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Present status of LUX and LUXZEPLIN (LZ) experiments Isabel Lopes LIP, Universidade de Coimbra, Portugal On behalf of LUX and LZ Collabora5ons Dark Ma9er – Cairo, Egypt, 14 17 December 2015

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Page 1: LUX&LZ CairoDM isabelLopes v2lz.lbl.gov/.../uploads/sites/6/2019/09/LUXLZ_CairoDM_isabelLopes_v… · THE LUX COLLABORATION Collaboration Meeting, Sanford Lab, April 2013 MahewSzydagis

Present  status  of  LUX  and  LUX-­‐ZEPLIN  (LZ)  experiments  

Isabel  Lopes  LIP,  Universidade  de  Coimbra,  Portugal  

On  behalf  of  LUX  and  LZ  Collabora5ons  

Dark  Ma9er  –  Cairo,  Egypt,  14  -­‐17  December  2015  

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Outline  

2  

1.  LUX  §  Reminder  –  what  is  LUX?  §  The  October  2013  result  §  LUX  “Run  4”  into  2016  §  Calibra5on  and  re-­‐analysis    effort  of  2013  “Run  3”  data  

2.  LUX-­‐ZEPLIN  (LZ)  

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WHAT  IS  LUX?  The  Basics  

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THE LUX COLLABORATION Collaboration Meeting,

Sanford Lab, April 2013

MaEhew  Szydagis   PI,  Professor  Jeremy  Mock   Postdoc  Steven  Young   Graduate  Student  

University at Albany, SUNY Bob  Jacobsen   PI,  Professor  Murdock  Gilchriese   Senior  Scien5st  Kevin  Lesko   Senior  Scien5st  Peter  Sorensen   Scien5st  Victor  Gehman   Scien5st  AVla  Dobi   Postdoc  Daniel  Hogan   Graduate  Student  Mia  Ihm   Graduate  Student  Kate  Kamdin   Graduate  Student  Kelsey  Oliver-­‐Mallory   Graduate  Student  

Richard  Gaitskell   PI,  Professor  Simon  Fiorucci   Research  Associate  Samuel  Chung  Chan   Graduate  Student  Dongqing  Huang   Graduate  Student  Casey  Rhyne   Graduate  Student  Will  Taylor   Graduate  Student  James  Verbus   Graduate  Student  

Brown

Dan  Akerib   PI,  Professor  Thomas  ShuE   PI,  Professor  Kim  Palladino   Project  Scien5st  Tomasz  Biesiadzinski   Research  Associate  Chris]na  Ignarra   Research  Associate  Wing  To   Research  Associate  Rosie  Bramante   Graduate  Student  Wei  Ji   Graduate  Student  T.J.  Whi]s   Graduate  Student  

SLAC Nation Accelerator Laboratory

Lawrence Berkeley + UC Berkeley

Adam  Bernstein   PI,  Leader  of  Adv.  Detectors  Grp.  

Kareem  Kazkaz   Staff  Physicist  Brian  Lenardo   Graduate  Student  

Lawrence Livermore

Xinhua  Bai   PI,  Professor  Doug  Tiedt   Graduate  Student  

SD School of Mines

 James  White  †   PI,  Professor  Robert  Webb   PI,  Professor  Rachel  Mannino   Graduate  Student  Paul  Terman   Graduate  Student  

Texas A&M

Mani  Tripathi   PI,  Professor  BriE  Hollbrook   Senior  Engineer  John  Thmpson   Development  Engineer  Dave  Herner   Senior  Machinist  Ray  Gerhard   Electronics  Engineer  Aaron  Manalaysay   Postdoc  ScoE  Stephenson   Postdoc  Jacob  CuEer   Graduate  Student  James  Morad   Graduate  Student  Sergey  Uvarov   Graduate  Student  

University of Maryland

Carter  Hall   PI,  Professor  Jon  Balajthy   Graduate  Student  Richard  Knoche   Graduate  Student  

Frank  Wolfs   PI,  Professor  

Wojtek  Skutski   Senior  Scien5st  

Eryk  Druszkiewicz   Graduate  Student  

Dev  Ashish  Khaitan   Graduate  Student  

Mongkol  Moongweluwan   Graduate  Student  

University of Rochester

Dongming  Mei   PI,  Professor  Chao  Zhang   Postdoc  Angela  Chiller   Graduate  Student  Chris  Chiller   Graduate  Student  

