET, Govt. of India, twice in June 2000 and in July 2001. • Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), Govt. of India JRF/SRF. Teaching / Courses taught: Under Graduate classes: Atmospheric Science, Atomic Physics, Electronics, Lab Practicals. Post Graduate classes: Classical Mechanics, Solid State Physics, Lab Practicals. Research: Predictability of Atmosphere, Ocean Circulation Modeling, Lab Practicals. Course Development

1. M. Sc. In Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences 2. Integrated M. Phil./M.Tech./D. Phil. program in Earth System Sciences. 3. Course Work for Partial Fulfillment of D.Phil. degree.

Computer Proficiency:

Computer Type Pentium, SGI, HP, SUN ULTRA, Linux HPCCs Operating Systems Linux, Windows, SGI IRIX 6.5, HP UX 11i, SUN OS 5.6

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Languages and tools FORTRAN, C++, MATLAB, OCTAVE Certificate Course in C++ University of Allahabad

Research Papers reviewed: Reviewed research articles of the following journals:

(i) CHAOS (American Institute of Physics, USA) (ii) IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation (USA) (iii) Current Science (Indian Academy of Sciences, India) (iv) International Journal of Ecology & Development (India) (v) Indian Journal of Marine Sciences (CSIR, India) (vi) Journal of the Earth System Sciences (Springer, USA) (vii) Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (EGU/AGU, USA) (viii) Geophysical Research Letters (AGU, USA)

Talks Delivered; Schools/Workshops/Seminars/Conferences Attended:

(a) Abroad including visits: 1. SMR 2251: International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, July 18-22, 2011. 2. SMR 2250: International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, July 11-15, 2011. 3. Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA, July-

August, 2010. 4. International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, May-June, 2010. 5. Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA, March-

April, 2010. 6. Centre for Ocean–Land–Atmosphere Studies (COLA), Calverton, Maryland, USA, May 19, 2009. 7. 2009 Research Symposium on Environmental and Applied Fluid Dynamics; Johns Hopkins University,

Baltimore, MD, USA, May 8, 2009. 8. SO-GasEx PI meeting/ AGU Fall meeting; San Francisco, USA, December 13-14, 2008. 9. Center for Environmental and Applied Fluid Dynamics (CEAFM); Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore,

MD, USA, April 11, 2008. 10. Targeted Training Activity: Seasonal Predictability in Tropical Regions: Research and Applications,

International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, August 7–18, 2006. 11. Workshop on the organization and maintenance of tropical convection and the Madden Julian Oscillation,

International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, March 13-17, 2006. 12. Targeted Training Activity: Course on Climate Dynamics for Climate Research Institutes & University

lecturers, International Center for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Trieste, Italy, August 9 – 27, 2004. 13. Research and training program at the Centre for Ocean–Land–Atmosphere Studies (COLA), Calverton,

Maryland, USA from August 24, 2003 to December 12, 2003. (b) In India (selected): 14. SARAL/AltiKa science meet, “Estimating the Colored Dissolved Organic Matter using 4D-Var”,

SAC/ISRO, Ahmedabad from 15-17 March, 2011. 15. ARWPCC-2011, “Physical and Biogeochemical Ocean Data Assimilation using 4D-Var”, S V University,

Tirupati from 10-11 March, 2011. 16. Resource Person: UGC-Academic Staff College, University of Allahabad, Allahabad, Feb 2011. 17. International Conference, “Celebrating the Monsoon” at the Centre for Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences,

Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore from July 24-28, 2007. 18. Refresher Course on Computer Applications (ID) at Department of Electronics and Telecommunications and

Academic Staff College, University of Allahabad, Allahabad (December 20, 2006-January 9, 2007). 19. TROPMET-2006, National Symposium on Role of Meteorology in National Development, Indian Institute

of Tropical Meteorology, Pune from 21-23 November 2006. 20. International Conference on Mesoscale Processes in Atmosphere, Ocean and Environmental Systems (IMPA

2006) at Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, New Delhi from February 14-17, 2006.

