Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea

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    ADB EconomicsWorking Paper Series

    Lessons rom the 1997 and the 2008 Crisesin the Republic o Korea

    Hangyong Lee and Changyong Rhee

    No. 298 | January 2012

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    ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

    Lessons rom the 1997 and the 2008 Crises

    in the Republic o Korea

    Hangyong Lee and Changyong Rhee

    January 2012

    angyong ee is Associate rofessor at anyang niversity, and Changyong hee is Chief conomist ofthe Asian evelopment Bank. his paper was presented at the Asian conomic olicy eview Conferenceheld on 8 ctober 2011 in okyo. he authors are grateful to the editors, Chalongphob ussangkarn

    discussant), ukiko ukagawa discussant), ea umulong, and seminar participants for valuablecomments. he authors accept responsibility for any errors in the paper.

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    Asian evelopment Bank AB Avenue, Mandaluyong City1550 Metro Manila, hilippineswww.adb.org/economics

    2011 by Asian evelopment Bankanuary 2012 155-5252ublication tock o. 1244

    he views expressed in this paperare those of the authors) and do notQHFHVVDULO\UHHFWWKHYLHZVRUSROLFLHVof the Asian evelopment Bank.

    he AB conomics orking aper eries is a forum for stimulating discussion and

    eliciting feedback on ongoing and recently completed research and policy studies

    undertaken by the Asian evelopment Bank AB) staff, consultants, or resource

    persons. he series deals with key economic and development problems, particularly

    WKRVHIDFLQJWKH$VLDDQG3DFLFUHJLRQDVZHOODVFRQFHSWXDODQDO\WLFDORU

    methodological issues relating to project/program economic analysis, and statistical data

    and measurement. he series aims to enhance the knowledge on Asias development

    DQGSROLF\FKDOOHQJHVVWUHQJWKHQDQDO\WLFDOULJRUDQGTXDOLW\RI$'%VFRXQWU\SDUWQHUVKLS

    VWUDWHJLHVDQGLWVVXEUHJLRQDODQGFRXQWU\RSHUDWLRQVDQGLPSURYHWKHTXDOLW\DQG

    availability of statistical data and development indicators for monitoring development

    effectiveness.

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    journals or chapters in books. he series is maintained by the conomics and esearch

    epartment.

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    Contents

    Abstract v

    . ntroduction 1

    . he irst hase oss of Credibility 2

    $ &DSLWDOXWRZVDQGRUHLJQ([FKDQJH6KRUWDJH

    B. olicy esponses

    . he econd hase Collapse of xports

    A. inancial xcess or lobal mbalances?

    B. Macroeconomic olicies 9

    C. ecapitalization of Banks 10

    . Corporate estructuring 12

    . essons from the 199 and 2008 Crises 12

    A. Comparison of Macro olicy esponses 12

    B. Bilateral waps, oreign eserves,

    and lobal inancial afety ets 14

    C. Banking versus Capital Market evelopment 15

    . inancial egulation from merging Market erspectives 1

    . Conclusion 18

    eferences 19

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  • 7/27/2019 Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea

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    Abstract

    he economy of the epublic of orea was hit harder than anticipated by the

    JOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVQWKHUVWSKDVHODUJHFDSLWDORXWRZVOHGWRDVHYHUH

    OLTXLGLW\VWUDLQLQWKHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHPDUNHWUHVXOWLQJLQDUDSLGGHSUHFLDWLRQRI

    the exchange rate. hen, in the second phase, the contraction of global demand

    led to a collapse of exports and a sharp decline in economic activity, raising

    FRQFHUQVDERXWDIXOOHGJHGQDQFLDOFULVLVLQWKHFRXQWU\7KLVSDSHUGHVFULEHV

    KRZWKHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVVSLOOHGRYHULQWRWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\DQGKRZWKH

    JRYHUQPHQWUHVSRQGHGWRWKHQDQFLDOWXUPRLOWDOVRSURYLGHVWKHEDFNJURXQG

    DQGUDWLRQDOHIRUWKHRUHDQJRYHUQPHQWVGHFLVLRQVWRDGRSWVSHFLFSROLF\measures. Based on orean experiences during the 199 and the 2008 crises,

    WKLVSDSHUGRFXPHQWVWKHOHVVRQVOHDUQHGDQGLGHQWLHVVHYHUDOLPSRUWDQWSROLF\

    issues that might have regional implications for Asia.

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    I. Introduction

    QWKHODVW\HDUVWKHHFRQRP\RIWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDZDVKLWKDUGE\WZRQDQFLDO

    FULVHVWKH$VLDQQDQFLDOFULVLVDQGWKHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVHDUQLQJIURP

    WKHQDQFLDOFULVLVLQWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDXSJUDGHGLWVPDFURHFRQRPLFDQG

    QDQFLDOPDQDJHPHQWV\VWHPWRDYRLGPDNLQJWKHVDPHPLVWDNHVDJDLQ1 he orean

    JRYHUQPHQWVWUHQJWKHQHGWKHUHJXODWLRQDQGVXSHUYLVLRQRQQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVDQG

    PDUNHWVUHJXODUO\PRQLWRUHGIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHOLTXLGLW\FRQGLWLRQVDQGLQSDUWLFXODU

    took foreign exchange reserve management very seriously. ue to these efforts and the

    HQKDQFHGVRXQGQHVVRIQDQFLDODQGQRQQDQFLDOVHFWRUVWKHJRYHUQPHQWDQWLFLSDWHG

    WKDWWKHLPSDFWRIQDQFLDOWXUPRLOLQWKHDGYDQFHGHFRQRPLHVRQWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\

    would be limited in scale and severity. he government believed the situation in 2008 was

    different and that a slowdown of the orean economy could be expected, but not a crisis.

    QIRUWXQDWHO\WKHRUHDQHFRQRP\VXIIHUHGDJDLQIURPHTXDOO\ODUJHDQGXQH[SHFWHG

    FDSLWDORXWRZVDIWHUHKPDQ%URWKHUVFROODSVHGLQ6HSWHPEHUHYHQWKRXJKLW

    eventually managed to avoid the apocalypse.

    n retrospect, the global crisis spilled over into the orean economy in two phases in

    QWKHUVWSKDVHWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDVXIIHUHGIURPDVHULRXVORVVRIFRQGHQFH

    E\JOREDOLQYHVWRUVUHVXOWLQJLQODUJHFDSLWDORXWRZVVLPLODUWRWKHFDVHRIQ

    WKHIRXUWKTXDUWHURIWKHFDSLWDODFFRXQWGHFLWUHDFKHGELOOLRQZKLFKLV

    HTXLYDOHQWWRRYHURIJURVVGRPHVWLFSURGXFW*'37KHJRYHUQPHQWLQWURGXFHG

    PDQ\SROLF\PHDVXUHVWRKHOSUHVWRUHIRUHLJQLQYHVWRUVFRQGHQFHVXFKDVSURYLGLQJ

    guarantees for external liabilities of orean banks, using its large foreign reserves to

    HQVXUHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHOLTXLGLW\DQGH[SODLQLQJWKHVWUXFWXUDOGLIIHUHQFHVEHWZHHQ

    199 and 2008 to international investors. owever, these measures proved ineffective. t

    was the bilateral swap arrangements with the ederal eserve that eventually stabilized

    WKHQDQFLDOPDUNHWVLQWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDWZDVLURQLFWKDWWKHQLWHG6WDWHV6

    UHVWRUHGFRQGHQFHLQWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\ZKLOHWKH6ZDVJURXQG]HURRIWKHJOREDO

    crisis. owever, the positive effect of the ederal eserve bilateral swaps did not last

    long.

    n the second phase, the export dependence of Asian economies triggered market

    pessimism, and the global crisis unavoidably spilled over to the real sectors of the Asian

    economies. he expectation was that the crisis in advanced economies would hurt Asia

    at least as much as the est because of its heavy reliance on exports to advanced

    economies. ndeed, the epublic of orea, one of the more open economies in the1 See Lee and Rhee (2007) or lessons rom the 1997 crisis in the Republic o Korea.

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    region, was vulnerable to the contraction of global demand. he year-on-year growth rate

    RIRUHDQH[SRUWVSOXPPHWHGIURPLQWKHrdTXDUWHURIWRLQWKH th

    TXDUWHUDQGLQWKHstTXDUWHURIURPWKHQRQLWEHFDPHEH\RQGXVWD

    OLTXLGLW\SUREOHP2

    7RSUHYHQWWKHOLTXLGLW\FULVLVIURPEHFRPLQJDIXOOVFDOHFUHGLWFULVLVWKHRUHDQ

    government, together with other advanced economies, agreed to implement a historically

    unprecedented, globally coordinated expansionary policy response. ortunately, the

    orean economy managed to rebound relatively fast as the global market started to

    UHFRYHUIURPDUFK7KHVZLIWUHFRYHU\DOVRUHHFWHGWKHUHVLOLHQFHRIWKHRUHDQ

    HFRQRP\UHVXOWLQJIURPHIIRUWVWKDWHQKDQFHGWKHVRXQGQHVVRIQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVDQG

    the corporate sector after the 199 crisis.

    he objectives of this paper are two-fold. irst, we describe how the orean economy

    was affected by the global crisis and how the orean government responded to the

    QDQFLDOWXUPRLO:HDOVRH[SODLQWKHEDFNJURXQGIRUWKHRUHDQJRYHUQPHQWVDGRSWLRQRIVSHFLFSROLF\PHDVXUHVDORQJZLWKWKHUHVXOWDQWFRQWURYHUVLHVLQGHVLJQLQJDQG

    implementing them. econd, based on orean experiences during the two crises, we

    UDLVHVHYHUDOLPSRUWDQWSROLF\LVVXHVUHODWLQJWRWKHHIIHFWLYHQHVVRIPRQHWDU\DQGVFDO

    policies in crisis management, the pros and cons of holding large foreign reserves,

    DQGWKHLPSOLFDWLRQVRIWKHVXESULPHFULVLVRQQDQFLDOUHJXODWLRQDQGFDSLWDOPDUNHW

    development in Asia. e believe that these are relevant not only to the epublic of orea

    but also to other Asian countries.

    he remainder of this paper is organized as follows. ections and describe the

    causes and progress of the 2008 crisis in the epublic of orea by dividing it into two

    phases. hey also describe the government policy responses during those periods.ection documents the similarities and differences in the lessons learned from the two

    crises. ection concludes.

