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January 28 th 2013

January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda T-shirts! Survey discussion Today in the Market Robotics and Biomedical

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Page 1: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

January 28th 2013

Page 2: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Agenda

T-shirts! Survey discussion Today in the Market Robotics and Biomedical discussion

Page 3: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Today in the Market

Page 5: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Today in the Market

Update on Dell Up past $13/share Next earnings date is:

February 19th, 2013

Low P/E ratio : 8.90

Page 6: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

The Robotic Industry

Page 7: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Robotics

“The branch of technology that deals with the design, construction, operation and application of robots, and computer systems for their control, sensory feedback, and information processing.”

“These technologies deal with the automated machines that can take the place of humans, in hazardous or manufacturing environments”

Page 8: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Robotics

Robot in a foundry SegwayMilitary Style Robots

Intuitive Surgical Robot

Robotics at Toyota

Page 9: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Robotics

First read about it in the fourth December Kiplinger Letter of last year.In summary:There is tremendous growthSales are expected to sky rocketTechnology changesThe uses are becoming more applicable to our lives and businessesIt’s becoming more economical to utilize robots

Page 10: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Growth

There are 1.4 million industrial robots deployed worldwide Several million more for in-home use

2010 120,000 manufactured and shipped

2012 180,000 manufactured and shipped 50% growth in 2 years

Page 11: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Growth

Three Ds

Too Dirty Too Dull Too Dangerous

Page 12: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Growth

Estimates say there will 210,000 in 2015 A total of ~ 16-million household robotics

Page 13: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Sales

Only 10% of potential industries utilize robots Automobile industry are the biggest users

Spot welding Frame assembly Coating and Paint Transportation Manufacturing Line & Supplies

Major automobile making nations average 1,260 robots for every 10,000 employees

Page 14: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Sales

Only 55 mechanical laborers per 10,000 humans in other manufacturing nations South Korea & Japan remains leader in

robot density 347/10,000 & 339/10,000

United States firms have ~ 135/10,000 By 2015, sales expected to grow about

11%

Page 15: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Technology Changes

Faster internet connections Robots seek information & learn on the job Acquire better models, in real-time Cloud computing Eliminate bulky

processors

Better Micro-Processors Cuts costs and increases efficiency

New materials

Page 16: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Technology Changes

Advanced sensors Sense temperature, pressure, texture much

quicker Higher degree of accuracy Replicate human hand The “Human

touch”

AI (Artificial Intelligence) The act of learning New algorithms Smarter machines

Page 17: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Technology Changes

Nanotechnology Robots small enough to enter the human

body Crossing into the biomedical industry

Also includes precise machining and drilling for nanosurfaces

Page 18: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Technology Changes

Teamwork The ability to combine

efforts and allow interaction

Carnegie Melon

Humans working side by side with robots

Page 19: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Uses

Packers, Couriers, and assistants Walgreens and Toys”R”Us

Industrial Workers Rivets, welds, lifting, etc.

Farming Weeding, fertilizing, etc.

Page 20: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Uses

Medical Clean out arteries, deliver drugs

Military Drones, border surveillance, decoy soldiers, etc. Roughly 35% of current aircraft are drones Bumblebee-size scouts

Household helpers iRobot, Windoro™, laundry folding, etc.

Page 21: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Economic Impact

Boost in productivity Computers boosted output per hour of labor

1.6% in 1970-1995 to 2.6% in 1996-2005

New jobs (Over time) Hard to imagine… With a new industry, comes need for design,

manufacturing, monitoring, fixing, etc. New jobs in related fields

Page 22: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Economic Impact

New Jobs More growth More disposable income

More spending More demand for goods More demand for people to fulfill demand!

Not so painless… Robots will displace thousands of jobs China, Japan and South Korea may take

largest hit No need for labor Manufacturing in the USA

Page 23: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Economic Impact

Investing in automation pays off In 1990 an expansion would have cost a

firm twice as much to automate (robots) than to fulfill with humans It’s about equivalent today

Page 24: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Intuitive Surgical (ISGR)

A quick peak at a stock…

Page 25: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Overview

Sunnyvale, CA Da Vinci Surgical System Less than 1,000

employees

Page 26: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical
Page 27: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical
Page 28: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical
Page 29: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

ISRG

Currently dominate the medical robotic industry Biomedical field is known as one of the

most profitable fields for manufacturing Christian discussed this with Atrion

Da Vinci product is revolutionary

Company estimates revenue growth of 21%-23% year after year

Page 30: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

ISRG

A lot of cash $4.6B

Very high EPS (Earnings/Share)

Page 31: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

ISRG

No outstanding debt Investments

Short: $1.14B Long: $1.6B

Risks: High P/E ratio: 36.17 No dividend

Page 32: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Resources

http://seekingalpha.com/article/400941-my-2-best-performing-stocks-of-the-last-year

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1049421-intuitive-surgical-leads-the-pack-in-robotic-surgery

Page 33: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Membership

Cost is only $20 for the whole year! Benefits:

Member of a very beneficial and informative club that will inevitably be valuable in your future

A network of friends who share a similar interest in investing and personal finance

A virtual portfolio challenge that will strengthen your confidence in investing

Page 34: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Membership

Make sure to check out our website for the presentations Monday night | ccig.osu.edu

Get on our Facebook page and like us!www.facebook.com/ccigosu

Page 35: January 28 th 2013. Common Cents Investment Group January, 2013 Agenda  T-shirts!  Survey discussion  Today in the Market  Robotics and Biomedical

Common Cents Investment GroupJanuary, 2013

Questions?

Questions, comments or concerns?