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Medium Term Plan, 2003-2006with a Long Term Projection to 2010
L. Maiani. CERN
Finance Committee
June 19, 2002
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 2
Summary
1. Roadmap
2. The Scientific Programme, 2003-2006
3. Financial framework and basic assumptions
4. Overview of Resources Distribution
5. Evolution of budgetary lines
6. Financial plan
7. Scenarios and Conclusions
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 3
November 2001
- Facts - Scenario - A look forward
December 2001
- First target for a Plan March 2002
- LongTerm Projection (2003-2012), first draft
June 2002
- Medium Term Plan - Long Term Projection
(2003-2012)
Mid November 2001:
- External Review approved
- - External Review:
interim report
- External Review: final report
ROADMAP
Task Forces
Task Forces
Finance CommitteeNovember 2001
You are HERE!
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 4
2. The Scientific programme 2003-2006
i) the LHC will be commissioned in April 2007;ii) non-LHC activities continue to be steadily reduced from 2003 onwards;iii) neither the SPS nor the PS will run in 2005, while PS and SPS beam-time in 2003, 2004 and 2006 will be reduced by 30%, with respect to normal operation level of 190 to 200 physics days per year;
IMPORTANTOperation of PS and SPS in 2006 is required to:
(i) complete the commissioning of the SPS as the LHC injector, (ii) to provide test beams for the calibration of the CMS calorimeter, (iii) for the CNGS facility and for operation of COMPASS phase 2, if approved
A budget line for fixed target programme has been secured from 2006 onwards.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 5
= Approved = Under Consideration
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
LEPALEPHDELPHIL3OPAL
LHCATLASCMSALICELHCbOther LHC experiments(e.g. TOTEM)
SPS Heavy ionsCOMPASSNA48Test Beams
North Areas West Areas
Neutrino / CNGS
Other FacilitiesTOF NeutronADISOLDECASTDIRACHARPTest beams
East Hall
R&D(Detector & Accelerator)
PS and SPS Shutdown
The Long-Term Scientific Programme(dotted lines represent extensions yet to be approved)
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 6
CERN Neutrino beam to Gran Sasso
• The CNGS Project was approved by the CERN Council in December 1999
• estimated construction cost of 71 MCHF, (2.5 MCHF contingency) and 59 man-years of CERN staff over the 5-year construction period
• CNGS Project uses equipment recuperated from the CERN West Area Neutrino Facility and shares common equipment with the LHC for a value of 22 MCHF.
• Six Member States are making voluntary contributions to CNGS (62 MCHF signed).
• In February 2002 a cost-to-completion review of the CNGS Project was completed, followed by an internal study to reduce the cost.
•This second analysis has shown that only some marginal savings can be made on the 10 sub-systems constituting the facility.
•In conclusion, the Management has decided to set the cost of the CNGS facility at 77.6 MCHF (2.5 MCHF contingency), and manpower of 84 man*year (50 m*y to completion). These figures are used in the Plan
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 7
3. Financial framework
i. income as foreseen in the MTP for 2002-2005
ii. from 2006 onwards the model is based on full indexation of contributions, in line with inflation (2% assumed in this document);
iii. cost-to-completion of the LHC (machine and experimental areas, CERN share of the detectors) as estimated in December 2001 (CERN/CC/2415);
