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Leapfrog Now!
The 9th Herzliya ConferenceFebruary 2009
Large Gap in Quality of Life
Israel: leads export of Human Capital
Economist: Israel is 38th
Leapfrog is essential!
Developed Countries
Israel
What’s the problem?What’s the problem?
Real Danger of Collapse
LeapfrogLeapfrog
This vision requires a social and economic leapfrog that closes the gap in quality of life
between Israel and developed countries.
ISRAEL15 Vision: Transforming Israel into one of the leading 15 countries in quality of
life
Israel is Growing but not LeapfroggingIsrael is Growing but not Leapfrogging
Ireland
South Korea
0.
2.
4.
6.
8
Inco
me
Per
Cap
ita
Rel
ati
ve
to U
S
USA = 1
Western Europe
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2007
Source: Prof. R. Hausmann
Israel Leapt 1950-1970
Ireland
South Korea
Western Europe
Israel has not closed the gap
Korea and Ireland have Leapt
Growth Relative to the US (1950-2007)
30% of the US
60% of the US
Brosh & Eini, a new pact?
New gov’t2 stable years
Crisis breeds willingness
Unique Opportunity
Growth, Accelerated Growth, and LeapfrogGrowth, Accelerated Growth, and Leapfrog
Source: Prof. R. Hausmann et al., Growth Accelerations
Only 13 ‘Economic Miracles’
Leapfrog
Growth: Nearly Everyone
02
46
8
Years
X X+8 X+25
GD
P G
row
th p
er
cap
ita
Source: World Bank, Growth Report
Accelerated Growth: 1 in 4
The Public Sphere is CriticalThe Public Sphere is Critical
תמונת עתיד רצויה
חסכון והשקעה
אליטה מחויבת
Flexicurity אמנה ביןמפלגתיתגלובלית וייחודית
Vision
Values
Leadership
Institutions
Industrial Policy
Labor Market
Public Sphere
A Shared Future
Central BrainTask Forces
Flexicurity
Unique & Global
Dedicated Elite
Savings & Investment
Labor Market PoliciesLabor Market Policies
Industry Labor
Government
Flexible Labor Markets
Human Capital
Enforcing Labor Laws
Flexible Labor Markets
Safety Net
Human Capital
CompetitivenessProtecting
Workers not Jobs
Industrial PolicyIndustrial Policy
Global Trends
Unique Global Industrial Policy
Unique Assets
StandardizationLegislationRegulationInfrastructureInt’l Agreements
Public InputsHistoric SitesDefense EstablishmentJewish World
Rise of ChindiaGlobal Water CrisisRenewable EnergyAgingRise of Africa
Israel is not talking LeapfrogIsrael is not talking Leapfrog
Policy Institutions
Domestic Industrial Policy
Labor Market: Pact for growth
Unique Global Industrial Policy
Local Government
No Vision
Local Government Necessary
Vision Necessary
Growth Leapfrog
Economics Multidisciplinary
Labor Market: Conflict
Israel Land AdministrationChief Scientist
Infrastructure Investment
Government FundsDesalination
Cutting Red-TapeInstitutional Reforms
The Candidates’ LanguageThe Candidates’ Language
Source: The Marker, 01.23.09
American Loan Guarantees
Lower Taxes
Negative Income Tax
Deficit Spending
Macroeconomic Policies
The Candidates’ LanguageThe Candidates’ Language
Source: The Marker, 01.23.09
The Language of LeapfrogLabor Market Policies
Local government is an engine of growth
Unique Global Industrial Policy
The Language of Growth
What do we do tomorrow?What do we do tomorrow?
The ISRAEL 15 Vision
Labor Market Pact
Unique Global Industrial Policy
Macroeconomic Stability
Local Economic Development
Central Mind
ISRAEL 15 Portal Guidelines for a Leapfrog
To be one of the leading 15 countries in quality of life
www.Israel15.org
National Obsession
Business Community
Philanthropy
Local Gov’t
Gov’t of Israel
Universities
Jewish World