University of South Dakota

Daniel  McKinsey   PI,  Professor  Ethan  Bernard   Research  Scien5st  Markus  Horn   Research  Scien5st  Blair  Edwards   Postdoc  ScoE  Hertel   Postdoc  Kevin  O’Sullivan   Postdoc  Elizabeth  Boulton   Graduate  Student  Nicole  Larsen   Graduate  Student  Evan  Pease   Graduate  Student  Brian  Tennyson   Graduate  Student  Lucie  Tvrznikova   Graduate  Student  

Yale

LIP Coimbra Isabel  Lopes   PI,  Professor  Jose  Pinto  da  Cunha   Assistant  Professor  Vladimir  Solovov   Senior  Researcher  Francisco  Neves   Auxiliary  Researcher  Alexander  Lindote   Postdoc  Claudio  Silva   Postdoc  

UC Santa Barbara Harry  Nelson   PI,  Professor  Mike  Witherell   Professor  Susanne  Kyre   Engineer  Dean  White   Engineer  Carmen  Carmona   Postdoc  ScoE  Haselschwardt   Graduate  Student  Curt  Nehrkorn   Graduate  Student  Melih  Solmaz   Graduate  Student  

Henrique  Araujo   PI,  Reader  Tim  Sumner   Professor  Alastair  Currie   Postdoc  Adam  Bailey   Graduate  Student  Khadeeja  Yazdani   Graduate  Student  

Imperial College London

Chamkaur  Ghag   PI,  Lecturer  Sally  Shaw   Graduate  Student  

University College London

Alex  Murphy   PI,  Reader  Paolo  Beltrame   Research  Fellow  James  Dobson   Postdoc  Tom  Davison   Graduate  Student  Maria  Francesca  Marzioni   Graduate  Student  

University of Edinburgh

David  Taylor   Project  Engineer  Mark  Hanhardt   Support  Scien5st  

SDSTA

UC Davis

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LUX  Principle:  Two-­‐Phase  Xenon  TPC  

2

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1.5  keV  electron  recoil  event  

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LUX  Technology   NIM.  A  704,  111-­‐126  (2013)  arXiv:1211.3788  

PMTs  

Cathode  

Inner  Ti  can  

Outer  Ti  can  

PTFE  walls  

Liq.  interface  

Xe  circula]on  

Thermosyphon  

PMTs  

61  

Not  actually  used  for  Run  3  

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Sanford  Lab  –  Davis  Laboratory  

Davis  Campus  

Surface  Lab  

2010 - 2011

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THE  LUX  2013  RESULT  April  –  August  Data  

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LUX  WIMP  Search,  85.3  live-­‐days,  118  kg  

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ER  and  NR  Calibra5on  Data  

Neutron-­‐X  events  and  mul]ple  scaEers  with  low  S2s  

ER  contamina]on  

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LUX  (2013)-­‐85  live  days  

LUX  +/-­‐1σ  expected  sensi5vity  

XENON100(2012)-­‐225  live  days  

XENON100(2011)-­‐100  live  days  

ZEPLIN  III  

CDMS  II  Ge  

Edelweiss  II  

§ World-­‐leading  sensi]vity,  with  op]mum  at  33  GeV/c2  

§  Improvement  factor  x2-­‐3  

§   >1000  cita]ons  on  Inspire-­‐HEP  by  Dec  2015  

Limit  on  SI  WIMP-­‐nucleon  cross-­‐sec5ons  

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Limit  on  SI  WIMP-­‐nucleon  cross-­‐sec5ons  -­‐  low  mass  WIMPs  

>20x  more  sensi5vity  

CDMS  II  Si  Favored  

CoGeNT  Favored  CRESST  

CDMS  II  Ge  

x  

DAMA/LIBRA  Favored  § Low-­‐mass  regime:  several  “hints”  of  WIMP  signal  strongly  disfavored  

§ Drama]c  rela]ve  improvement  in  sensi]vity  due  to  excellent  light  collec]on  

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LUX  RUN  4  AND  ONGOING  OPERATIONS  

It’s  happening  

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LUX  Run  4  •  Before  Run  4  –  End  of  2013:  high-­‐stats  calibra5on  data  with  CH3T  and  DD  neutron  sources,  for  Run  3  

