KENYA’S NUCLEAR INDUSTRY By

Mr. Karanja Kabage

Head of Kenya Delegation

Member of Nuclear Electricity Project

Committee(NEPC)

& chairperson Legal Sub-Committee

S. Korea

6th December 2011

Presentation Outline

1. Overview of Kenya’s power sector structure

2. Kenya Vision 2030 and Projected power demand

3. Nuclear Electricity Project(NEP) Committee establishment and structure

4. NEP Committee ToR’s

5. Kenya’s nuclear power programme

6. The Director’s ToR’s

7. Pre-Feasibility Study

Ministry of Energy (MoE)

(energy policy matters)

Generation function Transmission and Distribution function -

KPLC UETCL Imports (<1%)

* - KenGen manages the Emergency Power Project (EPP) on behalf of the GoK

** - More Independent Power Producers (IPPs) expected in thermal, wind , solar and geothermal

*** - GDC & KETRACO is 100% owned by GoK

**** - REA was established to accelerate rural electrification and works with KPLC in implementing the rural programme

IPPs ** (~20% Inst. Cap)

Thermal (187MW

)

Geothermal

(~50 MW)

EPP * (140 MW)

KenGen* (~ 80% Inst.

Cap.)

Hydro (761 MW)

Thermal (259 MW)

Wind (5.3 MW)

Geothermal (150 MW)

70% GoK &

30% Public

Energy Regulatory Commission(ERC) (regulating energy

sector)

Other IPPs expected

Rural Electrification

Authority (REA)****

POWER SUB-SECTOR INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK TODAY

GDC NEP KETRACO

100% Govt

owned

Kenya Vision 2030

• Kenya Vision 2030 is the country’s development blueprint covering

the period 2008 to 2030.

• It aims to transform Kenya into a newly industrializing, “middle-

income country providing a high quality life to all its citizens by the

year 2030” and Energy is one of the enablers for Kenya Vision

2030.

• The country aims at enhancing and diversifying national power

generation and supply by identifying new generation and supply

sources.

Kenya Vision 2030 Cont’d

The 2011/2031 Least Cost Power Development plan

for Kenya projects a peak demand of 16,905MW by

2031, of this capacity 4,000MW would be supplied

from nuclear energy. The first nuclear unit(s) of 1,000

MW is expected to be commissioned in 2022.

Nuclear energy has been identified as one of the

sources of energy that would substantially address

the prevailing energy deficit and accordingly

established the Nuclear Electricity Project Committee.

POWER IS A 2030KEY ENABLER FOR KENYA VISION

Economic

To maintain a

sustained economic

growth of 10% p.a.

over the next 25 years

Social

A just and cohesive society

enjoying equitable social

development in a clean and

secure environment

Political

An issue-based, people-

centered, result-oriented,

and accountable

democratic political

system

Kenya Vision 2030

A globally competitive and prosperous nation

with a high quality of life by 2030

Key Enabler:

A vibrant power sector that meets electricity required to drive flagship

projects and programmes

A sustained economic

growth of 10% per annum

from year 2015

Power Supply Mix for Kenya's System in 2031 - MW

5,040

2,400

2,340 1,440

1,500

4,000

2,000

140

GEOT

COAL

GAS TURBINE

MEDIUM SPEED DIESEL

WIND

NUCL

IMPORT

HYDRO

Peak Power Demand Projection for Kenya (MW)

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,0002

010

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

20

21

20

22

20

23

20

24

20

25

20

26

20

27

20

28

20

29

20

30

20

31

Source: Least Cost Power Development Plan 2011/2031

Peak: 16,905MW

Installed Capacity:

21,620MW

Kenya’s GDP and Electricity growth

Slide 9

0

2

4

6

8

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

Elec growth rate GDP growth rate 선형 (Elec growth rate ) 선형 (GDP growth rate)

Kenya’s National Grid

At present, Kenya has an installed electricity

generation capacity of 1,635 MW and an effective

capacity of 1,525 MW under average hydrological

conditions.

The existing transmission network consists of 1,331km

of 220kV and 2,211km of 132kV transmission lines

and associated substations.

Kenya’s peak demand has been on an upward trend it

is projected to grow to over 15,026 MW by 2030.

Kenya’s National T & D Expansion

Plans

Transmission

The 2011 LCPDP includes a transmission plan to be

developed for the period 2011-2031. The

transmission development plan indicates the need to

develop approximately 16,064 km of new lines at an

estimated cost of USD 3.116 Billion.

Kenya’s National T & D Expansion

Plans cont’d 12

Distribution The proposed electricity distribution expansion targets connectivity

to over 1 million new customers spread countrywide every 5 years and to increase customer connectivity from 22% to 30% by the year 2014. Kenya targets 100% electricity connectivity by year 2030. This involves construction of an additional approximately :

16,000 kms of Medium Voltage distribution lines, (66, 33 & 11Kv)

1,000 MVA of distribution substations,

50,000 kms of LV distribution lines,

30,000 (3,000 MVA) of distribution transformers and

1 million service lines connections.

