Monetary Policy Frameworks in Asia: Experience, Lessons, and Issues

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  • 7/29/2019 Monetary Policy Frameworks in Asia: Experience, Lessons, and Issues

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    IL@M Vcremof Xipjr Rjrmjs

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    \dj spjbmnmb rjspcosm`mamtmjs ncr nmoiobmia sti`mamty viry wmljay ibrcss bjotria `ioes.Nmfurj 0 prcvmljs i fccl suggiry cn nmoiobmia sti`mamty giolitjs cn i airfj oug`jr cnbjotria `ioes cn ilviobjl iol jgjrfmof jbcocgmjs is cn 088=, `isjl co i survjy cnbjotria `ioes `y tdj @ioe ncr Motjroitmcoia Rjttajgjots (0899). I lirejr sdilj msisscbmitjl wmtd i strcofjr giolitj. \dj survjy lmvmljs giolitjs motc tdrjj gikcrirjis; `ioemof sjbtcr, piygjots systjg, iol nmoiobmia systjg. \dj giolitj ncr tdj`ioemof sjbtcr virmjs wmljay ibrcss bcuotrmjs. Jurcpjio bjotria `ioes irj fjojriaayvjry amfdt mo tdjmr `ioemof sjbtcr rjspcosm`mamtmjs, wdmaj jgjrfmof jbcocgy bjotria`ioes mo Aitmo Igjrmbi iol Ismi divj tdj strcofjst giolitjs, iol Kipio iol tdj ZRniaa mo `jtwjjo. Ncr tdj nmoiobmia systjg is i wdcaj, rjaitmvjay strcof giolitjs irjrjbcfomzjl ncr cvjrsmfdt iol suismco iol fumliobj, `ut njw bjotria `ioes divj iojxpambmt gcojtiry pcamby giolitj ncr nmoiobmia sti`mamty. Motjrjstmofay, iaa bjotria `ioeswmtd subd giolitjs irj mo Ismi. Mt sjjgs amejay tdit tdj rjaitmvj jgpdisms paibjl `yIsmio bjotria `ioes co nmoiobmia sti`mamty bcotrm`utjl tc tdjmr fccl pjrncrgiobj lurmoftdj FNB.

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    IL@M Vcremof Xipjr Bcuotrmjs tdit divj su`stiotmiaay am`jriamzjl tdjmr bipmtia ibbcuot, girejt-`isjlbcotrcassubd is tdj Bdmajio uorjguojritjl rjsjrvj rjqumrjgjot mgpcsjl co bipmtiamonacwsdivj `jjo tdj prjlcgmoiot cptmco mo rjbjot yjirs.6

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    Rcgj bjotria `ioes iasc divj gibrcpruljotmia pcwjrs tc prcgctj nmoiobmia sti`mamty `yvmrtuj cn divmof rjspcosm`mamty ncr supjrvmsmof tdj `ioemof sjbtcr. \dms joi`ajs tdjg tcrjstrimo tdj `umalup cn nmoiobmia mg`iaiobjs `y usmof tccas subd is acio-tc-viauj ritmcs,

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    pu`amb nuols mo tdj bisj cn rjscautmco, iol tdj ljpcsmt mosuriobj ifjoby, wdmbd cntjodis rjspcosm`mamty ncr `ioe rjscautmco. Io jnnjbtmvj strubturj ncr systjgmb sti`mamtyrjfuaitmco gust josurj iljquitj sdirmof cn moncrgitmco iol fccl bccrlmoitmco cnljbmsmco-giemof iol pcamby mgpajgjotitmco.

    \dj rjaitmcosdmp `jtwjjo subd i systjgmb sti`mamty rjfuaitcr mo bdirfj cngibrcpruljotmia pcamby iol i bjotria `ioe bdirfjl wmtd trilmtmcoia gcojtiry pcamby msio mgpcrtiot mssuj. \c ibdmjvj `ctd prmbj sti`mamty iol nmoiobmia sti`mamty, tdjrj divj tc`j it ajist twc pcamby mostrugjots, tdit ms, gcojtiry pcamby iol gibrcpruljotmia pcamby.Dcwjvjr, mo pribtmbj mt ms cntjo qujstmcoi`aj tc wdit jxtjot gibrcpruljotmia pcamby tccasbio `j wmjaljl moljpjoljotay cn gcojtiry pcamby. Mn gcojtiry bcolmtmcos irj jisy iolmovjstgjots ittribtmvj, girejt pirtmbmpiots giy try tc jvilj spjbmnmb gibrcpruljotmiarjfuaitmcos iol giej movjstgjots `y iatjroitmvj gjios, iol tdjmr i`mamty tc jvilj subdrjfuaitmcos tjols tc mobrjisj cvjr tmgj. \dms suffjsts tdit `ctd gcojtiry iolgibrcpruljotmia pcambmjs sdcual img mo tdj sigj lmrjbtmco.

