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Investor Presentation 3Q 2016 November 2, 2016

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Page 1: Investor Presentation - s21.q4cdn.coms21.q4cdn.com/.../2016/MCO-3Q-2016-Investor-Presentation-vFINAL.… · TTM 3Q16 Revenue by Business United States 58% EMEA 25% Asia-Pacific 11%

Investor Presentation3Q 2016

November 2, 2016

Page 2: Investor Presentation - s21.q4cdn.coms21.q4cdn.com/.../2016/MCO-3Q-2016-Investor-Presentation-vFINAL.… · TTM 3Q16 Revenue by Business United States 58% EMEA 25% Asia-Pacific 11%

2November 2, 2016

DisclaimerCertain statements contained in this presentation are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for Moody’s

business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Moody’s outlook for 2016 and other forward-looking statements in this presentation

are made as of October 21, 2016, and the Company disclaims any duty to supplement, update or revise such statements on a going-forward basis, whether as

a result of subsequent developments, changed expectations or otherwise. In connection with the “safe harbor” provisions of the Private Securities Litigation

Reform Act of 1995, the Company is identifying certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by these

forward-looking statements. Those factors, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the current world-wide credit market disruptions and economic

slowdown, which is affecting and could continue to affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets; other

matters that could affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets, including regulation, credit quality concerns,

changes in interest rates and other volatility in the financial markets such as that due to the UK’s referendum vote whereby the UK citizens voted to withdraw

from the EU; the level of merger and acquisition activity in the U.S. and abroad; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and

foreign government initiatives to respond to the current world-wide credit market disruptions and economic slowdown; concerns in the marketplace affecting

our credibility or otherwise affecting market perceptions of the integrity or utility of independent credit agency ratings; the introduction of competing products or

technologies by other companies; pricing pressure from competitors and/or customers; the level of success of new product development and global expansion;

the impact of regulation as an NRSRO, the potential for new U.S., state and local legislation and regulations, including provisions in the Financial Reform Act

and regulations resulting from that Act; the potential for increased competition and regulation in the EU and other foreign jurisdictions; exposure to litigation

related to our rating opinions, as well as any other litigation, government and regulatory proceedings, investigations and inquires to which the Company may be

subject from time to time; provisions in the Financial Reform Act legislation modifying the pleading standards, and EU regulations modifying the liability

standards, applicable to credit rating agencies in a manner adverse to credit rating agencies; provisions of EU regulations imposing additional procedural and

substantive requirements on the pricing of services; the possible loss of key employees; failures or malfunctions of our operations and infrastructure; any

vulnerabilities to cyber threats or other cybersecurity concerns; the outcome of any review by controlling tax authorities of the Company’s global tax planning

initiatives; exposure to potential criminal sanctions or civil remedies if the Company fails to comply with foreign and U.S. laws and regulations that are

applicable in the jurisdictions in which the Company operates, including sanctions laws, anti-corruption laws, and local laws prohibiting corrupt payments to

government officials; the impact of mergers, acquisitions or other business combinations and the ability of the Company to successfully integrate acquired

businesses; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the level of future cash flows; the levels of capital investments; and a decline in the demand for credit risk

management tools by financial institutions. These factors, risks and uncertainties as well as other risks and uncertainties that could cause Moody’s actual

results to differ materially from those contemplated, expressed, projected, anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements are described in greater

detail under “Risk Factors” in Part I, Item 1A of the Company’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015, and in other filings made by

the Company from time to time with the SEC or in materials incorporated herein or therein. Stockholders and investors are cautioned that the occurrence of

any of these factors, risks and uncertainties may cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those contemplated, expressed, projected,

anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements, which could have a material and adverse effect on the Company’s business, results of operations and

financial condition. New factors may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict new factors, nor can the Company assess the

potential effect of any new factors on it.

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3November 2, 2016

Table of Contents

1. Financial Overview

2. Capital Markets Overview

3. Moody’s Investors Service (MIS)

4. Moody’s Analytics (MA)

5. Conclusion

6. Appendix

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4November 2, 2016

Moody’s Mission: To be the World’s Most Respected Authority Serving Risk-Sensitive Financial Markets

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Risk Understanding Risk Understanding Risk Understanding

Methodologies

Training & Certification

Analyst Outreach

Risk

Understanding

Ratings

Estimated Default Frequency

Analytics (EDFs)

Market-Implied Ratings

(MIRs)

Risk

Measurement

Research

(from both MIS & MA)

Advisory Services

Stress Testing

Software

Risk

Management

Moody’s is an essential component of the global capital markets, providing credit ratings,

research, tools and analysis that contribute to open and integrated financial markets

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5November 2, 2016

Financial Overview1

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6November 2, 2016

Research, data and software for financial risk analysis

and related professional services

Customers in 140 countries2

4,700 institutional customers; business with 86 of top

100 global banks2

Overview of Moody’s Corporation

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

» Leading global provider of credit rating opinions, insight and tools for financial

risk measurement and management

» TTM 3Q16 revenue of $3.5 billion; operating income of $1.4 billion

Independent provider of credit rating opinions and

related information for over 100 years

MIS provides ratings in more than 120 countries1

Ratings relationships with ~11,000 corporate issuers,

~20,000 public finance issuers and has rated and

currently monitors ~68,000 structured finance

obligations1

» 65% of total MCO revenue

» 84% of total MCO operating income

» 35% of total MCO revenue

» 16% of total MCO operating income

Note: All financial data is for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

1 As of December 31, 2015.

2 As of March 31, 2016.

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7November 2, 2016

Moody’s Revenue is Diversified by Business, Geography and Type

TTM 3Q16 Revenue by Business

United States58%

EMEA25%

Asia-Pacific11%

Americas6%

Corporate Finance

31%

Structured Finance

12%

Financial Institutions

11%

Public, Project & Infrastructure

11%

MIS Other1%

Research, Data &

Analytics19%

Enterprise Risk Solutions

11%

Professional Services

4%

MIS MA

TTM 3Q16 Revenue by Geography

U.S. Non-U.S.

