Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reductionin Urbanization in Bangladesh: A Scoping Study

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Urban growth has occurred both by way of influxes of rural migrants into the big citiesand through re-classification of erstwhile rural centres. The proliferation of slums,particularly in Dhaka and Chittagong, has been an integral feature of the urbanizationprocess. Urban services have not generally kept pace with urban growth, and anoverall feature of unplanned growth marks the process. This unbalanced urbangrowth in two major cities and some other metropolitans has a contribution indiscouraging the rural to urban migration in policy spheres.

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  • Oxfam GB

    Bangladesh Programme,

    House-4, Road-3,

    Block-I, Banani, Dhaka-1213

    Web: www.oxfam.org.uk

    Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reductionin Urbanization

    Development Frontiers

    Email: [email protected]

    Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reductionin Urbanization in Bangladesh: A Scoping Study

    evelopment Frontiers

    Flat 3, Level 4, Sattar Tower

    9, West Kafrul, Taltola

    Agargaon, Dhaka-1207

    Email: [email protected]

    Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction A Scoping Study

  • Oxfam GB

    Bangladesh Programme,

    House-4, Road-3,

    Block-I, Banani, Dhaka-1213

    Web: www.oxfam.org.uk

    Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Urbanization

    Bangladesh: A Scoping Study

    i

    Development Frontiers

    Email: [email protected]

    Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Urbanization

    Scoping Study

    Development Frontiers

    Flat 3, Level 4, Sattar Tower

    9, West Kafrul, Taltola

    Agargaon, Dhaka-1207

    Email: [email protected]

    Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Urbanization in

  • ii

    Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction in Urbanization in

    Bangladesh: A Scoping Study

    A.K.M. Mamunur Rashid1 Dr. Shahjalal2

    Dr. Tawhidul Islam3 Maruf Hasan Sakib4

    Naznin Nahar5 Bebek Kanti Das6 Chaity Rahman7

    Md. Rajibul Islam8 Salma Azzad9

    SarfarazNewaz10

    1A.K.M. Mamunur Rashid is the Director (honorary) of Development Frontiers and student of

    Ph.D in Department of Anthropology in Jahangirnagar University. He was the DRR expert and team leader of the study.

    2Dr. Shahjalal is a Professor of Anthropology in Jahangirnagar University, Savar, Dhaka and honorary Chairman of Development Frontiers. He was the technical advisor of the study. 3Dr. ShiekhTawhidul Islam is the Professor of Department of Geography and Environment in

    Jahangirnagar University. He was the urban expert and physical planning expert of the study.

    4 Maruf Hasan Sakib is a graduate of Urban and Rural Planning Discipline, post-graduate of

    Development Studies, post-grad student of IWFM-BUET and former consultant of World Bank, DMB, SDMC and UNDP. He was the research coordinator of the study

    5 Ms. NazninNahar is MPhil student of department of Urban and Rural Planning of Khulna

    University. She was the research associate for Khulna and Mongla cities. 6Bebek Kanti Das is a graduate of Geography and Environment from Chittagong University. He

    was the research associate for Mymensingh and Sirajganj cities. 7 Ms. Chaity Rahman is a post-graduate student of disaster management in Dhaka University.

    She has graduated in economics from BRAC University. She was research associate for Dhaka North and South City.

    8Rajibul Islam is a graduate of Civil Engineering from Khulna University of Engineering and

    Technology. He was research associate for physical planning work of all cities. 9 Salma Azad is a graduate of public administration from Rajshahi University. She was research

    associate for Rangpur and Nageshwari cities. 10SarfarazNewaz is a graduate of public administration from Chittagong University. He was

    research associate for Durgapur city and RAJUK and KDA.

  • iii

    ABBREVIATION

    ADP Annual Development Plan ADB Asian Development Bank BAPA Bangladesh PoribeshAndolon BBS Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics BCCRF Bangladesh Climate Change Resilience Fund BCCSAP Bangladesh Climate Change Strategy and Action Plan BCCTF Bangladesh Climate Change Trust Fund BSPCR Bangladesh Special Programme for Climate Resilience BELA Bangladesh Environmental Lawyers Association BIP Bangladesh Institute of Planners BIWTA Bangladesh Inland Water Transport Authority BIWTC Bangladesh Inland Water Transport Corporation BMD Bangladesh Meteorological Department BPDB Bangladesh Power Development Board BRAC Bangladesh Rural Advancement Committee BSCIC Bangladesh Small and Cottage Industries Corporation BTCL Bangladesh Telecommunication Company Limited BUET Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology CBO Community Based Organization CCA Climate Change Adaptation CCTF Climate Change Trust Fund CCU Climate Change Unit COP Conference of the Parties CDMP Comprehensive Disaster Management Plan CPEIR Climate Public Expenditure and Institutional Review CRMP Community Risk Management Planning CTP Chief Town Planner DANIDA Danish International Development Agency DCC Dhaka City Corporation DIT Dacca Improvement Trust DMB Disaster Management Bureau DND Dhaka-Narayanganj-Demra DoE Department of Environment DPDCL Dhaka Power Distribution Company Limited DPHE Department of Public Health Engineering DPZ Detailed Planning Zone DP Development Partners DRM Disaster Risk Management DRR Disaster Risk Reduction e.g For Example ERD Economic Relations Division EPZ Export Processing Zone

  • iv

    FAR Floor Area Ratio FFZ Flood Flow Zone FYP Five Year Plan GED General Economic Division GIS Geographic Information System GoB Government of Bangladesh IAB Institute of Architects, Bangladesh IWM Institute of Water Modelling i.e. That is JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency J.L. Jurisdiction List LGED Local Government Engineering Department mld Million liter per day MoHPW Ministry of Housing and Public Works NGO Non-Government Organization NUC Nagar Unnayan Committee PP Paurashava Planner PVC Polyvinyl Chlorate REB Rural Electrification Board REHAB Real Estate & Housing Association of Bangladesh RHD Roads and Highways Department R.S. Revisional Survey/Revisional Settlement SoB Survey of Bangladesh SP Structure Plan SPZ Strategic Planning Zone STP Strategic Transport Plan TGTDC TITAS Gas Transmission & Distribution Company TWG Technical Working Group UAP Urban Area Plan UNCHS United Nations Centre for Human Settlement (Habitat) UNDP United Nations Development Programme viz Namely WASA Water and Sewerage Authority WDB Water Development Board

  • v

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    The research entitled Mapping of Urban Planning Process of Bangladesh

    Government (national to local level) to explore scope for mainstreaming urban DRR

    into development planning (including physical) process in Bangladesh provides the

    review of literature on urban disaster risk reduction in Bangladesh and also offer some

    recommendations to incorporate DRR into the plan and budget of the city

    corporation, municipality, relevant organization. The research has been conducted by

    a team of Development Frontiers.Funding for the research has contributed by Oxfam

    Bangladesh. It has taken eight cities as sample city area e.g. both Dhaka North and

    South City Corporation, Mymensingh Municipality of Mymensingh district, Durgapur

    Municipality of Netrokona district, Khulna City Corporation (KCC and KDA) of Khulna

    district, Mongla Port Municipality of Bagerhat district, Sirajganj Municipality of

    Sirajganj district, Rangpur City Corporation of Rangpur district and Nageshwari

    Municipality of Kurigram district. First of all, we would like to express a deep sense of

    appreciation and profound gratitude to Oxfam for their sincere help doing fund for

    such types of research work in Bangladesh. We also express our deepest gratitude

    and honour to all Honourable Mayor, Chief Executive Officer, Engineer and Town

    Planner of all City Corporation, Development Authorities, Municipality and other

    relevant organization for their cordial help in data collecting process. Our sincere

    greeting goes to the Chairman and Director of RAJUK and Urban Development

    Directorate for their help and coordination.The research team is also grateful for the

    supporting of report writing who were devoted into the work and contributed their

    valuable time.

    Dated: April 21, 2013

    Development Frontiers

    Dhaka, Bangladesh.

