Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
Krause Fund Research Fall 2016
Materials Recommendation: Hold Analysts
Ryan Gersowsky [email protected]
Mark McLaughlin [email protected]
Company Overview RPM International (RPM) is a multinational holding company specializing in coatings, sealants, building materials, and related services. They have global operations in Asia/Pacific, South/Latin America, Europe, and Africa/Middle East. RPM International had 1.347 billion dollars in global sales last year along 3.467 billion in North American sales. Their FY 2016 Net Income was 357 million an increase of over 129 million from the previous fiscal year. Stock Performance Highlights 52 week High $55.92 52 week Low $36.78 Beta Value 1.1122 Average Daily Volume 589 t Share Highlight Market Capitalization $6.85 b Shares Outstanding 129 m Book Value per share $4.78 EPS (FY 2016) $2,76 P/E Ratio 64.52 Dividend Yield 2.25% Dividend Payout Ratio 40% Company Performance Highlights ROA 7.6% ROE 27.6% Sales $4.814 b Financial Ratios Current Ratio 2.13 Debt to Equity 1.20
RPM International Inc. (NYSE:RPM)
November 15, 2016
Current Price $52.27 Target Price $51.00-57.00
RPM Demonstrates Reliable Cash Flows
Leader in product markets: RPM remains a market leader in most of their niche market products. Examples include Rust-Oleum specialty paint, DAP caulk and sealant, and Tremco roofing. Because of their market position as market leaders, they are able to command higher margins for their products, putting them in a good position for continued success. Further acquisitions in their specialty segment, commanding higher margins than industrial and consumer segments, should also increase profitability. Market expansion: At RPM, 72% of 2016 revenue comes from North America and 19% from Europe. Management has expressed Asia as a prime target for future growth. RPM’s most recent acquisition, Carboline Dalian Paint, has allowed the company another foothold along with Flowcrete, which will allow the company to further, make their products available to Asian consumers. Reliable cash flows: According to management, around 70% of RPM International’s revenue comes from repair and maintenance. This means even in cycle downturns or reduced capital expenditures by companies and reduced spending by consumers, RPM has limited exposure since repairs and maintenance are still needed. Diversified product mix: RPM International has a diversified revenue stream of hundreds of products serving many different markets. This has allowed RPM to effectively weather downtowns in certain industries since others in in portfolios might still be doing well. RPM’s product categories are divided into 3 streams based on end use. These are industrial, consumer, and specialty.
2
One-Year Stock Performance
Source: marketwatch.com iv
We are issuing a hold rating for RPM International Inc. (RPM) for the Krause Fund Portfolio. This decision is based upon our opinion that RPM is fairly priced at its current valuations and future growth estimates have already been priced in. RPM trades at a premium because of its stable cash flows and well run business with excellent management. At a market cap now of $6.85B, as RPM grows larger they will find it increasingly difficult to find and make acquisitions of market leading niche companies at good prices like they have in the past. This, we believe will ultimately have an effect on how quickly they can grow relative to making sure their margins are not squeezed. Our valuation model backs up our thesis by increasing revenue modestly from historic levels to show decreasing revenue growth for the company as it becomes larger and matures. We have gross margins and SG&A as a % of revenue remaining at steady historical levels representing our thesis that RPM will maintain its dominant market position in its niche markets while continuing to expand into new niche markets and absorbing overhead by centralizing the accounting and other management costs to its headquarters. We believe these key factors will ultimately materialize leading RPM’s stock to have an intrinsic value of $51.00-57.00.
US Gross Domestic Product The gross domestic product is a measure of goods and services produced in a country during a given period, adjusted for inflation. GDP growth is vital for the specialty chemicals sub industry because the industrial & consumer
segments will be boosted by an increase in spending by an increase in both their customer bases. Architectural coatings as well as OEM coatings sales are largely dependent on maintenance of homes and personal goods. Therefore, minor growth in GDP does not hinder consumer’s maintenance and repair spending. Since 2009 when the GDP decreased 2.77% the real GDP growth in the United States has fallen relatively flat. Between 2010 and 2015 yearly GDP growth has increased by between 1.6% and 2.6% annually. We believe, that the small growth in Real GDP does not hurt RPM International’s primary source of revenue. It would be preferable if real GDP grew at a faster pace, we feel that small growth in GDP does not obstruct consumer’s and business’s maintenance and repair expenses.
U.S. Annual Real GDP Growth
Source : FREDii
US Interest Rates In 2008, when the United States economy entered a recession, the Federal Reserve underwent a policy of quantitative easing to help stimulate the economy. Quantitative Easing is when a Central Bank buys financial assets from financial institutions; thus raising prices of the financial assets, while lowering the yields. Currently the Fed Funds Rates is 0.25%-0.5%. This rate rose .25 basis points in December of 2015 and has a direct relationship with interest rates xx, xvi. The Federal Reserve is cautiously optimistic that they will be able to raise rates in December of 2016, creating a higher yield amongst U.S. interest rates.
Macroeconomic Outlook
Executive Summary
3
U.S. 10 Year Treasury Yield
Source: FREDiii
Our team believes that the fed funds rate will increase two hikes of 25 basis points a year. Therefore, interest rates will remain lower for longer, but will rise hesitantly. We feel this is a huge positive for the Chemicals industry because it is a capital-intensive industry and requires large initial cash outflows. Chemical companies therefore, take on a lot of debt due to large-scale projects. The low interest rates make it easier to pay back their debt. On the other hand specialty chemicals are less capital intensive however, we view the large amount of unique, low-volume products that need distribution and manufacturing sites are in RPM International’s product line. Lower interest rates positively affect specialty chemical consumers since borrowing for capital expenditures or to buy homes has become cheaper. Exchange Rates RPM International Inc. is in fact a truly international company. They own operating and manufacturing facilities in 24 different countries along with having their products available in 170 different countries. Since RPM is a U.S. based company they have to report their assets in U.S. dollars not local currencies. This places extreme importance on the exchange rate between U.S. dollars and foreign currencies. A dollar strengthening against foreign currencies will cause international companies to report smaller potential profits. RPM International has been negatively affected by the strengthening dollar against foreign currencies. The two major areas where foreign manufacturing and sales are produced are China and Europe. A few of RPM International’s manufacturing sites in their industrial product segments are located in China. China is currently undertaking a policy of devaluing its currency. In June of 2016, the Chinese stock market crashed and the Chinese growth rate fell to 7% in 2016 from an average of 10.6% in 2010. The main tool China has used to depreciate
the yuan was increasing their exports. China’s products are cheaper due to the depreciation of their currency and because of that it is a cost effective option for countries to import Chinese products VI. Currently the USD to CNY exchange rate is 6.81195. In January of 2014, the exchange rate hovered around 6.04. This shows the dramatic effect that the yuan devaluation policy is having. The appreciating USD vs. the Yuan will have a negative impact to U.S. based companies that have to report earnings in dollars.
5 Year Exchange Rate USD vs. CNY
Source: XE.comVII
Outside of the United States a large area of manufacturing takes place in Europe. RPM International manufactures its products in fourteen different countries inside of Europe. Unfortunately, for companies operating inside Europe, 2016 presents a time of uncertainty inside the European Union. On June 23rd, 2016 the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union leaving the entire area in political uncertainty. The results of the vote caused the Euro to fall 4.7 percent the next day. This places extreme doubt in the value of the euro in the future. The United Kingdom has 2 years to determine the terms in which they will leave the European Union VIII. The U.S. dollar was already appreciating against the Euro before this vote, but the results really jolted the value of the dollar versus the Euro. In the future we expect that the dollar will continue to appreciate because other countries like Scotland are contemplating leaving the European Union and in two years when the United Kingdom leaves it will create an uncertain political and economic future for the continent IX.
5 Year Exchange Rate USD vs. EURO
4
Source: XE.com X
Oil Prices
Oil Prices currently are at a relatively low level in 2016. The current selling price is hovering around $43 a barrel. This is a significant decrease from the $100 dollars it was just two years previous. It has rallied a bit since the beginning of the year, but it is still at a very low level by historical standards. The effects of low oil prices have had both a positive and negative affect on the industry. A lower price on oil has had a positive effect on the coating industry because it lowered the prices of raw materials as inputs. This means it is cheaper to manufacture products, thus increasing the margins by not passing on cost savings to consumers through price reductions. Another positive is that oil importing countries experience higher levels of disposable income for consumers, which theoretically boosts spending on construction and consumer goods. This will help companies like RPM International with their foreign sales because they do produce a significant amount of consumer products that benefit from increases in construction and consumer goods spending. There is also a negative impact for US based specialty chemical companies as well. In the United States companies rely more on natural gas for production, whereas foreign companies rely more on oil for their production. Due to the low global price of oil, the competitive production cost advantages the United States companies rely on has been taken away.
Oil Prices Over Last 5 Years
Source: NASDAQ XXVII
It is our expectation that oil prices will remain very volatile. Our team believes that oil prices will likely average out between $45-60. As a team, we feel that the low prices of oil will have more of a positive impact than a negative one on the industry. Lower oil prices will have more of a positive advantage for RPM International because the low prices of oil will lower the inputs of their products as well as increasing a boost in foreign sales. The increase in foreign sales is a major positive for RPM International Inc. Market Outlook The market this year has experienced record low volatility with drastic spikes as economic and political news is released. With the elections over and a candidate chosen, our group believes this should relieve some of the uncertainty that was stirring the market and their future predictions. We expect markets to continue to have sudden spikes of high volatility as more news is released on the president’s choices for handling trade and foreign policy as well as if/when Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve decide to raise interest rates and how quickly.
Overview Our team identifies RPM International to be operating in the coatings and sealants industry. The coatings and sealants industry falls within the specialty chemical sub-industry. The major product categories are used to create a protective/decorative layers in houses, offices, etc. The creations of products within the industry require several substances including resins, solvents, additives, pigments, and diluents. There are main product lines in the Painting and Coatings industry: architectural, original equipment
Industry Analysis
5
manufacturing coatings, special purpose coatings, and miscellaneous coatings. 36.9% of product segmentation in the in the industry comes from architectural coatings while 25.2 % comes from Industrial coatings.
Product Segmentation Coatings Industry
Source: IBISworld.com i
Industry Trends
Government Regulation of VOC’s A major development industry trend is the shift away from products with a high level of Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC’s). VOC’s are released into the air as the coating dries. The major VOC found in coatings is Formaldehyde. It is known to cause headaches, dizziness, and is a potential carcinogen. Due to the health risks that come with VOC’s the US government regulated its use with the Clean Air Act. The Clean Air Act entails that companies reduce their VOC emissions by 3% per year xv. This has caused coating companies to shift toward low VOC products. Major companies already making low VOC products include Sherwin Williams, Benjamin Moore and Behr xix. In the past few years, governments all over the world have implemented standards to try and limit VOC production. In China, manufactures now have a 5% tax for VOC’s above a limit set at 400 g/l. In the United States, the OHSA created a new system called Implementation of the Globally Harmonized System. This creates a standard of transparency between companies and consumers. Stricter standards have been placed on what to include on warning labels for consumer products. This has created an incentive for companies in the coating industry to shift away from VOC products. However, manufacturing VOC products is cheaper than non-VOC products XXV. This is an obvious negative trend for companies in the industry as more expensive manufacturing is going to lead to lower margins or price increases for consumers. In addition, companies in the industry have to spend money on developing new
technologies that are safer for the environment. This creates a lot of sunk costs for companies.