TTM 3Q16 Revenue by Type

52%40%

74%

48%60%

26%

MCO MIS MA

Recurring Transaction

Note: All financial data is for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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8November 2, 2016

Long-term Growth Opportunities Intact Despite Near-term Macro Challenges

Potential Operating Income Margin Expansion

Ongoing Share Repurchases1

Long-Term EPS Growth Opportunity: Low-Teens to High-Teens % (on average)2

Long-Term Revenue Growth Opportunity: High Single-Digit to Low Double-Digit % (on average)

1 Subject to market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions.

2 Assumes no material change in effective tax rate, foreign exchange rates, leverage profile and/or capital allocation policy.

Debt market

issuance driven

by global

GDP growth

~2-4%

Disintermediation

of credit markets in both

developed and emerging

economies driving both

issuance and demand for

new products and

services

~2-3%

MA and MIS pricing

initiatives aligned with

value; affected by

business volumes and

mix

~3-4%

Growth in Moody’s

Analytics driven by

further penetration

of MA’s client base and

expansion of bank and

insurance risk regulatory

requirements

~2-3%

Potential Selective Acquisitions1

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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9November 2, 2016

1 Represents Non-GAAP EPS. See appendix for reconciliation from Non-GAAP to GAAP.

2 Guidance as of October 21, 2016.

3 Adjusted Operating Margin is a Non-GAAP measure. See appendix for reconciliation from Non-GAAP to GAAP.

4 As of November 2016, over last five available years. Free Cash Flow is a Non-GAAP financial measure. Source: FactSet.

5 Includes CLGX, DNB, EXPN, FDS, IHS, MORN, MSCI, SPGI, TRI and VRSK.

Operating Margin Performance

EPS1Revenue

$0.0

$1.0

$2.0

$3.0

$4.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F

$ B

illio

ns

Low-single-

digit

% growth

$1 of

Revenue

$2.46$2.99

$3.65$4.21

$4.60

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

$5.00

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F

39.0% 39.5%

41.5%

43.2%42.3%42.4%

43.3%44.7%

46.0% 45.5%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F

Operating Margin Adj. Operating Margin

~45%

~41%

$0.10

$0.23

$0.30

S&P 500

Select Peers

Moody's

5-year Average Free Cash Flow Conversion4

$4.62

to

$4.72

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

2 2

2

3

5

Consistently Delivered Strong Performance; 2016 More Challenging

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10November 2, 2016

Moody’s Investors Service

» Revised organizational structure

» Reengineering analytical support

group

» Upgrading IT for improved system

automation

All Areas of the Company Undertaking Actions to Actively Manage Expense Growth

Moody’s Analytics Moody’s Shared Services

» Higher margin product focus

» Limited growth of low-margin

services

» Salesforce efficiency

» Staffing shift to low-cost locations

» Improved process efficiency

through re-engineering and

technology enablement

» Flattened rate of headcount growth

» Increased use of Copal Amba

» Compensation management

» Performance culture

» Real estate densification

Expense and best practice initiatives to help drive

MCO operating margin to the mid-40s % range over the next several years

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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11November 2, 2016

Moody’s has a Disciplined Approach to Capital AllocationInvesting in Growth Opportunities Return of Capital

Reinvestment Acquisitions Dividends Share Repurchases

» Invest in existing businesses

to support organic growth

» FY 2016 capex guidance:

~$120 million1

» Aligned with strategy

» Opportunistic; ideally able to

use offshore cash

» Payout ratio potential is 25%

- 30% of net income at

current leverage2

» TTM 3Q 2016 payout ratio

was ~30%3

» FY 2016 share repurchase

guidance: ~$750 million1,4

» Average annualized net

share count reduction of

~3% from 2011 to 3Q 2016

» YTD 2016 average

repurchase price5 of $95.51

1 Guidance as of October 21, 2016.

2 Assumes continued balance of return of capital between dividends and share repurchase subject to available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions.

3 Dividend payout ratio is defined as dividends per share/Non-GAAP EPS.

4 Guidance as of October 21, 2016 (subject to available cash, market conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions).

5 Year-to-date as of September 30, 2016.

Share Repurchases and Dividends Paid Annualized Dividend Per Share(Last 5 Years)

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$334$197

$893

$1,221$1,098

$679$121

$143

$197

$236$272

$215

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

$ M

illions

Mill

ions o

f S

hare

s

Share Repurchases (R) Dividends Paid (R)

Share Count (L)

$455$340

$1,090

$1,457$1,370

YTD 3Q

2016

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

$1.20

$1.40

$1.60

Ma

r-1

1Jun-1

1S

ep-1

1D

ec-1

1M

ar-

12

Jun-1

2S

ep-1

2D

ec-1

2M

ar-

13

Jun-1

3S

ep-1

3D

ec-1

3M

ar-

14

Jun-1

4S

ep-1

4D

ec-1

4M

ar-

15

Jun-1

5S

ep-1

5D

ec-1

5M

ar-

16

Jun-1

6S

ep-1

6

$1.48

$1,086

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12November 2, 2016

Moody’s has Returned ~$5 Billion to Shareholders Since 2013

1 Year-to-date as of September 30, 2016.

2 Data for DNB, EXPN, SPGI, TRI and VRSK as of June 30, 2016; data for CLGX, FDS, INFO, MORN and MSCI as of September 30, 2016.

Source: FactSet. Peer group includes: CLGX, DNB, EXPN, FDS, INFO, MORN, MSCI, SPGI, TRI, VRSK.

Moody’s (2013 – 2016 YTD1) Peer Group Average (2013 – 2016 YTD2)

M&A

Capex

Dividends

ShareRepurchase

Return of

Capital = 88%Return of

Capital = 53%

72%

16%

5%7%

36%

17%

17%

30%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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13November 2, 2016

Overview of 2016 Transactions

» Automated financial data collection and business intelligence solutions

for the SME market

» Broadens scope of MA’s technology-enabled SME credit risk solutions

» Moody’s Analytics Risk Quality (MARQ) Score has been well received

» Advanced actuarial software for the global life insurance industry

» Enhances MA’s insurance risk offerings and analytical capabilities

» Significantly expands presence in the insurance analytics market

» Domestic credit ratings in Korea

» Expands MIS presence in Korea and exposure to the AsiaPacific

credit ratings markets

» KIS has been Moody’s Korea-based credit rating affiliate since 2001

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Full Year 2016

EPS Impact

» Credit rating agency based in Hamburg, Germany

» Leverages Moody’s ratings methodology and EH’s expertise in analyzing

trade credit

» Collaboration will launch new SME credit ratings services in Germany

in early 2017

N/A

N/A

($0.02)

N/A

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14November 2, 2016

Full Year 2016 Guidance as of October 21, 2016

1 Amount is a Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix for a reconciliation of this Non-GAAP measure to its comparable U.S. GAAP measure.

