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Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global Engagement Oversight Committee

Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

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Page 1: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global Engagement Oversight Committee

Page 2: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Recessions Compared

Sources: TIP Industries U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics (total nonfarm employment, seasonally adjusted); NBER (recession dates); New York Times (format)

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

100

1 6 11 16 21 26 31 36 41 46 51 56 61 66 71 76 81

Number of months until all jobs "regained"

RECESSIONARY EMPLOYMENT TRENDS Peak employment = 100

1980 1974-1976

1981-1983

1990-1993 2001-2005 2007-2014

(May 2014 = 100.1)

78 months

Page 3: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Annual U.S. Employment Change

-1,757,000

-532,000

62,000

2,019,000 2,484,000

2,071,000

1,115,000

-3,617,000

-5,052,000

1,022,000

2,103,000 2,236,000 2,151,000

3,116,000

2,500,000

-6,000,000

-5,000,000

-4,000,000

-3,000,000

-2,000,000

-1,000,000

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Source: BLS September 2015

Page 4: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Percentage Annual Change in Total Jobs

North Carolina United States

Source: BLS September 2015

Page 5: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Annual Percentage Change Total Jobs

-8.0%

-6.0%

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%19

9119

9219

9319

9419

9519

9619

9719

9819

9920

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

0520

0620

0720

0820

0920

1020

1120

1220

1320

14

Florida Georgia North Carolina South CarolinaTennessee Texas United States

Source: BLS September 2015

Page 6: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

USA & NC Unemployment Rate 1990-2015

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

USA NC

Source: BLS September 2015 (Measured Every July)

Page 7: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Southern States 1-Year Employment November 2014 to November 2015

1.9%

1.3% 1.2%

3.0%

2.2% 1.8%

-0.6%

2.0%

1.0% 0.9%

2.2%

-0.1%

2.6%

1.7% 1.5% 1.4%

-1.4% -2.0%

-1.5%

-1.0%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

USA AL AR FL GA KY LA MD MO MS NC OK SC TN TX VA WV

Source: U.S. BLS, December 2015- Measured Nov 2014- Nov 2015

Page 8: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Southern States 1-Year Manufacturing Employment Nov 2014 to Nov 2015

0.3%

-1.2%

-3.6%

2.3% 1.6%

3.3%

-1.8%

1.6%

0.5%

1.6% 1.7%

-5.7%

-0.6%

1.0%

-4.0%

1.5%

0.0%

-7.0%

-6.0%

-5.0%

-4.0%

-3.0%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

USA AL AR FL GA KY LA MD MO MS NC OK SC TN TX VA WV

Source: U.S. BLS, December 2015- Measured Nov 2014- Nov 2015

Page 9: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets
Page 10: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Southern States 1-Year Professional & Business Services Employment Changes Nov 2014 to Nov 2015

3.1%

1.9%

4.5% 4.0%

3.4%

-0.3%

2.0% 2.5%

0.3%

1.2%

3.5%

-0.4%

5.9%

2.9% 2.5% 2.6%

0.3%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

USA AL AR FL GA KY LA MD MO MS NC OK SC TN TX VA WV

Source: U.S. BLS December 2015 Measured Nov 2014- Nov 2015

Page 11: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

USA & NC Employment Growth November 2014- November 2015

1.9%

4.2%

0.3%

1.7% 1.8%

3.1% 2.9% 2.9%

0.4%

2.2%

3.5%

1.7% 1.7%

5.0%

3.5% 2.9%

1.6%

0.4%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

USA NC

Source: U.S. BLS December 2015 Measured Nov 2014- Nov 2015

Page 12: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

North Carolina Metro Employment Growth- Last 12 months Compared to 12 months ago

2.2% 1.3% 1.1%

3.3%

2.6%

-0.2%

-1.9%

3.0%

0.5%

-0.4% -0.6% -1.1%

1.4%

0.0% 0.1%

2.1%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

Source: BLS, December 2015, measured Nov 2014- Nov 2015

Page 13: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson

Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

Growth above state average 2.9% Growing below state average 2.9% Losing Jobs

CHANGE IN AVERAGE NUMBER OF EMPLOYED PEOPLE November 2014 to November 2015 North Carolina state average 2.9%