–  First  half  of  2014:  op5mizing  grids  HV,  “condi5oning”.  Increased  extrac5on  field  by  17%  

 •  Run  4  started  in  Sep  2014  aoer  finalizing  new  stable  run  

parameters  (mainly  HV)  –  First:  4  weeks  of  DD  neutron  data  +  5  days  of  CH3T  data  –  Accumulated  ~250  live-­‐days  of  WIMP  search  data  so  far  –  Second  set  of  DD  +  CH3T  calibra5ons  in  March-­‐April.    –  Aiming  for  300  live-­‐days  WS  +  necessary  calibra5ons  before  June  2016    

 

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LUX  Run4-­‐  Prospects  

 •  One  important  low-­‐E  intrinsic  background  has  

disappeared  (127Xe)  •  Benefit  from  be9er  background  modeling  for  

Profile  Likelihood  analysis  •  Benefit  from  improved  detector  response  

calibra5on  at  very  low  energy      These  can  also  be  applied  to  Run  3  data,  now  that  we  have  the  end-­‐2013  calibra5on  data,  have  had  a  year  to  look  at  it,  and  to  refine  the  background  model!  

Expected  improvement  over  2013  sensi]vity:  x2  –  x4  

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RE-­‐ANALYSIS  OF  2013  RUN  3  DATA  More  of  a  good  thing  

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Measuring  light  

BeEer  es]mators  for  detected  photons:    ·∙  Removed  a  bias  in  baselines  ·∙  Photon  response  calibrated  in  the  VUV  (2  phe  from  1  photon)  ·∙  Digital  coun5ng  of  photons  in  PMT  waveforms  (for  S1<20  keV)    

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Event  Energy  reconstruc5on  E = 1

Lnph + ne( )W

S1c = g1nph

L:  mean  frac5on  of  recoil  energy  lost  to  electrons  L=1  for  electron  recoils;   L<1  for  nuclear  recoils  

g2=  electroluminescence  per  single  electron  x        electron  extrac<on  efficiency    

S2c = g2neg1  accounts  for  light  collec<on  efficiency  

nph,  ne:  photons  and  electrons  leaving  the  interac5on  site  

W=13.7  eV   T.  Shu9  et  al.,  Nucl.  Phys.  Proc.  Suppl.  173,  160  (2007).  

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g-­‐Factors  Determina5on  

•  12%  efficiency  for  the  detec5on  of  a  primary  scin5lla5on  photon                -­‐    previously  14%  quoted  •  49%  electron  extrac5on  (from  24.66  detected  photons/e  and  g2=12)            -­‐  previously  65%  but  g2=16.0  is  what  ma9ers    

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•  Injec5on  of  CH3T  

•  Homogeneous  β  source,    Q  =  18  keV  

•  Demonstrated  removal  with  τ  <  12h  

•  Can  take  WS  data  again  safely  5  days  aoer  3  Bq  injec5on  

•  Extract  QY  and  LY  for  electron  recoils  

ER  Calibra5on  with  tri5um  (0  -­‐18  keV)  

2nd  campaign  of  CH3T  in  Dec  2013    •  180  000  events  accumulated  

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QY  

LY  

Out  of  the  tri5um  data  

•  Powerful  support  for  the  combined  energy  model  

•  Ly  and  Qy  for  ER  measured  down  to    1.1  keV  •  Precise  determina5on  of  the  probability  for  

an  ER  event  to  “leak”  down  into  NR  S2/S1  region,  as  a  func5on  of  S1  

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•  D-­‐D  neutron  generator  •  Neutron  generator/beam  pipe  assembly  aligned  16  cm  below  liquid  level  

in  LUX  ac5ve  region  to  maximize  usable  single  /  double  sca9ers  •  105  live  hours  of  beam  5me  in  Aug  2013  

In  situ  NR  Calibra5on  

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§ Iden5fy  double  sca9ers  along  beam  line  inside  LUX.  Angle  θ  gives  deposited  energy.  § à  Absolute  calibra5on  of  ioniza5on  response  QY  

§ Apply  ioniza5on  scale  found  above  to  single  sca9ers  § à  Absolute  calibra5on  of  scin5lla5on  response  LY  

In  situ  NR  Calibra5on  with  kinema5cally  -­‐constrained  neutron  sca9ers  

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Nuclear  Recoil  Response  •  Data  first  shown  in  Feb  2014  with  very  preliminary  analysis.    

