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C O M P A N Y U P D A T E
India
17 Apr 2012 KPR Mill Rs 80.85
Sec to r : Text i le Underpower ed , but r eady to soar
Four-s reports are available on BLOOMBERG, Reuters, Thomson Publishers and Market Publishers
xxxo...
BSE Sensex 17,358
Nifty 5,290
52 week high (Rs) 194
52 week low (Rs) 77
Bloomberg KPR.IN
NSE Code KPRMILL
BSE Code 532889
Equity Shares (m)
37.68
Face Value (Rs) 10
Market Cap (Rs mn)
3,047
Share Price Performance %
KPR Sensex
1 week -1.3 0.7
1 month -4.0 -0.6
3 month -10.0 5.4
6 month -15.3 2.0
1 year -56.8 -10.5
Shareholding Pattern (Mar’11)%
Promoters 74.48
FIIs/ FVCIs 8.88
DII 1.08
Corporates 3.36
Others 12.5
KPR Mill has braved industry headwinds to report 15.4% growth in
9mFY12 revenues, EBITDA margin of 14.38% and PAT margin of 2.9%.
Tamil Nadu’s power crisis affected output in Q3FY12, resulting in reduced
utilization and delay in operations of new high-value compact yarn
spinning facilities, but the company managed to stay in black.
Compact Yarn capacity fully operational from January 5, 2012
KPR’s new capacity is fully operational from January 5, 2012, increasing
the Yarn capacity to 90,000MT p.a.
Power situation to improve after June
The power deficit in the state may continue till June when monsoon
arrives, and wind-mills produce power. Henceforth, we expect the
utilization to be in line with historical numbers. The state government has
already fast-tracked power projects.
We have revised downward revenue and PAT estimates for FY12. FY13 has
also been reduced on account of expected utilization drop due to state’s
power issues in Q1.
A cocktail of right fundamentals and future growth potential
With yarn capacity now increased by 60% to 90,000MT, KPR is poised to
reap rich benefits from textile demand revival.
KPR has the healthiest balance sheet among peers even with
recent capacity expansion, modernization and debt for Sugar Mill.
Growth drivers for FY13: FY13 will benefit from new high value-
add Compact Yarn capacity. Power self-sufficiency by H2FY13 will
save costs and ensure operations continuity year round. Sugar mill
operations will commence in Q3FY13. Textile sector will witness
revival as cotton prices have now stabilized worldwide.
We have revised our Mar’13 price target from Rs 240 to Rs 180, as
power shortage will result in underperformance in Q1FY13 too,
lowering the FY13 EBITDA and PAT margins.
Despite challenges in FY12, KPR remains a quality stock, and
amongst the best picks in the textile space. FY13 will see profit
revival and FY14 could see return to full profitability. At a likely
FY14 PE <2x, and D/E of <1x, KPR offers value at current price.
NL = Not Listed
FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12e FY'13e FY'14e
Revenue (Rs. Mn) 4,974 6,064 7,477 8,340 11,074 12,755 16,165 19,757
EBITDA (Rs. Mn) 1,359 1,384 1,097 1,641 2,493 1,786 2,942 3,996
PAT (Rs. Mn) 584 793 101 504 722 332 931 1,839
EBITDA margin (%) 27 23 15 20 23 14.0 18 20
Net margin (%) 11.7 13.1 1.4 6.0 6.5 2.6 5.8 9.3
ROE (%) 21 19 2 10 13 5 14 24
ROCE (%) 15 10 5 9 11 6 11 18
P/E Ratio (x) NL 4.6 7.7 8.3 9.7 9.5 3.3 1.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 5.3 6.7 5.1 5.0 5.5 6.9 3.9 2.2
D/E 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.3 0.8
Dividend Yield (%) NL 5.2 9.7 4.9 3.3 4.9 6.2 7.4
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 2
Performance Update
Underpowered in Q3FY12
Tamil Nadu power woes affect performance
TN power issues
have impacted
Coimbatore-based
manufacturing
facilities
Tamil Nadu is facing power shortage of ~4000MW leading to power
cuts of as high as five-six hours in daytime in areas like Coimbatore.
