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Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-2010 1 July 26, 2006 MTA 2007 Preliminary Budget July Financial Plan 2007 – 2010 DJC

July 26, 2006

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MTA 2007 Preliminary Budget July Financial Plan 2007 – 2010. DJC. July 26, 2006. February Financial Plan Closing Cash Balance Before Policy and Gap-Closing Actions ($ in millions). July Financial Plan Baseline Before Policy and Gap-Closing Actions ($ in millions). - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20101

July 26, 2006

MTA 2007 Preliminary Budget

July Financial Plan 2007 – 2010

DJC

Page 2: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20102

February Financial PlanClosing Cash Balance

Before Policy and Gap-Closing Actions($ in millions)

$1,062$625

-$32

-$1,099-$1,501

-$2,000

-$1,500

-$1,000

-$500

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 3: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20103

July Financial PlanBaseline Before Policy and Gap-Closing Actions

($ in millions)

$1,182 $1,121

$290

-$1,008

-$1,781-$2,146

-$2,500

-$2,000

-$1,500

-$1,000

-$500

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Page 4: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20104

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

February Plan Baseline $625 ($32) ($1,099) ($1,501) ($1,965)

Changes to the July PlanAgency Baseline ($137) ($370) ($452) ($533) ($530)Real Estate 427 89 108 116 121Other Subsidies 27 78 102 69 131Debt Service 8 25 37 66 93General Reserve 44 0 0 0 0Other 7 2 7 2 4

Change in Cash Balance from Previous Year $120 $496 $290 $0 $0 Total Changes $496 $322 $91 ($280) ($181)

July Plan Baseline $1,121 $290 ($1,008) ($1,781) ($2,146)

July Financial PlanReasons for Baseline Net Improvements

($ in millions)

Page 5: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20105

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Farebox/Toll Revenue:

New York City Transit ($50) ($47) ($47) ($44) ($46)Metro-North Railroad (0) 2 4 9 11Bridges & Tunnels (4) (4) (5) (8) (12)Other Agencies 1 1 1 1 1

($53) ($48) ($47) ($42) ($47)

Expenses:Pattern Labor Provision ($13) ($83) ($112) ($113) ($113)Energy (20) (69) (66) (54) (53)Health & Welfare 16 (23) (42) (66) (87)Pensions 26 (41) (51) (52) (48)2005/2006 PEG Re-Forecast (15) (31) (19) (18) (18)New Needs / Investments:

Maintenance (29) (73) (85) (139) (86)Service (1) (6) (16) (23) (25)Paratransit Service Costs 1 (5) (6) (1) 0Safety and Security (3) (3) (7) (9) (9)Other New Needs (9) (14) (14) (21) (47)

Baseline Re-Estimates (38) 27 12 5 3($84) ($322) ($406) ($491) ($483)

Agency Baseline Changes: ($137) ($370) ($452) ($533) ($530)

July Financial PlanAgency Baseline Changes ($ in millions)

Page 6: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20106

July Financial PlanYear-to-Year Changes in

‘Uncontrollable’ and ‘Controllable’ Operating Expenses

18.2%

5.3%

11.4%

5.5%

7.3%

3.8%

7.3%

3.8%

7.2%

2.3%0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

'Uncontrollable ' Expenses

'Controllable ' Expenses

‘Uncontrollable’ Operating Expenses include Paratransit Service Contracts, Fuel for Buses & Trains, Traction & Propulsion Power, Debt Service, Health & Welfare, Pensions, Insurance, and Claims.

‘Controllable’ Operating Expenses include Payroll, Overtime, Other-Fringe Benefits, Reimbursable Overhead, Maintenance & Other Operating Contracts, Professional Service Contracts, and Materials & Supplies.

Page 7: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20107

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010July Plan Baseline $1,182 $1,121 $290 ($1,008) ($1,781) ($2,146)

Policy Actions:Pension Liability Reduction / Pension Earnings ($450) $21 $42 $42 $42 $422004 Real Estate Tax Stabilization Account 0 200 0 0 0 02005 Capital Security Addition / Security Initiatives (100) (100) 0 0 0 02005 Holiday Fare Program (50) 50 0 0 0 0Anti-Grafitti Campaign 0 0 (6) (3) (5) (6)Service Marketing Campaign 0 0 (5) 0 0 0

Gap Closing Actions:2007 Agency Program to Eliminate the Gap $0 $19 $47 $60 $61 $61Post-2007 Agency Program to Eliminate the Gap 0 0 0 13 22 22Shared Services 0 0 0 5 10 152007 Increased Fare and Toll Yields 0 0 78 237 242 2432009 Increased Fare and Toll Yields 0 0 0 0 247 255Reorganization Legislation 0 0 0 5 25 25

Change in Cash Balance from Previous Year 0 (600) (410) (254) 0 0

July Plan Closing Cash Balance $582 $711 $36 ($905) ($1,137) ($1,488)

The following contributions are accounted for in the above Baseline Labor Expenses:Contribution to GASB Fund $0 $173 $97 $80 $88 $97

July Financial PlanWith Policy and Gap Closing Actions

($ in millions)

Page 8: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20108

July Financial PlanClosing Cash Balance After Policy and Gap-Closing Actions *

($ in millions)

$582 $711$36

-$905-$1,137

-$1,488

-$2,500

-$2,000

-$1,500

-$1,000

-$500

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

* Consistent with prior plans, includes additional 5% revenue increases - September 2007 and January 2009.

Page 9: July 26, 2006

Metropolitan Transportation Authority July Financial Plan 2007-20109

If the Board Does Not Continue Its Policyof Small Bi-Annual Fare & Toll Increases,

Out-Year Deficits Will Increase

$582 $711

$36

($905)($1,137)

($1,488)

-$2,500

-$2,000

-$1,500

-$1,000

-$500

$0

$500

$1,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

July Plan Closing Cash Balance, After Policy & Gap-Closing Actions

Additional Gap if 2007 & 2009 Fare & Toll Yields Are Not Increased

($42)

($1,141)

($1,986)

($1,626)