NOTE: The colored bar represents cumulative year-to-date milk production for 2011. When it does not surpass the dotted line at the center of the box, it indicates state production is below the previous year’s total (2010). When it does surpass the dotted line, it indicates production is above the previous year’s total.

MARKET WATCHMARKET WATCHMILK

Texas435 NC

1,855 +0.5%807 +4.1%

9,575 108.5%

Utah89 +1

1,800 +1.1%160 +4.6%

1,852 101.8%

Vermont133 -1

1,595 +1.3%212 -0.5%

2,539 100.6%

Virginia96 NC

1,530 +1.3%147 +2.8%

1,719 99.8%

Washington263 NC

1,950 +0.3%513 +4.7%

6,169 104.5%

Wisconsin1,265 NC1,750 +2.6%2,214 +2.6%

26,111 100.3%

Arizona191 -1

1,965 -0.3%375 +3.6%

4,410 106.3%

California1,779 +11,965 +2.1%3,496 +3.8%

41,462 102.6%

Colorado131 NC

1,955 -1.5%256 +4.9%

2,999 106.5%

Florida120 NC

1,600 -3.6%192 +1.6%

2,262 106.9%

Idaho581 +2

1,910 +2.1%1,110 +3.5%

13,256 103.8%

Illinois99 +1

1,690 +3.1%167 +3.7%

1,900 99.1%

Indiana174 +2

1,760 +4.5%306 +6.3%

3,504 101.7%

Iowa203 +3

1,850 +4.2%376 +2.5%

4,345 100.1%

Kansas123 NC

1,780 -1.4%219 -0.5%

2,603 104.2%

Michigan370 +1

1,950 +1.6%722 +4.2%

8,476 102.0%

Minnesota465 NC

1,635 +1.9%760 +0.8%

8,906 97.7%

Missouri93 -1

1,240 +0.8%115 -1.7%

1,388 96.1%New Mexico

334 +12,025 -1.9%676 +2.0%

8,177 103.8%

U.S. Total9,221 +121,796 +1.6%16,559 +2.5%

196,178 101.7%

New York610 NC

1,755 +0.3%1,071 +0.2%

12,826 100.9%

Ohio270 +1

1,625 +0.9%439 +0.9%

5,142 97.5%

Oregon123 +1

1,650 -0.6%203 +1.0%

2,478 103.6%

Pennsylvania539 +1

1,650 +0.6%889 -0.2%

10,604 98.8%

12 Progressive Dairyman Issue 4 • March 1, 2012

PD SOUTHWEST MAIN PC

WESTERN COW numbers continue to rise

Milk production picking up, not slowing down as predicted

Legend

Number of cows(in thousands)

Milk per cow(month)

(lbs.)Total milk

production (month)

(in millions of lbs.)

Year-to-date milkproduction (total)(in millions of lbs.)

Percentage of year-to-date production versus previous year-to-date

Monthly change(in thousands)

Annual percentchange

Annual percentchange

Jan2011

Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug OctSept Nov Dec

2010

9,0759,1009,1259,1509,1759,2009,2259,250 December 2011: 9,216 High: 9,217 Low: 9,089Milk cows (in thousands)

Jan2011

Feb Mar Apr May July Aug OctSept Nov Dec

2010

June1,6751,7001,7251,7501,7751,8001,8251,850 December 2011: 1,738 High: 1,816 Low: 1,687 Milk per cow

(in pounds, 30-day equivalent )

Jan2011

Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug OctSept Nov Dec

2010

15,25015,50015,75016,00016,25016,50016,75017,000 December 2012: 16,025 High: 16,709 Low: 15,387 Milk production

(in pounds, 30-day equivalent)

U.S. HERD STATS

Dec. daily avg. milk per cow: 57.9 lbs.

Bob CroppProfessor EmeritusUniversity of Wisconsin – Madison

Ohio270 +1

1,625 +0.9%439 +0.9%

5,142 97.5%95% 105%100%

Milk production may increase no more than 1.5 percent in 2012, which will be positive for milk prices. � e USDA recently forecasted a 1.3 percent increase. � e average number of milk cows for the year may decline slightly and, while feed prices may average a little lower, prices will remain relatively high, dampening increases in milk per cow.

However, the USDA’s milk production report for the month of December shows milk production picking up rather than slowing down. Milk production in December was estimated to be 2.7 percent higher than a year ago for the 23 reporting states and 2.5 percent for the U.S. as a whole. Milk production growth above 2 percent will put downward pressure on milk prices.

Both more milk cows and improvement in milk per cow are contributing to the increase in milk production. PD

DEC ’11

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Issue 4 • March 1, 2012 Progressive Dairyman 13