National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics:

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National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 DELTA-SCALE NUMERICAL MODELING: A TOOL FOR DECISIONMAKING IN THE REHABILITATION OF THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA Adapted from a lecture given by Gary Parker, University of Illinois on behalf of the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics (NCED) at the ASCE World Environmental and Water Resources Congress, May 25, 2006. The Mississippi Delta is sinking into the Gulf of Mexico. Slide 2 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE PROBLEMS OF THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA AND THE RISK TO NEW ORLEANS WERE WELL-KNOWN LONG BEFORE HURRICANE KATRINA Scientific American, October, 2001 Slide 3 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA FALLS WITHIN THE CLASS OF FANS AND FAN-DELTAS The Okavango Inland Fan, Botswana. From NASA The Nile Delta, Egypt. From NASA Slide 4 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE FAN-DELTA AT THE MOUTH OF THE YELLOW RIVER IS A GOOD ILLUSTRATION Mouth of the Yellow River. From NASA. Slide 5 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE PROCESSES Channel aggradation and progradation overbank sediment deposition as channel aggrades delta extension as channel head progrades channel migration or avulsion to shorter path to sea The processes that build fans and fan-deltas are: Slide 6 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE ENTIRE NORTH CHINA PLAIN IS AN ALLUVIAL FAN Over thousands of years of historical time the Yellow River has repeatedly shifted between courses north and south of the Shandong peninsula. Present delta Shandong peninsula Slide 7 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 WHAT HAPPENS WHEN HUMANS INTERFERE WITH THIS PROCESS BY BUILDING DIKES AND PREVENTING AVULSIONS? Adapted from Hu Yisan and Xu Fuling (1989) One reach of the Yellow River is perched 10 m above the surrounding North China Plain Slide 8 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE KUSATSU RIVER FORMS A FAN-DELTA ON LAKE BIWA, JAPAN WHICH IS DENSELY POPULATED It has not been allowed to avulse since the 10 th Century. Slide 9 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 OVER GEOMORPHIC TIME THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER HAS REPEATEDLY AVULSED TO FORM NEW LOBES Slide 10 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 Under natural conditions, this subsidence is balanced by overbank deposition of sediment and avulsion into low areas. Mississippi River and levees downstream of New Orleans. Subsiding fan-delta surface behind levees south of New Orleans. LIKE MANY LARGE DELTAS, THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA SUBSIDES BY COMPACTION UNDER ITS OWN WEIGHT Slide 11 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE RIVER IS DIKED ALONG ITS ENTIRE LENGTH AND IS NOT ALLOWED TO AVULSE Sediment is either stored in-channel or funneled out to sea. Slide 12 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 SO THE RIVER BED GETS HIGHER AND HIGHER E.G. AT THE OLD RIVER CONTROL STRUCTURE, Slide 13 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE RIVER MOUTH EXTENDS FARTHER AND FARTHER INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO, Slide 14 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 AND THE REST OF THE DELTA SUBSIDES UNDER COMPACTION, WITH NO REPLACEMENT SEDIMENT, CAUSING THE SHORELINE TO ADVANCE At this rate, New Orleans will be exposed to the open sea by 2090. Fischetti (2001), Scientific American Slide 15 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 The Mississippi Delta rapidly subsides by compaction under its own weight. Under natural conditions this subsidence is balanced by overbank deposition of sediment abetted by channel avulsion. The mud that would construct the floodplain is held behind levees and delivered out to sea. Meanwhile the sand deposits on the channel between the levees as it elongates. As a result, the levees and the prevention of avulsion is causing the shoreline to advance, not in geomorphic time, but in engineering time. THE PROBLEM IN A NUTSHELL Slide 16 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA PROJECT OF THE NATIONAL CENTER FOR EARTH-SURFACE DYNAMICS (NCED) NCED has been developing large-scale morphodynamic models to evaluate the rehabilitation of the Mississippi Delta. Slide 17 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 HURRICANE KATRINA HIGHLIGHTED THE NEED FOR THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA PROJECT which is being conducted as as a joint effort between NCEDs Stream Restoration and Subsurface Architecture programs Slide 18 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA/NEW ORLEANS PROBLEM IS OFTEN THOUGHT OF AS A HURRICANE/STORM-SURGE PROBLEM There is no hope of alleviating the storm surge problem without building land. This house is not in standing water because of storm surge! The root of the problem, however is the disappearance of delta land as sediment that would replenish the sinking delta is instead channeled by dikes straight out to the Gulf of Mexico. Slide 19 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 CAN WE BUILD LAND BY MEANS OF A PARTIAL DIVERSION (CONTROLLED AVULSION) OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER? HERE? OR HERE? Slide 20 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 PROOF OF CONCEPT: THE WAX LAKE DELTA During the Great Flood of 1973, the Mississippi River nearly avulsed into the Atchafalaya River and part of the Atchafalaya River avulsed into a drainage channel (Wax Lake Outlet) to form the Wax Lake Delta Slide 21 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE WAX LAKE DELTA HAS BEEN BUILDING NEW LAND SINCE 1973 The Atchafalaya River