    I bccpjritmvj jnncrt tc rjfuaitj nmoiobmia sti`mamty rjqumrjs tdit nmoiobmia systjgmoncrgitmco `j sdirjl nuaay. Dcwjvjr, jxpjrmjobj sdcws tdit tdjrj ms i oituriatjoljoby ncr molmvmluia rjfuaitcrs oct tc sdirj moncrgitmco tc tdj jxtjot ojjljl.\djrjncrj, tdjrj ms i strcof irfugjot mo nivcr cn tdj bjotria `ioe divmof scgj lmrjbtcvjrsmfdt rjspcosm`mamty ncr tdj nmoiobmia sjbtcr, sc tdit mt bio c`timo ojjljl moncrgitmcoi`cut nmoiobmia girejt bcolmtmcos lmrjbtay ritdjr tdio divmof tc rjqujst mt nrcg ioctdjrifjoby.

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    gjjtmof ncrnmoiobj gmomstjrs iol tdj Jxjbutmvjs Gjjtmof cn Jist Ismi-Xibmnmb Bjotria @ioes ncrbjotria `ioe fcvjrocrs. Nrcg 0890 bjotria `ioe fcvjrocrs kcmojl tdj IRJIO+2nmoiobj gmomstjrs gjjtmof ncr tdj Jbcocgmb Pjvmjw iol Xcamby Lmiacfuj, wdjrjis coayljputy fcvjrocrs dil ittjoljl prjvmcusay. Dcwjvjr, tdj ljvjacpgjot cn io IsmioNmoiobmia Rti`mamty Lmiacfuj (INRL), is prcpcsjl `y Eurcli (0884), bcual jodiobjbcgguombitmco i`cut bcggco rmse nibtcrs iol pcssm`ay ajil tc bccrlmoitjl ibtmcos tc

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    IL@M Vcremof Xipjr ). \dj jssjotmia mlji wistdit i dmfdjr ajvja cn jxtjroia issjts iol ami`mamtmjs (rjaitmvj tc FLX cr scgj ctdjrgjisurj) molmbitjl tdj jnnjbtmvj cpjoojss cn bipmtia girejts. \dj sjrmjs wis uplitjltc 088= mo Eiwim, Aig`jrtj, iol \ieifm (0890). \dj jxtjroia issjts iol ami`mamtmjsritmcs fjojriaay rcsj ncr iaa Ismio jbcocgmjs nrcg 9==8 tc 088=. Ljspmtj tdj rjfmcosrjaitmvjay acw cvjriaa lj kurj cpjoojss sbcrjs, tdj ritmcs wjrj bacsj tc cr jxbjjljl988% ncr iaa `ut coj jbcocgy mo 088=. \dj bipmtia ibbcuots cn gioy Ismio jbcocgmjs,

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    IL@M Vcremof Xipjr ; Monaitmco ritjs cn Ismio M\ iol oco-M\ bcuotrmjs

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    Gcrj scpdmstmbitjl stulmjs usmof jbcocgjtrmb tjbdomqujs divj oct rjibdjl nmrgbcobausmcos rjfirlmof tdj mgpibts cn M\ co gibrcjbcocgmb pjrncrgiobj, mobaulmofmonaitmco ritjs, monaitmco pjrsmstjobj iol cutput fips. Cptmgmstmb stulmjs (j.f., Gmsdemoiol Xcsjo, 9==65 Ojugioo iol Difjo, 08805 @jroioej jt ia. 9===) girsdiaajljvmljobj tdit M\ ms isscbmitjl wmtd acwjr ritjs cn monaitmco, acwjr vcaitmamty cn monaitmcoiol cutput, `jttjr-iobdcrjl monaitmco jxpjbtitmcos, iol rjlubjl monaitmco pjrsmstjobj.Dcwjvjr, ctdjrs rjibdjl gcrj sejptmbia bcobausmcos, mobaulmof Bjbbdjttm iol Jdrgioo(9===) iol @iaa iol Rdjrmlio (0882), pcmotmof tc ctdjr nibtcrs subd is tdj fjojrialcwowirl trjol mo monaitmco `jncrj tdj ilcptmco cn M\ pcambmjs iol tdj pjrmcl cn tdjfrjit gcljritmco.

