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Meece Project: Relations to DEVOTES and MSFD
Chris Smith
DEVOTES Kick-Off Meeting, Dec 2012, Majorca
Meece Project and MSFD
2050 2100 1960 2000 Evaluated Hindcast Forecast………
FP7-ENV-2007-1
Sept 2008 – Feb 2013 (48+4 months)
Coordinated By: Icarus Allen,
Plymouth Marine Laboratory: 22 Partners, no SME’s
aims to push forward the state-of-the-art of our
understanding of impacts of global climate
change and direct anthropogenic drivers on marine ecosystems end to end
www.meece.eu
Meece Project and MSFD
2050 2100 1960 2000 Evaluated Hindcast Forecast………
The specific goals of MEECE are:
To improve the knowledge base on marine ecosystems and
their response to climate and anthropogenic driving forces
To develop innovative predictive management tools and strategies to resolve the dynamic interactions of the global change driver, changes in ocean circulation, climate, ocean acidification, pollution, over fishing and alien invasive species on the structure and functioning of marine ecosystems
To expand the knowledge based and provide scientific tools for the implementation of the European Marine Strategy
Meece Project and MSFD
2050 2100 1960 2000 Evaluated Hindcast Forecast………
Meece Project and MSFD
Observations
Experiments
Indicators Knowledge
Transfer
Management Strategy
Evaluation
Simulations &
Synthesis
Scenario Definition
Meta Analysis
Model Systems
Parameter-isations
Meece Project and MSFD
Dynamic Models:
POLCOMS-ERSEM
POL-ERSEM
ECOSMO
ROMS-NPZD
BIMS-CIR
BFM
Coupled Modules:
Carbon-Phytoplankton
Acidification/carbonate
system
Calcifiers
Zooplankton
HTL - IBM
HTL – SMS
HTL - OSMOSE
HTL - ECOSIM with ECOPATH
HTL - APECOSM
Ecotoxicology
Invasives
Couplers
Meece Project and MSFD
Mapping Model Outputs to Descriptors
Biodiversity Invasive
Species
Commercial
Fisheries
Foodwebs Eutrophi-
cation
Seabed
integrity
Contaminants
Physio chemical
Temperature X (x) (x) Salinity X (x) Nutrient
Nitrate
Phosphate
Silicate
X X X (x)
pH X (x) (x) Biological
Features
Phytoplankton
Small
Large
X (x) x X (x) X
Zooplankton
Small
Large
X (x) x X (x) X
Fish X (X) x x (x) Chlorophyll X Net Primary
Production (X) X X (X) (X)
Community
production (x) X
Bottom fauna* X (x) X x x X
Scenarios
2050 2100 1960 2000 Evaluated Hindcast Forecast………
Reanalysis Hindcast
Climate forcing
1980-2000 2040-2050
Past Policy relevant Future Climate Change
Drivers – Natural
Climate Change
- warming
- acidification
Drivers - Anthropogenic
Eutrophication
Fishing
Pollution
Invasives
