DRM – Agriculture Task Force

Monthly Meeting

Ministry of AgricultureMeeting Room

2nd September 2019

DRM – Agriculture Task ForceAgenda1. Welcome and Introduction

2. Review of Action Points from the last Minutes of Meeting 3. Monthly updates:

Early warning weather forecast (NMA)

Information Management (Dashboard, Maps, etc.) (DRM-ATF IMO)4. Desert Locust Update5. Partner presentation: VSF- Suisse

6. DRM-ATF Livelihood packages7. AoB

DRM – Agriculture Task ForceMinutes of Meeting from 1st August 2019Action Points:Agriculture Sector Coordinator and IMO to follow up with DRM-ATF partners regarding their 5Ws input and regional training plan.The chair MoA requested flood forecast and feed availability as part of the NMA weather forecasts as well as an active sharing of updates on the weather forecast.Request for 5Ws monthly data from partners using the updated data collection tool (activities implemented in the previous month and new planned activities if any).

DRM – Agriculture Task ForceMinutes of Meeting from 29th May 2019Action Points:Partners to provide comments or inputs regarding the Midyear Review, if any.Partners to report any funding for the sector in FTS..Agriculture Sector Coordinator to share draft of the Livelihood packages for partners to provide inputs.VSF-Suisse to present on next DRM-ATF about their operational presence in Somali region and their project in Shabelle zone.Ministry of Agriculture to provide some information on the Desert Locus

DRM – Agriculture Task Force

Monthly updates:Early warning weather forecast

Weather update August Assessment and September 2019

Forecast

September 2, 2019

August Assessment 2019

34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48

4

6

8

10

12

14

MI August 1-31 Assessment 2019

Vegetation Greenness (NDVI) in fraction – 2019 August [Compared to Normal]

Vegetation Greenness (NDVI) in fraction – 2019 August August 1st August 3rdAugust 2nd

Rangeland WRSI in % - 2019 July [Compared to Normal]

Rangeland WRSI in % -2019 August 1

Rangeland WRSI in % -2019 August 2

Rangeland WRSI in % -2019 August 3

Rangeland WRSI in % - 2019 August

Rangeland WRSI in % - August 2019

Afar Zone 1

Afar Zone 2

Afar Zone 4

SomaliJijiga

SomaliShinele

West Harerge

East Harerge

A meteorological weather phenomenon was strengthening in amount and coverage over most part ofKiremt rain benefiting areas. In line with this, northern half, central and south-western parts of thecountry experienced better rainfall in amount and distribution.

This situation could have a significant and positive contribution with respect to satisfying the waterneed of early sown long cycle crops like (Maize and sorghum) which were at different phenologicalstages, perennial plant as well as late sown cereal crops like (Teff, wheat and barley), pulses (beans,peas and haricot beans) and oil crops. Besides these, it improved pasture and drinking water availabilityin the eastern and north eastern low lands of pastoral and agro pastoral areas of the country.

On the other hand, during the month under review, the weather bearing meteorological systems werestrengthening particularly over most of Tigray, Amhara, central and western Oromia, Benshangul-Gumuze, Gambela and SNNPR. In this respect, it was reported extreme heavy fall in many places fromdifferent weather stations in the range of 50 to 126 mm in one rainy day.

The observed continuous and high humid moisture condition might have cause soil erosion and waterlogging particularly where land is sloppy and in areas where normally affected by excess moisture.

August 2019 Agrometeorology Impact Assessment

September 1-30/ 2019 Forecast In the coming month of September 2019, the meteorological forecast

information indicates that the seasonal rainfall activity is expected tocontinue over much of Meher and Kiremt rainfall benefiting area of thecountry.

