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6 TH LONDON SHIP FINANCE FORUM MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

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Page 1: MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

6TH LONDON SHIP FINANCE FORUM

MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

Page 2: MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

Disclaimer

KMARIN

Page 3: MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

Market Structure & Shipping Funds

Shipbuilding Yards

Financial Banks, Investors

Ship Owners

Shipping, Cargo Companies

Norwegian KS German KG Korean KG & The Hedge Funds &

Japanese, Chinese Leasing Cos

Page 4: MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

KMARIN

Mil.

Page 5: MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

Oversupplied Vessels

Supply > Demand

Page 6: MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

The Growth By Economic Boom

The Global Financial Crisis

Speculative Orders

The Second Crisis

MM London 2015

Transition of Shipping Market

Overbook by Shipowners

[Source: Clarkson Research]

Rank Company No. M.CGT Ratio

1 A 111 2.7 2.37% 2 B 77 2.4 2.11% 3 C 83 2.3 2.02% 4 D 74 1.9 1.67% 5 E 21 1.6 1.41%

6 F 26 1.5 1.32%

7 G 32 1.5 1.32%

8 H 32 1.4 1.23%

9 I 47 1.4 1.23%

10 J 57 1.4 1.23%

11 K 34 1.2 1.06%

Others 4,647 94.4 83.03%

Global Total 5,241 113.7 100.00%

World Tonnage on Order, 2000-2014

[Source: UNCTAD, Clarkson Research] (Thousands of DWT)

Aggressive Ship Ordering

Overproduction

Baltic Dry Index

11,793

647 750

Now

666

[Source : The Baltic Exchange]

(Supply = Demand)

Price

Quantity

Supply Demand

Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers

What shall we do to prevent the third crisis?

Page 7: MARKET EQUILIBRIUM - Marine Money · Supply . Demand . Market Equilibrium by Conscious Tonnage Providers . What shall we do to prevent the third crisis? Leading Tonnage Provider comes

Leading Tonnage Provider comes LONDON for Market Rebalancing