Use of Nanotechnology in Products The use of Nanotechnology in coating products is a recent trend within the product segments. Nanotechnology in this industry is adding metallic or ceramic particles to products in order to specialize them xxx. It is vital for manufacturers to adopt the use of Nanotechnology because it allows coatings to perform at longer lasting levels xxxi. Nanotechnology allows coating companies to put out a superior product. RPM International Inc. does not currently use nanotechnology but in the future, if it wants to remain viable in the specialty coating market, it must start adapting to the new technology and create superior products. Porters Five Forces 1. Threat of New Entrants: Moderate In 2016, the top four firms will combine to make up 51.7% of the total industry revenue. This shows a dramatic 5-year shift since in 2011, the top four firms accounted for 43.1% of the total industry revenue. This shows that there is a lot of consolidation currently taking place within the industry. Brand recognition is becoming crucial because without it, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to remain viable in the market. 2. Threat of Substitutes: Low Specialty chemicals operate in smaller niche markets. The specialty chemicals are used in many every day products used by consumers and businesses. This is not expected to change in the near future. 3. Power of Suppliers: High The specialty chemical industry suppliers are firms that provide raw materials. This means the industry is full of downstream price takers since raw materials make up a large percentage of their inputs. This gives suppliers a lot of bargaining powers. 4. Power of Buyers: Medium The main buyers in this industry are customers and the industrial segment. Both consumers and the industrial segment are relatively price sensitive however, with limited options customers bargaining power is not as high. 5. Industry Rivalry: High The industry rivalry is very high due to it being an already large industry with a lot of competitors with similar products. Each company has tried to specialize and take leads in specific subsectors, but there is still a very intense rivalry among industry leaders.
6
Catalyst for Growth and Change
Emerging Markets An area for extreme growth in the specialty coatings industry is in emerging markets.
Source: IHS XXIX
As seen in the chart, the Chinese and the North American markets dominate the consumption of specialty chemicals. When it comes to the painting and coatings industry some of the largest consumers of specialty chemicals will experience the highest growth. According to IHS Markit, an information services company in London, growth of demand for coatings in China is expected to continue growing at 8% per year, 4-5% in Indonesia, and 11% in India xxx. This provides a very exciting opportunity for painting and coating chemicals to expand into the Asia Pacific region. Multinational coating companies such as PPG, Sherwin-Williams, and RPM International will continue to establish themselves in these markets. Competitive Analysis The best way to do competitive analysis is to compare RPM with their top competitors in a few key financial metrics. Since RPM International is a holding company and has many different products used in a lot of different industries, it is difficult to come up with a perfect metric comparing RPM to it’s main competitors in the coating industry. The metrics our team decided on were: Operating Margin, Profit Margin, ROE, and P/E.
Profit Margin Our team chose to use profit margin as a metric to analyze the top competitors in the industry because it shows us how much of the company’s revenues it is able to keep after all expenses are accounted for. RPM is currently in the middle of the industry leaders with the profit margin of 7.2%.
Although they are trailing SHW and VAL, they are ahead of the leader in revenue in the industry, PPG.
Operating Margin Operating margin was a metric we chose to use when comparing industry leaders because a good indicator of financial health and how much a company can make off of revenue before non-operating expenses. RPM has the worst operating margin of 11.6%. All the other industry leaders are well above 14%. This is red flag when analyzing RPM because it shows that their business operations are not as profitable.
ROE We used the return on equity metric to compare companies because it is important to investors to see what portion of a company’s net income is returned to the shareholders. RPM International currently has a Return on Equity of 27.6%. This is in the middle of the three peer companies. Our team finds that a healthy rate with their current leverage of 1.2 Debt to Equity.
Forward P/E The last metric we chose to use was the forward P/E Ratio. We chose to use this ratio because as a team we preferred to use forecasted earnings because the market is forward thinking. RPM International is average in their forward P/E Ratio amongst peers currently at 18.67. The highest amongst peers is Sherwin Williams Co. at 21.53. Their middle of the road P/E ratio given the industry is a good indicator that RPM is trading at a fair price.
Source: Yahoo22-24
General Information
Overview RPM International Inc. is a holding company that owns diverse businesses that produce specialty chemicals, sealants, and coatings. These products primarily are used for maintenance and improvement purposes. RPM International Inc. manufactures in 24 different countries and
Company Analysis
7
their products are sold in over 170 countries. Frank C. Sullivan founded Republic Powdered Metals in 1947. RPM is headquartered in Medina, Ohio. RPM became a public company on January 13th, 1978 xviii.
Financial Summary & Foreign Sales
In 2016, consolidated sales grew by 4.8%. These sales were driven positively by +2.8% organic growth, +6.7% from acquisitions, and negatively -4.7% from unfavorable exchange rates. Sales for RPM the past 5 years have had a CAGR of 7.3%. Over the past 5 years, average sales growth in industrials, consumer, and specialty segments have been 3%, 8.1% and 39.2% respectively. Our team expects slow growth in the industrial sector. Our team expects between a 2.6% to 3.3% growth in this sector as they continue to face headwinds from the hurting energy sector, slowing capital expenditures from the industrial sector, and a strengthening dollar. From the Consumer and Specialty sectors we expect a high growth with tailwinds from a recovering housing and commercial real estate market and continued repair and maintenance. For the consumer sector we expect an average of growth 1.7% over the next five years. For the specialty segment we expect a growth of 20.4% on average over the next five years. Operating margins in industrial, consumer, and specialty markets in 2016 were 10.6%, 16.4%, and 15.2%. Consolidated operating Margin was 13.3%, relatively higher than the 10 Year Average of 9.96% and has been trending upwards the past 3 years. We believe this trend to continue as the industrial segment improves. RPM International’s foreign revenue has drastically improved as they have made their products available in more countries. The past decade, RPM has made their products available in 20 more countries and their foreign sales account for 11% more of their total revenue. North America still made up the vast majority of RPM International’s total revenue at 72.02%, meaning their success is heavily dependent on North American sales. However, there are other regions that provide significant revenue to RPM. Europe provided 19.6% of RPM’s total revenue. However, in the future we believe that RPM will continue to focus on expanding their influence in the Asia/Pacific region. Despite only having 2.62% of their revenue coming from that region, we expect them to try and obtain a stronger presence. In 2008, RPM acquired Flowcrete, a manufacturer of resin flooring for industrial and commercial uses. Flowcrete was their only stronghold in the Asia/Pacific area until May of 2016, when they acquired Carboline Dalian Paint xvi. This transaction shows that that RPM is committed to playing a more prominent role in the Asia/Pacific markets. We expect that RPM will continue to pursue acquisitions to grow their international sales.
Source: RPM International 2016 Annual Report XII
Corporate Strategy
RPM’s strategy is based on the acquisition of small bolt-on companies that dominate niche markets and command high margins. RPM International has 5 different strategies on how to grow their revenue: Acquisitions, New Product Development, “Value of 168”, Connections, and International Expansion. RPM has already used some of these strategies to help grow their revenues substantially. The main strategy RPM is using is Acquisitions of subsidiaries with the intention of growing their revenue internationally. RPM has already acquired over 150 new companies. This has allowed RPM to enter markets along with providing new products from their existing businesses. The results have been very positive. Between the years of 2005 and 2015, sales in Europe increased from $251 million to $942 million dollars. These results are shown across the rest of the continents as well. In every continent in the past 10 years, RPM has at least doubled their sales. Overall international sales have gone up from $354 million in 2005 to $1.4 billion dollars in annual sales. That is a 395% increase in annual international sales in ten years. Currently, RPM products are sold in over 170 countries and international sales accounts for 36% of the companies $4.8 billion dollars in sales. The Connections Strategy has helped RPM with R&D as well as entering new markets. This strategy is essential for RPM due to their high number of operating companies.
2016 Acquisitions
On November 2nd, 2016 RPM International acquired Adhere Industrial Tapes LTD. Their product line includes single and double-sided tape used for various construction and industrial purposes. The company is based in the United Kingdom and has annual sales of $6 million. XXV
On September 12th, 2016, RPM acquired Specialty Polymer Coatings, Inc. This is a high performance gas and pipeline coating company based in Canada. SPC has annual sales of $26 million. xxxvi
8
On July 5th, 2016 RPM acquired Duram Industries Pty Limited, an Australian company specializing in commercial waterproofing products. The annual sales are approximately $6 million. xxxviii
On May 18th, 2016 RPM acquired the remaining 51% interest in Carboline, Dalian Paint Production Co. This company has a wide variety of corrosion control coatings, with annual sales of around $11 million.xxxix
On March 3rd, 2016 RPM acquired Seal-Krete, a US manufacture of concrete care coatings and sealants. This is a U.S. based company with annual sales of over 10 million. xxviii Products and Markets
RPM International operates numerous product lines. Their product lines are segmented into 3 different revenue streams depending on uses and end users. The lines are Industrial, Consumer, and Specialty.
Source: RPM International 2016 Annual Report XII
The industrial market specializes in serving mostly commercial aftermarket customers in areas such as maintenance and protection products for roofing and waterproofing systems, industrial flooring, passive fire protection, corrosion control and other construction chemicals. This segment includes companies such as Tremco, Illbruck group, and RPM Performance Coatings to name the biggest contributors. The Industrial Segment is responsible for 51% of RPM’s total revenue. The Consumer segment’s products are used for rust-preventative, special purpose and decorative paints, caulks, sealants, primers, nail enamels, cement and Wood Care coatings, and other branded consumer products. Companies in this segment include: Rust-Oleum, DAP, and SPG. Consumer segment makes up 34% of net sales. The specialty segment assists many industries in areas of industrial cleaners, restoration services, equipment, colorants, exterior finishes, edible coatings, and other specialty OEM coatings. The Specialty makes up 15% of Revenue. Companies include: Day-Glo, Dryvit, and Mohawk xxiii.
According to Christopher Perrella, a BI Industry analyst, 15% of RPM sales in the past three fiscal years come from new products. Tremco, a Roofing and Building maintenance operating company continues to grow at a fast rate due to their new product lines. Tremco’s new line of roof coatings, Another products, Alphaguard has helped lead RPM to secure the Repair and Maintenance market in the consumer and Industrial segment and is responsible for 70 percent of their annual revenue xxviii.
RPM’s Revenue Breakdown
Source: RPM 2016 Annual Report XII
Life Cycle
RPM International is very different from a lot of other company’s in the coating industry. Due to their wide variety of products and their revenue breakdown, RPM International is a relatively non-cyclical company. 70 percent of RPM’s revenue comes from repair and maintenance in their consumer and industrial product lines. These costs are not cyclical in nature because they occur in all economic conditions. Production and Distribution RPM International has 50 operating companies (BI Primer). RPM International currently has more than 13,000 employees manufacturing in 120 facilities in 24 different countries. Production is worldwide due to them acquiring operating companies all over the world. The majority of the production plants are in the United States, but there are plants in South Africa, the United Kingdom, New Zealand amongst others xxi. RPM International’s distribution is mainly done through two channels. The first channel of distribution is through home improvement retail chains. The main retail chains are Home Depot and Lowe’s. They distribute the products from the consumer segment for “Do it yourself” consumers. In 2016, Home Depot was responsible for 10 percent of the consolidated net sales xiii. The industrial and specialty product lines are sold directly to contractors, distributors, end users, and other commercial customers.
9
Key Catalysts for Growth/ Change
Housing Starts
A major catalyst for the specialty chemical sub industry is housing starts. Housing starts have skyrocketed over the past five years. From January 2011 to January 2016 there has been a 12% increase in housing starts. Housing starts plummeted 72% from January 2006 to January 2011.
Housing Starts in the United States
Source: Fred V
Housing Starts will increase the demand for specialty chemicals. The product category it has the greatest affect on is the consumer segment. Housing starts increase the demand for specialty coatings such as garage and basement coatings. The rise in housing starts benefits some of RPM’s market leading brands in the consumer segment. Most notably Rust-Oleum, a specialty paint product that is rust preventative, should see an increase in sales. It also is a great indicator for a number of their other products that involve home maintenance and repair. The more people moving into houses the more optimistic our team feels about the future revenue of RPM.
Rising Auto Sales
Global sales for automobiles have accelerated since 2012. In the twelve years before 2012 the number of automobiles sold was 52.57 million. In 2012, that trend changed, that year alone 68.85 million cars were sold globally and in 2016 that number increased to 75.24 million. That is a 9.28% increase in car sales in the past four years.
