Lincoln MPO 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan Update

Lincoln MPO 2040Long Range Transportation Plan Update

Technical Report

AdoptedJanuary 13, 2017

FELSBURGH O L T &U L L E V I G

ADOPTED January 13, 2017

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AcknowledgmentsPageProject Oversight Planning Committee

Lincoln‐LancasterPlanningDepartment Mike Brienzo (Project Manager),

Transportation Planner

Kellee Van Bruggen, Multi‐Modal Transportation Planner

Brandon Garrett, Planning Department

David Cary, Planning Director

LincolnPublicWorks&Utilities:EngineeringServices

Randy Hoskins, Assistant City Engineer

Kris Humphrey, Design & Construction Engineer

Lonnie Burklund, Traffic Engineering & Operations Engineer

Roger Ohlrich, Senior Engineering Specialist

LincolnPublicWorks&Utilities:StarTran Brian Praeuner, Transit Planner

Lincoln‐LancasterInformationTechnologyServices

Ryan Axmann, Systems Software Integrator

LincolnUrbanDevelopmentDepartment Wynn Hjermstad, Community Development

Manager

ParksDepartment Sara Hartzell, Park Planner

LancasterCountyEngineering Brendan Lilley, Senior Engineer

LCLCHealthDepartment Chris Schroeder, Environmental Health

Manager

Gary Bergstrom, Environmental Health Specialist

NebraskaDept.ofRoads Brad Zumwalt, Transportation Planner

FederalHighwayAdministration:NebraskaDivision

Justin K. Luther, Transportation Planner, Realty, and Civil Rights

Morgan Wilbers, Transportation Finance Specialist

FederalTransitAdministration,RegionVII Daniel Nguyen, FTA Community Planner

Technical Committee

Pam Dingman (Tri‐Chair), County Engineer

David Cary (Tri‐Chair), Director of Planning

Miki Esposito (Tri‐Chair), Director of Public Works

Paul Barnes, Planning Dept. – Long Range Principal Planner

Michael Davis, StarTran – Transit Manager

Roger Figard, Public Works – City Engineer, RTSD

Tom Goodbarn, Nebraska Dept. of Roads – District 1 Engineer

David Haring, Lincoln Airport Authority – Executive Director

Randy Hoskins, Public Works – Assistant City Engineer

Lynn Johnson, Parks & Recreation – Director

David Landis, Urban Development Dept. –Director

Brendan Lilley, County Engineering – Design Division Head

Brandie Neemann, Nebraska Dept. of Roads – Project Dev Manager

Chris Schroeder, Health Dept. – Air Quality Supervisor

Kellee Van Bruggen, Planning Dept. – Multi‐Modal Transportation Planner


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Planning Commission

Michael Cornelius

Tracy Corr

Chris Hove

Maja V. Harris

Ken Weber

Jeanelle Lust

Dennis Scheer

Lynn Sunderman

Cathy Beecham

Officials Committee

Chris Beutler, Mayor, City of Lincoln

Roma Amundson, County Board Chair

Todd Wiltgen, County Board Vice‐Chair

Leirion Gaylor Baird, City Council Chair

Roy Christensen, City Council Vice‐Chair

Kyle Schneweis, Dept. of Roads Director

Consultant Team

FelsburgHolt&Ullevig Jenny Young, PE, AICP – Project Manager

Rick Haden – Deputy Project Manager

Steven Marfitano, PE – Travel Demand Modeler

JEOConsulting Steve Wolf

Andrea Gebhart


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TableofContents1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................ 1

Planning Area ......................................................................................................................................................... 1

Compliance with Federal Regulations ................................................................................................................... 1

Plan Update Process .............................................................................................................................................. 3

Completed Projects ............................................................................................................................................... 3

2. COMMUNITY VISION .................................................................................................................................... 5

Public Engagement Process ................................................................................................................................... 5

Key Themes of Public Input ................................................................................................................................... 6

Transportation Vision and Principles ..................................................................................................................... 7

Transportation Goals ............................................................................................................................................. 8

3. NEEDS ASSESSMENT ..................................................................................................................................... 9

Land Use and Demographics ................................................................................................................................. 9

Travel Patterns and Trends .................................................................................................................................. 13

Roads and Bridges ............................................................................................................................................... 17

Bicycle and Pedestrian ......................................................................................................................................... 31

Transit .................................................................................................................................................................. 35

Intermodal Connections ...................................................................................................................................... 35

Rail ....................................................................................................................................................................... 37

Freight .................................................................................................................................................................. 37

Safety ................................................................................................................................................................... 40