» Revenue: Increase in the low-single-digit % range

» Operating Expenses: Increase in the mid-single-digit % range

» Operating Margin: Approximately 41%

» Adjusted Operating Margin1: Approximately 45%

» Effective Tax Rate: 31% - 31.5%

» GAAP Earnings Per Share: $4.76 - $4.86

» Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share1: $4.62 - $4.72

» Share Repurchases: Approximately $750 million (subject to available cash, market

conditions and other ongoing capital allocation decisions)

» Capital Expenditures: Approximately $120 million

» Depreciation & Amortization: Approximately $130 million

» Free Cash Flow1: Approximately $1 billion

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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15November 2, 2016

Capital Markets Overview2

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16November 2, 2016

Debt Leverage up in North America but Down in Europe; Interest Coverage Remains Reasonable

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Credit Metrics: North American Speculative Grade Companies

Source: Moody’s Investors Service.

2.2x 2.1x 1.7x 1.5x 1.7x 2.0x 1.8x 1.7x 1.7x 1.8x 1.7x 1.7x

3.5x 3.6x3.9x

4.2x 4.0x 4.0x 4.1x4.4x 4.5x

4.8x 5.0x 5.0x

0.0x

1.0x

2.0x

3.0x

4.0x

5.0x

6.0x

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2Q2016

Inte

rest

Covera

ge

(EBITDA - Capex) / Interest Expense Debt / EBITDA

Credit Metrics: European Speculative Grade Companies

1.4x 1.8x 1.6x 1.5x 1.5x 1.5x 1.8x

4.9x4.3x 4.5x

4.8x 5.0x 4.9x

4.1x

0.0x

1.0x

2.0x

3.0x

4.0x

5.0x

6.0x

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Inte

rest

Covera

ge

(EBITDA - Capex) / Interest Expense Debt / EBITDA

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17November 2, 2016

Outside of Commodities, Default Rates are Contained

Default Rates for Global Corporate Rated Issuance1

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0% High Yield Historical Average

4.2% historic average

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

1 Moody’s rated corporate global speculative grade default historical average of 4.2% since 1983. 2016 and 2017 forecasts for trailing twelve months ended December 31, 2016

and September 30, 2017, respectively.

2 Commodities sector includes Oil & Gas and Metals & Mining.

Source: Moody’s Investors Service.

3 Trailing twelve months ending September 30, 2016.

2.2%

28.1%

5.4%

1.7%

2.0%

1.8%

Non-Commodities

Commodities

Total

2014

TTM 3Q 2016

U.S. Speculative Grade Default Rates2

» Global speculative-grade default rate expected to finish 2016 at 4.4% before settling back to 3.3% in

September 2017, helped by improved market conditions and fewer commodity defaults

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

3

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18November 2, 2016

North America and EMEA Non-Financial Corporates Have ~$3.1 Trillion of Refunding Needs1

Debt Maturities: North America Moody’s-Rated Corporate Bonds and Loans

$144$185 $202

$178$196

$19$41

$71$104

$159

$9$43

$111

$176

$264

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

$ B

illio

ns

Source: MIS, February 2016.

Note: Data represents U.S. & Canadian MIS rated corporate bonds & loans.

Debt Maturities: EMEA Moody’s-Rated Corporate Bonds and Loans

$196 $190 $176 $166

$41$71 $62

$81$52 $56 $62 $67

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

2017 2018 2019 2020

$ B

illio

ns

Source: MIS, July 2016.

2016 – 2020 CAGR

Investment Grade Bonds: 8%

Speculative Grade Bonds: 71%

Speculative Grade Bank Loans: 130%

1 Amount reflects total maturities identified in the above sources.

Investment Grade Bonds Speculative Grade Bonds Speculative Grade Bank Loans

2017 – 2020 CAGR

Investment Grade Bonds: (5%)

Speculative Grade Bonds: 25%

Speculative Grade Bank Loans: 9%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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19November 2, 2016

Debt Refinancing and M&A are Most Frequently Stated Uses of Proceeds

1 % of mentions for each respective period in bond issue or bank loan program tranche documents. Excludes issues of less than $25 million and general corporate purposes.

An issue can have multiple purposes and, as a result, %’s do not sum to 100%.

2 As of September 30, 2016.

Source: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group (CMRG).

Uses of Funds from USD High Yield Bonds and Bank Loans1

73%

62% 52%

83%

71% 74%78%

71%65%

54%64%

45%

63% 53%

19%

31% 30%25%

31%41% 54%

41%

24% 22% 17%

11%

7% 8% 8%7% 8%

5% 5%

9% 12% 9% 4%

18% 17% 18% 22% 20% 16% 17%

1998 1999 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016

% o

f M

entions

Debt Refinancing M&A Capital Spending Shareholder Payments

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

2

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20November 2, 2016

Disintermediation of Credit is an Ongoing Trend in the Global Capital Markets

Sources: ECB, Federal Reserve, BarCap Indices. Europe bank loan data includes Eurozone and UK bank loans. Europe bond data includes euro and sterling denominated bonds.

European data is through August 2016. U.S. data is through September 2016.

European Non-Financial Corporate

Bonds vs. Bank Loans Outstanding

4

8

%

€0

€1,000

€2,000

€3,000

€4,000

€5,000

€6,000

€7,000

€B

illio

ns

Bonds Loans

U.S. Non-Financial Corporate

Bonds vs. Bank Loans Outstanding

4

8

%

$0

$1,500

$3,000

$4,500

$6,000

$7,500

$9,000

$ B

illio

ns

Bonds Loans

79%

21%

47%

53%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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21November 2, 2016

Disintermediation is a Key Driver of Moody’s Global New Rating Mandates

0

400

800

1,200

2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2016

# o

f N

ew

Mandate

s

EMEA United States Rest of World

Global New Rating Mandates1

1 Rated by Moody’s Investors Service.

2 As of September 30, 2016.

Source: Moody’s Investors Service.

