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Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference Semiconductors enabling Automated Driving Hans Adlkofer, VP Automotive System Group London, 11 December 2019

Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

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Page 1: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Semiconductors enabling Automated Driving

Hans Adlkofer, VP Automotive System Group

London, 11 December 2019

Page 2: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Agenda

Automated Driving

Sensor technologies

Computing Requirements

Dependability Requirements

1

2

3

4

22019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 3: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

› #1 in power:

market share of 26.2% (+0.2 %-pt)

› #2 in sensors:

market share of 13.4% (+0.5 %-pt)

› #4 in µC:

market share of 9.1% (+0.6 %-pt)

Long-term semi content drivers intact; improved

market position in all addressed product categories

Source: Strategy Analytics, "Automotive Semiconductor Vendor

Market Shares", April 2019

STM

TI

Renesas

Infineon

NXP

+0.4%-pt

12.0%

11.2%

8.9%

8.2%

7.6%

Strong drivers for semi content per carAutomotive semiconductor market

2018 total market size: $37.7bn

electro-mobility automated driving comfort, premium

› driven by

legislation

› all kinds of xEV,

including 48 V

› today China;

tomorrow Europe

› near-term

L1/L2/L2+

› long-term

L3/L4/L5

› need for

dependable

functionalities*

(e.g. sensors,

power supplies,

computing power)

› comfort features

trickling down

from high- to

mid-range

› user experience

› lighting

› replacement of

hydraulic and

electro-

mechanical units

total market

* For more information on “dependable functionalities” please see slide 12.

32019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 4: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

L2+ becomes the new L3 as legislation is delayed; but features will be implemented

Legal regulation

L2

L3

„hands off“

„eyes off“

Daimler‘s „Drive Pilot“ solves

the issue of unclear / un-

defined L3 regulation:

› the fallback-ready user must resume

manual driving at any time

› the „driver readiness“ is continuously

monitored

› the driver is not permitted to sleep or

to leave the driver seat

› autom. lane changes are not allowed

L2+

L2+ = L3 function + L2 driver obligation (e.g. )

https://www.daimler.com/innovation/case/autonomous/drive-pilot-2.html

› it requires that the vehicle is under continuous control of the driver (Art. 8 UN regulation)

› it doesn‘t allow the approval of „Autonomous Steering Systems“ (ECE) in normal operation

without human activation (e.g. flashing indicator)

› Driver need to intervene

and rapidly take over

control of the vehicle

when automation fails

› Driver assistance system

is capable of controlling

speed and direction but

requires an attentive

driver

42019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 5: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

The architecture must change to support xEV, AD, SOTA and enabling MaaS while balancing system cost

› ADAS and AD requires

hierarchical architecture

› Manage complexity

introduced by

new/advanced

functionalities

› Address increased

safety and security

requirements

› Increase flexibility and

enable “upgradability”

(SOTA)

› Optimize system cost at

low power consumption

Different OEMs approaches

(evolutionary or disruptive)

Domain Control

Domain Integration

Zone Architecture

Car Computer

These approaches can

be clustered with good

approximation into the

following categories:

AD = automated driving; SOTA = software over the air; MaaS = mobility as a service

52019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 6: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

OEM road-maps in E/E architectures; architecture will converage towards zone-based architecture

today start of production:

2023/24start of production:

2025/26start of production:

2028/29

Volume

OEMs(up to L2)

Distributed Domain integration Hybrid zone-low Hybrid zone-mid

+ car computer

Premium

OEMs(up to L2+)

Domain controllers Various directions

- System in transition

- Higher domain

integration

- Zone-low & mid

Hybrid zone-mid Car computer

Note: most probable scenario seen by Infineon

62019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 7: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Others› Ultrasonic

› Interior camera

› V2X

NCAP 5 Star, AD L2 AD L2+/L3 AD L4/L5

≥ 1

Increased sensor requirements drive the content in

the next five years and beyond

≥ 4 ≥ 8

≥ 3 ≥ 6 ≥ 10Radar

# of modules**

› Ultrasonic › Ultrasonic

› Interior camera

Automatic emergency brake/ forward collision warning

Application* Parking assist

Lane keep assist Highway assist

Valet parking

Highway and urban chauffeur

0 ≥ 1≤ 1

Camera

# of modules**

Lidar

# of modules**

New: Corner; starting 2020

Corner Imaging

SurroundCorner

MRR/LRR MRR/LRR

* Source: VDA (German Association of the Automotive Industry); Society of Automotive Engineers

** market assumption

More sensors required for any next level of automation

72019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 8: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

We need 3 sensor technologies to have always data from two sensors available 2 out of 3

Radar

Lidar

Camera

criteria Good weather Bad weather

range Radar / Lidar Radar / Lidar

resolution Camera / Lidar Lidar / Radar

speed detection Radar / Lidar Radar / Lidar

contrast Camera / Lidar Lidar / Camera

Note: first technology shows best performance

82019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 9: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Vision Zero – AD requires failure-tolerant availability of the system, “better than a human”

avoidance and mitigation

of potentially hazardous effects

„off“?

