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Long-Term Laboratory Evolution of a Genetic Life-History Trade-Off in Drosophila melanogaster. 2. Stability of Genetic Correlations Author(s): Armand M. Leroi, W. Royal Chen, Michael R. Rose Source: Evolution, Vol. 48, No. 4 (Aug., 1994), pp. 1258-1268 Published by: Society for the Study of Evolution Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2410383 . Accessed: 31/07/2011 14:24 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at . http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=ssevol. . Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. Society for the Study of Evolution is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Evolution. http://www.jstor.org

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Long-Term Laboratory Evolution of a Genetic Life-History Trade-Off in Drosophilamelanogaster. 2. Stability of Genetic CorrelationsAuthor(s): Armand M. Leroi, W. Royal Chen, Michael R. RoseSource: Evolution, Vol. 48, No. 4 (Aug., 1994), pp. 1258-1268Published by: Society for the Study of EvolutionStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2410383 .Accessed: 31/07/2011 14:24

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unlessyou have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and youmay use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use.

Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at .http://www.jstor.org/action/showPublisher?publisherCode=ssevol. .

Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printedpage of such transmission.

JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

Society for the Study of Evolution is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access toEvolution.

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Evolution, 48(4), 1994, pp. 1258-1268

LONG-TERM LABORATORY EVOLUTION OF A GENETIC LIFE-HISTORY TRADE-OFF IN DROSOPHILA MELANOGASTER. 2.

STABILITY OF GENETIC CORRELATIONS

ARMAND M. LEROI,' W. RoYAL CHEN, AND MICHAEL R. ROSE Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California, Irvine, California 92717

Abstract. -Experiments in laboratory populations of Drosophila melanogaster have shown a neg- ative genetic correlation between early-life fecundity on the one hand and starvation resistance and longevity on the other. Selection for late-life reproductive success resulted in long-lived pop- ulations that had increased starvation resistance but diminished early-life fecundity relative to short-lived controls. This pattern of differentiation proved, however, to be unstable. When assayed in a standard high-fecundity environment, the relative early fecundity of the long- and short-lived stocks reversed over a decade. That is, the long-lived populations came to have greater relative early-life fecundity, late-life fecundity, longevity and starvation resistance. Nevertheless, when these populations were assayed in other assay environments, the original trade-off was still present. We investigated the genetic structure of the short- and long-lived populations, to ask whether the inconstancy of the trade-off, as inferred from among population comparisons, is reflected in the pattern of genetic correlations within populations. For this purpose, lines from each of the short- and long-lived populations that had been selected for starvation resistance were compared with unselected controls. The direct and correlated responses of these starvation selected populations suggest that (1) the original genetic trade-off was still present in the ancestral short- and long-lived populations, even when it was no longer apparent from their comparison; (2) the trade-off was present in both assay environments; and (3) selectable genotype x environment variation exists for early fecundity. We suggest that a failure of the pattern of differentiation among populations to reflect the pattern of genetic correlations, if common in natural populations, will prevent the reliable inference of genetic trade-offs from comparisons of most natural populations.

Key words. -Antagonistic pleiotropy, Drosophila, genotype x environment interactions, life-his- tory, trade-offs.

Received August 21, 1992. Accepted September 24, 1993.

It is frequently suggested that antagonistic plei- otropy between survival and reproduction, man- ifest as negative genetic correlations, constrains the evolution of life-history traits (Williams 1957; Rose 1985; Partridge and Harvey 1988; M0ller et al. 1989; Scheiner et al. 1989; Steams 1989, 1992; Parker and Maynard Smith 1990). Such antagonisms are presumably caused by physio- logical (and other) costs for survival exacted by reproduction (Williams 1966a,b; Bell and Kou- fopanou 1986). But the ease with which such costs can be overcome in the course of evolution is unclear (Partridge and Sibly 1991; Steams 1992), as is the importance of negative genetic correlations that arise from such costs to the long- term evolution of populations.

A classic example of a trade-off believed to be caused at least partially by costs of reproduction comes from the study of outbred, laboratory- adapted populations of Drosophila. In such pop-

1 Department of Molecular Genetics, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, 1300 Morris Park Avenue, Bronx, New York 10461. E-mail: [email protected].

ulations, early fecundity is often negatively ge- netically correlated with longevity (Rose and Charlesworth 1981a,b; Rose 1984; Tucic et al. 1988; Luckinbill et al. 1 984; Luckinbill and Clare 1985; but see Partridge and Fowler 1992). This particular trade-off has been suggested to be of great importance in shaping the evolution of Drosophila life history (Parker and Maynard Smith 1990).

In this paper, we investigate the ostensible dis- appearance of antagonistic pleiotropy between reproduction and survival in an assemblage of D. melanogaster populations. The loss of this trade-off was first documented in a companion paper (Leroi et al. 1994a); here we examine the genetical basis of this loss in greater detail. In the next section, we set the stage for this study by briefly outlining the history of these populations and pose the major questions addressed.