  • vi

    PREFACE When we started our journey as organization "Development Frontiers" in Bangladesh

    in 2007, we had a clear aim to work with urban societies. In past six years, we had

    conducted a few studies in disaster risk reduction, but only one work we was done in

    2010 in the field of urban post disaster governance. We were very much tempted to

    work on urban society and for that we thought to study the urban policy context in

    Bangladesh. In November, when OXFAM GB called for an expression of interest to

    conduct a study on urban disaster mainstreaming scoping, we found this as a good

    opportunity to start towards a comprehensive work in urban societies. The work is

    very introductory but has higher opportunity to get insight of different aspects to

    understand the urban society. The policy, institution, planning, budget, and capacity

    of urban governments and urban service providing entities are key aspects of the

    study, which has strong possibilities to offer an insight also to understand urban

    society at large. We a group of researchers, who has conducted the study, mostly live

    in different urban centres in Bangladesh. A few of us has also lived in different cities in

    the world in different time scale in different durations, but hardly had we had any

    individual and collective effort to consolidate our urban life experience into a black

    and white paper. Disaster is an important aspect, which offer a beautiful scope to look

    into deep of the urban society, where government, culture and its operation are very

    much interlinked and provides wider scopes to understand a complex society. Many of

    us involved in this study are trained in Anthropology, who has strong experience in

    working with simple and rural society. We two anthropologists worked with one

    economist, one geographer, one urban planner, one environmentalist, two political

    scientists in a team, who all have experience in the field of disaster risk reduction. We

    worked less, engaged more in debates and sometime after hours of debate become

    more confused and thus almost spending 2880 hours in field and table, we have came

    to a broader outline of the problem of the urban society in terms of disaster

    mainstreaming. We learned together, the urbanization as a process produce,

    reproduce and manifest a different vulnerability context than rural vulnerabilities and

    with hazard exposures and genesis of new types of hazards within urbanization

    process constitute a complex disaster risk environment. The urban risk is therefore,

    has much development relevance to include the risk reduction in the urbanization

    process. We have also learned that mainstreaming is not an activity, nor a product but

    a process. Bangladesh is a resourceful country but mostly Bangladesh is one of the

    disaster prone areas in the world. Every year Bangladesh is faced by several hazards

    like flood, cyclone, salinity, drought, earthquake which turn into disaster. As a result

    the country loses huge amount property each year and people suffer a lot of. Now-a-

    days cities of Bangladesh face a serious problem due to enormous population and

    unplanned urbanization. Urban disaster risk is a serious challenge for cities around the

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    world, particularly in developing countries where urbanization is happening. It

    threatens to increase vulnerabilities, destroy ecology of the area as well as disturb the

    whole environment, economic destruction. The corollary of urban disaster risk

    impedes the development of both social and economic. The dwellers life of urban

    area is hampered and cannot lead normal life. It is because of lack of awareness,

    initiative, consideration into the planning sphere by the Government and other non-

    government organization. Most of the cities and municipalities in Bangladesh do not

    consider the disaster risk issues in their plan. The Oxfam has taken initiative to find out

    the reason behind of not consideration into plan for urban disaster risk reduction. The

    study has deemed total eight study areas as sample to conduct the research. The main

    objectives of the study is to find out the gap of urban disaster risk reduction and

    formulate some recommendation to address and consider urban disaster risk

    reduction issues in the plan of the city authorities like city corporation and

    municipality.

  • viii

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Urban growth has occurred both by way of influxes of rural migrants into the big cities and through re-classification of erstwhile rural centres. The proliferation of slums, particularly in Dhaka and Chittagong, has been an integral feature of the urbanization process. Urban services have not generally kept pace with urban growth, and an overall feature of unplanned growth marks the process. This unbalanced urban growth in two major cities and some other metropolitans has a contribution in discouraging the rural to urban migration in policy spheres.

    In last twenty years, Bangladesh has observed drastic changes in the physical,

    economic and social structure in the urban areas due to unplanned rapid urbanization,

    which has created serious challenges for sustainable urban development. Urban areas

    are now afflicted with innumerable problems ranging from the law and order situation

    to deteriorating environmental conditions. Although a majority of the urban centres

    faced such challenges, severity of the problems varied depending on the size of the

    centres. The environmental problems of urban areas have direct and immediate

    implications for human health and safety, especially for the poor, and for business

    productivity. Urban environmental problems are of central concern for policy makers

    since adverse environmental conditions resulting from inadequate waste

    management, poor drainage, air pollution, lack of access to safe water and sanitation,

    exposure to excessive noise, traffic congestion, and inadequate health services exact

    a heavy toll on the quality of life.

    Poverty in Bangladesh in the past was found mostly in rural areas, but with rapid

    urbanization during the last few decades, poverty has increasingly been visualized in

    urban centres by way of transfer of the rural poor in urban areas. The manifestation of

    urban poverty is often more appalling than that of rural poverty due to lack of social

    safety nets, hazardous habitats, highly risky work environment in informal sectors,

    very poor-quality housing, sanitation, water and personal safety, and many other

    reasons. The urban poverty is highly linked with rural disaster risks. The disaster-

    vulnerable people and those who are severely affected in past disasters and lost their

    basic economic assets and employability are pushed from the disaster hotspots and

    pulled to large cities. The current poverty scenario of Khulna City, Mongla City,

    Nageshwari City is observed highly linked with disasters in catchment rural areas.

    Cities of Bangladesh are exposed to a number of natural and human-induced hazards,

    which are likely to intensify on account of climate change. Natural disasters include

    floods, land-slides, river erosion, earth-quake, and water-logging. Human-induced

    disasters include settlement growth in hazardous locations such as unstable slopes,

    ravines, wetlands, etc., unplanned growth leading to greater vulnerability, social

  • ix

    exclusion leading to reduced capacity of marginalized communities to cope with

    disasters, low building standards and poor zoning policies. The cities in flood plains,

    coastal areas and hilly areas are found highly exposed to hazards (for the detail list,

    please see Table 13 in annex, which describes the risk exposure of major cities in

    Bangladesh and Table 14, which lists medium and small townships affected by cyclone

    Sidr in 2007 and cyclone Aila in 2009). The hazards in urban areas are not very distinct

    than of rural areas, except a few hazards grown from the urbanization process: fire,

    building collapse, and water logging. The major hazards in urban areas are useful to discuss in brief at this stage.

    The above mentioned problems are examined through a comprehensive policy, institutional and expenditure context for urban disaster risk reduction to find out and explore the possible entry points for mainstreaming DRR into urban planning and budget process. This is simple in its current sense but very complex and architecture with lot more puzzles to unpack through careful and in-depth analysis of urban disaster risk reduction under existing policy-institutional-expenditure (or budget) niche of urban development. The further scopes to narrow down the analysis to range of capacity necessary for disaster risk reduction be embedded within the rules and allocation of business of different service proving entities. The study therefore tried to identify the entry points in following sectors/community of practices in urban development.

    - City Governments (City Corporation and Municipalities) - Key Urban Service Providers (Water, Electricity, Gas, Health, Civil Defense,

    Education, Sanitation, Drainage, transport) - Key Physical Planning Entities (Development Authority/ Wing in Municipalities/

    Regulatory Authority) - Key Development Planning Mechanisms (Mid Term Budget Framework, Annual

    Development Programme, Long and Mid Term Plans) - Key Policy Mechanisms (Parliament and Ministry; Disaster Policy, Urban Policy,

    Poverty Reduction Policies, Education Policy, Health Policies and other policies; and policy making process)

    - Private Sector - Mass Media - Civil Society Engagement

    Objectives of the Study

    To conduct the extent to which DRR is considered in urbanization process and its development and whether it is in the process of mainstreaming.

    Mapping of key government service providers departments in urban areas with its nature of services offered through various development schemes / programme particularly those which has high potential to address disaster risks

  • x

    Capacity and Resource (technical) assessment (situation analysis and needs assessment) of urban planning authorities/departments in context of DRR mainstreaming

    Explore strategy entry point for mainstreaming in Media and Private Sector Organizations.

    Ontologically DRR refers to a systematic approach to identify, assess and reduce risks of disaster or to be more comprehensive it aims to reduce socio-economic vulnerabilities to disaster as well as dealing with the environmental and other hazards that trigger them: Here it has been strongly influenced by the mass of research on vulnerability that has appeared in print since the mid-1970s.