has been receiving 30 ~ 60% of the sediment of the Mississippi River, and the Wax Lake Delta has been receiving about half of the sediment of the Atchafalaya River. Slide 22 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 CAN WE CAPTURE THIS LAND BUILDING IN A NUMERICAL MODEL? Cooperating researchers at Louisiana State Univ. (Roberts, Twilley), Univ. of Louisiana Lafayette (Meselhe), Univ. of New Orleans (McCorquodale) and Tulane Univ. (Allison). NCED researchers at the Univ. of Minnesota (Paola) and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (Mohrig), and A first model has been developed by NCED at the Univ. of Illinois, in cooperation with Slide 23 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 ELEMENTS INCLUDED IN THE MODEL Deposition of mud Channel-floodplain co- evolution Self-channelization Flood hydrology Deposition of sand Sea level rise Delta progradation Subsidence Slide 24 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 THE GEOMETRY Fluvial reach x v = downvalley coordinate on fluvial reach L f = reach length B fc = channel bankfull width on fluvial reach B f = floodplain width on fluvial reach Fan-delta reach r f = downfan radial coordinate r u = value of r f at upstream end of fan reach r d = r d (t) = value of r f at downstream end of fan-delta reach = fan-delta angle B d = r = fan-delta width B dc = width of channel (or amalgamated channels) on fan-delta reach Slide 25 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 SOME ASSUMPTIONS Sand deposits in both the channel and the floodplain, but mud deposits only in the floodplain, For each volume unit of sand deposited in the channel-floodplain complex units of mud are deposited in the channel-floodplain complex. The channel(s) migrates or avulses across the floodplain (width B f ) or fan-delta (width B c = r) to fill all the available space. The channel is meandering and has sinuosity f on the fluvial reach and d on the fan-delta reach. Averaging over many bends, the relation between down-channel coordinate x and down-valley coordinate x v in the fluvial reach is given as Where r is down-channel coordinate on the fan-delta, the corresponding relation for the fan-delta reach is Slide 26 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 SOME ASSUMPTIONS (contd.) The bulk porosity of the deposit in the channel-floodplain complex of the fluvial reach is pf. The corresponding value for the fan-delta is pd. The mean elevation of the bed of the channel-floodplain complex of the fluvial reach is f ; the corresponding value for the fan-delta reach is d. Well below the surface channel-floodplain complex is a basement with elevation bf in the fluvial reach and elevation bd in the fan-delta reach. These basements are subsiding under compaction at the respective fluvial and fan-delta rates f and d, where xvxv ff bf ff Slide 27 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 EXNER EQUATION OF SEDIMENT CONTINUITY: FLUVIAL REACH The volume flood transport rates sand and mud during floods load in m 3 /s are denoted as Q s and Q m, respectively. Flood intermittency is I f so that e.g. I f Q s = mean annual volume sand load. Sand and mud are transported down the channel(s). Only sand deposits in the channel; sand and mud deposit across the entire channel-floodplain complex. Reduce with to get Slide 28 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 EXNER EQUATION OF SEDIMENT CONSERVATION: FLUVIAL REACH AND FAN-DELTA REACHES Fluvial reach: sediment is transported in the channel but deposited over the entire floodplain width to model long-term floodplain deposition, channel migration and avulsion. Where the subscript f denotes fluvial reach: Fan-delta reach: sediment is transported in the channel, or an amalgamation of more than one active channels, but deposited over the entire width B d = r f of an axially symmetric fan-delta to model long-term floodplain deposition, channel migration and avulsion. The analogous form of sediment conservation, for which the subscript d denotes fan-delta reach, is: Slide 29 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 CLOSURE FOR SELF-FORMED CHANNEL GEOMETRY Channel geometry is described using bankfull parameters. A Chezy resistance relation with constant Cz = C f -1/2 ) is applied to gradually varied flow. Where U bf denotes flow velocity at bankfull flow, the bed shear stress is given as (slide 34 of lecture on hydraulics) The sand in the streambed is characterized with a single grain size D. A constant channel-forming Shields number is assumed; recalling Q bf = U bf B bf H bf, where from slide 25 of the lecture on hydraulic geometry form * ~ 2.16. The sand transport relation is that of Engelund and Hansen (1967); reducing the relation of slide 11 of the lecture on hydraulics with Q s = B bf q t = sand load at bankfull flow, Slide 30 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 IS THE ASSUMPTION OF CONSTANT CHANNEL-FORMING SHIELDS NUMBER REASONABLE? The diagram below is from the lecture on bankfull hydraulic geometry Slide 31 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 BACKWATER AT BANKFULL FLOW IN A SELF-FORMED CHANNEL The full backwater equation is (slides 34 and 25 of the lecture on hydraulics) A constant channel-forming Shields number form * implies a bankfull velocity U bf that is constant in the downstream direction: The backwater equation applied to bankfull flow thus reduces to Where Fr bf = bankfull Froude number. In low-slope sand-bed streams, Fr bf 2 is usually < 0.1, and can be neglected, yielding Slide 32 National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics Contribution from the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics for the Short Course Environmental Fluid Mechanics: Theory, Experiments and Applications Karlsruhe, Germany, June 12-23, 2006 ARE THE ASSUMPTIONS OF CONSTANT BANKFULL FLOW VELOCITY AND Fr bf 2