EXPERIMENTAL OVERVIEW We originally detected a trade-off between ear-

ly fecundity and longevity in a population found- ed by P. T. Ives in 1975 from flies collected in

1258

3 1994 The Society for the Study of Evolution. All rights reserved.

EVOLUTION OF LIFE-HISTORY TRADE-OFFS. 2. 1259

South Amherst, Massachusetts. Rose (1984) de- rived an assemblage of 10 populations from this stock (IV) in 1980, which he then selected for different life-history attributes. Five of these populations, called B,-B5, were maintained on a 2-wk generation cycle; five other populations, called 01-05, were selected for late-life repro- ductive success by maintenance on a longer gen- eration cycle. It was later found that the mean longevity of the long-generation O's had in- creased substantially and that mean 0 early fe- cundity had declined-an apparent consequence of the negative genetic correlation between lon- gevity and early fecundity detected by Rose and Charlesworth (198 la). Another trait, starvation resistance, was also found to play a role in this trade-off, it being strongly positively correlated with longevity (Rose et al. 1992), and like lon- gevity, negatively genetically correlated with ear- ly fecundity (Service and Rose 1985; Service et al. 1985, 1988).

Given this pattern of genetic variation and co- variation, as selection for late-life reproductive success proceeded, the five replicate 0 and B populations should have become increasingly di- vergent for mean longevity, starvation resis- tance, and early fecundity. Indeed, between 1982 and 1992, the difference between B and 0 mean longevity and starvation resistance increased substantially; the difference in mean early fecun- dity, however, did not. Initially, 0 mean early fecundity declined relative to that of the B's (Rose 1984). But by the mid 1980s, B and 0 mean early fecundities were indistinguishable, and by 1990, 0 mean early fecundity was greater than B. The trade-off between early fecundity on the one hand, and starvation resistance and longev- ity on the other, as manifest in among-popula- tion comparisons, had disappeared (Leroi et al. 1994a).

All the life-history trait assays on the B's and O's had been conducted in a particular assay environment, and it was in this environment that the between-population life-history trade-off had disappeared. Experiments begun in 1990, how- ever, revealed a more complicated story: al- though no longer present in some assay environ- ments, this trade-off was still present in others. In 1990, relative B and 0 early fecundity de- pended strongly on assay environment, the B's having greater early fecundity than the O's in some environments, the O's being superior in others. Because the O's had superior starvation resistance regardless of environment, the appar-

ent trade-off between fecundity and starvation resistance also depended on test environment (Leroi et al. 1994a).

The reversals in relative B and 0 early fecun- dity now observed across environments is con- sidered a consequence of adaptation of either or both of these stocks to unique aspects of their respective culture regimes. Each generation, after 14 d, the O's are placed into Plexiglas cages and are given fresh food continuously for the 8-wk of their remaining adult existence. At the end of this period, they are given a substantial feeding of yeast (to stimulate oviposition), and 24 h in which to lay eggs for the following generation. The B's, however, are housed only in the culture vials in which they were raised, and which con- tain old, spent culture medium; after this they are allowed to lay eggs for 1 h, rather than 24.

The environment in which we had originally observed the trade-off and its subsequent loss was the "standard" assay environment. This consists of fresh medium and abundant levels of dietary yeast; it is thought to be an optimal en- vironment for egg laying, and it closely approx- imates the actual culture regime of the O's de- scribed above. The assay environment in which the trade-off is still apparent, that is, in which B's have superior early fecundity, is called the "B-type" environment-which is designed to ap- proximate the culture environment of the B's (Leroi et al. 1994a).

This inconsistency of the trade-off, as inferred from comparisons between populations, raises several questions that we address in this paper. I 1. Does a trade-off between earlyfecundity and starvation resistance still exist within the B and O populations? In other words, is there still a negative genetic correlation between early fecun- dity and starvation resistance within the B and O populations as in their ancestor population? This question is most pressing for the "standard" assay environment in which the interpopulation trade-off originally existed but later disappeared.

2. Does the genetic correlation between early fecundity and starvation resistance depend on en- vironment? The dependence of the trade-off among populations on assay environment may reflect a similar dependence of the sign of genetic correlation within the B's and O's on assay en- vironment.