This has impacted the operations of manufacturing industries.
Tamil Nadu Generation and Distribution Ltd (TANGEDCO) estimates
power demand in Tamil Nadu to be around 11,500-12,500MW
growing by 10% on back of industrial capacity additions. The Supply
is pegged to be around 8,500MW at present, leaving the state with a
shortage of upto 4,000MW.
TANGEDCO has started a day per week as power holiday hitting the
Coimbatore textile industry with an estimated Rs 3bn production loss
per day. TN’s Distribution utility has demanded a 64% rise in energy
charges for FY13.
Q3 impacted due to reduced utilization
Q3FY12 utilization
reduced to 85%
due to power
shortage
KPR’s Q3 performance was affected as utilization reduced to 85%
from 90% levels. Also, KPR had to bear additional power cost of Rs
45mn has it sought to buy merchant power to partially fill the supply
gap.
KPR Mill Q3FY'12 Q2FY'12 Q-o-Q Q3FY'11 Y-0-Y
Operating Income 2,820 3,401 -17% 3,037 -7%
Raw Material costs 1,873 2,443 -23% 1,819 3%
Employee Cost 206 181 14% 253 -19%
Other Expenditure 310 312 -1% 262 19%
EBITDA 430 465 -7% 703 -39%
EBITDA Margin% 15.3% 13.7%
23.1% Depreciation 255 247 3% 191 34%
EBIT 175 218 -20% 512 -66%
Interest 133 122 9% 52 155%
Other Income 13 12 12% 6 136%
PBT 55 108 -49% 465 -88%
Tax 1 (2) -133% 129 -99%
PAT 54 110 -51% 336 -84%
PAT Margin % 1.9% 3.2%
11.1% Rs Mn
Q3 revenue declined 17% QoQ and PAT declined 51% QoQ. If we
exclude the MTM loss of Rs 122.4mn taken as other expenditure in
Q2, Q2FY12 EBITDA margin be 17.3%. Hence on a QoQ basis, there
was a decline in EBITDA margin as well.
Exports growing strongly
YTD FY12 revenues boosted by exports
YTD revenues up
15% YoY, Margins
KPR achieved a nine monthly revenue growth of 15% YoY, at par
with peer average. KPR’s exports increased 44.5% YoY and
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 3
impacted due to
industry issues
accounted for 35% of revenues compared to 27% in corresponding
period last year.
While Garment exports increased 14% YoY, KPR stepped up exports
of other products – Yarn and Fabrics in YTD FY12.
KPR Mill 9M FY'11 9M FY'12 YoY
Operating Income 8,072 9,314 15%
Raw Material costs 4,745 6,694 41%
Employee Cost 595 610 3%
Other Expenditure 716 671 -6%
EBITDA 2,016 1,339 -34%
EBITDA Margin% 25.0% 14.4% Depreciation 548 734 34%
EBIT 1,468 605 -59%
Interest 172 321 87%
Other Income 14 37 166%
PBT 1,310 320 -76%
Tax 367 50 -86%
PAT 942 270 -71%
PAT Margin % 11.7% 2.9%
Cotton situation normalises
While the 9m results show high cotton costs, this is more an impact
of Q1, when KPR took a Rs 278mn write-off due to sharp drop in
cotton prices. Since then, cotton prices trended towards to historical
trading range. Going forward, we expect raw material cost/sales to
come down to normal range of around 65%. For company yarn, the
ratio would be even better since it enjoys higher margins.
KPR has also taken an MTM expense of Rs 122.4mn in Q2FY12 due
to rupee depreciation.
The depreciation costs are higher on YoY basis as KPR revised the
depreciation charges on windmill after reassessment of useful life in
Q4FY11.
Monthly Average Prices of Benchmark Cotton Variety –
Shankar 6/4
Steep fall in
cotton prices in
Q1 resulted in
inventory write-
down of Rs
278mn. Prices
have maintained
at stable levels,
thereafter.