    II. The First Phase: Loss o Credibility

    A. Capital Outfows and Foreign Exchange Shortage

    hen the subprime mortgage problems surfaced in mid-200 in the and urope, theRUHDQJRYHUQPHQWDQWLFLSDWHGWKDWWKHLPSDFWRQWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\RIWKHQDQFLDO

    2 In the literature on contagion, countries are linked through two diferent channels o transmission: trade andnance. In the rst phase, the nance channel was more important in the transmission o shocks to the Koreaneconomy. The second phase, in contrast, highlighted the critical role o international trade in the propagationo adverse shocks. Gerlach and Smets (1995) and Glick and Rose (1999) stressed the international trade channelwhile Kaminsky and Reinhart (2000) and Van Rijckeghem and Weder (2001) emphasized the importance o theinternational nance channel.

    2 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    turmoil in advanced countries would be rather limited in scale and severity. Before the

    bankruptcy of ehman Brothers in mid-eptember 2008, policy makers seemed to believe

    WKDWWKHKHDOWK\SRVLWLRQVRIWKHGRPHVWLFEDQNLQJV\VWHPDQGQRQQDQFLDOFRUSRUDWLRQV

    DVZHOODVIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHUHVHUYHVDPRXQWLQJWRELOOLRQHTXLYDOHQWWRDERXW

    5 months of imports of goods and services) could shield the orean economy from theQDQFLDOFKDRVLQDGYDQFHGFRXQWULHV

    +RZHYHUWKHVLWXDWLRQTXLFNO\JRWZRUVHWKDQDQWLFLSDWHG7KHVHYHULW\RIWKHVSLOORYHU

    IURPWKHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVFDQEHVHHQFOHDUO\IURPWKHVXGGHQDQGODUJHVFDOH

    FDSLWDORXWRZVIURPWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHD7KHFDSLWDODFFRXQWUHFRUGHGDGHFLWRI

    ELOOLRQLQWKHthTXDUWHURIZKLFKLVHTXLYDOHQWWRRYHURI*'3%HIRUH

    WKHIDOORIHKPDQ%URWKHUVGXHWRXQFHUWDLQWLHVLQWKHJOREDOPDUNHWHTXLW\FDSLWDO

    RZHGRXWFRQWLQXRXVO\IURPPLGDWDPRGHUDWHVSHHG%XWLPPHGLDWHO\DIWHUWKH

    collapse of ehman Brothers, the unprecedented credit crunch in the global market forced

    banks in advanced economies to withdraw their funds from Asia, and in particular, from

    WKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDZKLFKKDVRQHRIWKHUHODWLYHO\OLTXLGFDSLWDOPDUNHWVLQ$VLD$VWKHUROORYHURIH[WHUQDOERUURZLQJZDVHIIHFWLYHO\VWRSSHGWKHVXGGHQFDSLWDORXWRZV

    OHGWRDVHYHUHOLTXLGLW\VWUDLQLQWKHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHPDUNHWLQWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHD

    and resulted in sharp depreciations of the exchange rate and huge increases in credit

    default swap C) premiums. he exchange rate of the orean won ) against the

    6GROODUURVHWR:RQFWREHUDLQFUHDVHIURP:LQ

    end-May. he C premium, a proxy for foreign currency funding cost, skyrocketed to

    5 basis points on ctober 2 from 91 basis points in early August. he stock price also

    SOXPPHWHGE\EHWZHHQ$XJXVWst and the end of ctober. uch magnitude of the

    shock was way off expectations from the orean governments perspective and the bad

    memory of the 199 crisis returned.

    7KHKXJHFDSLWDORXWRZVLQWKHthTXDUWHURIZHUHPRVWO\DWWULEXWHGWRDODUJH

    GHFLWLQRWKHULQYHVWPHQWVZKLFKLQFOXGHWUDGHFUHGLWVORDQVERUURZLQJVFXUUHQF\

    DQGGHSRVLWVDQGRWKHUVWKHULQYHVWPHQWVDFFRXQWHGIRUELOOLRQRXWRIWKHWRWDO

    FDSLWDODFFRXQWGHFLWRIELOOLRQ$PRQJRWKHULQYHVWPHQWVLQSDUWLFXODUVKRUWWHUP

    borrowings by deposit-taking institutions domestic banks and branches of foreign banks)

    ZHUHUHVSRQVLEOHIRUWKHODUJHGHFLWGXULQJWKHSHULRG

    7KHVXGGHQFDSLWDORXWRZVZHUHGHQLWHO\GXHWRFUHGLWRUEDQNVOLTXLGLW\FRQVWUDLQWV

    But it does not explain why the epublic of orea was particularly hit more severely than

    RWKHU$VLDQFRXQWULHV7KHJOREDOLQYHVWRUVVXGGHQORVVRIFRQGHQFHLQWKHRUHDQ

    economy played a pivotal role, which can be attributed to many factors. espite itssustained effort to strengthen its external sector, the epublic of oreas high dependency

    on large and short-term external debts was the major culprit. he stigma from the 199

    crisis was also important.

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    ndeed, the rapid increase in borrowings by the banking sector, especially since 200,

    resulted in large external debts and thus increased the vulnerability of the orean

    HFRQRP\WRWKHJOREDOFUHGLWFUXQFK7KHH[WHUQDOGHEWZDVRQO\ELOOLRQDWWKH

    end of 2005, but it grew rapidly thanks to large-scale borrowings by domestic banks and

    EUDQFKHVRIIRUHLJQEDQNVUHDFKLQJELOOLRQLQWKHrd

    TXDUWHURI7KLVOHYHORIWRWDOH[WHUQDOGHEWZDVHTXLYDOHQWWRRI*'37KHQWKHH[WHUQDOGHEWWR*'3UDWLR

    LQFUHDVHGWRLQWKHthTXDUWHURIEHIRUHLWGHFUHDVHGVWHDGLO\IURP

    7KLVKLJKGHEWWR*'3UDWLRLVFRPSDUDEOHWRWKHUDWLRGXULQJWKH$VLDQFULVLVLQ

    1998.4 Moreover, short-term external debt, whose original maturity is less than a year,

    LQFUHDVHGPRUHUDSLGO\IURPELOOLRQDWWKHHQGRIWRELOOLRQLQWKH rd

    TXDUWHURI7KXVWKHVKRUWWHUPGHEWWRWRWDOH[WHUQDOGHEWUDWLRUHDFKHGLQWKH

    rdTXDUWHURIVLPLODUWRWKHLQWKH stTXDUWHURI'HVSLWHODUJHIRUHLJQ

    UHVHUYHVWKHUDWLRRIVKRUWWHUPGHEWWRUHVHUYHVLQFUHDVHGWRLQWKHrdTXDUWHURI

    2008. Moreover, as of the end of 2008, total current external debt debt with remaining

    PDWXULW\RIOHVVWKDQD\HDUGXHLQZDVELOOLRQZKLFKFRPSULVHVVKRUWWHUP

    debts and long-term debts due in 2009. hus, the ratio of current external debt to foreignexchange reserves became close to 1.

    o be fair, there were many reasons why the orean government thought this time

    was different. n responding to concerns about external debts, the orean government

    EHOLHYHGWKDWDVLJQLFDQWSRUWLRQRIH[WHUQDOGHEWZDVLQIDFWULVNIUHHIRUWKHIROORZLQJ

    two reasons.

