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MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference Investor Handout August 2014

Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

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Page 1: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK)Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference

Investor HandoutAugust 2014

Page 2: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Forward-Looking Statements

2Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

This presentation contains statements that the Company believes to be “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements other than statements of historical fact, including, without limitation, statements regarding the Company’s future financial position, business strategy, targets, projected sales, costs, earnings, capital expenditures, debt levels and cash flows, and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. When used in this presentation, words such as “may,” “will,” “expect,” “intend,” “estimate,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “should,” “project” or “plan” or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology are generally intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, some of which are beyond the Company’s control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors include the cyclical nature of the Company’s access equipment, commercial and fire & emergency markets, which are particularly impacted by the pace of U.S. and European economic recoveries; the strength of emerging market growth and projected adoption rate of work at height machinery; the expected level and timing of DoD and international defense customer procurement of products and services and funding thereof;risks related to reductions in government expenditures in light of U.S. defense budget pressures, sequestration and an uncertainDoD tactical wheeled vehicle strategy, including the Company’s ability to successfully manage the cost reductions required as a result of lower customer orders in the defense segment; the Company’s ability to win a U.S. JLTV production contract award; the Company’s ability to increase prices to raise margins or offset higher input costs; increasing commodity and other raw material costs, particularly in a sustained economic recovery; risks related to facilities consolidation and alignment, including the amounts of related costs and charges and that anticipated cost savings may not be achieved; the duration of the ongoing global economic uncertainty, which could lead to additional impairment charges related to many of the Company’s intangible assets and/or a slower recovery inthe Company’s cyclical businesses than Company or equity market expectations; risks related to the collectability of receivables, particularly for those businesses with exposure to construction markets; the cost of any warranty campaigns related to the Company’s products; risks related to production or shipment delays arising from quality or production issues; risks associated with international operations and sales, including foreign currency fluctuations and compliance with the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act; the Company’s ability to comply with complex laws and regulations applicable to U.S. government contractors; the impact of severeweather or natural disasters that may affect the Company, its suppliers or its customers; the impact of cyber security risk and costs of defending against, mitigating and responding to a data security breach; and risks related to the Company’s ability to successfully execute on its strategic road map and meet its long-term financial goals. Additional information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Form 8-K filed July 29, 2014. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. The Company assumes no obligation, and disclaims any obligation, to update information contained in this presentation. Investors should be aware that the Company may not update suchinformation until the Company’s next quarterly earnings conference call, if at all.

Page 3: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Oshkosh Corporation

Leading global provider of specialty vehicles

- Moving the World at Work

Nearly 100 years in business; incorporated in 1917

Four business segments

TTM Revenue: $6.9 billion (1)

Market Capitalization (2): $3.9 billion

Responsible capital allocation

(1) As of June 30, 2014(2) As of July 31, 2014

Defense

Commercial

3Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

Access Equipment

Fire & Emergency

Defense

Commercial

Page 4: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Oshkosh Corporation Profile – FY14

Source: Oshkosh Corporation 10-Q Filing dated July 29, 2014

4Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

50%

28%

10%

12%

Revenue by SegmentFirst Nine Months FY14

Access Equipment Defense Fire & Emergency Commercial

77%

5%10%

8%

Revenue by GeographyFirst Nine Months FY14

United States Other NA EAME Rest of World

Compared with FY13 through Nine Months: Non-Defense Segment Revenues Increased 8.8%

Non-Defense Segment Operating Income Increased 25.0%

Page 5: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Strong Free Cash Flow(1)

5Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

Targeting free cash flow to approximate net income or higher over the course of a cycle

Historically relatively low annual capital spending requirements:$50 - $100 million

Significant cash flow available to execute capital allocation strategy

(1) Free cash flow is cash from operations less net capital expenditures

Fiscal Year

$-

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Cum

ulat

ive

Free

Cas

h Fl

ow (m

illio

ns)

Page 6: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Responsible Capital Allocation Strategy

Reinstated $0.15 quarterly cash dividend Repurchased 9.8M OSK shares for $368M; July 2012 – June 30, 2014 Refinanced $250M in Sr. Notes, now due March 2022