    The conceptual framework of elements considered with the possibilities to minimize vulnerabilities and disaster risks throughout a society, to avoid (prevention) or to limit (mitigation and preparedness) the adverse impacts of hazards, within the broad context of sustainable development (as of UNISDR). DRR incorporates elements, concept, particularly disaster, risk and reduction. These notions are inextricably linked to each other constructing the essence of DRR. Disaster risk reduction is a systematic approach to identify, assess and reduce the risk of disaster. In another way, DRR is the concept and practice of reducing disaster risks through systematic efforts to analyze and reduce the casual factors of disaster. There is often confused duality in the term 'urban disaster'. Usually the term refers

    disasters in cities, and very specifically the natural hazards in cities and its

    consequences on city dwellers. However, the term 'urban disaster' does not carry the

    full meaning only by referring the hazards or disasters occurred in city centres. This

    connotation only describes the hazard (i.e. flood) exposures in city life and the

    suffering of city dwellers by such exposures. There is other ways to think the

    phenomena 'urban disaster', where the disaster is typically different from the 'rural

    disaster', not only the hazards occurred in cities but also how urbanization as a

    process creates a condition that are highly susceptible to be affected by any hazard

    onset. Therefore, 'urban disaster' unfolds a large number of associated concepts:

    urban vulnerabilities, urban hazards, urban risks and urban disaster preparedness,

    response and recovery along with prevention and mitigation as core dimensions of

    disaster risk reduction in socio-cultural and built environment of cities. The first

    connotation demands analysis of specific nature of cities and how that nature could

    be factored during prevention, mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery

    phases of disaster management. The second connotation will unfold the issues of the

    way urbanization create a different risk context, different from rural risk (a function of

    hazard and vulnerability) process. These two connotations are not same in its

    meaning, though they seem same to the majority of the readers. The first connotation

    does not see city as a product of the dynamic urbanization process rather a 'polygon'

    where a hazard is exposed. Therefore, there is missing in analyzing urbanization and

  • xi

    discussion how this process contributes in hazard onset and creates new types of

    vulnerabilities and social resilience.

    Mainstreaming is not an activity but a process." Mainstreaming is a long-term and dynamic process, and it requires the involvement of a wide range of stakeholders. Putting all the components in the framework in place requires collective action through co-operation, consultation and negotiation at different levels (local, national and international) between the relevant actors. Mainstreaming Spheres Framework is an attempt to operationalise such a process mapping out a coherent system of different and dynamic spheres and levels. Mainstreaming Spheres Framework is not merely a listing of variables or entry points, but they represent spheres" of action, that are linked and interrelated in a particular way and ultimately, they re-enforce each other. Mainstreaming Spheres Framework is not hierarchical; it does not indicate a starting component but suggest a process the user should consider identifying levels of interventions, needs, opportunities and barriers to mainstream DDR. Mainstreaming disaster risk reduction into development policy, planning and implementation is not a matter of choice or preference. Its a necessity. Mainstreaming disaster risk reduction is a continuous process of integration of disaster's implications and lessons learned into design, implementation, monitoring and evaluation. Mainstreaming requires consensus and active participation of decision makes and planners at the national level and support from donors and development community. Analysis, approach definitions and strategically thinking is a prerequisite for success. Integrating urban planning and DRR result to be fundamental in address poverty reduction in urban areas.

    Disaster Management Act 2012 and BCCSAP do address issues of risk reduction and

    climate adaptation. However both documents lack explicit reference and recognition

    of the way unplanned urbanization and disaster aloof physical and economic planning

    limit the urban communities to cope up with disaster vulnerability and hazard

    exposures, especially for low-income urban poor people. The inference is that the

    country has got to consider disaster risks of the urban communities as a serious issue.

    National Urban Sector Policy 2011 is in process of consultation which envisages

    strengthening urban aspects and measures to deal with its negative consequences to

    achieve sustainable urbanization. The future endeavours and dimensions proposed

    under this document are promising and provide an ideal entry point to incorporate

    disaster risk reduction into the development agenda under urban areas. This

    combined with provisions under DM Act, Water Policy, BCCASP, NAPA, BNBC and

    others detailed under Annexure 1 and 2 (of the part 2 of the report) of this study that

    can be considered as a basis to advance comprehensive urban disaster risk reduction

    policy.

  • xii

    Bangladesh has not yet developed institutions, strategies and policies relevant to

    mainstream disaster risk reduction in post 2015 development agenda. There is legal

    and institutional framework of decentralized system of local government with

    provisions to establish disaster management committee; urban areas are not yet

    considered as priority with regards to country resilience. There is substantial overlap

    and lack of proper functional relationship amongst different agencies in the urban

    areas. Disaster Management Committees are proposed to be the mechanism to

    ensure institutional collaboration and coordination with integrate different efforts,

    however, they are found to be inactive and often not grounded into the urban

    communities. These committees are weak as factors including weak executive system

    and poor resource allocation. They do not posses institutional capacity to plan,

    implement, finance and monitor services related to risk reduction.

    In Dhaka and Khulna, , there are vibrant City Corporation administered by Ministry of

    Local Government division and Development Authority administered by Ministry of

    Public Works. Study revealed that without functional relationships and mutual trusts

    between organizations in Dhaka (north and south), Chittagong, Khulna and Rajshahi,

    the development and reduction of urban disaster risk would be challenging. The

    effectiveness of these authorities, however, is generally limited by factors such as

    inadequate management and financial system, multiplicity of institutions with urban

    development function within their jurisdictions, uncoordinated development, and lack

    of integration with other agencies, inadequate manpower and lack of public

    participation. City Corporations in metropolitan city, disaster risk reduction to be

    mainstreaming into City Corporation, development authority and service providing

    organizations like WASA. The entry points have to be the organogram, allocation of

    business of the organizations, and rules of business among organizations for a better

    coordinated resilient city. The legal and institutional framework at the local level

    should have inclusive and decentralized decision making mechanisms to

    operationalise mainstreaming of risk reduction services into their routine business.

    Rangpur, Mymensingh, Sirajganj and Mongla cities, there is a planning cell, responsible

    for planning. The issues of disaster risk reduction could be potentially mainstreamed in

    the planning cell, and the planning cell of the municipalities should be the potential

    entry point for mainstreaming disaster risk reduction.

    The history of both physical and development planning in Bangladesh isnt new and

    has gone through a lot of evolutionary steps to redeem proper attention for progress.

    Yet, as dynamic as it is, much has to be done in the development and physical planning

  • xiii

    spheres of Bangladesh in term of effectiveness and reality of the modern societies.

    Similarly, the concept of disaster management has been a very familiar topic in many

    development planning arenas in Bangladesh. On the other hand, the concepts of

    urban disaster management and mainstreaming DRR in the urban planning process is

    rather fresh in Bangladesh although it incorporated some aspects of disaster

    management through different physical planning activities like master plans or

    through even some infrastructure development initiatives. Over the time, physical

    plans for urban areas has started to incorporate and mainstream lots of more

    development considerations to enhance the quality of these physical plans and to

    ensure efficiency and compatibility with overall urban development activities in

    Bangladesh. As a result, projects like CDMP, PECM are also being implemented

    alongside planning projects like DMDP; DAP of Dhaka, Khulna; local level physical

    planning initiatives like UTIDP, DTIDP etc.

    Spatial analysis has been carried out for selected urban centres the analysis shows

    that inter-connections and dependency between locations is important determinant

    to understand the risks and vulnerability of cities in a country like Bangladesh where

    physical processes are strongly active. This understanding may provide

    arguments/rationale for adopting different kinds of planning process and institutional

    setup to address the dynamic factors and processes that characterize the type,

    intensity and magnitude of disasters. However, the current planning process and

    related strategic approaches offer limited space to accommodate disaster risk

    reduction measures since the objectives of urban planning/management are not

    sufficiently aligned with reducing disaster risks. However, this section demonstrates

    the gaps in this regard based on some spatial analysis. The narratives argue that

    understanding the problems at-scale and within the wider regional settings are

    necessary to grasp the dimension, magnitude of disaster risks in an urban context and

    to devise methods/approaches to address disaster risks.

