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Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys Mao-Lin Shen 1 E-mail: [email protected] Yu-Heng Tseng 1 , Sen Jan 2 , Chih-Chieh Young 1 , Ming-Da Chiou 2 1 Atmospheric Sciences, Nation Taiwan University, Taiwan (R.O.C.) 2 Institute of Oceanography, Nation Taiwan University, Taiwan (R.O.C.) May 10, 2022 AOGS 2011 Taipei International Convention Center

Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

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AOGS 2011 Taipei International Convention Center. Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys. Mao-Lin Shen 1 E-mail: [email protected] Yu-Heng Tseng 1 , Sen Jan 2 , Chih-Chieh Young 1 , Ming-Da Chiou 2. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Mao-Lin Shen1

E-mail: [email protected] Tseng1, Sen Jan2,

Chih-Chieh Young1, Ming-Da Chiou2

1Atmospheric Sciences, Nation Taiwan University, Taiwan (R.O.C.)2Institute of Oceanography, Nation Taiwan University, Taiwan (R.O.C.)

April 21, 2023

AOGS 2011 Taipei International Convention Center

Page 2: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 2

Heat Exchange between Tropics and Extratropics

[Daifang and Philander, 1994, Science]

Kuroshio

Page 3: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 3

North Equatorial Current-Mindanao Current-Kuroshio (NMK) Current System

(b) 23 April, 1988(a) 20 Sep, 1987

Fig. NEC bifurcation near the Philippine Coast. NEC flow poleward of this latitude turned north as the Kuroshio while flow to the south fed the Mindanao Current. [Toole et al., 1990, JPO]

Page 4: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 4

ENSO and NEC

[Qiu and Chen, 2010b, JPO]

Page 5: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 5112/04/21

[Qiu and Chen, 2010b, JPO]

•North Equatorial Current bifurcation (NECB)

•Zonally distributed wind stress curl

Page 6: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 6

Things we already known

Why does the Kuroshio Transport on Luzon Strait and northeast of Taiwan present different patterns [Hwang and Kao, 2002, GJI] ?

Page 7: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 7

AVISO SLP + MDT

(cm)

(1996~2001)

NEC

STCC

Page 8: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 8

Possible Source of the KT

[Vianna and Menezes, 2010, JGR]

Subtropical

TropicalENSO

West Pacific pattern

STCC

NEC

Page 9: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 9

Questions will be answered

How to identify and estimate the Kuroshio Transport reasonably?

What is the origin/source of Kuroshio if Section PCM-1 is focused? (suggesting the possible climate variability conveyed by Kuroshio Transport)

Is our hypothesis correct?

Page 10: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 10112/04/21

Methods for obtaining the KT Geostrophic Relationship (GR)

Considering the geostrophic balance is prevailing.

Empirical Relationship (ER) The relation built by linear curve fitting.

Transfer Function (TF) A spectral relationship of the KT and the

associated SSH different.

Kg

gQ H

f

1 2 (Sv) (cm)KeQ C C

( )( )

( )K

Q

Q fT f

f

B A

( ) ( )K KQ f F Q

( ) ( )K Kf F

Page 11: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 11

Model Results

(a)

(b)

The frequency‐dependent “transfer function” [Åström and Murray, 2008] estimates the linear causal relationship between any pair of variables.

( )( )

( )

Spectrum of the KT on PCM-1

Spectrum of the SSH difference

Q

Q fT f

f

Geostrophic Balance

gHQ

f

Modeled SSH on day 180, Year 37

Taiwan Multi-scale Community Ocean Model (TIMCOM)

(c)

Page 12: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 12

Observation

(a)

(b)

KT on PCM-1 Section (Johns et al., 2001)

Geostrophic Balance

gHQ

f

AVISO SSH

(c)

(d) ( )( )

( )Q

Q fT f

f

Page 13: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 13

Re-constructed KT(a)

(b)

Seasonal variation

Interannual variationKgQ

Page 14: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 14

(a)

(b)

KT vs. -WP

KT vs. ENSO

Page 15: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 15

Possible Source of the KT

[Vianna and Menezes, 2010, JGR]

Subtropical

TropicalENSO

West Pacific pattern

STCC

NEC

Page 16: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 16

Different KT Phases

(a) (b)

(c) (d)

(e) (f)

Kg Kg QQ Q

Kg Kg QQ Q

Huge NEC transport

Limit NEC transport

mean

mean

mean

std

std

std

Page 17: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 17

Conclusions

The re-constructed KT obtained by GR and TF shows good agreement with the modeled ten-year KT.

Using a longer period of observation data, the TF can provide a very good view on the relationship between the KT and the associated SSH difference and minimize uncertainty.

The GR can be applied only when the focused period is longer than 4 months (low frequency) and is good to obtain the long-term KT variability.

Page 18: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 18

Conclusions

The annual-averaged KT on Section PCM-1 was controlled by the northern branch of the NEC and mesoscale eddies generated from the STCC while the NEC is strongly influenced by the ENSO events, and the mesoscale eddies are related with the WP pattern.

Future works The heat transport from tropical to extratropical via KT

have to be determined. (The knowledge of thermocline variation is necessary.)

Page 19: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 19112/04/21

Thank you for your attention.Questions?

Page 20: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 20

TF of modeled ten-years KT(a)

(b)

Page 21: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 21

Re-constructed KT

KeQ

Page 22: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 22112/04/21

STCC

•STCC, subtropical countercurrent

•Ekman convergence forcing, which associated with meridional temperature gradient and zonal geostrophic velocity

[Qiu and Chen, 2010a, JPO]

Page 23: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 23112/04/21

Fig. Comparison between the interannually-varying Ekman forcing term and the interannually-varying EKE time series in the STCC band.

[Qiu and Chen, 2010a, JPO]

Page 24: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 24

Can sea surface height be used to estimate oceanic transport variability?

Ivchenko et al. (2011), GRL, 38, L11601. The relation between the

sea surface height and the meridional transport across a zonal section at 26.5°N in the North Atlantic

Page 25: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 25

DUPOM (North Pacific adaptation of TIMCOM)

Page 26: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 26112/04/21

Numerical model Surface sources of heat and fresh water

Levitus94 seasonal climatology Bathymetry

unfiltered ETOPO-2 depth data supplemented with the Taiwan’s NCOR 1-minute high accuracy depth archive in the Asian Seas

Winds stress monthly Hellerman and Rosenstein winds stress

Vertical mixing Modified Richardson number dependent formula based on

Pacanowski and Philander (1981)

Page 27: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 27112/04/21

Model validation(a) (b)

(c) (d)

Fig. Comparison of SSH and the cross-section velocity on Section PCM-1.[Tseng et al., 2011, PO]

Page 28: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 28

Fig. TIMCOM output and the schematic of the western North Pacific current system. Annual mean has been taken.

Page 29: Long-term variability of the Kuroshio Transport East of Taiwan and the climate it conveys

Dr. Mao-Lin ShenDr. Mao-Lin Shen, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTU, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, NTUPage 29

PCM-1

NEC contributed

Streamfunction of annual-averaged model results (Sv)

(0-800 m) Ratio:

NEC:PCM-1 1:2.1978