Source: Textile Corporation of India
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 4
High raw material prices lower industry
profitability
Raw Material
price volatility
affected entire
industry.
The higher raw material costs have lowered textile industry
profitability in this financial year. Average EBITDA margin of peer
group declined from 17.8% last year to 15.4% in 9mFY12.
*Consolidated results
**Q3 MTM loss excluded as KPR has not taken it to make results comparable, for
Arvind exceptional profit on sale of JV stake in Arvind Brands excluded
Negative margins excluded from average calculation
Revenue growth at par, profitability marginally lower
KPR’s revenue growth was at par with peer group in 9mFY12. Its
EBITDA was 100 basis points lower than the peer average and PAT
margins were ~200basis points lower than the peer group.
Four out of eleven peers posted losses in the period and four others
witnessed a decline in profitability.
Valuation – ttm multiples at premium
KPR is trading at a premium as far as its ttm EV/EBITDA and P/E
multiples are concerned, on account of lower profitability.
However, its EV/Sales and P/B multiples are at a discount of 28%
and 44% with respect to the peer group average.
Company
9mFY'12 YoY 9mFY'11 9mFY'12 9mFY'11
9mFY'12
reported
9mFY'12
Adj
Large Integrated Players
Alok Industries 61,581 48.1% 27.8% 28.5% 5.2% 1.6% 4.5%
Arvind Ltd.* 36,539 26.5% 13.1% 14.6% 3.7% 10.1% 5.9%
Vardhman 29,996 9.4% 25.0% 12.5% 12.0% 1.8% 1.8%
Bombay Rayon 19,388 23.5% 26.9% 26.0% 11.1% 8.5% 8.5%
Welspun India 18,602 18.4% 13.2% 16.5% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5%
Mid-Size Integrated Players
Nahar Spinning 12,277 17.6% 22.4% -2.9% 10.1% -9.9% -9.9%
Mandhana Industries 6,526 20.0% 19.1% 20.3% 9.1% 7.6% 7.6%
Mudra Lifestyle 1,632 -50.3% 12.3% -112.4% -1.4% -175.5% -175.5%
Garment Focused Exporters
House of Pearl Fashions* 18,814 20.7% 0.8% 2.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9%
Gokaldas Exports 7,259 -13.7% -2.9% -0.1% -7.3% -11.2% -10.5%
Celebrity Fashions 1,170 -13.3% -4.5% 2.1% -9.8% -9.3% -9.3%
Mean 15.7% 17.8% 15.4% 6.9% 5.0% 4.8%
KPR Mill* 9,314 15.4% 25.0% 14.4% 11.7% 2.9% 2.9%
Revenue (Rs mn) EBITDA Margin (%) Net Margin (%)
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 5
KPR trades at a
discount as far as
its P/B and EV/
Sales multiples
are concerned.
Note: CMP as of 17th April 2012, Outstanding shares as on 31st march 2012, except for
Alok Industries.
Projections and Price Target
We revise the revenue and PAT for FY12 and 13
Estimates are
revised due to
unexpected
power issues in
Coimbatore
We have revised our estimates for KPR Mill in FY12 and FY13 taking
the YTD performance and state’s power shortage into account.
While we had already projected a low margin of 4% for FY12, taking
into account the cotton price volatility, unforeseen factors such as
rupee depreciation and state power shortage has further affected
YTD performance. Hence, we further reduce the FY12 projections.
As the TN State power shortage will take some time to resolve, and
wind-power will get efficient in monsoon season, we can expect first
quarter of FY13 also to be impacted. Hence, we have downward
revised FY13 as well.
