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Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids Michael (Misha) Chertkov Center for Nonlinear Studies & Theory Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory & New Mexico Consortium LANL IS&T Capability Review, Apr 14, 2011 Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/chertkov/SmarterGrids/

@let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

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Page 1: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids

Michael (Misha) Chertkov

Center for Nonlinear Studies & Theory Division,Los Alamos National Laboratory

& New Mexico Consortium

LANL IS&T Capability Review, Apr 14, 2011

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 2: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Outline

1 IntroductionSo what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

2 Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power GridsModel of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

3 Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksLosses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

4 An Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission GridsMotivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 3: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

So What? Impact! Savings!

30b$ annually is the cost of power losses

10% efficiency improvement - 3b$ savings

cost of 2003 blackout is 7− 10b$

80b$ is the total cost of blackouts annually in US

further challenges (more vulnerable, cost of not doingplanning, control, mitigation)

Grid is being redesigned [stimulus]

The research is timely: ∼ 2T $ in 20 years (at least) in US

Renewables - Desirable but difficult to handle

Integration within itself, but also with Other Infrastructures,e.g. Transportation (Electric Vehicles)

Tons of Interesting (Challenging) Research Problems !

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 4: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

New Systems

RenewablesPHEV &

StorageMetering

New Challenges

Grid Stability

• distance to failure

• dynamic stability

• outages/rare events

• cascading

• signature detection

Grid Control• load balancing

• queuing and scheduling

• optimal power flows

• feeder lines control

• distribution and switching

with redundancy

Grid Design• placement of generations

and storage

• intermittent wind as

an integrated capacity

• accounting for outages and

intermittency in planning

• Analysis & Control

• Stability/Reliability Metrics

• State Estimation

• Data Aggregation & Assimilation

• Middleware for the Grid

• Modeling Consumer Response

All of the above also requires scientific advances in

Our (LANL) Road Map for Smart Grids

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 5: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

M. Chertkov

E. Ben-Naim

J. Johnson

K. Turitsyn

L. Zdeborova

R. Gupta

R. Bent

F. Pan

L. Toole

M. Hinrichs

D. Izraelevitz

S. Backhaus

M. Anghel

N. Santhi

T-d

ivis

ion

D-d

ivis

ion

MPA

CC

Soptimization & control

theory

statistics statistical physics

information theory

graph theory & algorithms

network analysis

operation research

rare events analysis

power engineering

energy hardware

energy planning & policy http:/cnls.lanl.gov/~chertkov/SmarterGrids/

N. Sinitsyn

P. Sulc

S. Kudekar

R. Pfitzner

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 6: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

Slide 1

grid planning

grid controlgrid stability

http://cnls.lanl.gov/~chertkov/SmarterGrids/

LANL LDRD DR (FY09-11): Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 7: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

The greatest Engineering

Achievement ofthe 20th century

will require smart revolution

in the 21st century

US powergrid

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 8: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

Preliminary Remarks

The power grid operates according to the laws of electrodynamics

Transmission Grid (high voltage) vs Distribution Grid (lowvoltage)

Alternating Current (AC) flows ... but DC flow is often a validapproximation

No waiting periods ⇒ power constraints should be satisfiedimmediately. Many Scales.

Loads and Generators are players of two types (distributedrenewable will change the paradigm)

At least some generators are adjustable - to guarantee that ateach moment of time the total generation meets the total load

The grid is a graph ... but constraints are (graph-) global

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 9: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

Many Scales InvolvedPower & Voltage

1KW - typical household; 103KW = 1MW - consumption of a medium-to-largeresidential, commercial building; 106KW = 1GW -large unit of a Nuclear Powerplant (30GW is the installed wind capacity of Germany =8% of total, US windpenetration is 5%- [30% by 2030?]); 109KW = 1TW - US capacity (∼ 5% ofthe World)

Transmission - 4− 13KV. Distribution - 100− 1000KV.

Spatial Scales

1mm − 103km; US grid = 3 ∗ 106km lines (operated by ∼ 500 companies)

Temporal Scales

17ms -AC (60Hz) period, target for Phasor Measurement Units sampling rate(10-30 measurements per second)

1s - electro-mechanical wave [motors induced] propagates ∼ 500km

2-10s - SCADA delivers measurements to control units

∼ 1 min - loads change, wind ramps, etc (toughest scale to control)

5-15min - state estimations (for markets) are made

up to hours - maturing of a cascading outage over a large grid.