    Current urban planning process, specially the Master Plans, and related strategic

    approaches got limited space to accommodate disaster risk reduction measures since

    the objectives of urban planning/management are not sufficiently aligned with

    reducing disaster risks. Besides, this planning instrument (i.e. the Master Plan) is

    designed for a certain duration (i. e. 20 years) and non-flexible/fixed in nature. Critical

    spatial assessments, considering scale issues (e.g. the inter-connections of locations,

    considerations of catchment characteristics) for physical or social processes are rarely

    considered in Master Plan developments in Bangladesh. Assessment of Mymensingh

    Master Plan, Khulna Master Plan, Detailed Area Plan (DAP) for Dhaka indicates that

    mapping exercises are carried out in the name of spatial assessments as to produce

    general land use maps. But spatial analysis based on physical and social variables,

  • xiv

    scenario based projections, climate change impacts are strongly missing in these

    planning documents. It is imperative to mention here that in an interview the Team

    Leader for Khulna Structural Plan mentioned that DRR considerations are missing in

    the Master Plan. He also indicated that there are components/elements like indication

    of open spaces, wetlands etc. in the Structural Plan which could be used to align

    current Structural Plan more DRR responsive/focused. However, based on the

    discussions above, some recommendations are given in the following sections to

    develop efficient Master Plans in Bangladesh.

    The most important considerations for these expenditures to describe the Climate and Disaster sensitive budget/ expenditure in the table no 9 are as the followings:

    1. It was observed that almost every city the development budget is greater than the revenue budget, which provides good opportunities for mainstreaming DRR in urban development.

    2. It was perceived that every year the development budget allocation is increasing compared to the previous years.

    3. Sometimes development budget increases due to the development-project allocation.

    4. In the Budget of DCC-North 2012-2013 Development budget a fund mentioned about Climate change and Disaster management and BDT 0.50 crore is allocated in this fund. This is a new expenditure sector for DCC-North.

    5. Besides, there are many Development projects running in DCC and Pourashava to be implemented in 2012-2013 financial year. Those are UGIIP-2(Urban Governance & Infrastructure Improvement Project-phase 2), STIFPP-2(Secondary towns integrated Flood protection-phase 2), UPPRP, District town Infrastructure Development project, MSDP (Mymensingh Strategic Development Plan), clean air and sustainable environment program etc. many of these development programs are related with solid waste management, municipality improvement, climate change and disaster management.

    6. In the budget of DCC-North and South, a welfare expenditure is mentioned as Natural Disaster (Flood, Accident and Fire hazard). Here we can see 125% increases in the budget allocation for this sector. Nevertheless, this part is not well described because we know Accident and Fire Hazard are not actually natural disasters. We know that Dhaka city is in a potential threat of Earthquake disaster, which is not mentioned in this point. And this is not described that whether the amount allocated for pre- disaster preparedness or post-disaster response.

    7. Disaster management and Urban Planning is actually present in the Financial Budget 2012-2013 in terms of Development projects. But most of them do not have any regular fund-allocation for DRR or Disaster management. Only DCC-North has separate fund for climate change and disaster management. There is

  • xv

    scope to create separate fund for DRR and Disaster management in their budget.

    People prefer to live in the urban areas because of diversified employment opportunities, contemporary education system, improved medical facility, well-built communication and transportation system compared to the rural and backward areas. As a result, each year, thousands of people are moving to the capital city Dhaka and the nearby major urban cities in search of better living standard. Urbanization in Bangladesh is mainly due to the migration of people from the rural areas to the cities in search of employment. While people recognize that rapid urbanization has a negative impact on the overall living conditions within cities, it also significantly put additional pressure on the existing capacity of the government. Urban local government is a vital part for the delivery of services to people. Along with other responsibilities, urban local government in Bangladesh is also responsible for disaster risk reduction. The quality and capacity of city governance has an enormous influence on the disaster risk its population faces; quite simply, a good urban and environmental plan, and services and infrastructure in place, can prevent disasters better than one that does not. Bangladesh having required legislation and department to advance disaster risk reduction is an indicator of countrys seriousness to response to the international commitments on disaster risk reduction. National Building Code and Disaster Management Act adopted by government does take into account these hazards and related risks, but effective implementation has not happened in the country especially with in urban areas. Bangladesh has achieved a lot with regards to rural development and risk reduction models, but historically, all these initiatives happen only in response to some major hazards. Bangladesh has not been experienced massive earthquake since 1896 and the present as well as the past generation do not have any memories about the destruction capacity of a major earthquake. Therefore, at present only a few numbers of buildings are being built in compliance with the National Building Code. Fire, another major hazard for the cities, can be spread and destroy lives and properties within a very short time. Recently, there have been some fire incidents in Dhaka, but, still precautions to reduce the risk of fire is not getting much importance. A lot more collaboration amongst the NGOs, development partners and government bodies is now essential for making our urban life fully safe, and a lot more advocacy is needed for the sake of disaster preparedness of the people. It will ensure that the government is mindful enough about implementing the existing laws, and thus we can strive for a disaster-resilient Bangladesh. There are various development partners and NGOs in Bangladesh who are doing excellent work in pocket areas in collaboration with the government. For example, the European Commission funded DIPECHO projects, after identifying Sylhet, Dhaka and Chittagong as the most earthquake-vulnerable cities of the country, are preparing for the potential earthquake and fire risks in collaboration with Sylhet City Corporation, the Fire Service & Civil Defense (FSCD), the education department and others. This

  • xvi

    was possible only in areas where the city authority was keen to work in partnership after realizing the need community people in terms of disaster risk reduction. Like this initiative, there are opportunities to offer technical support and funding for efficient disaster risk reduction efforts. Generally, the media in Bangladesh found active during disaster and immediate after disasters. The sensitization part of the catastrophe from any disaster has good news value and media has attention on those issues. In case of disaster risk reduction, particularly in urban disaster, media is active on earthquake and fire incidences. Though, the activism is very much confined within some talk show in the electronic media and some special feature on causes of such disasters. The interview with media professionals shows that they have huge interest on urban disaster and the whole of the urbanization process. They have varied level of understanding and some are misconception and demonstrate low level of awareness about the urban disaster risk reduction issues. Some media platforms are also observed in Bangladesh. In most of print media, there is a dedicated bit for Environment, who covers environment, disaster, climate change and related issues. There is no such formal media forum on disaster beyond Federation of Environmental Journalists in Bangladesh (FEJB). This is a potential area, where we have observed many young journalists now involved, with very low level of awareness, could be nourished with gradual capacity building efforts.

    The term private sector is taken to mean businesses that produce goods and provide

    services for profit. This includes businesses of all sizes, from local enterprises up to

    transnational corporations. It also includes informal-sector enterprises as well as

    registered and regulated business: in developing countries, the informal sector is

    often extensive and significant economically and as an employer. Similarly, according

    to United Nations, The social responsibility of the private sector goes beyond the

    sectors day-to-day operation of producing a certain range of products and services in

    the most efficient and economical manner. The social responsibility of the private

    sector (also referred to as corporate social responsibility) concerns the relationships

    of a company not just with its clients, suppliers and employees, but also with other

    groups, and with the needs, values and goals of the society in which it operates. All

    these groups can be regarded as stakeholders in the company. Stakeholders can be

    identified as those individuals or groups of individuals that have an interest, or take an

    interest, in the behaviour of the company both within and outside its normal mode of

    operation. They therefore establish what the social responsibility of the company

    entails or, at least, how they perceive it to be a significant factor for programming for

    urban disaster risk reduction.

    Bangladesh has witnessed dramatic growth of NGOs, which currently has a total of

    26,000 NGOs registered with the NGO affairs bureau. Some of these NGOs have

    strong presence in urban areas and working on various development projects with

  • xvii

    special emphasis to urban poverty, health education, literacy and governance. In the

    urban context, Turner (1988) and UNCHS (1988) both emphasized the growing scale

    and significance of NGOs working on a range of housing and neighbourhood

    development issues in low-income settlements. In particular, NGOs are seen as being

    more participatory, people-led and responsive to local needs than more formal official

    development assistance agencies. CSO have played crucial role in the development of

    the various important legislation including disaster management framework in the

    country. Comprehensive Disaster Management (CDMP), Urban Poverty Reduction

    Programme (UPPR) and DIPECHO funded initiatives are taking place in urban areas in

    conjunction with the existing regulatory frameworks, SAARC regional roadmap in

    Urban Risk Management, and the UNISDR safer cities campaign. There are examples

    of civil society working on mainstreaming disaster risk reduction in rural areas, an

    example which is proposed for piloting and replication in urban setting.