Global Car Sales Since 1990
Source: Statista.com xxiii
Global car sales affect RPM’s coatings sales through their specialty OEM coatings as well as their automobile coating divisions. RPM International has tried to gain a larger market share in the automobile coating industry in recent years through acquisitions. Most notably, RPM in 2013 acquired an Australian automotive coatings company: HiChem Paint Technologies.xxxiii An increase in international sales will increase demand for their automobile coating product line. It will also help sales in a high-growth segment for RPM: the specialty segment. The specialty segment contains specialty OEM coating products that are used on machinery that help manufacture cars. As the increase in demand for cars increase, so will the demand for the specialty OEM coating products. The affects of the rise in global auto sales are already being felt for the fiscal year 2017. For the first quarter of 2017 specialty segment which includes OEM coatings, net sales increased 3.8% to $176.3 Million from $169.9 million from the first quarter of the fiscal year of 2016.xxxiv Competition The industry that provides the most competition for RPM is the coating industry. RPM has acquired a substantial amount of operating companies in niche markets, thus RPM has been able remain dominant and command higher margins in these industries. Our team identified PPG Industries, Sherwin Williams Co, Valspar, and AzkoNobel as three of the main competitors of RPM International Inc. Our team expects RPM to continue to steer clear of the crowded marketplace by continuing their acquisitions toward products in which they can dominate the market. S.W.O.T Analysis Strengths: RPM International is involved in a lot of niche markets, therefore they are able to dominate and control the price points within the industry. This is a result of lack of competition within the industry. Due to the lack of
10
competition and superior products, they are able to command a higher margin. 70% of RPM’s revenue comes from Repair and maintenance in the consumer and industrial products market. Repair and maintenance provides stable and predictable cash flows even during economic downturns. The large United States presence can be seen as another strength of RPM. The dollar is strengthening compared to the emerging markets making it easier to avoid foreign turmoil. Weaknesses: A major weakness for RPM International is their corporate strategy of relying on international acquisitions. It is an investor’s preference for internal growth rather than a heavy reliance on international acquisition to obtain growth. A second weakness is the pending lawsuits against RPM for asbestos product related lawsuits. Although potential settlement amounts are unknown, there is a strong likelihood that settlement amounts will be substantial. Opportunities: The major opportunities will be in their strategic acquisition into the Asia and Pacific market. RPM’s strategy of entering new markets through acquisitions is working as international sales have increased by 345% in the past ten years. Only $126 million of the $1.4 billion dollars in international sales come from Asian markets. This equates to 9 percent of their international sales. RPM is already capitalizing on this opportunity. On July 5th, 2016 RPM acquired Duram Industries Pty Limited. Duram is an Australian Based company with a wide range of waterproofing products xvii. Growth going forward is heavily dependent on RPM’s ability to successfully enter the Asia and Pacific Market. Threats: The weakening foreign currency to the US dollar threatens potential earnings with their given international expansion corporate strategy. According to RPM, their current sales were up 4.8%, but the actual growth was up about 10% against previous year currencies. Therefore growth is not as strong as it should be. This is a huge problem given their international acquisition strategy. RPM’s growth in the future can be inhibited if foreign currencies continue their negative trend in comparison to the dollar.
Revenue Decomposition
Unfortunately, RPM International was not greatly transparent in their revenue decomposition and this made it hard to make accurate predictions of future revenue based on specific drivers. RPM divided their revenue into three
categories based on the end use of consumers. The industrial segment is their largest stream making up 51% of revenues. The products in industrial are used by contractors and direct end users for use in manufacturing, public institutions and other commercial applications. The consumer segment is composed of 34% of total revenue. Consumer products include paints, primers, caulks & sealers, deck and driveway coatings to name a few. The specialty segment makes up 15% of sales and its products include florescent pigments, powder and marine coatings, cleaning solutions. From management discussion, we learned that the Industrial segment has recently undergone challenges and has been face with squeezed margins because of the hurting oil & gas industry. We believe that as oil prices rise from historic lows and the energy industry recovers, RPM International will gain tailwinds from increased expenditures and maintenance from that industry. The consumer segment is primarily bought in North America, but has a growing presence in Europe and the United Kingdom. We believe that as RPM’s international market grows, there are a lot of great opportunities to grow this segment overseas, especially in Asia. The specialty segment in our opinion overall is the hardest to value considering it is made up of such a large variety of products, serving different industries. This product line is also a valuable one for RPM since it has the highest margins of any of the other industries. A lot of their products serve very niche markets such as marine coatings and therefore are able to command higher margins. We see RPM picking up a lot more specialty companies going forward as they look for more strong acquisition growth, buying up market leading companies. We couldn’t decompose revenue by product line, because RPM only released revenue and EBIT values for each segment, not disclosing COGS, SG&A, or any other important factors associated with valuing each division separately. Therefore, we attached a safe growth rate from historical levels starting at 5% and slowly dropping until left at 3% before their continual value growth rate of 2.5% 10 years out.
Gross Margin
Valuation Analysis
11
We chose 44.41% as our Gross Profit Margin % going forward in our model. Since 2009, Gross Margin % has been trending upwards. Margins from the consumer segment and specialty segment have been historically strongest. Although we believe headwinds from the hurting oil & gas sector have been hurting the industrial segment, which will recover going into the future and thus expand margins.
SG&A
SG&A has remained relatively stable between about 32.5% and 31% over the past 10 years. We remain confident it will stay in this range and chose 31% so reflect the average of the last 5 years. In management notes, the management discussed initiatives for cost cutting going into the future. As RPM acquires more companies, management hopes that taking marketing, accounting, and other overhead expenditures in-house at headquarters will overall allow SG&A to decrease as a % of total sale.
Profit Margin
Profit Margin has trended upwards over the past 10 years. In the last 5 years, if taken out the anomally of contingency fees and other non-operating expenses, margins would have steadily grown through 2016 as well. Our group predicts
and our model shows profit margins rising slowly, but steadily over the foreseable future. Boosted primarily by increasing sales over RPM’s fixed costs and if it is able to lower SG&A as a % of total revenue.
Depreciation
Annual Depreciation expense was taken as a % of net book PP&E value from the beginning of the year. We averaged the past 5 years and came up with 12% which we flatlined across the remaining forecasted years.
Capital Expenditures
There was no management guidance on future capital expenditures. In order to forecast, we calculated capital expenditures as a % of gross PP&E. The average capex over the past 10 years as a % of PPE was 6.5% so we flatlined that going into the foreseable future and the numbers seemed reasonable and accurate.
WACC
Cost of Equity: To find the Cost of Equity, our group decided to use the CAPM model for its simplicity and universal understanding. We found the beta by looking up raw beta from a bloomberg terminal. We found the 2 year raw beta seemed the best fit after toggling between 1 year, 2 year, and 5 year weekly betas. Our risk free rate of 2.52% was a proxied yield on the 30 year treasury bill. Our market Equity Risk Premium of 5% was taken from Damodaran, a valuation proffessor from NYU and his suggested amount. This data was used to come up with a Cost of Equity of 8.13%. Cost of Debt: Using a Bloomberg terminal, we found RPM’s corporate bonds maturing in the year 2045 to have a yield of 5.14%. We chose the 2045 maturity because 29 years maturity was the closest we could find to the 30-year treasury bill yield we used as a proxy for the risk-free rate. Capital Structure: After checking management notes, we found no information on capital structure going forward. We then assumed the weights of equity and debt would stay the same. Discounted Cash Flow and Economic Profit Model: We believe that the Discounted Cash flow and Economic Profit model are the most accurate models we created in valuing the intrinsic value of RPM International’s stock. Both models predicted the same intrinsic value of a share at $53.82. Into the forecasted ROIC became small starting at 20% in 2016 and slowly dropping down to 16%, but this also follows the narrative of the companies ROIC being squeezed back all the way since 2006 average around 24%
12
range. An ROIC of 15.27% is still well above RPM International’s WACC of 7.10% thus they are still generating a positive economic profit and free cash flow.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM) The Dividend Discount Model provided us with an intrinsic stock price of $20.69. This intrinsic stock price is well below RPM’s current trading price of around $51.00. RPM’s dividend payout ratio is only around 40% which is what we forecasted them to continue to pay into the future. RPM is still a growing company through organic and strong acquisition growth and therefore tends to not pay as high of a dividend as they could or will in their maturing stage. Since their dividend is low and the company puts an emphasis on growth rather than steady growing dividends rates, we put less emphasis on this model.
Relative P/E & PEG Ratio
The Relative P/E Ratio produced an intrinsic stock value of $48.94 in respect to foreward 2017EPS and $49.20 in respect to foreward 2018EPS. We compared the P/E Ratios of 3 similair companies to RPM International. The Relative PEG produced an intrinsic stock value of $42.36 using 2017EPS and $42.70 using 2018EPS. It was hard picking similair companies to RPM since they are a holding company and their product lines and customers are so diverse. RPM International does have a large exposure to the painting and coating industry in their portfolio and has similair growth. Out of competing paint and coatings companies we chose Sherwin-Williams, PPG Industries, and Valspar corpoation. Because of the difficulty choosing direct competitors and since the relative P/E and PEG models’ tendency to be short-sighted only looking as far as 2 years in advance, we put less emphasis on this model than the DCF and EP models. Although it is a good check figure for current pricing of the shares since they are very close to the models prices.
COGS% of Sales Vs. SGA % of Sales
The sensitivity between these two metrics are moderate relative to our stock price. An increase of twenty-five basis points will lead to a $1.61 decrease in our intrinsic stock price. On the other hand a decrease will lead to a price increase of $1.56. SG&A sensitivity has a very similar effect on our models price. A rise of twenty-five basis points leads to a decrease in price of $1.58 while a decrease leads to $1.59 increase in price.
WACC Vs. CV NOPLAT
WACC and CV NOPLAT are key metrics when coming up with our target price range. Both values are crucial in the DCF and EP models. WACC is critical in the DCF and EP Model because it discounts the cash flows back to the present value. An increase in the WACC will lower the PV of FCF, thus lowering the intrinsic stock price. CV of NOPLAT is a key metric because the higher the growth rate of NOPLAT the higher PV of FCF will be thus increasing the intrinsic stock price. Raising the WACC 10 basis points will decrease the stock price by $1.83 while lowering it will raise the price by $2.05. Increasing the CV NOPLAT by 25 basis points will lead to a $2.25 change in price while a decrease will lead to a $2.83 decrease in price.
Marginal Tax Rate Vs. Pretax Cost of Debt:
The pretax cost of debt we used RPM corparate bond debt yielding in 29 years. Both of these metrics have a significant impact on our intrinsic stock value. Pretax cost of debt has a direct effect on RPM’s WACC. The marginal tax rate affects the NOPLAT when adjusting accumulated taxes as well as the WACC because it affects the after tax cost debt. Changing the Marginal Tax rate and the Pretax cost of debt by fifty basis points led to very minor changes to the intrinsic value of the stock. Increasing the marginal tax rate led to a $0.23 decrease in price while a decrease led to a $0.23 increase in price. Adjusting the Pre Tax Cost of Debt had very similar afftect. Raising the Pre Tax Cost of Debt increased the stock price by $0.85. Decreasing the Pretax Rd lowered our value by $0.86.
Sensitivity Analysis
13
CV ROIC Vs. CV NOPLAT
CV ROIC is an extremly important metric when analyzing RPM International because we used the DCF Model as our primary valuation model. The CV of ROIC impacts the CV of futrue cash flows therefore, it has a direct correlation to our our intrinsic stock price. Increasing CV NOPLAT twenty five basis points will lead to an increase of $2.25 while a decrease will lead to a $2.02 decreae. Adjusting the CV ROIC will also have an impact on our price. An increase of twenty-five basis points will lead to a $0.19 increase and a decreaes will cause a $0.29 decrease in price.
