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Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

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Page 1: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Migration data for South Yorkshire

What’s available and what does it tell us?

Page 2: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Available data‘Easily’ accessible• Population trends, migration estimates and projections• Migrant workers• International students at universities• Pupil first language• National migration trends

Negotiable• Local authority level data on A8 workers• Asylum seekers and some refugees• Locally collected data by individual services

Page 3: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Sources of information and support

Links to:• (Inter)national and local datasets• Local Government Association guide• Commentary on national migration statistics and the

net migration target• Local Information Systems in the region

all can be found in our Introduction to Migration Statistics at: www.migrationyorkshire.org.uk/statistics

New JSNA Guide to Migrant Health (flier in packs)

Page 4: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Local Migration Profile project

Driven by partner agencies struggling to find and use migration data to prepare for migrants in their client groups

Flexible design

Regular outputs combining available data for each local authority area and subregions

Send me everything

How many immigrants are

there?

Page 5: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

What’s unique?

Non-specialist audience

Compares different sources

Change over time and space

Compares locality to the regional ‘average’

Regular updates to include new data

Page 6: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Mainstream service applications

General migration background

(internal briefings, media)

Population profiling requirements

JSNA (health), LEA and EIA (LAs)

Targeting specific groups

burglary prevention (housing services), engaging with minority communities (police and fire services)

Research support

local studies (arts and leisure), choosing research sample sites (flooding)

Page 7: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Migrant service applications

Needs assessments for new services

(Red Cross destitution work, Barnardo’s scoping needs of asylum children)

Evidence in grant applications (Police)

Planning for existing services

(languages for translation materials, UKBA LITs)

Improving services

(asylum dispersal sites, improving LA support for vulnerable groups following inspection)

Page 8: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Migration trends in South Yorkshire (1)

Different causes of long-term population changeB/D/R mainly growing due to indigenous birthsS due to international migration and births to non-UK mothers

Decrease in net international migration everywhere?ONS predicted in all 4 areas: immigration dropping, emigration rising in future – but latest UK statistics show stable immigration and less emigration than expected

Page 9: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Barnsley: birth trends data

Fertility rate Births to non-UK born mothers

Source: Vital Statistics, ONS Source: Vital Statistics, ONS

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2.2

2.4

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

TF

R

Barnsley YH

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

% o

f al

l bir

ths

Barnsley YH

Higher fertility among local population than rest of Yorkshire and Humber

Very few births to migrant mothers

Page 10: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Migration trends in South Yorkshire (2)

Increasing non-EU students at university in Sheffieldboth proportionally and absolute numbers

Fewer asylum seekers and refugees everywherebeginning to stabilise after significant falls

Accession migration beginning to stabilise Slovak (R/S) and Polish nationals (B/D)

Ratio of accession:non-accession migration changing, with increasing non-EU migrationAccession accounts for around 65% of arrivals to B/D/RNew Commonwealth (India) now dominates in S

Page 11: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

New arrivals across Sheffield City Region

2.2 NINo Country of Origin - group

Sources: NIRS

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

NIN

o R

egis

trat

ions

Accession Other Europe

Old Commonwealth New Commonwealth

Other

Accession falling

New Commonwealth rising

Page 12: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

New arrivals to Sheffield

2.2 NINo Country of Origin - group

Sources: NIRS

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

NIN

o R

egi

stra

tions

Accession Other Europe

Old Commonwealth New Commonwealth

Other

New Commonwealth now the dominant category

‘Other’ category also rising

Page 13: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Gaps in the data

Particular migrant groups:Those joining families already hereFurther education and ESOL learnersPeople with no recourse to public fundsPeople leaving the UK (and by what route)

Alternative migration indicators:Local servicesRegistered employers and education providersLocal research

Page 14: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

What’s coming up in 2011?

New inclusion of pupil data in our profiles

Less data? Fewer services producing data, localism drive reducing targets and local government reporting requirements

Ending of transitional arrangements for A8 countries will end WRS data

Net migration target reducing entry through formal routes (work, study, asylum) – other routes of entry?

External influences on migration patterns – A8 economies, north Africa displacement

Page 15: Migration data for South Yorkshire What’s available and what does it tell us?

Our role as data users

Balancing risk…

limited access to sensitive data

political sensitivity and gatekeeping

how much data should we collect?…and benefit:

a more informed ‘debate’ on migration

improved data expertise among migrant services

bridging policy, practice, data and research - better services for whole communities