    The study has observed that there is good enough policies in urban development,

    most of those are to regulate but very few of these policies are promoting and

    incentive for urban development. Many of these policies have contradictory

    provisions and ambiguity. The National Urban Sector Policy is currently under

    consultation process. This could be the key entry points for mainstreaming DRR in

    urban planning. Master plan is an ongoing process, where each city has a regulatory

    obligation to develop it. This master plan is the basis of urban physical and economic

    development. In most cases, the master plan as key document ignored the risks of

    disasters and failed to capture the long term climate change impacts. Though, we find

    that disaster and climate change is addressed in Mongla master plan but not in Khulna

    master plan in coastal cities. Earthquake is adequately addressed in DAP in Dhaka and

    very much in the upcoming master plan of Mymensingh.

    This is also observed that where there is fund from donors (Mymensinh from CDMP,

    Khulna from ADB), the disaster sensitivity is observed but absence of fund in cities like

    Sirajganj, Nageshwari, Rangpur and Durgapur has contributed in disaster non-

    sensitivity in master plans. Surprisingly, Mongla master plan has integrated disaster

    and climate change and that is also explored that the lead consultant for master plan

    was a disaster professional having town planning background. This clearly indicates

    the disaster risk reduction and climate change impact is yet to be matured in the

    urban development planning agenda.

    The role of media and civil society is very much critical at this point and it reveals that

    in most cities, media professional and very much sensitive about urban service

    problem as they have highest number of news in that angles: traffic jam, electric-

    water-gas failures, crimes in streets and some political processions. Except Dhaka, the

    study has observed very low level media activism in disaster risk reduction, when they

  • xviii

    report on urban development. The civil society sensitization in an organized form is

    very active in Dhaka and has reported very strongly about earthquake, fire, flood and

    linked with eco-systems: rivers and wetland in city. However, such activism of civil

    society regarding disaster-climate change-environment is very low in other cities.

    Though there are very high level risks in Khulna, Mongla, Durgapur, Rangpur,

    Mymensingh and Sirajganj but the civil society activism is very low in disaster and

    climate change arena. This is also observed that in Khulna, there is growing number of

    academicians in Khulna university is very active in the civic engagement in relation to

    disaster risk reduction.

    Private sector is not active in disaster risk reduction beyond their corporate social

    responsibilities. In Dhaka, the study team found key concerns about fire and industrial

    accidents in garments sector, but this is also very low sensitivity beyond economic

    niche. Regarding earthquake the private sector expects governments to act and help

    them. There is substantial room for private sector sensitization in disaster risk

    reduction in urban and industrial areas.

    The following are the suggestive entry point for mainstreaming urban disaster risk

    reduction.

    URBAN PLANNING: The tendency of cities to be located and expanded on river banks

    or coastal areas for economic reasons makes them more vulnerable to disasters.

    Initiatives to enhance coordination between local government organization and

    central government representative needs strong advocacy. Initiative to divide the

    physical development plans into yearly combined development plan to ensure

    execution will be a realistic approach.

    ENVIRONMNET: The urban eco-system is characterized by interplay of the build,

    natural and socio-economic environment, which separately and collectively generate

    much of the risk that cities face today. While, we attempt to mainstream DRR into

    urbanization, we have to consider all three subsystems (built, natural and cultural) of

    the urban eco-system.

    MEGACITY AND LARGE CITY GROWTH: Dhaka as a megacity is increasingly becoming

    the concentration of physical, economic, social, political and cultural assets, which are

    being exposed to different types of disaster risks, mostly earthquake, fire and

    flooding. Similarly, two other upcoming megacities Chittagong and Khulna is already

    heavily exposed to climatic disasters (cyclone, waterlogging, flooding, salinity, sea

    level rise and tidal surge). Chittagong, Khulna, Rajshahi, Syhlet, Barishal, Rangpur,

    Mymensingh and Bogura are large cities in Bangladesh and are increasingly becoming

    the concentration of physical, economic, social, political and cultural assets, which are

  • xix

    being exposed to different types of disaster risks and climate change vulnerabilities.

    These large cities in Bangladesh needs to be properly planned to accommodate at

    least 120 million people in next three decades and therefore these cities needs to be

    ready to turn into a safer city for current and future citizens. Therefore, growth of the

    megacity could be a potential entry point for mainstreaming DRR. Mostly urban

    planning and implementation of public and private sector investments for

    development could be a good entry point for mainstreaming DRR.

    CATASTROPHIC RISK: Cities in Bangladesh face cascading vulnerabilities that go

    beyond the original risk or hazard. The relevance of low probability and high

    consequence events should be recognized during the development and growth of the

    city. This is very important to keep in mind that a proper and comprehensive risk

    assessment is therefore a key entry point for mainstreaming urban DRR.

    CLIMATE CHANGE: Climate change is becoming a threat to the urban environment. The uncertainty that arises due to climate change needs to be considered in the overall urban risk management framework. Coastal cities and cities in flooding areas have higher likelihood of being affected by climate change. Satkhira, Khulna, Bagerhat, Mongla, Mathbaria, Barguna, Zhalokathi, Kalapara, Bhola, Chandpur, Chittagong, and Coxs Bazar are key cities remain highly vulnerable to climate change (sea level rise, increased cyclone, and tidal flooding) needs to bring under comprehensive risk based master plan to accommodate at least 30% more people from vulnerable rural areas around these cities only due to climate change.

    INSTITUTIONALIZATION: Mainstreaming of DRR can be ensured through

    institutionalization of DRR in different local level organizations (city corporations,

    municipalities, development authorities) up to various national level organizations

    (such as Planning commission, UDD, LGED) responsible for urban development of

    Bangladesh. DRR specific rules of business, manpower, institutional activities

    development requires attention.

    CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT: Technical and non technical trainings, workshops and

    other applied formal education on urban DRR are very significant considerations.

    Initiatives like Urban Volunteers for the community representative and coordination

    capability enhancement initiatives for appropriate officials can be vital through any

    disaster periods.

    REVITALIZED PLANNING PRACTICE: Integration of DRR and implementation of

    physical development plan demands attention. Ensuring development and

    implementation disaster management or preparedness plan, development of an

  • xx

    efficient inter ministerial and inter institutional practice to coordinate and manage

    physical development plan are also important.

    BUDGETING PRACTICE: Development of disaster management friendly budgetary

    system is very important. A specific climate change and disaster management budget

    should be introduced separately. Provision of Emergency budget should be allocated

    for disaster management. Development of Guidelines to formulate budgets sensitive

    to climate change and disaster management needs attention.

    RESILIENCE: In spite on different threats, urban communities have their inherent

    capacities to cope with different types of shocks (including hazards). Community

    resilience should be considered as an asset for risk reduction in urban areas. Massive

    mass awareness could be aimed for increased resilience of the communities is

    indispensable efforts.

    DECISION-MAKING: Appropriate governance and decision making system lie at the

    core of risk reduction in urban areas. Special focus should be given to vital

    infrastructures like schools, hospitals and key public buildings. Policy development

    and mandating also requires attention.

    ECONOMY: Urban areas are often considered as the economic hub of region or

    country, and therefore result in concentration of vital infrastructures in cities. The

    cities in Bangladesh are mostly located adjacent to rivers and also many people to the

    catchment rural areas see city as a place of opportunity. Therefore urban economy is

    growing faster, and in many cases without considering the environment, disaster and

    climate risks. There is a scope for widening economic opportunity in cities for climate

    and disaster refugees in catchment rural areas as well as during the economic growth

    and planning there is scope to consider environment-climate change and disaster

    risks.

    POVERTY: The socio-economic opportunities provided by Dhaka, Chittagong, Khulna,

    Gazipur, Rajshahi, Sylhet, Barishal, Rangpur, Mymensingh, Bagura, Jessore, cities

    enable people from a wide range of income brackets to interact and live, but also

    create vulnerabilities resulting from lack of access to urban goods and services. Urban

    livelihoods therefore have to be tied up with urban development, urban economy and

    addressing urban poverty in an integrated fashion. This entry point could then create

    more gearing effects for mainstreaming urban DRR.

    PRIVATE SECTOR INVOLVEMENT: Private sector priority consideration for DRR for

    industrial and man-made hazard as well as physical hazard needs revitalization

    including the corporate social practice for disaster management in Bangladesh.

  • xxi

    Promoting or introducing disaster management specific services from private sectors

    can be also beneficial to the overall economy.

