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Vale’s Performance in 3Q16
Rio de Janeiro, October 27th, 2016
Nacala Coal Port, Mozambique
1
Disclaimer
“This presentation may include statements that present Vale’s expectations about
future events or results. All statements, when based upon expectations about the
future, involve various risks and uncertainties. Vale cannot guarantee that such
statements will prove correct. These risks and uncertainties include factors related
to the following: (a) the countries where we operate, especially Brazil and Canada;
(b) the global economy; (c) the capital markets; (d) the mining and metals prices
and their dependence on global industrial production, which is cyclical by nature;
and (e) global competition in the markets in which Vale operates. To obtain further
information on factors that may lead to results different from those forecast by Vale,
please consult the reports Vale files with the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC), the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM), and the
French Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF), and in particular the factors
discussed under “Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk Factors” in Vale’s annual
report on Form 20-F.”
2
Operational performance
Financial performance
Capital expenditures
Capital structure
DOCUMENT CONTENT
3
Operational performance
Financial performance
Capital expenditures
Capital structure
DOCUMENT CONTENT
4
PRODUCTION VOLUMES
Nickel
Kt
Copper3
Kt
Gold
'000 oz
Phosphate Rock
Mt
Iron ore1
Mt
Coal
Mt
Pellets2
Mt
1 Includes iron ore fines, lump, ROM, iron ore feed for Vale’s pellet plants and third party ore purchases. Excludes Samarco’s attributable
production.2 Excludes Samarco's attributable production.3 Includes Lubambe’s attributable production.
88.7
86.3
77.4
89.3
90.7
88.4
77.5
86.8
92.1
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
11.4
11.6
11.4
12.2
12.2
10.4
11.5
10.0
12.1
72.1
73.6
69.2
67.1
71.6
82.7
73.5
78.5
76.0
104.8
105.4
107.2
104.9
99.3
112.5
111.9
107.4
111.4
84.0
93.6
102.7
100.0
100.0
117.0
118.0
109.0
118.0
2.3
2.3
1.7
2.0
2.1
1.6
1.7
1.5
2.3
2.2
2.2
2.0
2.1
1.9
2.1
1.6
1.8
2.1
5
PRODUCTION VOLUMES YEAR-ON-YEAR
Iron Ore1
Mt
Pellets2
Mt
Nickel
Kt
6.1%
Copper3
Kt
12.2%
1 Includes iron ore fines, lump, ROM, iron ore feed for Vale’s pellet plants and third party ore purchases. Excludes Samarco’s
attributable production.2 Excludes Samarco’s attributable production and includes third party purchases.3 Includes Lubambe’s attributable production.
Gold
'000 oz
18.0%
90.792.1
3Q15 3Q16
12.2 12.1
3Q15 3Q16
71.6
76.0
3Q15 3Q16
99.3
111.4
3Q15 3Q16
100.0
118.0
3Q15 3Q16
-1.0%1.5%
6
SALES VOLUMES
Iron ore1
Mt
Nickel
Kt
Copper2
Kt
Gold
'000 oz
Phosphate Rock
Mt
Coal
Mt
Pellets
Mt
1 3Q16 figure includes 74.2 Mt of iron ore ex-ROM and 0.4 Mt of ROM. Excludes Samarco’s attributable production.2 Excludes Lubambe’s attributable production.
66.6
78.2
62.3
71.4
74.1
80.8
63.3
73.1
74.6
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
3Q16
11.5
12.7
11.3
12.2
12.0
10.8
11.1
11.4
12.0
71.0
69.0
68.0
67.0
72.0
84.0
74.0
77.0
77.0
97.5
95.2
97.0
97.5
94.4
108.0
101.0
107.0
107.0
106.9
96.5
96.9
109.1
104.5
114.0
115.0
122.0
129.0
2.1
2.1
1.6
1.7
1.7
1.6
2.7
2.8
2.4
0.7
0.9
0.7
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.9
7
SALES VOLUMES YEAR-ON-YEAR
Iron Ore¹
Mt
Pellets
Mt
0.7% 0.3%
Copper²
Kt
13.3%
Gold
‘000 oz
23.4%
Nickel
Kt
6.9%
74.1 74.6
3Q15 3Q16
12.0 12.0
3Q15 3Q16
72.0
77.0
3Q15 3Q16
94.4
107.0
3Q15 3Q16
104.5
129.0
3Q15 3Q16
¹ 3Q16 figure includes 74.2 Mt of iron ore ex-ROM and 0.4 Mt of ROM. Excludes Samarco’s attributable production.
