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Meeting the Goals of AB 32: Vehicles and Fuels of the Future. Daniel Kammen Class of 1935 Distinguished Professor of Energy Energy & Resources, Public Policy, and Nuclear Engineering Director, Transportation Sustainability Research Center University of California, Berkeley October 24, 2011 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Meeting the Goals of AB 32: Vehicles and Fuels of the Future
Daniel Kammen
Class of 1935 Distinguished Professor of EnergyEnergy & Resources, Public Policy, and Nuclear Engineering
Director, Transportation Sustainability Research CenterUniversity of California, Berkeley
October 24, 2011
tsrc.berkeley.edu
Yang, 2011
Clean vehicles, low carbon fuels
2050 Scenario (On-Road Vehicles, California)
• California’s 2020 goal requires ~ 25% reduction from Business-as-Usual.• California's 2050 goal is 80% reduction from 1990 levels.
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2005 2015 2025 2035 2045
GH
G E
mis
sion
s (M
MT
CO
2e)
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Vehicle Efficiency
VMTLow Carbon
Fuels
CA Target:80% below1990
Remaining Emissions
Three main policy levers
Yang, 2011
Innovative Measures Needed• Feebates
– Revenue neutral: fees on high-emission vehicle purchases pay for rebates on low-emission vehicles
– Could significantly increase hybrid share
(Bunch et al. 2011)
• Reduce VMT– Technological (vehicle and fuel) measures will be insufficient
to meet 2050 goals– SB 375 forward thinking– MPOs and other planning agencies need mandate to establish
more concrete measures: mode-shift, transit– Travel data standardization needed (Sager et al. 2011)
What Can We Do In the Short Term?New Approaches Needed: Using IT
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App runsAUTOMATICALLY
Drive your current car
Visit your Virtual Test Drive on the web
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Create a VIRTUAL Test Drive
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