21. Refresher Course on Physics of the Atmosphere, Centre for Atmospheric and Ocean Studies (CAOS), Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Nov 14-25, 2005.

22. Orientation Programme (UGC) at Academic Staff College, University of Allahabad, Allahabad (March 16, 2005-April 12, 2005).

23. National Seminar “India in Antarctic, Challenge and Opportunities for the 21st Century” jointly organized by the Centre for the study of Geopolitics, Department of Political Science, Panjab University, Chandigarh and National Centre for Antarctic & Ocean Research, Goa at Panjab University, Chandigarh, Feb. 3-4, 2003.

Page 21 of 29

24. International Conference on Statistics, Combinatorics and Related Areas jointly organised by the Department of Statistics and Mathematics, University of Allahabad, Allahabad, Forum for Interdisciplinary Mathematics and University of South Alabama, Alabama, USA, Dec. 21 –23, 2002.

25. National Symposium on Advances in Frontier Areas of Meteorology at the Turn of the Millennium organized by the Department of Meteorology and Oceanography, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, Oct 29-31, 2002.

26. Brainstorming Session on Mathematical Modelling of Atmosphere, Land & Ocean systems organized by K. Banerjee Centre of Atmospheric & Ocean Studies, University of Allahabad, Allahabad, Nov 3 – 4, 2001.

Membership of Associations: 1. Life member of Indian Meteorological Society (IMS) – LM 1031.

Research Projects: Principal Invesigator/Co-investigator in the following projects:

(i) “Modeling the Circulation and Variability of the Indian Ocean” submitted for funding to MoES. (ii) “High Resolution Ocean - Sea Ice Modeling of the Southern Ocean” submitted for funding to NCAOR, Goa. (iii) “High Resolution Indian Ocean Circulation and Modeling” submitted for funding to ISRO. (iv) “Mesoscale Ocean Circulation Modeling and Data Assimilation in the Bay of Bengal region using 4D-Var”

sanctioned by ISRO. (v) “Study of low order atmosphere-ocean models” sanctioned by ISRO. (vi) “Predictability studies of the atmosphere using error growth studies on deterministic low-dimension and GCM

models” sanctioned by DST. (vii) “Sensitivity studies of mesoscale atmospheric models in the Antarctic region” sanctioned by MoES.: Completed

Research Areas of Interest: Mathematical Modeling of Atmosphere and Ocean, Ocean Circulation Modeling and Data Assimilation, Nonlinear Regime Transitions, Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall, Chaos and Nonlinear Dynamics, Nonlinear Time Series Analysis, Low order Ocean-Atmosphere Models. List of Publications (Last 5 years):

1. S. Dwivedi and A. C. Pandey, Forecasting the Indian Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations Using Genetic Algorithm and Neural Network, Geophysical Research Letters,38, 1-7 (2011).

2. S. Dwivedi, T. W.N. Haine and C.E. Del Castillo, Upper ocean state estimation in the Southern Ocean gas exchange experiment region using the four-dimensional variational technique, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, C00F02, doi: 10.1029/2009JC005615 (2011).

3. S. Dwivedi and A. K. Mittal, Generic Prediction Rules for Regime Change in Bimodal Processes, Pure and Applied Geophysics, doi: 10.1007/s00024-011-0346-7 (2011).

4. S. Dwivedi, Forecasting the Peak Anomalies of Dominant Intrinsic Modes of Indian Ocean Dipole, under review (2011).

5. A. K. Mittal, K. C. Tripathi, M. K. Joshi, S. Dwivedi and A. C. Pandey, Short term errors in prediction by Farmer-Sidorowich method and Artificial Neural Networks for regions of dynamical error growth and error decay in the Lorenz model, under review (2011).