» In 3Q 2016, Moody’s new rating mandates increased to 227, up 24% from 183 in 2Q 2016

854

1,026 990

771

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

564

2

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22November 2, 2016

Moody’s Investors Service3

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23November 2, 2016

Rating Quality

Research & Insight

Service Level

Value Proposition

Expanded sales and

marketing activities in

Commercial Group

Proven rating accuracy

and deeply experienced

analysts

Improving the issuer /

investor experience

Focus on research

leadership

Moody’s Investors Service: A Leading Provider of Credit Ratings, Research and Risk Analysis

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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24November 2, 2016

Illustrative Value of a Moody’s Rating

Example: 10 year $500 million corporate bond

$15 million in total interest expense

vs.

lifetime cost of a rating

$500,000,000

x 4.3%

= $21,500,000

x 10 years

= $215,000,000

Unrated Rated by Moody’s

$500,000,000

x 4.0%

= $20,000,000

x 10 years

= $200,000,000

Bond

Interest rate

Annual interest payments

Tenor

Lifetime interest expense

Note: Illustrative spread differential based on feedback from syndicate desks and FBR & Co. research on Moody’s Corporation (January 2014) which stated that obtaining a Moody’s rating

typically saves approximately 30 basis points per year for investment grade issuers. Many factors go into the pricing of a bond.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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25November 2, 2016

Moody’s Continues to Invest in Key International Markets

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Americas APACEMEA

» 2015: Acquired 100% of

Equilibrium

» 2013: Opened MIS Warsaw

office

» 2016: Opened MIS Stockholm

office

» 2016: Collaboration with Euler

Hermes Rating

» 2006: Joint venture in China

domestic market with CCXI

» 2013: Opened MIS Mumbai and

Shanghai offices

» 2015: Acquired majority control

of ICRA

» 2016: Increased stake in KIS to

100%

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26November 2, 2016

40%

60%

Recurring Transaction

TTM 3Q 2016 Revenue: $2.3 billion

Moody’s Investors Service Financial Profile

Public,

Project, &

Infrastructure

Finance

17%

Financial

Institutions

16%

Corporate

Finance

48%

Structured

Finance

18%

MIS Other

1%

63%

37%

US Non-US

» 39% recurring revenue

» 62% recurring revenue

» 39% recurring revenue

2016 Revenue Guidance as of October 21, 2016

Global approximately flat

U.S. approximately flat

Non-U.S. approximately flat

Corporate Finance approximately flat

Structured Finance mid-single-digit % range

Financial Institutions low-single-digit % range

Public, Project & Infrastructure Finance approximately 10%

» 32% recurring revenue

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Note: All financial data is for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

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27November 2, 2016

Moody’s Analytics4

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28November 2, 2016

Moody’s Analytics Provides Essential Insight Serving Global Financial Markets

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Research Data & Analytics Enterprise Risk Solutions Professional Services

» MIS research & data

» MIS ratings feeds

» Quantitative credit metrics (EDFs)

» Economic research, data & models

» Structured finance analytics & data

» Software solutions and risk

management services that assist with:

- Financial spreading

- Risk scoring

- Default modeling

- Exposure aggregation &

management

- Portfolio analytics

- Stress testing

- Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA)

calculation and reporting

» Outsourced research & consulting

» Financial training & education

˗ In-house training, seminars &

on-line learning

˗ Professional certification

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29November 2, 2016

Research, Data and Analytics

54%

Enterprise Risk

Solutions34%

Professional Services

12%

TTM 3Q 2016 Revenue: $1.2 billion

Moody’s Analytics Financial Profile

74%

26%

Recurring Transaction

48%

52%

US Non-US » > 95% recurring revenue

» 96% retention rate

» 64% recurring revenue

» Combination of one-off contracts and

semi-recurring revenue

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Note: All financial data is for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

2016 Revenue Guidance as of October 21, 2016

Global mid-single-digit % range

U.S. low-double-digit % range

Non-U.S. low-single-digit % range

Research, Data & Analytics high-single-digit % range

Enterprise Risk Solutions high-single-digit % range

Professional Services low-single-digit % range

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30November 2, 2016

Moody’s Analytics has Multiple Platforms for Growth

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

$ M

illio

ns

2015 Revenue and

2008 – 2015 CAGR

~65% organic

Professional Services

$149.9m, 44% CAGR

~15% organic

Enterprise Risk Solutions

$374.0m, 18% CAGR

~70% organic

Research, Data & Analytics

$626.4m, 6% CAGR

~90% organic

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Added ~$600 Million in Revenue in 8 Years

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31November 2, 2016

RD&A: Growth Driven by Retention, New Sales and Pricing

Reported Revenue

Growth

$37.1 million

7.7%

Reported Revenue

Growth

$52.0 million

10.0%

94.7% 107.5%6.3%6.5%

Retained Base Upgrades and Price New Sales Business Base

95.9%109.7%6.3% 7.5%

Retained Base Upgrades and Price New Sales Business Base

Reported Revenue

Growth

$54.6 million

9.5%

Reported Revenue

Growth

$26.1 million

8.5%

Full

Ye

ar

201

4F

ull

Ye

ar

201

51

H 2

01

6F

ull

Ye

ar

201

3

95.1% 111.0%7.9%8.0%

Retained Base Upgrades and Price New Sales Business Base

96.3% 110.5%7.2%7.0%

Retained Base Upgrades and Price New Sales Business Base

Note: The sales growth attributions presented on this slide are related to RD&A subscription sales. Upgrades reflect amendments to existing customer contracts. New Sales reflect new

contracts with new and existing customers. Reported revenue growth reflects total RD&A revenue.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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32November 2, 2016

ERS: Solid Track Record of Growth

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

TT

M1

Revenue $

Mill

ions

Recurring Revenue: Subscriptions & Maintenance

Non-Recurring Revenue: License and Services

16% CAGR

11% CAGR

Overall CAGR Since 2011 of 14% » Growth drivers

– Regulation and accounting

standards driving demand for

automated software tools

– Financial institutions adopting

standard approaches and best

practices in risk management

– Expense management pressure

shifting FIs away from home-grown

technology solutions

» Investment in common code

base offering rich functionality

and streamlined configuration

options will drive sales and

simplify customer adoption

» Focus on higher-value, more

profitable business supports

margin expansion; some top-line

offset due to slower growth in

low-margin services

Reminder: While ~2/3 of revenue base is

renewable, results are affected by large projects –

timing may impact sales, revenues, and margin in

any one period1 Trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

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33November 2, 2016

Professional Services: Extending the Brand Into New Markets and Deepening Relationships With Customers