3. Is there a negative genetic correlation be- tween early fecundity in different environments? The reversal of relative B and 0 early fecundity between the "standard" and "B-type" environ-

1260 ARMAND M. LEROI ET AL.

Base Population 'IV' 2 week generations, adults in vials

Feb 1980

B1 85 01.05 2-week generations 10-week generations adults in vials adults in cages

1989 1989

A A SB1 SB5 CB1 CB5 S01 S05 C01 C05 starvation selection controls starvation selection controls adults in cages adults in cages adults in cages adults in cages

FIG. 1. History and relationship of the stocks studied here. In 1980, the B's and O's were derived from the ancestral population, IV. The O's were selected for postponed senescence, the B's were controls; each stock consisted of five replicate populations, 10 in all. In 1989, the starvation-selected stocks, SO and SB, and their controls, CO and CB, were derived from the B's and O's respectively. One starvation-selected popula- tion and one control was derived from each B and 0 population, giving 20 new populations in total. Since then, the B's and O's have been maintained as usual (see the Materials and Methods section).

ments suggests a cross-environmental trade-off for this trait. Is this reflected in the signs of cross- environmental genetic correlations?

In this paper, we investigate these questions concerning the genetic structures of the B and 0 populations- as they are after 10 yr of laboratory selection-by examining the direct and correlat- ed responses of selection lines derived from them in 1989 (described in Rose et al. 1992). These lines, which also are replicated fivefold, were mass selected for starvation resistance. We report here the selection responses of these lines for early fecundity and starvation resistance in the "stan- dard" and "B-type" environments.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Starvation-Selected Stocks: Origin and Culture Regimes

In 1989, two populations were derived from each of the five B and each of the five 0 popu- lations. Ten of the new populations-one from each ofthe ancestral B and 0 populations - served as controls, and were designated CBx or COx ac- cording to its ancestry (see fig. 1). The remaining 10 new populations were selected for starvation resistance and designated SBx or SOx according to their ancestry. For the first 14 d of their life cycles, the control and starvation selected pop-

ulations are handled in an identical manner. Each generation, flies are raised at controlled densities of 60-80 per vial in 8-dram vials filled with ap- proximately 5 mL of food, and kept at 25?C in an incubator, as in B and 0 culture (Rose 1984). At day 14 after oviposition, the eclosed flies from all populations are placed into plexiglass cham- bers. Whereas the CO and CB flies are given an excess of food in the form of petri dishes of ba- nana-molasses medium replaced every 2 d, the SO and SB flies are not given food but instead receive petri dishes containing nonnutritive agar. After approximately 800/o-90% mortality caused by starvation, each S population and its paired control are given yeasted banana-molasses me- dium on which to recover and lay eggs for the following generation. Census populations sizes prior to selection are approximately 10,000 for each replicate selection line. For a full discussion of the course of selection of these lines see Rose et al. (1992). Since the derivation of the star- vation-selected populations and their controls in 1989, the B's and O's have been maintained in their usual fashion (cf. Rose 1984).

Fecundity and Starvation Resistance Assays

Conditioning Environments. -Starvation re- sistance and fecundity were always assayed in either "standard" or "B-type" conditioning en- vironments. In both treatments, flies were as- sayed at day 14 after oviposition, and the larval environments were identical; it is after eclosion that the treatments diverge.

In the "standard" assay, flies that have eclosed within the same 24-36-h period are transferred in pairs to assay vials. These vials contained su- crose-yeast medium, and charcoal powder added for coloring. The surface of the food is covered with a thin yeast paste to which dilute acetic acid has been added. Flies are transferred to fresh vials daily for 4 d, at which point they are assayed for either fecundity or starvation resistance (Rose 1984; Rose and Charlesworth 1981 a).

In the "B-type" assay environment, the flies are maintained in their culture vials until day 14 after oviposition then assayed for either fecun- dity or starvation resistance. These "B-type" and "standard" conditioning treatments differ, then, in numerous environmental variables including the freshness of the banana-molasses medium, the presence of excess live yeast, and adult den- sity (60-80 versus 2).

Fecundity Assay. -In the "standard" fecun-

EVOLUTION OF LIFE-HISTORY TRADE-OFFS. 2. 1261

dity assay, the pairs of flies were transferred from their conditioning vials to assay vials supple- mented with a dietary yeast and acetic-acid mix- ture, and permitted to lay eggs for 24 h. In the "B-type" fecundity assay, 60-80 flies were trans- ferred to a single assay vial supplemented with a dietary yeast and acetic-acid mixture and per- mitted to lay eggs for only 1 h. Female fecundity was estimated by dividing the number of eggs in each vial by the number of females in that vial. In addition, then, to the differences in the con- ditioning phases of the "B-type" and "standard" assays listed above, these assays differ in the length of time permitted for oviposition, as well as the density of flies.

Starvation Resistance. -In both the "stan- dard" and "B-type" starvation resistance assays, single pairs of flies were transferred from con- ditioning vials to starvation-resistance assay vi- als that contained no food but that had a humid atmosphere (Service et al. 1985).