Source: NC Department of Commerce http://d4.nccommerce.com/LausSelection.aspx

Page 14: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson

Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

Growth above state average of 5.2% Growing below state average of 5.2% Losing Jobs

CHANGE IN AVERAGE NUMBER OF EMPLOYED PEOPLE November 2012 to November 2015 North Carolina state average 5.2%

Source: NC Department of Commerce http://d4.nccommerce.com/LausSelection.aspx

Page 15: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson

Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

Growth above state average of 2.5% Growing below state average of 2.5% Losing Jobs

CHANGE IN AVERAGE NUMBER OF JOBS June 2014 to June 2015 North Carolina state average 2.5%

Source: NC Department of Commerce http://d4.nccommerce.com/QCEWSelection.aspx

Page 17: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Top Factors for Companies Considering New Investment

1) Highway accessibility 2) Occupancy or construction costs 3) Available land 4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of skilled labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets 9) Energy availability and costs 10) Corporate tax rate 11) Tax exemptions 12) State & Local Incentives

Source: Area Development 29th Annual Survey of Corporate Executives, March 2015

Page 18: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Top Quality of Life Factors for Companies Considering New Investment 1) Low crime rate 2) Ratings of public schools 3) Health care facilities 4) Housing availability 5) Housing costs 6) Colleges & universities in the area 7) Recreational opportunities 8) Cultural opportunities 9) Climate

Source: Area Development 29th Annual Survey of Corporate Executives, March 2015

Page 19: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

American South Tax Rankings- Tax Foundation (1 is Best, 50 is Worst)

Corporate Tax Individual Income Sales Tax Property Tax

Alabama 27 23 41 10 Arkansas 40 28 44 19 Florida 14 1 12 16 Georgia 8 42 17 30 Kentucky 29 30 11 17 Louisiana 23 27 50 24 Maryland 16 45 8 41 Mississippi 11 21 28 33 Missouri 4 29 29 7 North Carolina 25 15 33 29 Oklahoma 7 40 38 11 South Carolina 13 41 18 21 Tennessee 15 8 47 37 Texas 39 6 36 36 Virginia 6 39 6 26 West Virginia 17 26 25 25

Page 20: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Location Matters-The State Tax Costs of Doing Business (Tax Foundation & KPMG) (1 is Best, 50 is Worst)

Corporate Headquarters

R&D Facility

Retail Store Capital-Intensive Manufacturing

Labor- Intensive

Manufacturing

Call Center Distribution Center

Alabama 20 44 8 19 24 7 3

Arkansas 24 39 21 44 39 30 17

Florida 11 23 19 31 21 14 29

Georgia 16 15 18 9 3 2 4

Kentucky 8 33 14 25 22 19 16

Louisiana 27 3 25 16 9 26 34

Maryland 17 10 32 24 4 9 14

Mississippi 29 28 21 49 35 15 23

Missouri 34 49 38 12 6 31 31

N Carolina 5 16 5 17 19 12 8

Oklahoma 9 25 19 29 29 17 5

S Carolina 30 36 36 42 20 41 49

Tennessee 31 40 30 28 30 24 27

Texas 14 26 15 23 14 20 35

Virginia 12 35 16 20 2 21 15

WV 42 48 35 43 47 43 33

Page 21: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Forbes- Best States for Business 2015 1. Utah 2. North Carolina 3. Nebraska 4. North Dakota 5. Colorado 6. Texas 7. Virginia 8. Indiana 9. South Dakota 10.Washington

Source: Forbes 2015

Business Costs #5 Labor Supply #9 Regulatory #4 Economic Climate #22 Growth Prospects #10 QOL #16

Page 22: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Chief Executive Best States for Business 2015

1. Texas 2. Florida 3. North Carolina 4. Tennessee 5. Georgia 6. Indiana 7. Louisiana 8. Nevada 9. Arizona 10.South Carolina

Source: Chief Executive Magazine 2015

Page 23: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL GA

HA

ID

IL IN

IA

KS

LA KY

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 10 20 30 40 50

Average Statistical Ranking

Average "Best States" ranking

Rankings and Performance States By Average Ranks by Forbes, CNBC, and Chief Executive Plotted Against Actual Performance for Job Growth, Wage Growth and Growth in GDP