Beta Vs. Pre Tax Cost of Debt
We analyzed these two metrics because they are important figures in the calculation of WACC. On one side of the equation you have Beta, which is a significant factor in calculating the cost of equity. On the other hand, the cost of debt affects the the value of debt in the WACC calculation. Our team wanted insight on how these two metrics interacted. Raising beta by .05 decreased the price by $3.58 while decreasing raised it by $3.89. Manipulating the pretax Rd by fifty basis points had an affect on the price as well. Rasing Rd increased the price by $0.85 and decreasing the Rd decreased the instrinsic price by $0.86.
Important Disclaimer This report was created by students enrolled in the Security Analysis (6F: 112) class at the University of Iowa. The report was originally created to offer an internal investment recommendation for the University of Iowa Krause Fund and its advisory board. The report also provides potential employers and other interested parties an example of the students’ skills, knowledge and abilities. Members of the Krause Fund are not registered investment advisors, brokers or officially licensed financial professionals. The investment advice contained in this report does not represent an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned. Unless otherwise noted, facts and figures included in this report are from publicly available sources. This report is not a complete compilation of data, and its accuracy is not guaranteed. From time to time, the University of Iowa, its faculty, staff, students, or the Krause Fund may hold a financial interest in the companies mentioned in this report
i. BIS World. IBIS, n.d. Web. 2 Oct. 2016. <http://clients1.ibisworld.com.proxy.lib.uiowa.edu/reports/us/industry/industryoutlook.aspx?entid=492> ii. "Real Gross Domestic Product." - FRED. N.p., n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GDPC1>. iii. . "10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate." - FRED. N.p., n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10>. iv. “RPM International Inc." RPM Stock Charts. Market Watch, 13 Nov. 2016. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/rpm/charts?symb=RPM&countrycode=US&time=8&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=11%2F10%2F2016&freq=1&compidx=SP500&compind=none&comptemptext=Enter%2BSymbol%28s%29&comp=none&uf=0&ma=0&maval=50&lf=1&lf2=4&lf3=0&type=64&size=2&style=1013>. V. Housing Starts: Total: New Privately Owned Housing Units Started." FRED. FRED, n.d. Web. 11 Nov. 2016. <https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST>. vi. Doerer, Kristen. "Your Guide to China's Devaluation of Its Currency." PBS. PBS, 17 Aug. 2015. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <http://www.pbs.org/newshour/making-sense/whats-happening-chinas-currency/>.
Works Cited
14
Vii. "CNY per 1 USD - Past 24 Hrs." XE: USD / CNY Currency Chart. US Dollar to Chinese Yuan Renminbi Rates. N.p., n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. viii. "The Euro Struggles to Escape Brexit's Shadow." Financial Times. Financial Times, n.d. Web. 09 Nov. 2016. <https://www.ft.com/content/e4ce2442-3c49-11e6-9f2c-36b487ebd80a>. IX. Martchev, Ivan. "The Brexit Currency Domino Effect Isn't over Yet." MarketWatch. N.p., 06 July 2016. Web. 9 Nov. 2016. <http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-brexit-currency-domino-effect-isnt-over-yet-2016-07-06>. x. EUR per 1 USD - Past 24 Hrs." XE: USD / EUR Currency Chart. US Dollar to Euro Rates. N.p., n.d. Web. 7 Oct. 2016 <http://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=USD&to=EUR&view=5Y>. xi. Radcliffe, Brent. "Quantitative Easing." Investopedia. N.p., 20 Nov. 2013. Web. 29 Sept. 2016. <http://www.investopedia.com/terms/q/quantitative-easing.asp>. xii. RPM International 2016 Annual Report xiii. RPM International Inc. 2016 10-K xiv. Muir, Christopher. "Industry Survey: Chemicals." Net Advantage Standard and Poors. S&P Global Market Intelligence, May 2016. Web. Oct. 2016. <http://www.netadvantage.standardandpoors.com.proxy.lib.uiowa.edu/NASApp/NetAdvantage/showIndustrySurveyPDF.do?task=showIndustrySurvey&code=che&type=pdf> xiv. Weiner, Robert M. Worldwide Cleaning Industry Association (n.d.): n. pag. ISSA. ISSA, 12 Aug. 2015. Web. <Summary of State and Federal VOC Limitations for Institutional and Consumer Products>. xvi. RPM International (RPM) Unit Acquires Carboline Dalian Paint Production." Street Insider. Street Insider, 18 May 2016. Web. 12 Nov. 2016. <http://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/RPM+International+(RPM)+Unit+Acquires+Carboline+Dalian+Paint+Production/11650016.html>. xvii. "Street Insider." RPM International (RPM) Unit Acquires Duram Industries Pty Ltd. Street Insider, 5 July 2016. Web. Oct.-Nov. 2016. <http://www.streetinsider.com/Corporate+News/RPM+International+(RPM)+Unit+Acquires+Duram+Industries+Pty+Ltd./11802442.html>. xviii. "History." RPM International Inc. RPM International Inc, n.d. Web. Oct. 2016. <http://www.rpminc.com/about-rpm/history/>. xix. Moloney, Claire. "Is Low VOC Paint More Expensive?: Cost Benefit Analysis." Green Building Professional Community. Popualar Network, 26 June 2014. Web. 7 Nov. 2016. <https://www.poplarnetwork.com/news/low-voc-paint-more-expensive-cost-benefit-analysis>.
xx. Gillepsie, Patric. "The Fed's Rate Hike...in 2 Minutes." CNNMoney. Cable News Network, 16 Dec. 2015. Web. 22 Oct. 2016. <http://money.cnn.com/2015/12/15/news/economy/fed-rate-hike-2-minutes/>. xxi. "Subsidiaries and Plant Locations." RPM International Inc. -. RPM International Inc, 2008. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <http://rpminc.com/2008ar/subsidiaries.asp>. xxii. "SHW : Summary for Sherwin-Williams Company (The) - Yahoo Finance." SHW : Summary for Sherwin-Williams Company (The) - Yahoo Finance. Yahoo Finance, n.d. Web. Sept.-Oct. 2016. <http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SHW?p=SHW>. xxiii. "VAL : Summary for Valspar Corporation (The) Commo - Yahoo Finance." VAL : Summary for Valspar Corporation (The) Commo - Yahoo Finance. Yahoo Finance, n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VAL/?p=VAL>. xxiv. "PPG : Summary for PPG Industries, Inc. Common Sto - Yahoo Finance." PPG : Summary for PPG Industries, Inc. Common Sto - Yahoo Finance. Yahoo Finance, n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <http://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PPG/?p=PPG>. xxv. Challener, Cynthia. "Important Market Trends Impact the Industry in 2016 - American Coatings Association." American Coatings Association. American Coatings Association, n.d. Web. Sept.-Oct. 2016. <http://www.paint.org/article/important-market-trends-impact-the-industry-in-2016/>. xxvi. Irwin, Neil. "Quantitative Easing Is Ending. Here’s What It Did, in Charts." The New York Times. The New York Times, 29 Oct. 2014. Web. 12 Oct. 2016. <http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/30/upshot/quantitative-easing-is-about-to-end-heres-what-it-did-in-seven-charts.html?_r=0>. xxvii. "Commodities: Latest Crude Oil Price & Chart." NASDAQ.com. NASDAQ, n.d. Web. 13 Nov. 2016. <http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx?timeframe=5y>. xxviii. Bloomberg Terminal xxix. "Overview of the Specialty Chemicals Industry." Specialty Chemicals Industry Update SCUP. IHS Markit, Aug. 2016. Web. Oct. 2016. <https://www.ihs.com/products/specialty-chemicals-industry-scup.html>. xxx. "Paint and Coatings Industry Overview." Chemical Economics Handbook (CEH). IHS Markit, Mar. 2015. Web. Oct.-Nov. 2016. <https://www.ihs.com/products/paint-and-coatings-industry-chemical-economics-handbook.html>. xxxi. Novel Technology Enables Industrial Coatings to Perform at New and Longer-Lasting Levels." PCI Magazine RSS. Painting & Coatings Industry Magazine, 1 Nov. 2016. Web. 14 Nov. 2016. <http://www.pcimag.com/articles/102657-novel-technology-enables-industrial-coatings-to-perform-at-new-and-longer-lasting-levels>.
15
xxxii. Cho, Janet H. "RPM Buys Australian Automotive Coatings Company HiChem Paint Technologies." Cleveland.com. N.p., 4 Apr. 2012. Web. 14 Nov. 2016. <http://www.cleveland.com/business/index.ssf/2012/04/rpm_buys_australian_automotive.html>. xxxiii "Global Car Sales 1990-2016 | Forecast." Statista. N.p., n.d. Web. 15 Nov. 2016. <https://www.statista.com/statistics/200002/international-car-sales-since-1990/>. xxxiv. Cho, Janet H. "RPM Posts Record $1.25 Billion in Sales, $113 Million in Profits for 1st Quarter of Fiscal 2017." Cleveland.com. N.p., 06 Oct. 2016. Web. 15 Nov. 2016. <http://www.cleveland.com/business/index.ssf/2016/10/rpm_posts_record_125_billion_i.html>. xxxvi "News Release." - RPM International Inc. N.p., 12 Sept. 2016. Web. 15 Nov. 2016. <http://www.rpminc.com/news-releases/news-release/?reqid=2201092>. xxxvii "News Release." - RPM International Inc. N.p., 5 July 2016. Web. 15 Nov. 2016. <http://www.rpminc.com/news-releases/news-release/?reqid=2182123>. xxxix "News Release." RPM International. N.p., 3 Mar. 2016. Web. 14 Nov. 2016. <http://www.rpminc.com/news-releases/news-release/?reqid=216946>.
RPM International Inc.
Key Assumptions of Valuation Model
Ticker Symbol RPM
Current Share Price $52.27
Current Model Date 9/30/2016
Fiscal Year End 31‐May
Pre‐Tax Cost of Debt 5.14%
Beta 1.122
Risk‐Free Rate 2.52%
Equity Risk Premium 5.00%
CV Growth of NOPLAT 2.50%
CV Growth of EPS 2.50%
Current Dividend Yield 2.08%
Payout Ratio 40.38%
Marginal Tax Rate 35%
Effective Tax Rate
Average Cash % of Revenue 6.83%
Intrinsic Value of Stock Price 53.82
WACC 7.1037%
SG&A % of Net Sales 31.501%
COGS % of Net Sales 55.59%
Cost of Equity 8.13%
CV of ROIC 15.27%
RPM International Inc.Revenue Decomposition
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Industrial Segment:
Revenue $2,464,266 $2,533,476 $2,444,120 $2,529,664 $2,611,878 $2,690,235 $2,770,942 $2,854,070 $2,939,692 $3,027,883 $3,118,719 $3,212,281 $3,308,649
% Growth ‐6.5% 2.8% ‐3.5% 3.5% 3.3% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
EBIT 244,605 255,187 258,768 $278,263 $280,777 $295,926 $304,804 $313,948 $323,366 $333,067 $343,059 $353,351 $363,951
Operating Margin 9.9% 10.1% 10.6% 11.0% 10.8% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0%
Interest Expense ‐10,482.00 ‐8,190.00 ‐5,987.00
Pretax Income $234,123.00 $246,997.00 $252,781.00
Consumer Segment:
Revenue $1,606,696 $1,603,829 $1,637,438 $1,677,555 $1,712,784 $1,834,392 $1,727,997 $1,772,925 $1,842,246 $1,993,310 $2,087,195 $2,048,582 $2,098,363
% Growth 11.4% ‐0.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 7.1% ‐5.8% 2.6% 3.9% 8.2% 4.7% ‐1.9% 2.4%
EBIT 251,107 273,967 268,178 251,633 248,354 255,898 221,184 251,755 292,917 295,010 317,254 329,822 272,787
Operating Margin 15.6% 17.1% 16.4% 15.0% 14.5% 14.0% 12.8% 14.2% 15.9% 14.8% 15.2% 16.1% 13.0%
Interest Income/Expense 122 34 40
Pretax Income $251,229.00 $274,001.00 $268,218.00
Specialty Segment:
Revenue $305,391 $457,245 $732,091 $1,098,137 $1,372,671 $1,537,391 $1,675,756 $1,776,302 $1,865,117 $1,956,507 $2,042,594 $2,140,638 $2,230,545
% Growth 49.7% 60.1% 50.0% 25.0% 12.0% 9.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 4.8% 4.2%
EBIT 61,373.00 67,806.00 111,215.00 170,211 210,019 247,520 278,176 245,130 264,847 254,092 241,639 262,228 292,201
Operating Margin 20.1% 14.8% 15.2% 15.5% 15.3% 16.1% 16.6% 13.8% 14.2% 13.0% 11.8% 12.3% 13.1%
Interest Income/Expense 255 534 730
Pretax Income $61,628 $68,340 $111,945
Consolidated:
Revenue $4,376,353 $4,594,550 $4,813,649 $5,305,356 $5,697,333 $6,062,017 $6,174,695 $6,403,296 $6,647,055 $6,977,701 $7,248,508 $7,401,501 $7,637,557
% Growth 7.30% 4.99% 4.77% 10.21% 7.39% 6.40% 1.86% 3.70% 3.81% 4.97% 3.88% 2.11% 3.19%
EBIT 557085 596960 638161 700108 739149 799343 804163 810833 881130 882169 901952 945401 928940
Intrest Expense
Pretax Income 557,085$ 596,960$ 638,161$ 700,108$ 739,149$ 799,343$ 804,163$ 810,833$ 881,130$ 882,169$ 901,952$ 945,401$ 928,940$
RPM International Inc.