Fundamental growth drivers in place
Growth from higher value addition, increased exports
High-value Yarn
capacity addition
of 60% will be a
KPR has increased its yarn capacity by 60% with addition of high-
value compact yarn and melange yarn capacities. The compact yarn
unit has gone fully operational from 5th January, 2012. FY13e will
Company EV/Sales EV/EBITDA PE P/B D/E
(x) (x) (x) (x) Sep-11
Large Integrated Players
Alok Industries 1.3 4.6 3.3 0.5 3.1
Arvind Ltd. 0.9 6.5 7.8 1.2 1.5
Vardhman 0.9 5.8 7.0 0.7 1.2
Bombay Rayon 2.5 10.6 15.8 1.2 1.1
Welspun India 0.8 5.1 NM 0.5 2.5
Mid-Size Integrated Players
Nahar Spinning 0.8 35.1 NM 0.3 1.9
Mandhana Industries 1.5 8.2 12.5 2.2 1.6
Mudra Lifestyle 1.9 NM NM NM 24.2
Garment Focused Exporters
House of Pearl Fashions 0.2 6.2 5.8 0.3 0.9
Gokaldas Exports 0.6 NM NM 0.9 1.0
Celebrity Fashions 0.9 50.6 NM NM NM
Mean 1.1 6.7 8.7 0.9 1.6
KPR Mill 0.8 7.7 61.2 0.5 1.2
FY14e
Revised Previous Var% Revised Previous Var% Added
Revenue (Rs. Mn) 12,755 14,003 -9% 16,165 17,743 -9% 19,757
EBITDA (Rs. Mn) 1,786 2,231 -20% 2,942 3,472 -15% 3,996
PAT (Rs. Mn) 332 566 -41% 931 1,367 -32% 1,839
EBITDA margin (%) 14.0 15.9 18.2 19.6 20.2
Net margin (%) 2.6 4.0 5.8 7.7 9.3
FY12e FY13e
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 6
key growth driver
aided by
increased traction
in exports and
commencement of
Sugar Mill
operations
have the full benefit of added capacity.
KPR has gained traction in exports with FY08-11 CAGR of 28% to
reach ~Rs 3bn by FY11 by mainly exporting garments. In 9mFY12, it
has stepped up yarn exports as well, and achieved an exports growth
of 44.5% YoY. We expect the momentum to continue.
KPR Sugar Mills will also commence operations from H2FY12.
State’s Power Situation to improve by June 2012
TN State has fast-
tracked many
power projects,
and expects to
resolve the
shortage
TANGEDCO expects the power deficit to be overcome once wind-mill
generation increases from June 2012 onwards. Many new power
projects, including the Kudankulam Nuclear Power Project are
expected to be commissioned this year.
TN’s Chief Minister has also planned Udangudi Power Corporation’s
1,600MW project as a state government project and fast tracked it.
100% self-sufficiency in Power
With Co-Gen cum
Sugar Mill going
operational in
FY13 sugar
season, KPR will
get year around
self-sufficiency
While KPR is already meeting 75% of its power requirements through
Wind-Mills, its Co-gen cum Sugar Mill will give it 100% power self-
sufficiency in FY13. This will help it save on power costs (power
tariffs are expected to be increased this year) and increase its
utilization levels.
Compared to other peers, KPR will have a competitive advantage in
power.
Cotton costs have stabilized, expected to remain flat
World cotton prices have stabilized with Production expected to
surpass consumption in cotton season 2011-12. ICAC predicts world
cotton production to rise 7% YoY to 26.78MT in 2011-12 whereas
Global cotton mill use will remain stable at 23.73MT, significantly
lower than production.
As per Cotton Corporation of India, the area under cotton cultivation
will increase to 121.9 lakh hectares in 2011-12, an increase of 9.4%
YoY. Cotton Advisory Board predicts closing stock to increase by
14.5% in 2011-12 season at estimated production levels and
reduced mill consumption. Hence, cotton prices would face flat to
downward pressures.
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 7
Cotton prices are
expected to be
stable going
forward
Source: Office of Textile Commissioner
Valuation and Price target
KPR is trading at a P/E of 3.3x and EV/ EBITDA of 3.9X its FY13
numbers, much lower than peer average of 8.7x and 6.7x,
respectively.
At current prices, KPR gives a strong dividend yield as well.
