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KENYA’S NUCLEAR INDUSTRY By
Mr. Karanja Kabage
Head of Kenya Delegation
Member of Nuclear Electricity Project
Committee(NEPC)
& chairperson Legal Sub-Committee
S. Korea
6th December 2011
Presentation Outline
1. Overview of Kenya’s power sector structure
2. Kenya Vision 2030 and Projected power demand
3. Nuclear Electricity Project(NEP) Committee establishment and structure
4. NEP Committee ToR’s
5. Kenya’s nuclear power programme
6. The Director’s ToR’s
7. Pre-Feasibility Study
Ministry of Energy (MoE)
(energy policy matters)
Generation function Transmission and Distribution function -
KPLC UETCL Imports (<1%)
* - KenGen manages the Emergency Power Project (EPP) on behalf of the GoK
** - More Independent Power Producers (IPPs) expected in thermal, wind , solar and geothermal
*** - GDC & KETRACO is 100% owned by GoK
**** - REA was established to accelerate rural electrification and works with KPLC in implementing the rural programme
IPPs ** (~20% Inst. Cap)
Thermal (187MW
)
Geothermal
(~50 MW)
EPP * (140 MW)
KenGen* (~ 80% Inst.
Cap.)
Hydro (761 MW)
Thermal (259 MW)
Wind (5.3 MW)
Geothermal (150 MW)
70% GoK &
30% Public
Energy Regulatory Commission(ERC) (regulating energy
sector)
Other IPPs expected
Rural Electrification
Authority (REA)****
POWER SUB-SECTOR INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK TODAY
GDC NEP KETRACO
100% Govt
owned
Kenya Vision 2030
• Kenya Vision 2030 is the country’s development blueprint covering
the period 2008 to 2030.
• It aims to transform Kenya into a newly industrializing, “middle-
income country providing a high quality life to all its citizens by the
year 2030” and Energy is one of the enablers for Kenya Vision
2030.
• The country aims at enhancing and diversifying national power
generation and supply by identifying new generation and supply
sources.
Kenya Vision 2030 Cont’d
The 2011/2031 Least Cost Power Development plan
for Kenya projects a peak demand of 16,905MW by
2031, of this capacity 4,000MW would be supplied
from nuclear energy. The first nuclear unit(s) of 1,000
MW is expected to be commissioned in 2022.
Nuclear energy has been identified as one of the
sources of energy that would substantially address
the prevailing energy deficit and accordingly
established the Nuclear Electricity Project Committee.
POWER IS A 2030KEY ENABLER FOR KENYA VISION
Economic
To maintain a
sustained economic
growth of 10% p.a.
over the next 25 years
Social
A just and cohesive society
enjoying equitable social
development in a clean and
secure environment
Political
An issue-based, people-
centered, result-oriented,
and accountable
democratic political
system
Kenya Vision 2030
A globally competitive and prosperous nation
with a high quality of life by 2030
Key Enabler:
A vibrant power sector that meets electricity required to drive flagship
projects and programmes
A sustained economic
growth of 10% per annum
from year 2015
Power Supply Mix for Kenya's System in 2031 - MW
5,040
2,400
2,340 1,440
1,500
4,000
2,000
140
GEOT
COAL
GAS TURBINE
MEDIUM SPEED DIESEL
WIND
NUCL
IMPORT
HYDRO
Peak Power Demand Projection for Kenya (MW)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,0002
010
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
20
25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
Source: Least Cost Power Development Plan 2011/2031
Peak: 16,905MW
Installed Capacity:
21,620MW
Kenya’s GDP and Electricity growth
Slide 9
0
2
4
6
8
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
Elec growth rate GDP growth rate 선형 (Elec growth rate ) 선형 (GDP growth rate)
Kenya’s National Grid
At present, Kenya has an installed electricity
generation capacity of 1,635 MW and an effective
capacity of 1,525 MW under average hydrological
conditions.
The existing transmission network consists of 1,331km
of 220kV and 2,211km of 132kV transmission lines
and associated substations.
Kenya’s peak demand has been on an upward trend it
is projected to grow to over 15,026 MW by 2030.
Kenya’s National T & D Expansion
Plans
Transmission
The 2011 LCPDP includes a transmission plan to be
developed for the period 2011-2031. The
transmission development plan indicates the need to
develop approximately 16,064 km of new lines at an
estimated cost of USD 3.116 Billion.
Kenya’s National T & D Expansion
Plans cont’d 12
Distribution The proposed electricity distribution expansion targets connectivity
to over 1 million new customers spread countrywide every 5 years and to increase customer connectivity from 22% to 30% by the year 2014. Kenya targets 100% electricity connectivity by year 2030. This involves construction of an additional approximately :
16,000 kms of Medium Voltage distribution lines, (66, 33 & 11Kv)
1,000 MVA of distribution substations,
50,000 kms of LV distribution lines,
30,000 (3,000 MVA) of distribution transformers and
1 million service lines connections.
