12
Investor Presentation H1 2020 Results September, 2020

Investor Presentation...CSAV. Mainly from its stake in the container shipping business through Hapag-Lloyd. The US$350 million will be used to pay back loans taken out by CSAVto obtain

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • Investor PresentationH1 2020 Results

    September, 2020

  • CSAV

    Mainly from its stake in the container shipping business through Hapag-Lloyd

    The US$350 million will be used to pay back loans taken out by CSAV to obtain a 30% stake in HLAG in January

    After ending its last remaining direct shipping operations in July 2020

    Hapag-Lloyd, CSAV’s main investment

    Surpassing 2019 figure by 90.3% despite decrease in activity, especially in May

    Measures focused on personnel safety, cost control, reassessing all investments and financial contingencies

    Ratio of net debt to EBITDA decreased to 2.6, and strengthened liquidity position

    Highlights

    2

  • 3

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    20

    24

    28

    2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020

    Orderbook-to-fleet (%

    )

    TEU

    mn

    World fleet (TEU mn) Orderbook (TEU mn) Orderbook-to-fleet (%)

    Orderbook-to-fleet2005-2008 average

    54.8%

    Orderbook-to-fleetAugust 2020

    8.9%(~ 3.0 – 4.0% annual equivalent)

    Record low orderbook

    1.8

    0.4

    2.0

    1.1

    2.2

    0.2

    0.81.2

    0.8

    0.2

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 7M 2020

    Newly placed orders (TEU mn) Orders-to-fleet (%)

    0.10.3 0.4 0.4 0.2

    0.70.4 0.1 0.2 0.2

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 7M2020

    Scrapping (TEU mn) Desguace-sobre-flota mundial (%)

    Hardly new orders placed Scrapping still at low levels

    Source: Clarksons (August 2020) Notes:(1) Assumes a useful life of 25 years for vessels

    4.0% 4.0%

    Long-term no-growth level to maintain current supply⁽¹⁾(orders-to-fleet,%)

    Long-term no-growth level to maintain current supply ⁽¹⁾(scrapping-to-fleet,%)

    3

    IndustrySupply evolution throughout the years

  • 4

    (0%)(4%)

    (10%) (11%)

    (21%)(17%) (15%)

    (8%)(5%)(5%)

    (14%) (13%) (16%)

    (5%)(0%)

    7%

    Jan-2020 Feb-2020 Mar-2020 Apr-2020 May-2020 Jun-2020 Jul-2020 Aug-2020

    Far East Transpacific

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    14%

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

    Idle-to-world fleet (%

    )TE

    U m

    n

    Idle fleet (TEU mn) Idle-to-world fleet (%)

    Source: Alphaliner (August 2020)

    Adjustment capacity in major trades (YoY %)

    Recent increase in idle fleet levels

    Idle-To-Fleet as of May 11, 2020: 11,3%Carriers account for 65% of the idle fleet

    4

    IndustryEffective measures to mitigate COVID impact

  • 5

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    Jan-2010 Jan-2011 Jan-2012 Jan-2013 Jan-2014 Jan-2015 Jan-2016 Jan-2017 Jan-2018 Jan-2019 Jan-2020

    USD

    / TE

    U

    SCFI⁽¹⁾ SCFI - Bunker Consumption Margin IFO 380⁽²⁾ (3,5%) VLSFO⁽²⁾ (0,5%)

    Avg. 2015612 Avg. 2016

    562

    Avg. 2017706

    Avg. 2018686

    Avg. 2019675

    Avg. 2020 YTD 846Avg. 2014

    812

    Avg. 20101.123

    Avg. 2011657

    Avg. 2012893

    Avg. 2013778

    Notas:(1) The SCFI represents: spot rates for main haul trade exports from Shanghai

    port.(2) The Rotterdam Platts index represents: spot bunker price per metric ton

    (IFO 380 or VLSFO) on Rotterdam port, including yearly consumption factor(ton / TEU) registered by Hapag-Lloyd. As of december 2019, VLSFO isused to calculate margin ex-bunker due to new IMO 2020 regulation.

    (3) SCFI – Bunker Consumption margin is only referential.

    Monthly marginJan 20 786Feb 20 737Mar 20 786Apr 20 765May 20 781Jun 20 870Jun 20 929Aug 20 1,118

    Margin Jan-Jun2019 6812020 787

    Source: Platts (August 2020) and SCFI 5

    IndustryEvolution of ex-bunker freight rate

  • 38.7

    50.8

    (3.9)(4.5) (0.3)

    (11.3)(3.1)

    0.5

    66.9

    CSAV Net IncomeH1 2019

    Share ofHLAG'sResult

    Effect ofPPA onResults

    Badwill SG&A Financial result DeferredTaxes

    Discontinuedoperations

    CSAV NetIncomeH1 2020

    CSAV Net Income H1 2019 vs H1 2020

    6

    Figures in USD million

    Equity-accounted investees (HLAG)

    CSAV’s resultsH1 2020

  • Results H1 2020 H1 2019 Var.