4. NEEDS BASED PLAN .................................................................................................................................... 43

Roadway .............................................................................................................................................................. 43

Bicycle and Pedestrian ......................................................................................................................................... 52

Transit .................................................................................................................................................................. 53

5. PERFORMANCE MEASURES ........................................................................................................................ 57

Maintenance ........................................................................................................................................................ 59

Mobility and System Reliability ........................................................................................................................... 66

Livability and Travel Choice ................................................................................................................................. 70

Safety and Security .............................................................................................................................................. 75

Economic Vitality ................................................................................................................................................. 82

Environmental Sustainability ............................................................................................................................... 87

Funding and Cost Effectiveness ........................................................................................................................... 93


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6. FUNDING OUTLOOK ................................................................................................................................... 99

Revenue Forecasts ............................................................................................................................................... 99

Resource Allocation ........................................................................................................................................... 103

Funding Objective .............................................................................................................................................. 109

7. FISCALLY CONSTRAINED PLAN .................................................................................................................. 111

Project Prioritization Process ............................................................................................................................ 112

Fiscally Constrained Plan Elements ................................................................................................................... 114

Illustrative Plan .................................................................................................................................................. 132

8. ENVIRONMENTAL OVERVIEW ................................................................................................................... 139

Introduction ....................................................................................................................................................... 139

Air Quality .......................................................................................................................................................... 139

Natural Environment ......................................................................................................................................... 144

Socioeconomic Environment ............................................................................................................................. 161

Cultural Environment ........................................................................................................................................ 166

Agency Coordination ......................................................................................................................................... 169

9. IMPLEMENTATION PLAN .......................................................................................................................... 171

Strategies ........................................................................................................................................................... 171

Amendment Process .......................................................................................................................................... 172

Appendices

Appendix A – LRTP Meetings

Appendix B – Public Meeting Summaries

Appendix C – Land Use Forecasts

Appendix D – Travel Demand Model Documentation and User’s Guide

Appendix E – Congestion Management Process

Appendix F – Project Scoring Packets

Appendix G – Roadway and Trail Project Scoring Results

Appendix H – References – Environmental Overview


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List of Figures

Figure 1. Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Area ........................................................................................................... 2

Figure 2. Major Projects Completed Since 2011 LRTP .............................................................................................. 4

Figure 3. Household Growth ................................................................................................................................... 10

Figure 4. Commercial Growth ................................................................................................................................. 11

Figure 5. Industrial Growth ...................................................................................................................................... 12

Figure 6. Workflows ................................................................................................................................................. 13

Figure 7. Distance and Direction from Home to Work ............................................................................................ 14

Figure 8. Housing + Transportation Index ............................................................................................................... 14

Figure 9. Commuter Mode Split .............................................................................................................................. 15

Figure 10. Zero Vehicle Households ........................................................................................................................ 16

Figure 11. Bridge Sufficiency Ratings ...................................................................................................................... 18

Figure 12. National Highway System ....................................................................................................................... 20

Figure 13. Existing Functional Classification ............................................................................................................ 21

Figure 14. Existing Through Lanes ........................................................................................................................... 22

Figure 15. Current Daily Traffic Volumes ................................................................................................................. 23

Figure 16. Current Congestion Levels ...................................................................................................................... 25

Figure 17. 2026 Daily Traffic Forecasts (E+C Network) ........................................................................................... 27

Figure 18. 2040 Daily Traffic Forecasts (E+C Network) ........................................................................................... 28

Figure 19. 2026 Congestion Levels (E+C Network) .................................................................................................. 29

Figure 20. 2040 Congestion Levels (E+C Network) .................................................................................................. 30

Figure 21. Existing Bicycle Facilities ......................................................................................................................... 32

Figure 22. Existing Sidewalks and Trails .................................................................................................................. 34

Figure 23. StarTran Bus Routes ............................................................................................................................... 36

Figure 24. Railroad At‐Grade Crossings ................................................................................................................... 38

Figure 25. Truck Routes ........................................................................................................................................... 39

Figure 26. Crash Severity ......................................................................................................................................... 40

Figure 27. Candidate Roadway Capital Projects ...................................................................................................... 44

Figure 28. Rural Roads Project Needs ..................................................................................................................... 51

Figure 29. Existing and Proposed Bicycle Facilities ................................................................................................. 54

Figure 30. Fiscally Constrained Plan Development ............................................................................................... 104

Figure 31. Community Input on Funding Priorities ............................................................................................... 106

Figure 32. Resource Allocation Scenarios – Total Funding by Program ($Millions) .............................................. 108

Figure 33. LRTP Resource Allocation ..................................................................................................................... 111