─ Interest rate reduced from 8.25% to 5.375%

6

Return capital to shareholders

Re-invest in core business

Invest in external growth

opportunities

Hold cash

Reduce debt

Long-term targeted capital

structure

Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

Page 7: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Transforming Oshkosh with MOVE

Page 8: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Transforming – More Diverse, Global Industrial Company

FY15E Sales (1)

FY11 Sales

Defense Non-Defense

Non-Defense Sales Become Majority of Revenue by FY15

FY13 Sales

(1) Based on Company estimates as of September 2012 Analyst Day

8Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

Page 9: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

MOVE – The Right Strategy

Focuses on drivers that create highest shareholder value Expected to drive higher incremental margins across non-Defense

businesses over cycle

FY15 EPS Target$4.00 to $4.50

9Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

Page 10: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Powering Our Transformation –The Oshkosh Operating System Customer-centric application

of lean principles─ Develops talent to deliver value

for customers

Improves processes needed todeliver key elements of MOVE

Supports drive to improve cash flow

Implementation gaining momentum

Company-wide foundation for building shareholder value

10Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

Page 11: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Oshkosh Segment Overview

Page 12: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Access Equipment

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 12

Market leader with innovative product offerings- Aerial work platforms- Telehandlers

Innovation focus evident at ConExpo trade show, March 2014 185’ Ultra Boom AWP Refreshed North America’s top telehandler

brand, SkyTrak®

Industry’s first hybrid diesel-electric boom lift Introduced global telehandler - RS series

Strong execution driven by MOVE strategy

Positive global trends

Page 13: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

North American Metrics Remain SolidRefreshing Fleets, Increasing Penetration

Residential and Non-Residential Spending(Y-O-Y % Change)

N.A. Rental Equipment Access - Fleet Age(AWP & TMH)

N.A. Rental Equipment Company Fleet Utilization

Recent Used Equipment Value Trends(OLV)

Source: Global Insight Estimates, June 2014

Based on International Rental News/Dan Kaplan sample of medium to large NA rental equipment companies (United Rentals, RSC, H&E, HERC).

(% C

hang

e)(%

Tim

e U

tiliz

atio

n)

OLV

(% o

f Cos

t)

Source: Rouse Rental Report. Calendar year-end data for 2008-13, 2014YTD through June

(Age

in M

onth

s)

13

Source: Rouse Asset Services, July 2014Note: Rouse rebased the Rouse Value IndexTM in January 2014

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout

‐40%

‐30%

‐20%

‐10%

0%

10%

20%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015EResidential Non‐Residential

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

AWP - Articulating Boom AWP - Scissor LiftsAWP - Telescopic Boom Forklifts Hi-Reach

40

45

50

55

60

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014YTD

Page 14: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 14

Leading supplier to U.S. DoD for medium and heavy payload TWVs Managing programs with lower expected funding Working on multiple international opportunities- Middle East: M-ATV, Medium & Heavy

TWV platforms- Canada: MSVS SMP

Defense Team Driving Hard Through Downturn

(1) FY15 estimates as of September 2012 Analyst Day(*) Non-GAAP results. See Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation

$0.0

$1.0

$2.0

$3.0

$4.0

$5.0

FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E

Sale

s in

Bill

ions

$4.0

$3.0

$1.725-$1.75 $1.5 Target (1)

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

FY12 FY13 FY14E FY15E

6.0%

7.4%

~4.75%*

Baseline~2.0% (1)

Ope

ratin

g In

com

e M

argi

n

DoD Funding Drives Lower Defense Outlook Through FY15

$0.8 Baseline (1)

Page 15: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Competing in Light TWV MarketJoint Light Tactical Vehicle Program

JLTV represents opportunity to recreate the business- One of three EMD phase suppliers - Strong congressional and pentagon

program support- Large unit potentialo Initial contract ~17,000o Total U.S. requirements of ~55,000o Attractive global customer prospects

- Leverages Oshkosh strengths- Contract award scheduled for

summer 2015

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 15

Page 16: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Fire & Emergency

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 16

Industry-leading brands- Pierce firetrucks- Oshkosh ARFF and snow removal

vehicles- Frontline broadcast vehicles

Extensive new product launches at FDIC show in April 2014

Slowly recovering U.S. municipal demand

Lower funding limiting federal demand

Investing in operations to achieve MOVE targets Expect greater benefit in 4Q FY14

and throughout FY15

Page 17: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Domestic Fire Market Drivers Recovering • Municipal fire truck orders improving with tax receipts