Existing and Potential Transmission

Lines in EAC

Establishment on NEP Committee

The Nuclear Electricity Project committee (NEPC) was

established vide The Kenya Gazette Vol. CXII-No.123,

Gazette Notice No. 14188 on the 19th November 2010

NEP’s mandate is to drive the nuclear energy roadmap

for Kenya.

NEP is tasked with spearheading and fast tracking

development of nuclear electricity in order to enhance the

production of affordable and reliable electricity

generation process.

NEP

Committee

ToR’s

1. Extensive civic education, regarding nuclear electricity power *lobby

support from key stakeholders e.g COTU), (FKE), KAM and the civil

society;

2. Ensure that all terms and conditions of the IAEA, necessary for approval

for the construction of nuclear electric power plants are met;

3. Prepare and endorse, a detailed road map for the realization of the

terms and conditions indicating the milestones and time lines for

approval by the international Atomic Energy Agency;

4. Oversee the implementation of the IAEA approved road map including

the preparation of a comprehensive legal and regulatory framework;

5. Review and approve a capacity building plan targeting young Kenyans

6. Identify appropriate sites for construction of a nuclear power plant

along Kenya’s coastal shoreline taking into consideration environmental

and social impact considerations;

7. Develop a collaborative program with academic institutions and other

organizations within and outside Kenya, for nuclear power research and

development;

8. Develop a well-stocked library on nuclear electricity production;

13 member

Committee

headed by

Executive

Chair

Secretary

Technical Affairs Director

Technical Assessment Teamleader

Environmental Assessment & Siting Teamleader

NPP Technology fuel Cycle Assessment

Teamleader

Economic, Electric Market & Generation Mix Assessment

Teamleader

Public Information & Consultation Director

Audit Manager

Electrical Grid Assessment Engineer

Safety, Safeguards & Security Assessment Engineer/scientist

NPP Management & Operation assessment Engineer/scientist

Nuclear Equipment and Services Procurement Engineer/scientist

Human Resource assessment

engineer/scientist

Environmental Assessment Officer

Siting Assessment officer

Economic & Commercial Assessment officer

Electrical market & Generation mix assessment officer

Technology & Fuel Cycle Assessment Engineer/scientist

7

Nuclear Power Research institute Development Engineer/scientist

Executive Chair

Communication Officer

Public Relation & Advocacy Officer

Nuclear Library Development

officer

NEP COMMITTEE

Finance Manager Human Resources

Legal, Regulatory & Policy Director

Legal Officer

Regulatory Officer

Policy & International Affairs officer

NEO ORGANOGRAM NEO ORGANOGRAM

Kenya’s Nuclear Power Programme

• Kenya has been a member of the International Atomic Energy

Agency(IAEA) since 1965.

• Kenya’s decision to embark on a nuclear programme shall be

based upon a commitment to use nuclear power for peaceful

purposes, in a safe and secure manner.

• To attain nuclear status, Kenya shall be guided by The IAEA

Milestone approach. The IAEA milestones framework provides a

guide in the development of Kenya’s nuclear infrastructure that will

ensure that the country meets its objectives

Kenya’s Nuclear Power Programme

cont’d

Programme to Develop Infrastructure Milestones

Kenya proposed schedule following the IAEA guidelines of the 3 Milestones Approach is as follows:

November 2012 - Milestone 1: Ready to make knowledgeable commitment to a nuclear program.

By Beginning of 2013, the Government will submit the Pre-FS report of the 1st NPP to the Parliament for approval and decision to be made for conducting the FS project for NPP of 2,000 MWe.

December 2015 - Milestone 2: Ready to invite bids for the first NPP.

December 2022 - Milestone 3: Ready to commission and operate the first nuclear power plant.

Nuclear Power Programme Milestones & IAEA

Services

Pre-feasibility Study

Kenya is has embarked on a Pre-Feasibility study

titled “Self-Assessment of Kenya Nuclear Infrastructure

Status”. The study commenced in November 2011 and

is scheduled for completion by November 2012.

To assess the current status of development of the

national infrastructure against the conditions

recommended by the International Atomic Energy

Agency (IAEA).

Pre-feasibility Study cont’d

21

What are Kenya’s main challenges

Human resource capacity

Financial resources

Stakeholder buy-in

Partnerships/collaboration

IAEA support

Other international nuclear communities

Transmission & Distribution Capacity

Pre-feasibility Study progress

Progress update

• NEP Committee has already identified the

organizations and also the individuals who will

conduct the evaluation.

• Development process for the Terms of Reference(ToRs)

for pre-feasibility study is at an advanced stage.

THANK YOU