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 10: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

Basic AC Power Flow Equations (Static)The Kirchhoff Laws

∀a ∈ G0 :∑

b∼a Jab = Ja for currents∀(a, b) ∈ G1 : Jabzab = Va − Vb for potentials⇒ ∀(a, b) ∈ G1 : Ja =

∑b∈G0

YabVb

Y = (Yab|a, b ∈ G0), ∀{a, b} : Yab =

0, a 6= b, a � b−yab, a 6= b, a ∼ b∑c∼ac 6=a yac , a = b.

∀{a, b} : yab = gab + iβab = (zab)−1, zab = rab + xab

Complex Power Flows [balance of power]

∀a ∈ G0 : Pa = pa + iqa = VaJ∗a = Va∑

b∼a J∗ab = Va∑

b∼aV∗

a −V∗b

z∗ab

=∑

b∼aexp(2ρa)−exp(ρa+ρb+iθa−iθb)

z∗ab

Flows on graphs, but very different from transportation networksNonlinear in term of Real and Reactive powersReactive Power needs to be injected to maintain reasonably stable voltageQuasi-static (transients may be relevant on the scale of seconds)Different (injection/consumption/control) conditions on generators (p,V ) andloads (p, q)(θ, ρ) are conjugated (Lagrangian multipliers) to (p, q)

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 11: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

So what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

DC approximation (for AC power flows)

(0) The amplitude of the complex potentials are all fixed to the same number(unity, after trivial re-scaling): ∀a : ρa = 0.

(1) ∀{a, b} : |θa − θb| � 1 - phase variation between any two neighbors on thegraph is small

(2) ∀{a, b} : rab � xab - resistive (real) part of the impedance is much smallerthan its reactive (imaginary) part. Typical values for the r/x is in the1/27÷ 1/2 range.

It leads to

Linear relation between powers and phases (at the nodes):

∀a ∈ G0 : pa =∑

b∼aθa−θb

xab

Losses of real power are zero in the network (in the leading order)∑

a pa = 0

Reactive power needs to be injected (lines are inductances - only consumereactive power)

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 12: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Our Publications on Grid Stability

21. M. Chertkov, M. Stepanov, F. Pan, and R. Baldick , Exact and EfficientAlgorithm to Discover Stochastic Contingencies in Wind Generation overTransmission Power Grids, invited session on Smart Grid Integration ofRenewable Energy: Failure analysis, Microgrids, and Estimation at CDC/ECC2011.

16. P. van Hentenryck, C. Coffrin, and R. Bent , Vehicle Routing for the LastMile of Power System Restoration, submitted to PSCC.

15. R. Pfitzner, K. Turitsyn, and M. Chertkov , Statistical Classification ofCascading Failures in Power Grids , arxiv:1012.0815, accepted for IEEE PES2011.

14. S. Kadloor and N. Santhi , Understanding Cascading Failures in Power Grids, arxiv:1011.4098 submitted to IEEE Transactions on Smart Grids.

13. N. Santhi and F. Pan , Detecting and mitigating abnormal events in largescale networks: budget constrained placement on smart grids , proceedings ofHICSS44, Jan 2011.

8. M. Chertkov, F. Pan and M. Stepanov, Predicting Failures in Power Grids,arXiv:1006.0671, IEEE Transactions on Smart Grids 2, 150 (2010).

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 13: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Outline

1 IntroductionSo what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

2 Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power GridsModel of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

3 Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksLosses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

4 An Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission GridsMotivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 14: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

MC, F. Pan (LANL) and M. Stepanov (UA Tucson)

Predicting Failures in Power Grids:The Case of Static Overloads, IEEETransactions on Smart Grids 2, 150(2010).

MC, FP, MS & R. Baldick (UT Austin)

Exact and Efficient Algorithm toDiscover Extreme StochasticEvents in Wind Generation overTransmission Power Grids, invitedsession on Smart Grid Integrationof Renewable Energy at CDC/ECC2011.

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 15: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Normally the grid is ok (SAT) ... but sometimes failures(UNSAT) happens

How to estimate a probability of a failure?

How to predict (anticipate and hopefully) prevent the systemfrom going towards a failure?