Income Statement
For the year ended May 31, 2016 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Net Sales $4,376,353 $4,594,550 $4,813,649 5,054,331$ 5,307,048$ 5,545,865$ 5,795,429$ 6,027,246$ 6,268,336$ 6,487,728$ 6,714,798$ 6,916,242$ 7,123,730$
Cost of Sales 2,410,516 2,554,005 2,615,562 2,809,587 2,950,066 3,082,819 3,221,546 3,350,408 3,484,424 3,606,379 3,732,602 3,844,581 3,959,918
Gross Profit 1,965,837$ 2,040,545$ 2,198,087$ 2,244,744$ 2,356,982$ 2,463,046$ 2,573,883$ 2,676,838$ 2,783,912$ 2,881,349$ 2,982,196$ 3,071,662$ 3,163,812$
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses 1,390,128 1,422,944 1,520,977 1,592,173 1,671,781 1,747,012 1,825,627 1,898,652 1,974,598 2,043,709 2,115,239 2,178,696 2,244,057
Depreciation 58,543 62,188 66,732 77,421 108,026 136,872 164,067 189,898 214,392 237,788 260,048 281,373 301,674
Amortization 31,526 36,988 44,307 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440
Asbestos Charges (Settlement Income) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goodwill and Other Intangible Asset Impairment 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Net Loss Upon Deconsolidation of SPHC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Estimated Loss on Contingency 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Restructuring Expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Interest Expense 80,951 87,615 91,683 84,864 94,332 100,736 106,752 112,636 118,166 123,593 128,665 133,645 138,256
Investment (Income), Net ‐15,715 ‐18,577 ‐10,365 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Other Expense (Income), Net ‐4,083 ‐3,866 1,287 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Income Before Income Taxes 424,487$ 453,253$ 483,466$ 473,847$ 466,403$ 461,986$ 460,997$ 459,212$ 460,315$ 459,818$ 461,804$ 461,507$ 463,384$
Provision for Income Taxes 118,503 224,925 126,008 165,846$ 163,241$ 161,695$ 161,349$ 160,724$ 161,110$ 160,936$ 161,631$ 161,528$ 162,185$
Net Income 305,984$ 228,328$ 357,458$ 308,000$ 303,162$ 300,291$ 299,648$ 298,488$ 299,205$ 298,882$ 300,172$ 299,980$ 301,200$
Less: Net Income (Loss) Attributable to 14,324 ‐11,156 2,733 2,955 3,195 3,455 3,736 4,040 4,368 4,723 5,108 5,523 5,972
Noncontrolling Interests
Net Income Attributable to RPM International $291,660 $239,484 $354,725 305,045$ 299,966$ 296,836$ 295,912$ 294,448$ 294,836$ 294,158$ 295,065$ 294,457$ 295,228$
Inc. Stockholders
Average Number of Shares of Common Stock
Outstanding:
Basic 129,438 129,933 129,383 129,273 129,210 129,189 129,207 129,262 129,350 129,469 129,618 129,792 129,992
Diluted 132,288 134,893 136,716
Earnings per Share of Common Stock Attributable
to RPM International Inc. Stockholders:
Basic 2.20 1.81 2.70 2.36 2.32 2.30 2.29 2.28 2.28 2.27 2.28 2.27 2.27
Diluted 2.18 1.78 2.63
Cash Dividends Declared per Share of Common $0.95 $1.02 $1.09 0.95$ 0.94$ 0.93$ 0.93$ 0.92$ 0.93$ 0.92$ 0.93$ 0.92$ 0.93$
RPM International Inc.
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Assets
Current Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 332,868$ 174,711$ 265,152$ $ 140,880 $ 170,830 $ 206,915 $ 250,224 $ 299,310 $ 355,095 $ 416,058 $ 483,244 $ 555,050 $ 632,627
Net Trade accounts receivable 873,946 956,211 963,092 1,011,247 1,061,809 1,109,590 1,159,522 1,205,903 1,254,139 1,298,034 1,343,465 1,383,769 1,425,282
Inventories 613,644 674,205 685,818 720,109 756,114 790,139 825,696 858,724 893,073 924,330 956,682 985,382 1,014,944
Deferred income taxes 22,281 29,892 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 219,556 264,827 224,280 285,392 299,661 313,146 327,237 340,327 353,940 366,328 379,149 390,524 402,240
Total current assets 2,062,295$ 2,099,846$ 2,138,342$ 2,157,627$ 2,288,415$ 2,419,790$ 2,562,679$ 2,704,264$ 2,856,247$ 3,004,750$ 3,162,540$ 3,314,725$ 3,475,092$
Property, Plant and Equipment, at Cost 1,191,676 1,258,304 1,344,830 1,671,075 2,013,631 2,371,603 2,745,684 3,134,728 3,539,333 3,958,100 4,391,524 4,837,950 5,297,769
Allowance for depreciation (658,871) (668,658) (715,377) (792,798) (900,823) (1,037,696) (1,201,762) (1,391,660) (1,606,053) (1,843,841) (2,103,888) (2,385,261) (2,686,935)
Property, plant and equipment, net 532,805 589,646 629,453 878,277 1,112,808 1,333,908 1,543,922 1,743,067 1,933,281 2,114,260 2,287,635 2,452,689 2,610,835
Other Assets:
Goodwill 1,147,374 1,215,688 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630 1,219,630
Other intangible assets, net of amortization 459,536 604,130 575,401 558,961 542,521 526,081 509,641 493,201 476,761 460,321 443,881 427,441 411,001
Deferred income taxes, non‐current 7943 5685 19771 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Other 168,412 179,245 193,444 199,337 209,303 218,722 228,565 237,707 247,216 255,868 264,823 272,768 280,951
Total other assets 1,783,265 2,004,748 2,008,246 1,977,928 1,971,454 1,964,433 1,957,836 1,950,538 1,943,606 1,935,819 1,928,334 1,919,839 1,911,582
Total Assets 4,378,365$ 4,694,240$ 4,776,041$ 5,013,831$ 5,372,677$ 5,718,131$ 6,064,436$ 6,397,869$ 6,733,134$ 7,054,829$ 7,378,510$ 7,687,253$ 7,997,509$
Liabilities and Stockholders Equity
Current Liabilities
Accounts payable 525,680$ 512,165$ 500,506$ 536,284$ 563,098$ 588,437$ 614,917$ 639,514$ 665,094$ 688,373$ 712,466$ 733,840$ 755,855$
Current portion of long‐term debt 5,662 2,038 4,713 56,770 61,327 65,466 69,359 73,173 76,751 80,268 83,550 86,778 89,760
Accrued compensation and benefits 173,846 169,370 183,768 205,264 215,527 225,225 235,361 244,775 254,566 263,476 272,697 280,878 289,305
Accrued losses 27,487 22,016 35,290
Abestos‐related liabilities 0 0 0 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Other accrued liabilities 204,411 197,647 277,914 220,806 231,847 242,280 253,182 263,310 273,842 283,427 293,347 302,147 311,211
Total current liabilities 937,087$ 903,237$ 1,002,192$ 1,019,124$ 1,071,798$ 1,121,408$ 1,172,819$ 1,220,771$ 1,270,253$ 1,315,543$ 1,362,059$ 1,403,643$ 1,446,130$
Long‐Term Liabilities:
Long‐term debt, less current maturities 1,345,965 1,654,037 1,646,332 1,778,473 1,898,510 2,011,420 2,122,004 2,225,781 2,327,782 2,422,941 2,516,554 2,603,029 2,687,949
Abestos‐related liabilities 0 0 0 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Other long‐term liabilities 466,659 752,821 702,979 655,547 688,325 719,299 751,668 781,734 813,004 841,459 870,910 897,037 923,948
Other long‐term liabilities % of sales 10.7% 16.4% 14.6% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0%
Deferred income taxes 50,061 90,681 49,791 33,022 36,324 39,957 43,952 48,348 53,182 58,500 64,351 70,786 77,864
Total long‐term liabilities 1,862,685$ 2,497,540$ 2,399,103$ 2,467,042$ 2,623,158$ 2,770,676$ 2,917,624$ 3,055,863$ 3,193,968$ 3,322,901$ 3,451,814$ 3,570,851$ 3,689,761$
Commitments and contingencies (Note N)
Stockholders Equity
Preferred stock, par value $0.01; authorized
50,000 shares; none issued
Common stock, par value $0.01; authorized 1,333 1,332 1,329 1,293 1,292 1,292 1,292 1,293 1,294 1,295 1,296 1,298 1,300
300,000 shares;
issued 140,195 and outstanding 132,944
as of May 2016;
issued 138,828 and outstanding 133,203
as of May 2015
Paid‐in capital 790,102 872,127 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956 921,956
Treasury stock, at cost (85,400) (124,928) (196,274) (228,242) (260,210) (292,178) (324,146) (356,114) (388,082) (420,050) (452,018) (483,986) (515,954)
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) (156,882) (394,135) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047) (502,047)
Retained earnings 833,691 936,996 1,147,371 1,332,171 1,514,068 1,694,243 1,874,032 2,053,124 2,232,647 2,411,976 2,592,079 2,772,067 2,952,787
Total RPM International Inc. stockholders 1,382,844$ 1,291,392$ 1,372,335$ 1,525,131$ 1,675,059$ 1,823,266$ 1,971,087$ 2,118,212$ 2,265,767$ 2,413,130$ 2,561,267$ 2,709,288$ 2,858,042$
Equity
Noncontrolling Interest 195,750 2,073 2,413 2,534 2,660 2,780 2,905 3,021 3,142 3,252 3,366 3,467 3,571
Total equity 1,578,594$ 1,293,465$ 1,374,748$ 1,527,665 1,677,720 1,826,046 1,973,992 2,121,233 2,268,910 2,416,382 2,564,633 2,712,755 2,861,613
Total Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 4,378,366$ 4,694,241$ 4,776,042$ 5,013,831$ 5,372,676$ 5,718,130$ 6,064,435$ 6,397,867$ 6,733,132$ 7,054,826$ 7,378,506$ 7,687,249$ 7,997,505$
RPM International Key Assumptions of Valuation Model
Cash Flow Statement
Fiscal Years Ending 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net Income 308,000$ 303,162$ 300,291$ 299,648$ 298,488$ 299,205$ 298,882$ 300,172$ 299,980$ 301,200$ Adjustment to Reconcile Net Income to Net CashAdd: Depreciation 77,421 108,026 136,872 164,067 189,898 214,392 237,788 260,048 281,373 301,674 Add: Amortization 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 16,440 Increase in Deferred Tax Liabilities 3,002 3,302 3,632 3,996 4,395 4,835 5,318 5,850 6,435 7,079 Changes in Working Capital AccountsIncrease In Recievables (48,155) (50,562) (47,781) (49,932) (46,381) (48,236) (43,895) (45,431) (40,304) (41,513) Increase in Inventories (34,291) (36,005) (34,025) (35,556) (33,028) (34,349) (31,258) (32,352) (28,700) (29,561) Increase in Prepaid Expenses (61,112) (14,270) (13,485) (14,092) (13,089) (13,613) (12,388) (12,821) (11,374) (11,716) Increase in Accounts Payables 35,778 26,814 25,339 26,480 24,597 25,581 23,278 24,093 21,374 22,015 Increase in accrued compensation 21,496 10,263 9,699 10,135 9,414 9,791 8,910 9,222 8,181 8,426 Increase in Accrued losses (35,290) ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Increase in other accrued liabilities (57,108) 11,040 10,433 10,903 10,127 10,532 9,584 9,920 8,800 9,064 Increase (decrease) in other non current liabilites (47,432) 32,777 30,975 32,368 30,067 31,269 28,455 29,451 26,127 26,911 Net Cash Provided by operating activities 178,750 410,987 438,390 464,457 490,928 515,847 541,115 564,592 588,331 610,019
Cash flow from Investing Activities(Purchase) Sale of short term investments ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Capital Expenditures (326,245) (342,557) (357,972) (374,081) (389,044) (404,606) (418,767) (433,424) (446,426) (459,819) Capitalization of intangible assets ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ (Purchase) Sale of other assets (5,893) (9,967) (9,419) (9,842) (9,143) (9,508) (8,653) (8,955) (7,945) (8,183) Net cash used for investing activities (332,137) (352,524) (367,391) (383,923) (398,186) (414,114) (427,419) (442,379) (454,371) (468,002)
Cash Flow Financing Activities Proceeds from issuance of notes payable ST Debt 52,057 4,557 4,139 3,893 3,813 3,579 3,517 3,281 3,228 2,982 Proceeds from issuance of LT Debt 132,141 120,036 112,910 110,584 103,778 102,001 95,159 93,613 86,475 84,920 Payment of Dividends (123,200) (121,265) (120,116) (119,859) (119,395) (119,682) (119,553) (120,069) (119,992) (120,480) Proceeds from issuance of common stock (36) (1) (0) 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 Change in non-controlling interest 121 127 120 125 116 121 110 114 101 104 Change in AOCI ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ Repurchases of Common Stock (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) (31,968) Net Cash Provided by Finance Actviity 29,115 (28,513) (34,915) (37,224) (43,655) (45,948) (52,733) (55,027) (62,154) (64,439)
Net Increase (Decrease) in cash (124,272) 29,950 36,084 43,310 49,086 55,785 60,963 67,186 71,806 77,578
Cash Beginning of Year 265,152 140,880 170,830 206,915 250,224 299,310 355,095 416,058 483,244 555,050 Cash End of Year 140,880 170,830 206,915 250,224 299,310 355,095 416,058 483,244 555,050 632,627
RPM International Inc.