6. S. Mukherjee, R. P. Shukla, S. Dwivedi, A. K. Mittal and A. C. Pandey, Nonlinear paradigmatic models for the monsoon ISO, Ind. Jour. Polar. Sci., 2(1), 67-73 (2009).

7. S. Rai, A. C. Pandey, K. C. Tripathi and S. Dwivedi, Predictive skill of DEMETER model for wind prediction over southern sub-tropical Indian ocean, Indian Journal of Marine Sciences, 37(1), 62-69 (2008).

8. S. Dwivedi and A. K. Mittal, Forecasting the duration of active and break spells in intrinsic mode functions of Indian monsoon intraseasonal oscillations, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L16827, doi:10.1029/2007GL030540 (2007).

9. S. Dwivedi, A.K. Mittal and A. C. Pandey, Effect of averaging timescale on a forced Lorenz model, Atmosphere-Ocean, 45(2), 71-79 (2007).

10. A.K. Mittal, S. Dwivedi and R.S. Yadav, Probability distribution for number of cycles between successive regime transitions for the Lorenz model, Physica D, 233(1), 14-20, doi: 10.1016/ j.physd. 2007.06.014 (2007).

11. A. C. Pandey, I. M. L. Das, S. Rai, A. P. Mishra, V. K. Pandey, S. Dwivedi, A. Mitra, K. C. Tripathi and B. P. Kirtman, Mathematical Modeling of Atmosphere and Ocean Processes around Antarctica, Chapter 4, Review Book, Edited by National Centre for Antarctic and Ocean Research, Goa (2007).

Under Preparation 12. S. Dwivedi, T. W.N. Haine and C.E. Del Castillo, Biogeochemical Ocean Data Assimilation in the Southern

Ocean Gas Exchange Experiment Region, manuscript under preparation (2011). In Conference Proceedings (few relevant): 13. S. Dwivedi and A. K. Mittal, Empirical Rule for Extended Range Prediction of Duration of Active and Break

Spells in Intrinsic Modes of Indian Monsoon Rainfall, Proceedings of International Conference "Celebrating the Monsoon", 24-28 July 2007, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore.

Page 22 of 29

14. S. Rai, A. C. Pandey and S. Dwivedi, Predictive skill of DEMETER models for wind prediction over southern sub-tropical southern Indian ocean, Proceedings of National Seminar on India-Scientific endeavours in Antarctica and Southern ocean (Abstracts 2007, 66) organized by Department of Zoology, Govt. college of Arts, Science and Commerce, Goa and National Centre for Antarctic & Ocean Research, Goa, India.

15. S. Rai, S. Dwivedi, K. C. Tripathi, A. C. Pandey and I. M. L. Das, Predictive skill of DEMETER models for Indian summer monsoon, Proceedings of TROPMET-2006, National Symposium on Role of Meteorology in National Development organized by Indian Meteorological Society at Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, pp d11-d13, November 21-23, 2006.

16. A. K. Mittal, S. Dwivedi and A. C. Pandey, A Paradigmatic model for study of climate change due to forcing, Proceedings of National symposium on “Advances in Frontier Areas of Meteorology at the turn of Millennium” (Abstracts 2002,18) organized by Department of Meteorology and Oceanography, Andhra University, Visakhapatnam, India.