Experimental Design In 1991, we carried out two experiments to

address the questions posed above. Experiment 1. B, 0, and CB Early Fecundi-

ty.-Leroi et al. (1994a) suggested that the re- versal in relative B and 0 early fecundity among environments was caused by historical differ- ences in the way that the B's and the O's had been cultured. Specifically, each generation the O's live in cages as imagoes, whereas the B's do not. It was proposed that adaptation of each stock to its own environment, combined with a neg- ative genetic correlation in fecundity among en- vironments, gave rise to an interpopulation trade- off for early fecundity among the "standard" and "B-type" assay environments. This interpreta- tion assumed that the "standard" fecundity assay mimics at least some of the crucial aspects of the O's cage environment immediately prior to ovi- position, as the "B-type" assay does that of the B's. If such a negative genetic correlation across environments exists for fecundity, then other in- stances of adaptation to a cage culture regime should also cause an increase in "standard" assay fecundity, and concomitant loss of fecundity in the "B-type" environment.

To investigate this, we compared early fecun- dity in the CB's with their ancestors, the B's. Like the O's, the CB's are propagated in cages and hence differ from the B's in the environment that they experience immediately prior to oviposi- tion. We also assayed the O's as an additional

control. At the time of assay, the B's and O's had been evolving independently for about 250 and 55 generations, respectively. The CB's had been evolving independently from the B's for approx- imately 43 generations. In this experiment, ap- proximately 40 females were assayed per pop- ulation in the "standard" assay for a total of 599 over 15 populations. For the "B-type" assay, 20 replicate vials were assayed per population. Note that the "B-type" assay involves the estimation of female fecundity in a vial containing 60-80 flies; the unit of replication within populations, then, is the vial, and not individual females.

Experiment 2. SB, CB, SO, and CO Early Fe- cundity and Starvation Resistance. -To gain in- sight into the genetic structure of the B's and the O's, we assayed the 10 starvation-selected pop- ulations derived from B's and O's (SB's and SO's) relative to their 10 paired control (CB's and CO's) populations. After 45 generations of starvation selection, all 20 populations were assayed for early fecundity and starvation resistance in the "standard" and "B-type" environments. In the starvation resistance assays, approximately 20 females were assayed per population per treat- ment to give a total of 782 females (20 females x 20 populations x 2 environments). In the fe- cundity assays, 20 replicate "B-type" replicate vials, each consisting of 60-80 females, were as- sayed per population, over 20 populations. For the "standard" treatment, approximately 40 rep- licate vials, each containing a single male and female, were assayed per treatment to give a total of 776 females for this treatment alone (40 fe- males x 20 populations).

In this experiment, we also assayed B and 0 early fecundity in the "standard" and "B-type" environments again, to compare them to CB ear- ly fecundity as we did in experiment 1. At this point the B's and O's had been evolving inde- pendently for about 255 and 56 generations re- spectively.

Statistical Analysis and Experimental Design

All hypothesis testing is based on replicate population means as observed variates. Unless specified otherwise, all means and standard er- rors are also based on replicate population means as observed variates. To make claims about the genetic structures of the B and 0 stocks as groups, we based the replication structure of the star- vation-selected stocks and their controls on the replication structure of their ancestors. For this

1262 ARMAND M. LEROI ET AL.

TABLE 1. Selected comparisons among the early fe- cundities of starvation selected stocks, their controls, and ancestors. 1. Two-tailed probabilities based upon the t-distribution with N - 1 = 4 df. 2. Two-tailed probabilities based upon the t-distribution with N - 1 = 3 df. 3. One-tailed probabilities based upon the t-distribution with N - 1 = 4 df.

Conditioning Comparison environment and result P Test

Experiment 1 Standard B < 0 0.002 1 B-type B > 0 0.014 1 Standard B < CB 0.006 1 B-type B>CB 0.118 2

Experiment 2 Standard B < 0 0.200 1 B-type B > 0 0.001 1 Standard B < CB 0.018 1 B-type B > CB 0.049 1 Standard CB > SB 0.076 3 B-type CB > SB 0.004 1 Standard CO > SO 0.004 3 B-type CO > SO 0.025 1

reason, paired t-tests were used to compare means in which the pairs are selected and control pop- ulations derived from a common ancestor, for example, SB1 and CB,, both derived from B1. In ANOVA, ancestral lineage was treated as a ran- dom block, as was generation when the results from two assays were considered simultaneously. Selection treatment (e.g., SB versus CB) and con- ditioning treatment ("standard" versus "B-type") were treated as fixed effects. Because we have explicit predictions of the sign of the direct and correlated responses to starvation resistance in the "standard" environment (Leroi et al. 1 994a), one-tailed probabilities were used when appro- priate in hypothesis tests. Because we do not have an equivalent expectation for signs of the selec- tion responses in the "B-type" environment (al- lowing for the possibility of genotype x envi- ronment interaction), two-tailed probabilities were used for traits measured in this environ- ment.