    LUVWDPRQJWKHWRWDOH[WHUQDOGHEWRIELOOLRQDVRIHQGELOOLRQZDV

    supposed to be nonobligatory debt, meaning they were not subject to any repayment

    EXUGHQRUH[DPSOHELOOLRQZDVLQFXUUHGDVDUHVXOWRIDGYDQFHGUHFHLSWVRU

    unearned revenue) for shipbuilding contracts, which would be cleared off from thebooks at the time of delivery of the ships. xcluding these nonobligatory debts, the net

    H[WHUQDOGHEWVRIWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\FDPHWRELOOLRQVLJQLFDQWO\VPDOOHUWKDQ

    WKHFODLPHGELOOLRQ7KHLQFUHDVHLQGHPDQGIRUKHGJLQJDJDLQVWIRUHLJQH[FKDQJH

    rate risk by shipbuilding companies caused more complexity.5 Because of the large size

    of the shipbuilding contracts and the long time interval between orders and delivery, the

    shipbuilding companies in the epublic of orea are exposed to high exchange rate risks

    and thus have a great incentive to hedge the risks. hus, they open forward contracts

    with banks, and accordingly banks are left with exposures to exchange rate risks in

    the future. he banks then borrow foreign currency and convert these into domestic

    currency in the spot market to hedge the risks in its forward position. As the government

    argued, although these forward contracts raised the current external debts, the level ofdebts would be reduced at the maturity date of the forward contracts. hen shipbuilding

    3 In the 4th quarter o 2008, the total external debt slightly decreased but GDP declined more, resulting in anincrease in external debt-to-GDP ratio.

    4 The external debt-to-GDP ratio was 210% in the 1st quarter o 1998.5 The orders received by Korean shipbuilding companies amounted to $61.7 billion in 2006 and $97.5 billion in

    2007. The growth rates o the orders received were 97.3% and 58.0% in 2006 and 2007, respectively.

    4 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    companies deliver foreign currency to banks with the received payment at the maturity

    date, banks can repay the external debts with the proceeds. his is the reason why

    the orean government argued that the external debts in the epublic of orea were

    overly exaggerated. But the orean shipbuilders and banks never imagined that their

    counterparties, whose credit ratings were higher than theirs, can be credit-constrainedand would fail to honor their contract.

    6HFRQGDPRQJWKHVKRUWWHUPH[WHUQDOGHEWVRIELOOLRQELOOLRQZDVRZHGWR

    branches of foreign banks. herefore, orean domestic banks and corporations owed only

    ELOOLRQZKLFKZDVDERXWDWKLUGRIWKHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHUHVHUYHVQRWKHUZRUGV

    WKHVKRUWWHUPERUURZLQJVE\WKHEUDQFKHVRIIRUHLJQEDQNVIURPWKHLUKHDGTXDUWHUV

    accounted for about half of the short-term external debts. he orean regulator never

    LPDJLQHGWKDWLWQHHGHGWRPRQLWRUVKRUWWHUPOLTXLGLW\RIIRUHLJQEDQNEUDQFKHVVLQFH

    WKH\ZHUHEHOLHYHGWRKDYHDFFHVVWRDPSOHOLTXLGLW\IURPWKHLUKHDGTXDUWHUVRUHRYHU

    WKHH[WHUQDOGHEWVRIGRPHVWLFEDQNVWHQGWRXFWXDWHZLWKWKHLUH[WHUQDODVVHWVRYHUWLPH

    while this tendency is not found for the branches of foreign banks. ince 200, externalassets of domestic banks also started to increase, though not as much as external debts,

    but external assets of branches of foreign banks virtually remained unchanged while their

    H[WHUQDOGHEWVVLJQLFDQWO\LQFUHDVHGWPHDQVWKDWWKHH[WHUQDODVVHWOLDELOLW\RIIRUHLJQ

    bank branches was not matched while domestic banks were advised to do so. he

    orean government never thought it was a problem. o one imagined that global banks,

    which had higher credit ratings than the sovereign rating of the epublic of orea, could

    DFWXDOO\GHIDXOW7KHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVWDXJKWXVWKDWUHJXODWLQJIRUHLJQEDQNEUDQFKHV

    should become a new important issue for Asian policy makers.

    Another indicator of vulnerability that foreign investors and media focused on after the

    onset of the crisis was the high loan-to-deposit ratio in the banking sector. A high loan-WRGHSRVLWUDWLRLPSOLHVWKDWEDQNVKHDYLO\UHO\RQERUURZLQJWRQDQFHGRPHVWLFOHQGLQJ

    suggesting a high leverage ratio of the banking sector. he loan-to-deposit ratio reached

    DOPRVWDWWKHHQGRIZKLFKLVKLJKHUWKDQWKHDYHUDJHUDWLRVLQRWKHU$VLDQ

    FRXQWULHVEDQNLQJVHFWRUXVXDOO\OHVVWKDQ

    n response to this concern, the orean government argued that the loan-to-deposit ratio

    LVQRWDJRRGLQWHUQDWLRQDOO\FRPSDUDEOHLQGLFDWRURIOHYHUDJHRUH[DPSOHFHUWLFDWHV

    of deposit Cs) are not included in deposits, thereby increasing the loan-to-deposit ratio.

    7KHORDQWRGHSRVLWUDWLRLQWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDZDVDURXQGRQFH&'VZHUH

    LQFOXGHGQOLNHRWKHUFRXQWULHVWKH%DQNRIRUHD$FWFODVVLHV&'VDVGHSRVLWOLDELOLWLHV

    for which banks are mandated to set provisions. urthermore, most Cs in the epublicof orea were sold at bank counters and they are essentially the same instrument as

    ordinary time deposits in nature. n fact, the rollover ratio of Cs is higher than that of

    deposits and the banks regarded Cs as a stable source of funding in the epublic of

    6 While CDs are included in deposits under the US banks accounting system, they are separately accounted or byKorean banks.

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    orea. But once the crisis occurred, individual country characteristics were not taken into

    account in foreign investors perceptions.

    B. Policy Responses

    QWKHUVWSKDVHRIWKHJOREDOFULVLVWKHFULWLFDOSUREOHPZDVWKHORVVRIIRUHLJQLQYHVWRUV

    FRQGHQFHDQGWKHVXEVHTXHQWOLTXLGLW\SUREOHPLQWKHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHPDUNHW7KH

    memory of the 199 crisis started to haunt orean consumers and businesses. inancial

    institutions and companies stopped lending to each other for fear of counterparty risks

    XQGHUWKHYHU\XQFHUWDLQFRQGLWLRQVWZDVDW\SLFDOOLTXLGLW\FULVLVQRWDFUHGLWFULVLVDQG

    UHVWRULQJFRQGHQFHZDVDPDRUFKDOOHQJH7KHRUHDQJRYHUQPHQWUHDFWHGE\SURYLGLQJ

    OLTXLGLW\WRGRPHVWLFQDQFLDOPDUNHWVDQGSD\PHQWJXDUDQWHHVIRUIRUHLJQFXUUHQF\

    borrowings by domestic banks. ince most foreign governments also provided guarantees

    to their banks, it was an inevitable choice to avoid reverse discrimination.

    7KHJRYHUQPHQWDQGWKH%DQNRIRUHDDOVRSURYLGHGIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHOLTXLGLW\WRQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVXVLQJIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHUHVHUYHVWRVRPHH[WHQW7KHHSXEOLF

    RIRUHDPDQDJHGODUJHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHUHVHUYHVRIRYHUELOOLRQEXWLWGLGQRW

    IXOO\XWLOL]HWKHUHVHUYHVLQWKHUVWSKDVHRIWKHFULVLV7KHUHZDVDFULWLFLVPDERXWWKH

    governments less active use of foreign reserves even if it has enough holdings to cover

    short-term external liabilities. owever, it is not the level of short-term liabilities but trade

    QDQFHWKDWPDGHWKHJRYHUQPHQWFDXWLRXVDERXWPDQDJLQJLWVIRUHLJQUHVHUYHV7KH

    JRYHUQPHQWKDVWRSUHSDUHIRUWKHSRVVLELOLW\WKDWDFFHVVWRGROODUOLTXLGLW\HVSHFLDOO\

    WUDGHQDQFHFRXOGEHFXWRIIIRUDQH[WHQGHGSHULRGRIWLPH$VKDUSGHFOLQHLQIRUHLJQ

    reserve holdings could limit the governments ability to respond to a shortage of trade

    QDQFHLQWKHIXWXUHZKLFKFRXOGH[DFHUEDWHWKHGRPHVWLFUHFHVVLRQDQGWKHDOUHDG\

    ZHDNHQHGIRUHLJQLQYHVWRUVFRQGHQFHLQWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\

    7KHGRPHVWLFQDQFLDOPDUNHWLQSDUWLFXODUPRQH\PDUNHWFUHGLWFRQGLWLRQVDOVREHJDQ

    to deteriorate very rapidly after the onset of the crisis. An increase in uncertainty about

    KRZPXFKRUHDQQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVLQYHVWHGLQWKHIDLOHGIRUHLJQEDQNVDORQJZLWKWKH

    pessimistic view on the future of the orean economy by foreign investors and media,

    PRWLYDWHGGRPHVWLFQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVWRKRDUGFDVKDQGUHIXVHWROHQGWRHDFKRWKHU

    FDXVLQJDFUHGLWFUXQFKLQWKHPRQH\PDUNHWQSDUWLFXODUQRQEDQNQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQV

    such as securities companies were severely hit due to their high dependence on short-

    term wholesale borrowing than deposits. he Bank of orea was initially reluctant to

    VXSSO\OLTXLGLW\WRQRQEDQNQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVEXWDJJUHVVLYHDQGQRQFRQYHQWLRQDO

    intervention by the ederal eserve made it hard for the Bank of orea to avoidVXSSO\LQJOLTXLGLW\WRQRQEDQNQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVDVZHOO

    'XULQJWKHSHULRGRIWKHUVWSKDVHRIWKHJOREDOFULVLVWKHJRYHUQPHQWVHIIRUWVSULPDULO\

    IRFXVHGRQUHVWRULQJIRUHLJQLQYHVWRUVFRQGHQFHWPLJKWEHWUXHWKDWWKHHYDSRUDWHG

    FRQGHQFHZDVWKHXQGHUO\LQJUHDVRQZK\WKHRUHDQHFRQRP\ZDVKLWKDUGHUWKDQ

    6 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    other emerging market economies. ome of the skepticism was very unfair and in part,

    stemmed from the memories of the 199 crisis in the epublic of orea. Many investors

    DJDLQTXHVWLRQHGWKHWUDQVSDUHQF\DQGFUHGLELOLW\RIJRYHUQPHQWVWDWLVWLFVDVWKH\GLGLQ

    199. he government undertook efforts to improve investor relations around the world

    and stressed that this time is different to foreign investors.

    owever, these government investor relations efforts turned out to be ineffective,

    and ironically, it was the bilateral swap arrangement with the ederal eserve on 29

    ctober 2008 that eased the concerns about a currency crisis and stabilized the foreign

    exchange market. he bilateral swap arrangements with the ederal eserve were

    effective because they were not subject to the stigma effect. As announced by the

    ederal eserve in its press release, the swap arrangement was designed to mitigate

    WKHVSUHDGRIGLIFXOWLHVLQREWDLQLQJ6GROODUIXQGLQJLQIXQGDPHQWDOO\VRXQGDQGZHOO

    managed economies. Brazil, the epublic of orea, Mexico, and ingapore were included

    DQGLGHQWLHGDVODUJHDQGV\VWHPLFDOO\LPSRUWDQWHFRQRPLHV7KHVWLJPDHIIHFWZDV

    effectively minimized as the ederal eserve swap did not single out a country, unlikethe case of the bilateral nternational Monetary und M) program. n fact, the orean

    government declined the bilateral offer from the M to subscribe to its new lending

    facility, the lexible Credit ine in mid-ctober, as it feared the stigma effect will worsen

    LQYHVWRUVFRQGHQFHHYHQWKRXJKWKHOH[LEOH&UHGLWLQHFDUULHGOHVVHUFRQGLWLRQDOLWLHV

    than its standard program loans. t was an ironical moment since it was the that

    LQLWLDWHGWKLVFULVLVDQGWKHQUHVWRUHGFRQGHQFHLQWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\

    Meanwhile, the epublic of orea did not avail of the Chiang Mai nitiative

    Multilateralization CMM) swaps, a regional safety net among AA countries,

    because the CMM is an ex postcrisis-resolution mechanism, not an ex ante crisis

    prevention mechanism, and the epublic of orea was not in default situation. n addition,WKH&UHTXLUHVWKHVVXSHUYLVLRQLIPRUHWKDQRIWKHVZDSDUUDQJHPHQW

    amount is used.

    III. The Second Phase: Collapse o Exports

    A. Financial Excess or Global Imbalances?

    he swap arrangement with the ederal eserve was a turning point in the stabilization ofWKHRUHDQQDQFLDOPDUNHW%XWLWVSRVLWLYHHIIHFWGLGQRWODVWORQJURPPLGRYHPEHU

    the credit crunch problems again began to worsen. his time, it was not just the epublic

    RIRUHDEXWWKHZKROHRI(DVW$VLDWKDWORVWJOREDOFRQGHQFH7KHDUJXPHQWJRHVWKDW

    7 Baba and Shim (2011) point out that Bank o Korea loans unded by the swap lines with the Federal Reserve weremore efective than swaps using its own oreign reserves. It suggests that a countrys own oreign reserves andintercentral bank swap arrangements are ar rom perect substitutes.

    Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea | 7

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    even though the crisis started from the est, Asia would suffer at least as much due to

    its heavy dependence on exports to advanced economies. Contraction of global demand

    would lead to an export collapse and sharp declines in economic activity, which would

    deteriorate the balance sheets of Asian corporations and banks. hen, the balance sheet

    effects could trigger a banking crisis eventually. his possibility could become a realityparticularly in the epublic of orea because income-elastic capital goods and durables

    account for a large part of orean exports.8

    ogether with the changes in market sentiments, a subtle reinterpretation of the global

    QDQFLDOFULVLVHPHUJHG$WUVWLWZDVDUJXHGWKDWWKHFULVLVZDVFDXVHGE\WKHIDLOXUHRI

    UHJXODWLRQVDQGVXSHUYLVLRQRQQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQV7KXVWKHLQLWLDOSROLF\UHDFWLRQVLQWKH

    LQWHUQDWLRQDOFRPPXQLW\VXFKDVWKH*IRFXVHGRQVWUHQJWKHQLQJQDQFLDOUHJXODWLRQV

    But from the beginning of 2009, the root cause of the global crisis started to be

    challenged. ome countries asserted that the global imbalances, partly due to excessive

    current account surpluses in merging Asia, allowed the funding costs to remain low for

    a prolonged period of time in the and therefore fueled housing market bubbles andWKHJURZWKRIJOREDOQDQFLDOPDUNHWV7KHH[SRUWRULHQWHGVWUXFWXUHRI$VLDQHFRQRPLHV

    became an easy target for this criticism.

    o the orean government, this doomsday scenario for ast Asian countries was

    PXFKKDUGHUWRGHIHQGQWKHUVWSKDVHRIWKHFULVLVWKHORVVRIFRQGHQFHLQWKH

    orean economy was by nature, a short-term problem and stemmed from, in part,

    misunderstanding and distrust of foreign investors on the transparency of the orean

    government. n contrast, the concern raised in the second phase was a long-term and

    structural problem.

    ndeed, the orean and ast Asian economies witnessed a collapse in exports from'HFHPEHU7KH\HDURQ\HDUJURZWKUDWHRIRUHDQH[SRUWVSOXPPHWHGIURP

    in the rdTXDUWHURIWRLQWKH thTXDUWHUDQGIXUWKHUSOXQJHGWR

    in the 1stTXDUWHURI7KHVKDUSGURSLQH[SRUWVRIRWKHU(DVW$VLDQFRXQWULHV

    LQFOXGLQJDSDQZDVHTXDOO\VKRFNLQJ9 he danger of the crash in exports leading to

    UHFHVVLRQDQGWKHWKUHDWRIDEDQNLQJFULVLVEHFDPHUHDOLQ$VLDDQGUHTXLUHGQHZSROLF\

    UHVSRQVHV7KHJRYHUQPHQWKDGWRDJJUHVVLYHO\UHO\RQH[SDQVLRQDU\PRQHWDU\DQGVFDO

    SROLFLHVWRERRVWWKHUHDOHFRQRP\DQGWRSURWHFWWKHYXOQHUDEOHQDQFLDOVHFWRUQWKH

    epublic of orea, construction, shipbuilding, and the export sectors were heavily hit and

    the government needed to accelerate corporate restructuring in order to prevent further

    VSLOORYHUVRIFRUSRUDWHGLIFXOWLHVWRWKHEDQNLQJVHFWRU3URWHFWLQJWKHEDQNLQJVHFWRU

    IURPHPHUJLQJFUHGLWULVNVQRWXVWIURPDOLTXLGLW\FULVLVEHFDPHDQXUJHQWWDVN7KHeffectiveness of policy measures in responding to the crisis in the second phase were

    8 In act, there exists a clear negative relationship between the share o durables in exports and the growth rate oexports during the ourth quarter o 2008 till the rst quarter o 2009. See Lee (2010) and Kawai and Takagi (2009).

    9 In the 1st quarter o 2009, the year-on-year growth rates o exports were 40.6% or Japan and 19.7% or thePeoples Republic o China.

    8 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    largely owed to the experiences gained during the 199 crisis and the institutions that

    were created to deal with it sutsumi, ones, and Cargill 2010).

    B. Macroeconomic Policies

    1. Monetary Policy

    ust like many other central banks in the world, the Bank of orea conducted an

    aggressive expansionary monetary policy by cutting the base interest rate. he base rate

    ZDVORZHUHGIURPWRLQVL[VWHSVEHWZHHQFWREHUDQGHEUXDU\

    7KHPRQHWDU\HDVLQJLQDQGXQGRXEWHGO\FRQWULEXWHGWRSURPRWLQJQDQFLDO

    market stability and supporting economic recovery.

    n addition to monetary easing, the Bank of orea broadened the eligible securities and

    counterparties for open market operations. n ovember and ecember 2008, it made

    bank debentures and some government agency bonds eligible for use in open marketoperations. At the same time, 12 security companies were additionally selected as the

    central banks counterparties for repo operations. Moreover, in ecember 2008, the Bank

    RIRUHDSDLGWKHEDQNVDRQHRIILQWHUHVWRI:ELOOLRQRQWKHLUUHTXLUHGUHVHUYH

    deposits to immediately improve bank balance sheets.