7.10 Collaborating Scientist Biography DR. ATUL KUMAR SAHAI

1. NAME IN FULL:

ATUL KUMAR SAHAI

Date of Birth: 17th March 1961

Nationality: Indian

2. EDUCATIONAL QUALIFICATIONS

Degree / Examination

University / Institution Year Specialization Division /

Class % of

Marks Rank in Board

/ University Doctorate

University of Allahabad, Allahabad

1992 Ph.D. Topic: Stability of Magnetohydrodynamic Flow Through Porous Medium

M. Sc.

University of Allahabad, Allahabad

1985 Mathematics (MHD)

Ist

70 ----

B. Sc. (Hons.)

Bihar University, Muzaffarpur

1982 Physics(Hons.) IInd 56 ----

Intermediate

Bihar University, Muzaffarpur

1972 Physics, Chemistry, Maths

Ist 65 ----

High School

Bihar School Examination Board, Patna

1977 Physics, Chemistry, Maths

Ist 71 ----

Advanced Meteorological Training

India Meteorological Department

1997 a) Condenced basic b) Advance phase I c) Advance pase II

74 74

73

----

3. Professional EXPERIENCE

University / Organization Designation From To Total Period

Nature of Experience

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune

Scientist-F 2010 Till date ~2 yrs Research and Teaching

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune

Scientist-E 2005 2010 5 yrs Research and Teaching

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune

Scientist-D 2001 2005 4 yrs Research and Teaching

Indian Institute of Tropical SSO I 1996 2001 5 yrs Research and

Page 23 of 29

Meteorology, Pune Teaching

Allahabad Degree College, Allahabad Lecturer 1990 1996 5 yrs 4 months

Research and Teaching

4. TEACHING INTEREST (Subjects Taught / Teaching / Would like to teach)

At undergraduate level: Bachelor in Science (B. Sc.) Courses at Allahabad Degree College, Allahabad

Differential and Integral Calculus Ordinary Differential Equations 3-D Geometry and Elementary Mechanics

At postgraduate level: Master in Technology (M. Tech.) Atmospheric Sciences, University of Pune, Pune Mathematical Methods Dynamic Meteorology Numerical Modelling of Atmosphere

Elective course:Course at Centre for Advanced Training for weather and Climate, IITM, Pune

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Advanced Statistics

5. ACADEMIC OR

PROFESSIONAL

AWARDS/HONOURS

Year Name of the Award/Distinction 2010, Nominated as member of CCl TASK TEAM ON CLIPS EVOLUTION of World

Meteorological Organization, Genewa. 2009, Awarded with the twenty first IITM Silver Jubilee Award for the best paper in

year 2008.

2009, Certificate of Merit Award of Ministry of Earth Sciences, Govt. of India for outstanding contribution in the field of Atmospheric Science and Technology- 2008.

2008, Korean Brain Pool Visiting Scientist Fellowship supported by Korea Research

Foundation (KRF) and Korean Federation of Science and Technology Societies (KOSFT) to work on Non Linear Multi model Interpolation of APCC model forecast for the South Asian Summer monsoon using the Self Organizing Map and ANN techniques at Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Centre (APCC), Korea. (From 16-12-2008 to 16-3-2009).

2008, Visiting scientist to Florida State University to discuss implementation of the

Coupled Ocean Atmosphere system for Extended Range prediction of monsoon (From 18.8.2008 to 13.9.2008).

2006, Visiting Scientist Fellowship by Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Centre (APCC), Korea to visit APCC and contribute towards multi model multi ensemble seasonal forecast methodologies (From 1-7-2006 to 31-8-2006). Developed a standardized verification system (SVS) for long range forecasts (LRF) software for APCC, Korea.

2004, Awarded with the sixteenth IITM Silver Jubilee Award for the best paper year

2003.

2004, Awarded with the Best Oral Paper Award at the 3rd Brazilian Symposium of Atmospheric Modeling, in the 13th Brazilian Congress of Meteorology, 2004, Brazil.

2001, Visiting Scientist Fellowship by CNPq, Brazil to work on the project Variability and

predictability of seasonal rainfall over India and Brazil at the Department of Physics, Federal University of Parana, Brazil, February 2001- January 2003.

1999, Bestowed with the title of Adjunct Professor of the Department of Physics,

University of Pune, Pune for the academic year 1999-2000 and 2000-2001.

Page 24 of 29

1998, The National Academy of Sciences, India has honored for writing a review article published in the Proceedings of The National Academy of Sciences, India.