RESULTS

Early Fecundity in the "Standard" and "B- Type" Environments: 0 Versus B and CB Versus B. -First we confirm our earlier observation (Leroi et al. 1994a) that the O's have a higher fecundity in the "standard environment," but that the reverse is true in the "B-type" environ- ment (table 1, fig. 2). In the "standard" environ-

-- 20

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._ C -5 UD

"Standard" "B-type" Conditioning Treatment

FIG. 2. Evolutionary consequences of culturing in the "standard" environment for early fecundity. Females are assayed in two environments: "standard" (which entails conditioning at low densities, on fresh, yeasted food, and a 24-h laying period), and "B-type" (which entails conditioning at high densities, on spent medi- um, and a 1-h laying period). The comparison of the 0's and the B's shows the trade-off among environ- ments as originally detected by the divergence of these populations (Leroi et al. 1 994a). The comparison of the CB's and B's shows the same trade-off among en- vironments independently demonstrated as a conse- quence of the CB's having been maintained in the "B- type" environment for more than 40 generations. Error bars represent one standard error about the mean. Means and standard errors are based upon replicate populations as observed variates pooled across exper- iments 1 and 2.

ment, experiment 1 shows a significant difference between B and 0; experiment 2 does not, al- though the relative means of B and 0 early fe- cundity are in the expected direction (table 1, fig. 2). Considering both experiments simultaneous- ly; ANOVA shows that the 0's are significantly greater in fecundity than the B's (P < 0.005). In the "B-type" environment, both experiments 1 and 2 confirm that B early fecundity is greater than 0 early fecundity (table 1, fig. 2); both ex- periments considered simultaneously by ANO- VA show the same result (P < 0.0005). The ex- istence of genotype-by-environment interaction for early fecundity as reflected in the differenti- ation of the B and 0 stocks for this trait is thus confirmed.

The pattern of B and CB differentiation for early fecundity parallels that ofdthe B and 0 stocks (fig. 2). Both experiments show CB's have a high- er early fecundity than the B's in the "standard" environment (table 1); a combined ANOVA shows the same result (P < 0.005). In the "B- type" environment, in experiment 1, CB early fecundity is lower than B early fecundity but non- significantly so. Experiment 2 confirmed this re-

EVOLUTION OF LIFE-HISTORY TRADE-OFFS. 2. 1263

TABLE 2. Starvation resistance (in hours) when females are conditioned in the standard and B-type environ- ments. Means and standard errors based upon N - 1 = 4 df.

Standard B-type

Control Starvation Control Starvation Ancestor linei selected lines P* lines selected lines Pt

B1 29.33 135.18 49.85 167.50 B2 34.23 83.85 41.25 182.35 B3 33.35 117.36 62.25 199.80 B4 27.55 66.93 44.00 192.80 B5 28.73 86.33 33.10 163.60 Mean 30.64 97.93 < 0.005 46.09 181.21 < 0.0005 SE 1.33 2.37 4.86 7.00

01 48.95 135.13 50.75 193.50 02 36.63 112.71 58.65 181.59 03 32.83 91.68 71.65 163.11 04 27.60 85.08 81.90 160.40 05 34.75 97.18 47.80 178.90 Mean 36.15 104.35 < 0.0005 62.15 175.50 < 0.0005 SE 3.54 8.95 6.44 6.14 * One-tailed probabilities estimated using the t-distribution with N-1 = 4 df. t Two tailed probabilities estimated using the t-distribution with N-1 = 4 df.

sult, and here the CB fecundity is significantly lower than that of the B's (table 1); combined ANOVA shows a significant difference (P < 0.05). The failure to detect a difference in this com- parison in experiment 1 was probably caused by the loss of one of the replicate populations and hence lack of statistical power.

In being kept in a cage environment, then, the CB populations have apparently evolved an en- vironment-dependent pattern of early fecundity relative to their ancestors, the B's. Furthermore, this pattern of environmental dependence in ear- ly fecundity is the same that the O's exhibit with respect to the B's. Because the CB's and O's have quite different demographic regimes (the CB's have short generations, the O's have long gen- erations), but both are kept in cages, we conclude that the CB's have adapted to their cage envi- ronment in a manner parallel to the O's. In each case, maintenance of populations in the cage en- vironment was associated with an increase of early fecundity in the "standard" assay environ- ment and a decrease of early fecundity in the "B- type" assay environment. These results strongly suggest the existence of considerable amounts of selectable genotype-by-environment variation for early fecundity.

Starvation Resistance in the "Standard" and "B-Type" Environments. -The starvation-se- lection stocks (SB's and SO's) have far greater starvation resistance in the "standard" environ- ment than do their unselected controls (CB's and

CO's) (table 2). Separate ANOVA on the pop- ulations derived from the B's and those derived from the O's show a significant effect of selection treatment (P < 0.0005); a significant effect of conditioning environment (P < 0.0005); and a significant selection-by-conditioning interaction (P < 0.005). After 45 generations, then, the direct response to starvation selection was considerable in both the "standard" and "B-type" environ- ments, although the superiority of both the SO's and SB's over their controls was even greater in the "B-type" environment than in the "stan- dard" environment.

