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  • 8/17/2019 J Street Volume 294

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    Company Basics

    E Code 538268

    E Symbol WONDERLA

    UITY (  in Cr.) 56.50

    T.CAP (  in Cr.) 2182.90

    Financial Basics

    FV ( ) 10.00

    EPS ( ) (TTM) 10.41

    P/E (x) (TTM) 37.11

    P/BV (x) (TTM) 5.51

    BETA 0.6705

    RONW (%) 20.00

    Share Holding Pattern

    Holder's Name % Holdin

    Foreign 12.38

    Institutions 4.38

    Promoters 70.99

    Non. Promoters 0.00

    Public & Others 9.01

    Govt Holding 3.25

    mpany Overview

    nderla Holidays is one of the largest operators of amusement parks in India, which owns and operates two park

    brand name “Wonderla”, situated at Kochi , Bangalore, Hyderabad. In FY16, it had a cumulative annual footf

    mpany has also developed the Wonderla Resort in Bangalore, a Three Star leisure resort, next to its amusemen

    mprising of 84 luxury rooms.

    estment rational

    onderla Hyderabad”- next feather in Wonderla ’s kitty

    nderla', the third theme park from Wonderla Holidays in the country and the first in the State, is built in 50 acres

    h an investment of Rs. 250 crore. It has 43 attractions, which include 25 land based and 18 water based rides. A

    ping roller coaster imported from Netherlands, and space themed flying theatre that is yet to be opened, would

    or attractions. Management plans to launch a fourth park in Chennai at a cost of Rs. 300 Cr. , that would be their

    me based amusement park.

    ong operating experience - a key requirement as Operator

    L ’s management has rich operating experience in operating the park, which is the key requirement for successustry. The first park was opened in Kochi in 2000 and the next one in Bangalore in 2005. Thus, promoters have o

    rs of rich and successful experience in park operations. Amusement parks operate for 365 days from 11am-7p

    hol-based beverages are not allowed inside.

    ong competitive advantage- High entry barrier

    elopment of large amusement parks typically require huge investment involving land acquisition, establish

    astructure and rides, and regular investment in creation of new rides. Due to its highly capital intensive

    eving the required footfall becomes highly critical, especially in newly developed parks, in order to break-even. ~

    ex is required to established an amusement park .Companies existing parks of Wonderla at Bangalore and Kochi a

    ing sufficient revenue and have witnessed steady growth in footfalls over the years.

    uation : WONDERLA is trading at 379. We recommend “ Accumulate” with target price of 498 ,

    k 30xFY18E EPS of 16.62.The stock current ly trades at 32.47x of FY16E, 27.93xof FY17E and 22.98x of FY

    mpany Update : Wonderla Holidays Ltd.

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    mmodity Corner

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    DAMENTAL: Bullion prices last week ended with losses where gold prices dropped by over one percent and silver ended with around 1.8er dollar and strong U.S. economic data suggesting a brightening outlook for the economy. Bullion has rallied 20 percent this year as ct the strength of the global economy prompted traders to pare expectations for U.S. rate increases by the Federal Reserve this year. U

    s jumped 1.3 percent last month, the largest gain since March 2015 and a bigger rise than the 0.8 percent expected. The overall reading recom auto sales, which surged 3.2% on the month. Still, core retail sales, which discounted the effects of auto purchases, increased by 0.8%casts for gains of 0.5%. The University of Michigan's Consumer Survey Center said its Consumer Sentiment Index soared nearly seven poMay flash reading to 95.8, significantly above consensus expectations of 89.7. It came weeks after consumer sentiment slumped to 89.0 inreading, dropping to its lowest level since last September. In the May reading, though, the expectations component surged nearly 10 pulling up the general index. Over the last year, the sluggish expectations component has dragged down consumer sentiments overall. Icontinued to react to a letter from Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen to a member of the House Financial Services Committee regarding t

    ote possibility likelihood of adopting a negative interest rate policy in the near future. Over the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) ftings of 2016, the U.S. central bank has held its benchmark interest rate steady while central banks in Japan and the euro area have adopt

    nterest rate regimes. India's gold demand in the first quarter slumped 39 percent from a year ago due to a rally in gold prices, jewellers' sonsumers had delayed purchases hoping a cut in India's 10 percent import duty on gold in the national budget, the World Gold Council sawere offering discounts of up to $15 an ounce to the global spot benchmark this week, up from a discount of up to $12 in the previous weekOMMENDATION : SELL GOLD @ 30600 SL 30950 TGT 30050-29700. SELL SILVER @ 42000 SL 43200 TGT 40500-39000