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    jvmljobj tdit iaa virmi`ajs sdcwjl strcof rjvjrsmco tc gjio suffjstmof tdit mgprcvjlpjrncrgiobj cn virmi`ajs tcliy ms smgpay rjaitmvj tc pccr jbcocgmb pjrncrgiobj mo tdjpist. Co tdj ctdjr diol, i gcrj rjbjot stuly, Fjraibd iol \maagio (0899), nmols ismfomnmbiot mgprcvjgjot mo monaitmco pjrsmstjobj ittrm`uti`aj tc M\ mo i sigpaj cn omojIsmio jbcocgmjs wmtd ncur cn tdjg usmof M\. Co tdj wdcaj, mt sjjgs lmnnmbuat tc ittrm`utjsmfomnmbiot mgprcvjgjot mo monaitmco iol cutput pjrncrgiobj tc M\ pcamby mo pirtmbuair,`ut tdj fjojria mgprcvjgjot mo burrjoby iol gcojtiry pcamby nrigjwcres iolgioifjgjot lurmof tdj pjrmcl sdcual ibbjpt i fccl ljia cn tdj brjlmt ncr tdmsmgprcvjl monaitmco pjrncrgiobj.

    Mtc iol Diyisdm (088

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    IL@M Vcremof Xipjr . BCOBAZRMCOR

    Gcojtiry pcamby nrigjwcres mo Jist Ismi divj jvcavjl su`stiotmiaay mo tdj pist twcljbiljs, gimoay mo rjspcosj tc tdj sdcbes cn tdj Ismio nmoiobmia brmsms iol tdj FNB.\dj Ismio nmoiobmia brmsms sdcwjl tdj mgpcrtiobj cn jxbdiofj ritj najxm`mamty iolbrjlm`aj pcamby nrigjwcres, ajilmof tc mobrjisjl bjotria `ioe moljpjoljobj, frjitjrncbus co monaitmco pcamby iol gcrj najxm`aj jxbdiofj ritjs. I oug`jr cn Ismio bjotria`ioes ilcptjl jxpambmt monaitmco-tirfjtmof nrigjwcres, iol jvjo tdcsj tdit lml oct divjjvmljotay paibjl frjitjr jgpdisms co bcotrcaamof monaitmco tdio prjvmcusay.

    \dj FNB dmfdamfdtjl tdj prc`ajg tdit survjmaaiobj iol rjfuaitmco cn systjg-wmlj

    nmoiobmia sti`mamty wis moiljquitj mo gioy bcuotrmjs mo tdj prj-brmsms pjrmcl, iol tdit

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    bjotria `ioes giy oct divj ncbusjl sunnmbmjotay co nmoiobmia sti`mamty rmses. \djlmgjosmcos cn systjgmb rmse mo `ctd prcbybambiamty cn tdj nmoiobmia systjg iolmotjrbcoojbtjlojss cn virmcus nmoiobmia mostmtutmcos iol girejts wjrj oct iljquitjayipprjbmitjl, ocr wis tdj ojjl ncr i gibrcpruljotmia pjrspjbtmvj co subd rmses.Gcrjcvjr, wdjo rjspcosm`mamty ncr nmoiobmia supjrvmsmco wis lmvmljl igcof bjotria`ioes iol nmoiobmia supjrvmscrs, gcst bcuotrmjs aibejl io iljquitj irbdmtjbturj tcjosurj bccrlmoitjl survjmaaiobj, ioiaysms, moncrgitmco sdirmof, iol pcamby ibtmcos.