Page 24: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL GA

HA

ID

IL IN

IA

KS

LA KY

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 10 20 30 40 50

Average Statistical Ranking

Average "Best States" ranking

Rankings and Performance States By Average Ranks by Forbes, CNBC, and Chief Executive Plotted Against Actual Performance for Job Growth, Wage Growth and Growth in GDP

Page 25: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL GA

HA

ID

IL IN

IA

KS

LA KY

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 10 20 30 40 50

Average Statistical Ranking

Average "Best States" ranking

Rankings and Performance

Worse Performance Than Rank

Better Performance Than Rank

States By Average Ranks by Forbes, CNBC, and Chief Executive Plotted Against Actual Performance for Job Growth, Wage Growth and Growth in GDP

Page 26: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

AL

AK

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL GA

HA

ID

IL IN

IA

KS

LA KY

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 10 20 30 40 50

Average Statistical Ranking

Average "Best States" ranking

Rankings and Performance

Worse Performance Than Rank

Better Performance Than Rank

States By Average Ranks by Forbes, CNBC, and Chief Executive Plotted Against Actual Performance for Job Growth, Wage Growth and Growth in GDP

Page 27: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Can Rural North Carolina Compete? (80 Rural)

Page 28: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson

Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

Growth above state average 6.7% Growing below state average 6.7% Losing Jobs

CHANGE IN AVERAGE NUMBER OF JOBS June 2012 to June 2015 North Carolina state average 6.7%

Source: NC Department of Commerce http://d4.nccommerce.com/QCEWSelection.aspx

Page 29: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson

Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

Growth above state average 6.7% Growing below state average 6.7% Losing Jobs Urban Counties

CHANGE IN AVERAGE NUMBER OF JOBS June 2012 to June 2015 North Carolina state average 6.7%

Source: NC Department of Commerce http://d4.nccommerce.com/QCEWSelection.aspx

Page 30: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Accelerating Global Urbanization

Page 31: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

“What we begin to notice in 1983 was an alarming economic decline in the non-metropolitan South.”

1983

Page 32: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Source: Missouri Data Portal, July 2015

Page 33: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

North Carolina has 553 municipalities- over 200 have

fewer than 1,000 residents- only 38 have more than 25,000

Rank Municipality County Population 1 Charlotte Mecklenburg 803,392 2 Raleigh Wake, Durham 432,133 3 Greensboro Guilford 280,801

4 Durham Durham, Orange, Wake

244,108

5 Winston-Salem Forsyth 237,885 6 Fayetteville Cumberland 208,373 7 Cary Wake, Chatham 148,103 8 Wilmington New Hanover 113,910 9 High Point Guilford,

Davidson, Forsyth, Randolph

108,552

10 Asheville Buncombe 89,248 11 Greenville Pitt 87,436 12 Concord Cabarrus 85,426 13 Jacksonville Onslow 76,576 14 Gastonia Gaston 73,186 15 Chapel Hill Orange, Durham 59,753 16 Rocky Mount Nash, Edgecombe 55,958

17 Huntersville Mecklenburg 53,821 18 Burlington Alamance,

Guilford 51,919

19 Wilson Wilson 49,030 20 Kannapolis Cabarrus, Rowan 44,427 21 Apex Wake 42,672 22 Hickory Catawba, Burke,

Caldwell 40,330

23 Indian Trail Union 36,628 24 Mooresville Iredell 36,391 25 Goldsboro Wayne 35,434

What is a small town?

Page 34: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Change in Population 2000-2013

12.3%

8.7% 10.7%

22.3% 22.1%

8.7%

3.5%

11.9%

5.2%

8.0%

22.3%

11.6%

19.0%

14.2%

26.8%

16.7%

2.5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Source: U.S. Census

Page 35: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson

Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

6.1% and over increase 2.1% to 6.0% increase 0.0% to 2.0% increase population decreased

North Carolina Change in Population 2000 to 2013

Source: NC Office of State Budget and Management

Page 36: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

NC Job & Labor Force Shifts 2000-2014 Urban and Rural

2,503,770 2,756,588

2,412,779

2,916,755

1,309,709 1,210,729

1,725,425 1,739,451

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

Jobs 2000 Jobs 2014 Labor Force 2000 Labor Force 2014

Urban Rural

Source: BLS, October, 2015, NC total were developed using the sum of all 100 counties