iv. the need for a contingency for the LHC Project of at least 100 MCHF;
v. the extra cost to CERN of LHC Computing Phase 2 is estimated at 60 MCHF, while 20 MCHF of additional external funding is assumed;
vi. LHC repayment period extends to 2010.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 8
4. Distribution of CERN resources (2003-2010, P+M)
Other16%
Energy4%
Debts3%
LHC Exp. 8%
LHC M&A 62%
Infra&Serv.9%
Non LHC Physics Prog.5%
Other Accelerators8%
Tech. Development1%
•Revision of Programme, Project and Activities scheme done in April 02;•CERN staff is attributed to the various lines of activity accordingly and quantified in CHF;•Overall cost of activities is exposed.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 9
Budget for Activities, 2003
MMaterial Budget
57%
6%
4%
5%
1%
1%
4%
1%
8%
9% 4%
LHC machine&areas
LHC detectors
LHC machine operation
LHC detector operation
LHC Injectors
Non LHC expts
Support to sc.prgrm
Technolog. Developmnt
Acc. Prgrm(+CNGS)
Infrastrct. & Services
Energy&Fluids
LHC: 73%
Personnel + Material
42%
9%6%
5%
2%
2%
7%
1%
10%
13% 3%
LHC machine&areas
LHC detectors
LHC machine operation
LHC detector operation
LHC Injectors
Non LHC expts
Support to sc.prgrm
Technolog. Developmnt
Acc. Prgrm(+CNGS)
Infrastrct. & Services
Energy&Fluids
LHC: 64
P+M
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 10
Additional Materials Expenditure in MCHF Nov 2001 March 2002 June 2002
FC/4490* FC/4537 This Plan
2002-2008 2002-2009 2002-2010
LHC M&A construction 475.0 476.3 476.3Prototyping 143.0 143.4 143.4Detector construction and R&D 56.0 56.1 56.1LHC injectors 26.0 26.0 26.0LHC computing-Phase 2 120.0 90.0 90.0LHC infrastructure 53.2 53.4 53.4Radioactive waste 14.0 17.1 17.1
LHC Physics 20.3Non-LHC Physics 3.5EP operation 4.0IT Infrastructure 8.0CNGS construction 6.6CNGS operation 4.0Accelerator Operation 5.0Increase PS intensity 1.0
Total Cost increase 887.2 862.3 914.8
* in 2001 prices Note: LHC extra cost ( Nov. 2001)= = 887 - 53 (infrastruct. - present in MTP 01) - 26 (injectors - same) -14 (radioact. waste)+ 40 (lack of Spec. Contr.) + 15 (stop of over indexation of HS from 2006) = 849
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 11
Savings Plan, Materials in MCHF (2002 prices) Nov. 2001 March 2002 June 2002
FC/4490* FC/4537 This Plan
2002-2008 2002-2009 2002-2010
Cut for LHC prototyping 143.0Cut in R&D 25.8 30.9 30.9Cut in consolidation 18.0 31.0 31.0Savings programme 329.5 329.5PS shutdown in 2005 5.0Impact of one year delay in LHC computing 30.0 30.0Impact of progr. change on Energy Budget 60.0 62.5
Under indexation 2002 from 24.0 24.0Personnel and Debt
Total Savings 186.8 505.4 512.9
* in 2001 prices
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 12
Tab.8 Materials and PE budget Summary(MCHF, 2002 PRICES) same as in May
No details
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Non-LHC PhysicsPersonnel 19.2 12.6 8.6 4.7 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.3
Materials 3.8 2.9 1.6 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
LHC DetectorsPersonnel 62.9 68.4 62.9 60.5 59.5 62.0 61.3 61.3 61.4
Materials 55.1 89.7 46.6 31.8 22.9 19.6 14.5 14.4 14.7 General Support
Personnel 60.7 56.2 52.3 50.0 47.6 43.9 45.1 45.7 45.6
Materials 24.9 28.9 29.1 28.8 49.9 44.1 42.5 38.0 39.0
Technology DevelopmentPersonnel 17.6 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.3 9.2 9.6 9.6 9.6
Materials 7.8 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.8
Accelerators & AreasPersonnel 80.1 69.8 59.4 39.7 47.1 48.6 48.5 48.8 48.7