Over Oromia (eastern and western Wellega, Jimma, Ilubabor, Eastern, Western and Northern Shewa, E & W Harergie, Arsi and Bale zones),Amhara(west & east Gojam, north & south Gonder, Bahirdar zuria, Awizone, northern Shewa, south and north wollo), Addis Ababa, SNNPR(Keffa, Bench Maji, Gurage, Hadya, Welayita, Dawro, Gamogofa andSidama zones), All zones of Tigray, Gambela and Benshangul-Gumuze,expected normal to above normal rainfall.

over southern Omo, Segen peoples, Borena, Guji, Arsi, Bale,Diredewa, Harer, Afar zone 3, 4 & 5, Gode, Fik, Deghabur, Jijiga andShinle expected near normal rainfall.

The situation will favor ongoing meher agriculturalactivities which are at different phenological stages interms of crop water requirement such as water availabilityof perennial plants, long cycle meher crops which found atgrain filling and maturity stage, sowing of pulses crops likechickpeas and lentils which grow on the high land usingthe expected moisture with residual moisture at the end ofthe season and availability of pasture and drinking waterover pastoral and agro pastoral areas of theaforementioned areas.

The expected heavy and continuous rainfall overaforementioned areas could have negative impact on theongoing agricultural activities due to excessive moisture aswater lodging; flooding over steep slope areas and the overflow of rivers to the surrounding crop fields.

Moreover, the continuous and widespread rainfallover some parts might create conducive condition forweed infestation which can be aggressive at the timeof excess moisture condition. Therefore properattention should be taken to minimize the risk due tothe expected excesses moisture condition.

Thank you for your attention !

NMA Web site: - http:// www.ethiomet.gov.et

DRM – Agriculture Task Force

Monthly updates:Information Management

18

2nd September 2019

Ethiopia Agriculture sector 2019

Information Management Monthly Update

Summary

19

I. HRP-MYR

II. HNO 2020

III. Financial Tracking System (FTS)

IV.AoB

1.Revision of the severity of needs2.Revision of Targets ( More emphasis on IDP

Returnees, Drought affected areas among others.

3.Revision of the HRP Narrative to match the current situation.

Region Animal Health Animal FeedEmr Seeds & Tools Destocking Restocking IDPs Returnee Overall Target

Addis Ababa - -

Afar 16,883 28,604 9,403 3,801 9,008 534 46,437

Amhara 33,405 1,782 16,296 35,021

Benishangul Gumz 12,780 12,780 12,780

Dire Dawa 256 256 256

Gambela 4,070 2,358 2,572 6,050

Harari - -

Oromia 180,182 98,626 144,083 265,203

SNNP 82,143 4,007 4,007 86,150

Somali 126,258 22,434 145,657 43,030 104,166 57,102 299,409

Tigray 70,481 977 1,599 71,156

Grand Total 225,284 51,038 460,241 43,030 3,801 216,917 239,229 822,462

HRP-MYR TARGETS

Region AnimalHealth Animal Feed

Crop Seeds and Tools Restocking Destocking HRP Targets

Addis Ababa -

Afar 157,067 40,260 12,352 977 150 177,207

Amhara 1,259 380 1,312BenishangulGumz -Dire Dawa -

Gambela 1,260Harari -

Oromia 405,970 54,624 138,774 63,468 658,428

SNNP 1,552 2,437

Somali 300,441 49,924 171,100 6,848 124,474 518,892

Tigray 15,211 841 6,358 21,862

Grand Total 878,689 145,649 331,395 8,205 188,091 1,381,398

HRP TARGETS

Region Animal Health Animal Feed Seeds and Tools Restocking Overall Addis Ababa

Afar 52,611 6,540 2,242 54,853

Amhara 4,067 1,900 1,160 5,227 BenishangulGumz 6,978 6,978Dire Dawa -Gambela -Harari -

Oromia 97,916 2,460 49,166 3,929 147,232

SNNP 230 - 19,113 19,343

Somali 95,512 9,292 850 104,804 Tigray -

Grand Total 250,336 10,900 87,951 4,399 338,437

HRP RESPONSE FIGURES

HNO 2020

Step 1: Agree on the scope of the analysis

Decide which population groups

and sub-groups will be part of the

analysis.