•  Significant  effort  to  refine  analysis  since  then  –  Study  of  all  systema5cs  – Op5miza5on  of  events  selec5on  

–  Improved  models  of  ioniza5on  and  scin5lla5on  

•  Great  progress:  – QY  measured  down  to  0.7  keVr  

–  LY  measured  down  to  1.1  keVr  

•  Kinema]c  reach  now  3.3  GeV/c2  WIMP  mass  

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What  else  was  Improved?  •  Update  to  Background  Model  – Addi5on  of  “Wall  Events”    

•  206Pb  nuclear  recoils  •  37Ar  

–  127Xe  naked  X-­‐rays  included  •  Increase  of  the  exposure    –  Increase  of  fiducial  volume  (118  kg  à  145kg)  –  +  10  days  of  data  

•  Updates  to  posi5on  reconstruc5on  algorithm  – Use  of  photon  coun5ng  at  very  low  energy  –  Improvement  of  LRFs  

•  Taking  into  account  non-­‐uniformity  of  electric  field  •  Use  of  both  top  and  bo9om  PMT  array  to  determine  S2  

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Distribu5on  of  Backgrounds  

117.7+-­‐1.1  kg  

145.3+-­‐1.3  kg  

§  Measured  3.5  ppt  Kr  with  RGA.    §  PMT  gamma-­‐rays  =  biggest  background  §  591  surviving    events  in  the  fiducial  volume  No  ER  v.  NR  discrimina5on  here:  PLR  deals  with  whole  distribu5on.    

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WIMP-­‐Search  Data  

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Spin-­‐Independent  elas5c  WIMP-­‐  nucleon  cross  sec5on  

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LUX-­‐ZEPLIN  (LZ)  

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University  of  Alabama  University  at  Albany  SUNY  Berkeley  Lab  (LBNL)  University  of  California,  Berkeley  Brookhaven  Na5onal  Laboratory  Brown  University  University  of  California,  Davis  Fermi  Na5onal  Accelerator  Laboratory  Kavli  Ins5tute  for  Par5cle  Astrophysics  &  Cosmology  Lawrence  Livermore  Na5onal  Laboratory  

LIP  Coimbra  (Portugal)   University  of  Maryland  MEPhI  (Russia)   University  of  Michigan  Edinburgh  University  (UK)   Northwestern  University  University  of  Liverpool  (UK)   University  of  Rochester  Imperial  College  London  (UK)   University  of  California,  Santa  Barbara  University  College  London  (UK)   University  of  South  Dakota  University  of  Oxford  (UK)   South  Dakota  School  of  Mines  &  Technology  STFC  Rutherford  Appleton  Laboratories  (UK)   South  Dakota  Science  and  Technology  Authority  Shanghai  Jiao  Tong  University  (China)   SLAC  Na5onal  Accelerator  Laboratory  University  of  Sheffield  (UK)   Texas  A&M  

Washington  University  

University  of  Wisconsin  

Yale  University   31  

LZ  =  LUX  +  ZEPLIN  

32  ins]tu]ons  currently    

=US  (23)  +  UK(8)+PT(1)+RU(1)    

About  190  people  

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Year   Month   Ac]vity  2012   March   LZ  (LUX-­‐ZEPLIN)  collabora5on  formed  

May   First  Collabora5on  Mee5ng  September   DOE  CD-­‐0  for  G2  dark  ma9er  experiments  

2013   November   LZ  R&D  report  submi9ed  2014   July   LZ  Project  selected  in  US  and  UK  2015   April   DOE  CD-­‐1/3a  approval,  similar  in  UK    

Begin  long-­‐lead  procurements(Xe,  PMT,  cryostat)  2016   April   DOE  CD-­‐2/3b  approval,  baseline,  all  fab  starts  2017   June   Begin  prepara5ons  for  surface  assembly  @  SURF  2018   July   Begin  underground  installa5on  2019   Feb   Begin  commissioning  

32  

LZ  Timeline  

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33  

ZEPLIN  →  LUX  →  LZ  

Next-­‐genera]on  LXe  experiment  building  on  LUX  &  ZEPLIN  programmes  •  Route  to  detec]on  &  study:  a  progressive  programme  