Phase space of possibilities is huge (finding the needle in thehaystack)

Instanton

Generation

Load

84

Instanton 2

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 16: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Model of Load Shedding [MC, F.Pan & M.Stepanov ’10]

Minimize Load Shedding = Linear Programming for DC

LPDC (d|G; x; u; P) = minf,ϕ,p,s

∑a∈Gd

sa

COND(f,ϕ,p,d,s|G;x;u;P)

COND = CONDflow ∪ CONDDC ∪ CONDedge ∪ CONDpower ∪ CONDover

CONDflow =

∀a :∑b∼a

fab =

{ pa, a ∈ Gp

−da + sa, a ∈ Gd

0, a ∈ G0 \ (Gp ∪ Gd )

)

CONDDC =

(∀{a, b} : ϕa−ϕb +xabfab =0

), CONDedge =

(∀{a, b} : −uab≤ fab≤uab

)

CONDpower =

(∀a : 0 ≤ pa ≤ Pa

), CONDover =

(∀a : 0 ≤ sa ≤ da

)

ϕ -phases; f -power flows through edges; x - inductances of edges

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 17: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

SAT/UNSAT & Error Surface

Statistics of Loads

P(d|D; c) ∝ exp(− 1

2c

∑i

(di−Di )2

D2i

)D is the normal operational position in the space of demands

Instantons (special instances of demands from the error surface)

Points on the error-surface maximizing P(d|D; c) - locally!

arg maxd P(d)|LPDC (d)>0 - most probable instanton

The maximization is not concave (multiple instantons)

No Shedding (SAT) - Boundary - Shedding (UNSAT) = Error Surface

The task: to find the most probable failure modes [instantons]

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 18: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Instanton Search Algorithm [Sampling]

Borrowed (with modifications) from Error-Correction studies:analysis of error-floor [MC, M.Stepanov, et al ’04-’10]

Construct Q(d) ={P(d), LPDC (d) > 0

0 , LPDC (d) = 0

Generate a simplex (N+1points) of UNSAT points

Use Amoeba-Simplex[Numerical Recepies] tomaximize Q(d)

Repeat multiple times(sampling the space ofinstantons)

Point at the Error Surfaceclosest to normal operational point

@@

@@

normal operational point

demand1

demand2

demand...

Error Surface �����

load sheddingload sheddingload shedding

no load sheddingno load sheddingno load shedding

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 19: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Example of Guam [MC, F.Pan & M.Stepanov ’10]

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

23 33 43 53 63 73 83 93 103

Ave

rage

Lo

ad (

D)

Bus ID

Instanton 1

Instanton 2

Instanton 3

0

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

0.025

0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96In

stan

ton

Val

ue

(-lo

g(P

(d))

/T)

Run ID

Load

Generator

Instanton 1

Instanton 3

Instanton 2

Common

The instantons are sparse (localized ontroubled nodes)

The troubled nodes are repetitive inmultiple-instantons

Instanton structure is not sensitive tosmall changes in D and statistics ofdemands

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 20: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Example of IEEE RTS96 system [MC, F.Pan & M.Stepanov ’10]

0

50

100

150

200

250

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Ave

rage

De

man

d (

D)

Bus ID

14.5

19.5

24.5

29.5

34.5

39.5

44.5

49.5

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48In

stan

ton

Val

ue

(-l

og(

P(d

))/T

)

Run ID

Ins

tan

ton

1

Ins

tan

ton

2

Ins

tan

ton

3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

d/D

Bus ID

Instanton1

Instanton2

Instanton3

Load

Generator

Instanton 1

Instanton 3

Instanton 2

The instantons are well localized (but stillnot sparse)

The troubled nodes and structures arerepetitive in multiple-instantons

Instanton structure is not sensitive tosmall changes in D and statistics ofdemands

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 21: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Triangular Example (illustrating a “paradox”)

lowering demand may betroublesome [SAT -¿ UNSAT]

develops when a cycle contains aweak link

similar observation was made inother contexts before, e.g. by S.Oren and co-authors

the problem is typical in realexamples

consider “fixing it with extrastorage [future project]

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 22: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Instantons for Wind Generation

Setting

Renewables is the source of fluctuations

Loads are fixed (5 min scale)

Standard generation is adjusted according to a droop control(low-parametric, linear)

Results

The instanton algorithm discovers most probable extremestatistics events

The algorithm is EXACT and EFFICIENT (polynomial)

Illustrate utility and performance on IEEE RTS-96 exampleextended with additions of 10%, 20% and 30% of renewablegeneration.

