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Long Term Care Financing Strategies and Trends
Robert MollicaSeptember 2004
Overview
• Spending trends• Systems focus• Federal policy directions• State budgeting framework• Broad rebalancing strategies• State examples
– Washington– Wisconsin– Vermont– Maine
System focus
• One state agency manages the entire system • Flexible money (state agency, local SEP, consumer)• Multiple sources of funding• Eligibility process doesn’t hinder access• Seamless entry (single entry point)• Multiple populations• Full array of services• Available funding/slots• Consumer preferences and control• Care management for nursing home residents
Medicaid spending (billions)2003 1997 Change
Total $243 $160 51.9%
LTC $83.8 $56.1 49.3%
NF $44.8 $32.5 37.8%
ICF-MR $11.3 $10.0 13.0%
HCBS $18.6 $8.2 126.8%
Personal care $6.3 $3.2 96.9%
Home health $2.9 $2.2 31.8%
Eiken, Burwell, Medstat, May 2004
Medicaid spending (billions)
$10.0
$3.2 $2.2$6.3
$2.9
$8.2
$32.5
$18.6
$11.3
$44.8
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
NF ICF-MR HCBS PC HH
1997 2003
Eiken, Burwell, Medstat, May 2004
Spending balance (billions)
$42.5
$56.1
$27.8
$13.6
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
1997 2003
Institutional Community
Institutions – drop from 77.1% to 66.9%
Spending Balance – Region
20%24%
53%
20%
32%38%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
IL IN MI MN OH WI
Percent home careAll populations
Spending Balance – Region
14%
10%
33%
15%
21%23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
IL IN MI MN OH WI
Percent home careElders and adults
Large states
38%
20%
39%
21%
50%
26%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CA FL IL NY PA WA
Spending balanceAll populations
Large states
36%
14%
32%
6%
45%
12%
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
CA FL IL NY PA WA
Spending balanceElders and adults
Selected states
23% 25%20%
26%
36% 38%43%
24%
68%
32%
56%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
AL AR IL FL MA MI NH NJ OR TX VT
Spending balanceAll populations
Selected states
11%
19%14% 12%
21% 23%
17% 18%
53%
33% 32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
AL AR IL FL MA MI NH NJ OR TX VT
Spending balanceElders and adults
Nursing home supply 65+ Region
71 72.979.3
65.260.2
39.9
0102030405060708090
IL IN MI MN OH WI
NH supply
NF supply selected states
72
44.8
78.6
35.828.9
60.2
5145.1
28.835
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
IL AL AR CA FL MA NH NJ OR WA
NF supply
Federal directions
• New Freedom initiative• Legislation
– Money follows the person– Presumptive eligibility
• Policy guidance– Transition expenses– Modifications– Medical equipment– Eligibility dates
Promoting balance: CMS Grants
• Three rounds of funding – Nursing home transition
– System Change
– CPASS
– Independence Plus
– Quality Assurance/Quality Improvement
– Money Follows the Person
– Aging & Disability Resource Centers
• Round 4 – Awards end of September
Aging and Disability Resource Center Grant Program
• Create a single, coordinated system of information and access for all persons seeking long term support to minimize confusion, enhance individual choice, and support informed decision-making
Greg Case, AoA, 3/3/04
ADRC grantees
Alaska Louisiana New Mexico
Arkansas Maine North Carolina
California Maine No. Marianna
Florida Maryland Pennsylvania
Georgia Minnesota Rhode Island
Illinois Montana South Carolina
Indiana New Hampshire West Virginia
Iowa New Jersey Wisconsin
SEP functions
• I&R 39• Web based I&A 18• Initial screening 37• NF PAS 23• Assessment 40• Financial elig 16
• Functional elig 37
• Develop care plan 42• Authorize service 40• Monitor services
42• Reassess
40• Protective services 8
NASHP 2003
Populations served
2220
13
7 7 63
24
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Population NASHP 2003
Funding sources
35
26
1513
9
4
42
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
HCBS GR Stateplan
SSBG OAA County Other
Sources NASHP 2003
Organizations
16
13 13
810
31
02468
1012141618
Stateoffices
CBOs AAAs County Other CILs HHA
SEPs NASHP 2003
Financing strategies
• Single long term care budget – Oregon– Washington– Massachusetts reorganization
• Money Follows the Person (Texas, Maryland, Indiana)
• Global budget – Vermont proposal• Managed long term care – AZ, MA, MN, TX, WI• Shifting capacity, special fund (Vermont)
Texas – Rider 37, 28
• NF residents call state DHS hotline• Verify Medicaid eligibility, coded• Case manager prepares care plan• Funds moved to waiver budget periodically
– Allow up to $2,500 for transition services
– Average $1,962
• 2,200 moved 9/2001-8/2003• 1,169 since 8/2003
Living arrangements
37.2%32.2%
2.6% 1.2% 0.8%
26.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Family Asistedliving
Ownhome
Otherclients
Adultfostercare
Unknown
Community Source: Texas DHS
Length of stay before transition
12%
26%
16%
4%
14%
18%16%
25%
4% 4%3%
17%
23%20%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
<1month
1-3months
4-6months
7-12months
1-3years
3-5years
5+ years
Texas NationalSource: Texas DHS
The Washington delivery system
Hospital
SeniorInformation
andAssistance
ADSAHome & Community
Services Office
Financial Eligibility Comp.
