Lebanese Energy Statistics: A Decade in Review 2001-2010 Dr. Joseph Al Assad

Lebanese Energy Statistics: A Decade in

Review 2001-2010

Dr. Joseph Al Assad

Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance

Lebanese Energy Flow Model

Lebanese Energy Indicators

Obstacles to the Lebanese Energy Balance

Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 2/35

Energy Statistics

Indicators

Accounts and Balances

Basic Statistics

Data Collection


Importance of Energy Statistics

• Global picture of energy situation in a country

• Quality check on the data

• Comparison with other countries

• Starting point for the calculation of CO2 emissions and indicators

• Great help for decision makers

• Clear view of energy security and the country’s dependencies

• Corner stone for energy efficiency policies


Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance





Supply Consumption

Energy Balance


• Are a compact source of energy information

• Require good quality statistics

• Enable accurate check of energy flows

• Are the foundation for basic energy indicators, energy accounts and for CO2

emissions estimates

Good Energy Balances



MEDSTAT Energy Balance

Primary Energy Transformation Secondary Energy Final Consumption

Energy Flow Diagram

9/35

Primary Vs. Secondary Energy

Used in its raw form

Maybe transformed

Coal - Crude Oil

Wind - Solar

Geothermal

Nuclear

Biomass

Resulting from a

transformation

Gasoline

Liquid gas

Asphalt

Kerosene

Electricity


Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance





PG

Electricity

EDLElectricity

Final Energ

y C

onsu

mp

tion

LG

Hydro

Kerosene

Asphalt

SE Import

Gasoline

FO

GO

SWH

Lebanese Energy Flow Diagram

Industry

Private

Public

Private

Public

Energ

y Im

port

Transport

Residential

Non Energy

Heating

Cooling

12/35

3049 KWh/year for 208 litters systems

1089 KWh/year/m2

20000 m2

increase for 2005-2010

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

$0

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

Primary Energy Consumption

≈ 43000 m2 for 2011

≈ 31000 m2 in 2012Dr. Joseph Al Assad - BEF 2012 13/35

Secondary Energy Import

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1600000

1800000

Year

Gas

oli

ne

Imp

ort

(TO

E)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Year

Ker

ose

ne

Imp

ort

(TO

E)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Year

Liq

uid

Gas

Im

po

rt(T

OE

)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Year

Asp

hal

t Im

po

rt(T

OE

)


Gas Oil

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

Year

GO

Im

po

rt(T

OE

)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000Private Use

EDL Use

Year

GO

Co

nsu

mp

tio

n(T

OE

) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102,000.00

2,500.00

3,000.00

3,500.00

4,000.00

4,500.00

5,000.00

5,500.00

6,000.00

6,500.00

7,000.00

Year

To

tal

GO

Ele

ctri

c G

ener

atio

n (

GW

h)


Fuel Oil

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

Year

Liq

uid

Gas

Im

po

rt(T

OE

)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

1400000

1600000

1800000Private Use

EDL Use

Year

Liq

uid

Gas

Im

po

rt(T

OE

) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100.00

1,000.00

2,000.00

3,000.00

4,000.00

5,000.00

6,000.00

Year

To

tal

FO

Ele

ctri

c G

ener

atio

n (

GW

h)


Hydroelectricity

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Year

Hy

dro

ele

ctr

icit

y(G

Wh

)


Electricity Import

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

EgyptSyria

Year

Ele

ctr

icit

y I

mp

ort

s(G

Wh

)


Plan

Energy Statistics

Energy Balance





Lebanese Energy Statistics

Indicators

Accounts & Balances

Basic Statistics

Data Collection


2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

% Asphalt TOE% FO TOE% Kerosene TOE% Gasoil TOE% Liquid Gas TOE% of Gasoline TOE

Year

%

Shares of Fuel Sources


2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Year

Tota

l Fue

l Im

port

(kgO

E pe

r cap

ita)

Fuel Import per Capita


2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20102100

2200

2300

2400

2500

2600

2700

2800

2900

2,418.76

2,557.672,535.552,521.612,530.08

2,425.872,474.17

2,649.81

2,738.70

2,861.04

Year

Gros

s Ele

ctric

ity P

ower

(kW

h/ca

pita

)

Electricity Consumption per Capita


2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

0.00

209,456.17226,051.58235,948.04239,683.66

226,649.72231,629.44245,671.43251,796.17

267,360.19

Year

Tota

l Ele

ctric

ity B

illin

g(L

BP/c

apita

, inc

. VAT

)

EDL Bill per Capita


2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Year

Tota

l Hyd

raul

ic E

lect

ricity

(kW

h/ca

pita

)

Hydroelectricity per Capita


10%

43%

47%

2005

Hydraulic Electricity GenerationGas Oil Electricity GenerationFuel Oil Electricity Generation

4%

35%

61%

2001


7%

40%54%

2002


13%

48%

39%

2003


11%

48%

42%

2004


7%

55%

38%

2006


6%

57%

38%

2007


3%

62%

35%

2008


5%

57%

38%

2009


7%

56%

37%

2010


Electricity Shares


Imported Vs. Generated

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Imported Electricity

Generated Electricity


Electricity Self Dependency

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%


Plan

Energy Balance


Energy Indicators


Energy Statistics


Choice of Units

MBtu

KWh

Mtoe

TJ

Mtce

Mboe


Choice of Conversion Factors

Fuel type

Fuel source

Definition of electricity conversion factors (FO, GO) 0.086Mtoe/TWh ????

Electricity imports


Data Availability

Difficult access to key sources and contacts

Unharmonized definitions

Shadow energy data (PG)

Complex energy flows

Interference between players’ authorities


Data Availability


PG

Electricity

EDLElectricity

Final Energ

y C

onsu

mp

tion

LG

Hydro

Kerosene

Asphalt

SE Import

Gasoline

FO

GO

SWH

Data Availability

Industry

Private

Public

Private

Public

Pri

mary

Energ

y

Transport

Residential

Non Energy

Heating

Cooling

??????

???

???

???

???

???

???

???

???

34/35

Thank You!

The Lebanese Center for Energy Conservation (LCEC)

Ministry of Energy and Water- Corniche du Fleuve- First Floor- Room 303

Telephone: 01-569101

01-565108

Email: [email protected]


mailto:[email protected]

Documents

Lebanese Energy Statistics: A Decade in Review 2001-2010 Dr. Joseph Al Assad