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 23: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Simulations: IEEE RTS-96 + renewables

10% of penetration -localization, longcorrelations

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

72 73 74 75 76Bus ID

Instanton1

Instanton2

Instanton3

Instanton1

Instanton2

Instanton3

20% of penetration -worst damage, leadinginstanton is delocalized

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79

Bus ID

Instanton1

Instanton2

Instanton3

Instanton1

Instanton2

Instanton3

30% of penetration -spreading anddiversifying decreasesthe damage, instantonsare localized

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

72 74 76 78 80 82

Bus ID

Instanton1

Instanton2

Instanton3

Instanton1

Instanton2

Instanton3

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 24: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Model of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

Path Forward (for predicting failures)

Path Forward

Many large-scale practical tests, e.g. ERCOT wind integration

The instanton-amoeba allows upgrade to other (than LPDC )network stability testers, e.g. for AC flows and transients

Instanton-search can be accelerated, utilizing LP-structure of thetester (exact & efficient for example of renewables)

This is an important first step towards exploration of “next level”problems in power grid, e.g. on interdiction [Bienstock et. al ’09],optimal switching [Oren et al ’08], cascading outages [Dobson et al’06], and control of the extreme [outages] [Ilic et al ’05]

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 25: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Our Publications on Grid Control

20. K. Turitsyn, S. Backhaus, M. Ananyev and M. Chertkov , Smart Finite State Devices: A ModelingFramework for Demand Response Technologies, invited session on Demand Response at CDC/ECC 2011.

19. S. Kundu, N. Sinitsyn, S. Backhaus, and I. Hiskens, Modeling and control of thermostaticallycontrolled loads, submitted to 17th Power Systems Computation Conference 2011, arXiv:1101.2157.

16. P. van Hentenryck, C. Coffrin, and R. Bent , Vehicle Routing for the Last Mile of Power SystemRestoration, submitted to PSCC.

12. P. Sulc, K. Turitsyn, S. Backhaus and M. Chertkov , Options for Control of Reactive Power byDistributed Photovoltaic Generators, arXiv:1008.0878, to appear in Proceedings of the IEEE, special issueon Smart Grid (2011).

11. F. Pan, R. Bent, A. Berscheid, and D. Izrealevitz , Locating PHEV Exchange Stations in V2G,arXiv:1006.0473, IEEE SmartGridComm 2010

10. K. S. Turitsyn, N. Sinitsyn, S. Backhaus, and M. Chertkov, Robust Broadcast-Communication Controlof Electric Vehicle Charging, arXiv:1006.0165, IEEE SmartGridComm 2010

9. K. S. Turitsyn, P. Sulc, S. Backhaus, and M. Chertkov, Local Control of Reactive Power by DistributedPhotovoltaic Generators, arXiv:1006.0160, IEEE SmartGridComm 2010

7. K. S. Turitsyn, Statistics of voltage drop in radial distribution circuits: a dynamic programmingapproach, arXiv:1006.0158, accepted to IEEE SIBIRCON 2010

5. K. Turitsyn, P. Sulc, S. Backhaus and M. Chertkov, Distributed control of reactive power flow in aradial distribution circuit with high photovoltaic penetration, arxiv:0912.3281 , selected for super-session atIEEE PES General Meeting 2010.

2. L. Zdeborova, S. Backhaus and M. Chertkov, Message Passing for Integrating and Assessing RenewableGeneration in a Redundant Power Grid, presented at HICSS-43, Jan. 2010, arXiv:0909.2358

1. L. Zdeborova, A. Decelle and M. Chertkov, Message Passing for Optimization and Control of PowerGrid: Toy Model of Distribution with Ancillary Lines, arXiv:0904.0477, Phys. Rev. E 80 , 046112 (2009)

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 26: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Outline

1 IntroductionSo what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

2 Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power GridsModel of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

3 Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksLosses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

4 An Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission GridsMotivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 27: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

K. Turitsyn (MIT), P. Sulc (NMC), S. Backhaus and M.C.

Optimization of Reactive Power by Distributed PhotovoltaicGenerators, to appear in Proceedings of the IEEE, special issueon Smart Grid (2011), http://arxiv.org/abs/1008.0878

Local Control of Reactive Power by Distributed PhotovoltaicGenerators, proceedings of IEEE SmartGridComm 2010,http://arxiv.org/abs/1006.0160

Distributed control of reactive power flow in a radialdistribution circuit with high photovoltaic penetration, IEEEPES General Meeting 2010 (invited to a super-session),http://arxiv.org/abs/0912.3281

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 28: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Setting & Question & Idea

Distribution Grid (old rules, e.g.voltage is controlled only at thepoint of entrance)

Significant Penetration ofPhotovoltaic (new reality)

How to controlswinging/fluctuating voltage(reactive power)?

