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1 Mexico’s New Electric Market From Birth to Infancy and Beyond Bob Anderson Tenaska Energia de Mexico September 20, 2017

Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Page 1: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Mexico’s New Electric Market

From Birth to Infancy and Beyond

Bob Anderson Tenaska Energia de MexicoSeptember 20, 2017

Page 2: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Demographic Comparison:

Mexico City at Night

Mexico:• Population 127 Million• GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs 

Texas:• Population 28 Million• GDP is $1.6 Trillion • Electricity Use 370 TWHs 

United States:• Population 323 Million• GDP is $18.6 Trillion • Electricity Use 3,900 TWHs 

Page 3: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Courageous Politics, Law, & Policy

▶ Constitutional Amendment 2013▶ Electric Industry Law (LIE) August 2014▶ CENACE Creation Decree August 2014▶ Electric Power Market Bases September 2015 ▶ CENACE Day Ahead Market January 2016▶ CRE/NERC/CENACE Steering Group May 2017

Page 4: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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National Interconnected System (SIN) Consumption Distribution (September 6, 2017)

10.3%

10.4%

10.4%

21.4%

19.4%

14.9%

4.5%

Page 5: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Electric Interties Between the United States & Mexico

Page 6: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Ancillary Services Regions in Mexico

Page 7: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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CFE Tic Tac Toe

CFE Corporate

GENERATION CFE Energia CFE International

Basic ServiceRetailer

Distribution Transmission Legacy Plants

Page 8: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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CFE Generation is Now 6 Independent Gencos

Page 9: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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CENACE Centralized Spot Market

Page 10: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Monterrey August Hourly Day-Ahead LMP Prices

Page 11: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Monterrey August Hourly Day-Ahead LMP Price Distribution

Page 12: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Mexican Wholesale Market Participants

CFE Basic Service Supply

CFE Gencos

Generators

Non‐Supplier Marketers

Qualified Market Participant Users

Qualified Suppliers

6(6)

5(1)

20(14)

20(5)

1(0)

CENACE & Forward Electric Market

Page 13: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Mexican Wholesale Electric Transactional Mechanics(Current Status)

Page 14: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Centralized Long Term & Mid Term Auction Clearinghouse

Page 15: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Final Thoughts:

• It is a Spanish speaking market. So what?• The foreign exchange rate between Mexico and the US withstood the election of President Trump. 

• CENACE has the potential to outgrow the Cal ISO.• Mexico’s transformation is making a true North American Electric Market possible.

• The electric interchange between the Unites States and Mexico is currently anemic but what if it wasn’t?

• From Dallas, Texas it takes exactly as long to fly to Mexico City as it does to Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Page 16: Mexico’s New Electric Market - RMG Financial · • Population 127 Million • GDP is $2.3 Trillion • Electricity Use 240 TWHs Texas: • Population 28 Million • GDP is $1.6

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Thank You

Bob Anderson Tenaska EnergiaOffice (817) 462-8072 [email protected]