DRAFT - Affected population groups for data collection and analysis

Affected populationBy cause Conflict Climatic shocks Disease

outbreaks

By status Refugees IDPs IDPs IDPs IDP Returnees

IDP Returnees

IDP Returnees

Other affected population

Other affected population

Other affected population

IDPs IDPs Other affected population

Refugees Other affected population

Conflict-induced refugees

Conflict IDPs in sites, in the last 2 years (2018-2019)

Conflict IDPs in sites, before the last 2 years (< 2018)

Conflict IDPs living within host communities

IDP returnees living in sites

IDP returnees living within host communities

IDP returnees who went back to their homes

Conflict-affected populationhosting IDPs

Other populationliving in conflict-affected areas

Food insecure population

Drought-induced IDPs

Flood-induced IDPs

Flood affected non-displaced population

Drought-induced refugees

Population living in areas affected by disease outbreaks

Cross-cutting vulnerable groups (including people with disabilities, children, women, etc.)

Critical problems related to Living standards

Critical problems relatedto physical & mental wellbeing

Critical problems related to Living standards

Critical problems related to protection

Critical problem related to recovery and resilience

Humanitarian Consequences

1 2 3 4

Direct effect on people’s ability to pursue their normal productive and social activities and meet their basic needs in an autonomous manner. They manifest in different types of deficit and the use of various coping mechanisms to meet basic self-sustenance needs, such as the lack of: • Food • Income • Productive assets (e.g. land, animals, tools, shop, etc.) • Access to basic services such as health care, water, sanitation, shelter, education • Access to formal and informal social assistance • Access to legal documentation • Access to markets etc.

Ethiopia context:• Food insecurity• Availability of, and access

to, essential services• (Safety) risk• HLP

Indicators by Humanitarian Consequence for intersectoral analysis

Sector Sub-sector Pillar Sub pillar Indicator Name/label

JIAF severity Core Data collection technique Source of informNone/ Minimal Stress Severe Extreme Catastrophic

Livelihoods Food Security Humanitarian conditions Living standardsLivelihood Protection/survival protection deficit (HEA method) 1 HH

Household Economic Analysis (HEA)

No livelihoods protection deficit

moderate livelihood protection deficit

protection deficit >=80%; survival deficit

Survival deficit >=20% but <50%

Survival deficit >=50%

Livelihoods Food Security Humanitarian conditions Living standards

Herd size (Have you recorded any cattle death due to hunger? If yes, how does the reduction rate compare to normal)

Household Economic Analysis (HEA)

Livelihoods Food Security Humanitarian conditions Living standardsHow would you describe the availability of water and pastures at this time of the year

Livelihoods Food Security Humanitarian conditions Living standards % of IDP HHs with access to land for caltivation HH DTM <20 21%-40% 41%-60% 61%-80% 81%-100%

Livelihoods Food Security Humanitarian conditions Living standards % of IDP HHs with livestock HH DTM <20 21%-40% 41%-60% 61%-80% 81%-100%

Livelihoods Food Security Humanitarian conditions Living standards% of IDP Returnee HHs with access to land for caltivation HH Village Survery <20 21%-40% 41%-60% 61%-80% 81%-100%

Livelihoods Food Security Humanitarian conditions Living standards % of IDP Returnee HHs with livestock HH Village Survery <20 21%-40% 41%-60% 61%-80% 81%-100%

Indicators for Agriculture cluster by Humanitarian Consequence

Financial Tracking System (FTS)

• Financial Tracking System (FTS) is now officially being used to track funding status at inter-sectorial level.

• Partners and donors are requested to report all the findings received………https://fts.unocha.org/appeals/overview/2019/sectors?f%5B0%5D=destinationPlanIdName%3A%22677%3AEthiopia%202019%22

Thank you!

Any Question?

DRM – Agriculture Task Force

Presentation:Desert Locust Update

DRM – Agriculture Task Force

Presentation:VSF- Suisse

DRM – Agriculture Task Force

Presentation:DRM-ATF Livelihood packages