    2. Fiscal Policy

    o invigorate the domestic economy, the orean government also carried out a massive

    VFDOVWLPXOXVSDFNDJH7RJHWKHUZLWKWKHVXSSOHPHQWDU\EXGJHWSODQWKHVL]HRIVFDO

    expansion in the epublic of orea turned out to be larger than those in many other

    countries. According to the M 2009), the size of crisis-related discretionary measuresLQWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDDPRXQWHGWRRI*'3LQZKLFKZDVWKHODUJHVWVFDO

    expansion among 20 countries. t should be also noted that the implementation lag of

    VFDOSROLF\ZDVPXFKVKRUWHULQWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDWKDQLQDGYDQFHGHFRQRPLHV

    7KHJRYHUQPHQWH[HFXWHGDERXWRIWKHFRPELQHGDQQXDORULJLQDODQGVXSSOHPHQWDU\

    EXGJHWVE\WKHUVWKDOIRIWKH\HDULQRUGHUWRPD[LPL]HWKHVFDOHIIHFWVRQWKHHFRQRP\

    LQDWLPHO\PDQQHU7RH[SHGLWHWKHLPSOHPHQWDWLRQRIWKHVFDOVWLPXOXVWKHRUHDQ

    JRYHUQPHQWHYHQDGYDQFHGLWVQHZ\HDUDQQXDORSHUDWLRQSODQEULHQJIRUHDFKPLQLVWU\

    to mid-ecember in 2009, instead of the usual schedule of late anuary to ebruary in

    the new year.

    $OWKRXJKWKHFHQWUDOJRYHUQPHQWGHEWLQFUHDVHGIURPOHVVWKDQRI*'3LQWRLQLWVVRXQGVFDOSRVLWLRQUHODWLYHWRRWKHUPDRUFRXQWULHVHQDEOHGWKH

    HSXEOLFRIRUHDWRLPSOHPHQWDODUJHVFDOHVFDOVWLPXOXVLQUHVSRQVHWRWKHJOREDO

    QDQFLDOFULVLV10QGHVLJQLQJWKHVFDOVWLPXOXVSODQWKHRUHDQJRYHUQPHQWWULHGQRW

    10 Using new data on 44 countries spanning about 200 years, Reinhart and Rogof (2010) nd that the relationshipbetween government debt and real GDP growth is weak or debt/GDP ratios below a threshold o 90% o GDP.Above 90%, median growth rates all by 1%, and average growth alls considerably more.

    Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea | 9

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    WRFRPPLWLUUHYHUVLEOHVFDOVSHQGLQJVXFKDVLQFUHDVLQJHQWLWOHPHQWSURJUDPVLQRUGHUWR

    PDLQWDLQLWVORQJUXQVRXQGVWUXFWXUDOVFDOVWDQFH

    C. Recapitalization o Banks

    $IWHUWKHRQVHWRIWKHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVWKHUHZDVPDVVLYHEDQNUHFDSLWDOL]DWLRQ LQ

    advanced economies in the process of bailing out and bank restructuring. As economic

    conditions worsened, the orean government was also pressured by the media and the

    PDUNHWVWRUHFDSLWDOL]HGRPHVWLFEDQNVHYHQWKRXJKRUHDQEDQNVZHUHDGHTXDWHO\

    FDSLWDOL]HGZLWKWKHLUDYHUDJH%6FDSLWDODGHTXDF\UDWLRUHJLVWHUHGDWDWWKHHQG

    of 2008. he argument for further enhancing their capital basis was underpinned by

    three reasons.11 irst is to prevent reverse discrimination, since all troubled banks in the

    est were recapitalized or publicly owned. ithout government support, orean banks

    would not be able to secure foreign funding in international markets. econd, in return for

    injecting more capital, the government could encourage domestic banks to extend loans

    to small and medium enterprises more aggressively to ease the credit crunch. hird,given the increasing uncertainty, preemptive policy measures were called for in order

    to safeguard the soundness of the banking sector. ince loan losses resulting from a

    deep recession could cause a substantial fall in bank capital, additional bank capital was

    UHTXLUHGIRUDSUHFDXWLRQDU\SXUSRVH

    owever, injecting public money involuntarily to normally operating private banks was not

    OHJDOO\IHDVLEOHDQGHFRQRPLFDOO\GHVLUDEOH7KHLU%6UDWLRVZHUHDERYHHYHQDWWKH

    end of 2009. t was unlike the case of 199 and the case of advanced economies after

    the subprime crisis whose banks either de facto defaulted or were asking for voluntary

    FDSLWDOLQHFWLRQ7RFLUFXPYHQWWKHVHGLIFXOWLHVWKHRUHDQJRYHUQPHQWGHFLGHGWR

    create a fund that can provide banks with credit lines. n ecember 2009, the Bankecapitalization und was launched with a size of 20 trillion, which was expected to

    LQFUHDVHWKHDYHUDJH%6UDWLRE\SRLQWV

    igure 1 describes the structure of the Bank ecapitalization und. n voluntary capital

    call basis, banks can access the Bank ecapitalization und by issuing preferred shares,

    hybrid bonds, or subordinated bonds to the und whenever they need to raise capital.

    n order to minimize the possible stigma effect, the government assigned a credit limit

    per bank that depended on their asset sizes irrespective of their credit ratings. he

    orean government expected that the und would help domestic commercial banks

    UDLVHWKHLU%6FDSLWDODGHTXDF\UDWLRZKHQQHHGHG7KH%DQNHFDSLWDOL]DWLRQXQG

    DLPHGWRVXSSRUWEDQNVWRPDNHORDQVPRUHDJJUHVVLYHO\UDWKHUWKDQWRSXUVXHQDQFLDOrestructuring as in the case of the troubled banks with large nonperforming loans in

    advanced countries. By enhancing the soundness of the banking sector, the und was

    intended to provide a safety net to prevent bank panics and encourage banks to keep on

    lending during times of crises.

    11 The nationwide banks accounted or 90% o deposits and loans in the domestic banking sector.

    10 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    Figure 1: Bank Recapitalization Fund

    Bank o Korea(W10 trillion)

    Institutional Investors(W8 trillion)

    Korea Development Bank(W2 trillion)

    Bank Recapitalization Fund

    Securitization

    Credit GuaranteeCorporationCreditenhancement

    Bank A Bank B Bank DBank C

    Loan

    Subordinatedsecuritized

    securities

    Preerred shares,hybrid bonds,

    subordinated bonds

    Recapitalization

    Source: Financial Services Commission.

    7KH%DQNHFDSLWDOL]DWLRQXQGZDVQDQFHGE\D:WULOOLRQORDQH[WHQGHGE\WKH

    Bank of orea along with 2 trillion from the orea evelopment Bank. he und would

    securitize its investment on bank debentures and raise 8 trillion from institutional

    investors. he structure of the Bank ecapitalization und was carefully designed to

    minimize the concerns about the use of taxpayers money that would inevitably invite

    debate on government control over the normally run private banks. hanks to the legal

    DQGQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQDOLQIUDVWUXFWXUHVXFKDVWKHLQWURGXFWLRQRIWKHVHFXULWL]DWLRQODZV

    WKDWWKHRUHDQJRYHUQPHQWGHYHORSHGDIWHUWKHQDQFLDOFULVLVLQWKHLQWURGXFWLRQ

    of the und was made possible.

    n retrospect, the Bank ecapitalization und was a success story. t provided a

    safeguard to banks against possible substantial losses, yet the safeguard was never

    XVHGDQGGLGQRWFDXVHDQ\VFDOEXUGHQ+RZHYHUIURPDQXDU\WKHPHGLDZURQJO\

    categorized the policy as a failure on the ground that banks seldom utilized the und.

    WZDVGLIFXOWWRH[SODLQWKDWWKHEHVWLQVXUDQFHSROLF\LVWKHRQHWKDWLVQRWXVHG

    nfortunately, the government could not stand public criticism and mandated the banks to

    use the und, urging them to extend loans to small and medium enterprises and the poor.

    he policy to protect the soundness of the banking system thus turned to be part of the

    expansionary and redistribution policy packages.

    Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea | 11

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    D. Corporate Restructuring

    QHRIWKHPDQ\YLWDOOHVVRQVWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDOHDUQHGIURPWKHQDQFLDO

    FULVLVLVWKDWSUHHPSWLYHFRUSRUDWHUHVWUXFWXULQJLVFUXFLDOWRPLQLPL]HWKHFRVWRIQDQFLDO

    restructuring and employment adjustment. As economic conditions deteriorated further,problems in the construction and shipbuilding industries got worse from ecember. n

    IDFWHYHQEHIRUHWKHRQVHWRIWKHFULVLVPDQ\FRQVWUXFWLRQFRPSDQLHVKDGQDQFLDO

    GLIFXOWLHVGXHWRWKHLURYHUH[SDQVLRQGXULQJWKHKRXVLQJERRPSHULRGV6KLSEXLOGLQJ

    companies were severely hit by the rapid drop of logistics transactions due to the

    FROODSVHLQZRUOGWUDGHWKHVLJQLFDQWFDSLWDOORVVGXHWRH[FKDQJHUDWHGHSUHFLDWLRQDQG

    their high leverage in foreign currency-denominated debts.

    owever, many troubled companies were still muddling through, barely surviving the

    GLUHFRQGLWLRQV\HWKDGQRWOHGIRUEDQNUXSWF\7KH\ZHUHFUHDWLQJXQFHUWDLQWLHVLQWKH

    PDUNHWDQGDEVRUELQJOLTXLGLW\IXUWKHUDJJUDYDWLQJWKHFUHGLWFUXQFK%XWXQOLNHWKHFDVH

    in 199, the government could not initiate direct corporate restructuring as most of theUPVZHUHQRWRIFLDOO\QRQYLDEOHQVWHDGWKHJRYHUQPHQWKDGWRIDFLOLWDWHWKHFRUSRUDWH