Idea(s)

Use Inverters.

Control Locally.Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 29: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy’s NNSA

U N C L A S S I F I E D

Internal Use Only

Do Not Distribute

Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids:

Control (of reactive power)

0 j -1 j j +1 n

c

j

c

j

q

p

g

j

g

j

q

p

c

j

c

j

q

p

1

1

g

j

g

j

q

p

1

1

c

j

c

j

q

p

1

1

jj iQP

jV 1jV1jV

Competing objectives

Minimize losses → Qj=0

Voltage regulation → Qj=-(rj/xj)Pj

Vo

lta

ge

(p

.u.)

1.0

1.05

0.95

Rapid reversal of real power flow

can cause undesirably large

voltage changes

Rapid PV variability cannot be

handled by current electro-

mechanical systems

Use PV inverters to generate or

absorb reactive power to restore

voltage regulation

In addition… optimize power flows

for minimum dissipation

Fundamental problem:

import vs export

)(

2

0

22

jjjjj

jj

jj

QxPrV

V

QPrLoss

Power flow. Losses & Voltage

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 30: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy’s NNSA

U N C L A S S I F I E D

Internal Use Only

Do Not Distribute

Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids:

Control (of reactive power)

0 j -1 j j +1 n

c

j

c

j

q

p

g

j

g

j

q

p

c

j

c

j

q

p

1

1

jV 1jV1jV

Not available to affect

control —but available

(via advanced metering)

for control inputNot available to affect control

— but available (via inverter

PCC) for control input

Available—minimal impact on

customer, extra inverter duty

Parameters available & limits for control

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 31: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy’s NNSA

U N C L A S S I F I E D

Internal Use Only

Do Not Distribute

Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids:

Control (of reactive power)

Schemes of Control

• Base line (do nothing)

• Unity power factor

• Proportional Control

(EPRI white paper)

0g

jq

c

j

g

j qq

max

jq

Voltage p.u.

max

jq1.0 1.050.95

• voltage control heuristics

• composite control

•Hybrid (composite at V=1 built in proportional)

)( g

j

c

j

j

jc

j

g

j ppx

rqq

)()( )1(

)]()[1(

V

j

L

j

g

j

c

jj

jc

j

c

j

g

j

FKKF

ppx

rqKKqq

)(LF

)()(

max

)1()(

/)1(4exp(1

21))(()(

V

j

L

jjj

j

jjj

g

j

FKKFConstrKF

VKFqKFq

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 32: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy’s NNSA

U N C L A S S I F I E D

Internal Use Only

Do Not Distribute

Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids:

Control (of reactive power)

Import—Heavy cloud cover

pc = uniformly distributed 0-2.5 kW

qc = uniformly distributed 0.2pc-0.3pc

pg = 0 kW

Average import per node = 1.25 kW

Export—Full sun

pc = uniformly distributed 0-1.0 kW

qc = uniformly distributed 0.2pc-0.3pc

pg = 2.0 kW

Average export per node = 0.5 kW

Measures of control performance

V—maximum voltage deviation in

transition from export to import

Average of import and export

circuit dissipation relative to ―Do

Nothing-Base Case‖

V0=7.2 kV line-to-neutral

n=250 nodes

Distance between nodes = 200 meters

Line impedance = 0.33 + i 0.38 Ω/km

50% of nodes are PV-enabled with 2

kW maximum generation

Inverter capacity s=2.2 kVA – 10%

excess capacity

Prototypical distribution circuit:

case study

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 33: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy’s NNSA

U N C L A S S I F I E D

Internal Use Only

Do Not Distribute

Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids:

Control (of reactive power)V

qg=qc

qg=0

F(K)

K=0K=1

K=1.5

H(K)