HOUSING PRICES & LOCAL PROPERTY TAXES

17August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout

‐8%

‐6%

‐4%

‐2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Year‐Over‐Year Percent Change In Housing Prices vs. Local Property Taxes (4‐quarter moving average)

RecessionHousing Price IndexLocal Property Taxes

Source: Rockefeller Institute analysis of U.S. Census Bureau Quarterly Summary of State and Local Government Tax Revenue and Federal Housing Finance Agency, House Price Indexes data (All Transactions).

Page 18: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Commercial

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 18

Strong concrete mixer and RCV brands Positive outlook for U.S.

concrete mixer market Housing trend generally

positive Strong ConExpo trade show

Expect flat U.S. RCV market in 2014 Remain focused on driving

improved segment results Expect greater benefit in

Q4 FY14 and into FY15

Page 19: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Construction: Substantial MixerOpportunities with Modest Recovery

Housing Starts and Mixer Shipments (1959-2013)

19

Sources: Housing Starts - U.S. Census Bureau. Mixer Shipments - Truck Mixer Manufacturers Bureau; U.S. and Canada.

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

Mixer units

Hou

sing

Sta

rts

(Uni

ts in

Mill

ions

)

Housing Starts Mixer Units Shipped

Moody’s – June ’14Global Insight – June ’14PCA – April ’14

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

2012 2013 2014E 2015E

Hou

sing

 Starts (un

its in

 millions)

U.S. Housing Starts Forecast

Moodys Portland Cement AssociationGlobal Insight Average Analyst Estimate

Page 20: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Moving Forward in FY14

Page 21: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Q3 Performance Highlights

Adjusted EPS* of $1.23 Improved access equipment

and commercial performance offset by expected lower defense results Access equipment posted all

time records for revenue and operating income Strong investments in NPD Announced quarterly dividend

of $0.15 per share

Net

Sal

es(b

illio

ns)

Adjusted EPS*

OSK Fiscal Q3 Performance

* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 21

$1.9

$2.2

$1.23

$1.67

$0.00

$0.25

$0.50

$0.75

$1.00

$1.25

$1.50

$1.75

$2.00

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

FY14 FY13Net Sales Adjusted EPS*

Page 22: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Expectations for FY14

Additional expectations Corporate expenses ~$10 million higher than

adjusted FY13* Tax rate* of ~32.0% CapEx of ~$100 million Free cash flow* ~$100 million Assumes share count of ~86.0 million

Segment information

Measure Access Equipment Defense Fire &

Emergency Commercial

Sales(billions) $3.40 - $3.425 $1.725 - $1.75 ~$0.775 ~$0.85

Operating Income Margin ~14.6% ~4.75%* ~3.5% ~6.0%

• Revenues of $6.7 billion to $6.75 billion• Adjusted operating income* of $490 million to $505 million• Adjusted EPS* of $3.40 to $3.55

* Non-GAAP results. See Appendix for reconciliation to GAAP results.

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 22

Page 23: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

MOVE Investments Providing Returns Recovering demand for

non-defense businesses in North America- Europe looking stronger Additional cost take-out- Focus on product, process

and overhead costs- Dedicated teams leveraging

the Oshkosh Operating System

Innovations improving customers’ performance at work Driving to grow

international sales

23August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout

Page 24: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Our Commitment to Shareholders Continue executing MOVE to drive shareholder value- Finish FY14 with strength - Impacted by housing starts; expect follow on growth in non-

residential construction and municipal recovery- MOVE initiatives driving margin expansion- Targeting FY15 EPS of $4.00 to $4.50

Oshkosh Operating System developingprocesses and talent

24

Transforming to Sustain Long-Term Value Creation for Shareholders

Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout August 2014

Page 25: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

For informationcontact:

Patrick N. DavidsonVice President, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]

Jeffrey D. WattDirector, Investor Relations(920) [email protected]

Page 26: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Appendix: Commonly Used Acronyms