Valuations will
restore to
historical levels
by end of FY13
We expect valuations to move towards historical numbers of 8x P/E
and 5X, EV/ EBITDA as industry challenges are mitigated. With
power situation expected to be normal from June 2012 onwards,
stable cotton prices and increase of utilization to normal numbers,
we expect KPR to cross Rs 180 per share mark by March 2013.
33.9
22.1
6.94.8
34.5
21.6
8.4
5.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Production Mill Use Exports Closing stock2010-11 2011-12
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 8
Financial Annexure
Profit & Loss Statement
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E FY14E
Net Sales 4,816 5,739 7,182 8,032 10,494 12,089 14,452 15,631
Other Operating Income 158 324 295 308 581 666 708 776
Revenue from Sugar Mill
1,005 3,350
Revenue from Operations 4,974 6,064 7,477 8,340 11,074 12,755 16,165 19,757
(Increase) / Decrease In
Stock In Trade & WIP (132) (47) 14 (119) (605) (335) 116 58
Consumption of Raw Materials 3,175 3,888 5,231 5,171 7,243 8,745 9,615 10,366
Manufacturing Expenses 230 152 216 344 431 440 526 568
Power and Fuel expenses - 193 236 261 336 575 609 442
Personnel Expenses 161 315 493 609 821 915 1,066 1,119 Administrative & Other Expenses 51 46 55 274 163 288 226 245 Selling & Distribution Expenses 131 133 134 160 192 219 262 283 MTM expenses done in Q2FY12
122
Expenses for Sugar Mill
804 2680
Total Expenses 3,615 4,679 6,380 6,699 8,581 10,969 13,224 15,761
EBITDA 1,359 1,384 1,097 1,641 2,493 1,786 2,942 3,996
Depreciation 364 470 560 705 1,257 952 1,311 1,316
EBIT 995 914 537 936 1,236 834 1,631 2,680
Other Income 16 88 29 31 21 49 84 109
Financial Expenses 209 176 384 273 323 440 474 338
PBT 802 826 183 693 934 443 1,241 2,451
Provision for Taxes 218 33 82 189 212 111 310 613 Profit after Tax before Minority Interest 584 793 101 504 722 332 931 1,839
Minorities Interest and Others - - - - - - -
Reported Net Profit 584 793 101 504 722 332 931 1,839
(Rs mn)
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 9
Common Size FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E FY14E
Net sales 96.8% 94.6% 96.1% 96.3% 94.8% 94.8% 89.4% 79.1%
Other Operating Income 3.2% 5.4% 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 5.2% 4.4% 3.9%
Sugar Mill Income 6.2% 17.0%
Revenue from Operations 100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
(Increase) / Decrease In Stock In Trade
-2.7% -0.8% 0.2% -1.4% -5.5% -2.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Consumption of Raw Materials 63.8% 64.1% 70.0% 62.0% 65.4% 68.6% 59.5% 52.5%
Manufacturing expenses 4.6% 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 3.3% 2.9%
Power and Fuel expenses 0.0% 3.2% 3.2% 3.1% 3.0% 4.5% 3.8% 2.2%
Personnel expenses 3.2% 5.2% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.6% 5.7%
Administrative & Other expenses 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 3.3% 1.5% 2.3% 1.4% 1.2%
Selling & Distribution expenses 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.4%
MTM expenses done in Q2FY12 1.0%
Operational expenses for Sugar Mill 5.0% 13.6%
Total Expenses 72.7% 77.2% 85.3% 80.3% 77.5% 86.0% 81.8% 79.8%
EBITDA 27.3% 22.8% 14.7% 19.7% 22.5% 14.0% 18.2% 20.2%