» Canada’s leading provider of financial services education and designations

» 270+ courses taken by 800,000+ financial professionals

» Endorsed by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC), Canada’s stock exchanges and

Canada’s securities regulatory commissions

Certificates, designations and accreditations

» Provider of global learning capabilities to banks, asset managers, regulators and non-bank financial institutions

» Expansion into new markets:

˗ India: Signed MOU with the National Institute of Securities Markets (NISM) to jointly offer certification programs

˗ Africa: MA is fast becoming a recognized standard for credit training in the region

Financial services training

» Leading provider of research, analytics and business intelligence services to global financial institutions

» Bespoke front-office support with client-dedicated analyst teams for 150+ clients

» More than 2,600 employees in offices in India, China, Sri Lanka and Costa Rica

» 13 years of experience helping clients enhance profitability, increase operational flexibility and drive revenues

Knowledge process outsourcing

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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34November 2, 2016

Conclusion5

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35November 2, 2016

Why Invest in Moody’s?

» We strive to be the world’s most respected authority serving risk-sensitive financial markets

» We have had strong revenue and earnings growth, as well as cash flow conversion

– 2011 – 2015 revenue CAGR of 11%

– 2011 – 2015 Non-GAAP EPS1 CAGR of 17%

– 2011 – 2015 free cash flow conversion rate of ~30%

» We are committed to returning capital to our shareholders

– 2011 – 2015 returned $4.7 billion, or 107% of free cash flow, to shareholders via share repurchases and

dividends

» We will selectively invest in strategic growth opportunities

– Leverage brand to extend our relevance in financial markets

– Expand our product offerings and geographic influence

1 See appendix for reconciliation of Non-GAAP EPS to GAAP EPS.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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37November 2, 2016

Appendix6

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38November 2, 2016

Corporate Finance: Revenue and Issuance

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

2 Other includes: monitoring, commercial paper, medium term notes, and ICRA.

3 Sources: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic; U.S. Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination represents Moody’s rated new U.S. bank loan programs. Note: Debt

issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.

$105 $112 $104 $108 $105 $104 $103 $105 $109

$39

$80 $87 $84$63 $71 $66 $79 $61

$55

$34$63 $61

$33 $27 $30

$51$59

$62$37

$45 $67

$48 $44 $41

$69 $71

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter

Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans

$173 $179 $178 $216$275 $312 $363

$420 $421$69 $66 $119$109

$137$197

$193

$230$305

$68

$27$84

$143

$120

$194$229

$219$183

$108

$36 $28 $96

$120

$155

$212

$242 $204

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year

Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans

$182

$285$343 $331

$237 $209

$317 $339 $319

$90

$74

$120$99

$62$48

$53

$103$91

$114

$52

$75 $109

$95

$75

$71

$99$120

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Global Rated Non-Financial Bonds and U.S. Speculative Grade Bank Loans (Quarterly)3

US Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination

Global Non-Financial Speculative-Grade Bond Issuance

Global Non-Financial Investment-Grade Bond Issuance

$682 $763

$1,129

$641 $750

$1,125 $1,073 $1,043 $1,120

$169

$65$221

$293$250

$329 $411 $405 $329$595

$134

$79

$273$330

$353$504

$425 $354

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Global Rated Non-Financial Bonds and U.S. Speculative Grade Bank Loans (Annually)3

US Speculative-Grade Bank Loan Origination

Global Non-Financial Speculative-Grade Bond Issuance

Global Non-Financial Investment-Grade Bond Issuance

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

2

2

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39November 2, 2016

42% 36% 36% 38% 35% 34%43% 42% 39% 43%

35% 36%

21%23% 19% 21% 29% 26%

25% 29%27%

27%

26% 20%

18% 23%23% 20%

21%19%

13% 11% 16% 13%17% 20%

18% 18% 21% 22%15%

21% 19% 18% 18% 17% 22% 23%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Other Investment Grade Speculative Grade Bank Loans

71% 74% 73% 70% 72% 73%65% 65% 69% 63%

71% 70%

29% 26% 27% 30% 28% 27%35% 35% 31% 37%

29% 30%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

Corporate Finance: Revenue Diversification

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

2 Other includes: monitoring, commercial paper, medium term notes, and ICRA.

Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.

35% 34% 38% 38% 36% 32% 30% 30% 32% 28% 32% 33%

65% 66% 62% 62% 64% 68% 70% 70% 68% 72% 68% 67%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Geography

Non - US US

Revenue1 Distribution: Product

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

2

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40November 2, 2016

Structured Finance: Revenue and Issuance

$23 $22 $21 $26 $21 $24 $20 $27 $23

$18 $20 $18$22

$19$23

$21$21

$19

$27$36

$33$32

$37$38

$28

$33$33

$34

$40

$29

$41$36

$30

$22

$30$29

$0

$0

$0

$1$0 $0

$1

$1$0

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

2 Sources: AB Alert, CM Alert, Moody’s Corporation. Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.

Notes: ABS (Asset Backed Securitization) includes asset-backed commercial paper and long-term asset-backed securities. RMBS (Residential Mortgage Backed Securitization) includes

covered bonds. CREF (Commercial Real Estate Finance) includes commercial mortgage-backed securities, real estate finance, commercial real estate CDOs, and real estate investment

trusts (REITs). Structured Credit includes CLOs and CDOs.