    MEDIA COVERAGE: Promote and disseminate information on disaster and related

    services. Enhancing the media sector capability to collect information on disaster (pre,

    during and post disaster) and more importantly on disaster risk factors (mostly

    vulnerability aspects) is a key entry point for maturing the agenda of mainstreaming

    urban DRR.

    POPULATION: Urban areas are characterized by high density population, which results

    in higher exposures. Combination of high vulnerability and exposure causes higher

    degree of urban risk. This is a fact but we cannot avoid this reality in Bangladesh. The

    entry point therefore should a whole of city awareness to communicate the risk

    factors in the specific city.

    KEY RECOMMENDATIONS:

    The upcoming National Urban Sector Policy is a golden opportunity for

    mainstreaming DRR and CCA. OXFAM needs to present the study findings to a seminar

    inviting key persons in this sector. The study recommends strong policy dialogue

    organized jointly with Dhaka University, UDDR and OXFAM on the urban disaster risk

    reduction issues and mature the case of urban disaster.

    The issue of urban disaster risk is not a mature issue beyond overwhelming risk of

    Dhaka city in earthquake. The issue needs to be matured in seven key cities through

    policy dialogue and media campaign. Involvement of academicians, media and civil

    society organizations are key in these policy dialogue inviting the city corporation

    mayors and development authority chairmans in the dialogue to listen the concerns.

    There are many policy advocacy issues, not all are disaster related but without having

    change in urban governance system many of the DRR agenda will not be functional. In

    the findings of the study this is clear that the relationship between City Corporation,

    development authorities and key service organizations is a key and that can only

    happened with a very robust policy advocacy. Disaster risk reduction will be a key case

    to show where without the functional coordination of these entities, a resilient city is

    very impossible in next decades.

    The entry points, which are proposed here, are based on the study findings and

    tentative in nature. These entry points will be key start for mainstreaming DRR in

    urban planning but have to be open enough to explore more entry once the DRR

    analysis starts in urban development process.

  • xxii

    TABLE OF CONTENT

    ABBREVIATION ........................................................................................................................................................... iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ................................................................................................................................................. v PREFACE ...................................................................................................................................................................... vi EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................................................. viii TABLE OF CONTENT ................................................................................................................................................ xxii CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................. 1

    1.1 Background: The Urbanization and Emerging Disaster Risks in a Changing Climate and Development Context .................................................................................................................................. 1

    1.1.1 Urban Poverty in Bangladesh and Disaster Relevance .................................................................. 4 1.1.2 Emerging Urban Disaster Risk ......................................................................................................... 6

    1.2 Study Problem and Focus: Mainstreaming DRR in Urban Development and Physical Planning Process 8

    1.2.1 Conceptual Framework ......................................................................................................... 8 1.2.2 Goals, Objectives, Outcome and Deliverables of the Scoping Study ................................ 14 1.2.3 Scope of the Study ............................................................................................................... 15 1.2.4 Limitations of the Study ...................................................................................................... 16

    1.3 Methodology ................................................................................................................................ 16 1.3.1 Approaches and Its Logic .................................................................................................... 16 1.3.2 Methods ................................................................................................................................ 17 1.3.3 Analytical Framework ........................................................................................................... 17 1.3.4 Selection of Case City ........................................................................................................... 17

    CHAPTER TWO: SCOPE OF MAINSTREAMING DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IN URBAN PLANNING PROCESS ..................................................................................................................................................................... 19

    2.1 Policy Spheres ............................................................................................................................... 19 2.2 Institutional Spheres ..................................................................................................................... 21 2.3 Development and Physical Planning Spheres ............................................................................. 26

    2.3.1 Comprehensive Mapping of the Urban Planning Process .......................................................... 27 2.3.2 Urbanization Strategy under the Sixth Plan ................................................................................ 30 2.3.3 Understanding the urbanization process within a high-risk environment ........................ 31 2.3.4 Needs for spatial assessments in Master Plan development ............................................ 33

    2.4 Budget Spheres ............................................................................................................................ 35 2.4.1 Allocation of Development Resources for the Urban Sector in the Sixth Plan ......................... 35 2.4.2 Municipality Budget preparation in Bangladesh ......................................................................... 36 2.4.3 Budgetary Practice in the Local Government Institutions ......................................................... 36

    2.5 Capacity Spheres .......................................................................................................................... 39 2.6 Media Spheres .............................................................................................................................. 42 2.7 Private Sector Spheres ................................................................................................................. 44

    2.7.2 Different Private sector in DRR of Bangladesh and Potential Involvement ..................... 45 2.8 Civil Society Spheres ..................................................................................................................... 47 2.9 Urban Risk Analysis ............................................................................................................................. 49

    2.9.1 Spatial assessment for understanding urban risks ..................................................................... 49 2.9.2 Physical condition (urban land use) and magnitude of risks in urban areas ............................. 50 2.9.3 Perceiving risks in the milieu of socio-economic and demographic conditions of the urban centre and the regional territory .......................................................................................................... 50

    CHAPTER THREE: URBAN SERVICES AND NICHE FOR MAINSTREAMING DISASTER RISK REDUCTION .......... 51 3.1 Land Use ........................................................................................................................................ 51 3.2 Water ............................................................................................................................................ 52 3.3 Transportation .............................................................................................................................. 53 3.4 Sanitation ...................................................................................................................................... 55 3.5 Housing ......................................................................................................................................... 56 3.6 Power and Energy ........................................................................................................................ 57

  • xxiii

    3.7 Solid and Non Solid Waste Management .................................................................................... 58 3.8 Revenue and Fiscal Services ........................................................................................................ 61 3.9 Fire and Civil Defence ................................................................................................................... 61 3.10 Education ...................................................................................................................................... 63 3.11 Health ............................................................................................................................................ 63 3.12 Wetland Conservation .................................................................................................................. 65 3.13 Road .............................................................................................................................................. 65 3.14 Drainage ........................................................................................................................................ 67 3.15 Development Regulation ............................................................................................................. 67 3.16 Poverty and Employment ............................................................................................................ 68 3.17 Others Urban Considerations ...................................................................................................... 69

    CHAPTER FOUR: SYNTHESIS OF ANALYSIS- POINT OF CONVERGENCE ........................................................... 71 CHAPTER FIVE: RECOMMENDATION AND CONCLUSION ........................................................................................ 77 BIBLIOGRAPHY .......................................................................................................................................................... 80 ANNEXES .................................................................................................................................................................... 86

    List of Figure Figure 1: Changes in rural-urban head count poverty differences in Bangladesh (HIES 2005, 2010) .............................. 5

    Figure 2: Conceptual niche of urban disaster risk reduction ........................................................................................... 11

    Figure 3: Percentage of revenue budget/ expenditure of the case cities ...................................................................... 37

    Figure 4: Percentage of disaster and climate sensitive budget/ expenditure of case cities ......................................... 37

    Figure 5: Percentage of development expenditure in comparison to total budget ..................................................... 38

    Figure 6: Disaster management cycle and role of media ............................................................................................... 43

    Figure 7: Percentage of drinking water source in urban areas (source: SVRS 2009) .................................................... 52

    Figure 8: Budget/ expenditure on water supply in case cities ........................................................................................ 53

    Figure 9: Percentage distribution of household by availability of toilet facilities in the urban HHs ............................. 55

    Figure 10: Percentage distribution of household by toilet facilities in urban area ........................................................ 55

    Figure 11: Percentage of budget/ expenditure on sanitation of case cities ................................................................... 56

    Figure 12: Distribution of household by use of lighting facility and fuel used by residence, 2008 ............................... 57

    Figure 13: Unemployment rates by level of education and residence (LFS, 2005-2006) ............................................... 63

    Figure 14: Percentage of budget/ expenditure for roads in case cities .......................................................................... 65

    Figure 15: Percentage of budget/ expenditure for drainage in case cities ..................................................................... 67

    Figure 16: Percentage of employed persons 15+ by status in employment (labour survey, 2005-2006) .................... 68

    Figure 17: Programmatic approaches for mainstreaming urban disaster risk reduction .............................................. 75

    Figure 18: Relationship of disaster risk reduction programmatic approaches to the urban development planning

    cycle .................................................................................................................................................................................. 76

    List of Tables Table 1: Growth of urban population in Bangladesh ......................................................................................................... 1