Depreciation 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 8.5% 11.3% 7.5% 8.1% 6.7%
EBIT 20.0% 15.1% 7.2% 11.2% 11.2% 6.5% 10.1% 13.6%
Other Income 0.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.3%
Financial Expenses 4.2% 2.9% 5.1% 3.3% 2.9% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7%
Profit before tax 16.1% 13.6% 2.4% 8.3% 8.4% 3.5% 7.7% 12.4%
Provision for taxes 4.4% 0.5% 1.1% 2.3% 1.9% 0.9% 1.9% 3.1%
Profit after tax before minority interest
11.7% 13.1% 1.4% 6.0% 6.5% 2.6% 5.8% 9.3%
Minorities Interest and others 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Reported net profit 11.7% 13.1% 1.4% 6.0% 6.5% 2.6% 5.8% 9.3%
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 10
Balance Sheet
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E FY14E
Share Capital 318 377 377 377 527 556 556 556
Reserves and Surplus 3,009 4,711 4,722 4,985 5,437 5,581 6,280 7,843
Total equity capital 3,327 5,087 5,099 5,362 5,964 6,137 6,836 8,399
Secured Loans 3,938 6,032 5,118 4,392 7,130 9,312 8,381 5,881
Unsecured Loans 225 212 190 158 122 145 173 188
Deferred Tax Liability 317 337 396 534 419 177 496 981
Total Liabilities 7,807 11,669 10,803 10,446 13,634 15,772 15,887 15,448
Goodwill - - - - - 7 7 7
Gross Block 6,053 9,494 9,924 10,104 11,764 13,918 17,114 17,363
Less: Depreciation 698 1,160 1,719 2,414 3,620 4,572 5,883 7,199
Net Fixed Assets 5,355 8,333 8,206 7,690 8,144 9,346 11,231 10,165
Work-in-progress 1,328 136 3 255 1,775 2,557 - -
Investments 3 50 - - - 600 600 600
Inventory 1,219 1,679 2,070 1,360 2,944 2,625 3,138 3,394
Debtors 599 942 1,184 1,161 1,252 1,474 1,762 1,905
Cash and Bank Balance 272 594 462 522 397 110 102 304
Other Current Assets 133 182 229 149 70 158 158 153
Loans and Advances 383 562 551 668 564 631 634 614
Total Current Assets 2,607 3,959 4,497 3,860 5,226 4,997 5,796 6,376
Current Liabilities 1,365 581 1,792 1,117 1,372 1,577 1,584 1,536
Provision 121 228 112 242 139 158 158 154
Total Current Liabilities 1,486 809 1,903 1,359 1,511 1,735 1,743 1,690
Net Current Assets 1,121 3,150 2,594 2,501 3,715 3,262 4,049 4,676
Miscellaneous expenditure - - - - - 0 - -
Total Assets 7,807 11,669 10,803 10,446 13,634 15,772 15,887 15,448
(Rs mn)
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 11
Cash Flow Statement
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E FY14E
Net Profit/(Loss) before Tax 826 183 693 934 443 1,241 2,451
Add Depreciation 470 560 705 1,257 952 1,311 1,316
Loss on Fixed Assets 6 1 3 20 - - -
Interest Expense 176 384 273 323 440 474 338
Interest Income (49) (21) (20) (15) - - -
Dividend Income (10) (4) (10) (6) - - -
(Increase)/Decrease in
Trade/Other Receivables (343) (242) 4 (92) (221) (288) (144)
(Increase)/ Decrease in Loans and Advances (177) 11 (97) (38) (67) (3) 19
(Increase)/Decrease in Inventories (460) (391) 710 (1,584) 319 (513) (256)
(Increase)/Decrease in Other Current Assets (48) (78) 80 77 (88) (1) 5
Increase/(Decrease) in Trade/Other Payables (784) 1,211 (674) (55) 224 8 (53)
Direct Taxes Paid (10) (65) (94) (186) (352) 9 (129)
Increase/(Decrease) in Deferred Tax Liabilities 20 59 138 (115) (241) 319 484
Operating Cash-flow- A (403) 1,547 1,574 638 1,649 2,238 3,548
