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Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer? Bruce M. Everett February 28, 2013

Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

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Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?. Bruce M. Everett February 28, 2013. Global CO 2 Emissions from Energy 1990 = 22 Billion tonnes. Rest of the World. OECD Europe. China. US. Source: Energy Information Administration. Global CO 2 Emissions from Energy 2013 = 33 Billion tonnes. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Bruce M. EverettFebruary 28, 2013

Page 2: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

OECD Europe

US

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy1990 = 22 Billion tonnes

China

Source: Energy Information Administration

Rest of the World

Page 3: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy2013 = 33 Billion tonnes

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 4: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy1990 = 22 Billion tonnes

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 5: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

OECD Europe

US

China

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy2013 = 33 Billion tonnes

Source: Energy Information Administration

Rest of the World

Page 6: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy2035 = 43 Billion tonnes

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 7: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy2013 = 33 Billion tonnes

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 8: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

OECD Europe

US

China

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy2035 = 43 Billion tonnes

Rest of the World

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 9: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Series10

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Energy intensity (Btu per $2005 of GDP)

1990 2011 2035

US

China

Page 10: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy2035 = 43 Billion tonnes

OECD Europe

US

China

Rest of the World

51 mpg $?

Biofuels$320 B

Wind$200 B

Electric Cars$60 B

Solar$200 B

2%A $trillion worth of policy

Wind

Solar

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 11: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

Global CO2 Emissions from Energy2035 = 43 Billion tonnes

OECD Europe

US

China

Rest of the World

Wind

Solar

2% Nuclear

Page 12: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

In 2035, China and India are projected to emit this much

CO2 from coal.

After 80 years and $1 trillion in subsidies, the global solar

industry will offset this much.

Page 13: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

The average American household emits about 50 metric tonnes of CO2

annually.

Page 14: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

How big should the carbon tax be?

Page 15: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

If you want:You need a tax of

(per tonne)Costing each family

(annually)

Onshore wind $170 $8,500

Offshore wind $570 $28,500

Electric cars $600 $30,000

Solar PV (home) $790 $39,500

Light rail $10,000 $500,000

How big should the carbon tax be?

The current European carbon price: $6/tonneThe current CDM price:$1/tonneUS RGGI price: $2/tonne

Page 16: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

“Sin” taxes are levied not to eliminate sin, but to raise revenue ($40 billion in 2010).

Prediction: Carbon taxes will be structured for revenue, not carbon reduction.

Page 17: Is a Carbon Tax Really the answer?

The key problems with a carbon tax:

1. Real CO2 emission reductions have unacceptable economic consequences.

2. US carbon emissions no longer matter.