Figure 34. Priority Trail Projects ............................................................................................................................ 118

Figure 35. Fiscally Constrained Roadway Capital Projects .................................................................................... 123

Figure 36. Congestion Levels ................................................................................................................................. 124

Figure 37. 2026 Congestion Levels (Fiscally Constrained Plan) ............................................................................. 125

Figure 38. 2040 Congestion Levels (Fiscally Constrained Plan) ............................................................................. 126

Figure 39. Rural Roads Projects ............................................................................................................................. 131

Figure 40. Illustrative Plan (Unfunded) Roadway Capital Projects ........................................................................ 136

Figure 41. Illustrative Plan (Unfunded) Trail Projects ........................................................................................... 137

Figure 42. Example Pollutant Emission Rates for Lincoln Arterial Streets in Summer .......................................... 142


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Figure 43. Typical Weekday Pollutant Emission Totals for Fiscally Constrained Road Network ........................... 143

Figure 44. Stream Corridors .................................................................................................................................. 146

Figure 45. Floodplains ........................................................................................................................................... 148

Figure 46. Freshwater Wetlands ........................................................................................................................... 150

Figure 47. Saline Wetlands .................................................................................................................................... 151

Figure 48. Native Prairie ........................................................................................................................................ 153

Figure 49. Tree Mass ............................................................................................................................................. 154

Figure 50. Threatened & Endangered Species: Northern Long‐Eared Bat ............................................................ 156

Figure 51. Threatened & Endangered Species: Western Prairie Fringed Orchid .................................................. 157

Figure 52. Threatened & Endangered Species: Saltwort ....................................................................................... 158

Figure 53. Threatened & Endangered Species: Salt Creek Tiger Beetle ................................................................ 159

Figure 54. Master Plan Watershed Basins ............................................................................................................. 162

Figure 55. Parks, Trails, and Open Space ............................................................................................................... 164

Figure 56. Low‐Income Population ........................................................................................................................ 167

Figure 57. Minority Population .............................................................................................................................. 168


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List of Tables

Table 1. Household and Employment Growth .......................................................................................................... 9

Table 2. Travel Time to Work .................................................................................................................................. 13

Table 3. Distance from Home to Work .................................................................................................................... 13

Table 4. Bridge Sufficiency Ratings .......................................................................................................................... 17

Table 5. Planning Level Daily Capacities (per Through Lane) .................................................................................. 24

Table 6. Committed Projects ................................................................................................................................... 26

Table 7. Congestion Levels over Time ..................................................................................................................... 26

Table 8. Intersections with Highest Crash Rates ..................................................................................................... 41

Table 9. Candidate Roadway Capital Projects ......................................................................................................... 45

Table 10. Two Plus Center Turn Lane Projects ........................................................................................................ 48

Table 11. Railroad Grade Separated Crossing Project Needs .................................................................................. 50

Table 12. Candidate Trail Projects ........................................................................................................................... 55

Table 13. Relationship between LRTP Goals and FAST Act Goals and Planning Factors ......................................... 58

Table 14. Urban Roads Program Revenue Forecasts ($Millions) ............................................................................ 98

Table 15. Transit Revenue Forecasts ($Millions) ................................................................................................... 100

Table 16. Trails Revenue Forecasts ($Millions) ..................................................................................................... 102

Table 17. Total Revenue Forecasts ........................................................................................................................ 103

Table 18. Funding Restrictions and Commitments ............................................................................................... 105

Table 19. LRTP Resource Allocation ...................................................................................................................... 111

Table 20. Project Evaluation Criteria ..................................................................................................................... 113

Table 21. Weights by Goal and Project Category .................................................................................................. 113

Table 22. Priority Transit Projects ......................................................................................................................... 115

Table 23. Priority Trail Projects ............................................................................................................................. 116

Table 24. Fiscally Constrained Roadway Capital Projects ..................................................................................... 122

Table 25. Daily Travel Time ................................................................................................................................... 127

Table 26. Rural Roads Projects .............................................................................................................................. 129

Table 27. Illustrative Plan (Unfunded) Roadway Capital Projects ......................................................................... 134

Table 28. Composite LRTP‐Wide Vehicle Pollutant Emission Rates ...................................................................... 143

Table 29. Composite Daily Pollutant Total Emissions ........................................................................................... 143

Table 30. Saline Wetland Categorization .............................................................................................................. 149

Table 31. Threatened and Endangered Species Listed in Lancaster County ......................................................... 155

Table 32. Social Environment Definitions .............................................................................................................. 165


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Lincoln MPO 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan Update