$174 $133 $101 $91 $107 $110 $98 $92 $91

$177

$74$59 $65 $90 $85 $73 $76 $81

$179

$55$46 $53

$70 $95 $116 $122 $140

$339

$142

$99 $82$78

$91 $96 $137 $135

$0

$0

$0 $0$0

$0 $0$0

$2

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other

$733$346 $296 $220 $319 $335 $317 $319 $292

$1,017

$766

$355 $396 $371 $231 $189 $238 $200

$373

$36

$30 $24 $36$73 $120 $114 $117

$391

$107

$93 $59 $39 $65$94

$159 $132

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Global Rated Structured Finance(Annually)2

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit

$70 $76 $73 $81$64 $74 $62

$88$68

$39$54

$38$41

$58$63

$58

$61

$36

$33$34

$30$32 $27

$28$21

$16 $25$41

$47

$25

$44$32

$30

$12

$24

$25

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Global Rated Structured Finance(Quarterly)2

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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41November 2, 2016

Structured Finance: Revenue Diversification

52% 58% 60% 62% 61% 66% 62% 67% 64%55% 61% 60%

48% 42% 40% 38% 39% 34% 38% 33% 36%45% 39% 40%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

53%46%

36% 34% 30% 28% 30% 34% 31% 34% 35% 31%

47%54%

64% 66% 70% 72% 70% 66% 69% 66% 65% 69%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Geography

Non - U.S. U.S.

31% 29% 26% 22% 21% 21% 18% 21% 20% 22% 24% 22%

26%22%

19%18% 18% 18%

17%20% 18%

23% 19% 18%

20%25%

30%28% 33% 27% 33%

33%31%

30% 30% 31%

23% 24% 25%32% 28% 34% 32% 26% 31% 24% 26% 27%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

ABS RMBS CREF Structured Credit Other

Revenue1 Distribution: by Product

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.

Notes: ABS (Asset Backed Securitization) includes asset-backed commercial paper and long-term asset-backed securities. RMBS (Residential Mortgage Backed Securitization) includes

covered bonds. CREF (Commercial Real Estate Finance) includes commercial mortgage-backed securities, real estate finance, commercial real estate CDOs, and real estate investment

trusts (REITs). Structured Credit includes CLOs and CDOs.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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42November 2, 2016

Financial Institutions: Revenue and Issuance

$61 $60 $63 $62 $58 $61 $59 $60 $63

$27$19

$25 $21 $26 $24 $30 $24$26

$4$4

$4$5 $3 $4 $4

$4$4

$0$2

$2

$2 $2 $2 $3$3

$3

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter

Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other

$178 $175 $176 $192 $205 $228 $234 $242 $244

$80 $71 $66$69

$73$79 $89 $92 $96

$17 $17 $16$18

$17

$19$16

$19 $16

$0$0 $0

$0$0

$0 $0 $2 $9

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year

Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other

$1,853 $1,779 $1,764

$1,340 $1,266 $1,312$1,072

$1,247 $1,194

$58$32 $80

$87$79

$137

$161

$197$136

$0

$400

$800

$1,200

$1,600

$2,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Global Rated Financial Bonds(Annually)2

Global Spec Grade Corporate Bond Issuance

Global Inv Grade Corporate Bond Issuance

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

2 Sources: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.

$286$241

$379

$285 $262 $268

$369$318

$278

$38

$32

$42

$42$28 $24

$26

$29$38

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Global Rated Financial Bonds(Quarterly)2

Global Speculative Grade Financial Corporate Bond Issuance

Global Investment Grade Financial Corporate Bond Issuance

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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43November 2, 2016

Financial Institutions: Revenue Diversification

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.

34% 37% 35% 35% 40% 36% 35% 38% 37% 39% 33%41%

66% 63% 65% 65% 60% 64% 65% 62% 63% 61% 67%59%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

60% 59% 58% 60% 56% 58% 55% 61% 57% 58% 55% 57%

40% 41% 42% 40% 44% 42% 45% 39% 43% 42% 45% 43%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Geography

Non - US US

69% 70% 69% 68% 67% 69% 65% 66% 67% 62% 66% 65%

25% 24% 26% 26% 27% 23% 29% 26% 26% 31% 26% 27%

6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 6%

0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Banking Insurance Managed Investments Other

Revenue1 Distribution: Product

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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44November 2, 2016

$138 $143 $142 $159 $156$181 $174 $177

$202

$83 $87 $104$113 $121

$142 $167 $181$174

$0 $0$0

$0 $0

$0$0

$0$0

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year

Public Finance and SovereignProject & Infrastructure FinanceOther

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

2 Sources: Thomson SDC, Moody’s Corporation. Note: Debt issuance categories do not directly correspond to Moody’s revenue categorization.

$345 $350 $355 $374

$248$302 $307

$364 $358

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Long-Term Rated U.S. Municipal Bond Issuance(Annually)2

$44 $48$56 $54

$46 $46$55 $55 $60

$45 $42$45 $46

$45 $40$37

$57 $45$0 $0

$0 $0$0

$0$0

$0$0

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter

Public Finance and SovereignProject & Infrastructure FinanceOther

Public, Project and Infrastructure: Revenue and Issuance

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

$84$74

$94$107

$84$74

$94$114

$105

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Issu

an

ce $

Bil

lio

ns

Long-Term Rated U.S. Municipal Bond Issuance(Quarterly)2

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45November 2, 2016

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.

58% 61% 60% 58% 64% 62% 56% 56% 60% 59% 65% 63%

42% 39% 40% 42% 36% 38% 44% 44% 40% 41% 35% 37%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Transaction Recurring

36% 35% 37% 37% 35% 32% 36% 37% 35% 33% 33% 28%

64% 65% 63% 63% 65% 68% 64% 63% 65% 67% 67% 72%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Geography

Non - US US

56% 56% 51% 49%56% 54% 51% 54% 54% 60%

49%57%

44% 44% 49% 51%44% 46% 49% 46% 46% 40%

51%43%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Public Finance and Sovereign Project & Infrastructure Finance Other

Revenue1 Distribution: Product

Public, Project and Infrastructure: Revenue Diversification

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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46November 2, 2016

Moody’s Analytics: Financial Overview

$143 $150 $150 $158 $158 $161 $165 $168 $168

$81$120

$77 $83 $92$122

$90 $98 $102$45

$43

$37$38 $37

$38$37 $38 $36

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Quarter

1 Historical data has been adjusted to conform with current information and excludes intercompany revenue.

Percentages have been rounded and may not total to 100%.