Cash Flow Statement
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2014 2015 2016
Net income 305,984$ 228,328$ 357,458$
Adjustments to reconcile net income to
net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation 58,543 62,188 66,732
Amortization 31,526 36,988 44,307
Net loss upon deconsolidation of SPHC
Goodwill and other intangible assets impairment
Reversal of contingent consideration (29,665) (14,500)
obligations
Impairment on Investment in Kemrock
Asset impairment charge 818 4,471
Other‐than‐temporary impairments on 161 22 3,811
Provisions for asbestos‐related liabilities
marketable securities
Deferred income taxes 6,572 97,502 9,399
Earnings in unconsolidated affiliates
Stock‐based compensation expense 23,568 31,741 31,287
Other non‐cash interest expense 653 5,624 9,750
Gain on remeasurement of joint venture (7,972)
ownership
Realized (gains) on sales of marketable (7,353) (8,692) (6,457)
securities
Other (1,833) (1,954) (15)
Changes in assets and liabilities, net
of effect from purchases and sales of businesses:
(Increase) in receivables (79,080) (90,230) (24,582)
(Increase) in inventory (59,001) (31,348) (17,733)
(Increase) in prepaid expenses and other (12,586) (4,590) (25,617)
current and long‐term assets
(Decrease) increase in accounts payable 42,216 (16,249) (5,958)
Increase (decrease) in accrued compensation 19,193 (1,297) 17,681
and benefits
Increase (decrease) in accrued loss reserves (146) (7,218) 13,514
Increase in other accrued liabilities 14,202 51,761 8,011
(Decrease) in contingent payment (63,014)
Payments made for asbestos‐related claims
Other (1,456) 6,719 11,119
Cash Provided By Operating Activities 278,149$ 330,448$ 474,706$
Cash Flows From Investing Activities:
Capital expenditures (93,792) (85,363) (117,183)
Acquisition of businesses, net of cash (39,248) (467,573) (51,992)
acquired
Purchase of marketable securities (83,536) (61,511) (32,280)
Proceeds from sales of marketable securities 70,249 48,971 32,631
Proceeds from sales of assets and businesses 2,794 4,079 866
Decrease in cash due to consolidation
Investment in unconsolidated affiliates
Distributions from unconsolidated affiliates
Other (6,178) 1,944 2,092
Cash (Used For) Investing Activities (149,711)$ (559,453)$ (165,866)$
Cash Flows From Financing Activities:
Additions to long‐term and short‐term 208,532 460,560 142,130
debt
Reductions of long‐term and short‐term (215,011) (162,318) (147,155)
debt
Cash dividends (125,743) (136,179) (144,350)
Dividend payout 41% 60% 40%
Shares of common stock repurchased and (12,906) (39,528) (71,346)
returned for taxes
Payments of acquisition‐related contingent (5,000) (22,179) (2,088)
consideration
Exercise of stock options and awards, including 11,934 8,560 18,540
tax benefit
Other 951 1,277 (1,836)
Cash (Used For) Provided By Financing Activities (137,243)$ 110,194$ (206,105)$
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash (1,881) (39,345) (12,294)
and Cash Equivalents
Net Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents (10,686) (158,157) 90,441
Cash and Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Period 343,554 332,868 174,711
Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period 332,868$ 174,711$ 265,152$
Supplemental Disclosures of Cash Flows Information:
Cash paid during the year for:
Interest 81,505 79,371 73,087
Income taxes 103,338 27,486 63,208
Debt from business combinations
Share‐based compensation activity
Issue of stock for convertible‐bond redemption
RPM International Inc.
Common Size Income Statement
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Sales 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Cost of Sales 55.08% 55.59% 54.34% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59% 55.59%
Gross Profit 44.92% 44.41% 45.66% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41% 44.41%
Selling General and Administrative Expense 31.76% 30.97% 31.60% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50% 31.50%
Goodwill 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Other Operating Income 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
EBIT (Operating Income) 13.15% 13.44% 14.07% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91% 12.91%
Net Interest Expense 1.85% 1.91% 1.90% 1.68% 1.78% 1.82% 1.84% 1.87% 1.89% 1.91% 1.92% 1.93% 1.94%
Other Expense ‐0.45% ‐0.49% ‐0.19% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Earnings Before Taxes 11.76% 12.02% 12.35% 11.23% 11.13% 11.09% 11.07% 11.04% 11.03% 11.01% 10.99% 10.98% 10.97%
Provision For Income Taxes 2.71% 4.90% 2.62% 3.28% 3.08% 2.92% 2.78% 2.67% 2.57% 2.48% 2.41% 2.34% 2.28%
Net Income 9.05% 7.13% 9.73% 7.95% 8.06% 8.18% 8.29% 8.38% 8.46% 8.53% 8.59% 8.64% 8.69%
RPM International Inc.Common Size Balance Sheet
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
AssetsCurrent Assets
Cash and Cash Equivalents 7.61% 3.80% 5.51% 2.79% 3.22% 3.73% 4.32% 4.97% 5.66% 6.41% 7.20% 8.03% 8.88%
Trade Receivables 19.97% 20.81% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01% 20.01%
Inventories 14.02% 14.67% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25% 14.25%
Other Current Assets 5.53% 6.41% 4.66% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65% 5.65%
Total Non Current Assets 47.12% 45.70% 44.42% 42.69% 43.12% 43.63% 44.22% 44.87% 45.57% 46.31% 47.10% 47.93% 48.78%
Property Plant and Equipment 27.23% 27.39% 27.94% 33.06% 37.94% 42.76% 47.38% 52.01% 56.46% 61.01% 65.40% 69.95% 74.37%
Less: Accumlated Depreciation ‐15.06% ‐14.55% ‐14.86% ‐15.69% ‐16.97% ‐18.71% ‐20.74% ‐23.09% ‐25.62% ‐28.42% ‐31.33% ‐34.49% ‐37.72%
Net Properties 12.17% 12.83% 13.08% 17.38% 20.97% 24.05% 26.64% 28.92% 30.84% 32.59% 34.07% 35.46% 36.65%
Goodwill 26.22% 26.46% 25.34% 24.13% 22.98% 21.99% 21.04% 20.24% 19.46% 18.80% 18.16% 17.63% 17.12%
Other Non Current Assets 14.53% 17.17% 16.38% 15.00% 14.17% 13.43% 12.74% 12.13% 11.55% 11.04% 10.55% 10.12% 9.71%
Total Assets 100.05% 102.17% 99.22% 99.20% 101.24% 103.11% 104.64% 106.15% 107.42% 108.74% 109.88% 111.15% 112.27%
Liabilities and SECurrent Liabilites
Payables and Other Current Liabilities 21.28% 19.61% 20.72% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04% 19.04%
Current Portion of Long Term Debt 0.13% 0.04% 0.10% 1.12% 1.16% 1.18% 1.20% 1.21% 1.22% 1.24% 1.24% 1.25% 1.26%
Total Current Liabilities 21.41% 19.66% 20.82% 20.16% 20.20% 20.22% 20.24% 20.25% 20.26% 20.28% 20.28% 20.29% 20.30%
Deferred Income Taxes 1.14% 1.97% 1.03% 0.65% 0.68% 0.72% 0.76% 0.80% 0.85% 0.90% 0.96% 1.02% 1.09%
Long term debt minus current portion 30.76% 36.00% 34.20% 35.19% 35.77% 36.27% 36.62% 36.93% 37.14% 37.35% 37.48% 37.64% 37.73%
Other Long Term Liabilities 10.66% 16.39% 14.60% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97% 12.97%
Total Liabilities 63.97% 74.02% 70.66% 68.97% 69.62% 70.18% 70.58% 70.96% 71.22% 71.50% 71.69% 71.92% 72.10%
Stockholders Equity Common Stock 18.08% 19.01% 19.18% 18.27% 17.40% 16.65% 15.93% 15.32% 14.73% 14.23% 13.75% 13.35% 12.96%
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) ‐3.58% ‐8.58% ‐10.43% ‐9.93% ‐9.46% ‐9.05% ‐8.66% ‐8.33% ‐8.01% ‐7.74% ‐7.48% ‐7.26% ‐7.05%
Retained Earnings 19.05% 20.39% 23.84% 26.36% 28.53% 30.55% 32.34% 34.06% 35.62% 37.18% 38.60% 40.08% 41.45%
Total SE before Treasury Stock 33.55% 30.83% 32.59% 34.69% 36.47% 38.14% 39.60% 41.05% 42.34% 43.67% 44.88% 46.17% 47.36%
Less: Treasury Stock ‐1.95% ‐2.72% ‐4.08% ‐4.52% ‐4.90% ‐5.27% ‐5.59% ‐5.91% ‐6.19% ‐6.47% ‐6.73% ‐7.00% ‐7.24%
Non Controlling Interest 4.47% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05%
Total Stockholders Equity 36.07% 28.15% 28.56% 30.22% 31.61% 32.93% 34.06% 35.19% 36.20% 37.25% 38.19% 39.22% 40.17%
Total Liabilities and Stockholders Equity 100.05% 102.17% 99.22% 99.20% 101.24% 103.11% 104.64% 106.15% 107.41% 108.74% 109.88% 111.15% 112.27%
RPM International Inc.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) Estimation
Risk Free Rate 2.52%
Implied Market Return (from market‐risk‐premia.com) 7.52%
Mark Risk Premium 5.00%
Beta 1.122
Cost of Equity 8.13%
Debt Rating BBB (S&P)
Maturing 06/01/2045 Yield 5.14%
Default Spread 2.62%
Marginal Tax Rate 35%
After‐tax Cost of Debt 3.34%
Market Value of Equity:
Shares Outstanding 136,716,000
Price per Share 48.77$
Market Value of Equity 6,667,639,320$
Market Value of Debt:
Short‐term Debt 4,713,000
Long‐term Debt 1,646,332,000
PV Operating Leases 167,580,481
Market Value of Debt: 1,818,625,481$
Weight of Equity 79%
Weight of Debt 21%
Forward WACC 7.10%
RPM International Inc.