„limp home“? fail-safe „fail-operational“

component

ECU

(sub)system

vehicle

environment

92019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 10: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Vision Zero – AD requires failure-tolerant availability of the system, “better than a human”

dependable

sensing

dependable

computing

dependable

power

dependable

communi-

cation

dependable

actuation

safe autonomous driving

under all conditions

component

ECU

(sub)system

vehicle

environment

102019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 11: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Vision Zero – taking the next step from functional safety to failure-tolerant availability

dependable

sensing

dependable

power

dependable

communi-

cation

dependable

actuation

components designed for

dependability are the foundation

component

ECU

(sub)system

vehicle

environment

dependable

computing

robust

secure afford-

able

save .trusted

automotive

reliable

112019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 12: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Vision Zero – AD requires failure-tolerant availability of the system in the environment, “better than a human”

Sense Interpret & decide Act

Drive

rA

uto

ma

ted c

ar

Dependable Sensors Dependable Computing Dep. Actuators

Dependable Power (power supply and power distribution)

specialized

sensor

processor

driving

domain

controller

sensor

fusion

decision

making

central

gateway

Se

cu

re c

om

mu

nic

ati

on

Lidar

MicrophoneUltrasonic

Camera

inside

Camera

Radar

Braking

Engine

Matrix LED

Steering

Transmission

an

d a

uth

en

tica

tio

n

A failure-tolerant system with high availability relies on dependable key functionalities

122019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 13: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

AURIX™ first-choice microcontroller dependable systems enabling ADAS/AD platforms

Level 1 Level 2 ≥ Level 2+

Fusion

Processor

GPU/CPU

› fusion and decision-making

› safety management

› security management

› vehicle gateway

AURIX™ functionalities

› parallel usage to enable

scalability with compatibility

› safety management

› security management

AURIX™ functionalities

› host controller for the data fusion

processor

› enables ISO 26262 ASIL-D

› emergency response in case of a

GPU/CPU fail

AURIX™ functionalities

Ultra-sonic

› AURIX™ family provides leading technology for sensor fusion either as main

fusion computer for L1/L2 or as host controller for higher autonomy levels.

› Major OEMs from Europe, Japan, Korea, China, and North America will ramp

production in 2021.

Optional

Camera

Radar

Ultra-sonic

Camera

Radar

AURIX™ AURIX™ AURIX™

Radar

Camera

Ultra-sonic

Lidar

AURIX™

132019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 14: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

ADAS/AD semi growth driven by radar and camera sensor modules over the next 5 years

Average semiconductor content per car by level of automation at the given years

Sense Interp. & dec. Act

Source: Strategy Analytics; Infineon.

BoM contains all type of semiconductors (e.g. radar modules include µC); sensor fusion does not include memory.

BoM are projected figures for the respective time frame.

radar

module

s

lidar

module

s

tota

l B

oM

L4/L

5 (

2030)

sensor

fusio

n

actu

ato

rs

cam

era

module

s

$195

$230

$190

$300

$180

tota

l B

oM

L3 (

2025)

$190 $530

$630

sensor

fusio

n

cam

era

module

s

radar

module

s

lidar

module

s

tota

l B

oM

L2 (

2020)

$40

$90 $0$30 $160

AD L4/L5

L4/L5 vehicles in 2030: ~4m

AD L3

L3 in 2025: ~1.5m

NCAP 5 Star/AD L2

L2 vehicles in 2020: ~6m

AD L2+

sensor

fusio

n

cam

era

module

s

radar

module

s

lidar

module

s

tota

l B

oM

L2+

(2025)

L2+ in 2022: ~1m

L2+ in 2025: ~2.5m

$0

$970

$190

$55

High

Low

Low

High

Low

High

Low

High

$250

142019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 15: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference

Semiconductors enable the future of driving: More safety, more comfort, less pollution

› semiconductorsenable ~80% of innovation in automotive

› automated vehicle will increase safetyand comfort, but also support CO2 reduction

› dependable electronic systems are needed in order toenable safe and secure automated driving

› a connected car requires a secure system architecture combined with hardware-based security which will provide the appropriate level of protection

152019-12-11 Copyright © Infineon Technologies AG 2019. All rights reserved.

Page 16: Liberum Future of E-Mobility Conference