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Tecnologias Móviles: Incremento de Teledensidad Andicom 2003 – Cartagena, Colombia JOSE F. OTERO

Jose F Otero

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Page 1: Jose F Otero

Tecnologias Móviles: Incremento de Teledensidad

Andicom 2003 – Cartagena, Colombia

JOSE F. OTERO

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Agenda More spectrum? Next Generation Services

Requirements Pending Issues Latin America’s Spectrum

Licensing Scenario Competition, Technologies and

New Services Addressing the Market:

Segmentation The Roaming Myth Conclusions

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Perspectiva

La finalidad de la sociedad de la informacion es el ser humano.

Manuel Martinez Nino, Andicom 2003

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More Spectrum?

Traditionally the next generation services debate centered on the need for more spectrum

The 2000 World Radiocommunication Conference (WRC) adopted the resolution that approximately 160 MHz of additional spectrum will be required in order to meet the capacity needs of the high traffic areas by 2010.

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Next Generation Services Requirements

High-speed, high-bandwidth mobile wireless services (termed “3G”) in many cases warrants additional spectrum allocation.

Additional spectrum allocations do not preclude the incentive for operators to maximize efficient spectrum use.

Spectrum aggregation limits are no longer necessary to stimulate competition nor to encourage spectrum efficiency enhancements.

Coverage and capacity are currently emerging as key competitive factors.

Band-clearing compensation payments will emerge as the solution to the problem of incumbents squatting on valuable spectrum.

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Pending Issues

Need to define and clear RF Spectrum Bands

Allocation bandwidth Number of licenses Licensing schedule and process need to be

determined Flexibility in spectrum acquisition policy Harmonization of spectrum frequencies Emerging technologies, such as smart

antennae and software defined radios, have the potential to help solve the spectrum crunch, but they do not preclude the need for additional spectrum allocations.

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Latin America’s Spectrum Licensing Scenario

Historically Inefficient Characterized by delays, postponements and

the absence of bidders Licensing Method to be determined

Beauty Contest Auction Hybrid

Not a “Cash Cow” Regulatory Uncertainty

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Competition, Technologies & New Services

MVNOs Wi Fi Expansion of CPP 3G Data Services WLL Emergence of Full Service Providers Broadband Services The Handset Market

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Segmentation

Bairro1

ARPU $1-5

MOU 14min

Bairro4

ARPU $11-15

MOU 36min

Bairro6

ARPU $1-5

MOU 17min

Bairro2

ARPU $6-10

MOU 25min

Centro

ARPU $15+

MOU 54min

Bairro7

ARPU $6-10

MOU 22min

Bairro3

ARPU $1-5

MOU 18min

Bairro5

ARPU $6-10

MOU 28min

Bairro8

ARPU $11-15

MOU 34min

Determine Geographical Usage Patterns By Using Network Data Tools: Static Areas & User Specific

Source: TeleFinance 2003

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Segmentation

Bairro1

Prepaid Branding

Prepaid Promos

Pre Card/Phone Dist

Bairro4

General Branding

Post & Pre Campaigns

Post & Pre Distribution

Bairro6

Prepaid Branding

Prepaid Promos

Pre Card/Phone Dist

Bairro2

Prepaid Branding

Prepaid Promos

Pre Card/Phone Dist

Centro

General Branding

Post & Pre Campaigns

Post & Pre Distribution

Bairro7

Prepaid Branding

Prepaid Promos

Pre Card/Phone Dist

Bairro3

Prepaid Branding

Prepaid Promos

Pre Card/Phone Dist

Bairro5

Prepaid Branding

Prepaid Promos

Pre Card/Phone Dist

Bairro8

General Branding

Post & Pre Campaigns

Post & Pre Distribution

Redirect Marketing Campaigns and DistributionAccording to Client Patterns

Source: TeleFinance 2003

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Handset Distribution By Geographic Segmentation

Bairro1

Tier 2 Prepaid Handsets

Bairro4

Tier 2 Pre & Post

Handsets

Bairro6Tier 2 Prepaid Handsets

Bairro2

Tier 1 Prepaid

Handsets

Centro

Tier 1 Pre & Post

Handsets

Bairro7

Tier 1 Prepaid

Handsets

Bairro3Tier 2 Prepaid Handsets

Bairro5

Tier 1 Prepaid

Handsets

Bairro8

Tier 2 Pre & Post

Handsets

Target Segments with Affordable Handsets that EncourageMore Robust Usage

Source: TeleFinance 2003

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The Roaming Myth Not all markets are equal US rural operators

Western Wireless Rural Cellular Dobson Communications

Caribbean operators Barbados Case

Regulatory impediments for roaming Looking into Mexico

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Conclusions There’s not a single solution to the

diminishing addressable market problem Profitability will continue to drive operators

decisions Regulatory agencies need to provide the

necessary means to promote an increase on teledensity

Voice will continue to be the killer application during the next several years: NO VAS SERVICE WILL REPLACE THIS TREND

Segmentation needs to evolve with the market

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GRACIAS!

Jose F. OteroTelecoms Practice [email protected]