1995, Awarded with the Best Paper Award in Fluid Mechanics by the Indian

Mathematical Society in 1995.

6. PUBLICATIONS ++ Number completed Number in Progress

(a) Publication in refereed journals 30 6

(b) Peer Reviewed Publications in proceedings of conferences 21 4

(c) Books and Monographs Nil Nil

(d) Patent / Copyright obtained / filed Nil Nil

7. RESEARCH GUIDANCE* Number completed Number in progress

(a) Guidance at doctoral level 4* 2*

(b) Guidance at masters level 6

* Place an asterisk by the side of the number for guidance jointly offered with another faculty.

8. SPONSORED RESEARCH PROJECTS AND CONSULTANCY UNDERTAKEN

Period Agency Amount (Rs. in lakhs)

Project Title

2008-till date IITM and MoES, Govt. of India

---- Program on High Performance Computing System My contribution: Programme Manager Contributed in the Formulation of the programme, contributing in the Implementation of the programme and responsible for Evaluation after completion of the programme

2008-till date IITM and MoES, Govt. of India

---- Program on Development of the system of extended range prediction My contribution: Programme Manager Contributed in the Formulation of the programme, contributing in the Implementation of the programme and responsible for Evaluation after completion of the programme

2008-10 CNPq, Brazil and DST, Govt. of India

---- Role of Oceans in modulating South American and Indian Monsoon variability and predictability

2008-11 Indo-French Centre for the Promotion of Advance Research, New Delhi

---- Multiscale interactions and predictability of the Indian summer monsoon

2005-2007 DST, Govt. of India ---- Seasonal Prediction of Indian Monsoon (SPIM)

Research Interest: Climate change studies using climate models and observations Monsoon prediction and variability studies Use of Artificial Neural Networks for prediction and data analysis Analysis of fluid flow instabilities Modelling ground water flow

Membership in Professional Organizations:

Page 25 of 29

Indian Meteorological Society. National Academy of Sciences, India.

LIST OF PUBLICATIONS IN PEER REVIEWD JOURNALS/REVIEWS (Last 5 years)

(List in terms of impact factor – from higher to lower)

# Title / Author Journal Year, Vol, Page

1 The role of intra-daily SST variability in the Indian monsoon variability and monsoon-ENSO-IOD relationships in a global coupled model P. Terry, Kamala, K., Masson, S., Madec, G., Sahai A. K., Luo, J.-J. And Yamagata, T.

Climate Dynamics ISSN 0930-7575

2011, DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1240-9

2 Possible role of warm SST bias in the simulation of boreal summer monsoon in SINTEX-F2 coupled model Susmitha Joseph, Sahai A. K., Goswami, B. N., Terrray, P., Masson, S. and Luo, J.-J.

Climate Dynamics ISSN 0930-7575

2011, DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1264-1

3 Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations and seasonal Indian monsoon prediction in DEMETER coupled models Susmitha Joseph, Sahai A. K. and Goswami, B. N.

Climate Dynamics ISSN 0930-7575

2011, 35: 651-667

4 Eastward propagating MJO during boreal summer and Indian monsoon droughts Susmitha Joseph, Sahai A. K. and Goswami, B. N.

Climate Dynamics ISSN 0930-7575

2009, 32: 1139-1153

5 On the recent strengthening of the relationship between ENSO and northeast monsoon rainfall over south Asia Pankaj Kumar, K. Rupa Kumar, M. Rajeevan and Sahai A. K.

Climate Dynamics ISSN 0930-7575

2007, 28: 649-660

9 A SST based large multi-model ensemble forecasting system for Indian summer monsoon rainfall Sahai, A. K., Chattopadhyay, R. and Goswami, B. N.

Geophysical Research Letters ISSN 0094-8276

2008, 35: L19705, DOI 10.1029/2008/GL035461

10 Modoki, Indian Ocean Dipole, and western North Pacific typhoons: Possible implications for extreme events P. K. Pradhan, Preethi, B., Ashok, K., R. Krishnan,and Sahai A. K.

Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmos.) ISSN 0148–0227

2011, 116: DOI 10.1029/2011JD015666

11 Can El-Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events modulate intraseasonal oscillations of Indian summer monsoon? Susmitha Joseph, Sahai A. K., Chattopadhyay, R. and Goswami, B. N.

Journal of Geophysical Research(Atmos.) ISSN 0148–0227

2011, 116: DOI 10.1029/2010JD015510

12 The Role of Stratiform Rainfall in modifying the northward propagation of Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation R. Chattopadhyay, Goswami B.N., Sahai A. K. and Fraedrich K.

Journal of Geophysical Research(Atmos.) ISSN 0148–0227

2009, 114: D19114, DOI 10.1029/2009JD011869

13 Objective Identification of Nonlinear Convectively Coupled Phases of Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation: Implications for Prediction Chattopadhyay, R., Sahai, A. K. and Goswami, B. N.

Journal of Atmospheric Science

ISSN 1520-0469

2008, 65: 1549-1569

14 Simulated changes in active/break spells during Indian summer monsoon due to enhanced CO2 concentrations: Assessment from selected Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean global climate model Mandke S. K., Sahai A. K., Shinde M. A., Joseph S. and Chattopadhyay R.

International Journal of Climatology

ISSN 0899-8418

2007, 27: 837-859

16 Assimilation of Doppler Weather Radar Radial Velocity and Reflectivity Observations in WRF-3DVAR System for Short-Range Forecasting of Convective Storms

S. Abhilash, Sahai, A. K., K. Mohankumar, John P. George and Someshwar Das

Pure and Applied Geophysics 2012, DOI: 10.1007/s00024-012-0462-z

Page 26 of 29

17 Hydraulic response of a tidally forced coastal creek, Pontal do Parana, Brazil Suresh Babu D. S., Sahai A. K., Mauricio A. N. and E. Marone

Hydrogeplogy Journal ISSN 1431-2174

2008, DOI 10.1007/s10040-008-0334-x

Professional Training:

2. Advanced Meteorological Training, India Meteorology Department, 1997, one year duration.

3. 37th Orientation Program for College and University Teachers, held at the University of Allahabad from February 29, 1996 to March.21, 1996.

4. 2nd SERC SCHOOL on 'Advanced Geophysical Fluid Dynamics' held at Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune from May 23,1995 to June 24, 1995.

5. 23rd Orientation Program for College and University Teachers, held at the University of Allahabad from March 30, 1995 to April 23, 1995.

6. 3rd Refresher Program in Mathematics for College and University Teachers held at the University of Allahabad from December 20, 1994 to January 13,1995.

7. Ist SERC SCHOOL on 'Basic of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics' held at Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune from May 23, 1994 to June 25, 1994.

Administrative experience: Name of the Institution / Department

Designation Nature of Post Nature of assignment Period (Give date) Length of experience

Allahabad Degree College, Allahabad

Proctor (B.Sc.)

Honorary

To maintain discipline 1994-1996 Two years

Allahabad Degree College, Allahabad

Chairman, Admission Committee (B. Sc.)

