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MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 WP 10 MONITORING & FORECASTING CENTRE for Mediterranean sea MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting Cork /16-17 April 2013 Slide 2 Partnership MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 6 partners Slide 3 Med MFC team Implementation Development Operations Slide 4 Med MFC team: development MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc Development Slide 5 Med MFC team: Implementation MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc Implementation Slide 6 Med MFC team: Operation MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc Operations Slide 7 Med MFC PC Present the WP main objectives for MyOcean2 regarding system and product evolution MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 Name (code) PUPU DUDU MED-INGV-BOLOGNA-ITXX MED-OGS-TRIESTE-ITX MED-HCMR-ATHEMS-IT*XX Slide 8 Main Objectives n Scientific objectives are n NEMO model improvement n wave-current interaction sensitivity experiments n nesting into the GLOBAL-MFC operational products n variational assimilation of new data sets (float trajectories, SST and TAPAS) n sensitivity experiments to define the best configuration of the data assimilation scheme for the biogeochemical variables n increase of the horizontal resolution of Med-biogeochemistry (from 1/8 to 1/16) n Operational objectives are n Upstream (internal with TAC/MFCs and external) management n Interaction with block C (WP15-Product Quality and WP16-CIS) n Simplify the Med-PC with a unique DU for Med-biogeochemistry and Med- currents and a DU for the backup n Technical objectives are n Improvement of the connection with the MyOcean Central Information System Slide 9 System Evolution: master plan MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 MYO2-MED-MP-1.3.doc V3 and V4: two major evolution steps Slide 10 System Evolution V2 V3 MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 n NEMO version upgrade (2.3 3.2) n WAM WW-III and from 6hr to 1hr current-wave coupling n operational chain improvement (new linux cluster machine) n improvement of OPATM-BFM (carbonate system) n improvement of Chl assimilation n higher temporal resolution of Med-current rean (monthly & daily) Slide 11 System Evolution V3 V4 MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 n Med-currents: n variational assimilation of SST n assimilation of Argo float trajectories n atmospheric pressure term in NEMO & TAPAS data assimialtion n Med-biogeochemistry: n increase of horizontal resolution (from 1/8 to 1/16) Slide 12 System Evolution MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 Slide 13 MyOcean catalogue www.myocean.eu Med-MFC-currents Sea Surface Height Temperature Salinity Currents Stokes drift currents (V2) Wavenumber (V2) Med-MFC-biogeochemistry Chlorophyll Nutrients (V1) Dissolved Oxygen conc.(V2) Primary production (V2) Phytoplankton biomass (V2) bi-weekly: 10-day forecast 1/8 x 1/8 and 72 levels daily average once: analysis (10 years) 1/8 x 1/8 and 72 levels monthly average daily: 10-day forecast weekly: 15-day analysis 1/16 x 1/16 and 72 levels daily average once: reanalysis (12 years) 1/16 x 1/16 and 72 levels monthly average Slide 14 Production Evolution V2-V3-V4 MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 MEDSEA_ANALYSIS_FORECAST_PHYS_006_001_a daily 10-day FCST weekly 15-day assimilative hindcast aggregated time series from 01 Jan 2012-> ongoing (V3) MEDSEA_FORECAST_BIO_006_002 bi-weekly 10-day FCST aggregated time series ( V3.x or V4) MEDSEA_REANALYSIS_PHYS_006_004 13 years (1999-2011) montly and daily mean (daily mean V3) 20 years (V3.x or V4) MEDSEA_REANALYSIS_BIO_006_005 10 years (2001-2010) no DA for BGC 10 years with DA for BGC (V4) MEDSEA_ANALYSIS_FORECAST_PHYS_006_001_b backup products Slide 15 Production Evolution: aggregated time series MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 Every week the Hindcast are substitude by the Analysis Slide 16 New Med-REA (1985-2012) Quality is under assessment, results compared to Adani et al 2011 Medsea PHYS reanalysis production for V3.x /V4 Evolutions scheduled for the second period: Complete production June 2013 Complete assessment October 2012 significant changes occurred with respect to foreseen activities due to necessary R&D developments that caused a delay in data transfer to OGS for the BIO reanalysis production Slide 17 Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 SATELLITE MFS-BIO 27/03/13 5-day MODIS avg (25-29/03/13) mg Chl/m3 The system forecasted a bloom in the North West Med and in the North-Ionian sea. Slide 18 Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 MFS-BIO 27/03/13 SATELLITE5-day MODIS avg (25-29/03/13) Comparison with satellite data for the same day (Taylor diagram) shows good performance in reproducing patterns (east-west gradient and blooms). Good skill assessment in each sub-basin. Slide 19 Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 Phosphorus forecast for the 27/03/2013: upwelling processes in nwm and ion vertically transport to the surface that triggers the phytoplankton blooms Slide 20 Med-biogeochemistry: March 27th 2013 forecast MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 Med-Biogeochemistry can reproduce other ecosystem variables and indicators. On the right, different Phytoplankton groups biomass are shown. Indicator of biomass of different phytoplankton groups. The development of bio ecological indicators (based on BGC products) is pre- operationally in progress in other EC-FP7 projects (e.g. OPEC). Slide 21 Med-currents: wave derived products MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 Slide 22 First period summary and next steps MyOcean2 First Annual Meeting 17-18 April 2013 System evolution for V3 OK Product update for V3 OK R&D development for V4 ONGOING Reanalysisi production ONGOING (V3.x or V4)