Materials 61.1 61.1 58.3 34.9 46.3 37.1 36.8 36.5 36.5
LHC Machine & AreasPersonnel 99.9 105.6 105.8 115.7 100.7 92.1 92.0 92.5 92.1
Materials 412.6 547.3 509.8 407.8 272.3 159.4 62.0 65.5 66.2
Infrastructure & ServicesPersonnel (incl. BCP) 123.8 116.1 112.9 113.3 113.3 117.9 117.2 115.1 115.7
Materials (incl. Debts) 117.9 121.2 122.2 109.6 133.9 139.1 141.0 141.2 142.9
GRAND TOTAL 1147.4 1294.7 1184.2 1012.6 912.9 782.5 679.6 677.6 681.8Personnel (incl. BCP) 464.3 438.0 411.3 393.6 380.7 376.4 376.0 375.2 375.4Materials (incl. Debts) 683.2 856.7 772.9 619.0 532.2 406.1 303.5 302.4 306.4
Re-profiling of expenses, no change in cost to completion
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 13
Tab.1 NON LHC PHYSICS PROGRAMME
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Low & medium energy 3.9 2.9 2.7 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6
Personnel 3.3 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8Materials .6 .7 .6 .4 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9
PS & SPS Fixed-Target 13. 8.7 5.3 2.3 1.4 1. .6 .6 .6
Personnel 10.8 6.9 4.5 2.1 1. .6 .2 .2 .2
Materials 2.2 1.8 .8 .2 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4
LEP, other Physics 6. 3.9 2.2 .6 .4 .3 .3 .4 .4
Personnel 5.1 3.5 2. .6 .4 .3 .3 .4 .4Materials .9 .4 .2 . . . . . .
TOTAL non-LHC Physics 23. 15.6 10.2 5.3 4.4 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.5Personnel 19.2 12.6 8.6 4.7 3.1 2.6 2.2 2.3 2.3Materials 3.8 2.9 1.6 .6 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 14
Tab.2. CERN Share of LHC Detector Construction and Operation Cost (more rational distribution between construction and operation w.r.t. May)
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 15
Tab. 3 GENERAL SUPPORT TO THE SCIENTIFIC PROGRAMME
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Physics Data Handling 19.4 18. 18.5 19.4 19.2 19.1 20.6 36.6 36.5
Personnel 11.6 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.3 9.2 10.8 11.1 11.1Materials 7.8 8.1 8.7 9.7 9.9 9.9 9.8 25.4 25.4
LHC Computing GRID 2.2 2.6 1.5 .4 21.1 19. 19.9 . .Personnel 2.2 2.6 1.5 .4 . . . . .
Materials 21.1 19. 19.9 . .
Scientific Support 40.9 39.9 39.2 36.6 34.7 28.4 28. 27.8 28.7Personnel 25. 22.3 22.1 20.8 19.1 16.5 16.4 16.5 16.4Materials 15.9 17.6 17.2 15.8 15.7 11.9 11.6 11.3 12.3
LHC Exprmt Techn. Support 11.7 13.6 12.1 12.4 12.4 11.6 9.3 9.4 9.4Personnel 11.7 11.6 10.1 10.4 10.4 9.6 9.3 9.4 9.4
Materials . 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. . . .
Theory 11.5 11. 10.1 10. 10. 9.9 9.9 10. 10.1
Personnel 10.3 9.8 8.8 8.7 8.7 8.6 8.6 8.7 8.8Materials 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
TOTAL General Support 85.7 85.1 81.4 78.8 97.5 88. 87.6 83.7 84.7Personnel 60.7 56.2 52.3 50. 47.6 43.9 45.1 45.7 45.6Materials 24.9 28.9 29.1 28.8 49.9 44.1 42.5 38. 39.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 16
Tab.4 TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Special technology 2. 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.9
Personnel .4 .6 .6 .6 .6 .8 1. 1. 1.Materials 1.6 .8 .5 .7 .9 .9 .9 .9 .9
R&D detector 2.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1Personnel 2. 1.1 1.1 1. .8 .7 .8 .8 .8
Materials .6 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3
R&D accelerator 17.2 10.2 10.1 10.1 10.1 10. 9.7 9.9 10.2Personnel 12.3 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.2 6.2Materials 4.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.7 4.