Honorary

To process and complete admission procedure

1994-1996 Two years

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteoroly, Pune

Officer-in-charge, Guest House Honorary To look after IITM

guest house 2003-2006 Three years

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteoroly, Pune

Chairman, Rajbhasha Implimentation Committee

Honorary Responsible for implement ion of Rajbhasha Hindi

2004-2006 Two years

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteoroly, Pune

Member, Library and Publication Committee

Honorary

To monitor puchase of books and journals and publication of IITM Research Report

2003-2008 Five years

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteoroly, Pune

Chairman Physical verification committee

Honorary Responsible for physical verification of Assets

2006-2007 One year

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteoroly, Pune

Chairman, Campus Maintenance committee

Honorary Responsible for all civil constructions And repairs

2006-2009 Three years

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteoroly, Pune

Chairman, Rajbhasha Advisory Committee

Honorary

Responsible for monitoring of implement ion of Rajbhasha Hindi

2009-till date Three years

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteoroly, Pune

Chairman, Library and Publication Committee

Honorary

To monitor puchase of books and journals and publication of IITM Research Report

2009-till date Three years

Page 27 of 29

Visits abroad: Place visited Period Purpose Funding source

Paris, France 9-10-2010 to 24-10-2010 Visiting Scientist under

Indo-French Project Indo-French Centre for the Promotion of Advanced Research, New Delhi

Busan, Korea 14-06-2010 to 24-06-2010

YOTC workshop IITM

UFPR, Curitiba Brazil 10-05-2010 to 24-05-2010 Visiting Scientist DST Govt. of India and CNPq Govt. of Brazil

Toulouse, France 27-09-2009 to 03-10-2009 Member of Factory Acceptance Test Team for CIPS and CLISYS

MoES, Govt. of India

Busan, South Korea 16-12-2008 to 16-3-2009 Visiting Scientist to contribute towards nonlinear multi model multi ensemble seasonal forecast methodologies

Korean Brain Pool Visiting Scientist Fellowship supported by Korea Research Foundation (KRF) and Korean Federation of Science and Technology Societies (KOSFT)

Florida, USA 18.8.2008 to 13.9.2008 Visiting scientist to discuss implementation of the Coupled Ocean Atmosphere system for Extended Range prediction of monsoon active-break cycle

Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, INDIA

Busan, South Korea 1-7-2006 to 31-8-2006 Visiting Scientist to contribute towards multi model multi ensemble seasonal forecast methodologies

Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Centre (APCC), Korea

Toulouse, France 23-3-2004 to 22-4-2004 To undertake joint work for the Indo-French Collaborative Project on “Sensitivity of the Indian Summer Monsoon to Anthropogenic Climate Change”

Indo-French Centre for the Promotion of Advanced Research (IFCPAR), New Delhi

Kathmandu, Nepal 1-3-2004 to 5-3-2004 Workshop on Adaptation to climate change in mountain ecosystem: Bridging research and policy

IGES, Japan

Curitiba, Brazil 1-2-2001 to 31-1-2003 Visiting Researcher at the Federal University of Parana

CNPq, Brazil

Reviewing Articles/Research papers for:

Proceedings of National Academy of Sciences, India. Current Science, IISc, Banglore Journal of Climate, AMS Journal Journal of Earth System Sciences, India International Journal of Climatology Climate Dynamics Weather and Forecasting Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics Indian Journal of Marine Science Journal of Earth System Science Climate Research

8. List of supplementary documents :

a) Authorization letter from the Head of the organization

b) Endorsements from PI/Co-PIs

Page 28 of 29

9. References Cited : Annamalai, H., and P. Liu, 2005: Response of the Asian Summer Monsoon to changes in El Niño properties. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 805–831.

Chang C-P, Harr P, Ju J, 2001: Possible roles of Atlantic circulations on the weakening Indian monsoon rainfall-ENSO relationship. J Climate 14:2376–2380.

Charney, J. G., and J. Shukla, 1981: Predictability of monsoons. Monsoon Dynamics, J. Lighthill and R. P. Pearce, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 99–109.

Janakiraman S., M. Ved, R. N. Laveti, Priyanka Yadav and S. Gadgil, 2011: Prediction of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall using a state-of-the-art coupled ocean–atmosphere model, Current Science, 100, 354-362.

Kanamitsu, M., W. Ebisuzaki, J. Woollen, S.-K. Yang, J. J. Hnilo, M. Fiorino, and G. L. Potter, 2002: NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2), Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1631-1643.