–  ZEPLIN  pioneered  two-­‐phase  Xe  for  WIMP  searches  (3.9x10-­‐8  pb/n)  –  LUX  is  present  world  leader  in  sensi5vity  (7.6x10-­‐10  pb/n,  and  ongoing)  –  LZ  expected  sensi5vity:  ∼2x10-­‐12  pb/n  with  3-­‐year  run  

•  Experimental  approach:  a  low  risk  but  aggressive  programme  –  Internal  bk-­‐free  strategy  (self-­‐shielding,  modest  discrimina5on  assumed)  –  Two-­‐phase  Xe  technology:  high  readiness  level  –  Some  infrastructure  inherited  from  LUX  

•  LZ  will  provide  exci]ng  physics  opportuni]es  for  light  &  heavy  WIMPs          (GeV-­‐TeV):  since  we  do  not  know  what  BSM  physics  looks  like!  

6  kg  LXe  fid                          100  kg                            5600  kg  

ZEPLIN-­‐III                            LUX                                    LZ  

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34  

LUX  

               LZ  Total  mass  –  10  T  WIMP  Ac]ve  Mass  –  7  T  WIMP  Fiducial  Mass  –  5.6  T  

Scale  up  ≈  50  in  fiducial  mass  

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35  

LUX  à  LZ  

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LZ  Overview  

36  

High  Voltage  Feedtrough  

120  Outer  Detector  PMTs  

Instrumenta5on  Conduits  

Water  Tank  

Gadolinium  Loaded  Liquid  Scin5llator  

Liquid  Xenon  Heat  Exchanger  

488  Photomul5plier  Tubes  (PMTs)  Addi5onal  200  `skin’  PMTs  

7  Tonne  Liq.  Xenon  TPC    

(Time  Projec5on  Chamber)   Neutron  Calib.  Conduit  

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LZ  Underground  at  SURF  

37  

Xenon  storage  room  

LN  storage  room  

LZ  detector  inside  water  tank  

Control  room  

Years  of  experience  at  SURF  from  LUX  

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Design  Status  Summary  

•  Conceptual,  and  in  some  cases  more  advanced  design,  completed  for  all  aspects  of  detector  

•  Conceptual  Design  Report  available  as  arXiv:1509.02910  •  Acquisi5on  of  Xenon  started  •  Procurement  of  PMTs  and  cryostat  started  •  Collabora5on  –  wide  prototype  program  underway  to  guide  and  validate  design  

•  Backgrounds  modeling  and  valida5on  well  underway  

38  

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39  

THE  LZ  TPC  

• TPC  PARAMETERS  §  1.5  m  diameter/length  (3x  LUX)  §  7  tonne  ac5ve  LXe  mass  (28x  LUX)  §  2x  241  3-­‐inch  PMTs  (4x  LUX)  §  Highly  reflec5ve  PTFE  field  cage  §  100  kV  cathode  HV  (10x  LUX)  §  Electron  life5me  3  ms  (3x  LUX)  

PHYSICS  PARAMETERS  •  5.8  keVr  S1  threshold  (4.5  keVr  LUX)  •  0.7  kV/cm  drio  field,  99.5%  ER/NR  disc.    (already  surpassed  in  LUX  at  0.2  kV/cm)  

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Xe  Detector  Prototyping  

•  Extensive  program  of  prototype  development  underway  

•  Three  general  approaches  –  Tes5ng  in  liquid  argon,  primarily  of  HV  elements,  at  Yale  and  soon  at  LBNL  

– Design  choice  and  valida5on  in  small  (few  kg)  LXe  test  chambers  in  many  loca5ons:  LLNL,  Yale-­‐>  UC  Berkeley,  LBNL,  U  Michigan,  UC  Davis,  Imperial  College,  MEPhI  

–  System  test  pla�orm  at  SLAC,  Phase  I  about  100  kg  of  LXe,  TPC  prototype  tes5ng  to  begin  in  few  months  

40  

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LZ  Calibra5ons  •  Demonstrated  in  LUX.  Calibrate  The  Signal  and  Background  Model  in  situ.  •  DD  Neutron  Generator  (Nuclear  Recoils)  •  Tri5ated  Methane  (Electron  Recoils)  •  Addi5onal  Sources  e.g.  YBe  Source  for  low  energy  (Nuclear  Recoils)  

41  

Monochromatic���2.5 MeV neutrons

Tri]um  Beta  Spectrum  Measured  in  LUX  

C  

H  

H  H  

T  

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Extensive  Calibra5on  

•  LUX  has  led  the  way  to  detailed  calibra5ons.  LZ  will  build  on  this  and  do  more.  