    DAMENTAL : Last week base metals prices ended with losses except Zinc prices that ended with around 0.76% gains as support seen awed inventories in warehouses registered with the LME continued to erode, falling to 390,375 tonnes. The figure is the lowest since Ju

    t two-thirds below the record peak in 2013, although some stock is thought to have been shifted to cheaper storage outside LME wareprices recovered some of its losses on Friday after a string of declines as some investors closed out positions that had been betting os though others remained cautious ahead Chinese economic data. Refined zinc production will trail consumption by 352,000 metric t, the ILZSG said in April, widening its deficit forecast from 152,000 tons in October. Supply tightness in North China is expected to ease,n increasing number of mines restart due to warmer weather. U.S. producer prices rose in April as energy prices increased, but a marge cost of services pointed to a moderate increase in inflation in the coming months. The Labor Department said its producer price index

    percent last month after slipping 0.1 percent in March. The Commerce Department said retail sales jumped 1.3 percent last month, thesince March 2015. Codelco, the world’s biggest copper producer, sees prices rising toward the end of next year as investment cuts hast

    ncing of global supply and demand. Poor Chinese data has done little to improve sentiment. The country’s M2 money supply at 556 billrshot the expected 820 billion yuan while new loans at -3.6 percent missed the projected -2.8 percent. Copper inventories fell a net 3,8

    to 156,675 tonnes and cancelled warrants dropped 3,700 tonnes to 36,525 tonnes. Meanwhile, SHFE stocks have fallen more than 26,0there is growing speculation location that metal will continue to out to LME warehouses in the coming weeks. The shortfall in refined co

    h 56,000 metric tons in 2016, the International Copper Study Group said in March. In October, the group predicted a surplus of 175,0ian aluminium giant Rusal warned against Chinese smelters restarting plants to keep from undermining prices that have retreated fros as Chinese producers consider launching a fund to deal with the layoffs from closures.

    OMMENDATION : BUY COPPER @ 304 SL 298 TGT 312-330. Zinc BUY ZINC @ 123 SL 119 TGT 127.50-132. Nickel BUY NICKEL @TGT 590-620. Aluminium BUY ALUMINIUM @ 101 SL 98 TGT 106.50-110. Lead BUY LEAD @ 112 SL 108 TGT 118-122

    DAMENTAL : Crude oil prices last week ended with four percent gains supported by a U.S. government report that revealed an unekly drop in crude inventories and a ninth straight week of falling domestic production. The US crude stockpiles fell unexpectedly last weetime since March as imports slipped, U.S. government data showed. OPEC said in its Monthly Oil Report for May that crude oil producth rose by 188,000 barrels per day to average 32.44 million bpd, according to secondary sources. Output in the Saudi kingdom still remame record highs. Overall, OPEC production reached its highest level since the peak of the Financial Crisis. Still, the value of OPEC's Reet moved higher for the third consecutive month, gaining $3.21 per barrel to $37.86. OPEC credited an accelerated decline of Uuction, a weaker dollar, a wave of supply disruptions worldwide and forecasts for a sharp fall in non-OPEC production for the latest pricord bullish bets on higher futures prices by speculators also helped once more this month," OPEC said in the report. "Nevertheless, fun oversupply still persists, and oil output remains high." Elsewhere, oil services firm Baker Hughes said in its weekly rig count report thaweek fell by 10 to 318, dropping to the lowest level since October, 2009. Moreover, the IEA issued a bullish forecast for the commodityhat global oil markets are heading towards a long-awaited balance as crude supplies will shrink "dramatically" later this year. Natural gd with one percent gains as weather forecasts for the end of the week indicate a cold snap across much of North America, boosting neand for the heating fuel. Moderate indoor-heating demand helped push the natural-gas market into oversupply this winter. Governmsed suggested the market was undersupplied last week by 3.4 billion cubic feet a day, which is what it needs to reduce the storage glu

    winter. In its weekly report the Energy Information Administration said natural gas storage in the week ended May 6 rose by 56 billion cupared to expectations for an increase of 58 bcf. Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2,681 bcf the EIA said.