    UHVWUXFWXULQJSURFHVVWKURXJKFUHGLWRUQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQV&UHGLWRUQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQV

    were asked to jointly evaluate the credit risks of corporations in the struggling industries

    VXFKDVFRQVWUXFWLRQDQGVKLSEXLOGLQJ7KHFRUSRUDWLRQVZHUHFODVVLHGLQWRIRXUJURXSV

    DFFRUGLQJWRWKHLUIXWXUHYLDELOLWLHVJURXS$QRUPDOJURXS%WHPSRUDU\OLTXLGLW\

    VKRUWDJHJURXS&VKRZLQJVLJQVRILQVROYHQF\EXWYLDEOHDQGJURXS'QRQYLDEOH

    'LIIHUHQWDFWLRQVZHUHWKHQWDNHQIRUHDFKJURXS&RUSRUDWLRQVFODVVLHGDVJURXS$DQG

    JURXS%FDQUHFHLYHIXUWKHUOLTXLGLW\VXSSRUWZKLOHFRUSRUDWLRQVLQJURXS&DQGJURXS

    are placed under workout programs and bankruptcy procedures, respectively. he

    JRYHUQPHQWHYHQHQDFWHGWKHDVW7UDFNVHUYLFHWRH[SHGLWHWKHFODVVLFDWLRQSURFHVV

    &RUSRUDWLRQVFDQYROXQWHHUWREHFODVVLHGE\WKHFUHGLWRUQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVVRWKDWWKH\FRXOGEHSODFHGXQGHUUHVWUXFWXULQJSURJUDPVRUUHFHLYHSURSHUOLTXLGLW\VXSSRUW

    expeditiously. ne of the lessons that the orean government learned from the 199

    crisis was the importance of coordinating creditor institutions joint decisions in order to

    DYRLGGHOD\VLQFRUSRUDWHUHVWUXFWXULQJDQGWKHFRQVHTXHQWODUJHUVRFLDOFRVWV

    IV. Lessons rom the 1997 and 2008 Crises

    A. Comparison o Macro Policy Responses

    1. Monetary Policy

    he monetary policy stance taken by advanced economies in the recent global crisis was

    TXLWHGLIIHUHQWIURPWKRVHSUHVFULEHGWRWKHHSXEOLFRIRUHDE\WKHGXULQJWKH

    12 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    crisis. n 199, the Bank of orea had to raise the base interest rates from approximately

    WRDOPRVWDVSDUWRIWKHDGXVWPHQWSURJUDPDQ\RUHDQVWKHQEHOLHYHG

    that the higher interest rates ultimately aggravated the banking crisis and led to deep

    FRQWUDFWLRQVLQHFRQRPLFDFWLYLW\7KH\TXHVWLRQHGZK\DGYDQFHGHFRQRPLHVGLGQRW

    adopt the same tight monetary policy in 2008.

    WKHUWKLQJVEHLQJHTXDOZKHQDFXUUHQF\FULVLVLVWULJJHUHGE\DSOXPPHWLQJYDOXHRI

    the currency, central banks in emerging market economies are faced with a dilemma of

    monetary policy directions. f the central bank raises interest rates to encourage capital

    LQRZVLWPD\EHDEOHWRGHIHQGWKHFXUUHQF\+RZHYHUKLJKHULQWHUHVWUDWHVZRXOG

    deteriorate the balance sheets of banks and corporations, leading to a severe economic

    downturn and possibly banking crisis. n the other hand, if the central bank lowers

    interest rates, it may not be able to maintain the value of its currency.

    QWKHEHOLHYHGWKDWWKHWRSSROLF\SULRULW\VKRXOGEHWRUHVWRUHFRQGHQFHLQ

    the currency market in the epublic of orea and insisted that interest rates be raised toUHVXPHFDSLWDOLQRZVGHVSLWHLWVQHJDWLYHHIIHFWVRQWKHEDQNLQJDQGFRUSRUDWHVHFWRUV

    n fact, the 199 crisis was regional while the 2008 crisis was truly global. o global

    investor could afford to invest abroad at this time as they had to take care of their internal

    SUREOHPVUVW7KXVLQOLQHZLWKPRQHWDU\HDVLQJLQRWKHUFRXQWULHVWKH%DQNRIRUHD

    ZDVDEOHWRFXWLQWHUHVWUDWHVZLWKRXWDVLJQLFDQWLPSDFWRQFDSLWDORZV

    arge foreign reserves and the lessons learned in 199 in foreign reserve management

    played an important role in 2008. Cho 2010) argues that the most important factor that

    led to different foreign reserve situations was the governments approach to the foreign

    exchange market. n 199, the government misunderstood that it could, probably should,

    control the foreign exchange market, and actually attempted to engineer a smooth andorderly depreciation from the beginning of 199. his approach, however, only invited

    currency speculations and catalyzed reserve depletion in the end. n 2008, in contrast,

    the government let the exchange rate adjust to the shock rather than waste foreign

    UHVHUYHVZKLFKHYHQWXDOO\VDYHGWKHH[LELOLW\RIPRQHWDU\SROLF\

    he high interest rate policy contributed to corporate restructuring after 199. n 199,

    major corporations in the epublic of orea were heavily indebted and their average

    GHEWWRFDSLWDOUDWLRZDVZHOODERYH6XEVWDQWLDOIRUHLJQDQGGRPHVWLFFXUUHQF\

    debts made them vulnerable to a sharp depreciation in exchange rates and a sharp

    increase in domestic interest rates. owever, in 2008, corporate sector debt was not a

    serious risk factor. t was household liability that caused more concern.

    2. Fiscal Policy

    7KHH[SDQVLRQDU\VFDOVWDQFHGXULQJWKHFULVLVLVSDUDOOHOWRWKHSROLF\UHDFWLRQV

    during the 199 crisis, ex postCho 2010). owever, in terms of timeliness, there is a

    Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea | 13

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    noteworthy difference. ollowing the Ms recommendation, the orean government

    initially maintained a balanced budget when the currency crisis was triggered in 199.

    $IWHUDVHYHUHUHFHVVLRQHPHUJHG LQPLG WKHEXGJHWGHFLWZDVDOORZHGDQG

    gradually expanded as the recession deepened. n the 2008 crisis, in contrast, the

    RUHDQJRYHUQPHQWDQQRXQFHGVFDOH[SDQVLRQDVVRRQDVWKHJOREDOFULVLVZDVXQGHUZD\DQGFDUULHGRXWDVFDOVWLPXOXVSDFNDJHLPPHGLDWHO\$VXSSOHPHQWDU\EXGJHWRI

    10 trillion was implemented in ovember 2008, and an additional supplementary budget

    of 28.4 trillion was drawn up by March 2009. Considering the time lags common to

    VFDOSROLF\HIIHFWVWKHHDUO\H[HFXWLRQRIVFDOVSHQGLQJLQPXVWKDYHFRQWULEXWHG

    to economic stabilization. n this sense, the orean experience in 2008 demonstrated that

    PRUHSURPSWH[SDQVLRQDU\VFDOSURJUDPVLQVKRXOGKDYHEHHQLPSOHPHQWHGZKHQ

    they were needed most in order to offset the inevitable slowdown in economic growth.

    he orean case in 199 was different from the peripheral countries in urope in 2008.

    7KHHSXEOLFRIRUHDLQKDGPRUHVFDOVSDFHWRXWLOL]H

    B. Bilateral Swaps, Foreign Reserves,and Global Financial Saety Nets

    3UREDEO\WKHPRVWGLIFXOWOHVVRQWKDWPDQ\HPHUJLQJHFRQRPLHVLQ$VLDOHDUQHGIURPWKH

    WZRFULVHVLVWRUHFRQUPWKHEHOLHIWKDWPRUHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJHUHVHUYHVLVEHWWHU$IWHU

    H[SHULHQFLQJVXGGHQUHYHUVDOVRIFDSLWDORZVDQGWKHFRQVHTXHQWVRFLDOORVVLQ

    Asian emerging economies started to accumulate foreign reserves aggressively. n the

    SDVWVXGGHQUHYHUVDOVRIFDSLWDORZVZHUHW\SLFDOO\DVVRFLDWHGZLWKSUREOHPVLQWHUQDO

    to the emerging market countries, such as mismanagement of the macroeconomy and

    ZHDNQDQFLDOUHJXODWRU\V\VWHPV$FFXPXODWLQJIRUHLJQUHVHUYHVLVLQWHQGHGWREHD

    SDUWRISUHFDXWLRQDU\SROLFLHVWRFRYHUXQH[SHFWHGRXWRZVLQWLPHVRIFULVHV7KH

    FULVLVKRZHYHUGUDPDWLFDOO\GHPRQVWUDWHGWKDWWKHUHFRXOGEHRWKHUFDXVHVRIFDSLWDORZ

    UHYHUVDOVDJDLQVWZKLFKSXUHO\GRPHVWLFVDIHJXDUGVGRQRWSURYLGHVXIFLHQWGHIHQVH

    he 2008 crisis had its origins in advanced economies against the backdrop of the

    VXESULPHFULVLV7KHVHHYHQWVUHVXOWHGLQWLJKWHQHGOLTXLGLW\FRQGLWLRQVLQLWLDOO\LQWKH

    QDQFLDOFHQWHUVRIDGYDQFHGFRXQWULHVDQGWKHQHYHQWXDOO\LQHPHUJLQJPDUNHWV$VD

    result, Asian policy makers came to the conclusion that countries need to keep even

    larger amounts of foreign exchange reserves. he fact that countries with larger reserves

    generally fared better in the recent crisis may have further strengthened their belief.