Early Fecundity in the "Standard" and "B- Type"Environment: SB Versus CB and SO Ver- sus CO. -Early fecundity in both the starvation- selected stocks is reduced relative to that of their controls when females are conditioned in either the "standard" or "B-type" environment (figs. 3, 4; table 1); three of these four comparisons are significant, the exception being SB versus CB in the "standard" environment (P = 0.076, fig. 3a, table 1).

Considering both environments simulta- neously, ANOVA on the fecundities from the populations derived from the B's shows a sig- nificant effect of selection treatment (P < 0.05); a significant effect of conditioning environment (P < 0.0005); and no selection-by-conditioning interaction (P > 0.1). ANOVA on the popula- tions derived from the O's shows a significant effect of selection treatment (P < 0.005); a sig-

1264 ARMAND M. LEROI ET AL.

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Ancestral Population

FIG. 3. Indirect response to selection for starvation resistance: early fecundity in the "standard" environ- ment. a. Populations derived from the B's: SB and CB. b. Populations derived from the O's: SO and CO. In the "standard" environment, the original trade-off, as manifest as a negative genetic correlation between star- vation resistance and early fecundity, still exists in the O's, but the case for the B's is less clear. Error bars represent one standard error about the mean. Means and standard errors are based on individual flies as observed variates.

nificant effect of conditioning environment (P < 0.0005); and a marginally nonsignificant selec- tion x conditioning interaction effect (0.1 > P > 0.05). After 45 generations of starvation- selection, then, fecundity has clearly declined in response to starvation selection in three of the four combinations of assay environment and an- cestral population with the same qualitative re- sult in the fourth. This result is like that of Hutch- inson et al. (1991), who, using other starvation- selected lines derived from the O's, also found a decline in "standard" environment fecundity as starvation resistance increased. In the "B-type" environment, the reduction of SO and SB fecun- dity relative to their controls strongly suggests that the negative genetic correlation between ear- ly fecundity and starvation resistance, first de- tected in the early 1980s (cf. Service and Rose

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01 02 03 04 05 Ancestral Population

FIG. 4. Indirect response to selection for starvation resistance: early fecundity in the "B-type" environ- ment. a. Populations derived from the B's: SB and CB. b. Populations derived from the 0's: SO and CO. In the "B-type" environment, the original trade-off as manifest as a negative genetic correlation between star- vation resistance and early fecundity, still exists in both the B's and 0's. Error bars represent one standard error about the mean based upon individual flies as observed variates.

1985), was still present in both the B's and 0's in 1989. In the "standard" environment, there is similarly strong evidence for a negative genetic correlation in the 0's, with the same trend evi- dent in the B's. The "standard" environment results also confirm those of an earlier experi- ment performed at approximately generation 40, in which the SO's also were found to have a lower early fecundity than the GO's, and the SB's were marginally nonsignificantly lower than their con- trols, CB; a combined analysis yields the same result (data not shown).

DISCUSSION

The Genetic Structure of the Ancestral Popu- lation, IV. -Several lines of evidence indicate that in the population ancestral to the B's and 0's -IV -starvation resistance is strongly posi- tively correlated with longevity, and, like lon-

EVOLUTION OF LIFE-HISTORY TRADE-OFFS. 2. 1265

gevity, negatively genetically correlated with ear- ly fecundity. First, when the O's were initially selected for late-life reproductive success, star- vation resistance increased with longevity as ear- ly fecundity declined (Rose 1984; Service et al. 1985). Second, when relaxed selected lines were derived from the O's and cultured on a 2-wk generation cycle identical to that of the B's, star- vation resistance declined with longevity, and early fecundity increased again (Service et al. 1988). Third, sib analysis directly revealed a neg- ative genetic correlation between starvation re- sistance and early fecundity between -0.45 3 (? 0.178) and -0.9 13 (? 0.027), depending on en- vironment (Service and Rose 1985). This accu- mulation of evidence for a trade-off in IV leaves us, then, with a puzzle: Why, if the difference in B and 0 early fecundities has reversed over the past 10 yr (in the "standard" environment), have not relative starvation resistance and longevity done so as well? In other words, why has the long-term divergence of the B's and O's failed to reflect the influence of the trade-offbetween early fecundity on the one hand and starvation resis- tance and longevity on the other?