Technology Transfer 3.6 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.2Personnel 2.9 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6
Materials .8 .7 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6
TOTAL Technology Develop. 25.4 14.9 14.8 15.1 15. 14.8 15. 15.1 15.4Personnel 17.6 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.3 9.2 9.6 9.6 9.6
Materials 7.8 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.8
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 17
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Machines & Areas
Low & Medium Energy 7.1 6.1 6. 4.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1Personnel 5.1 4.1 3.8 3. 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7Materials 1.9 2. 2.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
PS Complex 31.2 29.7 26.9 15. 24.1 24.8 24.9 24.9 24.9Personnel 22.3 19.8 16.6 10.3 14. 14.8 14.8 14.8 14.8Materials 8.9 9.9 10.3 4.7 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1
SPS Complex 33.7 31.2 27.8 8.1 25.2 25.9 25.8 25.5 25.4Personnel 19.2 16.3 12.9 4.5 11.7 11.2 11. 11.1 11.1Materials 14.6 14.9 14.9 3.5 13.5 14.7 14.7 14.4 14.4
Test Beams 5.3 4.2 3.8 1.2 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7Personnel 3.3 3. 2.7 1.1 1.1 .9 .9 .9 .9Materials 1.9 1.2 1.2 .1 .8 .8 .8 .8 .8
LHC Injectors 17.4 19.5 18.9 13.6 6.3 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.3Personnel 10.4 10.6 9.2 8.1 4.6 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.3Materials 7. 8.9 9.6 5.5 1.8 .3 . . .
CNGS 18.1 18.1 14.5 13.8 11.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6Personnel 2.4 2.4 3. 2.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6Materials 13.7 15.7 15.7 11.5 11. 10. 1. 1. 1. 1.
Technical Services 28.4 22.1 19.8 18.4 19.1 20.9 21. 21.1 21.1Personnel 17.3 13.6 11.2 9.8 10.4 12.2 12.3 12.3 12.3Materials 11.1 8.5 8.6 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.8
TOTAL Accelerators & Areas 141.3 130.9 117.6 74.6 93.4 85.7 85.4 85.3 85.2Personnel 80.1 69.8 59.4 39.7 47.1 48.6 48.5 48.8 48.7Materials 61.1 61.1 58.3 34.9 46.3 37.1 36.8 36.5 36.5
Tab. 5 ACCELERATORS & AREAS PROGRAMME
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 18
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010LHC Tests,…, Pre-ops, M&O 17.4 33.0 38.1 44.7 44.1 60.8 62.0 65.5 66.2
Operation 10.4 11.4 18.1 27.1 32.9 43.4 62.0 65.5 66.2
Supplement. infrastructure 7.0 21.6 20.0 17.6 11.2 17.4
PAST 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010LHC Construction
Machine construction 324.5 480.3 495.1 413.3 288.4 100.6 . . .Personnel 67.7 71.5 71. 68. 66.5 2.Materials 710.4 256.8 408.8 424.2 345.3 221.9 98.6 . . .
Exp. Areas Construction 59.6 51.8 30.1 1. 1.1 1.4 . . .Personnel .4 1. .5 1. 1.1 1.4Materials 171. 59.2 50.8 29.5 . . . . . .
In-Kind Contribution 79.2 54.7 18. 17.8 6.3 . . . .Personnel . . . . . . . . .Materials 267.6 79.2 54.7 18. 17.8 6.3 . . . .
LHC Tests, .., Pre-ops, M&O 17.9 34.6 41.2 60. 54.7 135.4 131.4 135.3 135.7Personnel .5 1.6 3.1 15.2 10.6 74.6 69.4 69.8 69.5Materials 17.41 33. 38.1 44.7 44.1 60.8 62. 65.5 66.2
Technical support 31.3 31.6 31.2 31.5 22.6 14.1 22.6 22.7 22.6Personnel 31.3 31.6 31.2 31.5 22.6 14.1 22.6 22.7 22.6Materials . . . . . . . . .