26

ARFF Aircraft Rescue and Firefighting M-ATV MRAP All-Terrain VehicleAWP Aerial Work Platform MECV Modernized Expanded Capability VehicleCapEx Capital Expenditures MRAP Mine Resistant Ambush ProtectedCNG Compressed Natural Gas MSVS Medium Support Vehicle System (Canada)DGE Diesel Gallon Equivalent NOL Net Operating LossDoD Department of Defense NPD New Product DevelopmentEAME Europe, Africa & Middle East NRC National Rental CompanyEMD Engineering & Manufacturing Development OI Operating IncomeEPS Diluted Earnings Per Share OOS Oshkosh Operating SystemFHTV Family of Heavy Tactical Vehicles PLS Palletized Load SystemFMS Foreign Military Sales PUC Pierce Ultimate ConfigurationFMTV Family of Medium Tactical Vehicles R&D Research & DevelopmentHEMTT Heavy Expanded Mobility Tactical Truck RCV Refuse Collection VehicleHET Heavy Equipment Transporter RFP Request for ProposalHMMWV High Mobility Multi-Purpose Wheeled Vehicle ROW Rest of WorldIRC Independent Rental Company SMP Standard Military Pattern (Canadian MSVS)IT Information Technology TACOM Tank-automotive and Armaments CommandJLTV Joint Light Tactical Vehicle TDP Technical Data PackageJPO Joint Program Office TPV Tactical Protector VehicleJROC Joint Requirements Oversight Council TWV Tactical Wheeled VehicleJUONS Joint Urgent Operational Needs Statement UCA Undefinitized Contract ActionL-ATV Light Combat Tactical All-Terrain Vehicle UIK Underbody Improvement Kit (for M-ATV)LVSR Logistic Vehicle System Replacement

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout

Page 27: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation

• The tables below present a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures:

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 27

2014 2013

Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations-diluted (non-GAAP) 1.23$ 1.67$ Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs, net of tax (0.08) - OPEB curtailment gain, net of tax 0.07 - Earnings per share from continuing operations-diluted (non-GAAP) 1.22$ 1.67$

Three Months EndedJune 30,

Page 28: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation

• The tables below present a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures (in millions, except per share amounts):

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 28

Low High

Adjusted operating income (non-GAAP) 490.0$ 505.0$ Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs (10.7) (10.7) OPEB curtailment gain 9.7 9.7 Pension curtailment loss (4.1) (4.1) Operating income (GAAP) 484.9$ 499.9$

Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations-diluted (non-GAAP) 3.40$ 3.55$ Reduction of valuation allowance on net operating loss carryforward 0.14 0.14Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs, net of tax (0.08) (0.08)OPEB curtailment gain, net of tax 0.07 0.07Pension curtailment loss, net of tax (0.03) (0.03)Debt extinguishment costs, net of tax (0.08) (0.08)Earnings per share from continuing operations-diluted (GAAP) 3.42$ 3.57$

Adjusted operating expenses-Corporate (non-GAAP) (147.6)$ Tender offer and proxy contest costs (16.3) Operating expenses-Corporate (GAAP) (163.9)$

Fiscal Year EndedSeptember 30, 2013

Fiscal 2014 Expectations

Page 29: Jefferies 2014 Global Industrials Conference slides

MOVING THE WORLD AT WORK

Appendix: Non-GAAP to GAAP Reconciliation

• The tables below present a reconciliation of the Company’s presented non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures (in millions):

August 2014Oshkosh Corporation Investor Handout 29

Fiscal 2014Expectations

Net cash flows provided by operating activities 213.0$ Additions to property, plant and equipment (100.0) Additions to equipment held for rental (19.0) Proceeds from sale of equipment held for rental 6.0 Free cash flow 100.0$

Effective tax rate (non-GAAP) 32.0%Reduction of valuation allowance on net operating loss carryforward (3.0)%Effective tax rate (GAAP) 29.0%

Defense adjusted operating income margin (non-GAAP) 4.75%Contract pricing adjustment for OPEB costs (0.62)%OPEB curtailment gain 0.56%Pension curtailment loss (0.24)%Defense operating income margin (GAAP) 4.45%