    Table 2: Poverty head count ratio by divisions, 2005-2010 ............................................................................................... 5

    Table 3: Analytical framework of the study ..................................................................................................................... 17

    Table 4: Selected case cities ............................................................................................................................................. 18

    Table 5: Hierarchy of urban local governments .............................................................................................................. 23

    Table 6: Development resource allocation for the urban sector in the sixth five year plan ............................................. 36

    Table 7: Development resource allocation for the urban sector in the sixth five year plan ........................................ 36

    Table 8: Allocation of disaster and climate sensitive expenditure in the budget (in million taka) ............................... 38

    Table 9: Role of the media in disaster risk management ................................................................................................ 44

    Table 10: Water supply in Dhaka city ............................................................................................................................... 53

    Table 11: BNBC guideline for development of minimum standard housing ................................................................... 57

    Table 12: Budget of Durgapur Municipality for the financial year 2009-2010................................................................. 61

  • 1

    CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY

    1.1 Background: The Urbanization and Emerging Disaster Risks in a Changing Climate and Development Context

    Urbanization is growing rapidly in Bangladesh. Migration from villages to cities

    contributed such rapid urban growth, from 7.6% to nearly 25% between 1970 and 2005

    in Bangladesh (Government of Bangladesh 2010). Population growth in cities is faster

    nowthan any time before, and the urban population stood at 42 million (26.6% of total

    population) in 2007 and as of UN projections, it is expected to rise to 65 million within

    a decade (GoB, 2010).

    The agrarian economy of Bangladesh having an area of only 147,750 km with acute problem of allocation of land to agriculture, industry, and human settlement is experiencing a very high rate of urbanization. In 1974 people living in urban areas accounted for only 8.8% of the population (Table 1), which rose to 23.1% by 2001.

    Table 1: Growth of urban population in Bangladesh

    1974 1981 1991 2001 Projected figure

    for 2011

    Number % Number % Number % Number % Number

    (mill) %

    Urban 6273603 8.78 13535963 15.05 20872204 18.73

    31077952 23.1

    44.06 29.1

    Rural 70124397 91.79 76376037 84.95 90582981 81.27

    99444646 76.9

    107.35 70.9

    Total 76398000 100 89912000 100 111455185 100

    130522598 100

    151.41

    Source: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics

    A major cause of urbanization in Bangladesh is that the agriculture sector is no longer

    able to absorb the surplus labour force entering the economy every year. Inability of

    the agriculture sector to provide sufficient employment or sufficiently high household

    incomes to cope with a growing number of dependents can encourage people to seek

    employment outside agriculture. In the case of Bangladesh the rural to urban

    migration has contributed to more than 40 percent of the change in urban population.

    The lure of employment opportunities existing in these cities is another reason for

    urban migration.

    Dhaka is the only mega city in Bangladesh, which contains 32% of the urban

    population, and its population is expected to rise to 19 million within 2015. The second-

  • 2

    largest city is Chittagong with 4.5 million in 2007. Khulna in the south-west has more

    than one million populations. There are some medium and small municipalities having

    characteristics of dense populations. (Ibid)

    Urban growth has occurred both by way of influxes of rural migrants into the big cities

    and through re-classification of erstwhile rural centres. The proliferation of slums,

    particularly in Dhaka and Chittagong, has been an integral feature of the urbanization

    process. Urban services have not generally kept pace with urban growth, and an

    overall feature of unplanned growth marks the process. This unbalanced urban

    growth in two major cities and some other metropolitans has a contribution in

    discouraging the rural to urban migration in policy spheres.

    Bangladesh is not highly urbanized by world standards; the urban economy cannot

    manage the faster urban population growth, which is therefore deepening the

    persistent problems of poverty, unemployment and underemployment, inadequate

    infrastructure and housing, deficient social services, and rapid environmental

    degradation. Despite these problems, urban lure is a powerful force at work, and the

    urbanization trend is likely to get only stronger.

    Agriculture is the major employment sector in Bangladesh, and the agricultural

    growth is also very persistent but the classic village to city migration, which is the

    major cause of urbanization in Bangladesh, indicates that the agriculture sector is no

    longer able to absorb the surplus labour force entering the economy every year.

    Inability of the agriculture sector to provide sufficient employment or sufficiently high

    household incomes to cope with a growing number of dependents are encouraging

    people to seek employment outside agriculture. The rural areas also in last 40 years

    were highly exposed to natural disasters, which further squeezed the space for

    vulnerable people in the rural social structures and pushed to cities as obscure destiny

    for employment with uncertainties. In the case of Bangladesh, the rural to urban

    migration due to general poverty, rural unemployment and disaster push has

    contributed to more than 40 percent of the change in urban population. The lure of

    employment opportunities exists in these cities is another reason for urban

    migration.Most of the industrial establishments and businesses as well as business

    services are concentrated in the largest cities. Dhaka alone accounts for 80 percent of

    the garments industry-the mainstay of manufacturing in Bangladesh.1 The domination

    of business services, particularly finance and real estate services is considerably higher

    in the four major cities relative to the rest of the country.2

    1Dhaka Urban Poverty: Land and Housing Issues. Draft Paper, World Bank (2005). 2Bangladesh: Strategy for Sustained Growth, World Bank (2007).

  • 3

    In last twenty years, the country has observed drastic changes in the physical,

    economic and social structure in the urban areas due to unplanned rapid urbanization,

    which has created serious challenges for sustainable urban development. Urban areas

    are now afflicted with innumerable problems ranging from the law and order situation

    to deteriorating environmental conditions. Although a majority of the urban

    centresfaced such challenges, severity of the problems varied depending on the size

    of the centres.The environmental problems of urban areas have direct and immediate

    implications for human health and safety, especially for the poor, and for business

    productivity. Urban environmental problems are of central concern for policy makers

    since adverse environmental conditions resulting from inadequate waste

    management, poor drainage, air pollution, lack of access to safe water and sanitation,

    exposure to excessive noise, traffic congestion, and inadequate health services exact

    a heavy toll on the quality of life.

    The impact of urbanization is felt more intensely in major cities across the country. In

    Dhaka, for example, the quantity of solid waste generated at present varies between

    3000 to 3500 tons per day. DCC is capable of collecting only 50% of this waste, leaving

    the remaining half unattended. A part of this waste either remains in the streets or on

    nearly open ground. Some of the waste flows through the open drains and blocks the

    normal drainage flow. As a result, water logging sometimes disrupts the normal city

    life for days during the monsoon. The serious health hazard posed by this situation is

    of major concern.

    One of the major problems that the urban residents are facing is the lack of access to

    serviced land, which is posing as an obstacle to their meaningful participation in the

    urban economy. The urban land market which directly affects the urban environment

    and quality of urban life suffers from many distortions due to lack of proper land

    development and management policies, including lack of planning and slow provision

    of infrastructure and services, thus leading to unplanned or ribbon development of

    land in the urban periphery. Inadequate supply of serviced land from the market leads

    to land speculation which often prices the poor out of the formal land markets into

    the informal land markets which are characterized by slums and squatter settlements.

    During the last four decades, the price of land within urban areas increased by as

    much as 80 times. The level of price rise, however, varies within the area and depends

    on a number of local factors, including the level of services available. Of particular

    importance are the width of the main road, width of the access road, distance from

    the main road and duration of water logging. Other factors influencing land value to a

    lesser extent include the type of neighbourhood (planned or unplanned), distance of

    the closest market and distance of the closest school.

  • 4

    Apart from the existing huge shortage in housing stock, the majority of the dwelling

    units are structurally very poor, lack services and utilities, and built without proper

    planning. According to BBS (2007)3 only 24.24 percent of the houses in urban areas in

    2005 were pucca (made of brick/cement) compared to 71.68 percent houses made of

    corrugated iron sheet/wood and 4.08 percent made of straw/hay/bamboo. Rapid

    growth of urban population and consequent demand for land and housing has made

    the situation even worse, particularly in big cities. Very few households have access to

    land and credit facilities. The situation is particularly worse for the lower-income group

    and the poor who live on marginal settlements built by small land developers or by the

    occupants themselves without any security of tenure. Due to lack of tenure, the poor

    cannot meet the need for guarantees of loan repayment. This puts most conventional

    sources of credit for housing construction out of the rich of the poor resulting in lower

    level of housing investment. This led to overcrowding, lower quality of housing units

    and the proliferation of slums and squatter settlements.