Existing and Potential Transmission
Lines in EAC
Establishment on NEP Committee
The Nuclear Electricity Project committee (NEPC) was
established vide The Kenya Gazette Vol. CXII-No.123,
Gazette Notice No. 14188 on the 19th November 2010
NEP’s mandate is to drive the nuclear energy roadmap
for Kenya.
NEP is tasked with spearheading and fast tracking
development of nuclear electricity in order to enhance the
production of affordable and reliable electricity
generation process.
NEP
Committee
ToR’s
1. Extensive civic education, regarding nuclear electricity power *lobby
support from key stakeholders e.g COTU), (FKE), KAM and the civil
society;
2. Ensure that all terms and conditions of the IAEA, necessary for approval
for the construction of nuclear electric power plants are met;
3. Prepare and endorse, a detailed road map for the realization of the
terms and conditions indicating the milestones and time lines for
approval by the international Atomic Energy Agency;
4. Oversee the implementation of the IAEA approved road map including
the preparation of a comprehensive legal and regulatory framework;
5. Review and approve a capacity building plan targeting young Kenyans
6. Identify appropriate sites for construction of a nuclear power plant
along Kenya’s coastal shoreline taking into consideration environmental
and social impact considerations;
7. Develop a collaborative program with academic institutions and other
organizations within and outside Kenya, for nuclear power research and
development;
8. Develop a well-stocked library on nuclear electricity production;
13 member
Committee
headed by
Executive
Chair
Secretary
Technical Affairs Director
Technical Assessment Teamleader
Environmental Assessment & Siting Teamleader
NPP Technology fuel Cycle Assessment
Teamleader
Economic, Electric Market & Generation Mix Assessment
Teamleader
Public Information & Consultation Director
Audit Manager
Electrical Grid Assessment Engineer
Safety, Safeguards & Security Assessment Engineer/scientist
NPP Management & Operation assessment Engineer/scientist
Nuclear Equipment and Services Procurement Engineer/scientist
Human Resource assessment
engineer/scientist
Environmental Assessment Officer
Siting Assessment officer
Economic & Commercial Assessment officer
Electrical market & Generation mix assessment officer
Technology & Fuel Cycle Assessment Engineer/scientist
7
Nuclear Power Research institute Development Engineer/scientist
Executive Chair
Communication Officer
Public Relation & Advocacy Officer
Nuclear Library Development
officer
NEP COMMITTEE
Finance Manager Human Resources
Legal, Regulatory & Policy Director
Legal Officer
Regulatory Officer
Policy & International Affairs officer
NEO ORGANOGRAM NEO ORGANOGRAM
Kenya’s Nuclear Power Programme
• Kenya has been a member of the International Atomic Energy
Agency(IAEA) since 1965.
• Kenya’s decision to embark on a nuclear programme shall be
based upon a commitment to use nuclear power for peaceful
purposes, in a safe and secure manner.
• To attain nuclear status, Kenya shall be guided by The IAEA
Milestone approach. The IAEA milestones framework provides a
guide in the development of Kenya’s nuclear infrastructure that will
ensure that the country meets its objectives
Kenya’s Nuclear Power Programme
cont’d
Programme to Develop Infrastructure Milestones
Kenya proposed schedule following the IAEA guidelines of the 3 Milestones Approach is as follows:
November 2012 - Milestone 1: Ready to make knowledgeable commitment to a nuclear program.
By Beginning of 2013, the Government will submit the Pre-FS report of the 1st NPP to the Parliament for approval and decision to be made for conducting the FS project for NPP of 2,000 MWe.
December 2015 - Milestone 2: Ready to invite bids for the first NPP.
December 2022 - Milestone 3: Ready to commission and operate the first nuclear power plant.
Nuclear Power Programme Milestones & IAEA
Services
Pre-feasibility Study
Kenya is has embarked on a Pre-Feasibility study
titled “Self-Assessment of Kenya Nuclear Infrastructure
Status”. The study commenced in November 2011 and
is scheduled for completion by November 2012.
To assess the current status of development of the
national infrastructure against the conditions
recommended by the International Atomic Energy
Agency (IAEA).
Pre-feasibility Study cont’d
21
What are Kenya’s main challenges
Human resource capacity
Financial resources
Stakeholder buy-in
Partnerships/collaboration
IAEA support
Other international nuclear communities
Transmission & Distribution Capacity
Pre-feasibility Study progress
Progress update
• NEP Committee has already identified the
organizations and also the individuals who will
conduct the evaluation.
• Development process for the Terms of Reference(ToRs)
for pre-feasibility study is at an advanced stage.
THANK YOU