    OMMENDATION : BUY CRUDE OIL @ 3020 SL 2900 TGT 3180-3300 .SELL NATURAL GAS @ 145 SL 156 TGT 136-130

    BULLION

    BASE METALS

    ENERGY

    294May,2016

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    mmodity Corner

    USD/INR

    6-

    rex Corner

    EUR/INR

    GBP/INR

    JPY/INR

    rket Eye Week ahead :

    The Average Directional moving index (ADX) is below 20 on both daily and weekly charts indicating rangemovement of pair the whole week on broader basis. On the daily chart prices are trading in the rising wedge like which is a short term bearish pattern. US dollar index is trading at 94.64, appreciating against most of the maFriday after a better than expected retail sales data was reported. Range of the pair for whole week is 66.30-67.30

    Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Cl

    SD/INR 66.42 66.67 66.87 67.12 67.32 67.06 66.61 66

    Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Cl

    PY/INR 60.45 60.96 61.63 62.14 62.81 62.30 61.12 61

    Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Cl

    BP/INR 95.47 95.99 96.47 96.99 97.47 96.95 95.95 96

    Level S2 S1 CP R1 R2 High Low Cl

    UR/INR 75.62 75.81 76.08 76.27 76.54 76.35 75.89 76

    rket Recap :

    The Indian rupee weakened further in early tradeson Monday, 16 May 2016 due to continued demandor the American currency from banks and import-

    ers.

    The domestic currency opened at Rs 66.90 againsthe dollar but recovered back to a high of 66.81 soar during the day.

    n the spot currency market, the Indian unit was lasteen trading at 66.87.

    Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar index, which measureshe greenback's strength against a trade-weighted

    basket of six major currencies, rose 0.03% to 94.63.

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    Next batch of Q4 results of India Inc., macroeconomic data, trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio investornd domestic institutional investors (DIIs), the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement will dictaterend in the near term.

    Nifty last week opened at 7755.25, attained a low at 7753.54 and moved up to 7916.04. Nifty finally closed the week at hereby showed a net rise of 81.44 points week to week basis. We had said last week to continue to hold long with profit bools placed at 7767-7856-7891. In the event of a breakout and close above 7992 expect the rally to be witnessed towards the nly zone of 8217-8235. Traders long and holding the same can maintain the stop loss at 7678. Use rise from 7814-7992 to end take profits. Re-enter long on close above 7992.

    7-

    treet Recommendations Report Card

    Top Fundamental Stocks

    Stocks Rec. Date CMP on Rec. CMP Target AbsoluteReturn @

    CMPSta

    na Auto 22/02/2016 133 145 181 9% B

    Educare 1/2/2016 164 194 230 19% B

    ware-Wall Ropes 28/12/2015 425 336 550 -21% B

    spun syntax 23/11/2015 121 110 223 -9% B

    co Pharma 2/11/2015 509 455 636 -11% B

    F 21/09/2015 1140 1261 1374 11% B

    uwalia contracts 24/08/2015 235 281 368 20% B

    nite Computer Sol. 20/07/2015 190 230 255 21% B

    bika Cotton Mil ls 18/05/2015 880 863 1149 -2% B

    bhav Engineering4/5/2015 298 270 430 -9% B

    kar speciality 16/03/2015 152 182 251 20% B

    FL 16/02/2015 252 203 368 -19%  Accum

    Today Network 27/01/2015 222 335 337 51% B

    M 12/1/2015 1238 1318 1452 6% B

    ells India 27/10/2014 274 358 346 31% B

    C India Fin. Ser. 7/7/2014 39 39 45 0% B

    ni Port 5/7/2014 280 186 347 -34%  Accum

    d-Tek Packaging 04/04/2016 138 165 179 20% B

    nderla Holidays 25/04/2016 387 379 498 -2%  Accum

    s not important whether you are right or wrong, It’s about how much money you make when you're right and h

    ch you

     lose

     when

     you're

     wrong.”