Kinter, J. L., K. Miyakoda, and S. Yang, 2002: Recent changes in the connection from the Asian monsoon to ENSO. J. Climate, 15, 1203–1214.

Krishnamurthy V, Goswami B. N., 2000: Indian monsoon-ENSO relationship on interdecadal timescale., J Climate, 13,579–595.

Krishnamurthy V. and Shukla J., 2000: Intraseasonal and interannual variability of rainfall over India. J Climate, 13:4366–4377.

Krishnamurthy V. and Shukla J., 2007: Intraseasonal and seasonally persisting patterns of Indian monsoon rainfall. J Climate, 20, 3–20.

Krishnamurthy V. and Shukla J., 2008: Seasonal persistence and propagation of intraseasonal patterns over the Indian monsoon region, Clim. Dyn., 30, 353–369, DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0300-7.

Latif, M., and Coauthors, 1998: A review of the predictability and prediction of ENSO. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14 375–14 393.

Luo, Jing-Jia, Sebastien Masson, Swadhin Behera, Satoru Shingu, Toshio Yamagata, 2005: Seasonal Climate Predictability in a Coupled OAGCM Using a Different Approach for Ensemble Forecasts. J. Climate, 18, 4474–4497.

Moorthi, S., H.–L. Pan, and P. Caplan, 2001, Changes to the 2001 NCEP operational MRF/AVN global analysis/forecast system, Technical Procedures Bulletin 484, NWS Office of Meteorology, 14pp.

Pacanowski, R. C., and S. M. Griffies, 1998: MOM 3.0 manual, NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, 638pp.

Rai S and V. Krishnamurthy, 2011, Error growth in Climate Forecast System daily retrospective forecasts of South Asian monsoon, J. Geophys. Res., 116, D03108, doi:10.1029/2010JD014840.

Saha, S., et al., 2006: The NCEP Climate Forecast System, J. Climate, 19, 3483-3515.

Saji, N. H., Goswami, B. N., Vinayachandran, P. N. and Yamagata,T., 1999: A dipole mode in the tropical Indian Ocean. Nature, 401, 360–363.

Shukla, J. and D. A. Paolino, 1983: The Southern Oscillation and longrange forecasting of the summer monsoon rainfall over India. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 1830–1837.

Shukla, J., 1998: Predictability in the midst of chaos: A scientific basis for climate forecasting, Science, 282, 728-731.

Sikka, D. R., 1980: Some aspects of the large-scale fluctuations of summer monsoon rainfall over India in relation to fluctuations in the planetary and regional scale circulation parameters. Proc. Indian Natl. Acad. Sci., 89, 179–195.

Slingo, J. M., and H. Annamalai, 2000: 1997: The El Niño of the century and the response of the Indian summer monsoon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 1778–1797.

UNIVERSITY OF ALLAHABAD, ALLAHABAD-21.1002

ENDORSEMENTS FROM TI{E PI/CO-PIs

Project Title: "Predictability of intraseasonal oscillatory modes and ENSO-monsoonrelationship in NCEP CFS with reference to Indian & Pacific Ocean"

1. We agree to abide by the terms and conditions of the IITM/lvloES grant.

2. Certified that we have explored and ensured that equipment an basic facilities will actually

be available as and when required for the purpose of the project. Certified that no request for

financial support under this project, for procurement of these items was projected.

3. Certified that we undertake that spare time of permanent equipment will be made available

to other users.

4. The enclosures are (a) Authorization letter from the Head of the Institution (b) Details of theproposal in prescribed format.

Date:710412010

Place: Allahabad

(-

Designation Name Signature

I Principal Investigator Dr. Shailendra Rai -\ilr\<p^.e--

2. Co-Principal Investigator Prof. A. C. Pandey -foa.-c4"--ra Co-Principal Investigator Dr. Suneet Dwivedi *AeNyL4. Coordinator, KBCAOS, University of

AllahaabdProf. A. C. Pandey

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