Value Driver Estimation
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026CV
Marginal Tax Rate ‐39.60% 32.60% ‐26.09% 31.09% 24.08% 22.03% 25.29% 27.05% 28.38% 28.70% 28.03%
NOPLAT
EBITA:
Sales $3,008,338 $3,338,764 $3,643,791 $3,368,167 $3,412,716 $3,381,841 $3,777,416 $4,078,655 $4,376,353 $4,594,550 $4,813,649 $5,054,331 $5,307,048 $5,545,865 $5,795,429 $6,027,246 $6,268,336 $6,487,728 $6,714,798 $6,916,242 $7,123,730
Less: Costs of Goods Sold $1,682,471 1,837,449 1,997,650 1,867,555 1,831,265 1,855,836 2,109,516 2,236,477 2,351,973 2,491,817 2,548,830 2,809,587 2,950,066 3,082,819 3,221,546 3,350,408 3,484,424 3,606,379 3,732,602 3,844,581 3,959,918
Less: Selling, General, and Administrative
Expenses $952,700 1,020,884 1,124,419 1,096,505 1,110,102 1,058,466 1,155,714 1,309,235 1,390,128 1,422,944 1,520,977 1,592,173 1,671,781 1,747,012 1,825,627 1,898,652 1,974,598 2,043,709 2,115,239 2,178,696 2,244,057
Less Depreciation 59,256 62,238 62,379 61,823 52,385 51,939 55,715 58,543 62,188 66,732 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Plus: Implied Interest On Operating Leases $0 4,711 6,465 7,192 6,326 6,853 6,687 8,311 9,385 8,948 8,614 9,295 10,029 10,822 11,678 12,601 13,597 14,672 15,832 17,084 18,434
EBITA: 373,167$ 425,886$ 465,949$ 348,920$ 415,852$ 422,007$ 466,934$ 485,539$ 585,094$ 626,549$ 685,724$ 661,866$ 695,230$ 726,857$ 759,934$ 790,787$ 822,911$ 852,312$ 882,789$ 910,049$ 938,189$
Less Adjusted Taxes:
Income Tax Provision (46,270)$ 99,246$ (8,655)$ 61,252$ 87,327$ 91,885$ 94,526$ 67,040$ 118,503$ 224,925$ 126,008$ 165,846$ 163,241$ 161,695$ 161,349$ 160,724$ 161,110$ 160,936$ 161,631$ 161,528$ 162,185$
Plus Tax Shield on Interest Expense (16,372) 18,985 (15,778) 16,931 14,270 14,410 18,223 21,599 22,975 25,143 25,700 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Plus Tax Shield Restructuring Expense ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ 5,430 ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Less Tax on Investment Income ‐ (3,653) 3,525 1,801 (1,824) (3,454) (1,059) (1,671) (4,460) (5,331) (2,905) ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Plus Tax Shield on Asbestos Litigation (150,480) (4,890) (75,164) ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Total Adusted Taxes (213,122)$ 121,884$ (27,958)$ 76,382$ 103,421$ 109,749$ 113,808$ 95,740$ 145,939$ 255,399$ 154,614$ 165,846$ 163,241$ 161,695$ 161,349$ 160,724$ 161,110$ 160,936$ 161,631$ 161,528$ 162,185$
Plus: Change in Deferred Taxes
Change in Deffered Taxes (94,286)$ 19,451 (61,151) (6,737) 111,837 18,890 (35,716) 19,546 (3,754) 42,878 (54,976) 3,002 3,302 3,632 3,996 4,395 4,835 5,318 5,850 6,435 7,079
NOPLAT 492,003$ 323,454$ 432,757$ 265,801$ 424,268$ 331,147$ 317,410$ 409,345$ 435,402$ 414,028$ 476,134$ 499,022$ 535,291$ 568,794$ 602,580$ 634,458$ 666,635$ 696,694$ 727,008$ 754,957$ 783,083$
Invested Capital
Net Operating Working Capital
Current Assets
Normal Cash 205,445$ 228,010$ 248,841$ 230,018$ 233,061$ 230,952$ 257,967$ 278,539$ 298,869$ 313,770$ 328,733$ 345,170$ 362,428$ 378,737$ 395,780$ 411,612$ 428,076$ 443,059$ 458,566$ 472,323$ 486,493$
Trade Receivables, net 650,945$ 744,259 817,241 638,659 632,485 712,863 745,541 787,517 873,946 956,211 963,092 1,011,247 1,061,809 1,109,590 1,159,522 1,205,903 1,254,139 1,298,034 1,343,465 1,383,769 1,425,282
Inventories 399,014$ 437,759 476,149 406,175 386,982 463,120 489,978 548,680 613,644 674,205 685,818 720,109 756,114 790,139 825,696 858,724 893,073 924,330 956,682 985,382 1,014,944
Other Current Assets 161,758 189,939 221,690 210,155 194,126 239,212 239,982 169,956 219,556 264,827 224,280 285,392 299,661 313,146 327,237 340,327 353,940 366,328 379,149 390,524 402,240
Total Current Assets 1,417,162$ 1,599,967$ 1,763,921$ 1,485,007$ 1,446,654$ 1,646,147$ 1,733,468$ 1,784,692$ 2,006,015$ 2,209,013$ 2,201,923$ 2,361,917$ 2,480,012$ 2,591,613$ 2,708,236$ 2,816,565$ 2,929,228$ 3,031,751$ 3,137,862$ 3,231,998$ 3,328,958$
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payables 333,684$ 385,003$ 411,448$ 294,814$ 299,596$ 358,790$ 391,467$ 478,185$ 525,680$ 512,165$ 500,506$ 536,284$ 563,098$ 588,437$ 614,917$ 639,514$ 665,094$ 688,373$ 712,466$ 733,840$ 755,855$
Other Current Liabilities 314,750 325,096 362,979 320,801 327,591 373,950 365,741 445,324 405,744 389,033 496,972 426,070 447,373 467,505 488,543 508,085 528,408 546,902 566,044 583,025 600,516
Total Current Liabilities 648,434 710,099 774,427 615,615 627,187 732,740 757,208 923,509 931,424 901,198 997,478 962,354 1,010,471 1,055,943 1,103,460 1,147,598 1,193,502 1,235,275 1,278,510 1,316,865 1,356,371
Net Operating Working Capital 768,728$ 889,868$ 989,494$ 869,392$ 819,467$ 913,407$ 976,260$ 861,183$ 1,074,591$ 1,307,815$ 1,204,445$ 1,399,563$ 1,469,541$ 1,535,670$ 1,604,775$ 1,668,967$ 1,735,725$ 1,796,476$ 1,859,352$ 1,915,133$ 1,972,587$
Plus PPE,NET 444,692$ 473,296$ 497,721$ 470,103$ 382,527$ 390,027$ 418,832$ 492,363$ 532,805$ 589,646$ 629,453$ 878,277$ 1,112,808$ 1,333,908$ 1,543,922$ 1,743,067$ 1,933,281$ 2,114,260$ 2,287,635$ 2,452,689$ 2,610,835$
Plus Non Goodwill Intangible Assets 321,942 353,420 384,370 358,097 303,159 312,867 345,620 459,613 459,536 604,130 575,401 558,961 542,521 526,081 509,641 493,201 476,761 460,321 443,881 427,441 411,001
Plus PV of Operating Leases 91,662 125,787 139,932 123,084 133,321 130,089 161,690 182,591 174,095 167,580 180,829 195,124 210,550 227,195 245,157 264,538 285,451 308,018 332,368 358,644
Invested Capital $ 1,535,362 $ 1,808,246 $ 1,997,372 $ 1,837,524 $ 1,628,236 $ 1,749,622 $ 1,870,801 $ 1,974,849 $ 2,249,523 $ 2,675,686 $ 2,576,879 $ 3,017,629 $ 3,319,994 $ 3,606,209 $ 3,885,533 $ 4,150,391 $ 4,410,304 $ 4,656,507 $ 4,898,886 $ 5,127,631 $ 5,353,066
NOPLAT $ 492,003 $ 323,454 $ 432,757 $ 265,801 $ 424,268 $ 331,147 $ 317,410 $ 409,345 $ 435,402 $ 414,028 $ 476,134 $ 499,022 $ 535,291 $ 568,794 $ 602,580 $ 634,458 $ 666,635 $ 696,694 $ 727,008 $ 754,957 $ 783,083
Beginning Invested Capital 1,272,208 1,535,362 1,808,246 1,997,372 1,837,524 1,628,236 1,749,622 1,870,801 1,974,849 2,249,523 2,675,686 2,576,879 3,017,629 3,319,994 3,606,209 3,885,533 4,150,391 4,410,304 4,656,507 4,898,886 5,127,631
ROIC 39% 21% 24% 13% 23% 20% 18% 22% 22% 18% 18% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 16% 16% 15% 15%
NOPLAT 492,003$ 323,454$ 432,757$ 265,801$ 424,268$ 331,147$ 317,410$ 409,345$ 435,402$ 414,028$ 476,134$ 499,022$ 535,291$ 568,794$ 602,580$ 634,458$ 666,635$ 696,694$ 727,008$ 754,957$ 783,083$
Change In Inveseted Captial 263,154 272,884 189,126 (159,849) (209,288) 121,386 121,178 104,048 274,674 426,164 (98,807) 440,750 302,365 286,215 279,324 264,858 259,913 246,202 242,379 228,745 225,435
FCF 228,849$ 50,569$ 243,631$ 425,650$ 633,556$ 209,761$ 196,231$ 305,297$ 160,728$ (12,136)$ 574,941$ 58,272$ 232,926$ 282,579$ 323,256$ 369,600$ 406,722$ 450,491$ 484,629$ 526,212$ 557,648$
Beginning Invested Capital 1272207.76 1,535,362$ 1,808,246$ 1,997,372$ 1,837,524$ 1,628,236$ 1,749,622$ 1,870,801$ 1,974,849$ 2,249,523$ 2,675,686$ 2,576,879$ 3,017,629$ 3,319,994$ 3,606,209$ 3,885,533$ 4,150,391$ 4,410,304$ 4,656,507$ 4,898,886$ 5,127,631$
ROIC 39% 21% 24% 13% 23% 20% 18% 22% 22% 18% 18% 19% 18% 17% 17% 16% 16% 16% 16% 15% 15%
WACC 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10% 7.10%
EP $401,629 $214,386 $304,304 $123,914 $293,736 $215,482 $193,122 $276,449 $295,114 $254,229 $286,061 $315,968 $320,927 $332,951 $346,406 $358,441 $371,804 $383,398 $396,223 $406,954 $418,831
RPM International Inc.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Economic Profit (EP) Valuation Models
Key Inputs:
CV Growth 2.50%
CV ROIC 15%
WACC 7.10%
Cost of Equity 8.13%
Dividend Yield 2.08%
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026CV
DCF Model
Periods 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9
Free Cash Flow 58,272 232,926 282,579 323,256 369,600 406,722 450,491 484,629 526,212 654,892
CV of FCF 14,225,321
PV of FCF discounted by WACC $ 54,407 $ 203,053 $ 229,999 $ 245,657 $ 262,246 $ 269,446 $ 278,647 $ 279,881 $ 283,740 $ 7,670,463
Value of Operating Assets 9,777,539$
Add: Excess Cash ‐
Add: Investments ‐
Add: Non‐Operating Assets ‐
Less: ESOP (67,300)
Less: PV of OP Leases (167,580)
Less: Short‐Term Debt (56,770)
Less: Long‐Term Debt (1,778,473)
Less: Other Current Liabilities (277,914)
Less: Other Non‐Current Liabilities (702,979)
Less Preferred Stock ‐
Add: Noncontrolling Interest 2,413
Value of Equity: 6,728,935$
Shares Oustanding 129,383
Intrinsic Stock Price as of 10/10/2016 53.82$
Fiscal Years Ending 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026CV
Economic Profit Model
Periods 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9
Economic Profit $315,968 $320,927 $332,951 $346,406 $358,441 $371,804 $383,398 $396,223 $406,954 $418,831
Continuing Value 9,097,691
PV of FCF Discounted by WACC 295,011 279,768 270,999 263,249 254,329 246,313 237,148 228,825 219,435 4,905,583
PV Economic Profit 7,200,659
+ Beginning Invested Capital (T=0) 2,576,879
Value of Operating Assets 9,777,539
Plus: Excess Cash ‐
Plus: Investments ‐
Add: Non‐Operating Assets ‐
Less: ESOP (67,300)
Less PV of OP Leases (167,580)
Less: Short‐Term Debt (56,770)
Less: Long‐Term Debt (1,778,473)
Less: Other Current Liabilities (277,914)
Less: Other Non‐Current Liabilities (702,979)
Less: Preferred Stock ‐
Add: Noncontrolling Interest 2,413
Value of Equity: 6,728,935$
Shares Outstanding 129,383
Intrinsic Stock Price 53.82$
RPM International Inc.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM) or Fundamental P/E Valuation Model
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026CV
EPS 2.38$ 2.35$ 2.32$ 2.32$ 2.31$ 2.31$ 2.31$ 2.32$ 2.31$ 2.32$
Key Assumptions CV growth 2.50%
CV ROE 11.70%
Cost of Equity 8.13%
Future Cash Flows P/E Multiple (CV Year) 14
EPS (CV Year) 2.32$
Future Stock Price 32.44$
Dividends Per Share 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.93
Future Cash Flows 0.95$ 0.94$ 0.93$ 0.93$ 0.92$ 0.93$ 0.92$ 0.93$ 0.92$ 32.44$
Periods to Discount 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 9
Discounted Cash Flows 0.88$ 0.80$ 0.74$ 0.68$ 0.62$ 0.58$ 0.53$ 0.50$ 0.46$ 16.05$
Intrinsic Value 21.69$
RPM International Inc.