     

    294May,2016

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    treet Short Term Call Status

    294May,2016

    DATE  STOCK  BUY/SELL 

    RANGE  RANGE  TRIGGER PRICE 

    TGT  SL  STATUS RE

    23‐Mar‐16  BHEL  BUY  115  118  116.50  120.00  112  SL 

    28‐Mar‐16  TATASTEEL  BUY  314  320  317.00  328.00  304  TA 

    29‐Mar‐16  AXISBANK  SELL  421  428  424.50  411.00  440  SL 

    30‐Mar‐16  CIPLA  SELL  500  510  505.00  490.00  520  SL 

    31‐Mar‐16  BAJAJFINANCE  BUY  6750  6860  6805.00  7120.00  6600  TA 

    4‐Apr‐16 HEROMO‐

    TOCO BUY  2930  2990  2960.00  3140.00  2850  TA 

    5‐Apr‐16 ORIENTAL‐

    BANK SELL  94  97  95.50  90.00  100  TA 

    6‐Apr‐16  SBIN  SELL  182  186  184.00  174.00  191  SL 

    7‐Apr‐16  UNIONBANK  SELL  126  129  127.50  120.00  133  SL 

    8‐Apr‐16  LT  SELL  1176  1198  1187.00  1132.00  1230  SL 

    11‐Apr

    ‐16

     TCS

     SELL

     2415

     2463

     2439.00

     2375.00

     2520

     SL

     

    12‐Apr‐16  MOTHERSUMI  BUY  250  255  252.50  260.00  244  TA 

    13‐Apr‐16  ASHOKLEY  BUY  110  113  111.50  115.00  107  SL 

    18‐Apr‐16  DHFL  BUY  200  205  202.50  210.00  194  TA 

    20‐Apr‐16  SRTTRANSFIN  BUY  990  1010  1035.00  1055.00  960  SL 

    21‐Apr‐16  HINDUNILVR  BUY  894  914  904.00  935.00  860  SL 

    22‐Apr

    ‐16

     ICICIBANK

     BUY

     251

     255

     253.00

     261.00

     243

     SL

     

    25‐Apr‐16  ASHOKLEY  BUY  103  106  104.50  111.00  100  SL 

    26‐Apr‐16  CEATLTD  BUY  1130  1150  1035.00  1195.00  1100  SL 

    27‐Apr‐16  YESBANK  BUY  902  922  912.00  960.00  875  TA 

    28‐Apr‐16  RCOM  BUY  59  61  60.00  66.00  56  SL 

    2‐May‐16  AXISBANK  BUY  471  479  475.00  495.00  455  SL 

    3‐May‐16  COLPAL  BUY  843  859  851.00  878.00  825  SL 

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    treet Short Term Call Status

    294May,2016

    DATE  STOCK  BUY/SELL 

    RANGE  TRIGGER PRICE 

    TGT  SL  STATUS  CMP RE

    4‐May‐16  BANKINDIA  SELL  86  89  87.50  84.00  92  TA 

    5‐May‐16  PETRONET  BUY  275  281  278.00  288.00  266  TA 

    6‐May‐16  UPL  BUY  590  600  595.00  615.00  573  OPEN 

    9‐May‐16  SRTRANSFIN  BUY  1040  1060  1050.00  1085  1005  OPEN 

    10‐May

    ‐16

     HDFC

     BUY

     1195

     1220

     1207.50

     1245

     1165

     OPEN

     

    11‐May‐16  JUSTDIAL  SELL  700  720  710.00  675.00  750  OPEN 

    12‐May‐16  MCDOWELL  BUY  2670  2730  2700.00  2800.00  2600  OPEN 

    13‐May‐16 AJANTA‐

    PHARMA SELL  1515  1545  1530.00  1475.00  1560  OPEN 

    STAUTS 

    CALLS 

    RATIO 

    TA+PB  15  48.39 

    SL+EXIT  16  51.61 

    TOTAL  31  100 

    One call on daily basis is given keeping view of short term trading on closing basis.Time frame and expected % of return is also mentioned with the suggested call.

    This call are purely given on technical trading system generated by the Technical Research Desk.Generally Expected Return on investment is 5-6 % with time horizon of 6-7 days.Profit Booking update is considered if on an average expected return exceed 3.50-4.00 % against Expected return of 5-6%Risk- Reward ratio percentage wise depends on the volatility of stock Normally it stands ( 3 : 9)

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