H/2

Performance of different control schemes

Hybrid scheme

Leverage nodes

that already have

Vj~1.0 p.u. for loss

minimization

Provides voltage

regulation and loss

reduction

K allows for trade

between loss and

voltage regulation

Scaling factor

provides related

trades

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 34: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Losses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

Operated by Los Alamos National Security, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy’s NNSA

U N C L A S S I F I E D

Internal Use Only

Do Not Distribute

Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids:

Control (of reactive power)

In high PV penetration distribution circuits where difficult transient

conditions will occur, adequate voltage regulation and reduction in

circuit dissipation can be achieved by:

• Local control of PV-inverter reactive generation (as opposed to centralized control)

• Moderately oversized PV-inverter capacity (s~1.1 pg,max)

Using voltage as the only input variable to the control may lead to

increased average circuit dissipation

• Other inputs should be considered such as pc, qc, and pg.

• Blending of schemes that focus on voltage regulation or loss reduction into a hybrid control

shows improved performance and allows for simple tuning of the control to different

conditions.

Equitable division of reactive generation duty and adequate voltage

regulation will be difficult to ensure simultaneously.

• Cap reactive generation capability by enforcing artificial limit given by s~1.1 pg,max

Conclusions:

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 35: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Our Publications on Grid Planning

18. R. Bent, A. Berscheid, and L. Toole , Generation and TransmissionExpansion Planning for Renewable Energy Integration, submitted to PowerSystems Computation Conference (PSCC).

17. R. Bent and W.B. Daniel , Randomized Discrepancy Bounded Local Searchfor Transmission Expansion Planning, accepted for IEEE PES 2011.

11. F. Pan, R. Bent, A. Berscheid, and D. Izrealevitz , Locating PHEVExchange Stations in V2G, arXiv:1006.0473, IEEE SmartGridComm 2010

6. J. Johnson and M. Chertkov, A Majorization-Minimization Approach toDesign of Power Transmission Networks, arXiv:1004.2285, 49th IEEEConference on Decision and Control (2010).

4. R. Bent, A. Berscheid, and G. Loren Toole, Transmission Network ExpansionPlanning with Simulation Optimization, Proceedings of the Twenty-Fourth AAAIConference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI 2010), July 2010, Atlanta, Georgia.

3. L. Toole, M. Fair, A. Berscheid, and R. Bent, Electric Power TransmissionNetwork Design for Wind Generation in the Western United States: Algorithms,Methodology, and Analysis , Proceedings of the 2010 IEEE Power EngineeringSociety Transmission and Distribution Conference and Exposition (IEEE TD2010), April 2010, New Orleans, Louisiana.

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 36: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Outline

1 IntroductionSo what?Smart Grid Project (LDRD DR) at LANLPreliminary Technical Remarks. Scales.Technical Intro: Power Flows

2 Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power GridsModel of Load SheddingError Surface & InstantonsInstantons for Wind Generation

3 Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksLosses vs Quality of VoltageControl & Compromises

4 An Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission GridsMotivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 37: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Grid Design: Motivational Example

Cost dispatch only(transportation,economics)

Power flows highly approximate

Unstable solutions

Intermittency in Renewables notaccounted

An unstable grid example

Hybrid Optimization - is current“engineering” solution developed atLANL: Toole,Fair,Berscheid,Bent 09extending and built on NREL “20% by2030 report for DOE

Network Optimization ⇒Design of the Grid as a tractableglobal optimization

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 38: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Network Optimization (for fixed production/consumption p)

ming

p+(

G (g))−1

p︸ ︷︷ ︸minimize lossesconvex overg

, Gab =

0, a 6= b, a � b−gab, a 6= b, a ∼ b∑c∼ac 6=a gac , a = b.︸ ︷︷ ︸

Discrete Graph Laplacian of conductance

Network Optimization (averaged over p)

ming 〈p+(

G (g))−1

p〉 = ming tr

((G (g)

)−1〈pp+〉

)=

ming

tr

((G (g)

)−1P

)︸ ︷︷ ︸

still convex

, P − covariance matrix of load/generation

Boyd,Ghosh,Saberi ’06 in the context of resistive networksalso Boyd, Vandenberghe, El Gamal and S. Yun ’01 for Integrated Circuits

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 39: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Network Optimization: Losses+Costs [J. Johnson, MC ’10]

Costs need to account for

“sizing lines” - grows with gab, linearly or faster (convex in g)