² Excludes Lubambe’s attributable production.
.
8
Operational performance
Financial performance
Capital expenditures
Capital structure
DOCUMENT CONTENT
9
ADJUSTED EBITDA1
US$ billionAdjusted EBITDA margin (%)
3.0
2.2
1.6
2.21.9
1.4
2.0
2.4
3.0
90.2
74.3
62.458.4
54.9
46.7 48.3
55.758.6
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16
33.1
1 Adjusted EBITDA excludes non-recurring effects.
Platts IODEX Iron Ore Price
Average (US$/t)
24.1 25.7 31.8 28.8 23.6 35.1 36.0 41.3
10
1,652
(129)
193
197
(38)
1,875
ADJUSTED EBITDA BY BUSINESS SEGMENT1
US$ million
3Q16 2Q16 3Q15
2,136
(110)
376
32
(51)
2,383
2,493
(7)
600
59
(122)
3,023
Ferrousminerals
Coal
Base metals ² ³
Fertilizernutrients
Others
Total
1 Adjusted EBITDA excludes non-recurring effects.2 Includes copper and by-products from our nickel and copper operations.3 Includes US$ 150 million of the goldstream transaction.
11
EVOLUTION OF COSTS AND EXPENSES
Costs1
US$ million
Expenses1,2
US$ million
1 Net of depreciation and amortization.2 Includes SG&A, R&D, Pre-operating and stoppage and other expenses. Does not include gain/loss on sale of assets.3 Includes US$ 150 million of the goldstream transaction.
4,1793,929
4,056
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
-2.9%
470
431
245
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
-47.9%
3
12
100 107 116
31 3337
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
131140
153
121
78 85
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
EVOLUTION OF EXPENSES
SG&A
US$ million
Pre-operating and stoppage expenses
R&D Other expenses
Depreciation
183
85 95
83
29 27
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
122
113160
-51
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
266
114
1 Includes US$ 150 million of the goldstream transaction.
1
13
54.650.0
46.9 47.0 47.5 46.142.2
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16
EVOLUTION OF IRON ORE FINES C1 CASH COST1
R$/t
-22.7%
1 2015 figures were adjusted to the new allocation criteria, as reported in the 4Q15, and include acquisition costs of third
party purchased ore.
-10.0%
14
1 Ex-ROM and ex-royalties. All figures were adjusted according to the new managerial allocation changes, as reported in the 4Q15, and include
acquisition costs of third party purchased ore.2 Net of depreciation.3 Ex bunker oil hedge.
13.2 13.2 13.0
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
EVOLUTION OF IRON ORE FINES CASH COST, FREIGHT AND
EXPENSES
C1 Cash Cost FOB Port1 Freight
US$/t
-1.5%
16.4
11.8 12.0
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
-26.8%
Expenses2 & Royalties
3.5
4.0
3.2
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
-8.6%
3
15
EVOLUTION OF IRON ORE SUSTAINING CAPITAL
US$/dmt
2.7
2.1
2.9
1.8
2.5
3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16
2.3Last twelve
months
16
13.0
12.0
3.2 0.4
2.5 1.529.6 1.3
28.3
2.5 30.8
C1 CashCost¹
Freight Royalties &Expenses
Distribuition Moisture Quality EBITDABreakevenIron Ore
fines
PelletAdjustment
EBITDABreakeven(pellets &
fines)
Sustaining Iron Ore &PelletsCash
Breakeven
BREAKEVEN LANDED IN CHINA FOR IRON ORE AND PELLETS
US$/t
1 Ex-ROM.
Cost landed in China
17
58.6 59.3
50.9
1.3 0.2 1.6 0.4 0.8 1.2
3.8
4.6
AveragePlatts
3Q16 (dmt)
Quality Premium/Discount and commercial
conditions
Provisionalprices in
prior quarter¹
Laggedprices
Current Provisionalprices
in currentquarter²
CFR reference price (dmt)
Adjustmentfor
FOB Sales
Moisture Vale CFR/FOB price
(wmt)³
US$/t, 3Q16
PRICE REALIZATION – IRON OREUS$/t
1 Adjustment as a result of provisional prices booked in 2Q16 at US$ 52.7/t.2 Difference between the weighted average of the prices provisionally set at the end of 3Q16 at US$ 54.4/t based on forward curves and
US$ 58.6/t from the 3Q16 IODEX.