Page 37: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

NC Job & Labor Force Shifts 2000-2014 Urban and Rural

252,818

503,976

-98,980

14,026

-200,000

-100,000

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

Jobs 2000-2014 Labor Force 2000-2014Urban Rural

Source: BLS, October, 2015, NC total were developed using the sum of all 100 counties

Page 38: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

NC Job Changes 2000-2014 Urban and Rural

10%

-18%

-39%

4%

-12%

19% 25%

60% 46%

-8%

-30% -43%

-5%

-27%

0% 18%

35% 21%

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Urban Rural

Source: BLS, October, 2015, NC total were developed using the sum of all 100 counties

Page 39: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

above state average of 5.2% 0.0% to state average -0.0% to -5.0% decrease -5.1% and greater decrease

North Carolina CHANGE IN AVERAGE ANNUAL WAGES 2000 to 2014

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, BEA (www.bls.gov)

Page 40: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Cherokee Clay

Graham

Macon

Swain

Jackson

Haywood

Madison

Buncombe

Henderson Tran- sylvania

Yancey

Avery

McDowell

Rutherford

Polk

Watauga

Caldwell

Burke

Cleveland

Ashe Alleghany

Wilkes

Alex- ander

Catawba

Lincoln

Gaston

Surry

Yadkin

Iredell

Stokes

Forsyth

Davie

Rowan

Cabarrus

Union

Rockingham

Guilford

Davidson Randolph

Stanly

Anson

Mont- gomery Moore

Rich- mond

Caswell Person

Chatham Wake

Lee

Warren

Franklin

Harnett

Hoke

Scot- land

Robeson Bladen

Columbus

Brunswick

Johnston

Northampton

Halifax

Nash

Wilson

Edgecombe

Wayne

Sampson

Duplin

Pender

New Hanover

Onslow

Jones

Lenoir

Greene

Pitt

Hertford

Gates

Bertie

Wash- ington

Martin

Beaufort Hyde

Tyrrell Dare

Craven Pamlico

Carteret

above 10.0% over state average 0.0% to 9.9% over state average -0.0% to -9.9% below state average -10.0% to -24.9% to below state average -25% and greater below state average

Annual Average Pay 2014 Compared to North Carolina Average of $44,969

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (www.bls.gov)

North Carolina

Page 41: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

2014 Gross State Product 84.8% of State Total in Metros

Charlotte 32%

Research Triangle

28%

Piedmont Triad 17%

Asheville 4%

Fayetteville 4%

Non-Metro 15%

GSP

Page 42: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Creating More Competitiveness Top Factors for Companies Considering New Investment

1) Highway accessibility 2) Occupancy or construction

costs 3) Available land 4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of skilled labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets 9) Energy availability and costs 10) Corporate tax rate 11) Tax exemptions 12) State & Local Incentives

Page 43: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Creating More Competitiveness Top Factors for Companies Considering New Investment

1) Highway accessibility 2) Occupancy or construction

costs 3) Available land 4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of skilled labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets 9) Energy availability and costs 10) Corporate tax rate 11) Tax exemptions 12) State & Local Incentives

Page 44: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Creating More Competitiveness Top Factors for Companies Considering New Investment

1) Highway accessibility 2) Occupancy or construction

costs 3) Available land 4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of skilled labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets 9) Energy availability and costs 10) Corporate tax rate 11) Tax exemptions 12) State & Local Incentives

Quality of Life Issues 1) Low crime rate 2) Ratings of public schools 3) Health care facilities 4) Housing availability 5) Housing costs 6) Colleges & universities in the

area 7) Recreational opportunities 8) Cultural opportunities 9) Climate

Page 45: Joint Legislative Economic Development & Global …...4) Availability buildings 5) Availability of . skilled . labor 6) Labor costs 7) Right-to-work state 8) Proximity to major markets

Questions?

Follow on twitter @tedabernathy or LinkedIn Ted Abernathy or Contact me at [email protected]