“breaking ground” - l0-norm (non convex in g) but also imposesdesired sparsity

Resulting Optimization is non-convex

ming>0

(tr

((G (g)

)−1

P

)+∑{a,b}

(αabgab + βabφγ(gab))

), φγ(x)= x

x+γ

Tricks (for efficient solution of the non-convex problem)

“annealing”: start from large (convex) γ and track to γ → 0(combinatorial)

Majorization-minimization (from Candes, Boyd ’05) for current γ:

g t+1 = argming>0

(tr(L) + α. ∗ g + β. ∗ φ′γ(g t

ab). ∗ gab

)Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 40: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Single-Generator Examples (I)

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 41: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Single-Generator Examples (II)

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 42: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Multi-Generator Example

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 43: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Adding Robustness

To impose the requirement that the network design should berobust to failures of lines or generators, we use the worst-casepower dissipation:

L\k (g) = max∀{a,b}:zab∈{0,1}|

∑{a,b} zab=N−k

L(z . ∗ g))

It is tractable to compute only for small values of k .

Note, the point-wise maximum over a collection of convexfunction is convex.

So the linearized problem is again a convex optimizationproblem at every step continuation/MM procedure.

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 44: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Single-Generator Examples [+Robustness] (I)

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 45: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Single-Generator Examples [+Robustness] (II)

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 46: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Multi-Generator Example [+Robustness]

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 47: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

IntroductionPredicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids

Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution NetworksAn Optimization Approach to Design of Transmission Grids

Motivational ExampleNetwork Optimization

Conclusion (for the Network Optimization part)

A promising heuristic approach to design of power transmissionnetworks. However, cannot guarantee global optimum.

CDC10: http://arxiv.org/abs/1004.2285

Future Work:

Applications to real grids, e.g. for 30/2030

Bounding optimality gap?

Use non-convex continuation approach to place generators

possibly useful for graph partitioning problems

adding further constraints (e.g. don’t overload lines)

extension to (exact) AC power flow?

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 48: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

Bottom Line

A lot of interesting collective phenomena in the power grid settings for AppliedMath, Physics, CS/IT analysis

The research is timely (blackouts, renewables, stimulus)

Other Problems the team plans working on

Efficient PHEV charging via queuing/scheduling with and withoutcommunications and delays

Power Grid Spectroscopy (power grid as a medium, electro-mechanical wavesand their control, voltage collapse, dynamical state estimations)

Effects of Renewables (intermittency of winds, clouds) on the grid & control

Load Control, scheduling with time horizon (dynamic programming +)

Price Dynamics & Control for the Distribution Power Grid

Post-emergency Control (restoration and de-islanding)

For more info - check:

http://cnls.lanl.gov/~chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 49: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

Collaborations & Programm Development

LANL has unique combination of theory (T-,CCS-) and application (D-)expertise to tackle the challenging network/collective problems

The ultimate goal is to lead efforts within the DOE complex

Multiple collaborations (students, joint grants, exploration) with MIT, Berkeley,U of Michigan, U of Texas, UCSB, PNNL and others

Actively involved in (NEW) community Building (new confs, journals,etc)

New DTRA funding (1.2M over 3 years) Cascading Failures

New OE funding (350K for FY10 with possible growth in future FYs) -Controlof PV with NEDO & LA county

Wait for NSF [via NMC] on Grid Spectroscopy (electro-mech. waves)

Plan responding to multiple DOE/EERE calls related to the off-shore wind

Multiple other submissions/calls, mainly from DOE & DHS

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 50: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

Smart Grid Program at LANL

Challenges

Pool of interested researchers and students currently small(but growing fast!)

We need to encourage students inCS/IT/Control/Optimization/Physics to work on theseproblems through development of joint graduate programswith top schools such as MIT, Berkeley, Stanford, USC, andothers.

Transition to Programmatic (DOE+) funding - path topractical software/middleware (via D- ?)

Need to hire in this new area - especially our bestCS/IT/Control/Optimization/Physics postdocs working onthe Smart Grid Project

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/

Page 51: @let@token Optimization & Control Theory for Smart Grids · Introduction Predicting Failures (Static Overloads) in Power Grids Control of Reactive Flows in Distribution Networks An

Thank You!

Michael (Misha) Chertkov – [email protected] http://cnls.lanl.gov/∼chertkov/SmarterGrids/