    Ljnmomof nmoiobmia sti`mamty ms oct io jisy tise `jbiusj mt dis guatmpaj lmgjosmcos iol msrjaitjl tc bcgpajx nmoiobmia systjgs. @ut tdms sdcual oct ajssjo tdj ojjl tc lc sc.Bjotria `ioes cvjrvmjw cn tdj gibrcjbcocgmb ljvjacpgjots iol nmoiobmia systjgbcolmtmcos, tcfjtdjr wmtd tdjmr cvjrsmfdt cn piygjot iol sjttajgjot systjgs, fmvjstdjg i uomquj pjrspjbtmvj co systjg-wmlj nmoiobmia sti`mamty. \dj bisj ms strcof ncrbjotria `ioes tc divj io jxpambmt giolitj ncr nmoiobmia sti`mamty. Iatdcufd tdjrj giy `jsdcrt-tjrg bconambts `jtwjjo tdj trilmtmcoia bjotria `ioe c`kjbtmvj cn prmbj sti`mamty ioltdit cn nmoiobmia sti`mamty, mo tdj gjlmug iol acof tjrg, tdjsj c`kjbtmvjs sdcual `j

    airfjay bcosmstjot wmtd jibd ctdjr `jbiusj ljvjacpgjot cn i nmoiobmia brmsms lurmofpjrmcls cn prmbj sti`mamty wmaa jvjotuiaay ajil tc ljnaitmco iol jbcocgmb lcwoturo.

    Bjotria `ioes divj virmcus tccas tc suppcrt nmoiobmia sti`mamty, mobaulmof stiolirl ioluobcovjotmcoia gcojtiry pcamby tccas, burrjoby girejt motjrvjotmco tccas, iol, moscgj bisjs, supjrvmscry iutdcrmty, gibrcpruljotmia tccas iol bipmtia nacw gioifjgjottccas. \djsj bio `j usjl tc djap prjvjot brmsjs `y ligpjomof tdj brjlmt bybaj iolstrjoftdjomof `ioes iol ctdjr nmoiobmia nmrgs tc josurj tdit tdjy irj iljquitjaybipmtiamzjl iol rjsjrvjl tc `j i`aj tc rmlj cut systjgmb sdcbes. Ismio bjotria `ioesdivj mo nibt nrjqujotay rjscrtjl tc subd tccas tc sinjfuirl nmoiobmia sti`mamty iol rjlubjtdj vcaitmamty cn bipmtia nacws. \djrj ms oc fuiriotjj tdit gibrcpruljotmia iol bipmtianacw gioifjgjot tccas wmaa iawiys `j jnnjbtmvj, `ut i guatmpambmty cn tccas giejs mt

    jismjr tc ibdmjvj `ctd prmbj sti`mamty iol nmoiobmia sti`mamty. \dms iasc mgpamjs tdit bjotria`ioe pcamby nrigjwcres irj gcrj bcgpajx tdio smgpay `jmof bdiribtjrmzjl `y tdjprjsjobj cr i`sjobj cn jxpambmt monaitmco tirfjtmof.

    Gcojtiry pcamby nrigjwcres mo tdj rjfmco divj jvcavjl tc ljia wmtd frjitjr nmoiobmiaiol cpjoojss iol ljptd. \dj ritmc cn frcss bipmtia monacws tc FLX ms stmaa sdcwmof ioupwirl trjol, iatdcufd tdit cn ojt bipmtia monacws ippjirs tc `j sti`mamzmof cr ljbamomof.Lcgjstmb nmoiobmia girejts divj iasc ljjpjojl su`stiotmiaay, wdmbd sdcual bcotrm`utjtc strjoftdjomof tdj gcojtiry triosgmssmco gjbdiomsg. Ismlj nrcg Kipio, tdjrj ms ocjvmljobj cn gikcr nimaurjs cn tdj pcamby triosgmssmco gjbdiomsg mo tdj rjfmco.