TOTAL LHC Machine & Areas 512.5 652.9 615.6 523.6 373.1 251.5 154. 158. 158.3Personnel 99.9 105.6 105.8 115.7 100.7 92.1 92. 92.5 92.1Materials 412.6 547.3 509.8 407.8 272.3 159.4 62. 65.5 66.2
Tab.6 LHC Machine & Areas Construction (more rational distribution between construction and operation w.r.t. May)
Tab. 6b
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 19
Tab. 7 INFRASTRUCTURE & SERVICES2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
InfrastructureManufacturing Facilities 6.7 7.4 7.3 7.1 7.5 9.2 9.5 9.5 9.5
Personnel 3.8 3.3 3.1 3. 3.4 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2
Materials 2.9 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.3
Energy & Water Distribution 28.1 25.7 24. 23.6 23.6 23.7 23.4 23.5 23.4Personnel 9.4 8.9 7.8 8.4 9.8 11. 10.7 10.8 10.7Materials 18.7 16.8 16.2 15.3 13.8 12.7 12.7 12.7 12.7
Energy & Fluids Consumpt. 28.4 29.2 30.3 18.9 41.7 47. 48.7 48.8 49.9Personnel . .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6 .6
Materials 28.4 28.6 29.8 18.3 41.1 46.4 48.1 48.3 49.3
General Facilities 22.8 21.9 21.4 21.4 22.3 22.2 22.2 22.3 22.3Personnel 3.6 2. 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4Materials 19.2 20. 19.9 20. 20.9 20.8 20.8 20.8 20.9
Safety & environment 18.5 17.8 17.5 17. 16.6 19.4 19.4 19.4 19.4Personnel 15. 12.4 12.1 11.6 11.2 13. 13. 13. 13.
Materials 3.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4
Informatics & Logistics 39.2 40.4 40. 39.1 38.9 37.7 37.7 37.7 37.8Personnel 26.6 27.1 26.4 25.8 25.8 24.7 24.5 24.7 24.7Materials 12.7 13.4 13.6 13.3 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.1 13.2
ServicesScientific Information 7.2 7.5 7.6 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.4 7.5 7.5
Personnel 4. 4.5 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4Materials 3.2 3. 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
Administration 38.6 37.8 35.8 34.9 35.6 33.1 32.9 33. 33.5Personnel 31.9 30.6 28.6 27.8 28.4 25.8 25.7 25.8 25.9
Materials 6.8 7.2 7.2 7.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.2 7.7
Debt & BCP 52.2 49.6 51.3 53.4 53.6 57.3 57.1 54.5 55.2BCP 29.5 26.8 28.4 30.4 28.4 32.1 31.9 29.2 29.9Debts 22.7 22.8 22.9 23. 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.3
TOTAL Infrastructure & Services 241.7 237.2 235.1 222.9 247.2 257. 258.2 256.3 258.6Personnel (incl. BCP) 123.8 116.1 112.9 113.3 113.3 117.9 117.2 115.1 115.7Materials (incl. Debts) 117.9 121.2 122.2 109.6 133.9 139.1 141. 141.2 142.9
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 20
ANTICIPATED BUDGETARY POSITION(MCHF, CURRENT PRICES)
contingency
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
INCOME 1091.6 1078.4 1040.1 1023.7 1006.5 990.2 1010.6 1031.0 1088.0Regular Contribution 958.2 969.5 981.1 992.8 997.5 1017.5 1037.8 1058.6 1079.8Advance Contribution 30.0 30.0 30.0 -30.0 -30.0 -30.0CNGS External Contrib. 15.2 16.1 10.5 10.4Other Income 9.0 8.1 0.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.4 8.3LHC In-Kind Contributions 79.2 54.7 18.0 17.8 6.3
EXPENDITURE 1147.4 1332.4 1243.7 1083.5 996.4 870.8 770.4 783.5 804.2Personnel 464.3 446.7 427.9 417.7 412.1 415.5 423.4 431.0 439.8Materials 660.5 862.5 792.0 641.3 557.0 427.3 318.5 323.4 334.7Debts 22.7 23.2 23.8 24.4 27.3 27.9 28.4 29.1 29.6
BALANCEAnnual -55.9 -254.0 -203.7 -59.8 10.1 119.4 240.3 247.6 283.8Cumulative -177.2 -431.3 -635.0 -694.7 -684.6 -565.2 -324.9 -77.4 206.4
Cost of loans -1.5 -9.3 -15.2 -15.9 -14.3 -8.0 -1.3
NET POSITIONAnnual -55.9 -255.5 -213.0 -75.0 -5.8 105.1 232.3 246.3 283.8Cumulative -177.8 -433.4 -646.4 -721.4 -727.2 -622.0 -389.8 -143.5 140.3
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 21
Cash flow deficit in the years of LHC construction
PRELIMINARY DRAFT BUDGET FOR 2003(MCHF, 2002 and 2003 PRICES)
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 23
Financial Scenarios
• Scenario 1. No increase in Member States contributions, prolongations of the LHC debt repayment period to 2010.