    1.1.1 Urban Poverty in Bangladesh and Disaster Relevance

    Poverty in Bangladesh in the past was found mostly in rural areas, but with rapid

    urbanization during the last few decades, poverty has increasingly been visualized in

    urban centres by way of transfer of the rural poor in urban areas. The manifestation of

    urban poverty is often more appalling than that of rural poverty due to lack of social

    safety nets, hazardous habitats, highly risky work environment in informal sectors,

    very poor-quality housing, sanitation, water and personal safety, and many other

    reasons. The urban poverty is highly linked with rural disaster risks. The disaster-

    vulnerable people and those who are severely affected in past disasters and lost their

    basic economic assets and employability are pushed from the disaster hotspots and

    pulled to large cities. The current poverty scenario of Khulna City, Mongla City,

    Nageshwari City is observed highly linked with disasters in catchment rural areas. The

    rural poor people with their recurrent disaster exposures are migrating into urban

    areas. These new comers city dwellers face a high employment crisis in cities and with

    very poor-quality housing and other well being further tapping them into a deeper

    urban poverty cycle. Therefore, disaster and climate-change impactshave deeper

    relationship with urban poverty in Bangladesh. The following table shows the poverty

    scenario in Bangladesh.

    3 Household Income and Expenditure Survey- 2005, BBS (2007)

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    Table 2: Poverty head count ratio by divisions, 2005-2010

    Division 2005 2010

    Total Urban Rural Total Urban Rural

    National 40.0 28.4 43.8 31.5 21.3 35.2

    Barisal 52.0 40.4 54.1 39.4 39.9 39.2

    Chittagong 34.0 27.8 36.0 26.2 11.8 31.0

    Dhaka 32.0 20.2 39.0 30.5 18.0 38.8

    Khulna 45.7 43.2 46.5 32.1 35.8 31.0

    Rajshahi 51.2 45.2 52.3 35.7 30.7 36.6

    Sylhet 33.8 18.6 36.1 28.1 15.0 30.5

    Source: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, HIES 2005 and HIES 2010

    The table 2 and following figure-1 shows the differences of percent of poor people

    lives in urban areas than rural areas during 2005 and 2010 household income and

    expenditure survey conducted by Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.The figure 1

    indicates that at national level, the rural poor are higher than urban poor (43.8% rural

    poor while 28.4% urban poor in 2005 and 35.2% rural poor while 21.3% is urban poor in

    2010) in both survey (2005 and 2010). The trend remain same in Chittagong, Dhaka,

    Rajshahi (including Rangpur) and Sylhet Division, but in Khulna and Barishal divisions,

    we find the increase of percent of urban poor than rural poor from 2005 to 2010.

    Interestingly, during 2007 and 2009 these two divisions experienced two largest and

    long lasting disaster effects: Cyclone Sidr in 2007 and Cyclone Aila in 2009.

    Figure 1: Changes in rural-urban head count poverty differences in Bangladesh (HIES 2005, 2010)

    Using a disaster perspective to the poverty incidences, we can easily find that in

    Khulna and Barishal division, the urban poor is higher than rural poor (Figure-1), which

    is a clear indication of the lasting impact of cyclone Sidr and Aila in these two divisions

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    National Barisal Chittagong Dhaka Khulna Rajshahi Sylhet

    2005 Rural-Urban poverty 2010 Rural-Urban poverty

  • 6

    rural areas and pushed the vulnerable and rural poor to the urban centres. This is

    probably one of the clear indications of significance of addressing urban poverty from

    the view point of resilient city in Bangladesh. The figure also indicates that the

    readiness of urban centres to provide livelihoods and shelters for millions of highly

    disaster and climate migrants from rural communities is a upcoming challenge both

    from urban poverty and urban resilience point of view. A comparison of incidence of

    poverty in 2005 and 2010 indicates some significant differences in the pattern of urban

    poverty reduction. Chittagong division experienced the most rapid reduction in urban

    poverty. At 11.8 percent, Chittagong now has the lowest incidence of urban poverty.

    1.1.2 Emerging Urban Disaster Risk

    Cities of Bangladesh are exposed to a number of natural and human-inducedhazards,

    which are likely to intensify on account of climate change. Natural disasters include

    floods, land-slides, river erosion, earth-quake, and water-logging. Human-induced

    disasters include settlement growth in hazardous locations such as unstable slopes,

    ravines, wetlands,etc., unplanned growth leading to greater vulnerability, social

    exclusion leading to reduced capacity of marginalized communities to cope with

    disasters, low building standards and poor zoning policies. The cities in flood plains,

    coastal areas and hilly areas are found highly exposed to hazards (for the detail list,

    please see Table 13in annex, which describes the risk exposure of major cities in

    Bangladesh and Table 14, which lists medium and small townships affected by cycloneSidr in 2007 and cyclone Aila in 2009).

    The hazards in urban areas are not very distinct than of rural areas, except a few

    hazards grown from the urbanization process: fire, building collapse, and water logging. The major hazards in urban areas are useful to discuss in brief at this stage.

    Flooding Hazard

    A recent mapping and census of slums conducted by the Centre of Urban Studies in

    Dhaka4 shows that nearly 60 percent of the slums in the city have poor or no drainage

    and are prone to frequent flooding. Poor-quality housing and overcrowding

    exacerbate these problems. Flood in dense, poorly serviced settlements can lead to

    other hazards, in particular, public health hazards.

    Earthquake Hazard

    Earthquake is a major threat to urban built environments. Though Bangladesh has not

    experienced a major earth-quake for over a century, recent period has seen an

    escalation in seismic activity. During 2007-09, there were more than 130 instances of

    minor seismic disturbance. 8 earthquakes with magnitude of 4 on Richter's scale

    4CUS, 2005, Slums of Urban Bangladesh: Mapping and Census, Dhaka

  • 7

    occurred during 2000-10. Being located in the seismotectonic command areas of

    youngest Himalayan mountainous terrain, Bangladesh is vulnerable, in particular, the

    cities of Dhaka, Chittagong, Sylhet and Rangpur.

    Landslide Hazard

    Exposed soft sedimentary rocks in the vast tract of mountainous and hilly terrains (18%

    of the total area within the country) and increasing number of informal settlements

    on these slopes can cause fatal landslides triggered by the torrential monsoon rainfall.

    The hilly terrain in the southeastern part from the country which holds the second-

    largest city of Chittagong has a long history of slope instability. The landslide that

    occurred in ChittagongCity area and its surroundings on June 11, 2007 was a

    devastating one and took the lives of 127 people and caused injury to hundreds of

    people and made many people homeless. Fatal landslides also occurred in 2008 and

    2009. Though landslides appear as one of the major hazards, systematic approaches

    are yet to be introduced in the Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) system.

    Fire Hazard Location of unsafe industries in dense, residential neighbourhoods as well as poor-

    quality housingcombines to make fire hazard a regular nightmare for Bangladesh

    cities. Thenumber of fire incidents in Dhaka was 1,861 in 2003, 2,053 in 2004, and 2,279 in

    2005 (The New Age, 2007). Over 350 garment workers have died and some 1,500 been

    injured in fire-related incidents since 1990 (The Daily Star, February 25, 2006). The

    devastating fire at Nimtoli in Old Dhaka in 2010 has given a new scale to this hazard.

    Water-Logging

    Water-logging is a common hazard in all the major cities of Bangladesh.

    Heterogeneous landscape having minor slope difference causes erroneous

    development of drainage network, which does not follow adequate Digital Elevation

    Model (DEM) during construction. Dumping of wastes and construction's materials in

    the drainage system has further exacerbated this problem. The worst victims are the

    urban poor income people, who reside in the least favourable areas of cities like

    Dhaka and Chittagong.

    The vulnerabilities of urban centres are very much distinct from the rural areas.

    Urbanization as a process largely contributes this vulnerability, and this needs to be

    shortly described throughout this section. The major urban vulnerability factors are:

    land associated with urban habitats, livelihoods of city dwellers, social structures,

    governance, policy and institution, economies and urban poverty. The issue of urban

    poverty is discussed in previous section, but we will cover here the land and other

    vulnerability issues.

    The precarious land-man ratio has mad