42  

Done  in  LUX  and  will  be  done  in  LZ   Not  done  in  LUX,  but  will  do  in  LZ  

83mKr  (rou5ne,  roughly  weekly)   Ac5vated  Xe  (129mXe  and  131mXe)  

Tri5ated  methane  (every  few  months)   220Rn  

External  radioisotope  neutron  sources   AmLi  

External  radioisotope  gamma  sources   YBe  

DD  neutron  generator(upgraded  early  next  year  to  shorten  pulse)  

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Cryostat  Vessels  •  UK  responsibility  •  Low  background  5tanium  chosen  direc5on              SS  alterna5ve  advanced  as  backup  •  Ti  slab  for  all  vessels(and  other  parts)  received  

and  assayed  •  Contributes  <  0.05  NR+ER  counts  in  fiducial  

volume  in  1,000  days  aoer  cuts  

43  

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Background  Modeled  

Fid.  Mass  3.8  T    

Fid.  Mass      5.6  T                  2.2  bkg  events,    1,000  days    

       Just  LXe  TPC          Use  LXe  skin,  Outer  Det.  

44  

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Projected  Sensi5vity  –  Spin  Independent  (LZ  5.6  Tonnes,  1000  live  days)  

45  

2×10-­‐48  cm2  

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46  

Conclusions  

•   LZ  Project  well  underway,  with  procurement  of  Xe,  PMTs  and  cryostat  vessels  started  

•  Extensive  prototype  program  underway    •   LZ  benefits  from  the  excellent  LUX  calibra5on  techniques  and  understanding  of  background  

•   LZ  sensi5vity  expected  to  be  finally    limited  by  neutrino-­‐induced  `background’  

 

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47  

Extra  Slides  

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85Kr  Removal  and  Screening  •  Remove  Kr  to  <15  ppq  (10-­‐15  g/g)  using  gas  chromatography.  •  Best  LUX  batch  200  ppq    •  Se�ng  up  to  process  200  kg/day  at  SLAC  •  Have  a  sampling  program  to  instantly  assay  the  removal  at  SLAC  and  con5nuously  assay  in  situ  

49  

LUX  Xenon  Sampling  

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Outer  Detector  

•  Essen5al  to  u5lize  most  Xe,  maximize  fiducial  volume  

•  Segmented  tanks  –  installa5on  constraints  (shao,  water  tank)  

•  Gadolinium  -­‐  loaded  scin5llator,  LAB,  OK  underground  

•  Daya  Bay  legacy,  scin5llator  &  tanks  (and  people)  

•  Advanced  conceptual  design  50  

Layout  of  the  LZ  outer  detector  system,  which  consists  of  nine  acrylic  tanks.  The  largest  are  the  four  quarter-­‐tanks  on  the  sides.  Two  tanks  cover  the  top,  and  three  the  boEom.  The  exploded  view  on  the  right  shows  the  displacer  cylinders  placed  between  the  acrylic  vessels  and  the  cryostat.  

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Electronics/DAQ  

•  LUX  legacy,  augmented  by  experienced  new  groups  (primarily  DAQ,  controls)  

•  Prototyping  underway,  will  lead  to  full  –  chain  test  of  key  elements  by  end  of  year  

 

51  

32  channel  digi5zer  prototype  

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Integra5on/Installa5on  •  Surface  assembly  of  TPC  into  inner  cryostat  

•  LUX  experience  at  SURF  •  Dedicated  on  –  site  infrastructure  improvements  for  LZ.  Design  started,  construc5on    

52  

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Sensi5vity  with  SUSY  Theories  

53  

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Sensi5vity  with  Compe55on  

54  

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Response  of  Xe  to  Neutrinos  arXiv:1307:5458  

55  

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 2014  LUX  

LZ  –  At  the  neutrino  `knee’  arXiv:1408.3581  

56  

4

10-49

10-48

10-47

10-46

10-2

10-1

100

101

102

103

104

105

106

100

101

102

103

104

105

106

107

SI d

isco

very

lim

it a

t 10

0 G

eV/c

2 [cm

2 ]

Number of expected atmospheric neutrino events

Exposure (ton-year)

∝ 1/√M T

∝ 1/MT 5%10%15%

20%25%30%

FIG. 2: Evolution of the discovery limit for a SI interaction as a function of the exposure for idealized Xe experiments withperfect e�ciency and a 3 eV (4 keV) threshold. The discovery limit is shown for a 6 GeV/c2 (100 GeV/c2) WIMP mass fordi↵erent values of the systematic uncertainty on the 8B (atmospheric) flux in the left (right) panel. The second and third regions(background subtraction and saturation regime) are well described by equation 8 as shown by the dashed lines correspondingto the di↵erent systematic uncertainties.