$362 $413 $411 $419 $445 $483 $520 $572 $626$100

$119 $151 $181 $196$243

$263$329

$374

$9$12 $11

$19$62

$108$119

$168$150

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Reven

ue

$ M

illi

on

s

Historical Revenue1 Mix: By Year

Professional Services

Enterprise Risk Solutions

Research, Data and

Analytics

20% 23% 23% 27% 23% 24% 25% 30% 26% 24% 24% 24%

80% 77% 77% 73% 77% 76% 75% 70% 74% 76% 76% 76%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Transaction Recurring

58% 57% 55% 56% 51% 52% 55% 56% 54% 51% 52% 51%

42% 43% 45% 44% 49% 48% 45% 44% 46% 49% 48% 49%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Geography

Non-US US

63% 58% 58% 54% 57% 56% 55% 50% 54% 57% 55% 55%

28%29% 29% 31% 29% 30% 32% 38% 33% 31% 32% 33%

9% 13% 13% 16% 14% 14% 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 12%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 FY15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16

Revenue1 Distribution: Product

Revenue1 Distribution: Recurring vs. Transaction

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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47November 2, 2016

Historically, Rising Rates Have not had a Significant Impact on Moody’s Revenue

+200bps

+120bps

+100bps

+180bps

5.8%

7.8%

4.7%

6.5%

2.3%

3.3%

1.8%

3.0%

2.2%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

$ M

illio

ns

MIS Revenue MA Revenue MCO Revenue 10-yr U.S. Treasury Yield (R)1

1 10-yr Treasury Yields are represented by the rate at the end-of-period. Source: www.treasury.gov

MCO Revenue and Interest Rates

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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48November 2, 2016

Revenue Growth by Quarter: MCO, MIS and MAYear-over-Year % Change

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Q1'1

0

Q2'1

0

Q3'1

0

Q4'1

0

Q1'1

1

Q2'1

1

Q3'1

1

Q4'1

1

Q1'1

2

Q2'1

2

Q3'1

2

Q4'1

2

Q1'1

3

Q2'1

3

Q3'1

3

Q4'1

3

Q1'1

4

Q2'1

4

Q3'1

4

Q4'1

4

Q1'1

5

Q2'1

5

Q3'1

5

Q4'1

5

Q1'1

6

Q2'1

6

Q3'1

6

MIS MA MCO

(2%)

3%

16%

1%

6%

19%

15%

5%

1%

23%

13%

7%

12%

5%

2%

U.S

. debt ceili

ng s

tandoff

Fears

Euro

debt crisis

may

spre

ad to Ita

ly &

Spain

Crim

ean c

risis

Oil

prices c

rash

Euro

/ G

reece s

tandoff

Glo

bal m

acro

concern

s

(13%)

(6%)

11% 9%

1%

(2%)

10%

12%

6%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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49November 2, 2016

1 MIS recurring revenue is typically billed annually and recognized ratably over 12 months. Recurring revenue can also be billed upfront and recognized over the life of the security.

2 Trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

Moody’s Investors Service’s Recurring Revenue1

Provides Stability

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

$800

$900

$1,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TTM 3Q 2016

$ M

illio

ns

Corporate Finance Structured Finance Financial Institutions Public, Project, & Infrastructure Finance MIS Other

» Drivers of MIS recurring revenue include growth in monitoring fees and select

elements of pricing

» Recurring revenue averages ~40% of total MIS revenue

MIS Recurring Revenue

As a % of MIS revenue 43% 38% 38% 39% 39% 40%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

2

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50November 2, 2016

$1.58

$1.90 $2.07$2.27 $2.33

$1.86 $1.84

$0.0

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

$0.0

$1.0

$2.0

$3.0

$4.0

$5.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 2015 YTD 2016

Revenue $

Billio

ns

Issuance $

Trilli

ons

Global Non-Financial Bonds and US HY Bank Loans (L) Global Financial Bonds (L)

Global Structured Finance (L) U.S. Municipal Bonds (L)

MIS Revenue (R)

MIS Revenue vs. Rated Issuance1

» In addition to issuance activity levels, MIS revenue is impacted by (i) the mix of issuance activity, (ii) pricing

and (iii) growth in monitored credits

1 Rated global investment grade bonds, global high yield bonds, U.S. high yield bank loans, global structured finance, and U.S. municipal issuance.

2 As of September 30, 2016.

Source: Moody’s Capital Markets Research Group, Dealogic, AB Alert, CM Alert, Thomson SDC. U.S. High Yield Bank Loans represent Moody’s rated new U.S. bank loan programs.

Year-over-Year

Percent Change2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

2011-2015

CAGRYTD2 2016

Issuance 2% 11% 1% 5% -5% 3% 1%

Revenue 12% 20% 9% 9% 3% 10% -1%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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51November 2, 2016

U.S. Regulatory Developments Affecting Securitization

» Risk Retention rules (minimum 5% “skin in

the game”) are causing “indigestion” for

‘originate to distribute’ securitization

products such as CLOs and CMBS as the

markets seek to find viable paths to comply

by the December 2016 deadline

» FRTB (Fundamental Review of Trading

Book) Bank Regulation hurts secondary

markets for securitization as banks are now

required to hold additional capital against

their positions

» Basel III Liquidity Coverage Ratio assigns

0% stressed liquidation value to non GSE-

backed securitizations held for bank liquidity

buffer purposes, while GSE-backed

securitizations are granted Tier 2 status

» Money Market Fund Reform – regulatory

constraints and rising costs of compliance

have created an incentive for asset

managers to refocus debt fund investment

strategies out of securitized (and corporate)

assets into Treasuries

» Impact of U.S. Elections – Tailwinds for securitization might include policies that would 1) revisit

Dodd-Frank and/or 2) promote a return to more private sector funding for housing and education

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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52November 2, 2016

Moody’s is a Seasoned Capital Markets Issuer

» Successfully issued across the maturity curve and in multiple currencies

» Initial maturities ranging from 5-year to 30-year

» Debt denominated in USD and EUR

» $1 billion of additional borrowing capacity under commercial paper program which is backstopped

by an undrawn $1 billion revolving credit facility

0.0x

0.5x

1.0x

1.5x

2.0x

2.5x

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 TTM3Q 2016

$ in M

illio

ns

EBITDA (L) Debt Outstanding (L) Gross Debt/EBITDA (R)

Private Placement

» 2007: $300m 10yr note

Public Bond Offerings

» 2010: $500m 10yr bond

» 2012: $500m 10yr bond

» 2013: $500m 10yr bond

» 2014: $450m 5yr bond

$300m 30yr bond

» 2015: €500m 12yr bond

$300m 30yr bond4

1 Trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

2 Amount is a Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix for a reconciliation of this Non-GAAP measure to its comparable U.S. GAAP measure.