Genetical Explanations for the Evolution of Trade-Offs. -The trade-off discussed here could be caused by a conflict in allocating materials between two resource sinks: fecundity and star- vation resistance pictured as a Y-shaped meta- bolic pathway (vide Sheridan and Barker 1974; van Noordwijk and de Jong 1986). Variation at loci responsible for allocation will result in a neg- ative genetic correlation between these traits; variation at loci responsible for acquisition will result in a positive genetic correlation (cf. Houle 1991). Under this scenario, the negative genetic correlation between early fecundity and starva- tion resistance in the ancestral population, IV, was caused by alleles segregating at loci largely responsible for the allocation of resources among these traits, acquisition loci presumably contrib- uting little genetic variance to these traits. This negative genetic correlation would then have giv- en rise to the initial decline in 0 early fecundity as selection proceeded (Rose 1984).

The subsequent disappearance of this inter- population trade-off may have occurred in one of two ways: (1) The trade-off may have dissi- pated within one (or both) of the sets of popu- lations and hence ceased to constrain their di- vergence. The negative genetic correlation could perhaps have disappeared with the evolution of novel epistatic alleles. Such modifiers have been

found for resistance to phage in Escherichia coli populations (Lenski 1988a,b) and pesticide re- sistance in blowfly populations (McKenzie et al. 1982; Clarke and McKenzie 1987). Alternative- ly, the genetic correlation might have collapsed because of the early fixation of segregating alleles at allocative loci. (2) The trade-off may still exist within each population yet have become ob- scured between populations. For instance, novel alleles may have become fixed at acquisition loci in one (or both) of the sets of populations without the negative genetic correlations between early fecundity and starvation resistance having been substantially altered.

Of these two classes of explanation for the dis- appearance of the trade-off among populations in the "standard" environment, we favor the lat- ter. That is, the direct and correlated responses of the starvation-selected stocks relative to their controls strongly suggest that the negative genetic correlation between early fecundity and starva- tion resistance still existed in the B and 0 pop- ulations in 1989-long after the trade-off could no longer be detected by comparing their means. Leroi et al. (1 994a) argue that the disappearance of the among-population trade-off is caused pri- marily by adaptation of the O's to their novel cage environment (and hence to the "standard" assay). In this light, it is of particular significance that the negative genetic correlation - as reflected by the divergence of the SO's and CO's-still appears to be present within the O's when con- ditioned in this environment (tables 1, 2; fig. lb). If alleles that confer increased acquisitive ability in the cage environment have indeed increased in frequency in the 0 populations, then they have done so without perturbing the sign of the genetic correlation between early fecundity and starva- tion resistance. The negative genetic correlation also probably is preserved in the B's: our data suggest a small (though marginally nonsignifi- cant-P < 0.10) decline in early fecundity of the SB's relative to their controls in the "standard" environment.

Do Patterns of Genetic Correlations Constrain Life-History Evolution?-It is often claimed that the life histories of organisms are constrained by trade-offs manifest as negative genetic correla- tion (e.g., Partridge and Sibly 1991; Rose 1991; Steams 1992), and therefore the evolutionary trajectories of populations should be predictable from knowledge of their genetic correlation structure. However, the present study illustrates vividly the difficulties that may arise when pre-

1266 ARMAND M. LEROI ET AL.

dicting the long-term evolution of a set of pop- ulations from prior knowledge of genetic corre- lations.

We have argued that genetic correlations be- tween early fecundity on the one hand, and star- vation resistance and longevity on the other, were present in the ancestral IV population, and in- deed, are still present in the B's and O's after more than 10 yr of laboratory evolution. Nev- ertheless, in the "standard" assay environment, the O's now have superior early and late fecun- dity as well as superior starvation resistance and longevity (Leroi et al. 1994a). We conclude that the negative genetic correlations between these traits concealed the presence of genetic variance that was not associated with longevity or star- vation resistance via an antagonistic pleiotropy. The existence of such variance, which possibly affects resource acquisition, was fortuitously re- vealed by selection in the O's for the ability to lay eggs in a particular environment. Whether the alleles involved were initially at low fre- quency in the B's and O's and thus had little influence over the original differentiation ofthese populations, or whether they arose later in the course of their evolution, we cannot say. Our results do not contradict the many selection stud- ies that have successfully predicted short-term selection responses from genetic correlations (e.g., Falconer 1989), but they do suggest that over somewhat longer periods of time such prediction may be problematical. This point has, of course, been made frequently before (Falconer 1989; Turelli 1988). However, failures in the long-term predictability of selection responses are usually attributed to the evolution of genetic correlations because of inbreeding, drift, or selection (Sheri- dan and Barker 1974; Wilkinson et al. 1990). The novelty of our results lies in the finding that selection responses of the B's and O's in the "standard" environment were unpredictable even though the sign of the genetic correlation remains apparently unperturbed in that environment.

It is clear that our inability to predict the long- term evolution of even so simple a system as ours stems from our lack of knowledge of the detailed population genetics of the loci affecting the two characters involved as well as the selec- tion forces that impinge on them. The possibility of obtaining such knowledge must, for most life- history trade-offs in most species, remain in the realm of fantasy; in its absence the prospects for accurately predicting the long-term evolution of natural populations seem bleak.