Purchase of Fixed Assets (2,282) (302) (454) (2,815) (2,944) (639) (249)
Proceeds from Sale of Fixed Assets 20 2 10 26 - - -
Purchase of Investments (50) - (2,745) (3,625) (600) - -
Proceeds from Sale of Investment 5 50 2,745 3,625 - - -
Dividend Received 7 4 10 6 - - -
Interest Received 49 21 20 17 - - -
Cash from Investing activities- B (2,250) (225) (414)
(2,767) (3,544) (639) (249)
Proceeds from Share Capital 59 -
- 29 - -
Proceeds from Securities Premium 1,129 (1) (Repayment)/ Proceeds of Secured
Loans 2,094 (914) (707) 2,715 2,183 (931) (2,500)
(Repayment)/ Proceeds of Unsecured Loans (13) (22) (32) (37) 24 28 14
Interest Paid (176) (384) (273) (301) (440) (474) (338)
Dividend Paid (85) (113) (75) (320) (161) (237) (274)
Tax on Dividend (32) (19) (13) (53) (27) (39) (46)
Cash from Financing activities- C 2,975 (1,453) (1,100) 2,004 1,608
(1,653)
(3,143)
Change in Cash= A+B+C 322 (132) 60 (125) (287) (54) 155
Opening Balance 272 594 462 522 397 110 56
Closing Balance 594 462 522 397 110 56 211
(Rs mn)
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 12
Ratios
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12E FY13E FY14E
Per Share Numbers
EPS
21.1 2.7 13.4 19.0 8.5 24.4 48.5
CEPS
33.5 17.5 32.1 52.3 33.8 59.2 83.4
DPS
5.0 2.0 5.5 6.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Adjusted Book Value per Share
135.0 135.3 142.3 154.3 158.9 177.4 218.9
Profitability EBITDA margin 27.3% 22.8% 14.7% 19.7% 22.5% 14.0% 18.2% 20.2%
Pre-tax margin 16.1% 13.6% 2.4% 8.3% 8.4% 3.5% 7.7% 12.4%
Net margin 11.7% 13.1% 1.4% 6.0% 6.5% 2.6% 5.8% 9.3%
ROAE 21.0% 18.9% 2.0% 9.6% 12.8% 5.5% 14.3% 24.1%
ROACE 15.5% 9.7% 4.9% 9.2% 10.7% 5.8% 10.5% 18.0%
Growth Revenue growth - 21.9% 23.3% 11.5% 32.8% 15.2% 26.7% 22.2%
EBITDA growth - 1.9% -20.8% 49.6% 51.9% -28.3% 64.7% 35.8%
Net profit growth - 3.0% -77.9% 278.9% 43.2% -54.0% 179.9% 97.5%
Turnover Net Asset turnover 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2
Net Working Cap turnover 6.2 2.8 2.6 3.3 3.6 3.7 4.4 4.6
Debtors turnover 9.8 7.9 7.0 7.1 9.2 9.4 10.0 10.8
Debtor Days 37 46 52 51 40 39 37 34
Inventory turnover 5 4.2 4.0 4.9 5.1 4.6 5.6 6.0
Inventory Days 75 87 92 75 71 80 65 60
Payables turnover 4 6 6 6 9 9 10 13
Payables Days 93 59 58 64 41 42 36 29
Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio 1.8 4.9 2.4 2.8 3.5 2.9 3.3 3.7
Quick Ratio 0.9 2.8 1.3 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.7
Cash Ratio 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Solvency Debt Equity 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.3 0.8
Leverage Ratio 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.4 1.9
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.9 4.1 4.4 2.5 2.8 5.3 2.9 1.5
Interest Coverage 4.8 5.2 1.4 3.4 3.8 1.9 3.4 7.9
Valuation Ratios P/E NM 4.6 7.7 8.3 9.7 9.5 3.3 1.7
P/BV NM 0.7 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.4
EV/EBITDA 5.3 6.7 5.1 5.0 5.5 6.9 3.9 2.2
EV/Sales 1.5 1.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5
Dividend Payout
24% 75% 41% 31% 47% 21% 12%
Dividend Yield
5.2% 9.7% 4.9% 3.3% 4.9% 6.2% 7.4%
(Rs mn)
Company Update: KPR Mill 17 Apr’12
Four-S Research 13
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