• Little margin for risks inherent to the completion of the LHC. • Under-uses the research potential of CERN’s infrastructure
and the capability of CERN to disseminate know-how in particle physics and technology in the European Institution. It will hardly be possible for CERN to comply with its mission to “provide for collaboration among European States… for research on high-energy particles, including work in the field of cosmic rays”, to “co-operate to the fullest extent with laboratories and institutes in the territories of Member States within the scope of their programmes of activities”
and to prepare future infrastructures adequate to the importance of the Laboratory.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 24
• Scenario 2. Member States support the extra-cost of LHC computing, (60 MCHF) with a corresponding increase in an LHC contingency to about 200 MCHF.
• Scenario 3. Increase in contributions in the period 2004 to 2010 of 1.5%, to bring the R&D accelerator and detector activities to a level proportionate to the size and importance of the Laboratory (this corresponds to about 100 MCHF, 50 to increase contingency and 50 for additional activities).
• Scenario 4. Increase in contributions in the period 2004 to 2010 of 4%, with contingency and R&D as in scenario 3 and one year reduction of the time gap for the start-up of CERN commitment in new projects for European particle physics after the LHC.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 25
Conclusions
• The plan reflects the determination of the Organization to carry out the LHC whilst remaining within the 1996 budgetary conditions as far as possible.
• It addresses the concerns expressed repeatedly by the FC and by the Council, to see a substantial part of the LHC cost overrun found inside the normal CERN budget.
• Together with the structure and control measures that are being implemented, the Plan ensures the completion of the LHC in sustainable conditions;
• The Plan is coherent with the External Review Committee recommendations.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 26
Conclusions (cont’d)
• Scenario 1 envisages no extra contributions before LHC completion, but it has very little margin for unforeseen events;
• In Scenario 2, a contingency of 200 M for the LHC is built into the system by asking MS to support explicitly the LHC computing structure (60 M);
• Scenario 3 (increased contingency + more R&D, 100 M) would meet the risks and make best use of the present and future potential of CERN, still corresponding to a limited effort from MS.
• Scenario 4. In addition would allow for a one year reduction of the time gap for the start-up of CERN commitments in new projects for European particle physics, after the LHC.
• We hope FC will recommend Council to adopt the Plan and to invest further resources in CERN;
• We urge MS to consider possibility of advanced contributions, to ease cash flow problems.
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 27
• The recent months have shown the dedication of the Staff and their commitment to the Organisation. I am very grateful for that.
• The excellence of the staff is the best guarantee for the successful completion of the LHC and the future vitality of the Laboratory
FC. June 19, 2002 Medium Term Plan, 03-06 28
THE SCIENTIFIC ACTIVITIES OF CERN AND BUDGET ESTIMATES FOR THE YEARS 2003-2006
AND PROJECTION FOR THE YEARS 2007-2010
Council is invited to:
i) approve the overall figures proposed for 2003 so that the detailed preliminary 2003 Draft Budget can be prepared for presentation in September 2002;
ii) take note of the proposed budget estimates for 2004, 2005 and 2006 and of the projections up to 2010.
iii) give indications concerning long-term projections and scenarios so that a formal proposal for a revision of the 1996 decision on the LHC project can be prepared for Council in December.