Constancy of the Sign of the Genetic Correla- tion between Early Fecundity and Starvation Re- sistance Across Environments. -It is of interest to note that, at least in the O's, the negative genetic correlation is found in both the "B-type" and "standard" environments. This is consistent with the idea that this trade-off is caused by a structured pleiotropy, that is, a pleiotropy that is caused by a physiological coupling (cf. Steams et al. 1991). Given such coupling (perhaps be- cause of the use of common metabolic resources as envisioned above), the average effect of an allele influencing both traits is expected to change sign for both traits at the same points across an environmental gradient (de Jong 1990). This, in turn, implies constancy of the sign of the genetic correlation among these traits (de Jong 1990). Service and Rose (1985), assaying the IV pop- ulation, showed that in some environments the genetic correlation between these traits was less negative than in others, but in no case did they find that the genetic correlation became positive. Other evidence, from environmental, surgical, and mutational manipulations, suggests that ear- ly fecundity and starvation resistance probably draw on common reserves of triglyceride lipids among other resources (see Chippindale et al. 1993).

Trade-Offs in Early Fecundity among Envi- ronments. -The existence of strong genotype x environment interactions for early fecundity was first suggested by the observation that in 1990 relative B and 0 early fecundity reversed among the "B-type" and "standard" assay environ- ments (Leroi et al. 1 994a; table 1). Some patterns of genotype x environment interaction can give rise to negative genetic correlations between the expression of a trait in one environment and its expression in another (cf. Via 1987). In other words, the expression of a trait may trade-off among environments (Fry 1990).

Leroi et al. (1 994a) argued that these genotype- by-environment interactions for early fecundity had in fact obscured the early fecundity-star- vation resistance trade-off among the B and 0 populations. They argued that these genotype- by-environment interactions took the form of a negative genetic correlation between early fecun- dity in the B and 0 culture regimes.

The evolution of CB early fecundity in the two assay environments relative to the B's provides additional evidence for the existence of such a negative genetic correlation. Here the CB's, in being kept in cages similar to those that the O's

EVOLUTION OF LIFE-HISTORY TRADE-OFFS. 2. 1267

are kept in, have gained fecundity in the "stan- dard" environment, and lost it in the "B-type" environment relative to the B's. The documen- tation of this negative genetic correlation adds to a small list of cases in which fitness compo- nents are thought to trade-off across environ- ments (e.g., Robertson 1965; Scheiner et al. 1989; Fry 1990). Of these, Fry's 1990 study of vege- table-dwelling mites most unambiguously dem- onstrates the existence of such a trade-off, and he argues that among-environment trade-offs in fitness components may be far more common in herbivore populations than previously thought, biometrical techniques being biased against their detection. Such trade-offs are interesting for the role that they are thought to play in the evolution of ecological specialization (Futuyma and Mo- reno 1988). This is because a negative genetic correlation in fitness across environments indi- cates that the most fit genotype in a population changes with environment (Via 1984a,b). Ad- aptation to any one environment, then, will cause a population to have high fitness in that envi- ronment but not necessarily in others. Never- theless, it must be added that the caveats listed above concerning the difficulties of viewing neg- ative genetic correlations as evolutionary con- straints apply to the evolution of ecological spe- cialization as much as any other form of adaptation.

Inferring Genetic Correlations from Compar- ative Data. -The phylogenetic distribution of life- history traits is often assumed to be the conse- quence of historical patterns of genetic variation and covariation (Stearns 1992). Indeed, the cur- rent fascination with comparative methodology (e.g., Harvey and Keymer 1991; Harvey and Pa- gel 1991) rests, in part, on the hope such patterns can be recovered from the analysis of phylogeny. When the B's and O's are compared, the trade- off between early fecundity and starvation resis- tance appears in the "B-type" environment but not the "standard" environment. However, anal- ysis of the selection responses of the starvation- selected stocks shows that the negative genetic correlation probably still exists in both environ- ments. Considered overall, no correspondence exists between inter and intrapopulation patterns of covariation among these traits. We argued above that the evolution of the B's and O's il- lustrate the difficulty of predicting evolutionary trends from patterns of genetic correlations. So, too, our results suggest that comparative studies

may reveal little about the genetic structure of populations (cf. Reznick 1985; Leroi 1994b).

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank A. Gibbs, L. D. Mueller, A. K. Chip- pindale, J. Shiotsugu, and D. Reznick for their comments on the manuscript. We are further- more grateful to L. D. Mueller for advice throughout the course of the study. We thank S. B. Kim, Y. Morimoto, H. Saing, and J. Shiotsugu for assistance throughout the course of the work. This research was supported by United States- Public Health Services grants AG06346 and AG09970 to M.R.R. from the National Institute on Aging.

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Corresponding Editor: D. Reznick