Assessment Service
Authorization
Nursing Facilities
Assisted Living
Adult Residential Care
Adult Family Homes
Alternative Residential Settings
Home Care
ADSA Case Management & NH Relocation
AAA Case Management & Reassessment
Legislative direction…
• Consolidate state LTC policy, management and financing functions
• Consolidated budget structure gives management flexibility
• 95-97 budget reduces NH caseload by 1,600 clients
• NH “bed need” assessment includes availability of home/community care
• Caseload Forecasting Council projects NH, PC & HCBS trends
• NH caseload falling; HCBS absorbs growth in service demand
Aging and Disability Services Administration
Nursing home relocation
• Assign case managers to each nursing facilities
• Priority clients: new admits, 180 day conversions & others expressing interest
• Provide assistive technology and individualized community support services
• Use civil penalty fund and nursing facility discharge allowance
• Promote NH capacity reduction and bed conversion strategies
Aging and Disability Services Administration
Nursing Home Caseload Trend
Aging and Disability Services Administration
Home & community caseload trend0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Ju
l-97
Jan
-98
Ju
l-98
Jan
-99
Ju
l-99
Jan
-00
Ju
l-00
Jan
-01
Ju
l-01
Jan
-02
Ju
l-02
Jan
-03
Ju
l-03
Jan
-04
Ju
l-04
Jan
-05
Home and Community Services-Detail
24,000
26,000
28,000
30,000
32,000
34,000
36,000
38,000
40,000
Ju
l-97
Jan
-98
Ju
l-98
Jan
-99
Ju
l-99
Jan
-00
Ju
l-00
Jan
-01
Ju
l-01
Jan
-02
Ju
l-02
Jan
-03
Ju
l-03
Jan
-04
Ju
l-04
Jan
-05
June 2003 Forecast
February 2003 Forecast
Aging and Disability Services Administration
Washington LTC CaseloadCaseload Trends
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
7-87 7-88 7-89 7-90 7-91 7-92 7-93 7-94 7-95 7-96 7-97 7-98 7-99 7-2000 7-2001
Medicaid Nursing Home Caseload
Home & Community Caseload
Vermont Act 160
“The reductions required … shall be redirected in FY 1997 to fund home and community-based services. For fiscal year 1998 and thereafter, the reductions required ... shall be redirected … to fund both home and community-based services and any programs designed to reduce the number of nursing home beds. Any general funds redirected but not spent during any fiscal year shall be transferred to the long-term care special administration fund...”
Department of Aging and Disabilities
Vermont Act 160
• Shifted funds from nursing home to the HCBS appropriation
• Goal 60-40% institution/community• Strategies: NF moratorium, expand
residential alternatives, one time investments• Five percent drop in NF supply• Budget crisis may shift funds back to
entitlement services
Department of Aging and Disabilities
Shifting the spending balance
88%
69%
12%31%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Nursing home Community
1996 2003Department of Aging and Disabilities
Vermont spending trends (millions)
$0$10$20$30$40$50$60$70$80$90
$100
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
NF CommunityDepartment of Aging and Disabilities
VT caseload trends
Use of NFs alone would raise spending by $40 million
2200
415
1100
2800
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1996 2003
NF
HCBS
Department of Aging and Disabilities
Vermont global budget (1115 proposal)
• Provide maximum choice of services and settings• Eliminate institutional bias• Promote early intervention• Improve satisfaction• Break link between 1915 (c) waivers
and NF level of care• Reduce NF use• Control costs
Department of Aging and Disabilities
Levels of intervention
• Highest need: Entitlement to NF or HCBS
• High need: Served as funds available
• Moderate need: At risk, as funds available
Department of Aging and Disabilities
Long term care reformin Maine
Goals for ReformControl SpendingRespond to Consumer
Demand for ChoicesAddress Unmet NeedsReduce Reliance on
Institutional Care
Bureau of Elderly and Adult Services
Maine: deficit creates opening for reform
1993 • Soaring nursing home
costs• Loose eligibility criteria• Waiting lists for home
care• Few residential
alternatives to institutional care.
1994 • Legislature tightens
nursing home admission criteria
• Diverts savings to home care and the deficit
• Amends criteria for CON requiring cost neutrality for new projects.
Bureau of Elderly and Adult Services
System restructuring
• Consolidated assessment and case management– reduce overhead costs – address disparities in service allocation
• Electronic long-term care eligibility determination system (MECARE)
• Increased management tools
Bureau of Elderly and Adult Services
What’s working
• Home and community care increased from 16% to 39% of total budget – Per capita spending declined 12%
• Medicaid NF census dropped 17%, discharges to home tripled, and length of stay reduced
• 2000+ nursing home beds (20% of total) banked, delicensed, or converted to residential care
• Data system able to respond to questions and challenges, and predict result of policy changes
Bureau of Elderly and Adult Services
MECARE
• Provides real time program eligibility• Enhances communication between departments,
bureaus and organizations• Statewide data on consumer characteristics,
service plans and costs across settings/programs• Integrates data sets (assessment and claims)• Promotes maximization of Medicaid funding
Bureau of Elderly and Adult Services
149.7
185.7
210.1
220.7217.3
228.8
203.7 202.3
185.6 184.1
200.5 202.7 201.5201.1
140150160170180190200210220230240
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Maine NF
Maine NF spending trends
110.6
133.5
29.5
77.3
92.8107.3104.3
0102030405060708090
100110120130140150
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Maine HCBS
Maine HCBS trends
Medicaid only
Maine caseload: state and Medicaid
50%
11%
39%
31%
18%
51%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
NF Assisted living Home Care
1995 2003
1995: served 19,742 2003: served 25,667
Maine spending
84%
6% 10%
64%
19% 17%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
NF Assisted living Home Care
1995 2003
Common themes among states
• Restructure during a budget crisis • Seven point plan• Leadership• Comprehensive entry point system• Financing strategy (pool, MFP, capitation)• Expand in home and residential options• Reduce NF supply
– Occupancy penalty, bank, convert• Nursing home relocation
– Cover transition costs, Dedicated staff