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National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions May 16, 2014 Alex Horowitz, Research Manager www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans

National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

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Page 1: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions

May 16, 2014

Alex Horowitz, Research Manager www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans

Page 2: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Pew’s Small-Dollar Loans Research

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 2

• Payday Lending in America series (3 reports)

• Research began in 2011

– Unique, nationally representative survey of payday borrowers

– Administrative data reviews

– Focus groups and interviews

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans

Page 3: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

How Payday Loans Work

• Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs”

– Obtained from storefronts, online, some banks (“deposit advance”)

• Little to no underwriting

– Borrower has an income source and checking account

• Lender can debit bank account to collect (deferred presentment)

• Short repayment period, tied to borrower pay cycle

– If borrower cannot pay in full, pays fee to renew, or borrows again

• Avg. loan is $375

– Fee per 2 wks: $55 store, $95 online, $35 bank

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 3

Page 4: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Profile of Payday Borrowers

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 4

• 12 million users per year, spending > $7 billion

• Have a checking account These are bank/CU customers

• Have income – about $30,000 per year

• “Thick File” credit histories

– More than 90% have a credit score – low 500s

– Most have credit cards – usually maxed out

Page 5: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Most Use Payday Loans for Monthly Bills

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 5

Page 6: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

A Core Problem: — Payday Loans Are Fundamentally Unaffordable

• Typical payday loan takes 36% of borrower’s pretax paycheck

– Far too much – undermines ability to meet other financial obligations without borrowing again.

• But what percentage would be more reasonable?

• Most borrowers cannot afford to pay more than 5% of their pretax paycheck

– As shown by national survey data, underwritten installment loan markets, conventional payday loan fee amount, CO case study

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 6

Page 7: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Renewing is Affordable, But Paying Off is Not

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 7

Page 8: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

A Core Problem: — Business Model is Predicated on Extended Use

• Nearly all loans go to repeat borrowers

– 97% of loans go to those using 3+ per year

– 63% of loans go to those using 12+ per year

• Consecutive usage is the norm

– 80% of loans originate w/in 14 days of a previous loan

• The business model is predicated on these outcomes

– 4 to 5 loans before average customer is profitable (industry estimate)

• Average customer in debt 5 months of year, spending $520 to repeatedly borrow $375

Sources: Analysis of state regulatory data; CFPB; Industry filings; Stephens Inc.

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 8

Page 9: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 9

A Market Lacking Price Competition

How much does a $500 payday loan cost?

Advance

America

Ace Cash

Express

Check into

Cash

Check n Go

Florida $55 $55 $53 $55

Michigan $65.45 --- $65.45 $65.45

Kansas $75 $75 $75 $75

Nevada $92.50 $85 $110 $125

Alabama $87.50 $87.50 $87.50 $87.50

Costs listed on company websites

Page 10: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 10

A Market Lacking Price Competition

State grouping Average cost to borrow

$300 for 5 months Median stores per 100,000 residents

Lower than average rate cap $281 3.0

Average rate cap $435 7.2

Higher than average rate cap $528 14.9

No rate cap $604 12.9

Page 11: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Outcomes: Lump Sum Payday Loan vs. No Payday Loan

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 11

Harm

Melzer (food stamps)

Skiba & Tobacman (bankruptcy)

Carrell & Zinman (reenlistment eligibility)

Melzer (delinquency)

Campbell et al (bank account loss)

Chang & Perry (food insecurity)

Benefit

Morse (natural disasters)

Edmiston (use of credit)

Morgan & Strain (bounced checks)

Zinman (employment)

Mixed

Bhutta et al (credit score)

Hynes (crime, unemployment)

Bhutta (delinquencies, overdrawing credit lines)

Wilson et al (lab game)

Caskey (lit. review)

Page 12: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Outcomes: Colorado’s 2010 Law Change Lump Sum vs. Affordable Installments

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 12

Averages Before After Change

Annual cost $476 $277 -42%

Payment $429 $47 -89%

Share of Paycheck 38% 4% -89%

Same-day renewals/reborrows 61% 30% -51%

Defaults/borrower per year 0.49 0.34 -30%

Borrower income $29,496 $29,724 1%

Payday stores 505 238 -53%

Population within 20 miles of a store 93% 91% -2%

Customers per store 554 1000 81%

Revenue per store $188,000 $185,000 -2%

Page 13: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Outcomes: Lump Sum Payday Loan vs. Installment Loan

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans 13

Outcome of Colorado’s reform:

1. Maintained access to credit

2. Kept lenders in business (half of stores still open)

3. Payments affordable (4% of paycheck now vs. 38% before)

4. Average borrower spends less ($277 now vs. $476 before)

5. Lender-charged bounced-check fees down 57%

6. Defaults per year have declined 30%

7. Making the loan safer and more affordable meant less oversight required to ensure consumer safety

8. Credit counselors and elected officials report fewer people coming to them with payday loan problems

Page 14: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

Borrowers Overwhelmingly Support Requiring Installment Payment Structure

14

Smaller Payments Amortize

Smaller Payments

More Time

Smaller Payments

Installments

Page 15: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

1. Millions turning to prepaid cards

• 5% of adults using (GPR) prepaid cards at least monthly

• Conversely, many who use alternative services also have a bank/CU account

15 www.pewtrusts.org/prepaid

Page 16: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

2. Desire for control is driving prepaid adoption

• Why are so many people looking for financial services outside the banking system?

16 www.pewtrusts.org/prepaid

Page 17: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

3. Prepaid users do not want overdraft or automated credit

17 www.pewtrusts.org/prepaid

Page 18: National Federation of Community Development Credit Unions · How Payday Loans Work • Packaged as “short-term” loan for “temporary needs” –Obtained from storefronts, online,

www.pewtrusts.org/small-loans

Project Director:

Nick Bourke

202.552.2123

[email protected]

Government Relations:

Steve Abbott

202.540.6647

[email protected]

Research:

Alex Horowitz

202.540.6315

[email protected]