³ Vale price is net of taxes.
+ 0.7
Impact of pricing system adjustments
18
IRON ORE PRICING SYSTEMS
Impact of Pricing Mechanisms
US$ / t
Pricing System Breakdown
%
Provisional - prior quarter Lagged
Current Provisional - current quarter
2.01.6
2Q16 3Q16
-1.2-0.4
2Q16 3Q16
-0.6 -0.8
2Q16 3Q16
-1.0 -1.2
2Q16 3Q16
14% 11%
52% 61%
34%28%
2Q16 3Q16
Lagged
Current
Provisional
19
1,652
392 121 63
77 93 37
201
174 2,493
EBITDA3Q15
Price FX Bunker Commercialinitiatives
Volume CFR FreightSales
Cost savinginitiatives
Others EBITDA3Q16
FERROUS MINERALS EBITDA VARIATION
US$ million, 3Q16 vs. 3Q15
US$ 508M
20
Operational performance
Financial performance
Capital expenditures
Capital structure
DOCUMENT CONTENT
21
EVOLUTION OF CAPITAL EXPENDITURES
US$ million
1,232
905741
647
463
516
1,879
1,3681,257
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
Sustaining Growth Projects
-33.1%
22
S11D INVESTMENT GROWTH
S11D Mine and Plant – Plant and stockyards S11D Logistics – Railway spur
S11D (including mine, plant and associated logistics – CLN S11D) achieved combined physical
progress of 83% in 3Q16 with 95% progress at the mine site and 74% at the logistic infrastructure sites
23
PROJECT PROGRESS INDICATORS
3Q16
ProjectCapacity
Mtpy
Estimated
start-up
Executed capex
US$ million
2016 Total
Estimated capex
US$ million
2016 Total
Physical
progress
Carajás Serra Sul S11D 90 2H16 755 5,411 890 6,4052 95%
CLN S11D 230 (80)1 1H14 to 1H20 951 5,418 1,154 7,8503 74%
1 - Net additional capacity.2 - Original Capex budget of US$ 8.089 billion.3 - Original Capex budget of US$ 11.582 billion.
.
24
Operational performance
Financial performance
Capital expenditures
Capital structure
DOCUMENT CONTENT
25
24,213
27,508
25,965
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
DEBT POSITION
Gross Debt
US$ million
Net Debt
Cash position on
September 30, 2016
5,484
28,67531,814 31,449
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
26
FINANCIAL INDICATORS1
4.8 4.55.0
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
Interest coverage - Ratio
3.1
3.6
2.9
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
Net Debt / LTM2 EBITDA - Ratio
8.3
7.6 7.7
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
Maturity - years
4.37 4.23 4.34
3Q15 2Q16 3Q16
Cost of Debt - %
1 Ex-Refis.2 LTM – last twelve months. Excluding non-recurring items.
27
FREE CASH FLOW – 3Q16
US$ million
1 Dividends and interest on capital received from associates and joint ventures and paid to noncontrolling interest, including dividends paid
related to MBR (US$ 127 million).2 Includes the proceeds from the goldstream transaction of US$ 276 million relative to the sale of mining rights.3 Includes transactions with non-controlling stockholders.4 Cash flow before debt additions/repayments and distribution of dividends.
3,227 423
204 191
1,249
129
593 2 1,622 414
-1,208
Cashgenerated
fromoperations
Intereston loans
Incometaxes
& Refissettlementprogram
Derivatives Capex Netdividendsreceived/
paid ¹
Net disposal/acquisition
of assets andinvestments ²
Others ³ FreeCashFlow
Netadditions/
repaymentsof loans
Dividendspaid toshare-holders
Increase incash & cashequivalents4
28
PERFORMANCE OF VALE’S SHARES COMPARED TO PEERS
Index, 01/01/2016 = 100
50
100
150
200
250
Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16
Vale US
Peer 1
Peer 2
74%
Price variation
since 01/Jan/2016¹
36%
18%
1 Stocks’ prices until September 30th 2016.
Source: Bloomberg.
29