3 Debt outstanding at end of period.

4 On November 13, 2015, Moody’s issued $300 million of 5.25% senior unsecured notes due 2044 in a reopening of its existing series of such notes.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

1

2 3

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53November 2, 2016

Moody’s Global Presence

1 As of September 30, 2016.

2 As of September 30, 2015.

U.S. employees non-U.S. employees total employees2

U.S. employees non-U.S. employees total employees1

3,417 7,440 10,857

2016

3,302 6,945 10,247

2015

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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54November 2, 2016

Adjusted Operating Income and Adjusted Operating Margin Reconciliation

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP

Moody's Corporation Operating Margin Guidance Reconciliation

1 Guidance as of October 21, 2016.

(in $ millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

As Reported Operating Income $888.4 $1,077.4 $1,234.6 $1,439.1 $1,473.4

Operating Margin 39.0% 39.5% 41.5% 43.2% 42.3%

Add Adjustment:

Depreciation & Amortization 79.2 93.5 93.4 95.6 113.5

Restructuring - - - - -

Goodwill Impairment Charge - 12.2 - - -

Adjusted Operating Income $967.6 $1,183.1 $1,328.0 $1,534.7 $1,586.9

Adjusted Operating Margin 42.4% 43.3% 44.7% 46.0% 45.5%

2016F1

Projected Operating Margin - GAAP Approximately 41%

Projected impact from Depreciation

& AmortizationApproximately 4%

Restructuring Negligible

Projected Adjusted Operating

MarginApproximately 45%

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

Moody's Corporation Free Cash Flow Guidance Reconciliation

(in $ millions) 2016F1

Cash Flow from Operations Approximately $1.1 billion

Less Capital Expenditures Approximately $120 million

Free Cash Flow Approximately $1.0 billion

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55November 2, 2016

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP (cont.)

Moody's Corporation EPS Reconciliation

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F1

Diluted EPS - GAAP $2.15 $2.49 $3.05 $3.60 $4.61 $4.63 $4.76 - $4.86

Legacy Tax (0.02) (0.03) (0.06) (0.09) (0.03) (0.03) -Impact of litigation settlement - - - 0.14 - - -ICRA Gain - - - - (0.37) - -FX Gain due to Subsidiary

Reorganization($0.18)

Restructuring $0.04

Diluted EPS – Non-GAAP $2.13 $2.46 $2.99 $3.65 $4.21 $4.60 $4.62 - $4.72

1 Guidance as of October 21, 2016.

Note: Table may not sum to total due to rounding.

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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56November 2, 2016

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to GAAP (cont.)

Moody's Corporation EBITDA Reconciliation

1 Trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2016.

Note: Table may not sum to total due to rounding.

($ Millions) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

TTM1

3Q 2016

Net Income attributable to Moody's $753.9 $701.5 $457.6 $402.0 $507.8 $571.4 $690.0 $804.5 $988.7 $941.3 $913.1

Provision for Income Taxes $506.6 $415.0 $268.2 $239.1 $201.0 $261.8 $324.3 $353.4 $455.0 $430.0 $414.1

Interest Expense, Net ($3.0) $24.3 $52.2 $33.4 $52.5 $62.1 $63.8 $91.8 $116.8 $115.1 $131.9

Depreciation & Amortization $39.5 $42.9 $75.1 $64.1 $66.3 $79.2 $93.5 $93.4 $95.6 $113.5 $122.5

EBITDA $1,297.0 $1,183.7 $853.1 $738.6 $827.6 $974.5 $1,171.6 $1,343.1 $1,656.1 $1,599.9 $1,581.6

Introduction | Financial Overview | Capital Markets Overview | Moody’s Investors Service | Moody’s Analytics | Conclusion | Appendix

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57November 2, 2016

Website: http://ir.moodys.com

Email: [email protected]

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58November 2, 2016

© 2016 Moody’s Corporation, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc., Moody’s Analytics, Inc. and/or their

licensors and affiliates (collectively, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved.

CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE, INC. AND ITS RATINGS AFFILIATES

(“MIS”) ARE MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES,

CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND

RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S (“MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS”) MAY INCLUDE

MOODY’S CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT

COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES. MOODY’S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE

RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL, FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY

COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT. CREDIT RATINGS

DO NOT ADDRESS ANY OTHER RISK, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO: LIQUIDITY RISK, MARKET

VALUE RISK, OR PRICE VOLATILITY. CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S OPINIONS INCLUDED IN

MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT STATEMENTS OF CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACT. MOODY’S

PUBLICATIONS MAY ALSO INCLUDE QUANTITATIVE MODEL-BASED ESTIMATES OF CREDIT RISK

AND RELATED OPINIONS OR COMMENTARY PUBLISHED BY MOODY’S ANALYTICS, INC. CREDIT

RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS DO NOT CONSTITUTE OR PROVIDE INVESTMENT OR

FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT AND DO NOT

PROVIDE RECOMMENDATIONS TO PURCHASE, SELL, OR HOLD PARTICULAR SECURITIES.

NEITHER CREDIT RATINGS NOR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS COMMENT ON THE SUITABILITY OF AN

INVESTMENT FOR ANY PARTICULAR INVESTOR. MOODY’S ISSUES ITS CREDIT RATINGS AND

PUBLISHES MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WITH THE EXPECTATION AND UNDERSTANDING THAT

EACH INVESTOR WILL, WITH DUE CARE, MAKE ITS OWN STUDY AND EVALUATION OF EACH

SECURITY THAT IS UNDER CONSIDERATION FOR PURCHASE, HOLDING, OR SALE.

MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS AND MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE

BY RETAIL INVESTORS AND IT WOULD BE RECKLESS AND INAPPROPRIATE FOR RETAIL

INVESTORS TO USE MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS OR MOODY’S PUBLICATIONS WHEN MAKING AN

INVESTMENT DECISION. IF IN DOUBT YOU SHOULD CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL OR OTHER

PROFESSIONAL ADVISER.

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