    Cvjriaa, gcojtiry pcamby nrigjwcres mo tdj rjfmco ippjir tc divj wcrejl wjaa mo

    ibdmjvmof acw iol sti`aj monaitmco bcupajl wmtd jbcocgmb frcwtd. \dms gimoay rjnajbtstdrjj nibtcrs; bjotria `ioes divj ncbusjl co prmbj sti`mamty is tdj gimo c`kjbtmvj cngcojtiry pcamby5 mostmtutmcoia irriofjgjots divj nibmamtitjl tdj subbjssnua pursumt cntdms c`kjbtmvj5 iol ctdjr jbcocgmb pcambmjs, gimoay nmsbia pcamby, divj suppcrtjl tdmspursumt `y rjlubmof bcobjros i`cut nmsbia lcgmoiobj. Vj giy ill tc tdms tdjivimai`mamty cn i airfj oug`jr cn pcamby tccas, mobaulmof uobcovjotmcoia pcambmjs,gibrcpruljotmia gjisurjs iol bipmtia nacw gjisurjs tdit djap tc ljamvjr nmoiobmia ioljbcocgmb sti`mamty. Jist Ismio bjotria `ioes iasc ippjir tc divj bcpjl wjaa wmtd tdjbcostrimots cn tdj trmajggi dypctdjsms, iol ncr tdj gcst pirt divj frivmtitjl tcwirl iomotjrmcr scautmco wmtd moljpjoljot gcojtiry pcamby, pirtmia nmoiobmia cpjoojss iolpirtay gioifjl burrjobmjs. Co tdj wdcaj, tdms pcsmtmvj jxpjrmjobj lcjs oct suffjsttdj ojjl ncr ioy gikcr bdiofjs mo pcamby nrigjwcres. Xjrdips tdj gcst mgpcrtiot

    suffjstmco it tdms stifj ms tc fmvj frjitjr wjmfdt tc nmoiobmia sti`mamty is i pcamby

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    IL@M Vcremof Xipjr 2=84

    @iaa, A. iol Rdjrmlio, O. 0882. Lcjs Monaitmco \irfjtmof Gittjr3 O@JP Vcremof XipjrRjrmjs Oc. =:66. Big`rmlfj, GI; Oitmcoia @urjiu cn Jbcocgmb Pjsjirbd.

    @ioe ncr Motjroitmcoia Rjttajgjots (@MR). 088=. GB Bcgpjolmug; Gcojtiry XcambyNrigjwcres iol Bjotria @ioe Girejt Cpjritmcos. @isja, Rwmtzjraiol; @ioe ncrMotjroitmcoia Rjttajgjots. www.`ms.crf/pu`a/getb8

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    IL@M Vcremof Xipjr .ojw.gjisurjs.trmajggi.dypctdjsms.ismi/

    Mtc, \. iol \. Diyisdm. 088. Rti`mamzmof io Zosti`aj Jbcocgy. Ojw Divjo, B\; ]iaj ZomvjrsmtyXrjss.

    Gmsdemo, N.R. iol Xcsjo, I.R. 9==6. Monaitmco \irfjtmof Ajsscos nrcg Ncur Bcuotrmjs.Njljria Pjsjrvj @ioe cn Ojw ]cre Jbcocgmb Xcamby Pjvmjw, 2(9) . Ojw ]cre; Ojw]cre Njljria Pjsjrvj.

    Gcrfio, X. 0890. \dj Pcaj iol Jnnjbtmvjojss cn Zobcovjotmcoia Gcojtiry Xcamby. Mo G.Eiwim, X. Gcrfio, iol R. \ieifm, jls. Gcojtiry iol Burrjoby XcambyGioifjgjot mo Ismi. Bdjatjodig, ZE; Jlwirl Jafir. pp. 06>2.

    Oiqvm, @. iol R. Pmzvm. 088=. Monaitmco \irfjtmof Nrigjwcre; Ms tdj stcry lmnnjrjot ncr

    http://www.group30/pubs/reformreport.pdfhttp://www.ide.go.jp/English/Publish/Download/Dp/pdf/328.pdfhttp://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2009/021809.pdfhttp://www.adbi.org/working-paper/2012/09/21/5236.new.measures.trilemma.hypothesis.asia/http://www.adbi.org/working-paper/2012/09/21/5236.new.measures.trilemma.hypothesis.asia/http://www.adbi.org/files/speech.2008.12.05.closing.remarks.kuruda.adbi.annual.meeting.2008.pdfhttp://www.adbi.org/files/speech.2008.12.05.closing.remarks.kuruda.adbi.annual.meeting.2008.pdfhttp://www.adbi.org/files/speech.2008.12.05.closing.remarks.kuruda.adbi.annual.meeting.2008.pdfhttp://www.adbi.org/files/speech.2008.12.05.closing.remarks.kuruda.adbi.annual.meeting.2008.pdfhttp://www.adbi.org/working-paper/2012/09/21/5236.new.measures.trilemma.hypothesis.asia/http://www.adbi.org/working-paper/2012/09/21/5236.new.measures.trilemma.hypothesis.asia/http://www.imf.org/external/np/pp/eng/2009/021809.pdfhttp://www.ide.go.jp/English/Publish/Download/Dp/pdf/328.pdfhttp://www.group30/pubs/reformreport.pdf
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