Key Management Ratios
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 2014 2015 2016 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E
Liquidity RatiosCurrent Ratio 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4
Quick Ratio 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7
Cash Ratio 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Activity or Asset‐Management RatiosInventory Turnover 4.1 4.0 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Receivables Turnover 5.3 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1
Total Asset Turnover 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9
Financial Leverage RatiosDebt‐to‐Equity Ratio 0.9 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0
Debt Ratio 2.0 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8
Interest Coverage Ratio 7.2 7.2 7.5 7.8 7.4 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.8
Profitability RatiosGross Margin 45% 44% 46% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44% 44%
Profit Margin 7.0% 5.0% 7.4% 6.1% 5.7% 5.4% 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 4.5% 4.3%
Return on Assets 7.4% 5.2% 7.6% 6.4% 6.0% 5.6% 5.2% 4.9% 4.7% 4.4% 4.3% 4.1%
Return on Equity 22.6% 14.5% 27.6% 22.4% 19.8% 17.9% 16.4% 15.1% 14.1% 13.2% 12.4% 11.7%
Cash Flow Margin 6.4% 7.2% 9.9% 3.5% 7.7% 7.9% 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.5%
Payout Policy RatiosPayout Ratio 41% 60% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Dividend Coverage Ratio 2.4 1.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
RPM International Inc.Relative Valuation Model
(NASDAQ)Ticker Company Price Eps 2017E EPS 2018E P/E 17 P/E 18 PEG 17 PEG 18SHW Sherwin-Williams Co. 271.78$ 14.08$ 15.71$ 19.3 17.3 11.90% 1.62 1.45PPG PPG Industries Inc. 92.51$ 6.52$ 7.20$ 14.2 12.9 8.68% 1.64 1.48RPM RPM International 48.08$ 2.75$ 3.03$ 17.5 15.9 8.00% 2.18 1.98VAL Valspar Corporation 105.37$ 5.29$ 5.65$ 19.9 18.6 7.90% 2.52 2.35
Average 17.8 16.2 1.93 1.76
Implied Value:Relative P/E (EPS17) 48.94$ Relative P/E (EPS18) 49.20$ PEG Ratio (EPS17) 42.36$ PEG Ratio (EPS18) 42.70$
5 year avg. annual earnings growth
Share Price Share Price
53.82 31.00% 31.25% 31.50% 31.75% 32.00% 53.82 6.90% 7.00% 7.10% 7.20% 7.30%54.09% 66.47 64.89 63.30 61.73 60.14 1.75% 51.72 50.02 48.33 46.81 45.3055.34% 58.56 56.98 55.39 53.81 52.23 2.25% 55.65 53.72 51.80 50.09 48.39
55.59% 56.99 55.41 53.82 52.25 50.66 2.50% 57.95 55.88 53.82 52.00 50.18
55.84% 55.40 53.81 52.22 50.65 49.07 2.75% 60.53 58.29 56.08 54.11 52.1656.09% 53.81 52.23 50.64 49.07 47.48 3.00% 63.44 61.00 58.60 56.48 54.38
Share PriceShare Price 53.82 1.022 1.072 1.122 1.172 1.222
53.82 34.00% 34.50% 35.00% 35.50% 36.00% 4.14% 60.10 55.92 52.10 48.59 45.364.14% 52.60 52.35 52.10 51.85 51.60 4.64% 61.05 56.83 52.97 49.42 46.16
4.64% 53.45 53.21 52.97 52.73 52.48 5.14% 61.98 57.72 53.82 50.25 46.95
5.14% 54.28 54.05 53.82 53.59 53.36 5.64% 62.91 58.60 54.67 51.06 47.74
5.64% 55.11 54.89 54.67 54.45 54.23 6.14% 63.82 59.48 55.51 51.87 48.516.14% 55.93 55.72 55.51 55.30 55.09
Share Price
53.82 2.00% 2.25% 2.50% 2.75% 3.00%14.77% 49.68 51.45 53.41 55.60 58.0515.02% 49.83 51.63 53.62 55.84 58.33
15.27% 49.98 51.80 53.82 56.07 58.60
15.52% 50.12 51.96 54.01 56.30 58.8615.77% 50.25 52.12 54.20 56.52 59.11
CV NOPLAT
CV ROIC
Pre Tax Cost of
Debt
WACCSGA% of Sales
COGS % of Sales
Marginal Tax RateBeta
Pre Tax Cost of
Debt
CV NOPLAT
Present Value of Operating Lease Obligations (2016) Present Value of Operating Lease Obligations (2015) Present Value of Operating Lease Obligations (2014) Present Value of Operating Lease Obligations (2013)
Operating Operating Operating Operating
Fiscal Years Ending 42521 Leases Fiscal Years Ending 42521 Leases Fiscal Years Ending Leases Fiscal Years Ending Leases
2017 50828 2016 51182 2015 48695 2014 44021
2018 39191 2017 39597 2016 39054 2015 35870
2019 26204 2018 29649 2017 28971 2016 27198
2020 17240 2019 18021 2018 21459 2017 19428
2021 14359 2020 12689 2019 15405 2018 15282
Thereafter 51783 Thereafter 58199 Thereafter 68280 Thereafter 51834
Total Minimum Payments 199605 Total Minimum Payments 209337 Total Minimum Payments 221864 Total Minimum Payments 193633
Less: Interest 32025 Less: Interest 35242 Less: Interest 39273 Less: Interest 31943
PV of Minimum Payments 167580 PV of Minimum Payments 174095 PV of Minimum Payments 182591 PV of Minimum Payments 161690
Capitalization of Operating Leases Capitalization of Operating Leases Capitalization of Operating Leases Capitalization of Operating Leases
Pre‐Tax Cost of Debt 5.14% Pre‐Tax Cost of Debt 5.14% Pre‐Tax Cost of Debt 5.14% Pre‐Tax Cost of Debt 5.14%
Number Years Implied by Year 6 Payment 3.6 Number Years Implied by Year 6 Payment 4.6 Number Years Implied by Year 6 Payment 4.4 Number Years Implied by Year 6 Payment 3.4
Lease PV Lease Lease PV Lease Lease PV Lease Lease PV Lease
Year Commitment Payment Year Commitment Payment Year Commitment Payment Year Commitment Payment
1 50828 48343.2 1 51182 48679.9 1 48695 46314.4 1 44021 41868.9
2 39191 35452.8 2 39597 35820.1 2 39054 35328.9 2 35870 32448.6
3 26204 22545.7 3 29649 25509.7 3 28971 24926.4 3 27198 23400.9
4 17240 14108.0 4 18021 14747.1 4 21459 17560.5 4 19428 15898.5
5 14359 11175.9 5 12689 9876.1 5 15405 11990.1 5 15282 11894.3
6 & beyond 14359 35954.9 6 & beyond 12689 39462.3 6 & beyond 15405 46470.3 6 & beyond 15282 36178.6
PV of Minimum Payments 167580.5 PV of Minimum Payments 174095.2 PV of Minimum Payments 182590.6 PV of Minimum Payments 161689.9
Effects of ESOP Exercise and Share Repurchases on Common Stock Balance Sheet Account and Number of Shares Outstanding
Number of Options Outstanding (shares): 3,213
Average Time to Maturity (years): 6.40
Expected Annual Number of Options Exercised: 502
Current Average Strike Price: 31.88$
Cost of Equity: 8.13%
Current Stock Price: $52.27
2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E 2026E
Increase in Shares Outstanding: 502 502 502 502 502 502 502 502 502 502
Average Strike Price: 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$ 31.88$
Increase in Common Stock Account: 16,005 16,005 16,005 16,005 16,005 16,005 16,005 16,005 16,005 16,005
Change in Treasury Stock 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000 31,968,000
Expected Price of Repurchased Shares: 52.27$ 56.52$ 61.11$ 66.08$ 71.46$ 77.27$ 83.55$ 90.34$ 97.68$ 105.63$
Number of Shares Repurchased: 612 566 523 484 447 414 383 354 327 303
Shares Outstanding (beginning of the year) 129,383 129,273 129,210 129,189 129,207 129,262 129,350 129,469 129,618 129,792
Plus: Shares Issued Through ESOP 502 502 502 502 502 502 502 502 502 502
Less: Shares Repurchased in Treasury 612 566 523 484 447 414 383 354 327 303
Shares Outstanding (end of the year) 129,273 129,210 129,189 129,207 129,262 129,350 129,469 129,618 129,792 129,992
VALUATION OF OPTIONS GRANTED IN ESOP
Ticker Symbol RPM
Current Stock Price $52.27
Risk Free Rate 2.52%
Current Dividend Yield 2.20%
Annualized St. Dev. of Stock Returns 25.60%
Average Average B‐S Value
Range of Number Exercise Remaining Option of Options
Outstanding Options of Shares Price Life (yrs) Price Granted
Range 1 3,213 31.88 6.40 20.95$ 67,300$
Total 3,213 31.88$ 6.40 26.91$ 67,300$