Our primary motivation for this is because the neutrino-electron spectrum is flat and is therefore fairly easy todistinguish from a WIMP signal. Furthermore, in thefollowing we will mainly focus on the low WIMP massregion (below 20 GeV/c2) where the CNS backgroundlargely dominates over the neutrino-electron induced one.Moreover, most experiments are able to distinguish be-tween electron and nuclear recoils down to 10�3-10�5,making the neutrino-electron scattering a negligible com-ponent.

B. Discovery limit computation

Following Ref. [10], we utilize a profile likelihood ra-tio test statistic in order to derive discovery limits ofupcoming direct detection experiments in the context ofthe coherent neutrino scattering background. A discov-ery limit fixes a WIMP-nucleon cross section such that ifthe true WIMP-nucleon cross section is higher than thisvalue then the considered experiment has a 90% probabil-ity to detect a WIMP with at least a 3� confidence level[25]. A binned likelihood function has been used in orderto compute discovery limits for very high exposures:

L (���n

,�⌫

) =

N

expY

h=1

2

4N

binY

i=1

P

0

@Nh,i

����µh,i

+N

⌫X

j=1

µh,i,j

1

A

3

5

⇥N

⌫Y

j=1

L j

(�j

) (6)

where �j

are the di↵erent neutrino fluxes, P is thePoisson probability function, N

exp

is the number ofindependent experiments, N

bin

is the considered number

of bins, Nh,i is the number of events in the i-th bin ofh-th experiment and N

is the number of consideredneutrino families. The values of µh,i

and µh,i,j

corre-spond respectively to the expected number of eventsfrom WIMPs and neutrinos of the family j for theexperiment h. They are computed by integrating theconsidered event rates over the recoil energy range of thei-th bin. Finally, L j

(�j

) are the individual likelihoodfunctions related to the flux normalization of eachneutrino component. They are parametrized as gaussiandistributions with a standard deviation correspondingto the uncertainty on the considered neutrino flux.

The profile likelihood ratio test statistic allows one toquantify the gap between a background only hypothesis(H

0

) and an alternative hypothesis (H1

) which includesboth background and signal [26]. It is defined as:

q0

=

8<

:�2ln

L (�

��n

=0,

ˆ

ˆ

~

)

L (�̂

��n

,

ˆ

~

)

��̂��n

> 0

0 �̂��n

< 0(7)

where we used theˆ̂~�⌫

notation to show that thisparameter varies in order to maximize the conditionallikelihood function when �

��n

is fixed to zero. FollowingWilk’s theorem, the probability distribution function ofq0

asymptotically follows a half �2 distribution with onedegree of freedom. This has been checked by computingthe histogram of the q

0

values under the H0

hypothesisfor 1,000 Monte Carlo pseudo-experiments. Thereforethe significance of this test statistic is simply given byZ =

pqobs0

in units of sigmas.

Figure 2 presents the evolution of the discovery limitfor a WIMP mass of 6 GeV/c2 (left panel) and 100

 LZ  

 Xenon  1T  

Ater  LZ,  extremely  large  detectors  would  be  needed.  

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Spin  Dependent  Neutron  

57  

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Spin  Dependent  Proton  

58  

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Time  Evolu5on  

59  

LUX  

LZ    2×10-­‐48  cm2  

Ge,  NaI  no  discrimina]on  

Ge,  w/discrim.  

LXe,  w/discrim.  ZEPLIN-­‐III  

XENON  1T  

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Running  Time  

•  Sensi5vity  vs.  running  5me.    

•  1,000  days  is  the  nominal.  •  Baseline  backgrounds  •  Rapid  improvement  in            sensi5vity  •  Poten5al  to  eventually  get  to  ∼  1  x  10-­‐48  cm2  

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Requirement