    n particular, small open economies, which are highly dependent upon international trade

    IRUWKHLUHFRQRPLFJURZWKDUHPRVWOLNHO\WRQHHGVXIFLHQWO\ODUJHIRUHLJQH[FKDQJH

    UHVHUYHVWRVKLHOGWKHLUHFRQRPLHVIURPDGYHUVHH[WHUQDOVKRFNV:KHQH[WHUQDOQDQFH

    LVQRORQJHUDYDLODEOHWKHFRXQWULHVFRXOGVXIIHUIURPGU\LQJXSRIWUDGHQDQFHZKLFK

    in turn may lead to a severe downturn of exports and imports, and ultimately, of the

    whole economy. aced with extreme uncertainties about the duration of the global crisis,

    therefore, the epublic of orea could not afford to actively use its foreign exchange

    14 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    reserves, which would be its last resort to guard against constrained external trade

    QDQFLQJLQWKHZRUVWFDVH

    +RZHYHUKROGLQJODUJHDQGH[FHVVLYHUHVHUYHVLVTXLWHFRVWO\GRPHVWLFDOO\DQGJOREDOO\

    he reserves are often held in safe assets that yield low returns, thus the opportunitycosts are not negligible. t is important to note that the costs of such policies are not

    only borne by the individual countries holding them. After all, holding excess reserves in

    safe assets diverts resources from other productive uses with potentially higher returns,

    which could contribute to global growth. t also contributes to widening global imbalances,

    LQHYLWDEO\LQWHQVLI\LQJLQWHUQDWLRQDOWUDGHFRQLFWV

    o reduce the excessive precautionary motive for accumulating large reserves, countries

    whose currencies are international reserves have to bear more responsibility in providing

    JOREDOOLTXLGLW\LQSDUWLFXODUIRUWUDGHQDQFHDWOHDVWLQFDVHVZKHUHWKHRULJLQVRI

    shocks start from the center. hat is why the epublic of orea promoted the agenda

    RIVWUHQJWKHQLQJ*OREDOLQDQFLDO6DIHW\HWVLQWKH*6XPPLWLQ$WUVWWKHepublic of orea wanted to institutionalize the bilateral swap arrangements with the

    HGHUDOHVHUYH(YHQWKRXJKWKH\ZHUHYHULHGWREHYHU\HIIHFWLYHGXULQJWKH

    crisis, bilateral swap arrangements have limitations as credible and secure sources of

    IRUHLJQFXUUHQF\OLTXLGLW\GXHWRWKHLUWHPSRUDU\DGKRFDQGSROLWLFDOQDWXUHQGHHG

    most major central banks were resistant to this idea, pointing out that bilateral swaps can

    cause serious moral hazard problems. As a politically feasible second best option, the

    20 focused on the Ms new ex ante crisis-prevention lending toolkit by establishing

    the multicountry lexible Credit ine and the recautionary Credit ine. owever, in

    the future, in order to effectively reduce excess reserve accumulation by emerging

    economies, the role of central banks with reserve currencies should be reexamined

    DQGWKHLUFROODERUDWLRQZLWKWKHVQHZOHQGLQJIDFLOLWLHVDQGWKHUHJLRQDOQDQFLDOarrangements such as the Multilateralized Chiang Mai nitiative Mechanism should be

    further explored.

    C. Banking versus Capital Market Development

    6LQFHWKHFULVLVZDVWULJJHUHGE\QDQFLDOH[FHVVHVLQFDSLWDOPDUNHWVLQDGYDQFHG

    countries, capital market development, including investment banking, derivatives, and

    securitization, suddenly became bad words. he ashington consensus and free

    capitalism came under attack even in advanced economies. here were loud calls for

    VWURQJHUQDQFLDOUHJXODWLRQDUHWXUQWREDVLFEDQNLQJDQGDQDYHUVLRQWRFRPSOH[

    instruments in the capital market.

    But these were inconsistent with the message that Asian countries heard after the

    199 crisis. Back then, policy prescriptions emphasized capital market development,

    GHUHJXODWLRQDQGSULYDWL]DWLRQQHRIWKHIUHTXHQWO\VXJJHVWHGXQGHUO\LQJFDXVHVRI

    WKHFULVLVZDVWKHGRXEOHPLVPDWFKSUREOHPFXUUHQF\PLVPDWFKDQGPDWXULW\

    Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea | 15

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    mismatch between assets and liabilities in the bank balance sheets. As the epublic of

    RUHDDQGPRVWRIWKHRWKHU$VLDQFRXQWULHVKDGEDQNGRPLQDWHGQDQFLDOV\VWHPVWKH

    maturity mismatch was inevitable since banks made long-term loans and funded them

    by issuing short-term deposits. he 199 experience highlighted that the social costs of

    such a system were unnecessarily large, and the necessity of developing capital marketsbecame an important policy task. t is better to have a bicycle rather than a monocycle for

    DQDQFLDOV\VWHPQDGGLWLRQWRWKHEDQNLQJV\VWHPDZHOOIXQFWLRQLQJFDSLWDOPDUNHWLV

    necessary for longer maturity options and wider risk sharing by the market.

    ince the 199 crisis, Asian countries have attempted to reduce their dependence on

    banks and to develop capital markets, particularly local currency bond markets. his is

    demonstrated by the Asian bond market initiatives of the AA. ndeed, although

    $VLDQQDQFLDOPDUNHWVDUHFXUUHQWO\VWLOOEDQNGRPLQDWHG FDSLWDOPDUNHWVDQGQRQEDQN

    QDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVKDYHJURZQVLJQLFDQWO\WKDQNVWRJRYHUQPHQWVHIIRUWVWRLQWURGXFH

    OHJDODQGQDQFLDOLQIUDVWUXFWXUHVIRUFDSLWDOPDUNHWGHYHORSPHQWDQGWRODUJHVDYLQJV

    DQGSHQVLRQIXQGVLQWKHUHJLRQRULQVWDQFHDVVHWVL]HRIQRQEDQNQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVURVHIURPRI*'3LQWRLQ6WRFNPDUNHWFDSLWDOL]DWLRQDOVR

    LQFUHDVHGIURPWRRI*'3DQGWRWDOERQGVRXWVWDQGLQJJUHZIURP

    WRRI*'3GXULQJWKHVDPHSHULRG7KRXJKVWLOOUHODWLYHO\VPDOOFRPSDUHGWR

    DGYDQFHGHFRQRPLHVWKHPDUNHWKDVDFKLHYHGVLJQLFDQWJURZWKVLQFH

    After the crisis in 2008, Asian policy makers were at a loss. hould Asia continue to

    develop its capital market or should its small local banking system be regarded as a

    virtue to keep? But this may not be the right lesson for Asia to take away from the global

    QDQFLDOFULVLVIZHGRQRWOHDUQKRZWR\WKHUHZLOOEHQRSODQHFUDVKHV

    n efforts to avoid the middle income trap, Asias industrial structure will need to becomePRUHFRPSOH[UHTXLULQJPRUHULVN\SURHFWVI$VLDGRHVQRWGHYHORSFDSLWDOPDUNHWV

    banks will inevitably be responsible for supplying funds to high value-added industries

    such as information technology, biotechnology, and green growth industries, which

    intrinsically carry higher risks and greater uncertainties. overnments will be hard-

    pressed to provide guarantees, in effect transferring the risks to the public sector. Capital

    market development in the region will diversify risk concentration in banking sectors,

    SURPRWHHIFLHQWULVNDOORFDWLRQDQGWKXVFDQVXSSRUWIXWXUHHFRQRPLFJURZWKHYHQ

    though it intrinsically carries more risks.

    n fact, efforts in the last decade to develop the capital market in the epublic of orea

    contributed a lot to its recovery from the crisis in 2008. n 199, capital in the epublic ofRUHDVQDQFLDOPDUNHWZDVPRVWO\VDIHW\VHHNLQJEDQNFDSLWDO$VDUHVXOWWKHRXWEUHDN

    RIWKH$VLDQQDQFLDOFULVLVOHGWRUDSLGZLWKGUDZDORIH[LVWLQJOLTXLGLW\%XWLQ

    QRQEDQNQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVVXFKDVSHQVLRQIXQGVYDULDEOHLQVXUDQFHFRPSDQLHVDQG

    SULYDWHHTXLW\IXQGVVHUYHGDVDSURSDJDLQVWDVXGGHQGHFOLQHLQWKHFDSLWDOPDUNHWV

    GHVSLWHDPDVVLYHIRUHLJQFDSLWDOLJKWWKHUHE\PDNLQJWKHVWRFNPDUNHWVPRUHUHVLOLHQW

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    Also, as explained in the previous section, the introduction of the Bank ecapitalization

    und was possible because the epublic of oreas capital markets have grown

    VLJQLFDQWO\VLQFH

    o, should Asia revert to a bank-dominated system? At this point, there is no consensus\HWEXW$VLDQHHGVWRQGLWVRZQDQVZHU:KDWLVWKHULJKWOHYHORIFDSLWDOPDUNHW

    development and how should regulation be enhanced to avoid the mistakes that

    advanced economies committed, which eventually led to the global crisis of 2008?