    SG&A (3.6) (4.1) 0.5

    Other incomes 0.8 1.6 (0.8)

    Operating income (loss) (2.8) (2.5) (0.3)

    EBITDA (w/o equity-accounted investees) (2.7) (2.4) (0.3)

    Equity-accounted investees 89.6 47.2 42.4

    Financial result & ex. rate diff. (14.7) (3.4) (11.3)

    Taxes (5.4) (2.3) (3.1)

    Discontinued operations 0.2 (0.3) 0.5

    Net income 66.9 38.7 28.2

    Note: EBITDA = Operating income (loss) + Depreciation + Amortization

    7

    Figures in USD million

    CSAV’s resultsH1 2020

  • 0.270.13

    Jun 2020 Dic 2019

    Leverage

    2,9042,517

    Jun 2020 Dic 2019

    Total assets

    4.3

    10.1

    Jun 2020 Dic 2019

    Free Asset Ratio

    8

    Covenant: 1,615

    Covenant: >1.3

    606.4 127.1

    479.3

    Deuda financiera Efectivo y efectivoequivalente

    Deuda neta

    Net debt (Jun 2020)

    CSAV’s financial positionH1 2020

    Figures in USD million

    Financial debt Cash & cashequivalent

    Net debt Jun 2020 Dec 2020

    Jun 2020 Dec 2020Jun 2020 Dec 2020

  • 9

    Capacity H1 2020 Financial results H1 2020

    2020 H1 2019 H1

    EBITDA(USD mm)

    EBIT(USD mm)

    Net profit(USD mm)

    ∆% 2019 FY

    1,287

    563

    314

    1,080

    440

    165

    19.2%

    90.3%

    28.0%

    Average freight rate (USD/TEU) 1,104 1,071 3.1% 1,072

    2,223

    908

    418

    239Total

    vessels

    1,736 TTEUVessels’ aggregate

    capacity

    2,621 TTEUContainers’ aggregate

    capacity

    Average bunkerprice (USD/ton) 448 429 4164.4%

    Transported volume (TTEU) 5,755 5,966 12,037(3.5%)

    Revenue(USD mm) 7,005 7,047 (0.6%) 14,115

    Transport expenses (USD mm) 5,210 5,451 10,867(4.4%)

    Hapag Lloyd’s resultsH1 2020

  • Launched to safeguard earnings and liquidity related to COVID-19

    Costs savings

    Substantial capacity measures taken in coordination with ourTHE Alliance partners to mitigate variable costs

    Reduction of variable transport expenses and fixed costs(e.g. return of chartered ships, SG&A)

    Savings in the range of a mid three-digit million USD figure expected

    Q3 2020Q2 2020 Q4 2020

    Realized Target

    Investment prioritization

    Investment plan reviewed Postponement of growth and unnecessary maintenance

    investments Continuous review going forward

    Financial contingency Additional liquidity secured

    Different financial measures executed, e.g. draw-down ofUSD 400 m from RCF & USD 160 m ABS

    Further actions taken (e.g. vessel re-financing) to enhanceliquidity and secure necessary investments

    Hapag-Lloyd: Perfomance Safeguarding Program (PSP)

  • Outlook

    11

    HLAG’s 2020 Guidance

    Extracted from HLAG’s Investor Report H1 2020, available at https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html

    Average bunker price

    EBITDA

    Transport volume

    2019

    EBIT

    12,037 TTEU

    416 USD/mt

    EUR 1,986 m

    EUR 811 m

    EUR 1.7 – 2.2 bn

    EUR 0.5 – 1.0 bn

    Outlookfor 2020

  • Outlook

    CSAV has focused exclusively on the container shipping business since early 2020, after close itsvehicle transport business.

    CSAV has started its capital increase of US$350 million to obtain its final debt structure which,combined with the absorption of the accumulated losses, will allow the Company to distributedividends in the next few years.

    Given current supply conditions, estimates predict that the container shipping industry is in abetter position with respect to the 2009 crisis to deal with declining economic activity anduncertainty stemming from COVID-19.

    In order to ensure profitability and good liquidity levels, Hapag-Lloyd has implemented itsPerformance Safeguarding Program (PSP), which includes active cost management, reevaluatinginvestments and increasing loans, in addition to continuing with its 2023 Strategy.

    Hapag-Lloyd’s projections remain within the EBIT guidance range expected for 2020, despite stilluncertain market conditions related to the spread of COVID-19.

    12

    Investor Presentation�H1 2020 Results��September, 2020Slide Number 2Industry�Supply evolution throughout the yearsSlide Number 4Slide Number 5Slide Number 6Slide Number 7Slide Number 8Slide Number 9���Slide Number 11Slide Number 12