    robably, the lesson that we have to learn from the global crisis is that we need better

    QDQFLDOUHJXODWLRQQRWXVWPRUHDQGVWULFWHUUHJXODWLRQIZHEOLQGO\UDLVHUHJXODWLRQ

    levels on Asias banks that mainly focus on commercial banking activities, the Asian

    QDQFLDOPDUNHWPLJKWEHFRPHVDIHUEXWDOVRLWZLOOORVHDORWRIJURZWKRSSRUWXQLWLHV

    D. Financial Regulation rom Emerging Market Perspectives

    7KHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVXQGHUOLQHGWKHZHDNQHVVHVRIWKHJOREDOQDQFLDOPDUNHWDQGKDVOHGWRFDOOVIRUHQKDQFHGQDQFLDOPDUNHWUHJXODWLRQ+RZHYHU$VLDKDVJHQHUDOO\

    EHHQDE\VWDQGHUUDWKHUWKDQDQDFWLYHSDUWLFLSDQWLQWKHGLVFXVVLRQVRQJOREDOQDQFLDO

    UHJXODWRU\UHIRUPWRGHVLJQQHZVWDQGDUGVIRUQDQFLDOUHJXODWLRQ3DUWO\EHFDXVHLWV

    QDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVZHUHOHVVDIIHFWHGE\WKHJOREDOFULVLVDQGLWVFDSLWDOPDUNHWVZHUH

    less developed, the current discussions on most of the topical global issues such as

    UHJXODWLQJV\VWHPLFDOO\LPSRUWDQWQDQFLDOLQVWLWXWLRQVDQGUDLVLQJFDSLWDODGHTXDFLHVGR

    not seem currently relevant for them.

    owever, Asia must decide to more actively engage in the discussions for two reasons.

    irst, what is decided today will affect the region in the next decade or so. econd, even

    DWWKLVVWDJHWKHUHDUHPDQ\LPSRUWDQWXQLTXHDVSHFWVWKDWKDYHDODUJHULPSDFWRQAsia, but may not be properly discussed by advanced economies. ne example is how

    to regulate the foreign exchange liabilities of branches of foreign banks in Asia. his

    LVUHODWHGWRWKHFURVVERUGHUUHVROXWLRQPHFKDQLVPRIV\VWHPLFDOO\LPSRUWDQWQDQFLDO

    institutions. Another example is the accounting issue due to exchange rate volatility.

    he use of historical value versus market value accounting is one of the hot issues in

    redesigning international accounting standards, but the current focus in international

    discussions is more on stock price volatility. n Asia, however, volatility due to exchange

    rate changes can be more devastating in some countries. he regions experience during

    the 199 crisis and the epublic of oreas experience during the recent global crisis are

    other key examples of why Asian policy makers have to pay attention to this issue.

    Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea | 17

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    V. Conclusion

    7KLVSDSHUGHVFULEHVKRZWKHRUHDQHFRQRP\ZDVDIIHFWHGE\WKHJOREDOQDQFLDO

    crisis and how the government responded to the crisis. he paper also highlights many

    GLIIHUHQFHVLQWKHRUHDQVLWXDWLRQLQDQGDQGWKHFRQVHTXHQWLPSOLFDWLRQVRQFULVLVPDQDJHPHQWLQWHUPVRIPDFURHFRQRPLFSROLFLHVQDQFLDOSROLFLHVDQGFRUSRUDWH

    restructuring. Based on the orean experiences during the two crises, the paper raised

    several policy issues that might have regional implications for Asia. e argue that the role

    RIFHQWUDOEDQNVZLWKUHVHUYHFXUUHQFLHVVKRXOGEHUHH[DPLQHGDQGWKDWUHJLRQDOQDQFLDO

    safety nets such as the Multilateralized Chiang Mai nitiative should be strengthened. e

    also believe that Asia needs to continue its capital market development plans such as the

    $VLDQ%RQGDUNHWVQLWLDWLYH LQRUGHUWRXSJUDGH LWVQDQFLDOPDUNHWVGHVSLWHWKHUHFHQW

    JOREDOWUHQGWRZDUGVWURQJHUQDQFLDOUHJXODWLRQRQFDSLWDOPDUNHWVDIWHUWKHVXESULPH

    FULVLV:HVXJJHVWWKDW$VLDVKRXOGDFWLYHO\SDUWLFLSDWHLQJOREDOGLVFXVVLRQVRQQDQFLDO

    regulations, incorporate regional perspectives in global rule-setting, and emphasize the

    EDODQFHGDSSURDFKEHWZHHQVWDELOLW\DQGJURZWKRIQDQFLDOPDUNHWVDQGLQGXVWULHVFRQVLGHULQJWKHVWLOOXQGHUGHYHORSHGVWDJHRI$VLDQQDQFLDOPDUNHWV

    uring the 199 crisis, Asia was devastated and had to comply with estern policy

    prescriptions, even if it was not in total agreement with their recommendations. n

    the recent global crisis, Asia was relatively immune. ndeed, the region led the global

    UHFRYHU\ZLWKLWVVWURQJJURZWKDQGTXLFNWXUQDURXQG$VVXFK$VLDLVQRZLQDEHWWHU

    SRVLWLRQWRTXHVWLRQWKHWUDGLWLRQDOZLVGRPLPSRVHGRQWKHPE\DGYDQFHGHFRQRPLHV

    in the past. n fact, advanced economies themselves did not use the old prescriptions

    signed off to Asia in 199.

    he positive side to this is that Asia can contribute to global knowledge from its

    own experience during the two crises. owever, Asia has not developed an Asian

    consensus yet. his paper suggests some areas where Asia needs to develop its own

    stance, whether it is consistent with old wisdom or not, in many issues such as crisis

    PDQDJHPHQWUHVHUYHDFFXPXODWLRQFDSLWDOPDUNHWGHYHORSPHQWDQGSURSHUQDQFLDO

    regulation. n 199, Asia adopted voluntarily and involuntarily the estern textbook. After

    2008, it recognized the problems of that prescription. But we still do not know which part

    is right and which part we have to abandon as we have never written our own textbook.

    erhaps now is the right time to do so.

    18 | ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 298

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    Cho, . 2010. esponses of the orean conomy to the lobal Crisis Another CurrencyCrisis? aper presented at the C/ Conference on lobal conomic Crisis mpacts,7UDQVPLVVLRQDQGHFRYHU\$XJXVW+RQROXOX

    erlach, ., and . mets. 1995. Contagious peculative Attacks. European Journal of PoliticalEconomy

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    aminsky, ., and C. einhart. 2000. n Crises, Contagion, and Confusion. Journal ofInternational Economics

    awai, M., and . akagi. 2009. hy was apan it o ard by the lobal inancial Crisis? ABorking aper o. 15, Asian evelopment Bank nstitute, okyo.

    ee, . 2010. he reat rade Collapse and Contraction of xports in orea during the lobalCrisis. aper presented at the C/ Conference on lobal conomic Crisis mpacts,7UDQVPLVVLRQDQGHFRYHU\$XJXVW+RQROXOX

    ee . ., and C. hee. 200. Crisis and ecovery hat e ave earned from the outhorean xperiences?Asian Economic Policy Review

    einhart, C., and . ogoff. 2010. rowth in a ime of ebt. American Economic Review:Papers and Proceedings

    sutsumi, M., . ones, and . Cargill. 2010. he orean inancial ystem vercoming thelobal inancial Crisis and Addressing emaining roblems. C orking aper o. 9,rganisation for conomic Co-operation and evelopment, aris.

    an ijckeghem, C., and B. eder. 2001. ources of Contagion s it inance or rade? Journalof International Economics

    Lessons from the 1997 and the 2008 Crises in the Republic of Korea | 19

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    About the PaperHangyong Lee and Changyong Rhee describe how the 2008 global crisis spilled overto the economy of the Republic of Korea and how the government responded to thefinancial turmoil. They also provide the background and rationale for the governmentsdecisions to adopt specific policy measures. Based on Korean experiences during the1997 and 2008 crises, they document the lessons learned and identify several important

    policy issues that might have regional implications for Asia.

    About the Asian Development BankADBs vision is an Asia and Pacific region free of poverty. Its mission is to help itsdeveloping member countries reduce poverty and improve the quality of life of theirpeople. Despite the regions many successes, it remains home to two-thirds of theworlds poor: 1.8 billion people who live on less than $2 a day, with 903 millionstruggling on less than $1.25 a day. ADB is committed to reducing poverty throughinclusive economic growth, environmentally sustainable growth, and regionalintegration.

    Based in Manila, ADB is owned by 67 members, including 48 from the region. Its

    main instruments for helping its developing member countries are policy dialogue, loans,equity investments, guarantees, grants, and technical assistance.

    Asian Development Bank6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City1550 Metro Manila, Philippineswww.adb.org/economicsISSN: 1655-5252Publication Stock No. WPS124433

    January 2012

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